Adjuvant surgical decision-making system for lumbar intervertebral disc herniation after percutaneous endoscopic lumber discectomy: a retrospective nonlinear multiple logistic regression prediction model based on a large sample

A fully automatic MRI-guided decision support system for lumbar disc herniation using machine learning

Background

Normalized decision support system for lumbar disc herniation (LDH) will improve reproducibility compared with subjective clinical diagnosis and treatment. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) plays an essential role in the evaluation of LDH. This study aimed to develop an MRI-based decision support system for LDH, which evaluates lumbar discs in a reproducible, consistent, and reliable manner.

Methods

The research team proposed a system based on machine learning that was trained and tested by a large, manually labeled data set comprising 217 patients' MRI scans (3255 lumbar discs). The system analyzes the radiological features of identified discs to diagnose herniation and classifies discs by Pfirrmann grade and MSU classification. Based on the assessment, the system provides clinical advice.

Results

Eventually, the accuracy of the diagnosis process reached 95.83%. An 83.5% agreement was observed between the system's prediction and the ground-truth in the Pfirrmann grade. In the case of MSU classification, 95.0% precision was achieved. With the assistance of this system, the accuracy, interpretation efficiency and interrater agreement among surgeons were improved substantially.

Conclusion

This system showed considerable accuracy and efficiency, and therefore could serve as an objective reference for the diagnosis and treatment procedure in clinical practice.

Morphological changes after open lumbar microdiscectomy at 2-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

It is known that a possible decrease in disc height (DH) and foraminal size after open lumbar microdiscectomy (OLM) may cause pain in the long term. However, there is still insufficient information about the short- or long-term pathoanatomical and morphological effects of microdiscectomy. For example, the exact temporal course of the change in DH is not well known.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to examine morphological changes in DH and foramen dimensions after OLM.

METHODS

In patients who underwent OLM for single-level lumbar disc herniation, MRI scans were obtained before surgery, and at an average of two years after surgery. In addition to DH measurements, foraminal area (FA), foraminal height (FH), superior foraminal width (SFW), and inferior foraminal width (IFW), were measured bilaterally.

RESULTS

A postoperative increase in DH was observed at all vertebral levels, with an average of 5.5%. The mean right FHs were 15.3 mm and 15.7 mm before and after surgery, respectively (p= 0.062), while the left FHs were 14.8 mm and 15.8 mm before and after surgery (p= 0.271). The mean right SFW was 5.4 mm before surgery and 5.7 mm after surgery, while the mean right IFW ranged from 3.6 mm to 3.9 mm. The mean left SFW was 4.8 mm before surgery and 5.2 mm after surgery, while the mean left IFW ranged from 3.5 mm to 3.9 mm. Before surgery, the FAs were, on average, 77.1 mm2 and 75.6 mm2 on the right and left sides, respectively. At the 2-year follow-up, the mean FAs were 84.0 mm2 and 80.2 mm2 on the right and left sides, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to prevalent belief, in patients who underwent single-level unilateral OLM, we observed that there may be an increase rather than a decrease in DH or foramen size at the 2-year follow-up. Our findings need to be confirmed by studies with larger sample sizes and longer follow-ups.

Machine Learning Predicts Recurrent Lumbar Disc Herniation Following Percutaneous Endoscopic Lumbar Discectomy

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES

To develop machine learning (ML) models to predict recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) following percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy (PELD).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 1159 patients who had undergone single-level PELD for lumbar disc herniation (LDH) between July 2014 to December 2019 at our institution. Various preoperative imaging variables and demographic metrics were brought in analysis. Student's t test and Chi-squared test were applied for univariate analysis, which were feature selection for ML models. We established ML models to predict rLDH: Artificial neural networks (ANN), Extreme Gradient Boost classifier (XGBoost), KNeighborsClassifier (KNN), Decision tree classifier (Decision Tree), Random forest classifier (Random Forest), and support vector classifier (SVC).

RESULTS

A total 130 patients (11.22%) were diagnosed as rLDH in 1159 patients. Recurrence occurred within 10.25 ± 11.05 months. Body mass index (BMI) (P = .027), facet orientation (FO) (P < .001), herniation type (P = .012), Modic changes (P = .004), and disc calcification (P = .013) are significant factors in univariate analysis (P < .05). Extreme Gradient Boost classifier, Random Forest, ANN showed fine area under the curve, .9315, .9220, and .8814 respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed a deep learning and 2 ensemble models with fine performance in prediction of rLDH following PELD. Predicting re-herniation before surgery has the potential to optimize decision-making and meaningfully decrease the rates of rLDH following PELD. Our ML model identified higher BMI, lower FO, Modic changes, disc calcification in a non-protrusive region, and herniation type (noncontained herniation) as significant features for predicting rLDH.

