Current Status and Future Directions of Treatment Deintensification in Human Papilloma Virus-associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Risk Stratification for Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Texture Analysis on CT - A Step Beyond HPV Status

Background and Purpose: Human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is increasingly prevalent. Despite the overall more favorable outcome, the observed heterogeneous treatment response within this patient group highlights the need for additional means to prognosticate and guide clinical decision-making. Promising prediction models using radiomics from primary OPSCC have been derived. However, no model/s using metastatic lymphadenopathy exist to allow prognostication in those instances when the primary tumor is not seen. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether radiomics using metastatic lymphadenopathy allows for the development of a useful risk assessment model comparable to the primary tumor and whether additional knowledge of the HPV status further improves its prognostic efficacy. Materials and Methods: 80 consecutive patients diagnosed with stage III-IV OPSCC between February 2009 and October 2015, known human papillomavirus status, and pre-treatment CT images were retrospectively identified. Manual segmentation of primary tumor and metastatic lymphadenopathy was performed and the extracted texture features were used to develop multivariate assessment models to prognosticate treatment response. Results: Texture analysis of either the primary or metastatic lymphadenopathy from pre-treatment enhanced CT images can be used to develop models for the stratification of treatment outcomes in OPSCC patients. AUCs range from .78 to .85 for the various OPSCC groups tested, indicating high predictive capability of the models. Conclusions: This preliminary study can form the basis multi-centre trial that may help optimize treatment and improve quality of life in patients with OPSCC in the era of personalized medicine.

Survival Outcomes Related to Treatment Modalities in Patients With Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

More patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) in Eastern countries receive surgically inclusive treatment (SIT), while most patients in Western countries receive nonsurgical treatment (NST). The optimal treatment modality for OPSCC patients remains controversial.

METHODS

A total of 153 consecutive OPSCC cases diagnosed between 2009 and 2019 in West China Hospital (WCH) and 15,400 OPSCC cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000-2017) were obtained. Clinical characteristics, treatments, and survival outcomes were retrospectively collected. We constructed Kaplan-Meier curves and performed univariate (UVA) and multivariate (MVA) analyses to compare the prognosis of OPSCC patients among the WCH, SEER Asian, and SEER all ethnic populations by different treatment modality, human papilloma virus (HPV) infection status, age, and tumor stage.

RESULTS

Overall, the proportions of patients with younger age, advanced tumors and HPV-negative status, and receiving SIT in WCH population were higher than those in the SEER all ethnic population, while the proportions in the SEER Asian population were between those of the other two populations. We observed consistent beneficial effects of SIT on the overall survival (OS) in OPSCC patients in all three populations (SEER Asian: MVA, hazard ratio (HR): 0.2, p < .001; SEER all ethnic: MVA, HR: 0.46, p < .001; WCH: UVA, HR: 0.62, p = .071), and HPV-negative Asian patients showed greater benefits from the SIT than HPV-positive Asian patients (HPV Negative: HR: 0.16, p = .005; HPV positive: HR = 0.28, p = .059). Male was a risk factor for reduced OS in OPSCC patients in the WCH population (HR: 3.17, p = .043), but was a protective factor in the SEER population (HR: 0.8, p = .002), which might be related to the differences of HPV infection status.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though differences in patient characteristics existed between the Chinese, American, and Asian American populations, our ten-year real-world data and SEER data suggested that patients with OPSCC who received SIT had a better prognosis than those who received NST.

Cisplatin overcomes radiotherapy resistance in OCT4-expressing head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Cisplatin is combined with radiotherapy for advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). While providing a beneficial effect on survival, it also causes side effects and thus is an important target when considering treatment de-escalation. Currently, there are no biomarkers to predict its patient-selective therapeutic utility. In this study, we examined the role of the stem cell factor OCT4 as a potential biomarker to help clinicians stratify HNSCC patients between radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

OCT4 immunohistochemical staining of a population-validated tissue microarray (PV-TMA) (n = 166) representative of a standard HNSCC patients was carried out, and 5-year survival was analyzed. The results were validated using ex vivo drug sensitivity analysis of HNSCC tumor samples, and further cross-validated in independent oropharyngeal (n = 118), nasopharyngeal (n = 170), and vulvar carcinoma (n = 95) clinical datasets. In vitro, genetically modified, patient-derived HNSCC cells were used.

