Comparison of different scoring systems in predicting short-term mortality after liver transplantation

Early predictors of prolonged intensive care utilization following liver transplantation

INTRODUCTION

Creatinine, bilirubin, and fibrinolysis resistance are associated with multi-organ dysfunction and likely risk factors for prolonged intensive care unit (pICU) stay following liver transplantation (LT). We hypothesize postoperative day-1 (POD-1) labs will predict pICU.

METHODS

LT recipients had clinical laboratories and viscoelastic testing with tissue plasminogen activator thrombelastography (tPA TEG) to quantify fibrinolysis resistance (LY30) on POD-1. pICU was defined as one week or longer in the ICU. Logistic regression was used to identify the relationship between POD-1 labs and pICU.

RESULTS

Of 304 patients, 50% went to the ICU, with 15% experiencing pICU. Elevated creatinine (OR 6.6, P ​< ​0.001) and low tPA TEG LY30 (OR 3.7, P ​= ​0.004) were independent predictors of pICU after controlling for other risk factors. A 9-fold increase in the rate of 90-day graft loss (19% vs 2% p ​< ​0.001) was observed patients who had these risk factors for pICU.

CONCLUSION

Elevated creatine and fibrinolysis resistance are associated with pICU and poor outcomes following LT.

Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score-Based Factors Predict Early Mortality in High-Risk Patients with Living Donor Liver Transplant

Background

Patients with a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score >7 on post-transplant day (POD) 7 have been reported to have a higher risk of short-term mortality after living donor liver transplant (LDLT). We sought to identify factors that were associated with early mortality in this high-risk population.

Material/Methods

A total of 102 patients with a high SOFA score (>7) on POD 7 were enrolled, of which 72 (70.6%) were assigned to the survivor group, and the other 30 (29.4%) patients were assigned to the non-survivor group according to post-transplant 3-month results. Demographics, clinical data, operative parameters, and individual SOFA component scores were collected. Independent risk factors for 3-month mortality were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis using backward elimination procedures.

Results

Of 102 high SOFA score patients, the 3-month mortality rate after LDLT in our study was 29.4%. Four independent risk factors were indicative for early death: graft-to-recipient weight ratio (GRWR) <0.8 (hazard ratio [HR]=3.00; 95% CI=1.05–8.09; P=0.041), longer warm ischemia time (HR=37.84; 95% CI=1.63–880.77; P=0.024), high liver component of the SOFA score, and cardiovascular component of the SOFA score (liver component: HR=10.39; 95% CI=1.77–60.89; P=0.009 and cardiovascular component: HR=13.34; 95% CI=2.22–80.12; P=0.005).

Conclusions

In conclusion, 3-month mortality among patients with high SOFA score on POD 7 is associated with multiple independent risk factors, including smaller GRWR, longer warm ischemia time, and higher category of liver and cardiovascular component of SOFA score. By recognizing high-risk patients earlier, the LDLT outcomes may be improved by timely intensive therapies.

Mapping nursing interventions using the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System in bloodless liver transplantations

BACKGROUND

The Simplified Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System adapted to liver transplantation by King's College Hospital rank 138 activities to determine the nursing workload, diagnostic, monitoring and therapeutic needs.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate nursing activities of "King's-TISS" score grouped in organ systems and nurse patient ratio in the perioperative 48 hours of blood product free liver transplantations (LT).

METHODS

The "King's-TISS" score's were analysed by nursing procedures and grouped, scored according to organ systems. The nursing workloads were studied during LT (T1), on arrival on the ICU (T2) and 12-24-48 hours after LT (T3-T4-T5).

RESULTS

The total of "King's-TISS" score points were decreased by ≥20% daily (p = 0.001). The mean score of 104 ± 3.5 points (CI:104-105) during LT decreased to 84.7 ± 12 points (CI:83-86) in 48 hours (T5). The "metabolic" and "haemostasis" points increased (p = ).01), the "immunology" points unchanged (T2-T5) postoperatively. A slight decrease was observed in case of "basic nursing care", "monitoring", "neurologic support", "renal support" and "cardiovascular support" points (T2-T5, p < .01). The "invasive intervention" and "ventilatory support" points strongly decreased (T2-T5, p < .001). One "King's-TISS" point was found to equal 7.4 minutes with a nurse patient ratio of 2:1 intraoperatively and 1:1 postoperatively.

