Risk factors for poor outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in patients with initial favorable neurological status

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains a devastating diagnosis. A poor outcome is known to be highly dependent on the initial neurological status. Our goal was to identify other parameters that favor the risk of complications and poor outcome in patients with aSAH and initially favorable neurologic status.

METHODS

Consecutive aSAH cases treated at our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 with the initial World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades I-III were included. Data on demographic characteristics, previous medical history, initial aSAH severity, and functional outcome after aSAH were collected. The study endpoints were the occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after aSAH (modified Rankin scale > 3).

RESULTS

In the final cohort (n= 582), the rate of cerebral infarction, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome was 35.1%, 8.1%, and 17.6% respectively. The risk of cerebral infarction was independently related to the presence of acute hydrocephalus (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.33, p<0.0001), aneurysm clipping (aOR=1.78, p=0.003), and use of calcium channel blockers concomitant to nimodipine (aOR=2.63, p=0.002). Patients' age (>55 years, aOR=4.24, p<0.0001), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.43, p=0.036), and clipping (aOR=2.86, p=0.001) predicted in-hospital mortality. Baseline characteristics associated with unfavorable outcome at 6 months were age (aOR=2.77, p=<0.0001), Fisher grades III-IV (aOR=2.81, p=0.016), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.22, p=0.012), clipping (aOR=3.98, p<0.0001), admission C-reactive protein>1mg/dL (aOR=1.76, p=0.035), and treatment intervals (aOR=0.64 per-5-year-intervals, p=0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Although cerebral infarction is a common complication in aSAH individuals with favorable initial clinical condition, >80% of these patients show favorable long-term outcome. The knowledge of outcome-relevant baseline characteristics might help to reduce the burden of further complications and poor outcome in aSAH patients who tolerated the initial bleeding event well.

The role of previous medical history and secondary complications for the outcome of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) presents a devastating diagnosis for elderly individuals, resulting in high morbidity and mortality rates. The aim of the study was to analyze the impact of medical history and complications during SAH on the outcome of elderly patients.

METHODS

Consecutive SAH cases aged ≥ 65 years old treated in our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 were included (n = 218). Data on comorbidities, previous medication, initial severity, secondary complications, and the outcome were collected. Study endpoints were occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after SAH.

RESULTS

Cerebral infarcts were documented in 111 (51.2 % ) individuals. Multivariate analysis showed that angiographic vasospasm caused an increase (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 3.11, p = 0.022) in the risk of infarction, whereas aspirin treatment decreased (aOR = 0.25, p = 0.001) the risk of infarction. In turn, increasing age (aOR = 1.11, p = 0.002), intracranial hypertension (>20 mmHg, aOR = 3.32, p = 0.006) and acute kidney failure (aOR = 6.65, p = 0.035) during SAH were independently related to the risk of in-hospital mortality (n = 50; 22.9 % ). Finally, patients' age (aOR = 1.09, p = 0.022), high initial SAH burden (WFNS ≥ 4: aOR = 7.5, p < 0.0001; intraventricular hemorrhage: aOR = 4.38, p = 0.007), aneurysm clipping (aOR = 4.07, p = 0.018), and intracranial hypertension during SAH (aOR = 4.08, p = 0.006) were independent predictors of unfavorable outcome (n = 106/192; 55.5 % ). Previous medical history showed no negative impact on the severity, course and outcome of SAH.

CONCLUSION

About half of elderly SAH patients face poor outcomes after aneurysm securing. The initial severity of and complications during SAH are the major contributors to poor treatment results. Our findings might help to optimize the treatment strategies.

Circulating cytokine dynamics as potential biomarker of response to anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in BRAFwt MM patients

BACKGROUND

The biomarkers of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) efficacy and safety are still urgently needed. As cytokines are easily detected and monitored in circulation, they could be used as potential predictors of response and immune-related adverse events (irAEs) for ICIs therapy.

METHODS

The levels of TGF-β, IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10 were measured in sera and plasma by ELISA method of 30 healthy controls (HC) and 32 BRAF wild type (wt) MM patients before and after every 12 weeks of Pembrolizumab, PD-1 inhibitor, until one year or disease progression (DP).

RESULTS

Higher pretherapy levels of circulating TGF-β, IFN-γ, IL-6, and IL-10 were shown in MM patients compared to HC. In patients with disease control, TGF-β and IL-6 first decreased during the therapy, while then they started to successively increase reaching the initial values by the end of the follow up. Furthermore, in this group of patients IFN-γ increased, while IL-8 and IL-10 decreased at final points of the follow up. In patients with DP IL-6 increased at the time of progression, while IL-8 decreased when the best response was achieved. In patients with pseudoprogression IL-6 and IL-10 significantly increased compared to the pretreatment values. Melanoma patients with irAEs had increased baseline values of TGF-β, IFN-γ, IL-6, and IL-10 compared to HC. However, no significant changes in cytokines levels were found in these patients during therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory cytokines monitoring in circulation of BRAFwt MM patients could help in the selection of patients who will have the benefit from Pembrolizumab therapy.

[Long-term success after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation]

Ablation is an established treatment option for atrial fibrillation (AF) and is associated with convincing success rates and a reasonable safety profile. Ablation strategies going beyond pulmonary vein isolation in patients with chronic forms of AF are less well established and reproducible. Especially in patients with progressed AF forms multiple ablation procedures might be mandatory to achieve reasonable clinical success. An early ablation strategy might stop or prolong the progress from paroxysmal to persistent AF. In addition, ablation is more effective than drug-based treatment and comparably safe. Long-term success rates after a single and after multiple ablation procedures in paroxysmal AF are reported with 60-70% and up to 80%, while success rates in persistent or long-standing persistent AF are less favorable (single procedure 40-50%, multiple procedures 70%). However, currently non-recurrence of AF is the most established but potentially not the best endpoint. The burden of AF after ablation as assessed by novel monitoring modalities might gain further clinical importance.

Towards precision medicine in bariatric surgery prescription

Obesity is a complex, multifactorial and chronic disease. Bariatric surgery is a safe and effective treatment intervention for obesity and obesity-related diseases. However, weight loss after surgery can be highly heterogeneous and is not entirely predictable, particularly in the long-term after intervention. In this review, we present and discuss the available data on patient-related and procedure-related factors that were previously appointed as putative predictors of bariatric surgery outcomes. In addition, we present a critical appraisal of the available evidence on which factors could be taken into account when recommending and deciding which bariatric procedure to perform. Several patient-related features were identified as having a potential impact on weight loss after bariatric surgery, including age, gender, anthropometrics, obesity co-morbidities, eating behavior, genetic background, circulating biomarkers (microRNAs, metabolites and hormones), psychological and socioeconomic factors. However, none of these factors are sufficiently robust to be used as predictive factors. Overall, there is no doubt that before we long for precision medicine, there is the unmet need for a better understanding of the socio-biological drivers of weight gain, weight loss failure and weight-regain after bariatric interventions. Machine learning models targeting preoperative factors and effectiveness measurements of specific bariatric surgery interventions, would enable a more precise identification of the causal links between determinants of weight gain and weight loss. Artificial intelligence algorithms to be used in clinical practice to predict the response to bariatric surgery interventions could then be created, which would ultimately allow to move forward into precision medicine in bariatric surgery prescription.

