A century of human-induced environmental changes and the combined roles of nutrients and land use in Lake Victoria catchment on eutrophication

Bacterial Diversity in Sediments from Lianhuan Lake, Northeast China

Lake microbiota play a crucial role in geochemical cycles, influencing both energy flow and material production. However, the distribution patterns of bacterial communities in lake sediments remain largely unclear. In this study, we used 16S rRNA high-throughput sequencing technology to investigate the bacterial structure and diversity in sediments across different locations (six independent lakes) within Lianhuan Lake and analyzed their relationship with environmental factors. Our findings revealed that both the alpha and beta diversity of sediment bacterial communities varied significantly among the six independent lakes. Furthermore, changes between lakes had a significant impact on the relative abundance of bacterial phyla, such as Pseudomonadota and Chloroflexota. The relative abundance of Pseudomonadota was highest in Habuta Lake and lowest in Xihulu Lake, while Chloroflexota abundance was lowest in Habuta Lake and highest in Tiehala Lake. At the genus level, the relative abundance of Luteitalea was highest in Xihulu Lake compared to the other five lakes, whereas the relative abundances of Clostridium, Thiobacillus, and Ilumatobacter were highest in Habuta Lake. Mantel tests and heatmaps revealed that the relative abundance of Pseudomonadota was significantly negatively correlated with pH, while the abundance of Chloroflexota was significantly positively correlated with total phosphorus and total nitrogen in water, and negatively correlated with electrical conductivity. In conclusion, this study significantly enhances our understanding of bacterial communities in the different lakes within the Lianhuan Lake watershed.

Nodding syndrome: A role for environmental biotoxins that dysregulate MECP2 expression?

Nodding syndrome is an epileptic encephalopathy associated with neuroinflammation and tauopathy. This initially pediatric brain disease, which has some clinical overlap with Methyl-CpG-binding protein 2 (MECP2) Duplication Syndrome, has impacted certain impoverished East African communities coincident with local civil conflict and internal displacement, conditions that forced dependence on contaminated food and water. A potential role in Nodding syndrome for certain biotoxins (freshwater cyanotoxins plus/minus mycotoxins) with neuroinflammatory, excitotoxic, tauopathic, and MECP2-dysregulating properties, is considered here for the first time.

Abrupt shift in the organic matter input to sediments in Lake Liangzi, a typical macrophyte-dominated shallow lake in Eastern China, and its response to anthropogenic impacts

Understanding the historical variations in organic matter (OM) input to lake sediments and the possible mechanisms regulating this phenomenon is important for studying carbon cycling and burial in lake systems; however, this topic remains poorly addressed for macrophyte-dominated lakes. To bridge these gaps, we analyzed bulk OM and molecular geochemical proxies in a dated sediment core from Lake Liangzi, a typical submerged macrophyte-dominated lake in East China, to infer changes in OM input to sediments over the past 169 years due to the intensification of human activities in the catchment. A relatively primitive OM input pattern was observed in ca. 1841-1965, during which the lowest hydrogen index (HI), short-chain n-alkane abundance, and n-C17/n-C16 alkane indicated minimal input from phytoplankton, whereas the high Paq (proxy of aquatic macrophyte input) and long-chain n-alkane abundance suggested dominant and subordinate inputs from submerged and emergent macrophytes, respectively. OM input transitioned during ca. 1965-1993, with the highest Paq and lowest long-chain n-alkane abundance, indicating an increase of submerged macrophyte input and concurrent decline of emergent macrophyte input, probably caused by hydrological regulation practices and land reclamation in the 1960s, respectively. A further shift in OM input was observed since ca. 1993, characterized by the beginning of an increase in phytoplankton input, as indicated by the greater HI, short-chain n-alkane abundance, and n-C17/n-C16 alkane in sediments. Moreover, a lower Paq and higher abundance of long-chain n-alkanes indicated a decline in input from submerged macrophytes and an elevated input from terrestrial plants. The increase in αβ-hopane abundance and homohopane index value indicated that petroleum-sourced OM was first introduced into the sediments. The causes of these OM input changes included nutrient influx associated with domestic and industrial discharge, aquaculture within the lake, and widespread deforestation and land clearance in the catchment.