RESULTS

OCT4 expression in HNSCC tumors was associated with radioresistance. However, combination therapy with cisplatin was found to overcome thisradioresistance in OCT4-expressing HNSCC tumors. The results were validated by using several independent patient cohorts. Furthermore, CRISPRa-based OCT4 overexpression in the HNSCC cell line resulted in apoptosis resistance, and cisplatin was found to downregulate OCT4 protein expression in vitro. Ex vivo drug sensitivity analysis of HNSCC tumors confirmed the association between OCT4 expression and cisplatin sensitivity.

CONCLUSION

This study introduces OCT4 immunohistochemistry as a simple and cost-effective diagnostic approach for clinical practice to identify HNSCC patients benefitting from radiosensitization by cisplatin using either full or reduced dosing.

Survey of radiation field and dose in human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer: is de-escalation actually applied in clinical practice?

Purpose

Studies on de-escalation in radiation therapy (RT) for human papillomavirus-positive (HPV(+)) oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) are currently ongoing. This study investigated the current practice regarding the radiation dose and field in the treatment of HPV(+) OPC.

Materials and Methods

The Korean Society for Head and Neck Oncology conducted a questionnaire on the primary treatment policy. Among them, for HPV(+) OPC scenarios, radiation oncologists were questioned regarding the field and dose of RT.

Results

Forty-two radiation oncologists responded to the survey. In definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) treatment for stage T2N1M0 OPC, most respondents prescribed a dose of >60 Gy to the primary tonsil and involved ipsilateral lymph nodes. However, eight of the respondents prescribed a relatively low dose of ≤54 Gy. For stage T2N1M0 OPC, postoperative adjuvant RT was prescribed by eight and nine respondents with a lower dose of ≤50 Gy for the ipsilateral tonsil and involved neck, respectively. In definitive CCRT in complete remission after induction chemotherapy for initial stage T2N3M0 OPC, de-escalation of the tonsil and involved neck were performed by eight and seven respondents, respectively. Regarding whether de-escalation is applied in radiotherapy for HPV(+) OPC, 27 (64.3%) did not do it at present, and 15 (35.7%) were doing or considering it.

Conclusion

The field and dose of prescribed treatment varied between institutions in Korea. Among them, dose de-escalation of RT in HPV(+) OPC was observed in approximately 20% of the respondents. Consensus guidelines will be set in the near future after the completion of ongoing prospective trials.

Radiotherapy dose-volume parameters predict facial lymphedema after concurrent chemoradiation for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background

To investigate risk factors for developing radiation-associated facial lymphedema (FL) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients after concurrent chemoradiation (CCRT).

Methods

Clinical data from 87 patients who underwent definitive CCRT for NPC in 2010–2018 was retrospectively evaluated. FL severity was graded using MD Anderson Cancer Center head and neck lymphedema rating scale. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the factors associated with the presence of moderate/severe FL (grade ≥ 2).

Results

At a median follow-up of 34 months (range, 18–96), 26/87 (29.9%) patients experienced grade ≥ 2 FL. A majority (84.6%) was experienced grade ≥ 2 FL 3–6 months after CCRT. Mean dose to the level IV, level I-VII neck node and N stage were significantly correlated with grade ≥ 2 FL at univariate analysis. At multivariate analysis, mean dose of level IV neck node (hazard ratio [HR], 1.238; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.084–1.414; p = 0.002) and level I-VII neck node (HR, 1.384; 95% CI = 1.121–1.708; p = 0.003) were independent predictors. Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve analysis showed that cut-off value of mean level IV neck node dose was 58.7 Gy (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.726; 95% CI = 0.614–0.839, p = 0.001) and mean level I-VII neck node dose was 58.6 Gy (AUC = 0.720; 95% CI = 0.614–0.826, p = 0.001) for grade ≥ 2 FL.

Conclusions

Keeping mean dose to the level IV and level I-VII below 58.7 Gy and 58.6 Gy may reduce the likelihood of moderate/severe FL after CCRT for NPC.