Dysfunctional self-reported interoception predicts residual symptom burden of fatigue in major depressive disorder: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Fatigue is a core symptom of major depressive disorder (MDD) and is frequently refractory to antidepressant treatment, leading to unfavorable clinical/psychosocial outcomes. Dysfunctional self-reported interoception (i.e., maladaptive focus on the body's physiological condition) is prevalent in MDD and could contribute to residual symptom burden of fatigue. Therefore, we explored (a.) cross-sectional correlations between both dimensions and investigated (b.) prospective associations between interoceptive impairments at admission and symptom severity of fatigue at the end of hospitalization.

METHODS

This observational, exploratory study included 87 patients suffering from MDD who completed self-rating scales, the Multidimensional Assessment of Interoceptive Awareness, Version 2 (MAIA-2), and the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI-20), at the beginning and end of hospitalization. Bivariate correlations (r) and hierarchical regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

The cross-sectional analysis showed moderate to large negative correlations between the MAIA-2 and MFI-20 dimensions except for the Not-Distracting scale. Symptoms of general, physical, and mental fatigue at the end of hospitalization were predicted by reduced body Trusting (β = -.31, p = .01; β = -.28, p = .02; β = -.31, p = .00, respectively). Increased Body Listening (β = .37, p = .00), Not-Worrying (β = .26, p = .02), and diminished Attention Regulation (β = -.32, p = .01) predicted higher mental fatigue.

CONCLUSIONS

Diminished body confidence at baseline identified patients at risk for post-treatment fatigue and could therefore serve as a target for improving antidepressant therapy. Body-centered, integrative approaches could address treatment-resistant fatigue in MDD. However, clinicians may also consider the potential adverse effect of increased Body Listening and Not-Worrying on mental fatigue in psychotherapeutic and counselling approaches. Due to the exploratory nature of this study, the results are preliminary and need to be replicated in pre-registered trials with larger sample sizes.

Therapeutic outcome and long-term naturalistic follow-up of female adolescent outpatients with AN: clinical, personality and psychopathology evolution, process indicators and outcome predictors

BACKGROUND

Anorexia nervosa (AN) is a serious mental illness of growing prevalence in childhood and adolescence. Despite its severity, there are still no completely satisfactory evidence-based treatments. Follow-up studies represent the most effective attempt to enlighten treatment effectiveness, outcome predictors and process indicators.

METHODS

Seventy-three female participants affected with AN were assessed at intake (T0) and at 6 (T1) and 12 (T2) months of an outpatient multimodal treatment program. Nineteen participants were assessed 15 years after discharge (T3). Changes in diagnostic criteria were compared with the chi-square test. Clinical, personality and psychopathology evolution were tested with ANOVA for repeated measures, using the t-test or Wilcoxon test as post-hoc. T0 features among dropout, stable and healed participants were compared. Healed and unhealed groups at long-term follow-up were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Treatment changes were correlated to each other and with intake features using multivariate regression.

RESULTS

The rate of complete remission was 64.4% at T2, and 73.7% at T3. 22% of participants maintained a full diagnosis at T2, and only 15.8% at T3. BMI significantly increased at each time-point. A significant decrease of persistence and increase in self-directedness were evidenced between T0 and T2. Interoceptive awareness, drive to thinness, impulsivity, parent-rated, and adolescent-rated general psychopathology significantly decreased after treatment. Lower reward dependence and lower cooperativeness characterized the dropout group. The healed group displayed lower adolescent-rated aggressive and externalizing symptoms, and lower parent-rated delinquent behaviors. BMI, personality and psychopathology changes were related with each other and with BMI, personality and psychopathology at intake.

CONCLUSION

A 12-months outpatient multimodal treatment encompassing psychiatric, nutritional and psychological approaches is an effective approach for the treatment of mild to moderate AN in adolescence. Treatment was associated not only with increased BMI but also with positive personality development, and changes in both eating and general psychopathology. Lower relational abilities may be an obstacle to healing. Approaches to treatment resistance should be personalized according to these finding.

Predicting the outcome of plantar heel pain in adults: a systematic review of prognostic factors

BACKGROUND

Plantar Heel Pain (PHP) is a common disorder with many treatment pathways and is not self-limiting, hence prognostic information concerning recovery or recalcitrance is needed to guide practice. In this systematic review, we investigate which prognostic factors are associated with favourable or unfavourable PHP outcomes.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE, Scopus and PubMed electronic bibliographic databases were searched for studies evaluating baseline patient characteristics associated with outcomes in prospective longitudinal cohorts or after specific interventions. Cohort, clinical prediction rule derivation and single arms of randomised controlled trials were included. Risk of bias was evaluated with method-specific tools and evidence certainty with GRADE.

RESULTS

The review included five studies which evaluated 98 variables in 811 participants. Prognostic factors could be categorised as demographics, pain, physical and activity-related. Three factors including sex and bilateral symptoms (HR: 0.49[0.30-0.80], 0.33[0.15-0.72], respectively) were associated with a poor outcome in a single cohort study. The remaining four studies reported twenty factors associated with a favourable outcome following shockwave therapy, anti-pronation taping and orthoses. Heel spur (AUC = 0.88[0.82-0.93]), ankle plantar-flexor strength (Likelihood ratio (LR): 2.17[1.20-3.95]) and response to taping (LR = 2.17[1.19-3.90]) were the strongest factors predicting medium-term improvement. Overall, the study quality was low. A gap map analysis revealed an absence of research that included psychosocial factors.

CONCLUSIONS

A limited number of biomedical factors predict favourable or unfavourable PHP outcomes. High quality, adequately powered, prospective studies are required to better understand PHP recovery and should evaluate the prognostic value of a wide range of variables, including psychosocial factors.

Self-reported bio-psycho-social factors partially distinguish patellar tendinopathy from other knee problems and explain patellar tendinopathy severity in jumping athletes: A case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To determine what combinations of self-reported factors distinguish patellar tendinopathy (PT) from other knee problems, and explain PT severity variance.

DESIGN

Case-control study.

SETTING

Social media, private practice and National Health Service.

PARTICIPANTS

An international sample of jumping athletes diagnosed with either PT (n = 132; 30.7 ± 8.9 years; 80 males; VISA-P = 61.6 ± 16.0) or another musculoskeletal knee condition (n = 89; 31.8 ± 9.9 years; 47 males; VISA-P = 62.9 ± 21.2) by a clinician in the last 6 months.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We considered clinical diagnosis (case = having PT vs control = having other knee problems) as the dependent variable. Severity and sporting impact were defined by VISA-P and availability, respectively.

RESULTS

A model comprising seven factors distinguished PT from other knee problems; training duration (OR = 1.10), sport type (OR = 2.31), injured side (OR = 2.28), pain onset (OR = 1.97), morning pain (OR = 1.89), condition acceptability (OR = 0.39) and swelling (OR = 0.37). Sports-specific function (OR = 1.02) and player level (OR = 4.11) explained sporting availability. 44% of PT severity variance was explained by quality of life (β = 0.32), sports-specific function (β = 0.38) and age (β = -0.17).

CONCLUSION

Sports-specific, biomedical and psychological factors partially distinguish PT from other knee problems. Availability is mainly explained by sports-specific factors, while psychosocial factors impact on severity. Adding sports-specific and bio-psycho-social factors into assessments could help better identification and management of jumping athletes with PT.

Outcome predictors and clinical presentation of syringomyelia

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of syringomyelia is not yet established. Syringomyelia derived from different etiologies contributes to similar symptoms.

