The Multicenter Morphometric Mammary Carcinoma Project (MMMCP). A nationwide prospective study on reproducibility and prognostic power of routine quantitative assessments in The Netherlands

Analysis of Tumor Proliferation Markers in Early-Stage Luminal Breast Cancer: A Comprehensive Study Using Mitotic Activity Index, Ki-67, and Phosphohistone H3 Expression

Introduction and Aim: Routinely used proliferation markers such as mitotic activity index (MAI) and Ki-67 index show limited reproducibility due to high interobserver variability in breast cancer assessment. Phosphohistone H3 (PhH3), a novel proliferation marker, is gaining attention in breast cancer research. This study aimed to evaluate the inter-rater agreement among MAI, Ki-67, and PhH3 expressions in early-stage luminal breast cancer and assess the impact of replacing MAI with PhH3 index on tumor histological grading. Materials and Methods: Three pathologists assessed MAI, Ki-67, and PhH3 expressions in 66 early-stage luminal breast cancer specimens. Mitotic Activity Index was scored based on mitotic figures in an area of 2 mm2 while Ki-67 index utilized a 14% threshold for positively stained nuclei. Phosphohistone H3 expression cutoff was set at 13 positive cells per 2 mm2. The inter-rater agreement for the 3 variables was analyzed using Cohen kappa statistics. Results: Among the 3 parameters, the kappa score of the PhH3 expression reflected very strong agreement between the 3 observers (κ = 0.991, 0.907, and 0.916). Only moderate agreement was noted for MAI (κ = 0.898, 0.562, and 0.592) and substantial agreement for Ki-67 index (κ = 0.869, 0.673, and 0.678). Moreover, replacing MAI with PhH3 index led to upgrade of histological grade in 15% to 16% of patients. Conclusion: Our study demonstrated that PhH3 is a more reproducible proliferation marker than MAI and Ki-67. Incorporation of PhH3-based mitotic index in breast cancer grading might reduce the variation in the assessment of histological grade.

Assessment of tumour proliferation by use of the mitotic activity index, and Ki67 and phosphohistone H3 expression, in early-stage luminal breast cancer

AIMS

Phosphohistone H3 (PhH3) has been proposed as a novel proliferation marker in breast cancer. This study compares the interobserver agreement for assessment of the mitotic activity index (MAI), Ki67 expression, and PhH3 in a cohort of oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Tumour samples of 159 luminal breast cancer patients were collected. MAI and PhH3 scores were assessed by three breast cancer pathologists. Ki67 scores were assessed separately by two of the three pathologists. PhH3-positive cells were counted in an area of 2 mm2 , with a threshold of ≥13 positive cells being used to discriminate between low-proliferative and high-proliferative tumours. Ki67 expression was assessed with the global scoring method. Ki67 percentages of <20% were considered to be low. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and Cohen's κ statistics were used to evaluate interobserver agreement. The impact on histological grading of replacing the MAI with PhH3 was assessed. Counting PhH3-positive cells was highly reproducible among all three observers (ICC of 0.86). The κ scores for the categorical PhH3 count (κ = 0.78, κ = 0.68, and κ = 0.80) reflected substantial agreement among all observers, whereas agreement for the MAI (κ = 0.38, κ = 0.52, and κ = 0.26) and Ki67 (κ = 0.55) was fair to moderate. When PhH3 was used to determine the histological grade, agreement in grading increased (PhH3, κ = 0.52, κ = 0.48, and κ = 0.52; MAI, κ = 0.43, κ = 0.35, and κ = 0.32), and the proportion of grade III tumours increased (14%, 18%, and 27%).

CONCLUSION

PhH3 seems to outperform Ki67 and the MAI as a reproducible means to measure tumour proliferation in luminal-type breast cancer. Variation in the assessment of histological grade might be reduced by using PhH3, but would result in an increase in the proportion of high-grade cancers.

Influence of pre-operative oral carbohydrate loading vs. standard fasting on tumor proliferation and clinical outcome in breast cancer patients ─ a randomized trial

Background

Conflicting results have been reported on the influence of carbohydrates in breast cancer.

Objective

To determine the influence of pre-operative per-oral carbohydrate load on proliferation in breast tumors.

Design

Randomized controlled trial.

Setting

University hospital with primary and secondary care functions in South-West Norway.

Patients

Sixty-one patients with operable breast cancer from a population-based cohort.

Intervention

Per-oral carbohydrate load (preOp™) 18 and 2–4 h before surgery (n = 26) or standard pre-operative fasting with free consumption of tap water (n = 35).

Measurements

The primary outcome was post-operative tumor proliferation measured by the mitotic activity index (MAI). The secondary outcomes were changes in the levels of serum insulin, insulin-c-peptide, glucose, IGF-1, and IGFBP3; patients’ well-being, and clinical outcome over a median follow-up of 88 months (range 33–97 months).

Results

In the estrogen receptor (ER) positive subgroup (n = 50), high proliferation (MAI ≥ 10) occurred more often in the carbohydrate group (CH) than in the fasting group (p = 0.038). The CH group was more frequently progesterone receptor (PR) negative (p = 0.014). The CH group had a significant increase in insulin (+ 24.31 mIE/L, 95% CI 15.34 mIE/L to 33.27 mIE/L) and insulin c-peptide (+ 1.39 nM, 95% CI 1.03 nM to 1.77 nM), but reduced IGFBP3 levels (− 0.26 nM; 95% CI − 0.46 nM to − 0.051 nM) compared to the fasting group. CH-intervention ER-positive patients had poorer relapse-free survival (73%) than the fasting group (100%; p = 0.012; HR = 9.3, 95% CI, 1.1 to 77.7). In the ER-positive patients, only tumor size (p = 0.021; HR = 6.07, 95% CI 1.31 to 28.03) and the CH/fasting subgrouping (p = 0.040; HR = 9.30, 95% CI 1.11 to 77.82) had independent prognostic value. The adverse clinical outcome of carbohydrate loading occurred only in T2 patients with relapse-free survival of 100% in the fasting group vs. 33% in the CH group (p = 0.015; HR = inf). The CH group reported less pain on days 5 and 6 than the control group (p <  0.001) but otherwise exhibited no factors related to well-being.

