Preoperative platelet to lymphocyte ratio predicts outcome of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after pancreatic resection

Usefulness of the C-Reactive Protein (CRP)-Albumin-Lymphocyte (CALLY) Index as a Prognostic Indicator for Patients With Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

The C-reactive protein (CRP)-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index is a novel immune nutrition scoring system associated with cancer prognosis. This study investigated the association between the CALLY index and the long-term outcomes of patients with gastric cancer.

METHODS

We included 175 patients with gastric cancer who underwent curative gastrectomies at the Department of Surgery, International University of Health and Welfare Hospital between January 2011 and October 2019. The CALLY index was calculated based on the levels of serum albumin, serum CRP, and peripheral lymphocyte count. Utilizing both univariate and multivariate analyses, the prognostic value of the CALLY index was investigated.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analyses, disease stage (hazard ratio [HR], 7.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.31-18.6; P < .01), microvascular invasion (HR, 2.88; 95% CI, 1.30-6.36; P < .01), and low CALLY index (HR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.00-4.76; P = .05) were independent and significant predictors of disease-free survival. Low body mass index (HR, 4.15; 95% CI, 1.63-10.6; P < .01), advanced disease stage (HR, 8.22; 95% CI, 3.47-19.5; P < .01), and low CALLY index (HR, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.3-6.93; P = .01) were independent and significant predictors of overall survival. The low CALLY index group had a lower body mass index (P < .01), advanced disease stage (P < .01), and a higher Glasgow prognostic score (P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

The CALLY index may be associated with a poor prognosis for gastric cancer, highlighting the utility of a comprehensive assessment using inflammatory, nutritional, and immunological statuses.

Changes in Skeletal Muscle Volume During Preoperative Chemotherapy Affect the Outcome of Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the effects of changes in clinicopathological factors during preoperative chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer, including skeletal muscle volume, on recurrence and prognosis after pancreatectomy.

METHODS

Data from 41 patients who underwent resection for pancreatic cancer after preoperative chemotherapy from 2012 to 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Skeletal muscle volume was substituted for the psoas muscle area (PMA) at the level of the third lumbar vertebra. We investigated the relationship of clinicopathological factors during preoperative chemotherapy with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). The association between clinicopathological factors and a decrease in PMA was investigated.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analyses for DFS and OS, the factors associated with recurrence were as follows: decrease in PMA (P = 0.003) and the absence of adjuvant therapy (P = 0.03), and the factors associated with poor prognosis were as follows: decrease in PMA (P = 0.04) and the absence of adjuvant therapy (P = 0.008), and the resectability of borderline resectable and unresectable-locally advanced tumors (P = 0.033). All patients with partial response according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1) had no decrease in PMA (P = 0.01). The proportion of patients with Evans classification ≥ II was significantly higher in the group without a decrease in PMA (P = 0.02). The proportion of patients with an average relative dose intensity of adjuvant therapy ≥0.6 was significantly higher in the group without a decrease in PMA (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Changes in preoperative skeletal muscle volume during preoperative chemotherapy for pancreatic cancer is a potential predictor of recurrence and prognosis after pancreatectomy.

Prognostic factors based on histological categorization of desmoplastic reactions in pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

In colorectal cancer, the morphological categorization of fibrotic cancer stroma in the invasive frontal zone of the primary tumor is well reflected in the prognosis. Conversely, the histological characteristics of pancreatic cancer (PC) reveal fibrotic hyperplasia of stroma known as desmoplasia; however, its characterization is unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the prognostic factors according to the histological categorization of desmoplastic reactions in PC.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 167 patients who underwent curative resection for PC. The desmoplastic pattern was histologically classified as mature, intermediate, or immature. Clinicopathological features were evaluated, and disease-free and overall survival (OS) were analyzed in the three groups. Prognostic factors were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

In total, 19 mature, 87 intermediate, and 61 immature desmoplastic patterns were evaluated. Jaundice decompression, white blood cell count, and platelet/lymphocyte ratio were significantly different among the groups. The mature group had a better disease-free survival (DFS) prognosis than the other two groups; however, OS did not differ between the groups. Desmoplastic patterns showed significant differences between the three groups for DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Desmoplastic patterns are a prognostic factor of DFS for PC, with mature desmoplastic reactions associated with good prognosis. Thus, they may aid in individualized therapeutic approaches in patients with PC.

The prognostic role of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

This systematic review and meta-analysis examined whether the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) can serve as an indicator for predicting the prognosis of patients with resectable pancreatic cancer.

Patients and Methods

This meta-analysis was registered with PROSPERO: CRD42023461260. A systematic literature search was conducted in the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science databases up to September 2023 to assess whether LMR can predict the prognosis of patients with resectable pancreatic cancer. The outcomes measured included subgroup analyses of overall survival (OS) with hazard ratios (HR) and confidence intervals of geographical region, patient population, and LMR threshold. A sensitivity analysis was also performed for OS and HR and confidence intervals were calculated for recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

A total of 14 eligible articles, comprising 4,019 patients, were included in the comprehensive analysis. The results of this comprehensive analysis indicate that LMR is a robust predictor of OS, demonstrating strong prognostic significance (HR = 0.55, 95% CI [0.44-0.69], I2 = 79%, P < 0.00001). This predictive significance extended to various types of pancreatic cancer, such as pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (HR = 0.73, 95% CI [0.57-0.93], I2 = 46%, P = 0.01), pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (HR = 0.81, 95% CI [0.66-0.99], P = 0.04) and other subtypes (HR = 0.40, 95% CI [0.22-0.72], I2 = 89%, P < 0.00001), but not to pancreatic head cancer (HR = 0.46, 95% CI [0.16-1.13], I2 = 59%, P = 0.12). LMR retained its predictive value across different regions, including Asia (HR = 0.62, 95% CI [0.47-0.76], I2 = 68%, P < 0.0001), Europe (HR = 0.78, 95% CI [0.67-0.91], I2 = 0%, P = 0.002), and the Americas (HR = 0.14, 95% CI [0.08-0.24], I2 = 0%, P < 0.00001). Notably, both LMR cut-off values greater than or equal to three (HR = 0.62, 95% CI [0.47-0.82], I2 = 67%, P = 0.0009) and less than three (HR = 0.47, 95% CI [0.32-0.69], I2 = 85%, P = 0.0001) exhibited prognostic significance. The sensitivity analysis for OS confirmed the strong predictive value of LMR, whereas LMR did not exhibit predictive significance for RFS (HR = 0.35, 95% CI [0.09-1.32], I2 = 95%, P = 0.12). In both subgroups categorized by Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) scores of ≥7 (HR = 0.66, 95% CI [0.54-0.80], I2 = 53%, P = 0.04) and <7 (HR = 0.41, CI [0.23-0.72], I2 = 89%, P < 0.00001), LMR was demonstrated to have predictive value.

Conclusion

Despite the observed heterogeneity and potential biases in the included studies, the findings of this study suggest that LMR may serve as a valuable predictor of OS in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer.

Osteosarcopenia is a significant predictor of recurrence and the prognosis after resection for extrahepatic bile duct cancer

PURPOSE

This study examined the impact of osteosarcopenia on recurrence and the prognosis after resection for extrahepatic biliary tract cancer (EBTC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 138 patients after resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (11), distal cholangiocarcinoma (54), gallbladder carcinoma (30), or ampullary carcinoma (43). Osteosarcopenia is defined as the concomitant occurrence of osteopenia and sarcopenia. We investigated the relationship between osteosarcopenia and the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Osteosarcopenia was identified in 38 patients (27.5%) before propensity score (PS) matching. In the multivariate analysis, the independent recurrence factors were the prognostic nutrition index (p = 0.015), osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma (p = 0.004), perineural invasion (p = 0.002), and non-curability (p = 0.008), whereas the independent prognostic factors were prognostic nutrition index (p = 0.030), osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma (p = 0.007), lymphatic invasion (p = 0.018), and non-curability (p = 0.004). After PS matching, there was no significant difference in the variables between the patients with and without osteosarcopenia (n = 34 each). The 5-year DFS and OS after PS matching in patients with osteosarcopenia were significantly worse than in patients without osteosarcopenia (17.6% vs. 38.8%, p = 0.013 and 20.6% vs. 57.4%, p = 0.0005, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative osteosarcopenia could predict the DFS and OS of patients after resection for EBTC.

The postoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts the outcome of patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic head cancer

PURPOSE

The preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been reported as an important prognostic index for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC); however, the significance of the postoperative (post-op) PLR for this disease has not been elucidated.

METHODS

We analyzed data on 118 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic head PDAC, collected from a prospectively maintained database. The post-op PLR was obtained by dividing the platelet count after surgery by the lymphocyte count on post-op day (POD) 14. The patients were divided into two groups according to a post-op PLR of < 310 or ≥ 310. Survival data were analyzed.

RESULTS

A high post-op PLR was identified as a significant prognostic index on univariate analysis for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). The post-op PLR remained significant, along with tumor differentiation and adjuvant chemotherapy, on multivariate analysis for OS (hazard ratio = 2.077, 95% confidence interval: 1.220-3.537; p = 0.007). The post-op PLR was a significant independent prognostic index for poor DFS, along with tumor differentiation and lymphatic invasion, on multivariate analysis (hazard ratio = 1.678, 95% confidence interval: 1.056-2.667; p = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

The post-op PLR in patients with pancreatic head PDAC was an independent predictor of DFS and OS after elective resection.

A comprehensive review on immune checkpoint inhibitors induced cardiotoxicity characteristics and associated factors

Newly approved cancer drugs called ICIs have shown remarkable success in improving patient survival rates, but they also have the potential for inflammatory and immune-related side effects, including those affecting the cardiovascular system. Research has been conducted to understand the development of these toxicities and identify risk factors. This review focuses on the characteristics of ICI-induced cardiotoxicity and discusses the reported risk factors. It is important for cardio-oncologists to understand the basic concepts of these drugs to better understand how cardiotoxicities occur. It might be hard to find reports, where all patients treated with ICIs had developed cardiac toxicity, because there could be other existing and variable factors that influence the likelihood or risk of developing cardiotoxicity during treatment. Various clinical parameters have been explored as potential risk factors, and further investigation is needed through large-scale studies.

The Impact of Fibrinogen to Prognostic Nutritional Index Rate on Prognosis of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the ratio of serum fibrinogen to prognostic nutritional index (PNI; Fbg/PNI) in patients undergoing resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

A total of 140 patients who had undergone resection for pancreatic cancer were included. Patients were divided into two groups according to a Fbg/PNI ≥8.8 or <8.8. Survival data were analyzed using the log-rank test for univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazards for multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Fbg/PNI was a significant prognostic indicator in univariate analysis for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Fbg/PNI retained significance in multivariate analysis for OS (hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-2.77; P < .01) in addition to tumor differentiation and nodal involvement. Fbg/PNI was a significant independent prognostic indicator of poor DFS on multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-2.26; P = .03).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative Fbg/PNI is a novel significant independent prognostic indicator for OS and DFS following resection of pancreatic cancer with curative intent.

The Role of Preoperative Inflammatory Markers in Pancreatectomy: a Norwegian Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Preoperative inflammatory markers, such as Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, were shown to be associated with prognosis in patients undergoing pancreatectomy for cancer. However, little is known about their predictive role in a Western population.

METHODS

The Norwegian National Registry for Gastrointestinal Surgery (NORGAST) was used to capture all pancreatectomies performed within the study period (November 2015-April 2021). The association between the preoperative inflammatory markers and postoperative outcomes was studied. Their impact on survival was examined in patients operated for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

RESULTS

A total of 1554 patients underwent pancreatectomy in this period. Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio were associated with severe complications (Accordion grade ≥ III) in the univariable but not in the multivariable analysis. C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, but not Glasgow prognostic score and modified Glasgow prognostic score, was linked to survival following pancreatectomy for ductal adenocarcinoma. In the multivariable model, age, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, ECOG score, C-reactive protein to albumin ratio and total pancreatectomy correlated with survival. Also, preoperative C-reactive protein to albumin ratio was significantly associated with survival after pancreatoduodenectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative Glasgow prognostic score, modified Glasgow prognostic score and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio have no role in predicting the complications after pancreatectomy. C-reactive protein to albumin ratio is a significant predictor for survival in ductal adenocarcinoma, yet its clinical relevance should be explored in conjunction with the pathology parameters and adjuvant therapy.

The modified lymphocyte C-reactive protein score is a promising indicator for predicting 3-year mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures are common in elderly patients, and almost all the patients undergo surgery. This study aimed to develop a novel modified lymphocyte C-reactive protein (CRP) score (mLCS) to simply and conveniently predict 3-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing intertrochanteric fracture surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on elderly patients who underwent intertrochanteric fracture surgery between January 2014 and December 2017. The mLCS was developed according to the value of CRP and lymphocyte counts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for 3-year mortality after surgery. The performances of the lymphocyte CRP score (LCS) and mLCS to predict 3-year mortality were then compared using C-statistics, decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

A total of 291 patients were enrolled, of whom 52 (17.9%) died within 3 years after surgery. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, mLCS (hazard ratio (HR), 5.415; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.743-16.822; P = 0.003) was significantly associated with postoperative 3-year mortality. The C-statistics of LCS and mLCS for predicting 3-year mortality were 0.644 and 0.686, respectively. The NRI (mLCS vs. LCS, 0.018) and IDI (mLCS vs. LCS, 0.017) indicated that the mLCS performed better than the LCS. DCA also showed that mLCS had a higher clinical net benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

mLCS is a promising predictor that can simply and conveniently predict 3-year mortality in elderly patients undergoing intertrochanteric fracture surgery.

The predictive value of perioperative circulating markers on surgical complications in patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of postoperative complications was associated with poor outcomes for patients undergoing robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy. A prediction model with easily accessible indices could provide valuable information for surgeons. This study aims to identify novel predictive circulating biomarkers significantly associated with surgical complications.

METHODS

We consecutively assessed all multiport robotic-assisted radical prostatectomies performed between 2021 and 2022. The clinicopathological factors and perioperative levels of multiple circulating markers were retrospectively obtained from the included patients. The associations of these indices with Clavien-Dindo grade II or greater complications, and surgical site infection were assessed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression models. Further, the models were validated for the overall performance, discrimination, and calibration.

RESULTS

In total, 229 patients with prostate cancer were enrolled in this study. Prolonged operative time could independently predict surgical site infection (OR, 3.39; 95% CI, 1.09-10.54). Higher RBC (day 1-pre) implied lower risks of grade II or greater complications (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.07-0.76) and surgical site infection (OR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.07-0.78). Additionally, RBC (day 1-pre) independently predicted grade II or greater complications of obese patients (P value = 0.005) as well as those in higher NCCN risk groups (P value = 0.012). Regarding the inflammatory markers, NLR (day 1-pre) (OR, 3.56; 95% CI, 1.37-9.21) and CRP (day 1-pre) (OR, 4.16; 95% CI, 1.69-10.23) were significantly associated with the risk of grade II or greater complications, and both the indices were independent predictors in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups (P value < 0.05). The NLR (day 0-pre) could also predict the occurrence of surgical site infection (OR, 5.04; 95% CI, 1.07-23.74).

CONCLUSIONS

The study successfully identified novel circulating markers to assess the risk of surgical complications. Postoperative increase of NLR and CRP were independent predictors for grade II or greater complications, especially in those with higher Gleason score, or in higher NCCN risk groups. Additionally, a marked decrease of RBC after the surgery also indicated a higher possibility of surgical complications, especially for the relatively difficult procedures.

Prognostic Impact of the Preoperative Systemic Inflammation Score in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUD

The systemic inflammation score (SIS), which is based on the preoperative lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and serum albumin (Alb) level, is a prognostic indicator for several cancer types. However, the prognostic significance of the SIS in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains unknown.

METHODS

Seventy-eight patients who underwent radical surgery for PDAC were categorized as follows: SIS 0 (LMR ≥3.51 and Alb ≥4.0 g/dl), n = 26; SIS 1 (LMR <3.51 or Alb <4.0 g/dl), n = 29 and SIS 2 (LMR <3.51 and Alb <4.0 g/dl), n=23.