OBJECTIVE

Assess the syringomyelia in our medical institutes and describe the etiologies and clinical appearance of the disorder. And identify the predictors of a good outcome and to find the most suitable timing of surgical intervention according to our results.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used databases in our hospitals to analyze 70 cases of syringomyelia between 1997 and 2014. All available information was obtained from medical records and radiological reports. We used American Spinal Injuries Association disability scores (ASIA scores), the modified Nurick classification system, and recorded the number of days the patient was hospitalized, for neurological and functional assessment. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to evaluate the relationship between clinical factors and outcomes.

RESULTS

Non-communicating syringomyelia was the most common type of syringomyelia. In univariate analysis, autonomic dysfunction and motor impairment were strong predictors of poor neurological and functional outcomes. In addition to the above factors, syrinxes at the cervical level predicted better functional outcomes than at any spinal level in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Motor impairment, which is commonly seen in patients with syringomyelia in Taiwan, is a strong predictor to poor neurological and functional outcomes. Our study indicates that patients without autonomic dysfunction or motor impairment should receive timely surgical intervention to prevent symptomatic deterioration. We also found that cervical syringomyelia in particular has the potential for good functional recovery after adequate intervention.

Clinical Outcome and Prognostic Factors of Patients with Perimesencephalic and Nonperimesencephalic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To demonstrate the clinical outcome of patients with nonperimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage (npSAH) compared with patients with aneurysmal SAH (aSAH) and perimesencephalic SAH (pSAH) and to evaluate predictive value of various clinical and radiological findings in patients with npSAH.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients with SAH who presented at our institution between 2009 and 2018. We analyzed demographic and clinical data and outcomes. Multivariable analysis was performed for outcome parameters.

RESULTS

Of 608 patients with confirmed SAH, 78% had aSAH, and 22% had nonaneurysmal SAH. Nonaneurysmal SAH was perimesencephalic in 30% of cases and nonperimesencephalic in 70%. Initial clinical status (Hunt and Hess score) was significantly worse in patients with aSAH compared with patients with nonaneurysmal SAH. Complications such as delayed cerebral ischemia occurred significantly more often in patients with aSAH. Patients with pSAH had a more favorable clinical course than patients with aSAH or npSAH. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between aSAH (29%) and npSAH (28%) patients (P = 0.835). Hunt and Hess score emerged as a strong predictor of unfavorable outcome in both aSAH and npSAH in multivariable regression.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with npSAH had a similar clinical outcome as patients with aSAH, although there were significantly fewer clinical complications in patients with npSAH. Patients with pSAH demonstrated an overall good clinical course. Our multivariable analysis showed that initial Hunt and Hess score was an important predictor for clinical outcome in aSAH as well as npSAH.

Temporal variation of optical coherence tomography biomarkers as predictors of anti-VEGF treatment outcomes in diabetic macular edema

PURPOSE

To report a longitudinal analysis of specific optical coherence tomography (OCT) features in eyes with diabetic macular edema (DME) treated with anti-VEGF.

METHODS

A total of 133 eyes of 103 consecutive patients with center-involving DME were included in the study. The eyes were treated between August 2008 and April 2019 with three monthly intravitreal anti-VEGF injections, either with or without prompt or deferred laser, followed by pro re nata (PRN) re-treatment. The following OCT biomarkers were evaluated: subfoveal neuroretinal detachment (SND) (defined as present (SND+) or absent (SND-)), hyperreflective retinal foci (HRF) number (defined as: absent/few(HRF-) or moderate/many (HRF+)), external limiting membrane (ELM) integrity, central macular thickness (CMT), and central retinal thickness (CRT). Changes in SND status and in the number of HRF were evaluated at each DME recurrence throughout the follow-up(FU) period. Mutual correlation among OCT biomarkers and their relationship with visual and anatomic outcomes were assessed both at baseline and over the FU period.

RESULTS

The mean FU was 71.2 months (SD 28.4; min. 12-max. 111). At baseline, the prevalence of SRD+ was 27.8% and a high number of HRF were detected in 41.4% of the eyes. A significant reduction in the number of HRF, CMT, CRT, and in the prevalence of SND was recorded in the post-loading phase (p-value <0.0001). In DME recurrences, the presence of SND+ and HRF+ was significantly more frequent in eyes with baseline SND+ and HRF+ compared to eyes presenting baseline SND- and HRF- (p-value <0.0001). No role of SND (p-value: 0.926) and HRF (p-value: 0.281) as baseline predictors of visual and anatomic outcomes was demonstrated, while a worse visual outcome was significantly correlated with a higher incidence of relapsing SND+ (p-value <0.0001) and HRF+ (p-value <0.0028) throughout the FU period.

CONCLUSION

In this study, SND and HRF were frequently present in DME recurrences with the same pattern exhibited at baseline, suggesting that these OCT biomarkers may characterize a specific pattern of DME that repeats over time. Moreover, the results suggested that the persistence and recurrence of SND and HRF may account for a decrease in visual function more than the baseline prevalence of these biomarkers. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

Predictors for progressive fibrosis in patients with connective tissue disease associated interstitial lung diseases

BACKGROUND

Connective tissue disease associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD) is associated with decreased quality of life and high mortality risk. Outcome and treatment response is unpredictable. This study aimed to identify clinical predictors for CTD-ILD with poor outcome.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective single centre cohort study in outpatients with CTD-ILD seen between 2004 and 2018. Clinical and biochemical data, pulmonary function tests (PFT) and high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) results were analysed. Overall survival and progressive fibrosing ILD (PF-ILD, defined as a significant deterioration of PFT or HRCT) after two years of follow-up were assessed.

RESULTS

In total, 150 patients with CTD-ILD were included. Thirty (20%) deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 40 months (IQR 27.3-60.8), which were attributed to pulmonary infection in six (4%), respiratory failure due to PF-ILD in ten (7%) and due to other causes in fourteen patients. PF-ILD occurred in 76 (50.7%) patients and was associated with poor overall survival (adjusted HR 5.73, 95%CI 1.17-28.11). Age, smoking, C-reactive protein, and steroid-use were independently associated with increased mortality risk as well. Furthermore, patients with diabetes mellitus (adjusted OR 4.52, 95%CI 1.10-18.51), steroid-use (adjusted OR 2.26, 95%CI 1.04-4.93), and a fibrotic HRCT pattern at baseline (adjusted OR 3.11, 95%CI 1.15-8.38) had a higher risk of PF-ILD.

CONCLUSION

PF-ILD is associated with increased mortality in patients with CTD-ILD. Patients with a fibrotic HRCT pattern at baseline, diabetes mellitus and steroid-use have a higher risk of developing PF-ILD.

Serum bile acid levels assist the prediction of biliary stricture and survival after liver transplantation in children

Biliary stricture is an important biliary complication after liver transplant in children. We aimed to investigate the utility of serum bile acid levels for prediction of biliary stricture in children after liver transplant. This study enrolled 60 children who underwent liver transplantation at a mean age of 2.04±0.30 years; serum bile acid levels were surveyed in a cross-sectional design. These patients were followed regularly at our institute, and the clinical data were collected prospectively. The major indication of liver transplant in this pediatric cohort was biliary atresia (78.33%). During the follow-up period (3.08±0.30 years), nine patients (15%) developed biliary stricture after the check of serum bile acid. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis yielded a serum bile acid cutoff of >40 μM for the prediction of biliary stricture (P = 0.002). A serum bile acid level >40 is the most important predictor of a biliary stricture after liver transplant (odds ratio=65.65, P = 0.003) after adjusting for gender and GGT levels. The phenomenon remained on Cox's proportional hazard survival analysis (hazard ratio =15.42, P = 0.001). The mortality risk after liver transplant was significantly higher in subjects with serum bile acid levels >40 μM than in those with levels ≤40 μM (log-rank test, P = 0.004).Conclusion: Serum bile acid levels can be used for non-invasive screening and prediction of biliary stricture and mortality in children after liver transplantation. What is Known: • Biliary stricture is a major biliary complication after pediatric liver transplantation, and we showed the serum bile acid level significantly associates with biliary stricture. What is New: • In this study, we demonstrated the serum bile acid level may assist in the early detection of biliary stricture and mortality non-invasively.

