Evaluating post-vaccine expansion patterns of pneumococcal serotypes

Cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in US infants

BACKGROUND

As of June 2023, two pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 20- (PCV20) and 15- (PCV15) valent formulations, are recommended for US infants under a 3 + 1 schedule. This study evaluated the health and economic impact of vaccinating US infants with a new expanded valency PCV20 formulation.

METHODS

A population-based, multi cohort, decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV20 from both societal and healthcare system perspectives over 10 years. Epidemiological data were based on published studies and unpublished Active Bacterial Core Surveillance System (ABCs) data. Vaccine effectiveness was based on PCV13 effectiveness and PCV7 efficacy studies. Indirect impact was based on observational studies. Costs and disutilities were based on published data. PCV20 was compared to both PCV13 and PCV15 in separate scenarios.

RESULTS

Replacing PCV13 with PCV20 in infants has the potential to avert over 55,000 invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases, 2.5 million pneumonia cases, 5.4 million otitis media (OM) cases, and 19,000 deaths across all ages over a 10-year time horizon, corresponding to net gains of 515,000 life years and 271,000 QALYs. Acquisition costs of PCV20 were offset by monetary savings from averted cases resulting in net savings of $20.6 billion. The same trend was observed when comparing PCV20 versus PCV15, with a net gain of 146,000 QALYs and $9.9 billion in net savings. A large proportion of the avoided costs and cases were attributable to indirect effects in unvaccinated adults and elderly. From a health-care perspective, PCV20 was also the dominant strategy compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

CONCLUSIONS

Infant vaccination with PCV20 is estimated to further reduce pneumococcal disease and associated healthcare system and societal costs compared to both PCV13 and PCV15.

Genomic epidemiology of Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 16F lineages

Due to the emergence of non-vaccine serotypes in vaccinated populations, Streptococcus pneumoniae remains a major global health challenge despite advances in vaccine development. Serotype 16F is among the predominant non-vaccine serotypes identified among vaccinated infants in South Africa (SA). To characterize lineages and antimicrobial resistance in 16F isolates obtained from South Africa and place the local findings in a global context, we analysed 10 923 S. pneumoniae carriage isolates obtained from infants recruited as part of a broader SA birth cohort. We inferred serotype, resistance profile for penicillin, chloramphenicol, cotrimoxazole, erythromycin and tetracycline, and global pneumococcal sequence clusters (GPSCs) from genomic data. To ensure global representation, we also included S. pneumoniae carriage and disease isolates from the Global Pneumococcal Sequencing (GPS) project database (n=19 607, collected from 49 countries across 5 continents, 1995-2018, accessed 17 March 2022). Nine per cent (934/10923) of isolates obtained from infants in the Drakenstein community in SA and 2 %(419/19607) of genomes in the GPS dataset were serotype 16F. Serotype 16F isolates were from 28 different lineages of S. pneumoniae, with GPSC33 and GPSC46 having the highest proportion of serotype 16F isolates at 26 % (346/1353) and 53 % (716/1353), respectively. Serotype 16F isolates were identified globally, but most isolates were collected from Africa. GPSC33 was associated with carriage [OR (95 % CI) 0.24 (0.09-0.66); P=0.003], while GPSC46 was associated with disease [OR (95 % CI) 19.9 (2.56-906.50); P=0.0004]. Ten per cent (37/346) and 15 % (53/346) of isolates within GPSC33 had genes associated with resistance to penicillin and co-trimoxazole, respectively, and 18 % (128/716) of isolates within GPSC46 had genes associated with resistance to co-trimoxazole. Resistant isolates formed genetic clusters, which may suggest emerging resistant lineages. Serotype 16F lineages were common in southern Africa. Some of these lineages were associated with disease and resistance to penicillin and cotrimoxazole. We recommend continuous genomic surveillance to determine the long-term impact of serotype 16F lineages on vaccine efficacy and antimicrobial therapy globally. Investing in vaccine strategies that offer protection over a wide range of serotypes/lineages remains essential. This paper contains data hosted by Microreact.

