Liver disease is an independent predictor of poor 30-day outcomes following surgery for degenerative disease of the cervical spine

A novel nomogram based on preoperative parameters to predict posthepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Posthepatectomy liver failure is one of the main causes of death in patients after hepatectomy. This study intends to establish a prediction model to predict the risk of posthepatectomy liver failure and provide a scientific basis for further reducing the incidence of posthepatectomy liver failure.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of 1,172 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing partial hepatectomy. Using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses and stepwise regression, a prediction model for posthepatectomy liver failure was established based on the independent risk factors for posthepatectomy liver failure and validated by bootstrapping with 100 resamples, and the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of the prediction model.

RESULTS

The incidence rate of posthepatectomy liver failure was 22.7% (266/1172). The results showed that the indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes (odds ratio = 1.05, P = .002), alanine transaminase (odds ratio = 1.02, P < .001), albumin rate (odds ratio = 0.92, P < .001), total bilirubin (odds ratio = 1.04, P < .001), prothrombin time (odds ratio = 2.44, P < .001), aspartate aminotransferase-neutrophil ratio (odds ratio = 0.95, P < .001), and liver fibrosis index (odds ratio = 1.35, P < .001) were associated with posthepatectomy liver failure. These 7 independent risk factors for posthepatectomy liver failure were integrated into a nomogram prediction model, the predictive efficiency for posthepatectomy liver failure (area under the curve = 0.818, 95% confidence interval 0.789-0.848) was significantly higher than in other predictive models with a liver fibrosis index (area under the curve = 0.651), indocyanine green R15 (area under the curve = 0.669), albumin-bilirubin score (area under the curve = 0.709), albumin-indocyanine green evaluation score (area under the curve = 0.706), model for end-stage liver disease score (area under the curve = 0.636), and Child‒Pugh (area under the curve = 0.551) (all P < .001). The risk of posthepatectomy liver failure in the high-risk posthepatectomy liver failure group (score ≥152) was higher than that in the posthepatectomy liver failure low-risk group (score <152).

CONCLUSION

This study developed and validated a nomogram model to predict the risk of posthepatectomy liver failure before surgery that can effectively predict the risk of posthepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis increase morbidity in geriatric patients treated surgically for hip fractures: analysis of the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis on inpatient outcomes of geriatric hip fracture surgery.

Materials and methods

Using population-based retrospective study design, this study extracted data from the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database 2005–2014, identifying patients aged ≥ 65 years undergoing hip fracture repair. Main outcomes were in-hospital mortality, any/specific complications, non-routine discharge, extended length of stay (LOS) and hospital costs. Associations between cirrhosis, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and outcomes were determined using regression analysis.

Results

Data of 347,363 hip fracture patients included 344,035 without liver disease, 1257 with non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and 2,071 with cirrhosis. After adjustments, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease was significantly associated with non-routine discharge (OR: 1.247, 95% CI: 1.038–1.498), acute kidney injury (OR: 1.266, 95% CI: 1.039–1.541), extended LOS (OR: 1.285, 95% CI: 1.122–1.473) and hospital costs (beta: 9173.42, 95% CI: 6925.9–11,420.95) compared to no liver disease; while cirrhosis was significantly associated with higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR: 2.325, 95% CI: 1.849–2.922), any complication (OR: 1.295, 95% CI: 1.143–1.467), acute kidney injury (OR: 1.242, 95% CI: 1.177–1.433), non-routine discharge (OR: 1.650, 95% CI: 1.412–1.928), extended LOS (OR: 1.405, 95% CI: 1.263–1.562) and hospital costs (beta: 6680.24, 95% CI: 4921.53–8438.95) compared to no liver disease.

Conclusion

In geriatric hip fracture patients undergoing surgical repair, non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease and cirrhosis independently predict non-routine discharge, acute kidney injury, prolonged LOS and greater hospital costs, and cirrhosis is also significantly associated with greater risk of any complication and in-hospital mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02832-y.

Thrombocytopenia Associated with Unrecognized Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Is an Independent Predictor of Perioperative Significant Blood Loss in Cervical Laminoplasty

OBJECTIVE

To identify risk factors for significant blood loss (SBL) in cervical laminoplasty, especially regarding thrombocytopenia and coagulopathy resulting from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated differences in patient background data, laboratory data at the time of admission, and surgery-related data of 317 patients who underwent cervical laminoplasty and were divided into SBL (estimated blood loss [EBL] + drainage [D] ≥500 g) and non-SBL (EBL + D < 500 g) groups. To evaluate liver status, we used the fibrous 4 index and considered fibrous 4 index ≥1.85 as a representative phenotype for NAFLD with liver fibrosis. In addition, the risk factor for perioperative SBL was investigated using multiple logistic regression analysis, and the cutoff value was calculated.