Simple electrophysiological predictor of QRS change induced by cardiac resynchronization therapy: A novel marker of complete left bundle branch block

BACKGROUND

QRS complex shortening by cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has been associated with improved outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that the absence of QRS duration (QRSd) prolongation by right ventricular mid-septal pacing (RVP) may indicate complete left bundle branch block (cLBBB).

METHODS

We prospectively collected 12-lead surface electrocardiograms (ECGs) and intracardiac electrograms during CRT implant procedures. Digital recordings were edited and manually measured. The outcome measure was a change in QRSd induced by CRT (delta CRT). Several outcome predictors were investigated: native QRSd, cLBBB (by using Strauss criteria), interval between the onset of the QRS complex and the local left ventricular electrogram (Q-LV), and a newly proposed index defined by the difference between RVP and native QRSd (delta RVP).

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-three consecutive patients were included in the study. Delta RVP was 27 ± 25 ms, and delta CRT was -14 ± 28 ms. Delta CRT correlated with native QRSd (r = -0.65), with the presence of ECG-based cLBBB (r = -0.40), with Q-LV (r = -0.68), and with delta RVP (r = 0.72) (P < .00001 for all correlations). In multivariable analysis, delta CRT was most strongly associated with delta RVP (P < .00001), followed by native QRSd and Q-LV, while ECG-based cLBBB became a nonsignificant factor.

CONCLUSION

Baseline QRSd, delta RVP, and LV electrical lead position (Q-LV) represent strong independent predictors of ECG response to CRT. The absence of QRSd prolongation by RVP may serve as an alternative and more specific marker of cLBBB. Delta RVP correlates strongly with the CRT effect on QRSd and outperforms the predictive value of ECG-based cLBBB.

Sex Differences in Outcome After Thrombectomy for Acute Ischemic Stroke are Explained by Confounding Factors

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to analyze sex differences in outcome after thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke in clinical practice in a large prospective multicenter registry.

METHODS

Data of consecutive stroke patients treated with thrombectomy (June 2015-April 2018) derived from an industry-independent registry (German Stroke Registry-Endovascular Treatment) were prospectively analyzed. Multivariable binary logistic regression analyses were applied to determine whether sex is a predictor of functional independence outcome (defined as a modified Rankin scale [mRS] 0-2) 90 days after stroke.

RESULTS

In total, 2316 patients were included in the analysis, 1170 (50.5%) were female and 1146 (49.5%) were male. Women were older (median age 78 vs. 72 years; p < 0.001) and more frequently had a prestroke functional impairment defined by mRS >1 (24.8% vs. 14.1%; p < 0.001). In unadjusted analyses, independent outcome at 90 days was less frequent in women (33.2%) than men (40.6%; p < 0.001). Likewise, mortality was higher in women than in men (30.7% vs. 26.4%; p = 0.024). In adjusted regression analyses, however, sex was not associated with outcome. Lower age, a lower baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, a higher Alberta Stroke Program Early CT score, prestroke functional independence, successful reperfusion, and concomitant intravenous thrombolysis therapy predicted independent outcome.

CONCLUSION

Women showed a worse functional outcome after thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke in clinical practice; however, after adjustment for crucial confounders sex was not a predictor of outcome. The difference in outcome thus appears to result from differences in confounding factors such as age and prestroke functional status.

The outcome at follow-up after inpatient eating disorder treatment: a naturalistic study

BACKGROUND

Patients with eating disorders may experience a severe and enduring course of illness. Treatment outcome for patients provided with inpatient treatment is reported as poor. Research to date has not provided consistent results for predictors of treatment outcome. The aims of the study were to investigate rates of remission at follow-up after inpatient treatment, symptom change from admission to follow-up, and predictors of treatment outcome.

METHODS

The follow-up sample consisted of 150 female adult former patients (69.4% of all eligible female patients) with eating disorders. Mean age at admission was 21.7 (SD = 4.9) years. Diagnostic distribution: 66% (n = 99) anorexia nervosa, 21.3% (n = 32) bulimia nervosa and 12.7% (n = 19) other specified feeding or eating disorder, including binge eating. Data were collected at admission, discharge and follow-up (mean 2.7 (SD = 1.9) years). Definition of remission was based on the EDE-Q Global score, body mass index and binge/purge behavior. Paired T-tests were performed to investigate change over time. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were estimated to investigate predictors of remission.

RESULTS

At follow-up, 35.2% of the participants were classified as in remission. Significant symptom reduction (in all patients) (p <  0.001) and significant increase in body mass index (BMI) (in underweight participants at admission) (p <  0.001) was found. Increased BMI (p <  0.05), the level of core eating disorder symptoms at admission (p <  0.01) and reduced core eating disorder symptoms (p <  0.01) during inpatient treatment were found significant predictors of outcome in the multivariate model.

CONCLUSIONS

All participants had an eating disorder requiring inpatient treatment. Approximately one-third of all participants could be classified as in remission at follow-up. However, most participants experienced significant symptom improvement during inpatient treatment and the improvements were sustained at follow-up. Increased probability of remission at follow-up was indicated by lower core ED symptoms at admission for all patients, raised BMI during admission for patients with AN, and reduced core ED symptoms during inpatient treatment for all patients. This finding contributes important information and highlights the importance of targeting these core symptoms in transdiagnostic treatment programs.

Gap Analysis Regarding Prognostication in Neurocritical Care: A Joint Statement from the German Neurocritical Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society

Background/Objective

Prognostication is a routine part of the delivery of neurocritical care for most patients with acute neurocritical illnesses. Numerous prognostic models exist for many different conditions. However, there are concerns about significant gaps in knowledge regarding optimal methods of prognostication.

Methods

As part of the Arbeitstagung NeuroIntensivMedizin meeting in February 2018 in Würzburg, Germany, a joint session on prognostication was held between the German NeuroIntensive Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society. The purpose of this session was to provide presentations and open discussion regarding existing prognostic models for eight common neurocritical care conditions (aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, acute ischemic stroke, traumatic brain injury, traumatic spinal cord injury, status epilepticus, Guillain–Barré Syndrome, and global cerebral ischemia from cardiac arrest). The goal was to develop a qualitative gap analysis regarding prognostication that could help inform a future framework for clinical studies and guidelines.

Results

Prognostic models exist for all of the conditions presented. However, there are significant gaps in prognostication in each condition. Furthermore, several themes emerged that crossed across several or all diseases presented. Specifically, the self-fulfilling prophecy, lack of accounting for medical comorbidities, and absence of integration of in-hospital care parameters were identified as major gaps in most prognostic models.

Conclusions

Prognostication in neurocritical care is important, and current prognostic models are limited. This gap analysis provides a summary assessment of issues that could be addressed in future studies and evidence-based guidelines in order to improve the process of prognostication.

Patellar tendinopathy outcome predictors in jumping athletes: feasibility of measures for a cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The main aim was to assess feasibility by testing data collection procedures for a cohort study. Measurements validity and reliability were secondary objectives.

DESIGN

Feasibility study.