Reconstructing a 300-year history of phosphorus cycle in west Chaohu Lake, China

Anthropogenic activities could significantly increase nutrients loading, especially phosphorus (P), into aquatic systems, leading to eutrophication and disturbance of ecosystems. Detailed investigation of P cycling and its controlling factors in modern lakes could help understand mechanisms behind eutrophication, thus provide suggestions for future environmental management. Here, we investigate evolution history of P and iron (Fe) cycling over the last ∼300 years in west Chaohu Lake, a typical eutrophic lake in East China. The combination of 210Pb-137Cs dating and elemental analysis demonstrates drastic escalation of P input and organic carbon burial since 1960s, coincided with the rapid growth of human population near this region. P phase partitioning data indicate that Fe-bound P (PFe) is the predominant P pool of sediments in Chaohu Lake, which also regulates the evolving trend of reactive P (Preac). Moreover, the highest fraction of PFe is consistent with observations via P K-edge X-ray absorption near edge structure (P XANES). In addition, Fe speciation results show a principal contribution of Fe (hydr)oxides (Feox) and negligible presence of pyrite, suggesting a generally oxygenated depositional environment, where P could be preferentially sequestrated in sediments in association with Fe oxide minerals. Relatively high molar organic carbon/organic P (Corg/Porg) but low Corg/Preac ratios also support limited recycling of Preac in west Chaohu Lake. This study reveals that human activities play an important role in leading to the eutrophication of Chaohu Lake. Future environmental management could utilize the coupling of P and Fe oxides to remove P from water column.

Spatio-temporal modeling of lake's ecosystem and dynamism in response to changing environment: a case study of L. Ol Bolossat in Kenya

Lakes' ecosystems are vulnerable to environmental dynamisms prompted by natural processes and anthropogenic activities happening in catchment areas. The present study aimed at modeling the response of Lake Ol Bolossat ecosystem in Kenya to changing environment between 1992 to 2022 and its future scenario in 2030. The study used temperature, stream power index, rainfall, land use land cover, normalized difference vegetation index, slope, and topographic wetness index as datasets. A GIS-ensemble modeling approach coupling the analytical hierarchical process and principal component analysis was used to simulate the lake's extents between 1992 and 2022. Cellular Automata-Markov chain analysis was used to predict the lake extent in 2030. The results revealed that between 1992 and 2002, the lake extent shrunk by about 18%; between 2002 and 2012, the lake extent increased by about 13.58%; and between 2012 and 2022, the lake expanded by about 26%. The spatial-temporal changes exhibited that the lake has been changing haphazardly depending on prevailing climatic conditions and anthropogenic activities. The comparison between the simulated and predicted lake extents in 2022 produced Kno, Klocation, KlocationStrata, K standard, and average index values of 0.80, 0.81, 1.0, 0.74, and 0.84, respectively, which ascertained good performance of generated prediction probability matrices. The predicted results exhibited there would be an increase in lake extent by about 13% by the year 2030. The research findings provide baseline information which would assist in protecting and conserving the Lake Ol Bolossat ecosystem which is very crucial in promoting tourism activities and provision of water for domestic and commercial use in the region.

Developing meaningful water-energy-food-environment (WEFE) nexus indicators with stakeholders: An Upper White Nile case study

The Upper White Nile (UWN) basin plays a critical role in supporting essential ecosystem services and the livelihoods of millions of people in East Africa. The basin has been exposed to tremendous environmental pressures following high population growth, urbanisation, and land use change, all of which are compounded by the threats posed by climate change and insufficient financial and human resources. The water-energy-food-environment (WEFE) nexus provides a framework to assess solution options towards sustainable development by minimising the trade-offs between water, energy, and food resources. However, the majority of existing WEFE nexus indicators and tools tend to be developed without consideration of practitioners at the local level, thus constraining the practical application within real-world contexts. To try to address this gap and operationalise the WEFE nexus, we examined how local stakeholders frame the most pressing WEFE nexus challenges within the UWN basin, how these can be represented as indicators, and how existing WEFE nexus modelling tools could address this. The findings highlight the importance of declining water quality and aquatic ecosystem health as a result of deforestation and increasing agricultural intensity, with stakeholders expressing concerns for the uncertain impacts from climate change. Furthermore, a review of current WEFE nexus modelling tools reveals how they tend to be insufficient in addressing the most pressing environmental challenges within the basin, with a significant gap regarding the inclusion of water quality and aquatic ecosystem indicators. Subsequently, these findings are combined in order to guide the development of WEFE nexus indicators that have the potential to spatially model the trade-offs within the WEFE nexus in the UWN basin under climate change scenarios. This work provides an example of how incorporating local stakeholder's values and concerns can contribute to the development of meaningful indicators, that are fit-for-purpose and respond to the actual local needs.