RESULTS

The tumour size sequentially increased in SIS 0, 1 and 2 groups. A higher SIS was associated with increased vascular invasion, perineural invasion and surgical margin positivity rate. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates between the SIS 1 and 2 groups showed no significant difference However, patients of the SIS 1 and 2 groups had poorer outcomes than those of the SIS 0 group for RFS. Overall survival (OS) rates between the SIS 1 and 2 groups also showed no significant difference. However, patients of the SIS 1 and 2 groups had poorer outcomes than those of the SIS 0 group for OS. The SIS was an independent prognostic factor for RFS and OS.

DISCUSSION

The SIS is a simplified prognostic factor for patients with PDAC.

The impact of C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index on the prognosis of patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma following pancreaticoduodenectomy

Aim

The C-reactive protein (CRP)-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index is a novel inflammation-based biomarker, which has been associated with long-term outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. We aimed to investigate whether the CALLY index can predict the prognosis for distal cholangiocarcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Methods

The study comprised 143 patients who had undergone primary pancreaticoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma between 2002 to 2019. The CALLY index was defined as (albumin × lymphocyte)/ (CRP × 104). We investigated the association of CALLY index with disease-free survival and overall survival by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Eighty-seven (61%) patients had a preoperative CALLY index <3.5. In multivariate analysis, obstructive jaundice drainage (P < .01), poorly differentiated tumor (P < .01), and CALLY index<3.5 (P = .02) were independent predictors of disease-free survival, while obstructive jaundice drainage (P < .01), poorly differentiated tumor (P < .01), and CALLY index <3.5 (P = .02) were independent predictors of overall survival.

Conclusion

The CALLY index may be an independent and significant indicator of poor long-term outcomes in patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy, suggesting the importance of comprehensive assessment for inflammatory status.

Factors independently associated with prognosis in patients operated for pancreatic cancer: Assessing the role of various parameters including red cell distribution width, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio

Objective: We aimed to assess whether, among other parameters, preoperative red cell distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) values were associated with prognosis in patients operated for pancreatic cancer (PC). Material and Method: This retrospective cohort was conducted from February 1, 2016 to February 1, 2021 at the general surgery department of a university hospital in Turkey. A total of 75 patients histologically diagnosed with PC who had undergone surgery were included in the study. Results: The PLR values of patients with poorly differentiated and undifferentiated tumors were found to be higher than those with moderately and highly differentiated tumors. Also, there was a significant relationship between PLR values and the length of hospital stay. PLR values increased as the length of hospital stay increased. There was a statistically significant positive correlation between CA 19-9 levels and NLR and PLR. High total bilirubin level was related with increased risk of death, while adjuvant chemotherapy recipients had 4.049-fold lower risk of death than those without adjuvant chemotherapy. Conclusion: Our results indicate that preoperative NLR, PLR and RDW cannot be used as prognostic indicators of mortality in patients with operated PC, but high PLR appears to be associated with lower level of tumor differentiation and prolonged hospital stay. We also found that high total bilirubin was a poor prognostic factor, while adjuvant chemotherapy was a good prognostic factor. Further multicenter, prospective studies with larger sample sizes will help to verify these results.

Challenges and Opportunities Associated With Platelets in Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the digestive system with a poor prognosis. Accordingly, better understanding of the molecular mechanisms and innovative therapies are warranted to improve the prognosis of this patient population. In addition to playing a crucial role in coagulation, platelets reportedly contribute to the growth, invasion and metastasis of various tumors, including pancreatic cancer. This narrative review brings together currently available evidence on the impact of platelets on pancreatic cancer, including the platelet-related molecular mechanisms of cancer promotion, pancreatic cancer fibrosis, immune evasion, drug resistance mechanisms, thrombosis, targeted platelet therapy, combined radiotherapy and chemotherapy treatment, platelet combined with nanotechnology treatment and potential applications of pancreatic cancer organoids. A refined understanding of the role of platelets in pancreatic cancer provides the foothold for identifying new therapeutic targets.

High Measures of Pre-Chemoradiotherapy Platelet-to-Albumin Ratio Indicates Poor Prognosis in Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Patients

Purpose

In a lack of similar research, we meant to retrospectively investigate the prognostic significance of pre-chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT) platelet-to-albumin ratio (PAR) on the survival results of locally advanced unresectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma (LAPC) patients.

Patients and Methods

The present analysis included 139 LAPC patients who received C-CRT in total. The utility of pre-C-CRT cutoff(s) reshaping survival data was explored using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary and secondary objectives were the associations between PAR levels and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) outcomes.

Results

At a median follow-up of 15.7 months (95% CI: 11.6–19.8), the overall cohort’s median and 5-year OS rates were 14.4 months (95% CI: 11.8–17) and 14.7%, respectively, while the corresponding PFS rates were 7.8 months (95% CI: 6.5–9.1) and 11.2%. Because the ROC curve analysis found 4.9 as the optimal PAR cutoff for both OS and PFS [area under the curve (AUC): 75.4%; sensitivity: 72.4%; specificity: 70.3%], we divided the patients into two PAR cohorts: PAR<4.9 (N=60) and PAR≥4.9 (N=79). Comparative analysis per PAR group exhibited significantly worse OS (11.2 vs 18.6 months, and 9.8% vs 20.9% at 5 years, P=0.003) and DFS (7 vs 14.3 months, and 7.6% vs 16.2% at 5 years, P=0.001) with PAR≥4.9 versus PAR<4.9, respectively. In multivariate analysis, the N0 nodal status, CA 19–9≤90 U/mL, and PAR<4.9 were found to be independent predictors of improved OS and PFS.

Conclusion

The pre-C-CRT high PAR (≥4.9) robustly and independently prognosticated significantly worse OS and PFS results in inoperable LAPC patients who underwent definitive C-CRT.

Clinical Implication of Preoperative C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio in Malignant Transformation of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm: A Propensity Score Analysis

Background: Inflammation-based scoring has been reported to be useful for predicting the recurrence and prognosis of various carcinomas. This study retrospectively investigated the relationship between inflammation-based score and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Methods: Between January 2013 and October 2018, we enrolled 417 consecutive patients with pancreatic tumors who received surgical resections at our hospital. The main outcome was the association between the preoperative inflammation-based score and their accuracy in predicting malignant transformation of IPMN. Results: Seventy six patients were eligible. Pathological findings indicated that 35 patients had low-grade dysplasia, 18 had high-grade dysplasia, and 23 had invasive carcinomas. As the C-reactive protein albumin ratio (CAR) was higher, malignant transformation of IPMNs also increased (p = 0.007). In comparing CAR^high and CAR^low using cutoff value, the results using a propensity score analysis showed that the CAR^high group predicted malignant transformation of IPMNs (odds ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.37–12.8; p = 0.01). In the CAR^high group, disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly shorter (p = 0.04). In the worrisome features, the AUC for the accuracy of malignant transformation with CAR^high was 0.84 when combining with the MPD findings. Conclusions: Preoperative CAR could be a predictive marker of malignant transformation of IPMNs.

Efficacy of active hexose correlated compound on survival of patients with resectable/borderline resectable pancreatic cancer: a study protocol for a double-blind randomized phase II study

Background

The prognosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma remains very poor. One possible reason for the short survival of patients with this disease is malnutrition, which can be present at the initial diagnosis, and continue after pancreatectomy. Then, it is important to improve nutritional status and to decrease adverse events during neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy. Active hexose correlated compound (AHCC) is a standardized extract of cultured Lentinula edodes mycelia, and is considered a potent biological response modifier in the treatment of cancer. To evaluate the survival impact of AHCC on the patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, we plan to perform this trial.