SETTING

Combination of remote contact, assessment in clinic and biomechanical evaluation.

PARTICIPANTS

36 jumping athletes (female:17, male:19) equally spread between those with patellar tendinopathy, other knee problems and controls.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Measurements validity, reliability and feasibility.

RESULTS

There was no systematic difference between administration methods for patient reported outcome measures and miscellaneous questions (range of d = -0.32 to 0.26) without any order effect (all p > 0.05) except KOOS-PF (p = 0.02). Questionnaires' inter-session reliability was moderate to excellent (ICCs = 0.68-0.93). Pain maps were 94% matched between methods. Training load recall percentage decreased until week-3 with only 20% maintaining a training diary completing the full 6 weeks. The graded loaded challenge was clinically applicable, biomechanically valid with increasing load through progression and reliable (ICCs = 0.63-0.98).

CONCLUSION

The tested questionnaires were valid and reliable for online use, therefore being suitable for clinical and research purposes. A shorter survey to reduce burden and collecting training load using shorter recall duration should improve feasibility. Biomechanical measures were valid and reliable, and a graded loaded challenge, suitable for further testing, has been defined.

Endoscopic treatment modalities and outcomes in nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding

BACKGROUND

In nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB), the optimal volume of adrenaline, the optimal number of hemoclips, and the application of thermal coagulation in determining patient outcomes have not been well studied.

AIM

To demonstrate a dose-response relationship between the commonly used endoscopic modalities for the treatment of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding and various clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Patients presenting with NVUGIB were retrospectively identified and analyzed. These patients were stratified as follows: (1) > 10 mL of adrenaline injected vs ≤ 10 mL; (2) > 1 hemoclip placed vs ≤ 1 hemoclip; (3) Heater probe used or not; and (4) > 2 treatment modalities used vs ≤ 2. The primary outcomes were rebleeding and the need for repeat endoscopy. The secondary outcomes were the need for surgery, required transfusions, length of hospital stay, death during the same admission period and 30 d mortality. Patients with NVUGIB who required endoscopic therapy were included. Those who did not require endoscopic therapy or were initially treated with surgery or embolization were excluded.

RESULTS

In all, 501 patients with NVUGIB were treated. One hundred sixty-one (32.1%) patients needed endoscopic therapy. The injection of < 10 mL of adrenaline was associated with less rebleeding (P < 0.0001), the need for repeat endoscopy (P = 0.001) and a decreased length of hospital stay (P = 0.026). The use of > 2 treatment modalities were associated with increased rebleeding (P = 0.009) and the need for repeat endoscopy (P = 0.048). The placement of > 1 hemoclip was associated with a decreased length of hospital stay (P = 0.044). The rates of surgery and death were low, and there were no other significant differences between the patient groups.

CONCLUSION

The more restrictive use of adrenaline and number of endoscopic modalities to treat NVUGIB with the more liberal use of hemoclips was associated with better patient outcomes.

Predictors for poor outcome of hospitalized children with inflammatory bowel disease

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) exacerbations may lead to prolonged and complicated hospitalizations. The characteristics of exacerbation-related hospitalizations and predictors for poor outcome of pediatric patients hospitalized due to IBD have not been thoroughly described. All children who were hospitalized due to IBD exacerbation in a tertiary referral center between 2004 and 2017 were enrolled. Data on demographic and disease characteristics before and during hospitalization were retrospectively reviewed, as was the course of hospitalization, including laboratory findings, diagnostic work-up, and management. Poor outcomes were defined as prolonged hospitalization (≥ 7 days) and/or the need for surgery during hospitalization. There were 181 hospitalizations of 78 IBD children with a median (IQR) age of 14.8 (11.8-16.2) years. They included 53 (67.9%) with Crohn's disease and 25 (32.1%) with ulcerative colitis. In a multivariate analysis, severe disease activity at hospitalization (odds ratio [OR] = 3.33, P = 0.013), lower weight percentile (OR = 0.98, P = 0.009), treatment with antibiotics (OR = 5.03, P = 0.001), blood transfusion (OR = 8.03, P = 0.003), undergoing endoscopy (OR = 2.73, P = 0.027), and imaging studies during hospitalization (OR = 3.61, P = 0.001) predicted prolonged hospitalization. Surgical intervention was performed in 16 patients (8.8%), due to penetrating (OR = 7.73, P = 0.019) and stricturing disease (OR = 12.38, P < 0.001).Conclusion: We identified predictors for poor outcomes of children hospitalized due to IBD. Among the variables that can be measured at the beginning of the admission, severe disease activity was the most significant predictor recognition of these predictors that may contribute to modification of patient management.What is Known:• Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients may require hospitalization due to disease exacerbation or treatment-related complications.• Hospitalizations of IBD patients constitute a heavy emotional burden on patients and families.What is New:• Lower weight percentile, severe disease activity, and a lower albumin level were predictors for prolonged hospitalization in children with IBD.• Recognition of these predictors may contribute to modification of patient management.

Functional outcome predictors following mandibular reconstruction with osteocutaneous fibula free flaps: correlating early postoperative videofluoroscopic swallow studies with long-term clinical results

Background

Advancements in the field of microvascular surgery and the widespread adoption of microvascular surgical techniques have made the use of osteocutaneous fibula free flaps the standard of care in the surgical management of segmental mandibular defects. Although the literature possesses abundant evidence to support the effectiveness of fibula free flaps as a reconstructive method, there are relatively few studies reporting on outcomes as objectively measured by videofluoroscopic swallowing studies (VFSS). The purpose of this study is to explore the potential correlation between early postoperative VFSS and the long-term swallowing outcomes in patients who underwent mandibular reconstruction with fibula free flaps.

Methods

We performed a retrospective chart review of 36 patients who underwent mandibular reconstruction with osteocutaneous fibular free flaps between 2009 and 2012. Demographics, clinical variables, VFSS data, and diet information were retrieved. Penetration and aspiration findings on VFSS, long-term oral feeding ability, and the need for gastrostomy tube were statistical endpoints correlated with postoperative clinical outcomes.

Results

Thirty-six patients were reviewed (15 females and 21 males) with a mean age of 54 years (7-81). Seventeen cases were treated for malignancy. The size of the bony defect ranged from 3 to 15 cm (mean = 9 cm). The cutaneous paddle, a surrogate for soft tissue defect, ranged from 10 to 125 cm² (mean = 52 cm²). A gastrostomy tube was present in patients preoperatively (n = 8), and postoperatively (n = 14). Seventeen patients had neoadjuvant exposure to radiation. Postoperative VFSS showed penetration in 13 cases (36%) and aspiration in seven (19%). Overall, 29 patients (80.6%) achieved unrestricted diet, and this was statistically correlated with age (p = 0.037), radiation therapy (p = 0.002), and preoperative gastrostomy tube (p = 0.03). The presence of penetration or aspiration on VFSS was a strong predictor for long-term unrestricted oral diet (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Early postoperative VFSS is an excellent predictor for long-term swallowing outcomes in patients undergoing mandibular reconstruction with osteocutaneous fibula free flaps.

Prognostic factors of postoperative seizure outcome in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy and normal magnetic resonance imaging

PURPOSE

To retrospectively analyse a single-centre consecutive surgical series of patients with temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) and negative MRI. To identify factors associated with postoperative seizure outcome among several presurgical, surgical and postsurgical variables.