Limitation

Only applicable to T2 tumors in patients with ER-positive breast cancer.

Conclusions

Pre-operative carbohydrate load increases proliferation and PR-negativity in ER-positive patients and worsens clinical outcome in ER-positive T2 patients.

Trial registration

CliniTrials.gov; NCT03886389. Retrospectively registered March 22, 2019.

Validation study of MARCKSL1 as a prognostic factor in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients

Protein expression of Myristoylated alanine-rich C kinase substrate like-1 (MARCKSL1) has been identified as a prognostic factor in lymph-node negative (LN^-) breast cancer patients. We aim to validate MARCKSL1 protein expression as a prognostic marker for distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in a new cohort of LN^- breast cancer patients. MARCKSL1 expression was evaluated in 151 operable T_1,2N₀M₀ LN^- breast cancer patients by immunohistochemistry. Median follow-up time was 152 months, range 11–189 months. Results were compared with classical prognosticators (age, tumor diameter, grade, estrogen receptor, and proliferation) using single (Kaplan-Meier) and multivariate (Cox model) survival analysis. Thirteen patients (9%) developed distant metastases. With both single and multiple analysis of all features, MARCKSL1 did not show a significant prognostic value for DMFS (p = 0.498). Of the assessed classical prognosticators, only tumor diameter showed prognostic value (hazard ratio 9.3, 95% confidence interval 2.8–31.0, p <0.001). MARCKSL1 expression could not be confirmed as a prognostic factor in this cohort. Possible reasons include changes in diagnostic and treatment guidelines between the discovery and validation cohorts. Further studies are needed to reveal the potential biological role of this protein in breast cancer.

The prognostic value of mitotic activity index (MAI), phosphohistone H3 (PPH3), cyclin B1, cyclin A, and Ki67, alone and in combinations, in node-negative premenopausal breast cancer

Proliferation, either as the main common denominator in genetic profiles, or in the form of single factors such as Ki67, is recommended for clinical use especially in estrogen receptor-positive (ER) patients. However, due to high costs of genetic profiles and lack of reproducibility for Ki67, studies on other proliferation factors are warranted. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the proliferation factors mitotic activity index (MAI), phosphohistone H3 (PPH3), cyclin B1, cyclin A and Ki67, alone and in combinations. In 222 consecutive premenopausal node-negative breast cancer patients (87% without adjuvant medical treatment), MAI was assessed on whole tissue sections (predefined cut-off ≥10 mitoses), and PPH3, cyclin B1, cyclin A, and Ki67 on tissue microarray (predefined cut-offs 7th decile). In univariable analysis (high versus low) the strongest prognostic proliferation factor for 10-year distant disease-free survival was MAI (Hazard Ratio (HR)=3.3, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.8-6.1), followed by PPH3, cyclin A, Ki67, and cyclin B1. A combination variable, with patients with MAI and/or cyclin A high defined as high-risk, had even stronger prognostic value (HR=4.2, 95%CI: 2.2-7). When stratifying for ER-status, MAI was a significant prognostic factor in ER-positive patients only (HR=7.0, 95%CI: 3.1-16). Stratified for histological grade, MAI added prognostic value in grade 2 (HR=7.2, 95%CI: 3.1-38) and grade 1 patients. In multivariable analysis including HER2, age, adjuvant medical treatment, ER, and one proliferation factor at a time, only MAI (HR=2.7, 95%CI: 1.1-6.7), and cyclin A (HR=2.7, 95%CI: 1.2-6.0) remained independently prognostic. In conclusion this study confirms the strong prognostic value of all proliferation factors, especially MAI and cyclin A, in all patients, and more specifically in ER-positive patients, and patients with histological grade 2 and 1. Additionally, by combining two proliferation factors, an even stronger prognostic value may be found.

A comparison of Ki-67 and mitotic count as prognostic markers for metastatic pancreatic and midgut neuroendocrine neoplasms

Background:

The aim of this study was to compare mitotic count (MC) and Ki-67 proliferation index as prognostic markers in pancreatic and midgut neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs).

Methods:

Two hundred eighty-five patients with metastatic NENs were recruited. Concordance between histological grade according to either Ki-67 or MC as defined by the European Neuroendocrine Tumour Society guidelines was assessed and the prognostic significance of Ki-67 or MC were evaluated.

Results:

There was a discrepancy of 44 and 38% in grade assignment when using Ki-67 or MC in pancreatic and midgut NENs, respectively. In multivariate analysis, grade using Ki-67, but not MC, was a significant prognostic factor in determining overall survival (hazard ratios: midgut G2 2.34, G3 15.1, pancreas G2 2.08, G3 11.3). The prognostic value of Ki-67 was improved using a modified classification (hazard ratios: midgut G2 3.02, for G3 22.1, pancreas G2 5.97, G3 33.8).