Development and Assessment of a Model for Predicting Individualized Outcomes in Patients With Oropharyngeal Cancer

IMPORTANCE

Recent insights into the biologic characteristics and treatment of oropharyngeal cancer may help inform improvements in prognostic modeling. A bayesian multistate model incorporates sophisticated statistical techniques to provide individualized predictions of survival and recurrence outcomes for patients with newly diagnosed oropharyngeal cancer.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a model for individualized survival, locoregional recurrence, and distant metastasis prognostication for patients with newly diagnosed oropharyngeal cancer, incorporating clinical, oncologic, and imaging data.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this prognostic study, a data set was used comprising 840 patients with newly diagnosed oropharyngeal cancer treated at a National Cancer Institute-designated center between January 2003 and August 2016; analysis was performed between January 2019 and June 2020. Using these data, a bayesian multistate model was developed that can be used to obtain individualized predictions. The prognostic performance of the model was validated using data from 447 patients treated for oropharyngeal cancer at Erasmus Medical Center in the Netherlands.

EXPOSURES

Clinical/oncologic factors and imaging biomarkers collected at or before initiation of first-line therapy.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Overall survival, locoregional recurrence, and distant metastasis after first-line cancer treatment.

RESULTS

Of the 840 patients included in the National Cancer Institute-designated center, 715 (85.1%) were men and 268 (31.9%) were current smokers. The Erasmus Medical Center cohort comprised 300 (67.1%) men, with 350 (78.3%) current smokers. Model predictions for 5-year overall survival demonstrated good discrimination, with area under the curve values of 0.81 for the model with and 0.78 for the model without imaging variables. Application of the model without imaging data in the independent Dutch validation cohort resulted in an area under the curve of 0.75. This model possesses good calibration and stratifies patients well in terms of likely outcomes among many competing events.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this prognostic study, a multistate model of oropharyngeal cancer incorporating imaging biomarkers appeared to estimate and discriminate locoregional recurrence from distant metastases. Providing personalized predictions of multiple outcomes increases the information available for patients and clinicians. The web-based application designed in this study may serve as a useful tool for generating predictions and visualizing likely outcomes for a specific patient.

Gastrostomy tube dependence and patient-reported quality of life outcomes based on type of treatment for human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis

We examined the impact of treatment modality on gastrostomy tube dependence and patient-reported outcomes in human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal cancer (HPV-OPSCC). We performed systematic review and meta-analysis of functional outcomes 1-3 years after treatment. Twenty-three studies were included, reporting on 3127 patients treated for HPV-OPSCC. Gastrostomy tube dependence failed to show statistically significant difference between surgery with adjuvant therapy and chemoradiotherapy with cisplatin at 12 months (8.3% [95% CI: 3.1-15.9] vs. 4.2% [1.1-9.2], p = 0.37) and 24-36 months (10.5% [95% CI: 3.2-21.5] vs. 3.3% [2.0-4.9], p = 0.06). Surgery with adjuvant therapy was associated with worse University of Washington Quality of Life (UW-QOL) Swallowing (84 [95% CI: 80-88] vs. 89 [87-90], p = 0.03) and UW-QOL Overall scores (76 [95% CI: 72-80] vs. 84 [81-86], p = 0.001) compared to chemoradiotherapy with cisplatin at 12 months. Surgery with adjuvant therapy was associated with worse performance on certain measures of patient-reported swallow and overall function compared to chemoradiotherapy with cisplatin. Further randomized controlled trials are needed to directly compare functional outcomes after treatment for HPV-OPSCC.

Comparing Outcomes for Patients with Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Type 16 versus Other High-Risk HPV Types in Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is related to improved treatment outcomes. What remains unclear is whether all HPV DNA genotypes carry similar prognostic relevance. We aimed to evaluate disease control and survival outcomes by HPV DNA genotype. Patients with primary OPSCC without distant metastases treated with curative intent were retrospectively identified from an IRB-approved institutional database. Patients that underwent HPV DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing with available genotype were included and dichotomized by the presence of HPV type 16 (HPV-16) or other high-risk HPV genotype (HPV-non16). Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional control (LRC) and distant control (DC) were determined using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. In our cohort of 193 patients treated from 2012 to 2018 with HPV DNA PCR, 10% were detected as HPV-non16 high-risk types. Patients with HPV-16 were significantly younger than those with HPV-non16, but no other baseline factors were associated with HPV-non16. With a median follow-up of 42.9 months, there were no significant differences in outcomes between the HPV-16 and HPV-non16 groups for 3-year OS (87.7% v. 73.6%), DFS (82.9% v. 68.7%), LRC (92.8% v. 88.5%) or DC (91% v. 89.2%). There is no statistically significant difference in outcomes between OPSCC with HPV-16 and HPV-non16 high-risk genotypes in our cohort, though trends of overall worse survival and disease-free survival in HPV-non 16 OPSCC were seen. Further studies with larger cohorts of patients with HPV-non 16-associated OPSCC are required to make definitive conclusions regarding the prognostic and clinical significance of HPV type.