METHODS

Clinical records of 866 patients who received temporal lobe resections and with a minimum follow-up of 12 months were retrospectively searched for MRI-negative cases. Anamnestic, clinical, neurophysiological, surgical, histopathological and postsurgical data were collected. Seizure outcome was categorised as favourable (Engel's class I) and unfavourable (Engel's classes II-IV). Uni- and multivariate statistical analysis was performed to identify variables having a significant association with seizure outcome.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients matched the inclusion criteria. 26 (54.1%) patients required invasive EEG evaluation with Stereo-electro-encephalography (SEEG) before surgery. Histological evaluation was unremarkable in 34 cases (70.8%), revealed focal cortical dysplasias in 13 cases and hippocampal sclerosis in 2. 28 (58.3%) patients were in Engel's class I after a mean follow-up of 82 months (SD ± 74; range 12-252). Multivariate analysis indicated auditory aura, contralateral diffusion of the discharge at Video-EEG monitoring and use of ¹⁸F-FDG PET as variables independently associated with seizure outcome.

CONCLUSION

Carefully selected patients with MRI-negative TLE can be good candidates for surgery. Surgery should be considered with caution in patients with clinical features of neocortical seizure onset and contralateral propagation of the discharge. Use of ¹⁸F-FDG PET may be helpful to improve SEEG and surgical strategies. The presented data help in optimising the selection of patients with MRI-negative TLE with good chances to benefit from surgery.

Wilms tumour event-free and overall survival in Southern and Eastern Europe: Pooled analyses of clinical data from four childhood cancer registries (1999-2017)

BACKGROUND

Wilms tumour (WT) management represents a success story in pediatric oncology. We aimed to assess, for the first time, the event-free survival (EFS) vs. overall survival (OS) in Southern and Eastern Europe (SEE) using harmonised clinical data collected by childhood cancer registries and to identify respective prognostic factors.

METHODS

From 1999 to 2017, data for incident WT cases aged 0-14 years from 3 nationwide (Greece, Belarus and Slovenia) and one regional (Greater Poland) SEE registries were collected following common coding. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed, and EFS vs. OS values were derived from Cox proportional hazard models by study variables.

RESULTS

A total of 338 WT cases (45.6% males; median age, 3.19 years; age<5 years, 75%) were included in the analyses. Bilateral were 21 tumours (6.2%). Among the 317 unilateral cases, the majority (93.7%) received International Society of Pediatric Oncology-based protocols; EFS_5-year was 85.1%, and OS_5-year 91.1%; both outcomes were significantly worse in stage IV patients or in those with high-risk/unfavourable histology. Relapse rate among high-risk/unfavourable histology cases was 2.3 times higher than among low-intermediate risk/favourable histology cases, with respective death rate 5.6 times higher. Both relapse and death rates increased significantly in patients with advanced anatomical stage and high-risk/unfavourable histology. Finally, significantly worse was the outcome in bilateral tumours (OS_5-year: 76.3%) vs. unilateral non-metastatic tumours (OS_5-year: 94.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results delineate the potential of high-quality childhood cancer registration entailing clinical data to assess predictors of WT outcome over and beyond those derived from enrolment into clinical trials. Specifically, outcomes among children with WT residing in the four participating SEE countries were comparable with those reported by major cooperative international groups, albeit somehow inferior. Despite the excellent overall prognosis, however, subgroups of patients with advanced or bilateral disease and/or high-risk histology still suffer poor outcomes.

Intensive Care Unit Admission for Patients in the INTERACT2 ICH Blood Pressure Treatment Trial: Characteristics, Predictors, and Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Wide variation exists in criteria for accessing intensive care unit (ICU) facilities for managing patients with critical illnesses such as acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We aimed to determine the predictors of admission, length of stay, and outcome for ICU among participants of the main Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trial (INTERACT2).

METHODS

INTERACT2 was an international, open, blinded endpoint, randomized controlled trial of 2839 ICH patients (<6 h) and elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) allocated to receive intensive (target SBP <140 mmHg within 1 h) or guideline-recommended (target SBP <180 mmHg) BP-lowering treatment. The primary outcome was death or major disability, defined by modified Rankin scale scores 3-6 at 90 days. Logistic regression and propensity score analyses were used to determine independent associations.

MAIN RESULTS

Predictors of ICU admission included younger age, recruitment in China, prior ischemic/undetermined stroke, high SBP, severe stroke [National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score ≥15], large ICH volume (≥15 mL), intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) extension, early neurological deterioration, intubation and surgery. Determinants of prolonged ICU stay (≥5 days) were prior antihypertensive use, NIHSS ≥15, large ICH volume, lobar ICH location, IVH, early neurological deterioration, intubation and surgery. ICU admission was associated with higher-risk major disability at 90-day assessment compared to those without ICU admission.

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents prognostic variables for ICU management and outcome of ICH patients included in a large international cohort. These data may assist in the selection and counseling of patients and families concerning ICU admission.

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation for the treatment of drug-resistant epilepsy: A systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis of real-world evidence

Objective

To perform a systematic review and meta‐analysis of real‐world evidence for the use of low‐frequency repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) in the treatment of drug‐resistant epilepsy.

Methods

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, Medline, and clinicaltrials.gov for all relevant articles. Relevant patient and stimulation predictors as well as seizure outcomes were assessed. For studies with and without individual participant data (IPD), the primary outcomes were the rate of “favorable response” (reduction in seizure frequency ≥50%) and pooled event rate of mean reduction in seizure frequency, respectively. Outcomes were assessed with comparative statistics and random‐effects meta‐analysis models.

Results

Of 3,477 identified articles, 12 met eligibility and were included in this review. We were able to obtain IPD for 5 articles constituting 34 participants. Univariate analysis on IPD identified greater favorable response event rates between participants with temporal seizure focus versus extratemporal (50% vs. 14%, p = 0.045) and between participants who were stimulated with a figure‐8 coil versus other types (47% vs. 0%, p = 0.01). We also performed study‐level meta‐analysis on the remaining 7 studies without IPD, which included 212 participants. The pooled mean event rate of 50% seizure reduction using low‐frequency rTMS was 30% (95% confidence interval [CI] 12–57%). Sensitivity analysis revealed that studies with a mean age ≤21 years and studies using targeted stimulation had the highest seizure reduction rates compared to studies with a mean age >21 years (69% vs. 18%) and not using a targeted stimulation (47% vs. 14–20%). Moreover, we identified high interstudy heterogeneity, moderate study bias, and high publication bias.

Significance

Real‐world evidence suggests that low‐frequency rTMS using a figure‐8 coil may be an effective therapy for the treatment of drug‐resistant epilepsy in pediatric patients. This meta‐analysis can inform the design and expedite recruitment of a subsequent randomized clinical trial.

Outcome of secondary root canal treatment filled with Thermafil: a 5-year follow-up of retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the present retrospective cohort study was to assess the 5-year outcome and survival of secondary root canal treatments (2°RCT), exploring the influence of pre-, intra-, and post-operative variables.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred thirty-two endodontically retreated teeth were radiographically and clinically re-examined after 5 years. 2°RCT had been performed during a Masters program following standardized protocols and filled with AH Plus/Thermafil (TF). Pre-, intra-, and post-operative data were collected. The 5-year outcome was blindly evaluated and categorized as healed/diseased on the basis of the periapical index. Bivariate analysis and chi-square test evaluated the association between outcome and 31 demographic/clinical parameters. Multilevel analysis was performed at both patient and tooth level. Statistical significance was calculated at 5% level.

