Increased adversely-affected population from water shortage below normal conditions in China with anthropogenic warming

Global wheat planting suitability under the 1.5°C and 2°C warming targets

The potential distribution of crops will be impacted by climate change, but there is limited research on potential wheat distributions under specific global warming targets. This study employed the Maxent model to predict the potential distribution of wheat under the 1.5°C and 2°C warming targets based on data from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP) multimodel ensemble, and the effect of global warming on wheat planting suitability was analyzed. Our results indicated global warming would significantly change wheat planting suitability. Over half of the areas experienced changes in wheat planting suitability under two warming targets, and the effect became more pronounced with increasing temperatures. Additionally, global warming might promote wheat planting in more regions. The area with an increase in wheat planting suitability was observed to be 9% higher than those experiencing a decrease on average. Moreover, global warming could exacerbate the disparity between global wheat supply and demand in countries/regions. Traditional wheat-producing countries/regions are poised to benefit from the warming effects of climate change, while less developed and wheat import-dependent countries/regions may face greater challenges in achieving wheat self-sufficiency. To address this potential challenge, the promotion and inter-regional exchange of agronomic technologies, and the development of more rational trade standards are urgently needed. Since socioeconomic factors have a significant impact on wheat cultivation, further investigation is required to determine how the wheat planting distribution may change in the future under the combined impact of climate change, supply-demand relationship, and policy.

Vegetation in Arid Areas of the Loess Plateau Showed More Sensitivity of Water-Use Efficiency to Seasonal Drought

Studying the impact of regional or seasonal drought on vegetation water-use efficiency (WUE) can identify an effective theoretical basis by which vegetation can cope with future climate change. Based on remote sensing data and climate grid data, in this study, we calculated the ecosystem WUE and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), analyzed the temporal and spatial divergence of seasonal drought and WUE, and explored the relationship between WUE and seasonal drought in the Loess Plateau. The results indicate that from 2001 to 2019, the humidity in spring and summer on the Loess Plateau shows an increasing trend, and the aridity in fall also shows an increasing trend. Averaged over four seasons, WUE presents distribution characteristics of “high in the southeast and low in the northwest”, with the highest WUE in summer. However, the geological distribution of the sensitivity of WUE to seasonal drought was significantly different. Spring drought increased WUE, whereas summer drought led to a decrease in WUE. When fall drought was less severe, the WUE increased; WUE response to winter SPEI was negative, but the sensitivity did not change with variation of drought degree. The sensitivity of WUE to the magnitude of seasonal drought was affected by regional dry and wet conditions. A clear seasonal divergence was found in four climate regions, along with increased drought intensity, and the sensitivity of WUE to drought magnitude in arid areas was generally higher than that in semi-arid, semi-humid areas, or humid areas. With this study, we deeply explored how ecosystems deal with the water supply strategy of seasonal drought, which is of great significance in the understanding of the coupling relationship between the carbon–water cycle and climate change.

Polar Ice as an Unconventional Water Resource: Opportunities and Challenges

Global water resources are under pressure due to increasing population and diminishing conventional water resources caused by global warming. Water scarcity is a daunting global problem which has prompted efforts to find unconventional resources as an appealing substitute for conventional water, particularly in arid and semiarid regions. Ice is one such unconventional water resource, which is available mainly in the Arctic and Antarctic. In this study, opportunities and challenges in iceberg utilization as a source of freshwater were investigated on the basis of a systematic literature review (SLR). A search in three databases (Scopus, Web of Science, and ProQuest) yielded 47 separate studies from 1974 to 2019. The SLR indicated that harvesting iceberg water, one of the purest sources of water, offers benefits ranging from supplying freshwater and creating new jobs to avoiding iceberg damage to offshore structures. Economic considerations and risks associated with iceberg towing were identified as the main limitations to iceberg harvesting, while environmental impacts were identified as the main challenge to exploiting this resource. Assessment of trends in ice sheets in Arctic and Antarctic across different spatiotemporal scales indicated that the main sources of icebergs showed a statistically significant (p < 0.01) decreasing trend for all months and seasons during 2005–2019.