Evaluation of prognostic biomarkers in a population-validated Finnish HNSCC patient cohort

Introduction

Prognostic biomarkers and novel therapeutic approaches have been slow to emerge in the treatment of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). In this study, an HNSCC patient cohort is created and performance of putative prognostic biomarkers investigated in a population-validated setting. The overall goal is to develop a novel way to combine biomarker analyses with population-level clinical data on HNSCC patients and thus to improve the carryover of biomarkers into clinical practice.

Materials and methods

To avoid selection biases in retrospective study design, all HNSCC patients were identified and corresponding clinical data were collected from the Southwest Finland geographical area. A particular emphasis was laid on avoiding potential biases in sample selection for immunohistochemical staining analyses. Staining results were evaluated for potential prognostic resolution.

Results

After comprehensive evaluation, the patient cohort was found to be representative of the background population in terms of clinical characteristics such as patient age and TNM stage distribution. A negligible drop-out of 1.3% (6/476) was observed during the first follow-up year. By immunohistochemical analysis, the role of previously implicated HNSCC biomarkers (p53, EGFR, p16, CIP2A, Oct4, MET, and NDFIP1) was investigated.

Discussion

Our exceptionally representative patient material supports the use of population validation to improve the applicability of results to real-life situations. The failure of the putative prognostic biomarkers emphasizes the need for controlling bias in retrospective studies, especially in the heterogenous tumor environment of HNSCC. The resolution of simple prognostic examination is unlikely to be sufficient to identify biomarkers for clinical practice of HNSCC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00405-021-06650-7.

Does HPV Subtype Predict Outcomes in Head and Neck Cancers?

Background

Recently, reanalysis of The Cancer Genome Atlas study demonstrated that human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes in head and neck cancers other than HPV-16 have inferior survival to HPV-16-positive tumors. We aimed to examine the association of HPV subtypes and survival in a large cohort of patient samples from our institution.

Methods

Fresh frozen primary site biopsy samples were collected either in clinic or at the time of surgery. Patient demographic, staging, and survival data were also collected. Tumors were tested for HPV subtypes by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results

280 patient biopsy samples were collected between 2011 and 2017. Mean ± standard deviation (SD) age was 61.9 ± 11.1 years and most patients (78%) were male. The majority of cancers were of the oral cavity (60%) or oropharynx (25%) and 30% had HPV-positive disease. Median follow-up was 3.76 years and 96/280 patients (34%) developed recurrences. Patients with p16-positive versus negative disease had significantly improved 5-year overall survival (OS, 77.6% vs. 53.3%; p=0.009) and progression-free survival (PFS, 67.3% vs. 41.0%, p=0.006). Similarly improved 5-year OS and PFS were observed for patients with HPV-positive versus negative disease (65.0% vs. 55.0%, p=0.084; 53.3% vs. 43.2%, p=0.072, resp.). Patients with HPV-16 compared to other HPV diseases had worse 5-year OS and PFS (62.1% vs. 88.9%, p=0.273; 49.0% vs. 88.9%, p=0.081, resp.).

Conclusions

In contrast to the data derived from The Cancer Genome Atlas, patients with HPV-16 tumors trended towards decreased PFS and OS compared with tumors driven by other HPV genotypes. Further larger multi-institutional studies are necessary to understand the relationship between other HPV genotypes and survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinomas.

National trends in oropharyngeal cancer incidence and survival within the Veterans Affairs Health Care System

BACKGROUND

Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) epidemiology has not been examined previously in the nationwide Veterans Affairs (VA) population.

METHODS

Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to OPSCC cases identified from VA administrative data from 2000 to 2012.