Novel Modic grading scoring system and its clinical validation: a preliminary investigation

PURPOSE

To propose a novel Modic grading scoring system and explore the relationship between the Modic grading score and disc degeneration, disc herniation, disc height, and clinical symptom scores.

METHOD

In total, 194 patients were included in the study. The new Modic grading scoring system included four indicators: invaded vertebral height, invaded endplate length, endplate morphology, and grade of endplate defects. The severity of Modic changes was visually quantified by numerical scores, and the kappa value was used to verify the interobserver and intraobserver reliability. Spearman correlation analysis was used to explore the relationship between the Modic grading score and intervertebral disc degeneration, disc herniation, disc height, and clinical symptom scores.

RESULTS

The interobserver and intraobserver reliability showed substantial to almost perfect agreement in the new Modic grading scoring system. The Modic grading score was positively correlated with intervertebral disc degeneration (r = 0.757, p < 0.001) and negatively correlated with the intervertebral disc height index (r = - 0.231, p < 0.001). There was no significant correlation between the Modic grading scoring system and disc herniation (r = 0.369, p = 0.249). Additionally, there was no significant correlation between the Modic grading score and the Japanese Orthopaedic Association score (r = - 0.349, p = 0.25), Oswestry Disability Index score (r = 0.246, p = 0.11), or visual analogue scale score (r = 0.315, p = 0.35).

CONCLUSION

The new Modic grading scoring system had good interobserver and intraobserver reliability. The Modic grading score was positively correlated with intervertebral disc degeneration and negatively correlated with the intervertebral disc height.

How to spot the recurring lumbar disc? Risk factors for recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) in adult patients with lumbar disc prolapse: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Despite a fast-growing evidence-base examining the relationship of certain clinical and radiological factors such as smoking, BMI and herniation-type with rLDH, there remains much debate around which factors are clinically important. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify risk factors for recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) in adults after primary discectomy. A systematic literature search was carried out using Ovid-Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane library and Web of Science databases from inception to 23rd June-2022. Observational studies of adult patients with radiologically-confirmed rLDH after ≥3 months of the initial surgery were included, and their quality assessed using the Quality-In-Prognostic-Studies (QUIPS) appraisal tool. Meta-analyses of univariate and multivariate data and a sensitivity-analysis for rLDH post-microdiscectomy were performed. Twelve studies (n=4497, mean age:47.3; 34.5% female) were included, and 11 studies (n=4235) meta-analysed. The mean follow-up was 38.4 months. Mean recurrence rate was 13.1% and mean time-to-recurrence was 24.1 months (range: 6-90 months). Clinically, older age (OR:1.04, 95%CI:1.00-1.08, n=1014), diabetes mellitus (OR:3.82, 95%CI:1.58-9.26, n=2330) and smoking (OR:1.80, 95%CI:1.03- 3.14, n=3425) increased likelihood of recurrence. Radiologically, Modic-change type-2 (OR:7.93, 95%CI:5.70-11.05, n=1706) and disc extrusion (OR:12.23, 95%CI:8.60-17.38, n=1706) increased likelihood of recurrence. The evidence did not support an association between rLDH and sex; BMI; occupational labour/driving; alcohol-consumption; Pfirmann- grade, or herniation-level. Older patients, smokers, patients with diabetes, those with type-2 Modic-changes or disc extrusion are more likely to experience rLDH. Higher quality studies with robust adjustment of confounders are required to determine the clinical bearing of all other potential risk factors for rLDH.

Moderate to Severe Multifidus Fatty Atrophy is the Risk Factor for Recurrence After Microdiscectomy of Lumbar Disc Herniation

OBJECTIVE

We attempted to investigate the potential risk factors of recurrent lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) after tubular microdiscectomy.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients who underwent tubular microdiscectomy. The clinical and radiological factors were compared between the patients with and without rLDH.