Conclusion:

There is a lack of concordance between Ki-67 and MC in assigning tumour grade. Grade according to Ki-67 was a better prognostic marker than MC for metastatic pancreatic and midgut NENs. We suggest that Ki-67 alone should be used for grading pancreatic and midgut NENs and that the current threshold for classifying G1/G2 tumours should be revised from 2 to 5%.

Prognostic value of mitotic index and Bcl2 expression in male breast cancer

The incidence of male breast cancer (MBC) is rising. Current treatment regimens for MBC are extrapolated from female breast cancer (FBC), based on the assumption that FBC prognostic features and therapeutic targets can be extrapolated to MBC. However, there is yet little evidence that prognostic features that have been developed and established in FBC are applicable to MBC as well. In a recent study on FBC, a combination of mitotic index and Bcl2 expression proved to be of strong prognostic value. Previous papers on Bcl2 expression in MBC were equivocal, and the prognostic value of Bcl2 combined with mitotic index has not been studied in MBC. The aim of the present study was therefore to investigate the prognostic value of Bcl2 in combination with mitotic index in MBC. Immunohistochemical staining for Bcl2 was performed on tissue microarrays of a total of 151 male breast cancer cases. Mitotic index was scored. The prognostic value of Bcl2 expression and Bcl2/mitotic index combinations was evaluated studying their correlations with clinicopathologic features and their prediction of survival. The vast majority of MBC (94%) showed Bcl2 expression, more frequently than previously described for FBC. Bcl2 expression had no significant associations with clinicopathologic features such as tumor size, mitotic count and grade. In univariate survival analysis, Bcl2 had no prognostic value, and showed no additional prognostic value to tumor size and histological grade in Cox regression. In addition, the Bcl2/mitotic index combination as opposed to FBC did not predict survival in MBC. In conclusion, Bcl2 expression is common in MBC, but is not associated with major clinicopathologic features and, in contrast to FBC, does not seem to have prognostic value, also when combined with mitotic index.

Validation of expression patterns for nine miRNAs in 204 lymph-node negative breast cancers

Introduction

Although lymph node negative (LN-) breast cancer patients have a good 10-years survival (∼85%), most of them still receive adjuvant therapy, while only some benefit from this. More accurate prognostication of LN- breast cancer patient may reduce over- and under-treatment. Until now proliferation is the strongest prognostic factor for LN- breast cancer patients. The small molecule microRNA (miRNA) has opened a new window for prognostic markers, therapeutic targets and/or therapeutic components. Previously it has been shown that miR-18a/b, miR-25, miR-29c and miR-106b correlate to high proliferation.

Methods

The current study validates nine miRNAs (miR-18a/b miR-25, miR-29c, miR-106b, miR375, miR-424, miR-505 and let-7b) significantly correlated with established prognostic breast cancer biomarkers. Total RNA was isolated from 204 formaldehyde-fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) LN- breast cancers and analyzed with quantitative real-time Polymerase Chain Reaction (qPCR). Independent T-test was used to detect significant correlation between miRNA expression level and the different clinicopathological features for breast cancer.

Results

Strong and significant associations were observed for high expression of miR-18a/b, miR-106b, miR-25 and miR-505 to high proliferation, oestrogen receptor negativity and cytokeratin 5/6 positivity. High expression of let-7b, miR-29c and miR-375 was detected in more differentiated tumours. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with high miR-106b expression had an 81% survival rate vs. 95% (P = 0.004) for patients with low expression.

Conclusion

High expression of miR-18a/b are strongly associated with basal-like breast cancer features, while miR-106b can identify a group with higher risk for developing distant metastases in the subgroup of Her2 negatives. Furthermore miR-106b can identify a group of patients with 100% survival within the otherwise considered high risk group of patients with high proliferation. Using miR-106b as a biomarker in conjunction to mitotic activity index could thereby possibly save 18% of the patients with high proliferation from overtreatment.

The prognostic value of MARCKS-like 1 in lymph node-negative breast cancer

There is a need for new biomarkers to more correctly identify node-negative breast cancer patients with a good or bad prognosis. Myristoylated alanine-rich C kinase substrate like-1 (MARCKSL1) is a membrane-bound protein that is associated with cell spreading, integrin activation and exocytosis. Three hundred and five operable T(1,2)N(0)M(0) lymph node-negative breast cancer patients (median follow-up time 121 months, range 10-178 months) were evaluated for MARCKSL1 expression by immunohistochemistry and quantitative real-time PCR. The results were compared with classical prognosticators (age, tumor diameter, grade, estrogen receptor, and proliferation), using single (Kaplan-Meier) and multivariate survival analysis (Cox model). Forty-seven patients (15 %) developed distant metastases. With single and multivariate analysis of all features, MARCKSL1 protein expression was the strongest prognosticator (P < 0.001, HR = 5.1, 95 % CI = 2.7-9.8). Patients with high MARCKSL1 expression (n = 23) showed a 44 % survival versus 88 % in patients with low expression at 15-year follow-up. mRNA expression of MARCKSL1 in formalin fixed paraffin-embedded tissue was also prognostic (P = 0.002, HR = 3.6, 95 % CI = 1.5-8.3). However, the prognostic effect of high and low was opposite from the protein expression, i.e., low expression (relative expression ≤ 0.0264, n = 76) showed a 79 % survival versus 92 % in those with high expression of MARCKSL1 mRNA. Multivariate analysis of all features with distant metastases free survival as the end-point showed that the combination of MARCKSL1 protein and phosphohistone H3 (PPH3) has the strongest independent prognostic value. Patients with high expression (≥13) of PPH3 and high MARCKSL1 protein had 45 % survival versus 78 % survival for patients with low MARCKSL1 protein expression and high expression (≥13) of PPH3. In conclusion, MARCKSL1 has strong prognostic value in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients, especially in those with high proliferation.

