Predictors of poor outcome after extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation for refractory cardiac arrest (ECPR): A post hoc analysis of a multicenter database

Health-related quality of life one year after refractory cardiac arrest treated with conventional or extracorporeal CPR; a secondary analysis of the INCEPTION-trial

Background

Prospective, trial-based data comparing health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients surviving out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) through extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) or conventional CPR (CCPR) are scarce. We aimed to determine HRQoL during 1-year after refractory OHCA in patients treated with ECPR and CCPR.

Methods

We present a secondary analysis of the multicenter INCEPTION-trial, which studied the effectiveness of ECPR versus CCPR in patients with refractory OHCA. HRQoL was prospectively assessed using the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire. Poor HRQoL was pragmatically defined as an EQ-5D-5L health utility index (HUI) > 1 SD below the age-adjusted norm. We used mixed linear models to assess the difference in HRQoL over time and univariable analyses to assess factors potentially associated with poor HRQoL.

Results

A total of 134 patients were enrolled, and hospital survival was 20% (27 patients). EQ-5D-5L data were available for 25 patients (5 ECPR and 20 CCPR). One year after OHCA, the estimated mean HUI was 0.73 (0.05) in all patients, 0.84 (0.12) in ECPR survivors, and 0.71 (0.05) in CCPR survivors (p-value 0.31). Eight (32%) survivors had a poor HRQoL. HRQoL was good in 17 (68%) patients, with 100% in ECPR survivors versus 60% in CCPR survivors (p-value 0.14).

Conclusion

One year after refractory OHCA, 68% of the survivors had a good HRQoL. We found no statistically significant difference in HRQoL one year after OHCA in patients treated with ECPR compared to CCPR. However, numerical differences may be clinically relevant in favor of ECPR.

Hyperfibrinolysis: potential guidance for decision-making to avoid futile extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with very poor outcomes. Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (eCPR) for selected patients is a potential therapeutic option for refractory cardiac arrest. However, randomised controlled studies applying eCPR after refractory OHCA have demonstrated conflicting results regarding survival and good functional neurological outcomes. eCPR is an invasive, labour-intensive, and expensive therapeutic approach with associated side-effects. A rapid monitoring device would be valuable in facilitating selection of appropriate patients for this expensive and complex treatment. To this end, rapid diagnosis of hyperfibrinolysis, or premature clot dissolution, diagnosed by viscoelastic testing might represent a feasible option. Hyperfibrinolysis is an evolutionary response to low or no-flow states. Studies in trauma patients demonstrate a high mortality rate in those with established hyperfibrinolysis upon emergency room admission. Similar findings have now been reported for the first time in OHCA patients. Hyperfibrinolysis upon admission diagnosed by rotational thromboelastometry was strongly associated with mortality and poor neurological outcomes in a small cohort of patients treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

Acute kidney injury as a prognostic predictor of in-hospital mortality and neurological outcomes in patients after extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation

INTRODUCTION

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is increasingly being applied to patients with refractory cardiac arrest, but the survival rate to hospital discharge is only approximately 29%. Because ECPR requires intensive resources, it is important to predict outcomes. We therefore investigated the prognostic association between acute kidney injury (AKI) and ECPR to confirm the performance of AKI as a prognostic predictor of in-hospital mortality and neurological outcomes in ECPR.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study on patients undergoing ECPR for cardiac etiology at Chonnam National University Hospital from 2015 to 2021. The group diagnosed with AKI in any KDIGO category within the first 48 h after ECPR was compared to that without AKI, and the primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Of 138 enrolled patients, 83 were studied. Hospital mortality occurred in 49 patients (59%), and 55 (66.3%) showed poor neurological outcomes. The AKI group displayed significantly elevated in-hospital mortality (77.8% vs 24.1%) and poor neurological outcomes (81.5% vs 37.9%) compared to the non-AKI group (p < 0.001). Regression analysis showed that AKI was associated with significantly higher rates of both in-hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR) range 10.75-12.88) and neurologic outcomes (OR range 5.9-6.22).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a significant association of AKI with both in-hospital mortality and poor neurologic outcome in patients after ECPR, and AKI can be used as an early prognostic predictor in these patients.