RESULTS

Incidence of perioperative SBL in cervical laminoplasty was 7.3% (23/317). Compared with the non-SBL group, the SBL group demonstrated significantly lower platelet count (PLT), lower aspartate aminotransferase, longer operation time, and greater number of opened laminae. According to multivariate analysis, lower PLT and a greater number of opened laminae were identified as significant risk factors for perioperative SBL. The cutoff value of PLT for predicting SBL was determined to be 16.7 × 10⁴/μL using a receiver operating characteristic curve. The liver fibrosis group revealed significantly lower PLT and greater EBL + D than the non-liver fibrosis group.

CONCLUSIONS

Thrombocytopenia is an independent predictor of perioperative SBL in cervical laminoplasty. Thus, patients with mild thrombocytopenia that may be associated with NAFLD must be carefully monitored to avoid perioperative SBL.

Predictive factors of the 30-day mortality after surgery for spinal metastasis: Analysis of a nationwide database

BACKGROUND

Surgical procedure for symptomatic spinal metastasis is expected to improve the quality of life. Factors related to short-term perioperative mortality after surgery for spinal metastasis may be different from those related to long-term mortality, which have classically been used to determine the indication for surgery. The purposes of this study were to evaluate factors related to the 30-day mortality after surgery for spinal metastasis and create an integer risk scoring system.

METHODS

Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database from 2010 to 2016, we extracted data of patients who underwent surgical procedure for spinal metastasis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to clarify the association between patient backgrounds and the 30-day postoperative mortality. We created a risk scoring system using regression coefficients to estimate the 30-day mortality for each patient.

RESULTS

Among 3524 patients, the 30-day mortality was 2.6%. Factors associated with a higher 30-day mortality were male sex (odds ratio, 2.50 [95% confidence interval, 1.45-4.31]), emergency admission (1.80 [1.11-2.92]), rapid growth tumors (3.83 [2.49-5.90]), and non-skeletal metastasis (2.27 [1.42-3.64]). In patients with the maximum risk score of five, the 30-day mortality was 16.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

Factors related to the 30-day mortality were male sex, emergency admission, rapid growth tumors, and non-skeletal metastasis. These findings provide spine surgeons and patients knowledge of the potential risk of short-term perioperative mortality and allow them to consider the risk of surgery.

Risk Prediction Models for Post-Operative Mortality in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk of postoperative mortality. Currently available tools to predict postoperative risk are suboptimally calibrated and do not account for surgery type. Our objective was to use population-level data to derive and internally validate cirrhosis surgical risk models.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated with Liver Disease (VOCAL) cohort, which contains granular data on patients with cirrhosis from 128 U.S. medical centers, merged with the Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) to identify surgical procedures. We categorized surgeries as abdominal wall, vascular, abdominal, cardiac, chest, or orthopedic and used multivariable logistic regression to model 30-, 90-, and 180-day postoperative mortality (VOCAL-Penn models). We compared model discrimination and calibration of VOCAL-Penn to the Mayo Risk Score (MRS), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium MELD-Na, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores. We identified 4,712 surgical procedures in 3,785 patients with cirrhosis. The VOCAL-Penn models were derived and internally validated with excellent discrimination (30-day postoperative mortality C-statistic = 0.859; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.809-0.909). Predictors included age, preoperative albumin, platelet count, bilirubin, surgery category, emergency indication, fatty liver disease, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, and obesity. Model performance was superior to MELD, MELD-Na, CTP, and MRS at all time points (e.g., 30-day postoperative mortality C-statistic for MRS = 0.766; 95% CI, 0.676-0.855) in terms of discrimination and calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

The VOCAL-Penn models substantially improve postoperative mortality predictions in patients with cirrhosis. These models may be applied in practice to improve preoperative risk stratification and optimize patient selection for surgical procedures (www.vocalpennscore.com).

Risk factors for in-hospital mortality after spine surgery: a matched case-control study using a multicenter database

BACKGROUND/CONTEXT

It is yet unclear what preoperative and intraoperative factors affect mortality after spine surgery.

PURPOSE

To identify the preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for in-hospital mortality after spine surgery using a matched case-control study based on a multicenter database.

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

A retrospective matched case-control study based on a registry of prospectively collected multicenter data.