CONCLUSION

Absence of blood product administration in LT decreases the total and organ specific workload, except the metabolic, haemostasis, immunology and basic support requirement. It was not within the scope of the King's-TISS score to analyse the application of viscoelastic haemostasis test and coagulation factor concentrate administration.

Efficacy of IgM-enriched Immunoglobulin for Vasopressor-resistant Vasoplegic Shock After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Vasoplegia is a clinical condition typically manifested by cardiovascular instability unresponsive to the usual doses of inotropes or vasopressors. It can occur in a variety of clinical settings including liver transplantation (LT). Immunoglobulins have been used to treat sepsis-related vasoplegia. We performed a retrospective study to evaluate the efficacy of IgM-enriched immunoglobulin (IgMIg) on 30-day mortality and its ability to reverse vasoplegia in patients undergoing LT.

METHODS

Between May 2013 and November 2017, 473 LT were performed at our institution. We identified 21 patients who received IgMIg for 3 days to treat vasoplegia. Patients included in the study met the criteria for having vasoplegia and required noradrenaline administration greater than 1 μg·kg·min for more than 24 hours to maintain a mean arterial pressure of 70 mm Hg or greater. Procalcitonin and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels were used as surrogate markers for inflammation and were measured at the beginning and end of IgM treatment.

RESULTS

After IgMIg administration, median noradrenaline infusion rates could be significantly reduced from 1.6 μg·kg·min (1.3-2 μg·kg·min) to 0.16 μg·kg·min (0.08-0.34 μg·kg·min) (P < 0.001). In addition, after treatment, procalcitonin levels decreased significantly from 44 ng/mL (24-158) to 26.1 ng/mL (10.9-48.7) (P < 0.001) and IL-6 levels decreased significantly from 63 pg/mL (29-102) to 20 pg/mL (11-20) (P < 0.001). Thirty-day morality was 14.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

The administration of IgMIg in patients with vasoplegia after LT is associated with a return of hemodynamic stability. Despite a predicted mortality of over 90% by Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment score, the mortality rate of patients receiving IgMIg in our study was less than 20%.

Postoperative Risk Factors and Outcome of Patients With Liver Transplantation Who Were Admitted to Pediatric Intensive Care Unit: A 10-Year Single-Center Review in China

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to present our 10-year experience of pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) management with pediatric liver recipients and to understand the importance of close interdisciplinary cooperation in 2 hospitals.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review study was performed according to our hospital's medical records and the pediatric liver transplant database of Renji hospital.

RESULTS

A total of 767 patients received liver transplantation (LT) performed in Renji hospital between October 2006 and December 2016, of which 97 of them were admitted to PICU in our center for various complications developed after transplantation. 8.8% (16/208) and 14.4% (81/559) of patients were transferred to PICU in stages I and II, respectively, and was comparable in the 2 stages (P = .017). The majority of patients was late postoperative children (median 185 post-LT days) in stage I. More patients were transferred to PICU directly in stage II. PICU admitted more younger (median 8.2 months) and early postoperative patients in stage II. The median length of PICU stay was 11.0 (6.0-20.5) days. The median length of mechanical ventilation was 5.0 (0.0-12.0) days. The most frequent complications were pulmonary complications (52 [53.6%] patients), surgical complications (22 [22.7%] patients), sepsis (7 [7.2%]), and other miscellaneous complications (16 [16.5%] patients). The overall 28-day PICU mortality was 25.8% (n = 25) and 64.0% (n = 16) of the deaths happened in the early postoperative period. There was significant difference concerning mortality in children with surgical complications and medical problems (54.5% [12/22] vs 17.3% [13/75], P = .001). Multivariate analysis by regression showed that the pediatric risk of mortality III score was the only independent prognostic factor (P = .031).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple complications occur in children with LT. Although challenging, interdisciplinary cooperation between different hospitals is an effective mean to enable children to maximize the benefit gained from LT in China.