Perioperative Extracorporeal Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation in Adult Patients: A Review for the Perioperative Physician

The use of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation for refractory cardiac arrest has grown rapidly over the previous decade. Considerations for the implementation and management of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation are presented for the perioperative physician.

Lactate and lactate clearance as predictors of one-year survival in extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation - An international, multicentre cohort study

AIM

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) can be considered in selected patients with refractory cardiac arrest. Given the risk of patient futility and high resource utilisation, identifying ECPR candidates, who would benefit from this therapy, is crucial. Previous ECPR studies investigating lactate as a potential prognostic marker have been small and inconclusive. In this study, it was hypothesised that the lactate level (immediately prior to initiation of ECPR) and lactate clearance (within 24 hours after ECPR initiation) are predictors of one-year survival in a large, multicentre study cohort of ECPR patients.

METHODS

Adult patients with refractory cardiac arrest at three German and four Danish tertiary cardiac care centres between 2011 and 2021 were included. Pre-ECPR lactate and 24-hour lactate clearance were divided into three equally sized tertiles. Multivariable logistic regression analyses and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to analyse survival outcomes.

RESULTS

297 adult patients with refractory cardiac arrest were included in this study, of which 65 (22%) survived within one year. The pre-ECPR lactate level and 24-hour lactate clearance were level-dependently associated with one-year survival: OR 5.40 [95% CI 2.30-13.60] for lowest versus highest pre-ECPR lactate level and OR 0.25 [95% CI 0.09-0.68] for lowest versus highest 24-hour lactate clearance. Results were confirmed in Kaplan-Meier analyses (each p log rank < 0.001) and subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

Pre-ECPR lactate levels and 24 hour-lactate clearance after ECPR initiation in patients with refractory cardiac arrest were level-dependently associated with one-year survival. Lactate is an easily accessible and quickly available point-of-care measurement which might be considered as an early prognostic marker when considering initiation or continuation of ECPR treatment.

Impact of clinical variables on outcomes in refractory cardiac arrest patients undergoing extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation

Background

In the past two decades, extracorporeal resuscitation (ECPR) has been increasingly used in the management of refractory cardiac arrest (CA) patients. Decision algorithms have been used to guide the care such patients, but the effectiveness of such decision-making tools is not well described. The aim of this study was to compare the rate of survival with a good neurologic outcome of patients treated with ECPR meeting all criteria of a clinical decision-making tool for the initiation of ECPR to those for whom ECPR was implemented outside of the algorithm.

Methods

All patients who underwent E-CPR between January 2014 and December 2021 at the Montreal Heart Institute were included in this retrospective analysis. We dichotomized the cohort according to adherence or non-adherence with the ECPR decision-making tool, which included the following criteria: age ≤65 years, initial shockable rhythm, no-flow time <5 min, serum lactate <13 mmol/L. Patients were included in the "IN" group when they met all criteria of the decision-making tool and in the "OUT" group when at least one criterion was not met.

Main outcomes and measures

The primary outcome was survival with intact neurological status at 30 days, defined by a Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) Scale 1 and 2.

Results

A total of 41 patients (IN group, n = 11; OUT group, n = 30) were included. A total of 4 (36%) patients met the primary outcome in the IN group and 7 (23%) in the OUT group [odds ratio (OR): 1.88 (95% CI, 0.42-8.34); P = 0.45]. However, survival with a favorable outcome decreased steadily with 2 or more deviations from the decision-making tool [2 deviations: 1 (11%); 3 deviations: 0 (0%)].

Conclusion and relevance

Most patients supported with ECPR fell outside of the criteria encompassed in a clinical decision-making tool, which highlights the challenge of optimal selection of ECPR candidates. Survival rate with a good neurologic outcome did not differ between the IN and OUT groups. However, survival with favorable outcome decreased steadily after one deviation from the decision-making tool. More studies are needed to help select proper candidates with refractory CA patients for ECPR.