Methods

This is a prospective multicenter phase II trial in patients with resectable/borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to investigate the efficacy of AHCC regarding survival. Patients will begin taking AHCC or placebo on the first day of neoadjuvant therapy. AHCC or placebo will be continued until 2 years after surgery. The primary endpoint will be 2-year disease-free survival. The secondary endpoints are the completion rate, dose intensity, and adverse event profile of preoperative chemotherapy; response rate to preoperative chemotherapy; rate of decrease in tumor marker (carbohydrate antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen) concentrations during preoperative chemotherapy; entry rate, completion rate, dose intensity, and adverse event profile of adjuvant chemotherapy; safety of the protocol therapy (adverse effect of AHCC); 2-year overall survival rate; and nutrition score before and after preoperative chemotherapy, and before and after adjuvant chemotherapy. We will enroll 230 patients, and the study involves eight leading Japanese institutions that are all high-volume centers in pancreatic surgery.

Discussion

AHCC is expected to function as a supportive food in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, to reduce the proportion of severe adverse events related to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and to increase the completion proportion of multimodal treatments, resulting in improved survival.

Trial registration

The trial protocol has been registered in the protocol registration system at the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (Trial ID: jRCTs051200029). At the time of the submission of this paper (October 2020), the protocol version is 2.0. The completion date is estimated to be November 2024.

Inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers as predictors of non-resectability and early recurrence in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Some pancreatic tumors considered resectable on the preoperative staging are unresectable during surgical exploration. Moreover, some patients subjected to tumor resection have an early recurrence.

METHODS

Patients with pancreatic or periampullary carcinoma diagnosed between January 2005 and August 2017 in Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca were retrospectively analyzed. Biochemical and radiological inflammatory biomarkers were compared according to disease staging at diagnosis, intraoperative staging and early recurrence (<6 months).

RESULTS

391 patients were included. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-tomonocyte ratio, C-reactive-protein-to-albuminemia ratio (CRP/ALB), Prognostic Nutritional Index, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score and CA19-9 were associated with metastatic disease at diagnosis. NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 were independent predictors of disease staging at diagnosis on multivariate analysis. 108 patients underwent surgery, of which 23,8% were found to have unresectable disease at intra-operative staging. 26,9% had early disease recurrence. CRP/ALB and CA19-9 were significantly higher in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. Computed tomography sarcopenia index HUAC was significantly lower in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. When adjusted for histology, none of the biomarkers were independent predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 at diagnosis were predictors of disease staging with low performance. Preoperative inflammatory biomarkers were not predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

Peripheral Blood Lymphocyte Percentage May Predict Chemotolerance and Survival in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer. Association between Adaptive Immunity and Nutritional State

Pancreatic Carcinoma (PC) cells have the ability to induce patient immunosuppression and to escape immunosurveillance. Low circulating lymphocytes are associated with an advanced stage of PC and reduced survival. Blood lymphocytes expressed as a percentage of Total White Blood Cells (L% TWBC) could predict chemotolerance (n° of tolerated cycles), survival time and Body Weight (BW) more effectively than lymphocytes expressed as an absolute value (LAB > 1500 n°/mm3) or lymphocytes >22%, which is the lowest limit of normal values in our laboratory. Forty-one patients with advanced PC, treated with chemotherapy, were selected for this observational retrospective study. Patients were evaluated at baseline (pre-chemotherapy), and at 6, 12 and 18 months, respectively, after diagnosis of PC. The study found L ≥ 29.7% to be a better predictor of survival (COX model, using age, sex, BW, serum creatinine, bilirubin and lymphocytes as covariates), chemotolerance (r = +0.50, p = 0.001) and BW (r = +0.35, p = 0.027) than LAB > 1500 or L > 22%. BW did not significantly correlate with chemotolerance or survival. The preliminary results of this study suggest that L ≥ 29.7% is more effective than LAB > 1500 or L > 22% at predicting chemotolerance, survival time and nutritional status. A possible impact of nutritional status on chemotherapy and survival seems to be lymphocyte-mediated given the association between BW and L%. This study may serve as the basis for future research to explore whether nutritional interventions can improve lymphopenia, and if so, how this may be possible.

The novel index using preoperative C-reactive protein and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Several kinds of systemic inflammatory response, classified into two types: C-reactive protein (CRP)-based type and blood cell count-based type, were reported as a prognostic indicator in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). However, there is no consensus which types is more sensitive predictor in patients with PC. Therefore, we here developed a novel biomarker, C-NLR, which consists of both CRP and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and we evaluated the prognostic significance of C-NLR in patients with PC after pancreatic resection.

METHODS

A total of 217 patients was comprised in this study. We retrospectively investigated the relation between C-NLR and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) after pancreatic resection.

RESULTS

Optimal cutoff level of C-NLR was defined as 0.206 by a ROC analysis. By multivariate analysis, age (P = 0.024), TNM stage (P < 0.001), and C-NLR (HR: 1.373, 95% CI: 1.005-1.874, P = 0.046) were independent predictors of DFS, whereas TNM stage (P = 0.016) and C-NLR (HR: 1.468, 95% CI: 1.042-2.067, P = 0.028) were independent predictors of OS.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative C-NLR can be a prognostic indicator in patients with PC after pancreatic resection, suggesting the importance of both CRP and blood cell count in predicting therapeutic outcomes.

Prognostic impact of the ratio of preoperative CA19-9 to liver enzyme levels in pancreatic cancer patients with jaundice (predictability of combined CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT for jaundiced PDAC patients)

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) has been reported as the most significant survival predictor of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, the elevation of CA19-9 could interfere with obstructive jaundice and the predictive value of CA19-9 in PDAC patients with jaundice remains to be analyzed and elucidated to find possible adjustments.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictability of preoperative CA19-9 and its adjustments for the overall survival (OS) of PDAC patients by analyzing the relationship between preoperative serum CA19-9 and total bilirubin (TBIL).

METHODS

A total of 563 consecutive patients who underwent surgery for primary pancreatic adenocarcinoma in our center between January 2015 and September 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinicopathologic information was collected and preoperative parameters such as CA19-9, CEA, TBIL, γ-GGT, AST, ALT, and ALP were recorded as well as overall survival rates, which began from the date of operation to that of death or the last follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival curves with log-rank test and Cox regression models were applied using SPSS and the survival and survminer packages in R software.

RESULTS

Using 39/390/1000 as the cut-off values for preoperative serum CA19-9, significant capability of OS stratification was found in the total cohort (p < 0.001, MST = 29.7/19.1/15.2/12.1 months) and patients with TBIL <102.6 μmol/L (p < 0.001, MST = 32.2/19.6/15.0/11.2 months). However, in the subgroup of TBIL≥102.6 μmol/L, this classification method was replaced by the combined scoring of CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT.

CONCLUSIONS

As an independent predictor of overall survival of PDAC patients, preoperative serum CA19-9 is defective in survival stratification when TBIL≥102.6 μmol/L but a positive survival prognosis could be achieved with the application of combined preoperative CA19-9/AST and CA19-9/γ-GGT.

The Neutrophil-to-Monocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-White Blood Cell Ratio Represent Novel Prognostic Markers in Patients with Pancreatic Cancer

Background

Inflammation plays an important role in the development of tumors. Several serum based-markers and ratios have been investigated for their prognostic value in pancreatic cancer. However, the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR) and platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR) for patients with pancreatic cancer has scarcely been investigated.

Methods

From October 2013 to November 2018, a retrospective cohort study was performed on 269 pancreatic cancer patients without treatment. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated, and areas under the curve were compared for the evaluation of the discriminatory ability of inflammation-based prognostic scoring systems. Kaplan-Meier curves and the Cox proportional hazard model were employed to analyze the relationships among NMR, PWR, and overall survival (OS).

Results

The optimal cutoff values of NMR and PWR were 48 and 6, respectively. In univariate analysis, the survival time of NMR > 48 and PWR ≤ 6 was shorter than that of NMR ≤ 48 and PWR > 6 in patients with pancreatic cancer (P < 0.001). In Cox univariate and multivariate analyses, NMR (hazard ratio (HR), 9.095; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.64-22.72; P < 0.001) and PWR (HR, 8.230; 95% CI, 3.32-20.43; P < 0.001) were significantly correlated with OS.