RESULTS

We identified 12 125 OPSCC cases (incidence: 12.2 of 100 000 persons). OPSCC incidence declined between 2000 and 2006 (annual percent change [APC] = -4.27, P < .05), then increased between 2006 and 2012 (APC = 7.02, P < .05). Significant incidence increases occurred among white (APC = 7.19, P < .05) and African American (APC = 4.87, P < .05) Veterans and across all age cohorts. The percentage of never-smokers increased from 8% in 2000 to 15.7% in 2012 (P < .001), and 2-year overall survival improved from 31.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) [30-33.4]) to 55.7% (95% CI [54.4-57.1]).

CONCLUSIONS

OPSCC incidence is increasing across all racial and age cohorts in the VA population. Smoking rates remain high among Veterans with OPSCC and gains in survival lag those reported in the general population.

Determination of high-risk HPV status of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma using the Roche cobas HPV test on cytologic specimens and acellular supernatant fluid

BACKGROUND

High-risk human papillomavirus-positive (hrHPV+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas comprise a subset of head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs) with a distinct biology and prognosis. Commonly, the diagnosis of HNSCC is rendered on fine-needle aspiration (FNA). Because cell blocks may be insufficient for determining HPV status using microscopy-based techniques, the ability of liquid-based assays was examined in the current study.

METHODS

The performance of the Roche cobas 4800 platform was evaluated on the FNA material from the cell pellet and corresponding cell-free supernatant fluid specimens of primary and metastatic HNSCCs. These results were compared with the p16 immunostain result from the histologic material obtained from the same patient. Discrepant cases were adjudicated using hrHPV RNA in situ hybridization.

RESULTS

A total of 41 samples (23 primary tumors and 18 lymph node metastases) were acquired from 34 patients with HNSCC. Primary tumors included the oropharynx (20 samples), oral cavity (13 samples), larynx (3 samples), and skin (3 samples). In 2 cases, a primary tumor could not be identified. Twenty-three samples (56%) were found to be p16 positive by immunohistochemistry. Twenty-two samples were found to be positive on cobas hrHPV testing from both cell pellet and cell-free supernatant fluid. Two cell-free supernatant fluid specimens yielded indeterminate cobas results. At the time additional hrHPV RNA in situ hybridization analysis was performed, one cobas-positive cell pellet was deemed to be a false-positive result. The sensitivity of the cobas assay was 100% for pellet material and cell-free supernatant fluid, with specificities of 94.7% and 100%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

cobas hrHPV testing of HNSCC specimens demonstrated high concordance with p16 immunohistochemistry on the corresponding cell block and/or tissue specimen. Using the cell-free supernatant fluid in this platform could provide accurate HPV results while conserving material for cytomorphologic analyses.

Machine Learning Prediction of Extracapsular Extension in Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether machine learning (ML) can predict the presence of extracapsular extension (ECE) prior to treatment, using common oncologic variables, in patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective database review.

SETTING

National Cancer Database study.

METHODS

All patients with HPV-associated OPSCC treated surgically between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2015, were selected from the National Cancer Database. Patients were excluded if surgical pathology reports did not include information regarding primary tumor stage, number of metastatic regional lymph nodes, size of largest metastatic regional lymph node, and tumor grade. The data were split into a random distribution of 80% for training and 20% for testing with ML methods.

RESULTS

A total of 3753 adults with surgically treated HPV-associated OPSCC met criteria for inclusion in the study. Approximately 38% of these patients treated with surgical management demonstrated ECE. ML models demonstrated modest accuracy in predicting ECE, with the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.58 to 0.68. The conditional inference tree model (0.66) predicted the metastatic lymph node number to be the most important predictor of ECE.

CONCLUSION

Despite a large cohort and the use of ML algorithms, the power of clinical and oncologic variables to predict ECE in HPV-associated OPSCC remains limited.