RESULTS

This study included 350 patients with lumbar disc herniation (LDH) who underwent tubular microdiscectomy. The overall recurrence rate was 5.7% (20 of 350). The visual analogue scale (VAS) score and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) at the final follow-up significantly improved compared with those preoperatively. There was no significant difference in the preoperative VAS score and ODI between the rLDH and non-rLDH groups, while the leg pain VAS score and ODI of the rLDH group were significantly higher than those of the non-rLDH group at final follow-up. This suggested that rLDH patients had a worse prognosis than non-rLDH patients even after reoperation. There were no significant differences in sex, age, body mass index, diabetes, current smoking and drinking, disc height index, sagittal range of motion, facet orientation, facet tropism, Pfirrmann grade, Modic changes, interdisc kyphosis, and large LDH between the 2 groups. Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that rLDH was associated with hypertension, multilevel microdiscectomy, and moderate-severe multifidus fatty atrophy (MFA). A multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that MFA was the sole and strongest risk factor for rLDH after tubular microdiscectomy.

CONCLUSION

Moderate-severe MFA was a risk factor for rLDH after tubular microdiscectomy, which can serve as an important reference for surgeons in formulating surgical strategies and the assessment of prognosis.

Development, validation, and visualization of a web-based nomogram to predict the effect of tubular microdiscectomy for lumbar disc herniation

Objective

The purpose of this study was to retrospectively collect the relevant clinical data of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) patients treated with the tubular microdiscectomy (TMD) technique, and to develop and validate a prediction model for predicting the treatment improvement rate of TMD in LDH patients at 1 year after surgery.

Methods

Relevant clinical data of LDH patients treated with the TMD technology were retrospectively collected. The follow-up period was 1 year after surgery. A total of 43 possible predictors were included, and the treatment improvement rate of the Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) score of the lumbar spine at 1 year after TMD was used as an outcome measure. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to screen out the most important predictors affecting the outcome indicators. In addition, logistic regression was used to construct the model, and a nomogram of the prediction model was drawn.

Results

A total of 273 patients with LDH were included in this study. Age, occupational factors, osteoporosis, Pfirrmann classification of intervertebral disc degeneration, and preoperative Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) were screened out from the 43 possible predictors based on LASSO regression. A total of 5 predictors were included while drawing a nomogram of the model. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) value of the model was 0.795.

Conclusions

In this study, we successfully developed a good clinical prediction model that can predict the effect of TMD for LDH. A web calculator was designed on the basis of the model (https://fabinlin.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/).

A 9-year retrospective cohort of patients with lumbar disc herniation: Comparison of patient characteristics and recurrence frequency by smoking status

To evaluate the association between smoking status and patient characteristics and to identify risk factors associated with recurrence in patients who underwent surgery for lumbar disc herniation (LDH). This retrospective study was carried out at Lokman Hekim University, Ankara, Turkey between January 1, 2021 and January 1, 2022. The medical data of patients who underwent microsurgical discectomy for LDH were retrospectively recorded. Patients with any reemergence of LDH within a 6-month period after surgery were defined as having recurrent LDH. A total of 1109 patients were included in the study and mean age was 50.7 ± 14.3 years. The frequency of hernia at L2-L3 and L3-L4 levels was higher in the nonsmoker group (P < .001). The frequency of cases with Pfirrmann Grade 4 degeneration was higher in the nonsmoker group than in smokers and ex-smokers (P < .001). Protrusion-type hernias were more common in nonsmokers (P = .014), whereas paracentral hernias were more common in smokers (P < .001). The overall frequency of recurrence was 20.4%, and was higher in smokers than in non-smokers and ex-smokers (P < .001). Multivariable logistic regression revealed that current smoking (OR: 2.778, 95% CI [confidence interval]: 1.939-3.980, P < .001), presence of Pfirrmann Grade 4&5 disc degeneration (OR: 4.217, 95% CI: 2.966-5.996, P < .001), and paracentral herniation (OR: 5.040, 95% CI: 2.266-11,207, P < .001) were associated with higher risk of recurrence, whereas presence of sequestrated disc was associated with lower risk of recurrence (OR: 2.262, 95% CI:0.272-0.717, P = .001). Taken together, our data show that smoking, increased degree of degeneration and paracentral hernia increase the risk of LDH recurrence, while sequestrated disc appears to decrease risk. Taking steps to combat smoking in individuals followed for LDH may reduce the risk of recurrence in LDH patients.