Early extracorporeal CPR for refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest - A pre-planned per-protocol analysis of the INCEPTION-trial

BACKGROUND

Evidence for extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains inconclusive. Recently, the INCEPTION-trial, comparing extracorporeal with conventional CPR, found no statistically significant difference in neurologically favorable survival. Since protocol deviations were anticipated, a pre-specified per-protocol analysis was foreseen.

METHODS

The per-protocol analysis of the INCEPTION trial excluded patients not meeting inclusion or exclusion criteria, amongst which time-to-cannulation of >60 minutes, and achieving a return of spontaneous circulation before hospital arrival. Crossovers were excluded as well. The primary outcome (30-day survival in a neurologically favorable condition; cerebral performance category [CPC] 1-2) was primarily analyzed under a frequentist statistical framework. In addition, Bayesian analysis under a minimally informative prior was performed.

RESULTS

Eighty-one patients were included in the per-protocol analysis (extracorporeal CPR n = 33, conventional CPR n = 48). Thirty-day survival with CPC1-2 was 15% in the extracorporeal CPR group versus 9% in the conventional CPR group (adjusted OR 1.9; 95% CI 0.4-9.3; p-value 0.393). Bayesian analysis showed an 84% posterior probability of any ECPR benefit and a 61% posterior probability of a 5% absolute risk reduction for the primary outcome.

CONCLUSION

A pre-planned, pre-specified per-protocol analysis of the INCEPTION-trial, found a higher survival with favorable neurological in patients undergoing ECPR versus CCPR for refractory shockable OHCA. This difference did not reach statistical significance, but results should be interpreted with care, in the light of the small remaining sample size.

Prophylactic antibiotic treatment for preventing nosocomial infection in extracorporeal membrane oxygenation-resuscitated circulatory arrest patients

Objective

We aimed to investigate the characteristics of nosocomial infections (NIs) and the impact of prophylactic antibiotic administration on NI outcomes in patients who underwent extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR).

Methods

This retrospective study analyzed the rate, type, pathogens, outcomes, and risk factors of NIs that developed in adult patients who underwent ECPR at our institution between January 2002 and January 2022.

Results

Among 105 patients (median age, 58.59 [interquartile range, 46.53-67.32] years), 57 (54.29%) patients developed NIs during their extracorporeal membrane oxygenation courses. The incidence rates per 1000 extracorporeal membrane oxygenation days were 135.91 for overall infections and 40.06 for multidrug-resistant (MDR) infections. Ventilator-associated pneumonia was the most common type of NI (73.68%), followed by bloodstream infections (17.89%). Prophylactic antibiotics with Pseudomonas aeruginosa coverage were protective factors against NI (hazard ratio [HR], 0.518; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.281-0.953; P = .034). High dynamic driving pressure of the ventilator (cmH2O) was a prognostic factor for hospital mortality (HR, 1.096; 95% CI, 1.008-1.192; P = .032). An Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score of ≥24 (HR, 6.443; 95% CI, 1.380-30.088; P = .018) was a risk factor for developing MDR infections.

Conclusions

In patients who undergo ECPR, prophylactic antibiotic treatment with P aeruginosa coverage is associated with a lower incidence of NIs, whereas an Aeruginosa Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score of ≥24 is a risk factor for MDR infections. In the modern era of antibiotic therapy, the development of NIs does not increase hospital mortality among patients undergoing ECPR.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation-based approach to refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A focus on organ donation, a secondary analysis of a Prague OHCA randomized study

BACKGROUND

Refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) has a poor outcome. In patients, who cannot be rescued despite using advanced techniques like extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR), organ donation may be considered. This study aims to evaluate, in refractory OHCA, how ECPR versus a standard-based approach allows organ donorship.

METHODS

The Prague OHCA trial randomized adults with a witnessed refractory OHCA of presumed cardiac origin to either an ECPR-based or standard approach. Patients who died of brain death or those who died of primary circulatory reasons and were not candidates for cardiac transplantation or durable ventricle assist device were evaluated as potential organ donors by a transplant center. In this post-hoc analysis, the effect on organ donation rates and one-year organ survival in recipients was examined.