Factors associated with HPV testing in oropharyngeal cancer in the National Cancer Data Base from 2013 to 2015

OBJECTIVES

Given the recent treatment deintensification clinical trials for Human Papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal cancer, College of American Pathologists recommendation for HPV-testing of all oropharyngeal cancers and treatment disparities in head and neck cancer, determining factors related to HPV testing are exceedingly pertinent.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used the National Cancer Data Base, accounting for 70% of new cancer diagnoses. To reduce the heterogeneity due to the recent recommendation of HPV-testing, we used squamous cell oropharyngeal cancer patients from 2013 to 2015. We only used patients that have either reported HPV testing and non-testing (30.5% of the sample). We used a chi-square test to compare the factors among tested and untested patients and calculated the prevalence ratio for not tested to those tested with Poisson regression. As a sensitivity analysis, we used a fully Conditional Specification implemented by the MICE algorithm to impute missing variables.

RESULTS

Of the 24,241 oropharyngeal cancer patients with HPV testing data, 12% were not been tested for HPV. Across the study period, integrated network and low-volume hospitals had the lowest proportion of HPV testing from 2013 to 2015. In a multivariable analysis, compared to patients with private insurance, Medicaid (PR: 1.82; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.63-2.02) and uninsured (PR: 1.75; 95% CI: 1.52-2.01) patients were more likely not to be tested for HPV. We saw similar results in the imputed dataset, in which 12.5% of patients were not tested.

CONCLUSIONS

This heterogeneity in testing is significant, given potential de-intensification of treatment for HPV-positive cancer. Future research should examine interventions in non-academic low-volume to ensure equitable treatment for all.

Plasma Circulating Tumor HPV DNA for the Surveillance of Cancer Recurrence in HPV-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer

PURPOSE

Plasma circulating tumor human papillomavirus DNA (ctHPVDNA) is a sensitive and specific biomarker of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). We investigated whether longitudinal monitoring of ctHPVDNA during post-treatment surveillance could accurately detect clinical disease recurrence.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A prospective biomarker clinical trial was conducted among patients with nonmetastatic HPV-associated (p16-positive) OPSCC. All patients were treated with curative-intent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Patients underwent a 3-month post-CRT positron emission tomography/computed tomography scan and were thereafter clinically evaluated every 2-4 months (years 1-2), then every 6 months (years 3-5). Chest imaging was performed every 6 months. Blood specimens were collected every 6-9 months for analysis of plasma ctHPVDNA using a multianalyte digital polymerase chain reaction assay. The primary endpoint was to estimate the negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) of ctHPVDNA surveillance.

RESULTS

One hundred fifteen patients were enrolled, and 1,006 blood samples were analyzed. After a median follow-up time of 23 months (range, 6.1-54.7 months), 15 patients (13%) developed disease recurrence. Eighty-seven patients had undetectable ctHPVDNA at all post-treatment time points, and none developed recurrence (NPV, 100%; 95% CI, 96% to 100%). Twenty-eight patients developed a positive ctHPVDNA during post-treatment surveillance, 15 of whom were diagnosed with biopsy-proven recurrence. Sixteen patients had 2 consecutively positive ctHPVDNA blood tests, 15 of whom developed biopsy-proven recurrence. Two consecutively positive ctHPVDNA blood tests had a PPV of 94% (95% CI, 70% to 99%). Median lead time between ctHPVDNA positivity and biopsy-proven recurrence was 3.9 months (range, 0.37-12.9 months).

CONCLUSION

Detection of ctHPVDNA in two consecutive plasma samples during post-treatment surveillance has high PPV and NPV for identifying disease recurrence in patients with HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer and may facilitate earlier initiation of salvage therapy.

Radiotherapy versus transoral robotic surgery and neck dissection for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (ORATOR): an open-label, phase 2, randomised trial

BACKGROUND

Transoral robotic surgery (TORS) with concurrent neck dissection has supplanted radiotherapy in the USA as the most common treatment for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), yet no randomised trials have compared these modalities. We aimed to evaluate differences in quality of life (QOL) 1 year after treatment.

METHODS

The ORATOR trial was an investigator-initiated, multicentre, international, open-label, parallel-group, phase 2, randomised study. Patients were enrolled at six hospitals in Canada and Australia. We randomly assigned (1:1) patients aged 18 years or older, with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scores of 0-2, and with T1-T2, N0-2 (≤4 cm) OPSCC tumour types to radiotherapy (70 Gy, with chemotherapy if N1-2) or TORS plus neck dissection (with or without adjuvant chemoradiotherapy, based on pathology). Following stratification by p16 status, patients were randomly assigned using a computer-generated randomisation list with permuted blocks of four. The primary endpoint was swallowing-related QOL at 1 year as established using the MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory (MDADI) score, powered to detect a 10-point improvement (a clinically meaningful change) in the TORS plus neck dissection group. All analyses were done by intention to treat. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01590355) and is active, but not currently recruiting.