Evidence of virulence and antimicrobial resistance in Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 16F lineages

Introduction

Due to the emergence of non-vaccine serotypes in vaccinated populations, Streptococcus pneumoniae remains a major global health challenge despite advances in vaccine development. Serotype 16F is among the predominant non-vaccine serotypes identified among vaccinated infants in South Africa (SA).

Aim

To characterise lineages and antimicrobial resistance in 16F isolates obtained from South Africa and placed the local findings in a global context.

Methodology

We analysed 10923 S. pneumoniae carriage isolates obtained from infants recruited as part of a broader SA birth cohort. We inferred serotype, resistance profile for penicillin, chloramphenicol, cotrimoxazole, erythromycin and tetracycline, and Global Pneumococcal Sequence Clusters (GPSCs) from genomic data. To ensure global representation, we also included S. pneumoniae carriage and disease isolates from the Global Pneumococcal Sequencing (GPS) project database (n=19,607, collected from 49 countries across five continents, years covered (1995 - 2018), accessed on 17 th March 2022).

Results

Nine percent (934/10923) of isolates obtained from infants in the Drakenstein community in SA and 2% (419/19607) of genomes in the GPS dataset were serotype 16F. Serotype 16F isolates were from 28 different lineages of S. pneumoniae, with GPSC33 and GPSC46 having the highest proportion of serotype 16F isolates at 26% (346/1353) and 53% (716/1353), respectively. Serotype 16F isolates were identified globally, however, most isolates were collected from Africa. GPSC33 was associated with carriage [OR (95% CI) 0.24 (0.09 - 0.66); p=0.003], while GPSC46 was associated with disease [OR (95% CI) 19.9 (2.56 - 906.50); p=0.0004]. 10% (37/346) and 15% (53/346) of isolates within GPSC33 had genes associated with resistance to penicillin and co-trimoxazole, respectively, and 18% (128/716) of isolates within GPSC46 had genes associated with resistance to co-trimoxazole. Resistant isolates formed genetic clusters which may suggest emerging resistant lineages.

Discussion

Serotype 16F lineages are common in Southern Africa. Some of these lineages are associated with disease, and resistance to penicillin and cotrimoxazole. We recommend continuous genomic surveillance to determine long term impact of serotype 16F lineages on vaccine efficacy and antimicrobial therapy globally. Investing in vaccine strategies that offer protection over a wide range of serotypes/lineages remains essential.

DATA SUMMARY

The sequencing reads for the genomes analysed have been deposited in the European Nucleotide Archive and the accession numbers for each isolate are listed in Supplementary Table1 . Phylogenetic tree of serotype 16F pneumococcal genomes and associated metadata are available for download and visualisation on the Microreact website: Phylogenies of seotype 16F, GPSC33 and GPSC46 are available on the Microreact serotype-16F , GPSC33 and GPSC46 , respectively.

IMPACT STATEMENT

This study shows that serotype 16F lineages are predominant in Southern Africa and are associated with disease and antimicrobial resistance. Although serotype 16F has been included in the newer formulation of the upcoming vaccine formulations of PCV21 and IVT-25, continuous surveillance to determine long term impact of serotype 16F lineages on vaccines and antimicrobial therapy remains essential.

Emergence of a multidrug-resistant and virulent Streptococcus pneumoniae lineage mediates serotype replacement after PCV13: an international whole-genome sequencing study

BACKGROUND

Serotype 24F is one of the emerging pneumococcal serotypes after the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV). We aimed to identify lineages driving the increase of serotype 24F in France and place these findings into a global context.

METHODS

Whole-genome sequencing was performed on a collection of serotype 24F pneumococci from asymptomatic colonisation (n=229) and invasive disease (n=190) isolates among individuals younger than 18 years in France, from 2003 to 2018. To provide a global context, we included an additional collection of 24F isolates in the Global Pneumococcal Sequencing (GPS) project database for analysis. A Global Pneumococcal Sequence Cluster (GPSC) and a clonal complex (CC) were assigned to each genome. Phylogenetic, evolutionary, and spatiotemporal analysis were conducted using the same 24F collection and supplemented with a global collection of genomes belonging to the lineage of interest from the GPS project database (n=25 590).

