The impact of very high initial PSA on oncological outcomes after radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer

Contemporary validation of cT1a vs. cT1b substaging of incidental prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

The cT1a vs. cT1b substratification was introduced in 1992 but never formally tested since. We tested the discriminative ability of cT1a vs. cT1b substaging on cancer-specific survival (CSS) in contemporary incidental prostate cancer (PCa) patients.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Incidental (cT1a/cT1b) PCa patients were identified within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2015).

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Kaplan-Meier estimates, as well as uni- and multivariable Cox regression models predicted CSS at five years. Subgroup analyses addressed CSS at five years according to active vs. no local treatment (NLT) as well as Gleason score sum (GS; 6 vs. 7 vs. ≥ 8).

RESULTS AND LIMITATION

We identified a total of 5,155 incidental prostate cancer patients of which 3,035 (59%) were stage cT1a vs. 2,120 (41%) were stage cT1b. In all incidental PCa patients, CSS at five years was 95% (95% CI 0.94-0.96). In cT1a patients, CSS at five years was 98 vs. 90% in cT1b patients (p < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression analyses, cT1b independently predicted 2.8-fold higher CSM than cT1a (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.8-3.6, p < 0.001) for incidental PCa patients who underwent NLT. In subgroup analyses, cT1b represented an independent predictor of higher CSM in GS ≥ 8 (HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.4-6.2, p = 0.003), and GS 7 (HR 3.9, 95% CI 1.6-9.7 p = 0.002) patients who underwent NLT. For actively treated patients, cT1b was not independently associated with worse CSM.

CONCLUSION

The historical subclassification of cT1a vs. cT1b in incidental PCa patients displayed a strong ability to discriminate CSS in contemporary GS 7 and GS ≥ 8 patients who underwent NLT. However, no statistically significant difference was recorded in actively treated patients. In consequence, the importance of the current substage stratification predominantly applies to GS ≥ 8 patients who undergo a non-active treatment approach.

Survival outcomes of patients treated with local therapy for nonmetastatic prostate cancer with high prostate-specific antigen concentrations

BACKGROUND

Patients with nonmetastatic prostate cancer (nmPCa) and high prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels due to the high likelihood of metastasis pose a clinical dilemma regarding their optimal treatment and long-term outcomes after initial local therapy. We aimed to evaluate the oncologic outcomes of patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) or radiotherapy (RT) for nmPCa with high PSA levels.

METHODS

We queried the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify patients diagnosed with nmPCa who received RP or RT from 2004 through 2015. We included nmPCa patients with high PSA levels categorized as ≥50 and ≥98 ng/mL, the highest level recorded in SEER. We used the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards to analyze cancer-specific (CSS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

We included 6177 patients with nmPCa and PSA ≥ 50 ng/mL at diagnosis; 1698 (27%) had PSA ≥ 98 ng/mL. Of these, 1658 (26.8%) underwent RP and 4519 (73.16%) patients received primary RT. Within a median of 113 months (interquartile range 74-150 months), the 5- and 10-year CSS estimates were 92.3% and 81.5% respectively; 10-year OS was 61%. In the PSA ≥ 98 ng/mL subgroup 5- and 10-year CSS estimates were 89.2% and 76%, respectively. In multivariable analyses for CSS, ISUP grade group (p < 0.001), N stage (p < 0.001), treatment with RP (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.83, p < 0.001), and patient's age (p < 0.05) were associated with improved CSS. In the whole cohort of patients with PSA ≥ 50 ng/mL and RP subgroup, PSA failed to retain its independent prognostic value for CSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients treated with local therapy for nmPCa with very high PSA at diagnosis have relatively good long-term oncological outcomes. Therefore, among well-selected patients with nmPCa, high PSA levels alone should not preclude the use of radical local therapy. Potential selection bias limits inferences about the relative effectiveness of specific local therapies in this setting.