Mitotic activity and bone marrow micrometastases have independent prognostic value in node positive breast cancer patients

The purpose of this article is to investigate the prognostic value of the mitotic activity index (MAI) and the presence of disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) in bone marrow (BM), in clinically operable breast cancer patients. We compared routinely assessed MAI, classic prognosticators and BM DTCs, detected by a real-time RT-PCR multimarker assay including cytokeratin 19, mammaglobin A and TWIST1 mRNA, in 179 consecutive patients with operable breast cancer. Over a median follow-up of 96 months (range: 1-126 months), 31 (17.3%) patients experienced a systemic relapse and 26 (14.5%) died of breast cancer-related causes. MAI (≥ 10) was strongly associated with breast cancer-related death in lymph node (LN)-negative patients (hazard ratio (HR): 7.0, confidence interval (CI) 1.74-27.9), whereas both BM DTC-status (HR: 3.3, CI 1.25-8.52) and MAI (HR: 3.1, CI 1.08-8.8) were significant in LN-positive patients. With multivariate Cox regression, MAI was the only significant predictor of breast cancer-specific survival (HR 7.0, CI 1.7-27.9) in LN-negative patients. In LN-positive patients, both BM DTC-status and MAI were strong independent predictors of breast cancer-specific survival (HR 3.3, CI 1.25-8.49 and HR 3.1, CI 1.1-8.9), respectively. Where, however, MAI and BM DTC-status as single parameters were replaced by a combination of these, this showed to be the most significant prognostic marker in both LN-negative (HR 7.7, CI 1.2-50) and LN-positive (HR 6.0, CI 1.4 to 26.4) patients with regard to breast cancer-specific survival. A combination of MAI and BM DTC detection identified both LN-negative and LN-positive breast cancer patients with poor prognosis.

D2-40/p63 defined lymph vessel invasion has additional prognostic value in highly proliferating operable node negative breast cancer patients

Phosphohistone H3 assessed proliferation has strong prognostic value. Lymph vessel invasion by D2-40 is also prognostic, but D2-40+ myoepithelial expression in small ducts completely filled by solid-pattern ductal carcinoma in situ can mimic lymphovascular invasion. As myoepithelial cells are also p63 positive, we have investigated whether lymph vessel invasion identified by combined D2-40/p63 is stronger prognostically than by D2-40 alone, and whether it has independent prognostic value to phosphohistone H3. In 240 operable T(1-2)N(0)M(0) node negative invasive breast cancer patients <71 years, phosphohistone H3 was determined by quantitative immunohistochemistry and lymph vessel invasion by D2-40/p63 double immunostaining. Correlation analysis between the clinico-pathologic factors and lymph vessel invasion, and univariate and multivariate prognostic survival analysis were performed. With median 117 (range: 12-192) months follow-up, 36 patients (15%) developed and 28 (12%) died of distant metastases. Ten of the 61 patients (16%) with cancer cells surrounded by D2-40 were p63 positive and none of these 'false lymph vessel invasion' recurred. D2-40+/p63- lymph vessel invasion occurred in 51/239 (21%) cases and correlated with grade, mitotic activity index, phosphohistone H3, ER, cytokeratin14, and HER2. D2-40+/p63- lymph vessel invasion was strongly prognostic, but far more in women ≥55 than those <55 years (P<0.0001 and 0.04). With multivariate analysis, phosphohistone H3 proliferation was the strongest single prognosticator. Lymph vessel invasion had additional prognostic value to phosphohistone H3 only in women ≥55. This group of patients, without/with lymph vessel invasion, had 10-year survival rates of 83 and 50%, respectively (hazard ratio-lymph vessel invasion=3.0, P=0.04; hazard ratio-phosphohistone H3=6.9, P=0.002). Where age was <55 years, only phosphohistone H3 had independent prognostic value. Combinations of other features had no additional value. In conclusion, T(1-2)N(0)M(0) invasive breast cancer patients ≥55 years with phosphohistone H3≥13, D2-40+/p63- defined lymph vessel invasion identifies a subgroup with a high risk of distant metastases.

In Patients Younger Than Age 55 Years With Lymph Node–Negative Breast Cancer, Proliferation by Mitotic Activity Index Is Prognostically Superior to Adjuvant!

Purpose

In breast cancer, different tools are used for prognostication and adjuvant systemic therapy selection. We compared the accuracy of the online program Adjuvant!, the Norwegian Breast Cancer Group (NBCG) guidelines, and the proliferation factor mitotic activity index (MAI) in patients with lymph node (LN) –negative disease (pN0).

Patients and Methods

Adjuvant! and MAI thresholds were set to 90% to 95% breast cancer–specific survival (BCSS) rates. These thresholds were 95% for Adjuvant!, 3 for MAI, and as follows for NBCG: pT1 grade 1 + pT1a-b grade 2 to 3; all pN0M0 and estrogen receptor/progesterone receptor positive versus all others. In 516 patients younger than age 55 years (T1-3N0M0) without adjuvant systemic therapy, univariable and multivariable 10-year BCSS rates were estimated.