FINDINGS

Serotype 24F was identified in numerous countries mainly due to the clonal spread of three lineages: GPSC10 (CC230), GPSC16 (CC156), and GPSC206 (CC7701). GPSC10 was the only multidrug-resistant lineage. GPSC10 drove the increase in 24F in France and had high invasive disease potential. The international dataset of GPSC10 (n=888) revealed that this lineage expressed 16 other serotypes, with only six included in 13-valent PCV (PCV13). All serotype 24F isolates were clustered in a single clade within the GPSC10 phylogeny and long-range transmissions were detected from Europe to other continents. Spatiotemporal analysis showed GPSC10-24F took 3-5 years to spread across France and a rapid change of serotype composition from PCV13 serotype 19A to 24F during the introduction of PCV13 was observed in neighbouring country Spain.

INTERPRETATION

Our work reveals that GPSC10 alone is a challenge for serotype-based vaccine strategy. More systematic investigation to identify lineages like GPSC10 will better inform and improve next-generation preventive strategies against pneumococcal diseases.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Sanger Institute, and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Serotypes and Clonal Composition of Streptococcus pneumoniae Isolates Causing IPD in Children and Adults in Catalonia before 2013 to 2015 and after 2017 to 2019 Systematic Introduction of PCV13

The goal of this study was to investigate the distribution of serotypes and clonal composition of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in Catalonia, before and after systematic introduction of PCV13. Pneumococcal strains isolated from normally sterile sites obtained from patients of all ages with IPD received between 2013 and 2019 from 25 health centers of Catalonia were included. Two study periods were defined: presystematic vaccination period (2013 and 2015) and systematic vaccination period (SVP) (2017 to 2019). A total of 2,303 isolates were analyzed. In the SVP, there was a significant decrease in the incidence of IPD cases in children 5 to 17 years old (relative risk [RR] 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38 to 0.99), while there was a significant increase in the incidence of IPD cases in 18- to 64-year-old adults (RR 1.33; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.52) and adults over 65 years old (RR 1.23; 95% CI 1.09 to 1.38). Serotype 8 was the major emerging serotype in all age groups except in 5- to 17-year-old children. In children younger than 5 years old, the main serotypes in SVP were 24F, 15A, and 3, while in adults older than 65 years they were serotypes 3, 8, and 12F. A significant decrease in the proportions of clonal complexes CC156, CC191, and ST306 and an increase in those of CC180, CC53, and CC404 were observed. A steady decrease in the incidence of IPD caused by PCV13 serotypes indicates the importance and impact of systematic vaccination. The increase of non-PCV13 serotypes highlights the need to expand serotype coverage in future vaccines and rethink vaccination programs for older adults.

IMPORTANCE We found that with the incorporation of the PCV13 vaccine, the numbers of IPD cases caused by serotypes included in this vaccine decreased in all of the age groups. Still, there was an unforeseen increase of the serotypes not included in this vaccine causing IPD, especially in the >65-year-old group. Moreover, a significant increase of serotype 3 included in the vaccine has been observed; this event has been reported by other researchers. These facts call for the incorporation of more serotypes in future vaccines and a more thorough surveillance of the dynamics of this microorganism.

Serotypes in Adult Pneumococcal Pneumonia in Spain in the Era of Conjugate Vaccines

We studied changes in serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility in adult pneumococcal pneumonia in Spain (2011–2019). Among 895 pneumococci collected (433 bacteremic [BPP] and 462 non-bacteremic [non-BPP]), serotypes 3 (17%), 19A (10%), 8 (6.7%) and 11A (6.7%) were the most frequent. Serotypes 16F, 19A and 24F were associated with old people (≥65) and serotypes 4, 7F, 8, 12F and 19F to young adults. Serotypes 12F, 24F and 1 were significantly more frequent in BPP and serotypes 11A, 23A and 19F in non-BPP. Amoxicillin resistance was higher in non-BPP (17% vs. 11%) while penicillin non-susceptibility (37% vs. 24%) and macrolide resistance (29% vs. 14%) were higher in older adults. In the period 2017–2019, the vaccine coverages were: 32% (PCV13), 39% (PCV15), 65% (PCV20) and 69% (PPV23). Differences were found in serotype composition and antimicrobial resistance by age and type of infection. The maintenance of serotype 3 as a leading cause of adult pneumococcal pneumonia and the increase in highly invasive (serotype 8) or antimicrobial-resistant (serotype 11A) serotypes is worrisome. Further studies will be required to analyse the impact of the upcoming broader conjugate vaccines.