Effects of Enhanced Recovery Rehabilitation Surgery Concepts on the Surgical Process, Postoperative Pain, Complications, and Prognosis of Discectomy in Patients with Lumbar Disc Herniation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) disease degree on lumbar discectomy and to explore the relationship between the degree of intervertebral disc disease and postoperative pain score changes.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive search in China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Data, PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane database, and other databases, obtained all relevant studies as of April 2017, and then followed strict inclusion and exclusion criteria. Standard screening was performed on the retrieved literature. We extract and analyze key data using Review Manager 5.3 software. Pooled effects were calculated by mean difference or odds ratio and 95% confidence interval analysis, depending on data attributes.

Results

Various databases were searched for the results of papers from lumbar discectomy since April 2017 to April 2022. Nine papers from 2502 patients were selected. The average overall follow-up was 52 weeks. There were statistically significant reductions in postoperative pain scores and degree of disc disease. There was a significant correlation between the reduction in pain score after discectomy and the degree of disc disease (r = 0.73, 95%CI = 0.01-1.20, p = 0.005).

Conclusions

Decreased disc disease grade is one of the reasons for the lower back pain score after discectomy. Furthermore, region-dependent economic factors must be considered before developing a treatment strategy. Larger, well-defined randomized controlled trials are needed to further confirm these results.

A retrospective comparative study of local anesthesia only and local anesthesia with sedation for percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy

It is still an unsolved problem to achieve both immediate intraoperative feedback and satisfactory surgical experience in percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy under local anesthesia for lumbar disk herniation (LDH) patients. Herein, we compared the analgesic and sedative effects of local anesthesia alone and local anesthesia with conscious sedation in LDH patients during percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy. Ninety-two LDH patients were enrolled and divided into the following groups: control group (Con Group), dexmedetomidine group (Dex Group), oxycodone group (Oxy Group), and dexmedetomidine + oxycodone group (Dex + Oxy Group). Various signs, including mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate (HR), pulse oximeter oxygen saturation (SpO₂) and Ramsay score, were compared before anesthesia (T1), working cannula establishment (T2), nucleus pulposus removal (T3), and immediately postoperation (T4). Clinical outcomes, including VAS score, operation time, hospitalization period, Macnab criteria, and SF-36 score, were also evaluated. The Dex + Oxy Group showed the most stable MAP and HR at T2 and T3 in all groups. The clinical outcomes, such as VAS, hospitalization period, Macnab criteria, and SF-36 score, have no significant differences among groups (p > 0.05). Local anesthesia combined with conscious sedation is a safe and effective method to improve the surgical experience and achieve satisfying clinical outcomes for LDH patients during percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy.

Percutaneous Endoscopic Lumbar Discectomy for Lumbar Disc Herniation With Type II Modic Changes

BACKGROUND

Percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy (PELD) has become a favorable surgical approach for lumbar radiculopathy caused by intervertebral disc herniation. Studies have revealed patients with type II Modic change may suffer from unrelieved low back pain and higher lumbar disc herniation (LDH) recurrence after herniated nucleus pulposus removal. Therefore, in this study, we aim to evaluate how PELD performed in management of LDH patients with type II Modic change.

METHODS

We collected 267 single-level LDH cases aged 20-50 yearswho underwent PELD from December 2016 to December 2019. The mean follow-up time was 26.3 months (range: 12-48 months). The visual analog scale (VAS), Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), and MacNab scores, as well as the recurrence rate, were analyzed pre- and post-surgery, as well as at the time points of 3 months, 12 months, and the final follow-up time after surgery. The clinical outcomes in LDH patients with or without type II Modic change who underwent PELD were thoroughly analyzed.

RESULTS

Within the 267 LDH patients enrolled, 145 cases present Modic signals, among which 3 are type I and 142 are type II. The VAS and ODI scores of the patients in the 2 groups at different follow-up times were significantly lower than those before surgery. The excellent and good MacNab scores in the control group and Modic type II change group were 87.0% and 82.1%, respectively. However, with the extension of follow-up time, the VAS and ODI scores, as well as the recurrence rate, were found to be higher in the type II Modic change group when compared with those in the non-Modic change group.

CONCLUSIONS

PELD performed well in management of LDH patients. However, we need to pay more attention to the continuous low back pain and the recurrence possibility in the cases with type II Modic change. In these cases, longer brace support or other interventions could be applied.