FINDINGS

68 patients were randomly assigned (34 per group) between Aug 10, 2012, and June 9, 2017. Median follow-up was 25 months (IQR 20-33) for the radiotherapy group and 29 months (23-43) for the TORS plus neck dissection group. MDADI total scores at 1 year were mean 86·9 (SD 11·4) in the radiotherapy group versus 80·1 (13·0) in the TORS plus neck dissection group (p=0·042). There were more cases of neutropenia (six [18%] of 34 patients vs none of 34), hearing loss (13 [38%] vs five [15%]), and tinnitus (12 [35%] vs two [6%]) reported in the radiotherapy group than in the TORS plus neck dissection group, and more cases of trismus in the TORS plus neck dissection group (nine [26%] vs one [3%]). The most common adverse events in the radiotherapy group were dysphagia (n=6), hearing loss (n=6), and mucositis (n=4), all grade 3, and in the TORS plus neck dissection group, dysphagia (n=9, all grade 3) and there was one death caused by bleeding after TORS.

INTERPRETATION

Patients treated with radiotherapy showed superior swallowing-related QOL scores 1 year after treatment, although the difference did not represent a clinically meaningful change. Toxicity patterns differed between the groups. Patients with OPSCC should be informed about both treatment options.

FUNDING

Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute Grant (#701842), Ontario Institute for Cancer Research Clinician-Scientist research grant, and the Wolfe Surgical Research Professorship in the Biology of Head and Neck Cancers grant.

Tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte quantification stratifies early-stage human papillomavirus oropharynx cancer prognosis

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

To evaluate if a simple method for assessing tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) in primary tumor specimens improves the prognostic value of the American Joint Committee on Cancer, 8th Edition (AJCC8) cancer staging system in human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV-OPC).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study.

METHODS

In this study, TIL density was quantified on hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained specimens from patients presenting to Johns Hopkins Hospital between 2009 and 2017 who underwent primary surgical therapy and had primary tumor specimens available for analysis. The prognostic effect of TIL density was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models considering recurrence-free survival (RFS) as the primary outcome.

RESULTS

This study included 132 patients. Ninety-five percent were classified by clinical criteria with AJCC8 early-stage disease (stage I: 82%, stage II: 13%). After 84 months of follow-up, 15 recurrences were observed. Among clinically early-stage disease, TIL_high status was associated with improved RFS compared to TIL_low (P = .002). Adjusted analysis showed TIL_high status was associated with 79% lower risk of recurrence than TIL_low (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.210, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.061-0.723). In clinical stage I disease, TIL_high status was associated with improved RFS compared to TIL_low in both univariate and multivariate analyses (hazard ratio: 0.235, P = .021; aHR: 0.218; 95% CI: 0.058-0.822). TIL density similarly stratified risk in pathologically staged disease.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AJCC8 stage I disease, low TIL density was associated with diminished RFS. Our data suggest that assessing TIL density on H&E-stained primary tumor specimens may enhance the prognostic resolution of the AJCC8 staging criteria for HPV-OPC.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 130:930-938, 2020.

Individualized survival prediction for patients with oropharyngeal cancer in the human papillomavirus era

BACKGROUND

Accurate, individualized prognostication in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is vital for patient counseling and treatment decision making. With the emergence of human papillomavirus (HPV) as an important biomarker in OPSCC, calculators incorporating this variable have been developed. However, it is critical to characterize their accuracy prior to implementation.

METHODS

Four OPSCC calculators were identified that integrate HPV into their estimation of 5-year overall survival. Treatment outcomes for 856 patients with OPSCC who were evaluated at a single institution from 2003 through 2016 were analyzed. Predicted survival probabilities were generated for each patient using each calculator. Calculator performance was assessed and compared using Kaplan-Meier plots, receiver operating characteristic curves, concordance statistics, and calibration plots.