Short-term prognosis of low-risk prostate cancer patients is favorable despite the presence of pathological prognostic factors: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer patients with pathological prognostic factors have a poor prognosis, but it is unclear whether pathological prognostic factors are associated with prognosis limited to low-risk patients with good prognosis according to NCCN guidelines. The present study examined whether prognosis is influenced by pathological prognostic factors using radical prostatectomy (RP) specimens from low-risk patients.

METHODS

We evaluated diagnostic accuracy by examining biochemical recurrence (BCR)-free survival with respect to clinical and pathological prognostic factors in 419 all-risk patients who underwent RP. Clinical prognostic factors included age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, PSA density, and risk stratification, while pathological prognostic factors included grade group, lymphovascular space invasion, extraprostatic extension, surgical margins, seminal vesicle invasion, intraductal carcinoma of the prostate (IDCP), and pT. In a subsequent analysis restricted to 104 low-risk patients, survival curves were estimated for pathological prognostic factors using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using log-rank and generalized Wilcoxon tests.

RESULTS

In the overall risk analysis, the presence of pathological prognostic factors significantly shortened BCR-free survival (p < 0.05). Univariable analysis revealed that PSA density, risk categories, and pathological prognostic factors were significantly associated with BCR-free survival, although age and PSA were not. In multivariable analysis, age, risk categories, grade group, IDCP, and pT significantly predicted BCR-free survival (p < 0.05). Conversely, no statistically significant differences were found for any pathological prognostic factors in low-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In low-risk patients, pathological prognostic factors did not affect BCR-free survival, which suggests that additional treatment may be unnecessary even if pathological prognostic factors are observed in low-risk patients with RP.

The prognostic nomogram for PSA-incongruent low-risk prostate cancer treated by radical prostatectomy

OBJECTIVE

To establish a prognostic nomogram for PSA-incongruent low-risk prostate cancer (PCa) patients (Gleason score 6 and clinical stage T2a) at diagnosis and treated with radical prostatectomy (RP), based on clinical and pathological metrics.

METHODS

In total, 217 patients diagnosed with PCa were included in this study. All patients had a Gleason score of 6 (GS6) in biopsy, had clinical T2a before surgery and were treated with RP. Biochemical progression-free survival (bPFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine prognostic factors related to bPFS. A prognostic nomogram was established based on factors that were significant in the multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The median bPFS had a significant difference in the subgroup of PSA at diagnosis (' < 10 ng/mL': 71.698 [67.549-75.847] vs '10-20 ng/mL': 71.038 [66.220-75.857] vs ' ≥ 20 ng/mL': 26.746 [12.384-41.108] months [Log Rank P < 0.001]), the subgroup of T stage upgrade (Negative: 70.016 [65.846-74.187] vs 'T2b/c': 69.183 [63.544-74.822] vs 'T3/4': 32.235 [11.877-52.593] months [Log Rank P < 0.001]) and the subgroup of Gleason score upgrade (Negative: 72.63 [69.096-76.163] vs '3 + 4': 68.393 [62.243-74.543] vs '4 + 3': 41.427 [27.517-55.336] vs ' ≥ 8': 28.291 [7.527-49.055] [Log Rank P < 0.001]). PSA at diagnoses (Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.027, 95% CI 1.015-1.039, P < 0.001), T stage upgrade (HR 2.116, 95% CI 1.083-4.133, P = 0.028), and Gleason score upgrade (HR 2.831, 95% CI 1.892-4.237, P < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors with significance in multivariable Cox regression analysis. A nomogram was established based on these three factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicated that PSA-incongruent low-risk PCa patients (PSA with 10-20 ng/mL) had a similar prognosis to those with real low-risk PCa (PSA < 10 ng/mL) in the D' Amico criteria. We also established a nomogram based on three significant prognostic factors, including PSA at diagnosis, T stage upgrade, and Gleason score upgrade, which were associated with clinical outcomes in prostate cancer patients with GS6 and T2a after surgery.

