Risk Factors of Mortality After Liver Transplantation in Uruguay

Are short-term complications associated with poor allograft and patient survival after liver transplantation? A systematic review of the literature and expert panel recommendations

BACKGROUND

Maximizing patient and allograft survival after liver transplant (LT) is important from both a patient care and organ utilization perspective. Although individual studies have addressed the effects of short-term post-LT complications on a limited scale, there has not been a systematic review of the literature formally assessing the potential effects of early complications on long-term outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

To identify whether short-term complications after LT affect allograft and overall survival, to identify short-term complications of particular clinical interest and significance, and to provide recommendations to improve post-LT graft and patient survival.

DATA SOURCES

Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Central.

METHODS

A systematic review following PRISMA guidelines and recommendations using the GRADE approach derived from an international expert panel.

RESULTS

The literature review and analysis provided show that short-term complications have a large impact on allograft and patient survival after LT. The complications with the strongest effect on survival are acute kidney injury (AKI), biliary complications, and early allograft dysfunction (EAD).

CONCLUSION

This panel recommends taking measures to reduce the risk and incidence of short-term complications post-LT. Clinicians should pay particular attention to preventing or ameliorating AKI, biliary complications, and EAD (Quality of evidence; Moderate | Grade of Recommendation; Strong).

Combined B-type Natriuretic Peptide as strong predictor of short-term mortality in patients after Liver Transplantation

Background: B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a well-known predictor for prognosis in patients with cardiac and renal diseases. However, there is a lack of studies in patients with advanced hepatic disease, especially patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT). We evaluated whether BNP could predict the prognosis of patients who underwent LT. Material and Methods: The data from a total of 187 patients who underwent LT were collected retrospectively. The serum levels of BNP were acquired at four time points, the pre-anhepatic (T1), anhepatic (T2), and neohepatic phases (T3), and on postoperative day 1 (T4). The patients were dichotomized into survival and non-survival groups for 1-month mortality after LT. Combined BNP (cBNP) was calculated based on conditional logistic regression analysis of pairwise serum BNP measurements at two time points, T2 and T4. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was analyzed to determine the diagnostic accuracy and cut-off value of the predictive models, including cBNP. Results: Fourteen patients (7.5 %) expired within one month after LT. The leading cause of death was sepsis (N = 9, 64.3 %). The MELD and MELD-Na scores had an acceptable predictive ability for 1-month mortality (AUROC = 0.714, and 0.690, respectively). The BNPs at each time point (T1 - T4) showed excellent predictive ability (AUROC = 0.864, 0.962, 0.913, and 0.963, respectively). The cBNP value had an outstanding predictive ability for 1-month mortality after LT (AUROC = 0.976). The optimal cutoff values for cBNP at T2 and T4 were 137 and 187, respectively. Conclusions: The cBNP model showed the improved predictive ability for mortality within 1-month of LT. It could help clinicians stratify mortality risk and be a useful biomarker in patients undergoing LT.

Predictors of Mortality During Initial Liver Transplant Hospitalization and Investigation of Causes of Death

Background

Liver transplant (LT) remains a life-saving procedure with a high mortality rate. The present study investigated the causes of death and sought to identify predictive factors of mortality during the initial LT hospitalization.

Material/Methods

We retrieved data on first-time adult recipients who underwent LT between November 2017 and October 2019 receiving grafts from donation after citizen’s death. The risk factors for mortality during the initial LT hospitalization were confirmed by univariate analysis. We also analyzed the causes of death.

Results

We enrolled 103 recipients, including 86 males and 17 females, with a mean age of 47.7 years. Thirty-eight (36.9%) recipients were labeled as non-cholestatic cirrhosis-related indications. Approximately 8% of all recipients had diabetes prior to LT. Induction therapy was used in 11 (10.7%) recipients, along with maintenance therapy. The median model for end-stage liver disease score at LT was 32.4 (21.4–38.4). The in-hospital mortality rate of LT recipients was 6.8% (7/103), and infections were responsible for most of the deaths (6/7). The 1 remaining death resulted from primary graft failure. Univariate analysis showed recipients with postoperative pneumonia (p<0.05), acute hepatic necrosis, and intensive care unit (ICU) stay ≥7 days (both p<0.01), postoperative bacteremia, creatinine on day 3 after LT>2 mg/dL, and alanine transaminase on day 1 after LT >1800 μmol/L (all P<0.001) were much more likely to die.

Conclusions

In-hospital mortality of LT recipients was high, due in large part to infections. Acute hepatic necrosis, prolonged post-transplant ICU stays, certain types of postoperative infections, and postoperative liver and kidney dysfunction were potential risk factors for in-hospital mortality of LT recipients.

Predictors of early recipient mortality after living donor liver transplantation in a tertiary care center in Egypt

BACKGROUND

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) has evolved into a widely accepted therapeutic option. Many different risk factors may affect early mortality after LDLT.

OBJECTIVES

Analyze risk factors that can affect early (<6 months) mortality of patients after LDLT in a single center.

DESIGN

Retrospective chart review of patients who underwent LDLT.

SETTING

University hospital.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Adult cirrhotic patients who underwent LDLT were classified by early (first 6 months) or late mortality. A full pre, intra- and post-operative evaluation had been done on all patients including a full history, examination and investigations to identify risk factors that might affect mortality post-LDLT.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Determination of pre-, intra- or postoperative factors that might affect recipient mortality post-LDLT.

SAMPLE SIZE

123.

RESULTS

Pre-operative factors that increased early mortality in a univariate analysis were higher model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, lower graft-recipient weigh ratio (GRWR), older donor age, and recurrent spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Intraoperative factors included more transfusion units of blood, plasma, platelets and cryoprecipitate, a longer time for cold and warm ischemia, and a longer anhepatic phase among others. Postoperative factors included a longer ICU or hospital stay and abnormal postoperative laboratory data. In the final logistic regression model, the most significant factors were pre-operative GRWR, length of hospital stay, units of intraoperative blood transfusion, postoperative alanine aminotransferase, postoperative total leukocyte count, and MELD score.

CONCLUSION

LDLT outcomes might be improved by attempting to resolve clinical factors that have been identified as contributors to early post-LDLT mortality.

LIMITATIONS

More risk factors, such as those relevant to patient portal vein hemodynamics, should be included in an analysis of predictors of early mortality.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None.