Ischemic injury to the conducting system of the heart

Markov model for detection of ECG instability prior to cardiac arrest in single-ventricle patients

OBJECTIVES

Assess the degree of instability in the electrocardiogram (ECG) waveform in patients with single-ventricle physiology before a cardiac arrest and compare them with similar patients who did not experience a cardiac arrest.

METHODS

Retrospective control study in patients with single-ventricle physiology who underwent Norwood, Blalock-Taussig shunt, pulmonary artery band, and aortic arch repair from 2013 to 2018. Electronic medical records were obtained for all included patients. For each subject, 6 h of ECG data were analyzed. In the arrest group, the end of the sixth hour coincides with the cardiac arrest. In the control group, the 6-h windows were randomly selected. We used a Markov chain framework and the likelihood ratio test to measure the degree of ECG instability and to classify the arrest and control groups.

RESULTS

The study dataset consists of 38 cardiac arrest events and 67 control events. Our Markov model was able to classify the arrest and control groups based on the ECG instability with an ROC AUC of 82% at the hour preceding the cardiac arrests.

CONCLUSION

We designed a method using the Markov chain framework to measure the level of instability in the beat-to-beat ECG morphology. Furthermore, we were able to show that the Markov model performed well to distinguish patients in the arrest group compared to the control group.

The conduction system of the swine heart

Although the pig has been used as an experimental model for ischemic heart disease and sudden death, relatively little is known about the anatomy of the conduction system (CS) of this animal. We attempted to correlate electrophysiologic and anatomic differences between the pig and human CS. Invasive electrophysiologic studies were performed in five healthy anesthetized pigs. In contrast to the adult human, the pig has sinus tachycardia, shortened PR and H-V intervals, and a relatively short sinoatrial conduction time. Compared with the human CS, serial sections of the CS of pig hearts showed the following differences: (1) the atrioventricular node is located more to the right of the summit of the ventricular septum; (2) the penetrating bundle is very short, and the bifurcation of the bundle into bundle branches occurs more proximally; (3) there is more connective tissue and less elastic tissue; and (4) there is a copious amount of nerve fibers (about 50 percent throughout the CS). The presence of the abundant neural tissue implies that there is an important neurogenic component to conduction in the pig. Because of the above differences from the human, the pig should be used with caution as an experimental model in ischemic heart disease and sudden death where arrhythmias are studied.