A comparison of satellite observations with the XCO2 surface obtained by fusing TCCON measurements and GEOS-Chem model outputs

Mapping contiguous XCO2 by machine learning and analyzing the spatio-temporal variation in China from 2003 to 2019

As China is the world's largest CO₂ emitter, it is important to understand the spatio-temporal variation of atmospheric CO₂ to reduce carbon emissions. Satellite remote sensing for carbon monitoring has been widely used and studied because of its long-term and large-scale characteristics. However, the satellite data results are very sparse with significant gaps due to narrow swath and other factors on CO₂ retrieval. The simple interpolation methods ignore the influential factors of CO₂ and loss the spatial resolution, which leads to the inability to quantify the spatio-temporal variation well. This study developed a machine learning method that considers carbon emissions, vegetation, and meteorology. Using the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of CO₂ (XCO₂) data of SCIAMACHY, GOSAT, and OCO-2, we derived monthly-scale contiguous XCO₂ data across China from 2003 to 2019 with 0.25° resolution. The results showed a good agreement with the satellite measurements, with the bias and standard deviation of 0.11 and 1.38 ppmv for the validation dataset, respectively. Moreover, the results were consistent with the model simulation and in-situ sites, indicating the ability to reflect long-term spatio-temporal variation with a finer texture. We analyzed the spatial distribution, seasonal variation, and long-term trends of XCO₂ in China, revealing that the machine learning method has comparable performance to model simulations. The results showed that XCO₂ is dominated by anthropogenic emissions spatially and has a clear seasonal cycle, with a larger amplitude the further north. The long-term trend shows the XCO₂ increased by an average rate of 2.17 ppmv per year from 2003 to 2019 in China, which is consistent with the global. The method and data can further study the carbon cycle and climate change.

Spatio-Temporal Consistency Evaluation of XCO2 Retrievals from GOSAT and OCO-2 Based on TCCON and Model Data for Joint Utilization in Carbon Cycle Research

The global carbon cycle research requires precise and sufficient observations of the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of CO 2 (XCO 2 ) in addition to conventional surface mole fraction observations. In addition, assessing the consistency of multi-satellite data are crucial for joint utilization to better infer information about CO 2 sources and sinks. In this work, we evaluate the consistency of long-term XCO 2 retrievals from the Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT), Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) in comparison with Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) and the 3D model of CO 2 mole fractions data from CarbonTracker 2017 (CT2017). We create a consistent joint dataset and compare it with the long-term model data to assess their abilities to characterize the carbon cycle climate. The results show that, although slight increasing differences are found between the GOSAT and TCCON XCO 2 in the northern temperate latitudes, the GOSAT and OCO-2 XCO 2 retrievals agree well in general, with a mean bias ± standard deviation of differences of 0.21 ± 1.3 ppm. The differences are almost within ±2 ppm and are independent of time, indicating that they are well calibrated. The differences between OCO-2 and CT2017 XCO 2 are much larger than those between GOSAT and CT XCO 2 , which can be attributed to the significantly different spatial representatives of OCO-2 and the CT-transport model 5 (TM5). The time series of the combined OCO-2/GOSAT dataset and the modeled XCO 2 agree well, and both can characterize significantly increasing atmospheric CO 2 under the impact of a large El Niño during 2015 and 2016. The trend calculated from the dataset using the seasonal Kendall (S-K) method indicates that atmospheric CO 2 is increasing by 2–2.6 ppm per year.

The Global Spatiotemporal Distribution of the Mid-Tropospheric CO2 Concentration and Analysis of the Controlling Factors

The atmospheric infrared sounder (AIRS) provides a robust and accurate data source to investigate the variability of mid-tropospheric CO2 globally. In this paper, we use the AIRS CO2 product and other auxiliary data to survey the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of mid-tropospheric CO2 and the controlling factors using linear regression, empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), geostatistical analysis, and correlation analysis. The results show that areas with low mid-tropospheric CO2 concentrations (20°S–5°N) (384.2 ppm) are formed as a result of subsidence in the atmosphere, the presence of the Amazon rainforest, and the lack of high CO2 emission areas. The areas with high mid-tropospheric CO2 concentrations (30°N–70°N) (382.1 ppm) are formed due to high CO2 emissions. The global mid-tropospheric CO2 concentrations increased gradually (the annual average rate of increase in CO2 concentration is 2.11 ppm/a), with the highest concentration occurring in spring (384.0 ppm) and the lowest value in winter (382.5 ppm). The amplitude of the seasonal variation retrieved from AIRS (average: 1.38 ppm) is consistent with that of comprehensive observation network for trace gases (CONTRAIL), but smaller than the surface ground stations, which is related to altitude and coverage. These results contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the spatiotemporal distribution of mid-tropospheric CO2 and related mechanisms.

Simulation and analysis of XCO2 in North China based on high accuracy surface modeling

As an important cause of global warming, CO₂ concentrations and their changes have aroused worldwide concern. Establishing explicit understanding of the spatial and temporal distributions of CO₂ concentrations at regional scale is a crucial technical problem for climate change research. High accuracy surface modeling (HASM) is employed in this paper using the output of the CO₂ concentrations from weather research and forecasting-chemistry (WRF-CHEM) as the driving fields, and the greenhouse gases observing satellite (GOSAT) retrieval XCO₂ data as the accuracy control conditions to obtain high accuracy XCO₂ fields. WRF-CHEM is an atmospheric chemical transport model designed for regional studies of CO₂ concentrations. Verified by ground- and space-based observations, WRF-CHEM has a limited ability to simulate the conditions of CO₂ concentrations. After conducting HASM, we obtain a higher accuracy distribution of the CO₂ in North China than those calculated using the classical Kriging and inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation methods, which were often used in past studies. The cross-validation also shows that the averaging mean absolute error (MAE) of the results from HASM is 1.12 ppmv, and the averaging root mean square error (RMSE) is 1.41 ppmv, both of which are lower than those of the Kriging and IDW methods. This study also analyses the space-time distributions and variations of the XCO₂ from the HASM results. This analysis shows that in February and March, there was the high value zone in the southern region of study area relating to heating in the winter and the dense population. The XCO₂ concentration decreased by the end of the heating period and during the growing period of April and May, and only some relatively high value zones continued to exist.