Results

Median follow-up time was 118 months. The concordance between MAI and Adjuvant! or NBCG was fair (κ = 0.35 and κ = 0.29, respectively). Adjuvant!, NBCG, and MAI were all prognostically significant (P ≤ .001). In the univariable analysis, the 10-year BCSS of MAI less than 3 versus ≥ 3 was 95% v 71%, respectively, with a hazard ratio of 7.0. In multivariable analysis, MAI was superior to Adjuvant! and NBCG. The 10-year survival of Adjuvant! ≥ 95% versus less than 95% was 91% v 74%, respectively, but stratification by MAI identified subgroups with different prognosis. Similar results occurred for NBCG and MAI. Adjuvant! and NBCG were not prognostic to each other.

Conclusion

MAI is superior to Adjuvant! and NBCG in prognostication of patients with LN-negative breast cancer younger than age 55 years.

Phosphohistone H3 expression has much stronger prognostic value than classical prognosticators in invasive lymph node-negative breast cancer patients less than 55 years of age

The proliferation factor mitotic activity index is the strongest prognostic factor in early breast cancer, but it may lack reproducibility. We analyzed the prognostic value of phosphohistone H3, a marker of cells in late G(2) and M phase, measuring highly standardized immunohistochemical nuclear phosphohistone H3 expression by subjective counts and digital image analysis. Expression was compared with classical clinico-pathologic prognostic variables and the mitotic activity index in 119 node-negative invasive breast cancers in patients less than 55 years old treated with adjuvant systemic chemotherapy with long-term follow-up (median 168 months). Nineteen patients (16%) developed distant metastases and 16 (13%) died. Strong phosphohistone H3 expression occurred preferentially in the peripheral growing front; counts were highly reproducible between observers (R=0.92) and highly consistent with digital image analysis (R=0.96). Phosphohistone H3 correlated (P<0.05) with tumor diameter, estrogen receptor, carcinoma grade, and mitotic activity index. Phosphohistone H3 values were systematically (80%) higher than the mitotic activity index. Receiver-operating curve analysis objectively showed that phosphohistone H3 <13 (n=53; 45% of all cases) vs phosphohistone H3> or =13 (n=66; 55% of all cases) was the strongest prognostic threshold, with 20-year recurrence-free survival of distant metastases of 96 and 58%, respectively (P=0.0002, HR=9.6). Mitotic activity index was the second strongest prognostic variable (P=0.003, HR=3.9). In multivariate analysis, phosphohistone H3 <13 vs> or =13 exceeded the prognostic value of the mitotic activity index. None of the other classical prognostic factors examined offered prognostic value additional to phosphohistone H3. Phosphohistone H3 is by far the strongest prognostic variable in early invasive node-negative breast cancer patients less than 55 years old with long-term follow-up.

The prognostic value of proliferation in lymph-node-negative breast cancer patients is age dependent

In lymph-node-negative invasive breast cancer patients<55 years, the proliferation marker mitotic activity index (MAI) has previously been shown to be the strongest prognosticator. In studies without age definition, MAI was not strongly prognostic. We investigated the age dependency of the prognostic value of proliferation for distant metastasis-free (MFS) and overall cancer-related survival (OS) in 1004 histologically diagnosed T1-3N0M0 invasive breast cancers (n=516, <55 years; n=322, 55-70 years; n=166, >70 years) without systemic adjuvant therapy and long follow-up (median: 108 months). The MAI decreases with age and the prognostic value of MAI varied by age group. For patients<55 years, hazard ratios (HR) for MAI>or=10 versus<10 for MFS and OS were 3.1 and 4.4, respectively (P<.0001 for both), but only 1.9 and 1.9 (P=.004 and .006) for patients aged 55-70 years, while over 70 years, MAI was not significant (P=.11). The prognostic value of proliferation was age-dependent. Prognostic breast cancer studies must clearly indicate the age group being studied.

Multivariate prognostic evaluation of the mitotic activity index and fibrotic focus in node-negative invasive breast cancers

We validated with univariate and multivariate (Cox) analysis, the prognostic value of the mitotic activity index (MAI), the fibrotic focus (FF) and other prognosticators in 448 patients with lymph node-negative (LN-) invasive breast cancer <55 years without adjuvant systemic treatment (72.5 months median follow-up, range 4-119). Of these patients, 24.8% developed distant and 1.6% loco-regional recurrence. FF showed excellent inter-observer reproducibility (kappa = 0.93). Strong prognosticators were MAI, grade, nuclear atypia, FF and the St. Gallen criterion (SG). The subgroup with excellent survival selected by SG was only 16% of all patients, implying over-treatment of more than 70% of all LN- patients when using SG as adjuvant therapy selection criterion. If MAI <10, 13% showed distant metastases, contrasting with 41% if MAI > or = 10. FF was prognostic in the ductal and mixed ductal cancers, but not in the lobular and other subtype cancers. Patients with invasive (mixed) ductal cancers with FF absent, FF < 1/3 or FF > 1/3 of the tumour area, had distant metastasis rates of 17%, 35% and 48%; in MAI < 10 and FF absent, FF < 1/3 or FF > 1/3, metastasis rates were 11%, 13% and 42% and if MAI > or = 10, metastasis rates were 31%, 48% and 50%, respectively. In the 12 patients with MAI < 10 and a large FF > 1/3, event-free survival was similar to patients with MAI > or = 10. With multiple regression MAI < 10 versus > or = 10 is the strongest prognosticator (also stronger than the SG). The FF may be important as it has additional prognostic value to the MAI in the small subgroup of invasive ductal or mixed-ductal breast cancer patients with combined MAI < 10 and an FF > 1/3 of the tumour area.