SOFA Score Can Effectively Predict the Incidence of Sepsis and 30-Day Mortality in Liver Transplant Patients: A Retrospective Study

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to evaluate the early predictive value for postoperative sepsis and 30-day mortality in liver transplant patients using sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA).

METHODS

A total of 96 liver transplant patients were enrolled into this study from February 2015 to June 2018. The general information, biochemical findings, and postoperative 30-day mortality of these patients were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

The SOFA scores, C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT) at postoperative day (POD) 3, 5, and 7 were significantly higher in the sepsis group than in the non-sepsis group, and the differences were statistically significant. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that SOFA scores at POD 1, 3, 5, and 7 had higher sensitivity and specificity in predicting the incidence of sepsis within 30 days. The difference in 30-day survival rate between patients with SOFA scores of > 5 and patients with SOFA scores of ≤ 5 at POD 1-7 was statistically significant (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

SOFA scores at POD 1-7 can effectively predict the incidence of sepsis and 30-day mortality in liver transplant patients on the basis of CRP and PCT.

The EMALT Score: An Improved Model for Prediction of Early Mortality in Liver Transplant Recipients

PURPOSE

Needs, risks, and outcomes of patients admitted to a post liver transplant intensive care unit (POLTICU) differ in important ways from those admitted to pretransplant intensive care units (ICUs). The aim of this study was to create the optimal model to risk stratify POLTICU patients.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent first deceased donor liver transplantation (LT) at a large United States center between 2008 and 2014 were followed from admission to LT and to discharge or death. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess the value of various scores in predicting in-hospital mortality. A predictive model was developed using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 697 patients underwent LT, and 3.2% died without leaving the hospital. A model for in-hospital mortality was derived from variables available within 24 hours of admission to the POLTICU. Key variables best predicting survival were white blood cell count, 24-hour urine output, and serum glucose. A model using these variables performed with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.88, compared to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, which performed with AUCs of 0.74 and 0.60, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An improved model, the early mortality after LT (EMALT) score, performs better than conventional models in predicting in-hospital mortality after LT.

Mortality Predictors After Liver Transplant in the Intensive Care Unit

BACKGROUND

The goal of this study was to evaluate the predictive factors of mortality in patients after liver transplantation in an intensive care unit from the University Hospital.

METHODS

This observational study was conducted by using a database analysis of University Hospital. The sample consisted of patients after liver transplantation registered in the database. The study variables of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Disease Classification II (APACHE II), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, and Child-Pugh scores, and the days of hospitalization in intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation time, and reintubation rate, were correlated. Statistical analysis was performed by using the χ² test or Fisher exact test, the Mann-Whitney test, and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight individuals were analyzed. In the death group, the days of hospitalization in the intensive care unit were within 12 ± 14 days, the time of mechanical ventilation was 180 ± 148 hours, the APACHE II value was 17.6 ± 7.3, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was 8.2 ± 2.7, and reintubation was 40%. In the multivariate regression, the predictive indexes of mortality were the mortality given by APACHE II (odds ratio, 1.1; CI, 1.03-1.17; P = .004), mechanical ventilation time (odds ratio, 1.02; CI, 1.01-1.04; P = .001), and reintubation (odds ratio, 9.06; CI, 1.83-44.9; P = .007). An increase of 1 unit in APACHE II mortality increases the risk of death by 10.2%, and each hour of mechanical ventilation increases the risk of death by 2.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

The time of mechanical ventilation, orotracheal reintubation, and the mortality given by APACHE II were the variables that best predicted death in this study.

Risk Factors for Mortality in 272 Patients With Lung Transplant: A Multicenter Analysis of 7 Intensive Care Units

BACKGROUND

One-year survival in lung transplant is around 85%, but this figure has not increased in recent years, in spite of technical improvements.