RESULTS

Correlation between pairs of calculators varied, with coefficients ranging from 0.63 to 0.90. Only 3 of 6 pairs of calculators yielded predictions within 10% of each other for at least 50% of patients. Kaplan-Meier curves of calculator-defined risk groups demonstrated reasonable stratification. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.74 to 0.80, and concordance statistics ranged from 0.71 to 0.78. Each calculator demonstrated superior discriminatory ability compared with clinical staging according to the seventh and eighth editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging manual. Among models, the Denmark calculator was found to be best calibrated to observed outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Existing calculators exhibited reasonable estimation of survival in patients with OPSCC, but there was considerable variability in predictions for individual patients, which limits the clinical usefulness of these calculators. Given the increasing role of personalized treatment in patients with OPSCC, further work is needed to improve accuracy and precision, possibly through the identification and incorporation of additional biomarkers.

Incidence of second primary cancers after radiotherapy combined with platinum and/or cetuximab in head and neck cancer patients

PURPOSE

The second primary cancer (SPC) incidence after treatment with platinum-based chemotherapy and cetuximab in combination with radiotherapy has not been previously reported. Our aim was to compare SPC risk following radiotherapy in combination with these agents for the treatment of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

The charts of 296 cases treated for loco-regionally advanced HNSCC between 2009 and 2015 were retrospectively reviewed for patient, tumor, and procedural characteristics. All patients were planned to undergo radiotherapy either with platinum compounds (group: Platinum) or monoclonal antibody cetuximab (group: Cetuximab). A third group of patients switched from platinum compounds to cetuximab due to toxicity (group: Switch). Treatment groups were evaluated for the incidence of SPC with log-rank test. Possible confounders were investigated with multivariate Cox's proportional hazards model. All tests were two-sided, and a p < 0.05 was set to indicate statistical significance.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 36 months. Platinum, Cetuximab, and Switch groups consisted of 158, 101, and 37 patients, respectively. Three-year overall survival in the whole cohort was 70%. The rate of SPC was comparable between Platinum (9.2%) and Cetuximab (11.5%) groups (p = 0.98), whereas the patients in the Switch group were exposed to a significantly higher incidence of SPC (23.3%) in 3 years (p = 0.01). The multivariate model indicated Switch to be the only variable correlating with an increased risk for SPC.

CONCLUSIONS

The Switch strategy may expose the patients to an increased risk of developing SPC. The use of switch should be advocated with caution until robust pre-clinical and clinical data are available.

Postoperative (chemo) radiation in patients with squamous cell cancers of the head and neck - clinical results from the cohort of the clinical cooperation group "Personalized Radiotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer"

BACKGROUND

Postoperative (chemo) radiation improves tumor control and survival in high-risk patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma based on established risk factors. The clinical cooperation group "Personalized Radiotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer" focuses on the identification and validation of new biomarkers, which are aimed at eventually stratifying and personalizing the therapy concept. Hence, we reviewed all patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity, oropharynx, hypopharynx, or larynx, treated with postoperative (chemo) radiation from 06/2008 until 06/2015 at the Department of Radiation Oncology in the University Hospital, LMU Munich. Here we report the clinical results of the cohort, laying the foundation for further research within the framework of a clinical cooperation group.

METHODS

Patient data were retrospectively (until 2013) and prospectively (from 2013) collected and analyzed for outcome and treatment failures with regard to previously described and established risk factors.

RESULTS

We identified 302 patients (median follow-up 45 months, average age 60.7 years), having received postoperative (chemo)radiation (median 64 Gy). Chemotherapy was added in 58% of cases, mostly Cisplatin/5- Fluorouracil in concordance with the ARO 96-3 study. The 3-year overall survival, local, locoregional and distant failure estimates were 70.5, 9.7, 12.2 and 13.5%, respectively. Human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal cancer was associated with a significant improved overall survival, locoregional, distant and overall tumor control rates in multivariate analysis. Additionally, in multivariate analysis, for local failure, resection status and perineural invasion, for locoregional and distant failure extracapsular extension and for overall survival the presence of nodal disease were significant adverse factors. Moreover, 138 patients have been treated in concordance with the ARO 96-3 protocol, corroborating the results of this study.

CONCLUSIONS

Our cohort represents a large unselected cohort of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with postoperative (chemo)radiation. Tumor control rates and survival rates are consistent with the results of previously reported data.