RESULTS

Out of 256 enrolled patients, 75 (29%) died prehospitally or within 1 hour after admission and 107 (42%) during the hospital stay. From a total of 24 considered donors, 21 and 3 (p = 0.01) were recruited from the ECPR vs standard approach arm, respectively. Fifteen brain-dead and none cardiac-dead subjects were ultimately accepted, 13 from the ECPR and two from the standard strategy group. A total of 36 organs were harvested. The organs were successfully transplanted into 34 recipients. All transplanted organs were fully functional, and none of the recipients died due to graft failure within the one-year period post-transplant.

CONCLUSION

The ECPR-based approach in the refractory OHCA trial is associated with increased organ donorship and an excellent outcome of transplanted organs.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01511666. Registered January 19, 2012.

High incidence of acute kidney injury in extracorporeal resuscitation, Leading to poor prognosis

Background

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) patients have a high incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) patients are more likely to develop AKI than ECMO patients because of serious injury during cardiac arrest (CA).

Objectives

This study aims to assess the occurrence and outcomes of AKI in ECPR and ECMO, and to identify specific risk factors and clinical implications of AKI in ECPR.

Methods

This is a retrospective observational study from a single tertiary care hospital in Gwangju, Korea. Adults (≥18 years) who received ECMO with cardiac etiology in the emergency and inpatient departments from January 2015 to December 2021 were included. The patients (n = 169) were divided into two groups, ECPR and ECMO without CA, and the occurrence of AKI was investigated. The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality, and the secondary outcomes were six-month cerebral performance category (CPC) and AKI during hospitalization.

Results

The incidence of AKI was significantly higher with ECPR (67.5 %) than with ECMO without CA (38.4 %). ECPR was statistically significant for Expire (adjusted OR (aOR) 2.45, 95 % CI 1.28-4.66) and Poor CPC (2.59, 1.32-5.09). AKI was also statistically significant for Expire (6.69, 3.37-13.29) and Poor CPC (5.45, 2.73-10.88). AKI was the determining factor for the outcomes of ECPR (p = 0.01).

Conclusions

ECPR patients are more likely to develop AKI than ECMO without CA patients. In ECPR patients, AKI leads to poor outcomes. Therefore, clinicians should be careful not to develop AKI in ECPR patients.

Prognostic factors associated with favourable functional outcome among adult patients requiring extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR), has demonstrated promise in the management of refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). However, evidence from observational studies and clinical trials are conflicting and the factors influencing outcome have not been well established.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis summarizing the association between pre-ECPR prognostic factors and likelihood of good functional outcome among adult patients requiring ECPR for OHCA. We searched Medline and Embase databases from inception to February 28, 2023 and screened studies with two independent reviewers. We performed meta-analyses of unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios, adjusted hazard ratios and mean differences separately. We assessed risk of bias using the QUIPS tool and certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach.

FINDINGS

We included 29 observational and randomized studies involving 7,397 patients. Factors with moderate or high certainty of association with increased survival with favourable functional outcome include pre-arrest patient factors, such as younger age (odds ratio (OR) 2.13, 95% CI 1.52 to 2.99) and female sex (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.70), as well as intra-arrest factors, such as shockable rhythm (OR 2.79, 95% CI 2.04 to 3.80), witnessed arrest (OR 1.68 (95% CI 1.16 to 2.42), bystander CPR (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.01), return of spontaneous circulation (OR 2.81, 95% CI 2.19 to 3.61) and shorter time to cannulation (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.69 per 10 minutes).

INTERPRETATION

The findings of this review confirm several clinical concepts wellestablished in the cardiac arrest literature and their applicability to the patient for whom ECPR is considered - that is, the impact of pre-existing patient factors, the benefit of timely and effective CPR, as well as the prognostic importance of minimizing low-flow time. We advocate for the thoughtful consideration of these prognostic factors as part of a risk stratification framework when evaluating a patient's potential candidacy for ECPR.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A data-driven visualization of collaboration, frontier identification, and future trends