RESULTS

At 5-year evaluation, survival rate was 80% with 7.5% lost for endodontic reasons. Eighty-three percent of the teeth were classified as healed. Multilevel analysis identified significant predictors of increased survival: female gender (p = 0.012), absence of a pre-operative metal post (p = 0.017), conservative apical preparation (diameter size < #35) (p = 0.039), teeth restored with a crown (p = 0.009), and final PAI (after 5 years) ≤ 2 (p = 0.001). Multilevel analysis identified as predictor healing: not being a smoker (p = 0.048) and conservative apical preparation < size #35 (p = 0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

Outcome of 2°RCT filled with Thermafil was successful at 5 years, showing a high rate of survived and healed teeth comparable to that reported previously for other obturation techniques.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Present findings confirm 2°RCT as a valid therapeutic option to retain natural teeth.

Multidimensional Predictors of Treatment Outcome in Usual Care for Adolescent Conduct Problems and Substance Use

This study investigated baseline client characteristics that predicted long-term treatment outcomes among adolescents referred from school and community sources and enrolled in usual care for conduct and substance use problems. Predictor effects for multiple demographic (age, sex, race/ethnicity), clinical (baseline symptom severity, comorbidity, family discord), and developmental psychopathology (behavioral dysregulation, depression, peer delinquency) characteristics were examined. Participants were 205 adolescents (52 % male; mean age 15.7 years) from diverse backgrounds (59 % Hispanic American, 21 % African American, 15 % multiracial, 6 % other) residing in a large inner-city area. As expected, characteristics from all three predictor categories were related to various aspects of change in externalizing problems, delinquent acts, and substance use at one-year follow-up. The strongest predictive effect was found for baseline symptom severity: Youth with greater severity showed greater clinical gains. Higher levels of co-occurring developmental psychopathology characteristics likewise predicted better outcomes. Exploratory analyses showed that change over time in developmental psychopathology characteristics (peer delinquency, depression) was related to change in delinquent acts and substance use. Implications for serving multiproblem adolescents and tailoring treatment plans in routine care are discussed.

Pre-operative clinical and instrumental factors as antireflux surgery outcome predictors

Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is nowadays a highly prevalent, chronic condition, with 10% to 30% of Western populations affected by weekly symptoms. Many patients with mild reflux symptoms are treated adequately with lifestyle modifications, dietary changes, and low-dose proton pump inhibitors (PPIs). For those with refractory GERD poorly controlled with daily PPIs, numerous treatment options exist. Fundoplication is currently the most commonly performed antireflux operation for management of GERD. Outcomes described in current literature following laparoscopic fundoplication indicate that it is highly effective for treatment of GERD; early clinical studies demonstrate relief of symptoms in approximately 85%-90% of patients. However it is still unclear which factors, clinical or instrumental, are able to predict a good outcome after surgery. Virtually all demographic, esophagogastric junction anatomic conditions, as well as instrumental (such as presence of esophagitis at endoscopy, or motility patterns determined by esophageal high resolution manometry or reflux patterns determined by means of pH/impedance-pH monitoring) and clinical features (such as typical or atypical symptoms presence) of patients undergoing laparoscopic fundoplication for GERD can be factors associated with symptomatic relief. With this in mind, we sought to review studies that identified the factors that predict outcome after laparoscopic total fundoplication.

Predictive factors of short term outcome after liver transplantation: A review

Liver transplantation represents a fundamental therapeutic solution to end-stage liver disease. The need for liver allografts has extended the set of criteria for organ acceptability, increasing the risk of adverse outcomes. Little is known about the early postoperative parameters that can be used as valid predictive indices for early graft function, retransplantation or surgical reintervention, secondary complications, long intensive care unit stay or death. In this review, we present state-of-the-art knowledge regarding the early post-transplantation tests and scores that can be applied during the first postoperative week to predict liver allograft function and patient outcome, thereby guiding the therapeutic and surgical decisions of the medical staff. Post-transplant clinical and biochemical assessment of patients through laboratory tests (platelet count, transaminase and bilirubin levels, INR, factor V, lactates, and Insulin Growth Factor 1) and scores (model for end-stage liver disease, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation, sequential organ failure assessment and model of early allograft function) have been reported to have good performance, but they only allow late evaluation of patient status and graft function, requiring days to be quantified. The indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate has long been used as a liver function assessment technique and has produced interesting, although not univocal, results when performed between the 1^th and the 5^th day after transplantation. The liver maximal function capacity test is a promising method of metabolic liver activity assessment, but its use is limited by economic cost and extrahepatic factors. To date, a consensual definition of early allograft dysfunction and the integration and validation of the above-mentioned techniques, through the development of numerically consistent multicentric prospective randomised trials, are necessary. The medical and surgical management of transplanted patients could be greatly improved by using clinically reliable tools to predict early graft function.

Predictors of functional outcomes and recurrent shoulder instability after arthroscopic anterior stabilization

PURPOSE

To investigate what factors might predict the results of arthroscopic stabilization for anterior shoulder instability.

METHODS

One hundred and forty-three patients averaging 25 (15-58) years with traumatic anterior shoulder instability who underwent arthroscopic stabilization were reviewed at a median follow-up of 81 (24-172) months. Sixty-two (56.4 %) individuals were involved in contact sport activities, and there were 40 (30 %) patients who had only one dislocation prior to having surgery. Rowe score was measured preoperatively and at follow-up.

RESULTS

Thirty-three (23.1 %) patients experienced recurrent instability 12 (1-120) months after surgery, and 15 of those underwent further surgery. There was a statistically significant lower risk of failure (p = 0.027) for patients who had a surgical procedure after only one episode of shoulder dislocation. Patients treated after the second or further episode of shoulder dislocation exhibited a mean odds ratio for failure of 3.8 (95 % confidence interval 1.2-11.6, p = 0.044) with regard to first-time dislocators. The Rowe score significantly improved from a preoperative value of 25 (5-55) to a postoperative value of 100 (40-100) (p < 0.001). A significantly higher postoperative Rowe score was found in patients older than 24 years of age at the operation (p = 0.011) and in patients with less than eight dislocations prior to surgery (p = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that better functional results following arthroscopic stabilization can be expected in patients over 24 years of age and in those with a fewer number of dislocations preoperatively. A lower rate of recurrence can be expected if the patient undergoes surgery after the first episode of dislocation.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic study, Level II.

Recovery after brain damage: Is there any indication for generalization between different cognitive functions?

INTRODUCTION

The question whether recovery in various cognitive functions is supported by one or two more fundamental functions (for instance, attentional or working memory functions) is a long-standing problem of cognitive rehabilitation. One possibility to answer this question is to analyze the recovery pattern in different cognitive domains and to see whether improvement in one domain is related to performance in another domain.

METHOD

Ninety-two inpatients with stroke or other brain lesions (Barthel Index >75) were included. Neuropsychological assessment was done at the beginning and the end of a rehabilitation stay. Cognitive performance was analyzed at test and at domain level using conceptually and statistically defined composite scores for attention, immediate and delayed memory, working memory, prospective memory, and word fluency. We used regression analysis to look for generalization between cognitive domains.

RESULTS

Effect sizes of improvement varied largely (from d = 0.18 in attention and d = 1.36 in episodic memory). Age, gender, and time since injury had no impact on recovery. Impaired patients showed significantly more improvement than nonimpaired patients. Regression analysis revealed no effect of initial performance in one cognitive domain on improvements in other cognitive domains.

CONCLUSION

Significant recovery in impaired cognitive domains can be expected during neuropsychological rehabilitation. It depends more or less exclusively on improvement in the specific functions itself, and there was no evidence for generalization between cognitive domains.