Impact of private use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) on pneumococcal carriage among Portuguese children living in urban and rural regions

In Portugal, the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) was commercially available between 2010 and 2015, following a decade of private use of PCV7. We evaluated changes on serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of pneumococci carried by children living in two regions of Portugal (one urban and one rural). Three epidemiological periods were defined: pre-PCV13 (2009-2010), early-PCV13 (2011-2012), and late-PCV13 (2015-2016). Nasopharyngeal samples (n = 4,232) were obtained from children 0-6 years old attending day-care centers. Private use of PCVs was very high in both regions (>75%). Pneumococcal carriage remained stable and high over time (62.1%, 62.4% and 61.6% (p = 0.909) in the urban region; and 59.8%, 62.8%, 59.5% (p = 0.543) in the rural region). Carriage of PCV7 serotypes remained low (5.3%, 7.8% and 4.3% in the urban region; and 2.5%, 3.7% and 4.8% in the rural region). Carriage of PCV13 serotypes not targeted by PCV7 decreased in both the urban (16.4%, 7.3%, and 1.6%; p < 0.001) and rural regions (13.2%, 7.8%, and 1.9%; p < 0.001). This decline was mostly attributable to serotype 19A (14.1%, 4.4% and 1.3% in the urban region; and 11.1%, 3.6% and 0.8% in the rural region, both p < 0.001). Serotype 3 declined over time in the urban region (10.1%, 4.4%, 0.8%; p < 0.001) and had no obvious trend in the rural region (4.2%, 6.7%, 2.4%; p = 0.505). Serotype 6C decreased in both regions while serotypes 11D, 15A/B/C, 16F, 21, 22F, 23A/B, 24F, 35F, and NT were the most prevalent in the late-PCV13 period. Intermediate resistance to penicillin and non-susceptibility to erythromycin decreased significantly in both regions (19.5%, 13.3%, and 9.3%; and 25.4%, 25.9%, and 13.4%; both p < 0.001, respectively in the urban region; and 12.4%, 11.1%, and 2.8% (p < 0.001); and 15.3%, 14.7%, and 9.2% (p = 0.037), respectively, in the rural region). In conclusion, private use of PCV13 led to significant changes on the pneumococcal population carried by children in Portugal.

Molecular characterization and epidemiology of Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 8 in Denmark

Background

Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 8 incidence has increased in Denmark after the introduction of pneumococcal conjugated vaccines (PCV). The mechanism behind the serotype 8 replacement is not well understood. In this study, we aimed to present epidemiological data on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and molecular characterization of 96 serotype 8 clinical isolates.

Methods

IPD data from 1999 to 2019 were used to calculate the incidence and age distribution. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) analysis was performed on 96 isolates (6.8% of the total serotype 8 IPD isolates in the period) to characterize the isolates with respect to pneumococcal lineage traits, a range of genes with potential species discrimination, presence of colonization and virulence factors, and molecular resistance pattern.

Results

The serotype 8 IPD incidence increased significantly (P < 0.05) for the age groups above 15 years after the introduction of PCV13, primarily affecting the elderly (65+). All isolates were phenotypically susceptible to penicillin, erythromycin and clindamycin.

Molecular characterization revealed seven different MLST profiles with ST53 as the most prevalent lineage (87.5%) among the analyzed serotype 8 isolates. The genes covering the cell-surface proteins: lytA, rspB, pspA, psaA & Xisco and the pneumococcal toxin pneumolysin = ply were present in all isolates, while genes for the membrane transporter proteins: piaA/piaB/piaC; the capsular genes: cpsA (wzg) & psrP; the metallo-binding proteins zmpB & zmpC; and the neuroamidase proteins: nanA/nanB were variably present. Surprisingly, the putative transcriptional regulator gene SP2020 was not present in all isolates (98%). Susceptibility to penicillin, erythromycin and clindamycin was molecularly confirmed.

Conclusion

The observed serotype 8 replacement was not significantly reflected with a change in the MLST profile or changes in antibiotic resistance- or virulence determinants.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06103-w.