Pre-arrest Prediction of Survival Following In-hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Systematic Review of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies

The impact of comorbidity burden on cardiac arrest mortality: A population-based cohort study

AIM

Patients experiencing cardiac arrest are often burdened with comorbidities that increase mortality. This study examined the impact of comorbidity burden on cardiac arrest mortality by quantifying biological interaction.

METHODS

Nationwide population-based Danish cohort study of adult patients hospitalized for cardiac arrest during 1996-2021 and 5:1 matched comparisons from the general population (matched on age, sex, calendar year, and all Charlson Comorbidity Index comorbidities). Mortality rates and hazard ratios for the association between cardiac arrest and mortality was calculated according to comorbidity burden (none, low, moderate, severe). Biological interaction was examined by calculating interaction contrasts (difference in rate differences).

RESULTS

For no comorbidity burden, the 30-day mortality rate per 1,000 person-years was 18,110 in the cardiac arrest cohort and 24 in the comparison cohort (hazard ratio = 1,435). For low comorbidity burden, the 30-day mortality rate increased to 20,272 in the cardiac arrest cohort and 41 in the comparison cohort (hazard ratio = 504). The corresponding interaction contrast of 2,145 indicated that 11% of the mortality rate in patients with cardiac arrest and low comorbidity burden was explained by interaction between the two. This percentage increased to 20% for moderate and to 28% for severe comorbidity burden. Within 31-365-day follow-up, the percentage of the mortality rate explained by interaction was 28% for low, 38% for moderate, and 41% for severe comorbidity burden. The interaction effect was present for both out-of-hospital and in-hospital cardiac arrest.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidity burden interacted with cardiac arrest to increase mortality beyond that explained by their separate effects.

To withhold resuscitation - The Swedish system's rules and challenges

The aim of this article is to describe current Swedish legalisation, clinical practice and future perspectives on the medical ethical decision "Do-Not-Attempt-Cardio-Pulmonary-Resuscitation" (DNACPR) in relation to prevent futile resuscitation of in-hospital cardiac arrests. Sweden has about 2200 in-hospital cardiac arrests yearly, with an overall 30-day survival ratio of 35%. This population is highly selected, although the frequency of DNACPR orders for hospitalized patients is unknown, resuscitation is initiated in only 6-13% of patients dying in Swedish hospitals. According to Swedish law and although shared decision making is sought, the physician is the ultimate decision-maker and consultation with the patient, her relatives and another licenced health care practitioner is mandatory. According to studies, these consultations is documented in only about 10% of the decisions. Clinicians lack tools to assess risk of IHCA, tools to predict outcome and we are not good at guessing patients own will. Future directives for clinical practice need to address difficulties for physicians in making decisions as well as the timing of decisions. We conclude that the principles in Swedish law needs to be fulfilled by a more systematic approach to documentation and planning of meetings between patients, relatives and colleagues.

Predicting the probability of good neurological outcome after in-hospital cardiac arrest based on prearrest factors: validation of the good outcome following attempted resuscitation 2 (GO-FAR 2) score

The Good Outcome Following Attempted Resuscitation (GO-FAR) 2 score is a prognostic tool developed to support decision-making for do-not-attempt-resuscitation (DNAR) orders by predicting neurological outcomes after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) based on prearrest variables. However, this scoring system requires further validation. We aimed to validate the GO-FAR 2 score for predicting good neurological outcome in Korean patients with IHCA. A single-centre registry of adult patients with IHCA from 2013 to 2017 was analysed. The primary outcome was discharge with good neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Category score of 1 or 2). The patients were divided into four categories according to the GO-FAR 2 score: very poor (≥ 5), poor (2-4), average (- 3 to 1), and above-average (< - 3) likelihood of good neurological outcome. Of 1,011 patients (median age, 65 years), 63.1% were men. The rate of good neurological outcome was 16.0%. The proportions of patients categorised as having very poor, poor, average, and above-average probability of good neurological outcome were 3.9%, 18.3%, 70.2%, and 7.6%, respectively. In each category, good neurological outcome was observed in 0%, 1.1%, 16.8%, and 53.2%, respectively. Among patients in below-average categories (very poor + poor, GO-FAR 2 score ≥ 2), only 0.9% had good outcome. GO-FAR 2 score ≥ 2 showed a sensitivity of 98.8% and a negative predictive value of 99.1% in predicting good neurological outcome. The GO-FAR 2 score can predict neurological outcome after IHCA. In particular, GO-FAR 2 score ≥ 2 may support decision-making for DNAR orders.