Conclusions

The current study demonstrated that NMR and PWR may serve as novel and promising inflammatory prognostic scores for patients with pancreatic cancer. Elevated NMR (>48) and depressed PWR (<6) were independently associated with poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer.

The Values of Several Inflammatory Markers, Including the Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio, in Patients With Pancreatic Cancer Treated by Curative Resection Followed by Adjuvant Chemotherapy

The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between the values of several systemic inflammatory markers and the prognosis in pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. A total of 110 pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy were reviewed for this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the clinicopathologic factors influencing the overall survival, including the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), and the direction of change of the NLR (increase or decrease) after 1 cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy, compared to the value recorded prior to the start of the chemotherapy. A multivariate analysis identified only the direction of change of the NLR after the first cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy as an independent risk factor for the overall survival (NLR decrease versus NLR increase, hazard ratio = 1.925; P = 0.044). The NLR, PLR and GPS were not identified as significant predictors of the overall survival. The direction of change of the NLR after the first cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy may help in predicting the effect of chemotherapy in pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy.

The ultimate preoperative C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio is a prognostic factor for survival after pancreatic cancer resection

Background

Emerging evidence indicates that an elevated C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) may be associated with a poor prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Further evidence showing that this ratio has significant prognostic value could contribute to current prediction models and clinical decision-making.

Methods

Data were analysed of consecutive patients who underwent curative pancreatic resection between 2013 and 2018 and were histologically diagnosed with PDAC. We investigated the relation between the ultimate preoperative CAR and overall survival.

Results

A total of 163 patients were analysed. Median overall survival was 18 months (IQR 9–36). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a higher CAR (HR 1.745, P = 0.004), a higher age (HR 1.062, P < 0.001), male sex (HR 1.977, P = 0.001), poor differentiation grade (HR 2.812, P < 0.001), and positive para-aortic lymph node(s) (HR 4.489, P < 0.001) were associated with a lower overall survival. Furthermore, a CAR ≥ 0.2 was associated with decreased overall survival (16 vs. 26 months, P = 0.003).

Conclusion

We demonstrated that an ultimate preoperative elevated CAR is an independent indicator of decreased overall survival after resection for PDAC. The preoperative CAR may be of additional value to the current prediction models.

The Prognostic Model of Pre-Treatment Complete Blood Count (CBC) for Recurrence in Early Cervical Cancer

The aim of the present study was to investigate the prognostic role of the pre-treatment complete blood count (CBC) profile as a predictive marker of survival, recurrence, and death in early stage squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the cervix. The pre-treatment CBC profiles of the patients from nine tertiary medical centers in South Korea who were treated surgically for early stage cervical cancer were reviewed. Statistical models by the Akaike's information criterion (AIC) were developed using CBC profiles to calculate individuals' risk scores for clinical outcomes. A total of 1443 patients were included in the study and the median follow-up was 63.7 months with a range of 3-183 months. Univariate analyses identified the components of CBC that were significantly related to clinical outcomes including white blood cell (WBC), hemoglobin, neutrophil, and platelet levels. The models developed using CBC profiles and the conventional clinical predictive factors provided individuals' risk scores that were significantly better in predicting clinical outcomes than the models using the conventional clinical predictive factors alone. Pre-treatment CBC profiles including WBC, hemoglobin, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet levels were found to be a potential biomarker for survival prognosis in early cervical cancer.

Signification of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index for prediction of prognosis after resecting in patients with colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Systemic inflammatory response has been reported to be associated with prognosis in cancer patients. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), a novel inflammation-based prognostic score and long-term outcomes among patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) after resection.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 733 patients who underwent resection for CRC between January 2010 and December 2014 at the Jikei University Hospital and explored the relationship between SII, calculated by multiplying the peripheral platelet count by neutrophil count and divided by lymphocyte count, and overall survival. In survival analyses, we conducted Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting potential confounders including TNM stage, serum CEA, serum CA 19-9, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and platelet count.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, age ≥ 65 years (p = 0.003), tumor location (p = 0.043), advanced TNM stage (p < 0.001), serum CA 19-9 > 37 mU/ml (p < 0.001), and SII (P for trend = 0.017) were independent and significant predictors of poor patient survival. Compared to patients with low SII, those with high and intermediate SII patients had poorer survival (Hazard ratio 2.48; 95% CI 1.31-4.69, Hazard ratio 1.65; 95% CI 0.83-3.27, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index might be an independent and significant indicator of poor long-term outcomes in patients with CRC after resection.

Prognostic value of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio in pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis including 3338 patients

Background

Recently, reports have classified lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) as an effective indicator for predicting the prognosis of pancreatic cancer. Nevertheless, the prognostic value of LMR for pancreatic cancer remains controversial. Through meta-analysis, this work intends to evaluate the potential prognostic role of pretreatment LMR in patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer.

Methods

We reviewed and extracted eligible articles from Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase. A meta-analysis was conducted using hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the comparison between pretreatment LMR and overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival/recurrence-free survival/time to progression (DFS/RFS/TTP).

Results

In total, 11 studies (16 cohorts) including 3338 patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer (PC) were enrolled in our meta-analysis. Notably, we revealed that high pretreatment LMR predicted better overall survival (OS) (HR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.58–0.80, P < 0.001, I-squared = 69.3%, Ph < 0.001) and DFS/RFS/TTP (HR = 0.55, 95% CI 0.31–0.96, P = 0.037, I-squared = 89.9%, Ph < 0.001) in patients with pancreatic cancer. Further, through subgroup analyses, we showed that high pretreatment LMR was significantly associated with the favorable OS regardless of ethnicity, study design, treatment method, variable type, the cut-off value for LMR, and disease stages of I–IV and III–IV.

Conclusion

The findings from our study suggest that high pretreatment LMR is associated with better OS and DFS/RFS/TTP in patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. As such, it can potentially serve as a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with pancreatic cancer.

Preoperative Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Factor for Resectable Pancreatic Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Various inflammatory markers have been investigated for a prognostic role in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer. However, the value of preoperative platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) remains controversial. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of PLR as a preoperative prognostic factor for resectable pancreatic cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Systematic literature search was conducted for studies assessing PLR influence as a preoperative prognostic factor in resectable pancreatic cancer patients. Random-effects model was applied for pooling hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals related to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Fourteen articles with 2,743 patients were included in the study. According to the analysis, high PLR had no correlation with decreased OS. Due to high heterogeneity among studies, subgroup analysis was performed. Better OS was associated with low PLR in Asian patients, patients with mixed type of operation performed, and patients with preoperative PLR ≤150. Low PLR was associated with significantly better DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

PLR is a predictive factor of better DFS in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer. However, available evidence does not support PLR as a reliable prognostic factor for OS.

A systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) correlates with survival and predicts oncological outcome for mFOLFIRINOX therapy in metastatic pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVES

Systemic inflammatory response and survival has not been evaluated as a predictive factor of chemotherapy in metastatic pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of a baseline Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) in metastatic pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Retrospective study of 164 metastatic pancreatic cancer patients. Associations between overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), chemotherapy and SIRI were analyzed. SIRI is defined by neutrophil x monocyte/lymphocyte 10⁹/L.

RESULTS

Median age 66 years. 22 (13%) received mFOLFIRINOX, 59 (36%) gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel, 40 (24%) gemcitabine, 13 (8%) other regimens and 30 (18%) had not received treatment. Patients with SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹/L showed a statistically significant improvement in OS compared to SIRI≥2.3 × 10⁹/L [16 months versus 4.8 months, Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.87, Confidence Interval (CI) 95% 2.02-4.07, p < 0.0001] that was confirmed in multivariate analysis. In addition, patients with SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹ showed a longer PFS (12 versus 6 months, HR 1.92, IC 95% 1.314-2.800, P = 0.001). Furthermore, we observed that patients with SIRI ≥2.3 × 10⁹/L were more likely to benefit from mFOLFIRINOX therapy. Patients with an elevated SIRI treated with mFOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine showed a clinically and statistically significant difference in median OS of 17 months compared to 6 and 4 months respectively (p < 0.001). Conversely, the difference was not clinically significant in the SIRI<2.3 × 10⁹/L subgroup: 15.9 months versus 16.5 and 16, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An elevated SIRI (≥2.3 × 10⁹/L) was an independent prognostic factor for patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer, warranting prospective evaluation.

Haemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte and platelet predicts postoperative survival in pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation and nutrition status play an important role in cancer metastasis. The combined index of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelet (HALP), consisting of haemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets, is considered as a novel marker to reflect both systemic inflammation and nutrition status. However, no studies have investigated the relationship between HALP and survival of patients with pancreatic cancer following radical resection.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative HALP in pancreatic cancer patients.

METHODS

The preoperative serum levels of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte counts, and platelet counts were routinely detected in 582 pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients who underwent radical resection. The relationship between postoperative survival and the preoperative level of HALP was investigated.

RESULTS

Low levels of HALP were significantly associated with lymph node metastasis (P = 0.002), poor tumor differentiation (P = 0.032), high TNM stage (P = 0.008), female patients (P = 0.005) and tumor location in the head of the pancreas (P < 0.001). Low levels of HALP were associated with early recurrence [7.3 mo vs 16.3 mo, P < 0.001 for recurrence-free survival (RFS)] and short survival [11.5 mo vs 23.6 mo, P < 0.001 for overall survival (OS)] in patients with resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma. A low level of HALP was an independent risk factor for early recurrence and short survival irrespective of sex and tumor location.

CONCLUSION

Low levels of HALP may be a significant risk factor for RFS and OS in patients with resected pancreatic cancer.

The Systemic-immune-inflammation Index Independently Predicts Survival and Recurrence in Resectable Pancreatic Cancer and its Prognostic Value Depends on Bilirubin Levels: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to determine the prognostic significance of the systemic-immune-inflammation index (SIII) in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer, using cancer-specific survival as the primary outcome.

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is associated with a dysfunctional immune system and poor prognosis. We examined the prognostic significance of the SIII in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and the effects of bilirubin on this index.

METHODS

We retrospectively assessed all pancreatic resections performed between 2004 and 2015 at 4 tertiary referral centers to identify pathologically confirmed PDAC patients. Baseline clinicopathologic characteristics, preoperative laboratory values such as absolute neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts, C-reactive protein, albumin, bilirubin, and CA19-9 levels, and also follow-up information, were collected. The associations of the calculated inflammatory indices with outcome were both internally and externally validated.

RESULTS

In all, 590 patients with resectable PDAC were included. The discovery and validation cohort included 170 and 420 patients, respectively. SIII >900 [hazard ratio (HR) 2.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.55-3.48], lymph node ratio (HR 3.75, 95% CI 2.08-6.76), and CA19.9 >200 kU/L (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.07-2.46) were identified as independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. Separate model analysis confirmed that preoperative SIII contributed significantly to prognostication. However, SIII appeared to lose its prognostic significance in patients with bilirubin levels above 200 μmol/L.

CONCLUSIONS

SIII is an independent predictor of cancer-specific survival and recurrence in patients with resectable PDAC. SIII may lose its prognostic significance in patients with high bilirubin levels. Properly designed prospective studies are needed to further confirm this hypothesis.

Exploring the value of new preoperative inflammation prognostic score: white blood cell to hemoglobin for gastric adenocarcinoma patients

Background

The platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) reflect the systematic inflammatory response, with some evidence revealing that they are associated with poorer survival in patients with gastric cancer. However, the effect of the white blood cell to hemoglobin ratio (WHR) on the long-term prognosis of patients with gastric cancer has not been reported. Therefore, we sought to characterize the effect of WHR on long-term survival after radical gastrectomy and compare its value with that of other preoperative inflammation-based prognostic scores (PIPS).

Methods

Data from 924 patients with a diagnosis of nonmetastatic gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical resection between December 2009 and May 2013 were included in this study.

Results

The optimal cutoff values for the WHR, PLR, LMR, and NLR were 2.855, 133.03, 3.405, and 2.61, respectively. Patients with an increased WHR (53% vs. 88.1%, p < 0.001), PLR (60.9% vs 75.6%, p < 0.001) and NLR (56.7% vs 72.8%, p < 0.001) and a decreased LMR (54% vs 74.5%, p < 0.001) had a significantly decreased 5-year OS. However, the stratified analysis showed that only the WHR predicted a significant 5-year survival rate difference at each stage as follows: stage I (82.7% vs 94.3%, p = 0.005), stage II (71.3% vs 90.2%, p = 0.001) and stage III (38.2% vs 58.1%, p < 0.001). The time-ROC curve showed that the predictive value of the WHR was superior to that of the PLR, LMR, and NLR during follow-up. The WHR (0.624) C-index was significantly greater than the PLR (0.569), LMR (0.584), and NLR C-indexes (0.56) (all P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Compared with other PIPS, the WHR had the most powerful predictive ability when used for the prognosis of patients with gastric adenocarcinoma.

A prognostic nomogram constructed for relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients

AIM

The clinical course of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is variable and there is a lack of prognostic markers and models for relapsed or refractory (r/r) DLBCL. Hence, we conducted this study to identify independent factors that can predict the survival rate of r/r DLBCL patients.

METHODS

A total of 416 r/r DLBCL patients who were pretreated with first-line anthracycline-based chemotherapy at the National Cancer Center in China between 2006 and 2016 were divided into the primary (n = 291) and validation (n = 125) cohorts. The effect of preclinical and clinical indicators on DLBCL survival rates of the two cohorts were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Factors showing good correlation with patient survival rates were used to construct a prognostic nomogram.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis of the primary cohort revealed five independent prognostic factors: lactate dehydrogenase level at diagnosis, response to front line treatment, progression/recurrence pattern, location, and invasion on progression/recurrence, which were then used to construct a nomogram. The nomogram was shown to have a C-index of 0.76 and AUC values of 0.81 and 0.80 for the primary and validation cohorts, respectively, suggesting good prognostic power. We further stratified the r/r DLBCL patients into four risk groups according to the newly developed nomogram.

CONCLUSION

The prognostic nomogram constructed using the five identified clinical indicators can potentially be applied in the clinical setting to guide treatment decision.

Modified FOLFIRINOX for resected pancreatic cancer: Opportunities and challenges

Pancreatic cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide. Adjuvant chemotherapy has been developed based on the experiences made with palliative chemotherapy, and advocated to improve long-term survival of patients with this disease. However, the optimal chemotherapeutic regimen remains controversial. Recently, Conroy et al demonstrated the impressive benefits of modified FOLFIRINOX over gemcitabine alone in the multicenter Partenariat de Recherche en Oncologie Digestive 24 (PRODIGE-24) trial. The remarkable results mark a new milestone in treating resectable pancreatic cancer and have now changed the standard of care for this patient population. In this commentary, we discuss an issue of difference of tumor grade between the PRODIGE-24 trial and previous phase III trials. We also discuss potential biomarkers predicting therapeutic response to modified FOLFIRINOX. Finally, we summarize several ongoing clinical trials of replacing part of the FOLFIRINOX regimen with Xeloda/S-1/nanoliposomal irinotecan for pancreatic cancer.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios inversely correlate to clinical and pathologic stage in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Background

Post-surgical pathology (SP) staging correlates with long-term survival. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been shown to predict prognosis and extent of tumor in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aimed to correlate NLR and PLR to radiological clinical staging (CS), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 tumor marker and SP staging in patients with resectable-PDAC (R-PDAC); and to investigate NLR and PLR as potential markers to guide neoadjuvant therapy.

Methods

Data were collected retrospectively from R-PDAC patients who received upfront surgery from November 2011 to December 2016. NLR and PLR values on the day of diagnosis and surgery were collected. SP, tumor size, location, resected margins (RM), lymphovascular/perineural invasion (LVI/PNI), lymph node involvement, and AJCC/TNM 8th Edition staging were obtained. Associations were assessed using linear, ordinal logistic, and poison regressions or Kruskal Willis Rank Sum Test per the nature of outcome variables, with statistical significance at p-value <0.05.