DCE-MRI and DWI can differentiate benign from malignant prostate tumors when serum PSA is ≥10 ng/ml

Background

This study investigated the diagnostic utility of dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) parameters for distinguishing between benign and malignant prostate tumors when serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level is ≥10 ng/ml.

Methods

Patients with prostate cancer (PCa) and benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) with serum PSA ≥10 ng/ml before treatment were recruited. Transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy or surgery was performed for tumor classification and patients were stratified accordingly into PCa and BPH groups. Patients underwent DCE-MRI and DWI scanning and the transfer constant (K_trans), rate constant (K_ep), fractional volume of the extravascular extracellular space, plasma volume (V_p), and Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System Version 2 (PI-RADS v2) score were determined. The apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) was calculated from DWI. The diagnostic performance of these parameters was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and those showing a significant difference between the PCa and BPH groups were combined into a multivariate logistic regression model for PCa diagnosis. Spearman's correlation was used to analyze the relationship between Gleason score and imaging parameters.

Results

The study enrolled 65 patients including 32 with PCa and 33 with BPH. Ktrans (P=0.006), Kep (P=0.001), and Vp (P=0.009) from DCE-MRI and ADC (P<0.001) from DWI could distinguish between the 2 groups when PSA was ≥10 ng/ml. PI-RADS score (area under the ROC curve [AUC]=0.705), Ktrans (AUC=0.700), Kep (AUC=0.737), Vp (AUC=0.688), and ADC (AUC=0.999) showed high diagnostic performance for discriminating PCa from BPH. A combined model based on PI-RADS score, Ktrans, Kep, Vp, and ADC had a higher AUC (1.000), with a sensitivity of 0.998 and specificity of 0.999. Imaging markers showed no significant correlation with Gleason score in PCa.

Conclusion

DCE-MRI and DWI parameters can distinguish between benign and malignant prostate tumors in patients with serum PSA ≥10 ng/ml.

Assessment of the optimal number of positive biopsy cores to discriminate between cancer-specific mortality in high-risk versus very high-risk prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Number of positive prostate biopsy cores represents a key determinant between high versus very high-risk prostate cancer (PCa). We performed a critical appraisal of the association between the number of positive prostate biopsy cores and CSM in high versus very high-risk PCa.

METHODS

Within Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2010-2016), 13,836 high versus 20,359 very high-risk PCa patients were identified. Discrimination according to 11 different positive prostate biopsy core cut-offs (≥2-≥12) were tested in Kaplan-Meier, cumulative incidence, and multivariable Cox and competing risks regression models.

RESULTS

Among 11 tested positive prostate biopsy core cut-offs, more than or equal to 8 (high-risk vs. very high-risk: n = 18,986 vs. n = 15,209, median prostate-specific antigen [PSA]: 10.6 vs. 16.8 ng/ml, <.001) yielded optimal discrimination and was closely followed by the established more than or equal to 5 cut-off (high-risk vs. very high-risk: n = 13,836 vs. n = 20,359, median PSA: 16.5 vs. 11.1 ng/ml, p < .001). Stratification according to more than or equal to 8 positive prostate biopsy cores resulted in CSM rates of 4.1 versus 14.2% (delta: 10.1%, multivariable hazard ratio: 2.2, p < .001) and stratification according to more than or equal to 5 positive prostate biopsy cores with CSM rates of 3.7 versus 11.9% (delta: 8.2%, multivariable hazard ratio: 2.0, p < .001) in respectively high versus very high-risk PCa.

CONCLUSIONS

The more than or equal to 8 positive prostate biopsy cores cutoff yielded optimal results. It was very closely followed by more than or equal to 5 positive prostate biopsy cores. In consequence, virtually the same endorsement may be made for either cutoff. However, more than or equal to 5 positive prostate biopsy cores cutoff, based on its existing wide implementation, might represent the optimal choice.