Prospective Multicenter Validation of the Independent Prognostic Value of the Mitotic Activity Index in Lymph Node–Negative Breast Cancer Patients Younger Than 55 Years

Purpose

To validate the independent strong prognostic value of mitotic activity index (MAI) in lymph node (LN) –negative invasive breast cancer patients younger than 55 years in a nationwide multicenter prospective study.

Patients and Methods

Analysis of routinely assessed MAI and other prognosticators in 516 patients (median follow-up, 118 months; range, 8 to 185 months), without systemic adjuvant therapy or previous malignancies.

Results

Distant metastases occurred in 127 patients (24.6%); 90 (17.4%) died as a result of metastases. MAI (< 10, ≥ 10) showed strong association with recurrence (hazard ratio [HR], 3.12; 95% CI, 2.17 to 4.50; P ≤ .0001) and mortality (HR, 4.42; 95% CI, 2.79 to 7.01; P < .0001). The absolute difference in 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates of time to distant recurrence as well as survival was 22% between MAI less than 10 versus ≥ 10. This effect was independent of age, estrogen receptor (ER) status, and tumor diameter (which were significant prognosticators). In multivariate analysis with regard to patient age, tumor diameter, grade, ER status, and the St Gallen criterion, MAI proved to be an independent and the strongest prognosticator. Tubular formation (TF) and nuclear atypia (NA), as constituents of (expert revised) grade, had no (for TF) or limited (for NA, P = .048) additional prognostic value to the MAI. In the group with MAI less than 10, MAI less than 3 versus more than 3 had additional value but the classical threshold of 0 to 5 v 6 to 10 did not. With this additional subdivision of MAI as less than 3, 3 to 9, and more than 9, NA lost its additive prognostic value.

Conclusion

The MAI is the strongest, most widely available, easily assessable, inexpensive, well-reproducible prognosticator and is well suited to routinely differentiate between high- and low-risk LN-negative breast cancer patients younger than 55 years.

Prognostic value of proliferation in invasive breast cancer: a review

Breast cancer is the leading cause of death among solid tumours in women, and its incidence is increasing in the West. Adjuvant chemotherapy and hormonal treatment improve survival but have potentially serious side effects, and are costly. Because adjuvant treatment should be given to high risk patients only, and traditional prognostic factors (lymph node status, tumour size) are insufficiently accurate, better predictors of high risk and treatment response are needed. Invasive breast cancer metastasises haematogenously very early on, so many breast cancer prognosticators are directly or indirectly related to proliferation. Although studies evaluating the role of individual proliferation regulating genes have greatly increased our knowledge of this complex process, the functional end result-cells dividing-has remained the most important prognostic factor. This article reviews the prognostic value of different proliferation assays in invasive breast cancer, and concludes that increased proliferation correlates strongly with poor prognosis, irrespective of the methodology used. Mitosis counting provides the most reproducible and independent prognostic value, and Ki67/MIB1 labelling and cyclin A index are promising alternatives that need methodological fine tuning.

Morphometrical malignancy grading is a valuable prognostic factor in invasive ductal breast cancer

The aim of the present study is to augment the prognostic power of breast cancer grading by elaboration of quantitative histopathological methods. We focus on the recently introduced morphometrical grading system in which the three grading sub-features of the WHO grading system are evaluated with the help of computerised nuclear morphometry, and quantitative methods for assessing mitotic activity and tubular differentiation. The prognostic value of the morphometrical grading system is now confirmed in a material of 159 cases of invasive ductal breast cancer. In the current material the morphometrical grading system very efficiently predicted the prognosis of breast cancer by dividing the patients into favourable (grade I), intermediate (grade II), and unfavourable (grade III) outcome (P<0.0001). The morphometrical grading system was especially efficient in identifying patients with the most unfavourable outcome. In our material the morphometrical grade III was associated with a 5.4-fold risk of breast cancer death. In light of the present results, the morphometrical grading can be applied to clinical use as an aid in treatment decisions of patients with invasive ductal breast cancer.

Screen-detected breast cancers have a lower mitotic activity index

We know that screening for breast cancer leads to detection of smaller tumours with less lymph node metastases. Could it be possible that the decrease in mortality after screening is not only caused by this earlier stage, but also by a different mitotic activity index (MAI) of the tumours that are detected by screening? Is MAI a prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival? A retrospective study was carried out of 387 patients with breast cancer, treated at the University Hospital Nijmegen between January 1992 and September 1997. Ninety patients had screen-detected breast cancer, 297 patients had breast cancers detected outside the screening programme. The MAI, other prognostic factors and recurrence-free survival were determined. In non-screen-detected tumours the MAI is twice as high as in screen-detected tumours, even after correction for age took place. The MAI correlated well with other tumour characteristics. The MAI in itself is a prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival. Favourable outcome in screen detected breast cancer is not entirely caused by detecting cancer in early stages: quantitative features such as the MAI indicate a less malignant character of screen detected breast cancer. The MAI is an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival.

Predicting the future: a critical appraisal of cancer prognosis studies

Many studies have attempted to define useful prognostic and predictive factors in cancer but few have achieved acceptance in clinical practice because of methodological weaknesses. These include failure to test clearly formulated hypotheses, inadequate sample size, inappropriate multiple significance testing, arbitrary definition of patient groups, inadequately reproducible assays, and failure to verify prognostic factors with data independent of the data which suggested the original hypothesis. This unsatisfactory situation will persist until critical attention is routinely paid to study design and prospective validation of supposed prognostic and predictive factors, without which classical approaches will be suboptimally exploited and the flood of data from new molecular technologies will not be used effectively. We propose that prognostic factors should be evaluated in three phases: I, assay definition; II, retrospective testing; III, prospective testing, ideally as a designed part of clinical trials.