One of the main causes of death is out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), which has a poor prognosis and poor neurological outcomes. This phenomenon has attracted increasing attention. However, there is still no published bibliometric analysis of OHCA. This bibliometric analysis of publications on OHCA aimed to visualize the current status of research, determine the frontiers of research, and identify future trends. Publications on OHCA were downloaded from the web of science database. The data elements included year, countries/territories, institutions, authors, journals, research areas, citations of publications, etc. Joinpoint regression and exponential models were used to identify and predict the trend of publications, respectively. Knowledge domain maps were applied to conduct contribution and collaboration, cooccurrence, cocitation, and coupled analyses. Timeline and burst detection analysis were used to identify the frontiers in the field. A total of 3 219 publications on OHCA were found from 1998 to 2022 (average annual percentage change = 16.7; 95% CI 14.4, 19.1). It was estimated that 859 articles and reviews would be published in 2025. The following research hotpots were identified: statement, epidemiology, clinical care, factors influencing prognosis and emergency medical services. The research frontier identification revealed that 7 categories were classified, including therapeutic hypothermia, emergency medical services, airway management, myocardial infarction, extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation, stroke foundation and trial. The burst detection analysis revealed that percutaneous coronary intervention, neurologic outcome, COVID-19 and extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation are issues that should be given continual attention in the future. This bibliometric analysis may reflect the current status and future frontiers of OHCA research.

Optimising the ECMO treatment regimen increases the survival rate for adult patients with acute fulminant myocarditis: A single-centre retrospective cohort study

Background

Applying Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) to patients with acute fulminant myocarditis (AFM) reduces their mortality. The survival rate is 55.6-71.9% for adult AFM patients, which is lower than that for paediatric patients (63-81%). In our centre, the survival rate of ECMO for adult patients with AFM was 66.7% from January 2003 to 2012. In January 2013, the therapeutic regimen was optimised, and then the survival rate increased to 89.1% by January 2022. This article analyses the reasons for the improved survival rate following the optimisation of treatment protocols.

Methods

The data for adult patients with AFM who underwent ECMO for a poor response conventional treatment from January 2003 to January 2022 were reviewed. According to different treatment regimens, the AFM patients were divided into an old and a new regimen group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the data before and after ECMO.

Results

Fifty-five patients were enrolled in the age (31.2 ± 11.3), including 24 males. Forty-nine patients were weaned successfully from ECMO [duration: (4.1 ± 1.8) d], all of whom were discharged from the hospital, with a survival rate of 89.1%. Compared with the old regimen group, the new regimen group had a shorter duration of shock to ECMO, a lower proportion of patients receiving extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR), a lower Vasoactive Inotropic Score (VIS), and lower levels of lactic acid, and high-sensitivity troponin T before ECMO (p &lt; 0.05). Compared with the old regimen group, after ECMO, the new regimen group had lower ECMO flow, lower proportion of left ventricular dilation and lower limb ischemia injury, the duration of ECMO was shorter, and significantly improved the survival rate, the difference was statistically significant (P &lt; 0.05). The duration of shock to ECMO and VIS before ECMO were independent risk factors for the survival rate (p &lt; 0.05).

Conclusion

Early ECMO initiation in adult AFM patients with a poor response to conventional therapy and low-flow ECMO to meet metabolic needs can reduce serious complications affecting the prognosis, may be associated with better outcomes.

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation location, coronary angiography and survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

INTRODUCTION

The best location for safe and timely implementation of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is currently uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between the location of ECPR and survival outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. We also evaluated whether the effects of ECPR location on survival differed between patients who underwent coronary angiography (CAG) and those who did not.

METHODS

We used data collected between 2013 and 2020 from a nationwide OHCA database. Adult OHCA patients with presumed cardiac etiology who underwent ECPR were included in the study. The primary outcome was survival to discharge. The main exposure was the ECPR location (emergency department [ED] or cardiac catheterization laboratory [Cath lab]). We compared primary outcomes of ECPR between the ED and Cath lab using multivariable logistic regression. The interaction between ECPR location and CAG was also evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 564 ECPR patients, 448 (79.4%) and 116 (20.6%) underwent ECPR in the ED and Cath lab, respectively. CAG was observed in 52.5% and 72.4% of the patients in the ED and Cath lab groups, respectively. There were no significant differences in survival to discharge between the ED and Cath lab groups (14.1% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.75, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] [95% confidence interval] 1.87 [0.85-4.11]). AOR of interaction analysis (95% CI) for survival to discharge of the ED group was 2.34 (1.02-5.40) in patients with CAG and 0.28 (0.04-1.84) in patients without CAG (p for interaction was 0.04).