A dataset of trophic state index for nation-scale lakes in China from 40-year Landsat observations

Trophic state index (TSI) serves as a key indicator for quantifying and understanding the lake eutrophication, which has not been fully explored for long-term water quality monitoring, especially for small and medium inland waters. Landsat satellites offer an effective complement to facilitate the temporal and spatial monitoring of multi-scale lakes. Landsat surface reflectance products were utilized to retrieve the annual average TSI for 2693 lakes over 1 km2 in China from 1984 to 2023. Our method first distinguishes lake types by pixels with a decision tree and then derives relationships between trophic state and algal biomass index. Validation with public reports and existing datasets confirmed the good consistency and reliability. The dataset provides reliable annual TSI results and credible trends for lakes under different area scales, which can serve as a reference for further research and provide convenience for lake sustainable management.

Bacterial community and cyanotoxin gene distribution of the Winam Gulf, Lake Victoria, Kenya

The Winam Gulf (Kenya) is frequently impaired by cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cHABs) due to inadequate wastewater treatment and excess agricultural nutrient input. While phytoplankton in Lake Victoria have been characterized using morphological criteria, our aim is to identify potential toxin-producing cyanobacteria using molecular approaches. The Gulf was sampled over two successive summer seasons, and 16S and 18S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing was performed. Additionally, key genes involved in production of cyanotoxins were examined by quantitative PCR. Bacterial communities were spatially variable, forming distinct clusters in line with regions of the Gulf. Taxa associated with diazotrophy were dominant near Homa Bay. On the eastern side, samples exhibited elevated cyrA abundances, indicating genetic capability of cylindrospermopsin synthesis. Indeed, near the Nyando River mouth in 2022, cyrA exceeded 10 million copies L-1 where there were more than 6000 Cylindrospermopsis spp. cells mL-1. In contrast, the southwestern region had elevated mcyE gene (microcystin synthesis) detections near Homa Bay where Microcystis and Dolichospermum spp. were observed. These findings show that within a relatively small embayment, composition and toxin synthesis potential of cHABs can vary dramatically. This underscores the need for multifaceted management approaches and frequent cyanotoxin monitoring to reduce human health impacts.

Anthropogenic Eutrophication Drives Major Food Web Changes in Mwanza Gulf, Lake Victoria

Discerning ecosystem change and food web dynamics underlying anthropogenic eutrophication and the introduction of non-native species is necessary for ensuring the long-term sustainability of fisheries and lake biodiversity. Previous studies of eutrophication in Lake Victoria, eastern Africa, have focused on the loss of endemic fish biodiversity over the past several decades, but changes in the plankton communities over this same time remain unclear. To fill this gap, we examined sediment cores from a eutrophic embayment, Mwanza Gulf, to determine the timing and magnitude of changes in the phytoplankton and zooplankton assemblages over the past century. Biogeochemical proxies indicate nutrient enrichment began around ~ 1920 CE and led to rapid increases in primary production, and our analysis of photosynthetic pigments revealed three zones: pre-eutrophication (prior to 1920 CE), onset of eutrophication with increases in all pigments (1920-1990 CE), and sustained eutrophication with cyanobacterial dominance (1990 CE-present). Cladoceran remains indicate an abrupt decline in biomass in ~ 1960 CE, in response to the cumulative effects of eutrophication and lake-level rise, preceding the collapse of haplochromine cichlids in the 1980s. Alona and Chydorus, typically benthic littoral taxa, have remained at relatively low abundances since the 1960s, whereas the abundance of Bosmina, typically a planktonic taxon, increased in the 1990s concurrently with the biomass recovery of haplochromine cichlid fishes. Overall, our results demonstrate substantial changes over the past century in the biomass structure and taxonomic composition of Mwanza Gulf phytoplankton and zooplankton communities, providing a historical food web perspective that can help understand the recent changes and inform future resource management decisions in the Lake Victoria ecosystem.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10021-024-00908-x.