Morphometric grading in breast cancer: thresholds for mitotic counts

Three hundred sixty-four cases of invasive ductal breast cancer diagnosed during the years 1988 to 1991 were analyzed to determine quantitative thresholds for mitotic activity. Mitotic counts were calculated in each sample and expressed as standardized mitotic index (SMI) and mitotic activity index (MAI). Based on Kaplan-Meier curves, univariate and multivariate analysis of Cox's regression, and maximum efficiencies of ROC analysis, optimal thresholds were determined on the basis of survival and recurrence of disease. In our material, with a follow-up time of 5 years 9 months, we found two thresholds--a lower and a higher--for both SMI (17 mitoses/mm2 and 32 mitoses/mm2) and MAI (13 mitoses/10 HPF and 35 mitoses/10 HPF). The thresholds were the same in the whole material and in subgroups divided according to the patients' age and axillary lymph node status at the time of diagnosis, and tumor size. The thresholds clearly separated patients with favorable, intermediate, and unfavourable outcome of disease. In our material, the risk of breast cancer death associated with the determined thresholds (ranging from 4.7 to 3.8) clearly exceeded those of menopausal status, axillary lymph node status and tumor size. The risk of breast cancer death associated with the determined thresholds was still emphasized in the groups of premenopausal and axillary lymph node-negative patients, and with tumor size less than 2 cm in diameter (risk ratios, 11.8, 6.0, and 6.7, respectively). The results suggest that the presented quantitative thresholds could be applied in grading of invasive ductal breast cancer.

Prognostic implications of different cell cycle analysis models of flow cytometric DNA histograms of 1,301 breast cancer patients: results from the Multicenter Morphometric Mammary Carcinoma Project (MMMCP)

Conflicting prognostic results with regard to DNA flow cytometric cell cycle variables have been reported for breast cancer patients. An important reason for this may be related to differences in the interpretation of DNA histograms. Several computer programs based on different cell cycle fitting models are available resulting in significant variations in percent S-phase and other cell cycle variables. Our present study evaluated the prognostic value of percent S-phase cells obtained using 5 different cell cycle analysis models. Flow cytometric DNA histograms obtained from 1,301 fresh frozen breast cancer samples were interpreted with 5 different cell cycle analysis models using a commercially available computer program. Model 1 used the zero order S-phase calculation and "sliced nuclei" debris correction, model 2 added fixed G2/M- to G0/G1-phase ratio, and model 3 added correction for aggregates. Model 4 applied the first-order S-phase calculation and sliced debris correction. Model 5 fixed the coefficients of variation CVs of the G0/G1- and G2/M-phases in addition to applying the sliced nuclei debris correction and zero order S-phase calculation. The different models yielded clearly different prognostic results. The average percent S-phase cells of the aggregate correction model (model 3) provided the best prognostic value in all cases for overall survival (OS) as well as disease-free survival (DFS) (OS: p < 0.0001; DFS: p < 0.0001), in lymph node-positive cases (OS: p < 0.0001; DFS: p = 0.004) and in DNA-diploid subgroups (OS: p = 0.004; DFS: p = 0.001). For the lymph node negative and DNA-non-diploid subgroups, the percent S-phase of the second cell cycle reached slightly better prognostic significance than the average percent S-phase cells. In multivariate analysis, the average percent S-phase of the aggregate correction model had the best additional prognostic value to tumor size and lymph node status. In conclusion, different cell cycle analysis models yield clearly different prognostic results for invasive breast cancer patients. The most important prognostic percent S-phase variable was the average percent S-phase cells when aggregate correction was included in cell cycle analysis.

Interlaboratory reproducibility of semiautomated cell cycle analysis of flow cytometry DNA-histograms obtained from fresh material of 1,295 breast cancer cases

Conflicting prognostic results have been published as to the DNA variables, such as DNA ploidy, DNA index, and % S-phase cells for breast cancer patients. These variables can be obtained by interpreting DNA histograms by cell cycle analysis. Explanations for these conflicting results might be found on the level of the interpretation of the DNA histograms. In a previous study, the semi automated cell cycle analysis computer program MultiCycle (Phoenix Flow Systems, San Diego, CA) showed high intralaboratory reproducibility. However, what types of DNA histograms may cause disagreements was still unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the interlaboratory reproducibility of MultiCycle-based cell cycle analysis of 1,295 flow cytometric DNA histograms derived from fresh frozen breast cancer material and to clarify potential sources of interobserver variation when analyzing DNA histograms. DNA ploidy classification into diploid, hyperdiploid, tetraploid, hypertetraploid, and multiploid showed an interlaboratory agreement of 94% (kappa value = 0.92). The 6% discrepancies (n = 74) were caused by tetraploid peaks, as established in one laboratory, which shifted outside the tetraploid region on reanalysis by the other laboratory (37%), shoulders sometimes interpreted as peaks (24%), small peaks not always recognized as such (24%), fitting failures (10%), and overlooking of tetraploid peaks (5%). Furthermore, the cell cycle analysis variables showed variable reproducibility. The % S-phase cells of the first, second, and third cell cycle showed overall a moderate reproducibility (0.62 < or = R < or = 0.79), but the average % S-phase cells and the average aneuploid % S-phase cells were more reproducible with correlation coefficients of 0.89 and 0.81, respectively. The coefficient of variation of the G0/G1 peak of the first cell cycle, the DNA indices and the % diploid cells were highly reproducible (R > or = 0.94), and the % G2/M-phase cells of the first, second, and third cell cycle were poorly reproducible (0.22 < or = R < or = 0.68). When a cut-point was used at the mean value of 7% for the average % S-phase cells, the number of "threshold discrepancy cases" was 6%. Sources of variation for cell cycle analysis were variations in the debris correction procedures, disagreement about the modes of the aneuploid peaks, disagreement about small peaks, shoulders sometimes interpreted as peaks, and overlooking of tetraploid peaks.