Divergent responses of ecosystem water-use efficiency to extreme seasonal droughts in Southwest China

The recurrent drought extremes have resulted in deleterious impacts on ecological security. Despite that many attempts have been made to explore ecosystem responses to different severities of droughts, a deep understanding of how ecosystem water-use efficiency (WUE) responds to extreme seasonal droughts is critical for predicting the trends under future climate change, especially in the ecologically-fragile karst ecosystem across Southwest China. This study systematically examined the spatio-temporal variations of ecosystem WUE over the karst and non-karst areas, as well as their divergent responses to different seasonal droughts. Our findings revealed the apparent increase in drought frequency, duration, and severity in Southwest China during the past four decades. Meanwhile, spring and summer drought events were the prevailing drought types. Compared with the non-karst area, multi-year mean WUE in the karst area was relatively lower, whereas the area exhibiting significant increase in WUE (p < 0.01) accounted for 39.3% and 22.3%, respectively. However, the effects of drought on ecosystem WUE varied in different seasons with more severe consequence in the karst ecosystem. During the early stage of autumn-spring drought in 2009/2010, ecosystem WUE was apparently larger than the baseline condition with the difference turning to be negative anomalies during the peak period, whereas the effect of summer drought in 2011 led to negative anomalies nearly throughout the duration. Further analysis revealed that the anomalies in evapotranspiration acted a prominent role in altering WUE at the onset of both droughts, while ecosystem WUE was mainly determined by the sensitivity of gross primary production during the later stage. All analyses are beneficial for expecting the coupling relationship between global carbon and water cycles to future climate change, particularly as droughts are projected to increase in terms of frequency and severity.

Bioinspired Integrative Surface with Hierarchical Texture and Wettable Gradient-Driven Water Collection

At present, collecting water directly from the atmosphere has become an effective means to solve the growing shortage of fresh water. Inspired by the structures of trichomes (hairs) of Sarracenia to capture fog and transport water, a series of different high-low rib-like hierarchical texture surfaces were prepared based on the laser method. These surfaces have gradient superwetting and adhesion because of the differences in subsequent preparation methods. In addition, this work discusses the effect of the above performance differences on the efficiency of fog collection and the surface condensation characteristics during fog collection. The results show that the surface of the laser-prepared sample with the mixing unit combination has more efficient fog collection efficiency and droplet removal rate. After 30 min, the amount of drip measured in the atmospheric environment is 8.4 times that of the polished surface. This indicates that the multihierarchical textured surface and superhydrophobicity are essential for improving the droplet removal rate and coagulation efficiency.

Water Environment Management and Performance Evaluation in Central China: A Research Based on Comprehensive Evaluation System

As a developing country with insufficient water resources, China’s water environment management and performance evaluation have important research value. The three provinces (Henan, Hubei, and Hunan) in central China with typical significance in geographical location and water resources governance were selected as research objects in this paper. Based on the principal component analysis (PCA) method and the pressure-state-response (PSR) model, a comprehensive evaluation system for the water environment in those three provinces during 2011–2017 was established in this paper. The evaluation results show that: (1) The water environment management and performance evaluation of the three provinces in central China were generally poor in 2011–2012, but the overall trend was rising; (2) in 2013–2014, the situation was improved compared to the previous two years, but needed further enhancement; (3) in 2015–2017, the water environment management and performance of the three provinces showed significant improvement. Among them, the Hubei Province had the highest water environment evaluation value (1.692), and the Henan Province had the most significant progress (from 0.043 to 1.671). The contributions of this paper are: (1) The comprehensive evaluation model based on PCA and the PSR model was constructed to analyze the sustainable development of water environment in central China; (2) the performance evaluation system for water environment management, which could comprehensively evaluate the performance of water environment treatment and effectively reveal the correlation between various indicators, was established. The principal factors in water environment management can be obtained by this evaluation system. Based on the analysis of the reasons underlying the above changes, the corresponding policy recommendations for improving water environment management and performance in central China were suggested in order to provide a reference for further improvement of water environment management in developing countries.