Dynamic simulation and projection of ESV changes in arid regions caused by urban growth under climate change scenarios

Spatial simulation and projection of ecosystem services value (ESV) changes caused by urban growth are important for sustainable development in arid regions. We developed a new model of cellular automata based grasshopper optimization algorithm (named GOA-CA) for simulating urban growth patterns and assessing the impacts of urban growth on ESV changes under climate change scenarios. The results show that GOA-CA yielded overall accuracy exceeding 98%, and FOM for 2010 and 2020 were 43.2% and 38.1%, respectively, indicating the effectiveness of the model. The prairie lost the highest economic ESVs (192 million USD) and the coniferous yielded the largest economic ESV increase (292 million USD) during 2000-2020. Using climate change scenarios as urban future land use demands, we projected three scenarios of the urban growth of Urumqi for 2050 and their impacts on ESV. Our model can be easily applied to simulating urban development, analyzing its impact on ESV and projecting future scenarios in global arid regions.

An integrative approach to assess the impact of disturbance on native fish in lakes

Freshwater fish are in a perilous state with more than 30% of species considered critically endangered. Yet significant ecological and methodological complexities constrain our ability to determine how disturbances are impacting native fish communities. We review current methods used to assess the responses of fish communities, especially native fish, to disturbances, with a focus on lakes. These methods include contemporary population surveys, manipulative experimental approaches, paleolimnological approaches and Indigenous Knowledge and social histories. We identify knowledge gaps, such as a lack of baseline data for native fish, an inability to assess the impact of historical disturbances, stressor response dynamics in contemporary multi-stressor environments, and natural disturbance regimes. Our assessment of the current methods highlights challenges to filling these knowledge gaps using the reviewed methods. We advocate strongly for the implementation of an integrative approach that combines emerging technologies (i.e. molecular-based techniques in contemporary surveys and paleolimnology) and underutilised knowledge streams (i.e. Indigenous Knowledge and social histories) which should be used in concert with conventional methods. This integrative approach will allow researchers to determine the key drivers of decline and the degree of change, which will enable more informed and successful management actions.

Geochemical records of human-induced environmental changes in two small remote lakes of Songnen Plain, Northeast China

The abundance and composition of aliphatic hydrocarbon biomarkers were determined in dated sediment cores from Lakes Qijiapao (QJP) and Huoshaoheipao (HSH) in the Songnen Plain, Northeast China, to investigate historical environmental changes in these lakes and identify likely controlling factors. Based on these results, the recent environmental history of the two lakes can be divided into three periods. Before 1950, low Paq values (avg. 0.23 and 0.27, respectively) and middle-chain n-alkane abundances (normalized to total organic carbon, avg. 14.82 and 16.01 µg g-1 TOC, respectively) in both lakes suggested low aquatic productivity and the limited input of submerged macrophyte organic matter (OM). However, the significant increase in the abundance of short-chain n-alkanes in Lake HSH (from 8.34 to 16.68 µg g-1 TOC) indicated the emergence of early nutrient enrichment in the lake. From 1950 to 2000, marked increase in the abundance of middle-chain n-alkanes (avg. 21.72 and 22.62 µg g-1 TOC in Lakes QJP and HSH, respectively) and Paq values indicated that both lakes had undergone eutrophication because of the population explosion and agricultural intensification. From 2000 to 2013, the abundance of short- and middle-chain n-alkanes in Lake QJP markedly exceeded those in Lake HSH and indicated a larger eutrophication in Lake QJP, which could be caused by the development of ecotourism in Lake HSH and the concomitant increase in aquaculture in Lake QJP in recent years. The highest abundance of C30 αβ-hopane (~ 10.24 µg g-1 TOC) and the lowest CPIH values in Lake QJP revealed a possible petroleum pollution since 2008. Taken together, lake eutrophication in the Songnen Plain accelerated after 1950 and was influenced primarily by agriculture and aquaculture. This is in contrast to lakes in other regions of China (such as the Yangtze River Basin and Yunnan Province), where urbanization and industrialization have exerted a dominant influence on the lake environment.