PATIENT SAMPLE

We identified 25 patients who died in the hospital (the mortality group) from the 26,604 patients in the database who underwent spine surgery at our 27 affiliated institutions between 2012 and 2018. An age-, sex-, spinal disease-, and surgical procedure-matched control group of patients (n=100, 4:1 ratio with the mortality group) was selected from the same database.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Data relating to comorbidities, preoperative blood tests, operative factors, and perioperative complications.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all the medical records of each patient in the two groups to nullify the effects of overt risk factors such as age, sex, diseases, and surgical procedures. Risk factors for in-hospital mortality were initially evaluated by univariate analysis. Then, multivariate logistic regression models were generated to analyze independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 0.09% (25/26,604). Mortality was lowest in patients with degenerative cervical (0.04%, 2/5,027) or lumbar disease (0.03%, 5/15,630). In contrast, mortality was highest in patients with dialysis-related spondyloarthropathy (3.0%, 3/99), patients with infectious spondylodiscitis (1.5%, 6/401), and patients with metastatic spinal tumors (0.9%, 3/334). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that massive intraoperative hemorrhage (>2 L) (odds ratio [OR], 28.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.27-349), preoperative renal comorbidity (OR, 4.33; 95% CI, 1.38-13.6), and elevated preoperative aspartate aminotransferase levels (OR, 1.51 per 10 units; 95% CI, 1.04-2.20) were risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Spine surgery for patients with dialysis-dependency, infectious diseases or metastatic tumors had much more potential of in-hospital mortality compared with those for patients with degenerative diseases. Massive intraoperative hemorrhage and preoperative renal and liver comorbidities were identified as risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients who underwent spine surgery.

Complications after spinal fixation surgery for osteoporotic vertebral collapse with neurological deficits: Japan Association of Spine Surgeons with ambition multicenter study

BACKGROUND

There have been few reports on the incidence and risk factors of the complications after spinal fixation surgery for osteoporotic vertebral collapse (OVC) with neurological deficits. This study aimed to identify the incidence and risk factors of the complications after OVC surgery.

METHODS

In this retrospective multicenter study, a total of 403 patients (314 women and 89 men; mean age 73.8 years) who underwent spinal fixation surgery for OVC with neurological deficits between 2005 and 2014 were enrolled. Data on patient demographics were collected, including age, sex, body mass index, smoking, steroid use, medical comorbidities, and surgical procedures. All postoperative complications that occurred within 6 weeks were recorded. Patients were classified into two groups, namely, complication group and no complication group, and risk factors for postoperative complications were investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Postoperative complications occurred in 57 patients (14.1%), and the most common complication was delirium (5.7%). In the univariate analysis, the complication group was found to be older (p = 0.039) and predominantly male (p = 0.049), with higher occurrence rate of liver disease (p = 0.001) and Parkinson's disease (p = 0.039) compared with the no-complication group. In the multivariate analysis, the significant independent risk factors were age (p = 0.021; odds ratio [OR] 1.051, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.007-1.097), liver disease (p < 0.001; OR 8.993, 95% CI 2.882-28.065), and Parkinson's disease (p = 0.009; OR 3.636, 95% CI 1.378-9.599).

CONCLUSIONS

Complications after spinal fixation surgery for OVC with neurological deficits occurred in 14.1%. Age, liver disease, and Parkinson's disease were demonstrated to be independent risk factors for postoperative complications.

30-Day unplanned surgery in cervical spondylotic myelopathy surgically treated: a single-center experience

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

Analyze the rate and risk factors associated with Unplanned Surgeries (US) during the first 30 days in patients treated for cervical spondylotic myelopathy.

BACKGROUND

US are often regarded as a potentially useful quality of care indicator.

METHODS

We defined US as any, non-planned, surgical procedure as a complication after "index" surgery. Demographic data, comorbidities, ASA, smoking status, surgical details and postoperative complications were collected. We conducted a subjective outcome test using the Global Outcome Score (GOS). To assess risk factors, a bivariate analysis was performed using T Student or Chi-square. Risk is shown as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Multivariable logistic regression models with bootstrap resampling procedure were performed.
 RESULTS: The study included 303 patients (200 men) with mean age of 57.7 years (27-86) and mean follow-up of 75.35 months (16-126 m). 63.3% patients were ASA 1 or 2 and 41.9% were smokers. 77.9% of patients had some comorbidity. Anterior approach surgeries were 65.7%. Perioperative complications: 29% medical, 8.9% intraoperative and 3% implant related. US rate was 2.6%. Causes for revision were postoperative infection or deep hematomas. After bivariate analysis, the risk factors associated were diabetes mellitus (OR 2.6; 95% CI 1-5.5) and intraoperative complications (OR 6.5, 95% CI 1-40). The presence of US does not have influence in satisfaction using GOS score.

CONCLUSIONS

Our US rate was 2.6%, similar to the literature. Diabetics and patients suffering an intraoperative complication are more likely to need an early reinterventions (OR 2.2 and 6.5, respectively). US did not alter the patient's outcomes. These slides can be retrieved under Electronic Supplementary Material.