Presentation and risk stratification--improving prognosis for patients with multiple myeloma

MRI-Based Bone Marrow Radiomics Nomogram for Prediction of Overall Survival in Patients With Multiple Myeloma

Purpose

To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) in multiple myeloma (MM) patients.

Material and Methods

A total of 121 MM patients was enrolled and divided into training (n=84) and validation (n=37) sets. The radiomics signature was established by the selected radiomics features from lumbar MRI. The radiomics signature and clinical risk factors were integrated in multivariate Cox regression model for constructing radiomics nomogram to predict MM OS. The predictive ability and accuracy of the nomogram were evaluated by the index of concordance (C-index) and calibration curves, and compared with other four models including the clinical model, radiomics signature model, the Durie-Salmon staging system (D-S) and the International Staging System (ISS). The potential association between the radiomics signature and progression-free survival (PFS) was also explored.

Results

The radiomics signature, 1q21 gain, del (17p), and β2-MG≥5.5 mg/L showed significant association with MM OS. The predictive ability of radiomics nomogram was better than the clinical model, radiomics signature model, the D-S and the ISS (C-index: 0.793 vs. 0.733 vs. 0.742 vs. 0.554 vs. 0.671 in training set, and 0.812 vs. 0.799 vs.0.717 vs. 0.512 vs. 0.761 in validation set). The radiomics signature lacked the predictive ability for PFS (log-rank P=0.001 in training set and log-rank P=0.103 in validation set), whereas the 1-, 2- and 3-year PFS rates all showed significant difference between the high and low risk groups (P ≤ 0.05).

Conclusion

The MRI-based bone marrow radiomics may be an additional useful tool for MM OS prediction.

Outcomes Among High-Risk and Standard-Risk Multiple Myeloma Patients Treated With High-Dose Chemotherapy and Autologous Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Conventional cytogenetics and interphase fluorescence in-situ hybridization (FISH) identify a high-risk multiple myeloma population characterized by poor response and short survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We compared outcomes between high-risk and standard-risk myeloma patients who underwent autologous hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (auto-HCT) at our institution between January 2005 and December 2009. High-risk myeloma was defined as -13/del(13q) or hypodiploidy in at least 2 metaphases of conventional cytogenetics, or -17/del(17p), t(4;14), t(14;16), t(14;20), hypodiploidy (< 45 chromosomes excluding -Y), or chromosome 1 abnormalities (+1q, -1p, t(1;x)) on FISH or conventional cytogenetics.

RESULTS

Of 670 myeloma patients, 74 (11%) had high-risk myeloma. These high-risk patients had significantly lower overall response rates (74% vs. 85%; P < .01), shorter median progression-free survival (10.3 vs. 32.4 months; P < .001), and shorter overall survival (28 months vs. not reached; P < .001) than the standard-risk patients. Having only 1 high-risk cytogenetic abnormality or experiencing at least very good partial remission after auto-HCT independently predicted improved progression-free survival and overall survival (P < .05) in high-risk patients.

CONCLUSION

Even in an era of novel therapies, cytogenetically identified high-risk myeloma patients have worse prognoses than standard-risk myeloma patients after auto-HCT, and having more than 1 high-risk cytogenetic abnormality further reduces survival.

High-risk multiple myeloma: different definitions, different outcomes?

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a clonal plasma cell malignancy. Although MM is still not completely curable, it can be maintained at the level of a long-term chronic condition. Irrespective of the treatment strategy, relapse is still a major problem for most patients. Approximately 10% to 15% of all MM patients relapse early and have poor prognosis and outcome. Currently, there are many ways of identifying these high-risk patients using cytogenetics or molecular biology. Despite these various approaches to definition of high risk patients, a clear definition of high-risk MM has not been widely accepted. In this review, we discuss and compare various approaches, and their strengths and weaknesses in early identification of high-risk MM patients.

Inhibition of the tumour necrosis factor-alpha autocrine loop enhances the sensitivity of multiple myeloma cells to anticancer drugs

Several autocrine soluble factors, including macrophage inflammatory protein-1α and tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), promote the survival and growth of multiple myeloma (MM) cells. We hypothesised that inhibition of the TNF-α autocrine loop may enhance the cytotoxic effect of anticancer drugs in MM cell lines. In the present study, a TNF-α-neutralizing antibody suppressed cell proliferation and enhanced the cytotoxic effect of anticancer drugs on MM cells. In addition, combination treatment with the TNF-α-neutralizing antibody and the chemotherapy agent melphalan inhibited nuclear factor κB (NF-κB) p65 nuclear translocation and mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) activation and upregulated the expression of Bax and Bim. Treatment of ARH-77 cells with the NF-κB inhibitor dimethyl fumarate or the mTOR inhibitor rapamycin suppressed NF-κB p65 nuclear translocation and enhanced the cytotoxic effect of melphalan. Furthermore, infliximab, a monoclonal antibody against TNF-α, also enhanced the cytotoxic effect of anticancer drugs in ARH-77 cells. These results indicated that TNF-α-neutralizing antibodies or infliximab enhanced the cytotoxic effect of anticancer drugs by suppressing the TNF receptor/mTOR/NF-κB pathways. The inhibition of TNF-α may thus provide a new therapeutic approach to control tumour progression and bone destruction in MM patients.