The pit latrine paradox in low-income settings: A sanitation technology of choice or a pollution hotspot?

Pit latrines are widely promoted to improve sanitation in low-income settings, but their pollution and health risks receive cursory attention. The present narrative review presents the pit latrine paradox; (1) the pit latrine is considered a sanitation technology of choice to safeguard human health, and (2) conversely, pit latrines are pollution and health risk hotspots. Evidence shows that the pit latrine is a 'catch-all' receptacle for household disposal of hazardous waste, including; (1) medical wastes (COVID-19 PPE, pharmaceuticals, placenta, used condoms), (2) pesticides and pesticide containers, (3) menstrual hygiene wastes (e.g., sanitary pads), and (4) electronic wastes (batteries). Pit latrines serve as hotspot reservoirs that receive, harbour, and then transmit the following into the environment; (1) conventional contaminants (nitrates, phosphates, pesticides), (2) emerging contaminants (pharmaceuticals and personal care products, antibiotic resistance), and (3) indicator organisms, and human bacterial and viral pathogens, and disease vectors (rodents, houseflies, bats). As greenhouse gas emission hotspots, pit latrines contribute 3.3 to 9.4 Tg/year of methane, but this could be an under-estimation. Contaminants in pit latrines may migrate into surface water, and groundwater systems serving as drinking water sources and pose human health risks. In turn, this culminates into the pit latrine-groundwater-human continuum or connectivity, mediated via water and contaminant migration. Human health risks of pit latrines, a critique of current evidence, and current and emerging mitigation measures are presented, including isolation distance, hydraulic liners/ barriers, ecological sanitation, and the concept of a circular bioeconomy. Finally, future research directions on the epidemiology and fate of contaminants in pit latrines are presented. The pit latrine paradox is not meant to downplay pit latrines' role or promote open defaecation. Rather, it seeks to stimulate discussion and research to refine the technology to enhance its functionality while mitigating pollution and health risks.

Response of Macrophyte Diversity in Coastal Lakes to Watershed Land Use and Salinity Gradient

Coastal lakes are subject to multiple stressors, among which land use, hydrological connectivity, and salinity have the greatest effect on their biodiversity. We studied the effects that various land cover types (CORINE) of coastal lake watersheds had on macrophyte diversity in ten coastal lakes along the southern Baltic coast as characterised by twelve phytocenotic indices: these being a number of communities, Shannon-Wiener diversity, evenness, and indices of taxonomic distinctiveness of plant communities: vegetation coverage; colonisation index; share of the phytolittoral area in the total lake area, as well as shares of nympheides, pondweeds, charophytes, marine, emerged and submerged communities in the total lake area. The effects were checked for three groups of lakes distinguished by differences in salinity-freshwater (F, 5), transitional (T, 4), and brackish (B, 1)-in which a total of 48 macrophyte communities were identified. The most abundant in aquatic phytocoenoses were lakes of T type. A partial least squares regression model (PLS-R) showed a stronger impact of land-use types in immediate vicinities and entire watersheds than the impact of physico-chemical properties of water on phytocenotic indices in the lakes. Macrophyte diversity was relatively low in urban and agricultural catchments and relatively high in forest and wetland areas. Agriculture had a negative impact on the number of macrophyte communities in F lakes and, in T lakes, on the number of macrophyte communities, biodiversity, evenness, and proportion of emerged, submerged, and marine communities. Urban areas contributed to lower values of evenness, vegetation coverage, and share of marine communities in F, but, in T, to lower the number of macrophyte communities, evenness, and proportion of submerged and marine communities. Our results confirm the significant impact of land use on macrophyte diversity in coastal aquatic ecosystems. Combined analysis of anthropogenic and natural descriptors is a prerequisite for analysing human threats to biodiversity in coastal lakes. Macrophyte community-based measures of biodiversity are sensitive indicators of anthropogenic impact on the ecological condition of coastal ecosystems.