Trends in Canadian infant pertussis hospitalizations in the pre- and post-acellular vaccine era, 1981-2016

The impact of pertussis vaccine programme changes on pertussis disease burden in Manitoba, 1992-2017-an age-period-cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

Changes to pertussis vaccination programmes can have impacts on disease burden that should be estimated independently from factors such as age- and period-related trends. We used age-period-cohort (APC) models to explore pertussis incidence in Manitoba over a 25-year period (1992-2017).

METHODS

We identified all laboratory-confirmed cases of pertussis from Manitoba's Communicable Diseases Database and calculated age-standardized incidence rates. We used APC models to investigate trends in pertussis incidence.

RESULTS

During the study period, 2479 cases were reported. Age-standardized rates were highest during a large outbreak in 1994 (55 cases/100 000 person-years), with much lower peaks in 1998, 2012 and 2016. We saw strong age and cohort effects in the APC models, with a steady decrease in incidence with increasing age and increased risk in the cohort born between 1980 and 1995.

CONCLUSIONS

The highest risk for pertussis was consistently in young children, regardless of birth cohort or time period. The 1981 programme change to an adsorbed whole-cell pertussis vaccine with low effectiveness resulted in reduced protection in the 1981-95 birth cohort and contributed to the largest outbreak of disease during the 25-year study period.

Incidência de coqueluche em crianças menores de 1 ano e relação com a vacinação materna no Brasil, 2008 a 2018

Resumo Objetivo: Analisar o impacto da vacina adsorvida difteria, tétano e coqueluche (pertússis acelular), tipo adulto (dTpa), materna, na incidência de coqueluche em crianças menores de 1 ano no Brasil, de 2008 a 2018. Métodos: Estudo de tipo ecológico, descritivo de tendência temporal, utilizando-se de dados dos sistemas de vigilância do Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde (Datasus). Foram calculadas taxas de incidência e razão das taxas de incidência (IRR), com respectivos intervalos de confiança de 95% (IC95%). Resultados: O número de casos de coqueluche foi de 20.650. Houve redução na incidência de coqueluche no período pós-vacinal, de 26,6% (IRR = 0,73; IC95% 0,66;0,82) nas crianças de 3 meses a 1 ano incompleto, e de 63,6% (IRR = 0,36; IC95% 0,15;0,58) nas crianças de zero a 2 meses. Conclusão: O aumento da cobertura da vacinação com dTpa materna correspondeu à redução na incidência de coqueluche, principalmente na faixa etária de zero a 2 meses.

A Call for Caution in Use of Pertussis Vaccine Effectiveness Studies to Estimate Waning Immunity: A Canadian Immunization Research Network Study

BACKGROUND

Vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies provide essential evidence on waning vaccine-derived immunity, a major threat to pertussis control. We evaluated how study design affects estimates by comparing 2 case-control studies conducted in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

We compared results from a test-negative design (TND) with a frequency-matched design (FMD) case-control study using pertussis cases from 2005-2015. In the first study, we identified test-negative controls from the public health laboratory that diagnosed cases and, in the second, randomly selected controls from patients attending the same physicians that reported cases, frequency matched on age and year. We compared characteristics of cases and controls using standardized differences.

RESULTS

In both designs, VE estimates for the early years postimmunization were consistent with clinical trials (TND, 84%; FMD, 89% at 1-3 years postvaccination) but diverged as time since last vaccination increased (TND, 41%; FMD, 74% by 8 years postvaccination). Overall, we observed lower VE and faster waning in the TND than the FMD. In the TND but not FMD, controls differed from cases in important confounders, being younger, having more comorbidities, and higher healthcare use. Differences between the controls of each design were greater than differences between cases. TND controls were more likely to be unvaccinated or incompletely vaccinated than FMD controls (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The FMD adjusted better for healthcare-seeking behavior than the TND. Duration of protection from pertussis vaccines is unclear because estimates vary by study design. Caution should be exercised by experts, researchers, and decision makers when evaluating evidence on optimal timing of boosters.

Valuing the cost of improving Chilean primary vaccination: a cost minimization analysis of a hexavalent vaccine

BACKGROUND

The phased withdrawal of oral polio vaccine (OPV) and the introduction of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) is central to the polio 'end-game' strategy.

METHODS

We analyzed the cost implications in Chile of a switch from the vaccination scheme consisting of a pentavalent vaccine with whole-cell pertussis component (wP) plus IPV/OPV vaccines to a scheme with a hexavalent vaccine with acellular pertussis component (aP) and IPV (Hexaxim®) from a societal perspective. Cost data were collected from a variety of sources including national estimates and previous vaccine studies. All costs were expressed in 2017 prices (US$ 1.00 = $Ch 666.26).

RESULTS

The overall costs associated with the vaccination scheme (4 doses of pentavalent vaccine plus 1 dose IPV and 3 doses OPV) from a societal perspective was estimated to be US$ 12.70 million, of which US$ 8.84 million were associated with the management of adverse events related to wP. In comparison, the cost associated with the 4-dose scheme with a hexavalent vaccine (based upon the PAHO reference price) was US$ 19.76 million. The cost of switching to the hexavalent vaccine would be an additional US$ 6.45 million. Overall, depending on the scenario, the costs of switching to the hexavalent scheme would range from an additional US$ 2.62 million to US$ 6.45 million compared with the current vaccination scheme.

CONCLUSIONS

The switch to the hexavalent vaccine schedule in Chile would lead to additional acquisition costs, which would be partially offset by improved logistics, and a reduction in adverse events associated with the current vaccines.