The effect of core clinician interpersonal behaviours on depression

BACKGROUND

It is well-established that core clinician interpersonal behaviours are important when treating depression, but few studies have evaluated whether outcome is determined by clinicians׳ general behaviour rather than by the perception of the individual being treated.

METHODS

In the NIMH TDCRP, 157 patients rated their clinician׳s genuineness, positive regard, empathy and unconditional regard during cognitive behavioural therapy, interpersonal therapy or clinical management with placebo. The association between averaged ratings for each of 27 clinicians and their patients׳ self- and observer-rated depression outcomes was evaluated, adjusting for the deviation of individual patient ratings from the average for their clinician and other potential confounders.

RESULTS

Clinicians in the clinical management condition were rated on average as less genuine and less empathic than those in the psychotherapy conditions. Clinicians׳ average genuineness, positive regard and empathy were significantly associated with lower depression severity during treatment, but not with recovery from depression, after adjusting for the deviation of the individual patient׳s rating of their clinician from the average for that clinician, treatment condition and baseline depression severity. Clinician unconditional regard was not significantly associated with outcome.

LIMITATIONS

Using averaged ratings of clinician behaviour likely reduced statistical power.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians׳ ability to demonstrate genuineness, positive regard and empathy may represent a stable personal characteristic that influences the treatment of depression beyond the individual clinician-patient relationship or an individual patient׳s perception of their clinician. However, clinicians׳ ability to demonstrate these behaviours may be poorer when delivering an intervention without a specific rationale or treatment techniques.

Predictive value of EFHC1 variants for the long-term seizure outcome in juvenile myoclonic epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine the contribution of EFHC1 variants to the phenotypic variability of juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) and to evaluate their diagnostic value regarding previously identified clinical long-term seizure outcome predictors in a consecutive cohort of patients with JME.

METHODS

Thirty-eight probands and three family members affected with JME were studied at a tertiary epilepsy center with a review of their medical records and a subsequent face-to-face interview. All coding EFHC1 exons and adjacent exon/intron boundaries were directly sequenced.

RESULTS

The previously reported EFHC1 mutation F229L was found in two cases who presented with early generalized tonic-clonic seizure (GTCS) onset and appeared to be associated with milder subtypes of JME. Variant R294H was identified in two further probands who had a subtype of JME developing from childhood absence epilepsy. However, segregation of the phenotype with this variant could not be confirmed in one family.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings corroborate the heterogeneity of JME as an electroclinical epilepsy syndrome and provide evidence that genetic factors may influence and help predict the long-term seizure outcome in patients with JME.

Neurostimulation options for failed back surgery syndrome: The need for rational and objective measurements. Proposal of an international clinical network using an integrated database and health economic analysis: the PROBACK network

INTRODUCTION

In the context of failed back surgery syndrome (FBSS) treatment, the current practice in neurostimulation varies from center-to-center and most clinical decisions are based on an individual diagnosis. Neurostimulation evaluation tools and pain relief assessment are of major concern, as they now constitute one of the main biases of clinical trials. Moreover, the proliferation of technological devices, in a fertile and unsatisfied market, fosters and only furthers the confusion. There are three options available to apply scientific debates to our daily neurostimulation practice: intentional ignorance, standardized evidence-based practice or alternative data mining approach.

OBJECTIVE

In view of the impossibility of conducting multiple randomized clinical trials comparing various devices, one by one, the proposed concept would be to redefine the indications and the respective roles of the various spinal cord and peripheral nerve stimulation devices with large-scale computational modeling/data mining approach, by conducting a multicenter prospective database registry, supported by a clinician's global network called "PROBACK".

METHODS

We chose to specifically analyze 6 parameters: device coverage performance/coverage selectivity/persistence of the long-term electrical response (technical criteria) and comparative mapping of patient pain relief/persistence of the long-term clinical response/safety and complications occurrence (clinical criteria). Two types of analysis will be performed: immediate analysis (including cost analysis) and computational analysis, i.e. demonstration of the robustness of certain correlations of variables, in order to extract response predictors.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

By creating an international prospective database, the purpose of the PROBACK project was to set up a process of extraction and comparative analysis of data derived from the selection, implantation and follow-up of FBSS patients candidates for implanted neurostimulation. This evaluation strategy should help to change the opinions of each implanter and each health system towards a more rational decision-making approach subtended by mathematical reality.

Treatment Process and Participant Characteristic Predictors of Substance Use Outcome in Mentorship for Addiction Problems (MAP)

There are a variety of self-help treatments which have components of sponsorship or peer support. Although there has been a recent surge in the utilization of peer support interventions within clinical settings, there is limited data on substance use outcome predictors for interventions designed solely for peer support within community treatment settings that are empirically based. We examined both treatment process and participant characteristic variables as predictors of substance use outcomes within our Stage I pilot which developed a new intervention, Mentorship for Addiction Problems (MAP). We found treatment process variables to be significantly associated with substance use outcome and no participant characteristic variables.

Predictive outcomes of revision total hip replacement--a consecutive series of 1176 patients with a minimum 10-year follow-up

The burden of revision total hip replacement (THR) surgery is increasing. With an increasing life expectancy and younger age of primary surgery this trend is set to continue. There are few data on the long-term outcome of revision THR. This retrospective study of 1176 consecutive revision THRs with a minimum 10-year follow-up from a University Teaching Hospital was undertaken to review implant survival and patient reported outcomes. Mean follow-up was 11 years with implant survival at 10 years of 82% (CI: 80-85). Implant survival varied between 58% (unexplained pain) to 84% (aseptic loosening) depending on the indication for revision surgery. Positive predictors of survival were age greater than 70 at the time of surgery (p=0.011), revision for aseptic loosening (p<0.01) and revision of both components or just the acetabular component (p<0.01). At the last review, mean Oxford Hip Score (OHS) was 34 (SD: 11.3) and 92% of the living patients with unrevised hips were satisfied with the outcome of revision surgery. This long term study has demonstrated that positive predictors of survival and outcome of revision THR surgery are age greater than 70 years, revision for aseptic loosening and component revision. This should aid surgeons in their counselling of patients prior to surgery.

Association between symptomatic profile and remission following antidepressant treatment in unipolar major depression

BACKGROUND

To evaluate, in patients affected by an acute major depressive episode, what predictive value certain baseline psychopathological characteristics have with regard to expected therapeutic remission following biological antidepressant treatment (pharmacological/electroconvulsive; non-psychological).

METHODS

Six predefined psychopathological characteristics in acute major depressive episode were evaluated using a logistic regression model through a protocolised antidepressant treatment to assess their predictive value with regard to expected remission rate.

RESULTS

The final study sample consisted of 129 subjects affected by an acute major depressive episode. From the baseline evaluation of the anguish/restlessness, reduced emotional reactivity, reduced attention, reduced motor response, feeling of worthlessness, and mood characteristics items, it was possible to correctly classify 88.1% of the sample as remitter/non-remitter with sensitivity of 0.77 and specificity of 0.96. Addition of the 17-item HRSD baseline variable to the regression model increased the capacity for correct classification of the baseline sample by only 0.09%.

LIMITATIONS

Protocolised antidepressant treatment was used. The results of this study may not be generalisable to pharmacological treatments not included in this protocol.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that certain baseline psychopathological characteristics (and perhaps other clinical variables too) of the acute major depressive episode may be of great use in establishing patient subgroups according to expected clinical remission to the administration of biological antidepressant treatment. This could have considerable consequences for individualised therapeutic decision-making and for future researches (clinical trials included).