CONCLUSION

In adult OHCA patients who underwent ECPR and CAG, ECPR in the ED shortened time to ECMO pump-on time and increased survival to discharge compared to ECPR in the Cath lab.

External validation of the TiPS65 score for predicting good neurological outcomes in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest treated with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation

AIM

Estimating prognosis of patients treated with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is essential for selecting candidates. The TiPS65 score can predict neurological outcomes of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) treated with ECPR. We aimed to perform an external validation of this score.

METHODS

Data from the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest registry, a multicentred, nationwide, prospectively registered database, were analysed. All adult patients with OHCA and shockable rhythm and treated with ECPR between January 2018 to December 2019 were included. In the TiPS65 score, age, call-to-hospital arrival time, initial cardiac rhythm at hospital arrival, and initial pH value were used as predictors. The primary outcome was 30-day survival with favourable neurological outcomes (Cerebral Performance Category 1 or 2). Discrimination, using the C-statistic, and predictive performances of each score, such as sensitivity and specificity, were investigated.

RESULTS

Of 590 included patients (517 [81.6%] men; median [interquartile range] age, 60 [50-69] years), 64 (10.8%) reported favourable neurological outcomes. The C-statistic of the TiPS65 score was 0.729 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.672-0.786). When the cut-off of TiPS65 score was set to >1, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.906 (95%CI: 0.807-0.965) and 0.430 (95%CI: 0.387-0.473), respectively; conversely, when the cut-off was set to >3, they were 0.172 (95%CI: 0.089-0.287) and 0.971 (95%CI: 0.953-0.984), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The TiPS65 score shows reasonable discrimination and predictive performances. This score can be supportive in the decision-making process for the selection of eligible patients for ECPR in clinical settings.

Clinical Validation of Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) Score and MIRACLE2 Score to Predict Neurologic Outcomes after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest

Background. Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains a challenge for emergency physicians, given the poor prognosis. In 2020, MIRACLE2, a new and easier to apply score, was established to predict the neurological outcome of OHCA. Objective. The aim of this study is to compare the discrimination of MIRACLE2 score with cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) score for OHCA neurologic outcomes. Methods. This retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and December 2019. Adult patients (>17 years) with cardiac arrest who were brought to the hospital by an emergency medical service crew were included. Deaths due to trauma, burn, drowning, resuscitation not initiated due to pre-ordered “do not resuscitate” orders, and patients who did not achieve return of spontaneous circulation were excluded. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with Youden Index was performed to calculate optimal cut-off values for both scores. Results. Overall, 200 adult OHCA cases were analyzed. The threshold of the MIRACLE2 score for favorable neurologic outcomes was 5.5, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.70 (0.61−0.80, p < 0.001); the threshold of the CAHP score was 223.4, with an AUC of 0.77 (0.68−0.86, p < 0.001). On setting the MIRACLE2 score cut-off value, we documented 64.7% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI], 56.9−71.9%), 66.7.0% specificity (95% CI, 48.2−82.0%), 90.8% positive predictive value (PPV; 95% CI, 85.6−94.2%), and 27.2% negative predictive value (NPV; 95% CI, 21.4−33.9%). On establishing a CAHP cut-off value, we observed 68.2% sensitivity (95% CI, 60.2−75.5%), 80.6% specificity (95% CI, 62.5−92.6%), 94.6% PPV (95% CI, 88.6%−98.0%), and 33.8% NPV (95% CI, 23.2−45.7%) for unfavorable neurologic outcomes. Conclusions. The CAHP score demonstrated better discrimination than the MIRACLE2 score, affording superior sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV; however, the CAHP score remains relatively difficult to apply. Further studies are warranted to establish scores with better discrimination and ease of application.