Results

Fifty-five patients were identified with resectable stage I (61%) and II (38%). They had a mean age of 66 years (48-87 years) and were 47.2% male, 83.6% white, 90.9% non-Hispanic and 89% with ECOG 0-1. NLR/PLR at diagnosis for R0, R1 and R2 were 6.7/241, 4.8/224, and 2.9/147 (P=0.01/0.002), respectively. NLR/PLR for N0 and N1 were 5.1/212 and 2.7/138.3 (P=0.03/0.009) at diagnosis. No other significant association was detected.

Conclusions

These findings suggest that NLR/PLR inversely correlates with RM and lymph node status in patients with R-PDAC, but require prospective evaluation in clinically defined scenarios.

Combined preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level as a prognostic factor in patients with resected pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the most frequently used tumor marker and serves as a prognostic indicator in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is thought to be an inflammation-related serum marker. An elevated PLR represents increased inflammatory status and is associated with poor prognosis in patients with various cancers including PC.

METHODS

This study involved 103 patients with a histopathological diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent pancreatectomy. The patients were assessed to determine the prognostic significance of the combination of the PLR and CA19-9 level.

RESULTS

Based on the receiver operating characteristic analysis results, the patients were divided into PLR_High (PLR ≥ 129.1) and PLR_Low (PLR < 129.1) groups and into CA19-9_High (CA19-9 ≥ 74.0 U/mL) and CA19-9_Low (CA19-9 < 74.0 U/mL) groups. The cumulative 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates significantly differed by both the PLR (PLR_High group: 19.5% and 22.9%; PLR_Low group: 39.1% and 45.9%) and CA19-9 (CA19-9_High group: 19.1% and 25.6%; CA19-9_Low group: 41.0% and 41.0%). We then divided the patients into Groups A (PLR_Low/CA19-9_Low), B (PLR_Low/CA19-9_High or PLR_High/CA19-9_Low), and C (PLR_High/CA19-9_High). The cumulative 5-year OS rates in Groups A, B, and C were 44.0%, 31.9%, and 11.9%, respectively (P = 0.002). The cumulative 5-year DSS rates in Groups A, B, and C were 47.7%, 36.4%, and 16.8%, respectively (P = 0.002). Multivariate analysis revealed that the combination of the PLR and CA19-9 was an independent prognostic factor in patients with resected PC.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the PLR and CA19-9 is useful for predicting the prognosis of patients with resected PC.

The Prognostic Impact of the Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio in Resected Pancreatic Head Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Although the prognostic significance of systematic inflammation-based scores, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), has been explored in pancreatic cancers, few reports have investigated the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR). We aimed to retrospectively investigate the prognostic value of the preoperative LMR in patients with resectable pancreatic head cancer (PHC).

METHODS

From 2005 to 2016, 165 patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for PHC. All samples of peripheral blood were collected within 2 weeks prior to surgery. The best cutoff values of the LMR for predicting survival were determined by using a minimum p value approach (cut-off value: 2.8). The clinicopathological features of LMR <2.8 (n = 25) and ≥2.8 (n = 140) were compared.

RESULTS

Patients with LMR ≥2.8 showed significantly lower NLR and PLR, and significantly higher PNI. Levels of CEA and CA19-9 were similar, and the pathological findings were comparable between the groups. The overall survival of patients with LMR ≥2.8 (66.2% at 1 year) was superior to that of patients with LMR <2.8 (36.1% at 1 year, p = 0.015). Multivariate analysis identified LMR <2.8 (hazard ratio 1.72, 95% CI 1.02-2.89, p = 0.042), lymphatic and venous invasion and positive surgical margin as independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

LMR may carry important prognostic information for patients with resectable PHC. Preoperative LMR may be considered for use in risk stratification for individual patients with PHC.

Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts malignancy and recurrence-free survival of solid pseudopapillary tumor of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammatory markers such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been shown to be prognostic for many types of pancreatic malignancy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic role of these markers in patients with solid pseudopapillary tumor of the pancreas (SPTP).

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection for histologically confirmed SPTP were retrospectively reviewed in our institution. Preoperative NLR and PLR were calculated. Clinicopathologic data were correlated with the presence of malignant potential and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

A total of 113 patients with SPTP were included in this study. Of them, 23 were men and 90 were women, with a median age of 35 years (interquartile range, 25-44). The optimal cut-off values for malignant SPTP were 3.22 for NLR, and 75.5 for PLR, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that high NLR (>3.22) and white blood cell count more than 9.96 × 10⁹ /L were predictive of a malignant SPTP. Meanwhile, high NLR (P = 0.001) and age more than 35 years (P = 0.026) were associated with worse RFS. On multivariable analyses, high NLR was the only independent predictor of malignant SPTP (odd ratio 6.871; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.482-31.864; P = 0.014) and RFS (hazard ratio 12.633; 95% CI, 1.758-90.790; P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the supportive role of preoperative NLR in predicting malignancy and RFS of SPTP patients. Further studies including a larger cohort of patients are needed to corroborate our findings.

Association of preoperative total lymphocyte count with prognosis in resected left-sided pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Immunologic factors such as neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio play an important role in predicting the oncologic outcome of patients in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). It is hypothesized that host immunity represented by total lymphocyte count at diagnostic stage would influence oncologic outcome in left-sided PDAC.

METHODS

Between January 1992 and August 2017, total of 112 patients who underwent distal pancreatectomy for left-sided PDAC were included and analysed.

RESULTS

At the time of the diagnosis, total lymphocyte count at diagnosis of left-sided PDAC was 1.8 ± 0.7 10³ /μL (mean value ± standard deviation). Among different cut-off values, 1.7 showed most powerful significant differences in long-term oncologic outcomes. The patients with preoperative lymphocyte count (≤1.7) was associated with early recurrence (median 8.4 months versus 18.1 months, P = 0.011) and shorter survival (median 18.6 months versus 35.9 months, P = 0.028). Patients with preoperative total lymphocyte count over 1.7 showed higher white blood cell count (P < 0.001), platelet count (P = 0.039), neutrophil count (P = 0.004) and monocyte count (P = 0.001). However, more interestingly, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (P < 0.001) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (P < 0.001) were found to be significantly higher in those with total lymphocyte count less than 1.7. Lymphocyte to monocyte ratio was inversely related to preoperative total lymphocyte count (P < 0.001). Only age was identified to be significantly different (P = 0.007). However, other clinicopathological parameters generally known to be related to tumour aggressiveness, were not different between two groups.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, preoperative total lymphocyte at diagnostic stage is simple, and good prognostic factor in left-sided pancreatic cancer.

Prognostic value of C-reactive protein/albumin ratio for patients with hypopharyngeal and laryngeal cancer undergoing invasive surgery involving laryngectomy

BACKGROUND

The C-reactive protein/albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio has been recently established as a prognostic indicator in various cancer types. However, few reports regarding the prognostic value of the CRP/Alb ratio in head and neck cancer exist. This study aimed to investigate the significance of the CRP/Alb ratio in clinical outcomes after invasive surgery involving laryngectomy for hypopharyngeal and laryngeal cancer.

METHODS

We evaluated 56 patients who underwent total laryngectomy or total pharyngolaryngectomy between 2003 and 2012. Univariate and multivariate analyses were retrospectively performed to examine the prognostic value of the CRP/Alb ratio in these patients.

RESULTS

The optimal cutoff value of the CRP/Alb ratio was 0.32. Multivariate analysis showed that the CRP/Alb ratio was a significant and independent predictor of poor overall and disease-free survival.

CONCLUSION

The CRP/Alb ratio may be a novel and useful indicator for predicting postoperative outcomes in patients with hypopharyngeal and laryngeal cancer.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Nutritional and Immunological Factors in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Preoperative nutritional and immunological patient factors have been found to be associated with prognostic outcomes of malignant tumors; however, the clinical significance of these factors in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains controversial.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of nutritional and immunological factors in predicting survival of patients with PDAC.