Treatment outcomes in patients with relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma and high-risk cytogenetics receiving single-agent carfilzomib in the PX-171-003-A1 study

Several cytogenetic abnormalities are associated with poor outcomes in multiple myeloma (MM). We prospectively analyzed the impact of cytogenetic abnormalities on outcomes during the phase 2 PX-171-003-A1 study of single-agent carfilzomib for relapsed and refractory MM. In the response-evaluable population (257/266), fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH)/conventional cytogenetic profiles were available for 229 patients; 62 (27.1%) had high-risk cytogenetics—del 17p13, t(4;14) or t(14;16) by interphase FISH or deletion 13 or hypodiploidy by metaphase cytogenetics—and 167 (72.9%) had standard-risk profiles. Generally, baseline characteristics were similar between the subgroups, but International Staging System stage III disease was more common in high- vs standard-risk patients (41.9% vs 27.5%) as was Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 1/2 (85.5% vs 68.3%). Overall response was comparable between the subgroups (25.8% vs 24.6%, respectively; P=0.85), while time-to-event end points showed a trend of shorter duration in high-risk patients, including median duration of response (5.6 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.7–7.8) vs 8.3 months (95% CI 5.6–12.3)) and overall survival (9.3 (95% CI 6.5–13.0) vs 19.0 months (95% CI 15.4–NE); P=0.0003). Taken together, these findings demonstrate that single-agent carfilzomib is efficacious and has the potential to at least partially overcome the impact of high-risk cytogenetics in heavily pre-treated patients with MM.

High levels of circulating CD34+ cells at autologous stem cell collection are associated with favourable prognosis in multiple myeloma

Background:

High-dose chemotherapy with autologous stem cell transplantation is a cornerstone in the first-line treatment of multiple myeloma patients. However, only few factors have been identified affecting the outcome in such patients. We hypothesised that varying levels of mobilised CD34+ cells confer prognostic information in myeloma patients undergoing high-dose chemotherapy.

Methods:

We determined circulating CD34+ cells at the day of peripheral stem cell collection in 158 consecutive myeloma patients between January 2001 and August 2010. Patients were stratified into two groups (super vs normal mobilisers) with a cutoff of 100 000 peripheral CD34+ cells per ml.

Results:

We found that patients with more than 100 000 peripheral CD34+ cells per ml had a better overall survival (P=0.005) and a prolonged time to progression (P=0.0398) than patients with CD34+ cell counts below 100 000 CD34+ cells per ml. High levels of CD34+ cells were an independent marker for better overall survival and time to progression in a multivariate analysis that included disease stage, response at transplant, light-chain subtype, age, sex, and height.

Conclusion:

Our results suggest that high levels of mobilised peripheral CD34+ cells are associated with favourable outcome in myeloma patients undergoing autologous transplantation.

Variant Burkitt-type translocation (8;22)(q24;q11) in plasma cell myeloma

Variant Burkitt-type translocation, t(8;22)(q24;q11), is very rare in plasma cell myeloma. We report a 51-year-old male patient with plasma cell myeloma, who showed t(8;22) (q24;q11). He suffered from pelvic pain for two months, and showed IgG, lambda type of monoclonal gammopathy (5.14 g/dL; 49.9% of protein). His bone marrow examination showed increased plasma cells (66.9% of all nucleated cells). Plasma cells (74.9% of all nucleated cells) and monoclonal spike (3.38 g/dL; 42.2%) persisted after three cycles of thalidomide and dexamethasone. Cytogenetic analysis showed complex chromosomal abnormalities: 44,XY,-1,t(2;5)(q33;q13),add(8)(q24.1),t(8;22)(q24.1;q11.2),add(10) (p15), der(11)t(1;11)(q21;p11.2),del(12)(p11.2p13),-13,-14,add(14)(q32),der(15)t(1;15)(p2 2;p11.2),-16,add(17)(q11.2),+21,+1-3mar[cp6]/46,XY[19]. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report on plasma cell myeloma with a variant Burkitt-type t(8;22)(q24;q11) in the Korean patient. A review of 11 such cases in the literature, including the present case, implicated that plasma cell myeloma with t(8;22)(q24;q11) might be related to advanced stage and poor prognosis.