Combined Longitudinal Clinical and Autopsy Phenomic Assessment in Lethal Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Recommendations for Advancing Precision Medicine

BACKGROUND

Systematic identification of data essential for outcome prediction in metastatic prostate cancer (mPC) would accelerate development of precision oncology.

OBJECTIVE

To identify novel phenotypes and features associated with mPC outcome, and to identify biomarker and data requirements to be tested in future precision oncology trials.

DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We analyzed deep longitudinal clinical, neuroendocrine expression, and autopsy data of 33 men who died from mPC between 1995 and 2004 (PELICAN33), and related findings to mPC biomarkers reported in the literature.

INTERVENTION

Thirty-three men prospectively consented to participate in an integrated clinical-molecular rapid autopsy study of mPC.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Data exploration with correction for multiple testing and survival analysis from the time of diagnosis to time to death and time to first occurrence of severe pain as outcomes were carried out. The effect of seven complications on the modeled probability of dying within 2 yr after presenting with the complication was evaluated using logistic regression.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Feature exploration revealed novel phenotypes related to mPC outcome. Four complications (pleural effusion, severe anemia, severe or controlled pain, and bone fracture) predict the likelihood of death within 2 yr. Men with Gleason grade group 5 cancers developed severe pain sooner than those with lower-grade tumors. Surprisingly, neuroendocrine (NE) differentiation was frequently observed in the setting of high serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels (≥30 ng/ml). In 4/33 patients, no controlled (requiring analgesics) or severe pain was detected, and strikingly, 14/15 metastatic sites studied in these men did not express NE markers, suggesting an inverse relationship between NE differentiation and pain in mPC. Intracranial subdural metastasis is common (36%) and is usually clinically undetected. Categorization of "skeletal-related events" complications used in recent studies likely obscures the understanding of spinal cord compression and fracture. Early death from prostate cancer was identified in a subgroup of men with a low longitudinal PSA bandwidth. Cachexia is common (body mass index <0.89 in 24/31 patients) but limited to the last year of life. Biomarker review identified 30 categories of mPC biomarkers in need of winnowing in future trials. All findings require validation in larger cohorts, preferably alongside data from this study.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified novel outcome subgroups for future validation and provides "vision for mPC precision oncology 2020-2050" draft recommendations for future data collection and biomarker studies.

PATIENT SUMMARY

To better understand variation in metastatic prostate cancer behavior, we assembled and analyzed longitudinal clinical and autopsy records in 33 men. We identified novel outcomes, phenotypes, and aspects of disease burden to be tested and refined in future trials.

Sudden PSA rise to ≥20 ng/ml and prostate cancer diagnosis in the United States: A population-based study

PURPOSE

While prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening protocols vary, many clinicians have anecdotes of screened men with low PSA levels that rise significantly and are associated with high-risk prostate cancer (PC). We sought to better understand the frequency of high-risk cases that appear suddenly in a screened population.

METHODS

We utilized data from a Commercial and Medicare advantage claims database to identify all US men ages 50 and above undergoing PSA screening who then had a sudden interval rise in PSA (e.g., PSA ≥ 20) and diagnosis of PC. We determined associations with age, race, screening intensity, and baseline PSA levels.

RESULTS

In all, 526,120 men met entry criteria with an average age of 60.7 and follow-up of 5.6 years. As the baseline PSA increased, the rate of high-risk PC increased from 2/10,000 persons among men with the lowest baseline PSA (<1 ng/ml) to 14/10,000 person-years among men with a baseline PSA < 5 ng/ml. Moreover, as a man's age at baseline PSA increased, the rate of high-risk PC also increased. In contrast, the incidence of high-risk PC did not vary significantly by race/ethnicity. More screening PSAs and shorter intervals between PSA screenings were associated with a lower incidence of high-risk PC.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of high-risk PC in a screened population is low (<0.1%). Our findings suggest that systematic screening cannot eliminate all PC deaths and provide an estimate for the risk of the rapid development of high-risk cancers that is comparable to that observed in active surveillance populations.