METHODS

Retrospective studies of 329 patients who underwent surgical resection for PDAC and 95 patients who underwent palliative surgery were separately conducted to investigate the prognostic impact of tumor-related factors and patient-related factors, including Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS, Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis for patients with surgical resection for PDAC, PNI was an independent factor for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival. The median OS of patients with PNI ≤ 45 was significantly shorter than that of patients with PNI > 45 (17.5 and 36.2 months, respectively; p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis for patients undergoing palliative surgery for PDAC, only NLR was an independent prognosis factor. The median OS of patients with NLR > 5 was significantly shorter than that of patients with NLR ≤ 5 (2.7 and 8.9 months, respectively; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PNI in patients with surgical resection and NLR in patients with palliative surgery for PDAC may be useful prognostic factors.

Evaluation of inflammation-based markers for predicting the prognosis of unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with chemotherapy

Predicting the prognosis of unresectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is useful in determining the appropriate management strategy. The present study aimed to investigate the association between PDAC prognosis and inflammation-based markers, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) and controlling nutritional status score. A total of 72 patients with unresectable PDAC who received chemotherapy were included. Inflammation-based markers were measured prior to treatment. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 117 days (range, 10-781 days) and 244 days (range 43-781 days), respectively. The cut-off value of continuous variables that predicted the median OS (244 days) was calcualted. Univariate analysis of PFS showed that disease stage, first-line chemotherapy regimen, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), NLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), mGPS and controlling nutritional status (CONUT) scores were associated with PFS. Among them, stage, first-line chemotherapy regimen, CEA, NLR and mGPS were independent prognostic factors for PFS in multivariate analysis. Univariate analysis of OS showed that stage, first-line chemotherapy regimen, CA19-9, NLR, PLR, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), mGPS and CONUT score were associated wtih OS. Among them, first-line chemotherapy and mGPS were independent prognostic factors for OS according to multivariate analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that a NLR ≥4.0 and mGPS 2 were independent prognostic factors for PFS. For OS, mGPS 2 was an independent prognostic factor. In conclusion, mGPS was the most useful marker in predicting the prognosis of patients with unresectable PDAC who received chemotherapy.

The hepatic pre-metastatic niche in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains one of the most aggressive malignancies to date, largely because it is associated with high metastatic risk. Pancreatic tumors have a characteristic tendency to metastasize preferentially to the liver. Over the past two decades, it has become evident that the otherwise hostile milieu of the liver is selectively preconditioned at an early stage to render it more conducive to the engraftment and growth of disseminated cancer cells, a concept defined as pre-metastatic niche (PMN) formation. Pancreatic cancer cells exploit components of the tumor microenvironment to facilitate their migration out of the primary tumor, which often involves conversion of pancreatic cancer cells from an epithelial to a mesenchymal phenotype via the epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition. Pancreatic stellate cells and matrix stiffness have been put forward as major drivers of invasiveness in PDAC. Even before the onset of pancreatic cancer cell dissemination, soluble factors and extracellular vesicles secreted by the primary tumor, and possibly even premalignant lesions, help shape a supportive niche in the liver by providing vascular docking sites for circulating tumor cells, enhancing vascular permeability, remodeling the extracellular matrix and recruiting immunosuppressive inflammatory cells. Emerging evidence suggests that some of these tumor-derived factors may represent powerful diagnostic or prognostic biomarkers. Though our understanding of the mechanisms driving PMN formation in PDAC has expanded considerably, many outstanding questions and challenges remain. Further studies dissecting the molecular and cellular events involved in hepatic PMN formation in PDAC will likely improve diagnosis and open new avenues from a therapeutic standpoint.

Prognostic Roles of Inflammatory Markers in Pancreatic Cancer: Comparison between the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

Background/Objectives

This meta-analysis is aimed at investigating the prognostic roles of the inflammatory markers neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Methods

The correlations between high inflammatory marker expression levels and prognosis in 7105 patients with pancreatic cancer from 34 eligible studies were investigated. Additionally, subgroup analyses based on study location, tumor stage, treatment, and value cutoffs were performed.

Results

High NLR and PLR values were considered to be 2.0–5.0 and 150–200, respectively. Using a random-effects model, the estimated rates of high NLR and PLR were 0.379 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.310–0.454) and 0.490 (95% CI 0.438–0.543), respectively. High NLRs were frequently found in patients with lower tumor stages and in those who underwent surgery. There were significant correlations between high NLR and PLR and poor survival rates (hazard ratio [HR] 1.737, 95% CI 1.502–2.009 and HR 1.143, 95% CI 1.037–1.259, resp.). Interestingly, the NLR and PLR had no prognostic value in patients who underwent chemoradiotherapy.

Conclusion

Taken together, our results showed that inflammatory markers are useful for predicting prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. The NLR is a more suitable parameter for predicting prognosis regardless of the patient's condition.

Prognostic value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in pancreatic cancer: a comprehensive meta-analysis of 17 cohort studies

Background and aims

Several studies were conducted to explore the prognostic value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in pancreatic cancer and have reported contradictory results. This study aims to summarize the prognostic role of PLR in pancreatic cancer.

Materials and methods

Embase, PubMed and Cochrane Library were completely searched. The cohort studies focusing on the prognostic role of PLR in pancreatic cancer were eligible. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed.

Results

Fifteen papers containing 17 cohort studies with pancreatic cancer were identified. The results showed patients that with low PLR might have longer OS when compared to the patients with high PLR (hazard ratio=1.28, 95% CI=1.17–1.40, P<0.00001; I²=42%). Similar results were observed in the subgroup analyses of OS, which was based on the analysis model, ethnicity, sample size and cut-off value. Further analyses based on the adjusted potential confounders were conducted, including CA199, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, albumin, C-reactive protein, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group, stage, tumor size, nodal involvement, tumor differentiation, margin status, age and gender, which confirmed that low PLR was a protective factor in pancreatic cancer. In addition, low PLR was significantly associated with longer PFS when compared to high PLR in pancreatic cancer (hazard ratio=1.27, 95% CI=1.03–1.57, P=0.03; I²=33%).

Conclusion

In conclusion, it was found that high PLR is an unfavorable predictor of OS and PFS in patients with pancreatic cancer, and PLR is a promising prognostic biomarker for pancreatic cancer.

Novel prognostic scoring system for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic values of platelet count (PLT) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), creating a novel prognostic scoring system. A total of 309 patients with newly diagnosed DLBCL were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to determine the optimal threshold values for PLT and PLR, which were 250×10⁹/l and 170, respectively. The patients with PLT ≥250×10⁹/l and PLR ≥170 experienced significantly decreased overall survival (OS) (P<0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) times (P=0.003, P<0.001) In multivariate analysis, PLR was a significant prognostic factor for OS (P<0.001) and PFS (P=0.003) time, whereas PLT was not a risk factor for PFS or OS time. According to the results of Cox regression analysis, a novel prognostic scoring system was created that combined PLR and β2-microglobulin level with International Prognostic Index value or age-adjusted International Prognostic Index value and the patients were divided into three groups: i) Low-risk patients with a PLR <170, International Prognostic Index (IPI) <2 scores or age-adjusted International Prognostic Index (aaIPI)=0 and normal β2m; ii) high-risk patients with a PLR ≥170, IPI ≥4 or aaIPI=3 and high level of β2m; and iii) intermediate-risk patients. The novel score predicted 5-year OS rates of 86.4, 54.1 and 21.1% in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively (P<0.001). This novel prognostic scoring system may aid the evaluation of patient prognosis and guide treatment.

Nomogram for predicting survival in patients with pancreatic cancer

Background

The purpose of this study was to develop a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in pancreatic cancer (PC).

Patients and methods

We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to analyze 53,028 patients diagnosed with PC from 2004 to 2014 and randomly divided them into the training (n=26,583) cohort and validation (n=26,445) cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to select independent prognostic factors. We used significant prognostic factors for constructing a nomogram based on Cox regression analyses. Validation of the nomogram was assessed by discrimination and calibration.

Results

According to the multivariate models of training cohort, a nomogram that combined age, race, tumor location, marital status, tumor size, TNM stage, tumor grade, and surgery was constructed for predicting CSS. The internally validated and externally validated C-indexes were 0.741 and 0.734, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the nomogram was able to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS accurately.

Conclusion

A nomogram effectively predicts survival in patients with PC. This prognostic model may be considered for use in clinical practice.