METHODS

Retrospective, multicenter cohort study. Data from 272 eligible adults with lung transplant were recorded at 7 intensive care units (ICU) in Spain in 2013. The objective was to identify variables that might help to guide future clinical interventions in order to reducethe risk of death in the postoperative period.

RESULTS

One patient (0.3%) died in the operating room and 27 (10%) within 90 days. Twenty (7.4%) died within 28 days, after a median of 14 ICU days. Grade 3 pulmonary graft dysfunction was documented in 108 patients, of whom 21 died, compared with 6 out of 163 without pulmonary graft dysfunction (P<.001). At ICU admission, non-survivors had significantly lower (P=.03) median PaO2/FiO2 (200mmHg vs 280mmHg), and the difference increased after 24hours (178 vs 297mmHg, P<.001). Thirteen required extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and 7(53.8%) died. A logistic regression model identified pulmonary graft dysfunction (OR: 6.77), donor age>60yr (OR: 2.91) and SOFA>8 (OR: 2.53) as independent predictors of 90-day mortality. At ICU admission, higher median procalcitonin (1.6 vs 0.6) and lower median PaO2/FiO2 (200 vs 280mmHg) were significantly associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Graft dysfunction remains a significant problem in lung transplant. Early ICU interventions in patients with severe hypoxemia or high procalcitonin are crucial in order to lower mortality.

Risk factors of acute kidney injury after orthotopic liver transplantation in China

In this study, we determined the risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI) following orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in China. We collected 5074 donation after cardiac death (DCD) OLT recipients who underwent surgery between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2015, in 86 academic hospitals or transplant centers in China. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to investigate the criticality of donor, graft, or recipient variables in the development of post-OLT AKI. In all, 4482 patients were included (median age, 49.31 years). Post-OLT AKI occurred in 3.97% patients, and 73.6% of all OLT patients were male. The 1- and 5-year cumulative survival rates (CSRs) of the AKI group were 33.95% and 25.24%, respectively, compared with 86.34% and 70.05%, respectively, of the non-AKI group (P < 0.001). The independent risk factors for post-OLT AKI were blood loss, cold ischemia time, warm ischemia time, preoperative serum creatinine, the treatment period with dopamine, overexposure to calcineurin inhibitor, and combined mycophenolate mofetil use (P < 0.05). These had a high prediction accuracy for post-OLT AKI (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.740).

WITHDRAWN: Risk factors of acute kidney injury after orthotopic liver transplantation in China

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Predictive factors of short term outcome after liver transplantation: A review

Liver transplantation represents a fundamental therapeutic solution to end-stage liver disease. The need for liver allografts has extended the set of criteria for organ acceptability, increasing the risk of adverse outcomes. Little is known about the early postoperative parameters that can be used as valid predictive indices for early graft function, retransplantation or surgical reintervention, secondary complications, long intensive care unit stay or death. In this review, we present state-of-the-art knowledge regarding the early post-transplantation tests and scores that can be applied during the first postoperative week to predict liver allograft function and patient outcome, thereby guiding the therapeutic and surgical decisions of the medical staff. Post-transplant clinical and biochemical assessment of patients through laboratory tests (platelet count, transaminase and bilirubin levels, INR, factor V, lactates, and Insulin Growth Factor 1) and scores (model for end-stage liver disease, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation, sequential organ failure assessment and model of early allograft function) have been reported to have good performance, but they only allow late evaluation of patient status and graft function, requiring days to be quantified. The indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate has long been used as a liver function assessment technique and has produced interesting, although not univocal, results when performed between the 1^th and the 5^th day after transplantation. The liver maximal function capacity test is a promising method of metabolic liver activity assessment, but its use is limited by economic cost and extrahepatic factors. To date, a consensual definition of early allograft dysfunction and the integration and validation of the above-mentioned techniques, through the development of numerically consistent multicentric prospective randomised trials, are necessary. The medical and surgical management of transplanted patients could be greatly improved by using clinically reliable tools to predict early graft function.