Mapping the Distribution of Water Resource Security in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region at the County Level under a Changing Context

The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (Jingjinji) region is the most densely populated region in China and suffers from severe water resource shortage, with considerable water-related issues emerging under a changing context such as construction of water diversion projects (WDP), regional synergistic development, and climate change. To this end, this paper develops a framework to examine the water resource security for 200 counties in the Jingjinji region under these changes. Thus, county-level water resource security is assessed in terms of the long-term annual mean and selected typical years (i.e., dry, normal, and wet years), with and without the WDP, and under the current and projected future (i.e., regional synergistic development and climate change). The outcomes of such scenarios are assessed based on two water-crowding indicators, two use-to-availability indicators, and one composite indicator. Results indicate first that the water resources are distributed unevenly, relatively more abundant in the northeastern counties and extremely limited in the other counties. The water resources are very limited at the regional level, with the water availability per capita and per unit gross domestic product (GDP) being only 279/290 m3 and 46/18 m3 in the current and projected future scenarios, respectively, even when considering the WDP. Second, the population carrying capacity is currently the dominant influence, while economic development will be the controlling factor in the future for most middle and southern counties. This suggests that significant improvement in water-saving technologies, vigorous replacement of industries from high to low water consumption, as well as water from other supplies for large-scale applications are greatly needed. Third, the research identifies those counties most at risk to water scarcity and shows that most of them can be greatly relieved after supplementation by the planned WDP. Finally, more attention should be paid to the southern counties because their water resources are not only limited but also much more sensitive and vulnerable to climate change. This work should benefit water resource management and allocation decisions in the Jingjinji region, and the proposed assessment framework can be applied to other similar problems.

Alignment of social and ecological structures increased the ability of river management

Large hydrologic basins involve multiple stakeholders, and coupled dynamic social and ecological processes. Managing such basins has long been a challenge. Balancing the demand for water from nature against that from humans is always difficult, particularly in arid watersheds. Here, we analyze potential institutional causes of ecological degradation and how it can be reversed by introducing new forms of governance. The framework and assumptions are illustrated using China's second-largest endorheic basin, where empirical evidence shows that the introduction of a new governing authority connecting midstream and downstream actors facilitated the establishment of a new governance regime that is better aligned with the biophysical scales of the watershed. A trans-regional water allocation project initiated by the new higher-level authority successfully rescued downstream oases and restored a dried terminal lake. These outcomes suggest that when social and ecological structures are better aligned our ability to manage the interplay between social and ecological processes increases. However, the lack of direct connection between the actors of the middle and lower reaches resulted in the paradox of an increase in water demand. We therefore suggest that measures to stimulate the emergence of horizontal social ties linking different critical groups of actors across the watershed could further the alignment of the institutional and biophysical structures-without these changes sustainable management of river basins and other common pool resources will remain problematic.

Response of Ecosystem Water Use Efficiency to Drought over China during 1982–2015: Spatiotemporal Variability and Resilience

Ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE describes carbon-water flux coupling in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding response and resilience of WUE to drought are essential for sustainable water resource and ecosystem management under increasing drought risks over China due to climate warming. Here we analyzed the response of ecosystem WUE to drought (spatiotemporal variability and resilience) over China during 1982–2015 based on an evapotranspiration (ET) dataset based on the model tree ensemble (MTE) algorithm using flux-tower ET measurements and satellite-retrieved GPP data. The results showed that the multiyear average WUE was 1.55 g C kg−1 H2O over China. WUE increased in 77.1% of Chinese territory during the past 34 years. During drought periods, the ecosystem WUE increased mainly in the northeast of Inner Mongolia, Northeast China and some regions in southern China with abundant forests but decreased in northwestern and central China. An apparent lagging effect of drought on ecosystem WUE was observed in the east of Inner Mongolia and Northeast China, the west and east regions of North China and the central part of Tibetan Plateau. Some ecosystems (e.g., deciduous needle-leaf forests, deciduous broadleaf forests, evergreen broadleaf forests and evergreen needle-leaf forests) in Central China, Northeast and Southwest China exhibited relatively greater resilience to drought than others by improving their WUE. Our findings would provide useful information for Chinese government to adopt a reasonable approach for maintaining the structure and functions of ecosystems under drought disturbance in future.