2022 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations: Summary From the Basic Life Support; Advanced Life Support; Pediatric Life Support; Neonatal Life Support; Education, Implementation, and Teams; and First Aid Task Forces

This is the sixth annual summary of the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations. This summary addresses the most recently published resuscitation evidence reviewed by International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation Task Force science experts. Topics covered by systematic reviews include cardiopulmonary resuscitation during transport; approach to resuscitation after drowning; passive ventilation; minimizing pauses during cardiopulmonary resuscitation; temperature management after cardiac arrest; use of diagnostic point-of-care ultrasound during cardiac arrest; use of vasopressin and corticosteroids during cardiac arrest; coronary angiography after cardiac arrest; public-access defibrillation devices for children; pediatric early warning systems; maintaining normal temperature immediately after birth; suctioning of amniotic fluid at birth; tactile stimulation for resuscitation immediately after birth; use of continuous positive airway pressure for respiratory distress at term birth; respiratory and heart rate monitoring in the delivery room; supraglottic airway use in neonates; prearrest prediction of in-hospital cardiac arrest mortality; basic life support training for likely rescuers of high-risk populations; effect of resuscitation team training; blended learning for life support training; training and recertification for resuscitation instructors; and recovery position for maintenance of breathing and prevention of cardiac arrest. Members from 6 task forces have assessed, discussed, and debated the quality of the evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria and generated consensus treatment recommendations. Insights into the deliberations of the task forces are provided in the Justification and Evidence-to-Decision Framework Highlights sections, and priority knowledge gaps for future research are listed.

Prognostic models for outcome prediction following in-hospital cardiac arrest using pre-arrest factors: a systematic review, meta-analysis and critical appraisal

BACKGROUND

Several prediction models of survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) have been published, but no overview of model performance and external validation exists. We performed a systematic review of the available prognostic models for outcome prediction of attempted resuscitation for IHCA using pre-arrest factors to enhance clinical decision-making through improved outcome prediction.

METHODS

This systematic review followed the CHARMS and PRISMA guidelines. Medline, Embase, Web of Science were searched up to October 2021. Studies developing, updating or validating a prediction model with pre-arrest factors for any potential clinical outcome of attempted resuscitation for IHCA were included. Studies were appraised critically according to the PROBAST checklist. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool AUROC values of externally validated models.

RESULTS

Out of 2678 initial articles screened, 33 studies were included in this systematic review: 16 model development studies, 5 model updating studies and 12 model validation studies. The most frequently included pre-arrest factors included age, functional status, (metastatic) malignancy, heart disease, cerebrovascular events, respiratory, renal or hepatic insufficiency, hypotension and sepsis. Only six of the developed models have been independently validated in external populations. The GO-FAR score showed the best performance with a pooled AUROC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.69-0.85), versus 0.59 (95%CI 0.50-0.68) for the PAM and 0.62 (95% CI 0.49-0.74) for the PAR.

CONCLUSIONS

Several prognostic models for clinical outcome after attempted resuscitation for IHCA have been published. Most have a moderate risk of bias and have not been validated externally. The GO-FAR score showed the most acceptable performance. Future research should focus on updating existing models for use in clinical settings, specifically pre-arrest counselling. Systematic review registration PROSPERO CRD42021269235. Registered 21 July 2021.

2022 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations: Summary From the Basic Life Support; Advanced Life Support; Pediatric Life Support; Neonatal Life Support; Education, Implementation, and Teams; and First Aid Task Forces

This is the sixth annual summary of the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations. This summary addresses the most recently published resuscitation evidence reviewed by International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation Task Force science experts. Topics covered by systematic reviews include cardiopulmonary resuscitation during transport; approach to resuscitation after drowning; passive ventilation; minimizing pauses during cardiopulmonary resuscitation; temperature management after cardiac arrest; use of diagnostic point-of-care ultrasound during cardiac arrest; use of vasopressin and corticosteroids during cardiac arrest; coronary angiography after cardiac arrest; public-access defibrillation devices for children; pediatric early warning systems; maintaining normal temperature immediately after birth; suctioning of amniotic fluid at birth; tactile stimulation for resuscitation immediately after birth; use of continuous positive airway pressure for respiratory distress at term birth; respiratory and heart rate monitoring in the delivery room; supraglottic airway use in neonates; prearrest prediction of in-hospital cardiac arrest mortality; basic life support training for likely rescuers of high-risk populations; effect of resuscitation team training; blended learning for life support training; training and recertification for resuscitation instructors; and recovery position for maintenance of breathing and prevention of cardiac arrest. Members from 6 task forces have assessed, discussed, and debated the quality of the evidence using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation criteria and generated consensus treatment recommendations. Insights into the deliberations of the task forces are provided in the Justification and Evidence-to-Decision Framework Highlights sections, and priority knowledge gaps for future research are listed.