Cell cycle analysis of 932 flow cytometric DNA histograms of fresh frozen breast carcinoma material. Correlations between flow cytometric, clinical, and pathologic variables. MMMCP Collaborative Group. Multicenter Morphometric Mammary Carcinoma Project Collaborative Group

BACKGROUND

Confusing data have been presented for breast cancer patients on correlations between DNA ploidy and the percentage of S-phase cells and other prognostic variables. The aim of this study was to compare DNA ploidy classification and cell cycle variables with clinical, classic, and quantitative pathologic variables and clinical variables in a large group of patients.

METHODS

DNA ploidy and cell cycle variables were extracted from MultiCycle (Phoenix Flow Systems, San Diego, CA) interpreted flow cytometric DNA histograms of fresh frozen material from 932 breast cancer patients and compared with clinical (age, hormonal status), classic pathology (lymph node status, tumor size and type), and quantitative pathologic variables (steroid receptor status, mitotic activity index [MAI], mean nuclear area [MNA]).

RESULTS

The DNA ploidy correlated significantly with MAI, MNA steroid receptor status, and tumor type. No significant correlations were found with tumor size, lymph node status, age, and hormonal status. The first DNA index correlated significantly with MAI, MNA, and steroid receptor status. The percentage of S-phase cells significantly correlated with MAI, MNA, steroid receptor status, and lymph mode status.

CONCLUSIONS

DNA index and DNA ploidy, as markers of genetic instability, correlated well with differentiation and proliferation markers and less well with lymph node status and tumor size as markers of metastatic potential and duration of disease. The percentage of S-phase cells was not independent of the percentage of differentiation markers and did not correlate strongly with mitotic activity. This indicates that the percentage of S-phase cells and the mitotic activity partially reflect different proliferative properties.

Value of quantitative pathological variables as prognostic factors in advanced ovarian carcinoma

AIMS

To evaluate correlations among clinical, pathological, morphometric, stereological, and DNA flow cytometric variables and their prognostic value in advanced ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Tissue was collected from 180 patients with advanced ovarian cancer. All 180 had undergone debulking surgery and were being treated with cisplatin. Long term follow up was available for all patients. The mitotic activity index (MAI), volume % of epithelium (VPE), mean nuclear area (MNA), standard deviation of the nuclear area (SDNA), estimates of volume weighted mean nuclear volume (nu v), and variables obtained from minimum spanning tree (MST) analysis were assessed in the least differentiated tumour section in each case. DNA flow cytometry was also performed.

RESULTS

Quantitative pathological features differed significantly with respect to histological grade. The MAI, MNA, SDNA, and the number of points connected to three neighbours differed significantly among the different DNA ploidy groups. The VPE and number of points connected to two or three neighbours differed significantly between FIGO stages III and IV. Fifty two (29%) patients survived. FIGO stage, residual disease and SDNA had prognostic significance on both univariate and multivariate survival analysis. In patients with FIGO III stage disease and residual tumour nodes < or = 2 cm in diameter (67 patients, 29 (43%) survivors) a prognostic index was established based on SDNA and of the line length of the MST. The median survival time was not reached in a subgroup of patients with favourable prognosis (overall survival 57%). Median survival was 32 months for patients with an unfavourable index score (overall survival 28%).

CONCLUSION

Morphometric variables have important additional value in predicting prognosis in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Prognostic relevance of P-glycoprotein expression in breast cancer

BACKGROUND

P-glycoprotein (Pgp) expression has been reported to be associated with a poor prognosis in some malignancies such as neuroblastoma, soft tissue sarcoma and acute myeloid leukemia. The prognostic role of Pgp expression in breast cancer is still unclear. We investigated the expression of Pgp in primary and metastatic breast cancer tissues in relation to patient characteristics and treatment outcome.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Pgp expression was evaluated in 92 primary and 12 metastatic breast cancers by the use of immunohisto/cytochemistry with three monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) (JSB-1, C219, MRK16), and an RNAse protection assay. Follow-up information was available for 77 primary breast cancer patients (median follow-up 42 months; range 2-63 months).

RESULTS

Concordance among the anti-Pgp MAbs varied, the highest being between JSB-1 and MRK16 (71%; p=0.002). Pgp expression was more frequent in metastatic disease (58%) than in primary breast cancer (29%) (JSB-1; p=0.055). Pgp expression as assessed with JSB-1 (univariate analysis; p<0.05) was associated with shorter overall survival (OS). Nineteen (21%) primary breast cancers had Pgp expression in fibroblasts in desmoplastic stroma and this did not correlate with Pgp expression in the tumor. The combination of Pgp-positive tumor cells and Pgp-expressing fibroblasts was the strongest prognostic factor for OS by multivariate analysis. Subgroup analysis suggested that Pgp expression was associated with a shorter OS in tamoxifen-treated patients, but not in those who received chemotherapy (most often CMF).

CONCLUSIONS

Pgp expression in tumor cells, and especially when accompanied by Pgp expression in fibroblasts in desmoplastic stroma, has prognostic value in primary breast cancer patients and is likely to be a marker of a more malignant phenotype. Pgp expression of tumor cells might play a role in tamoxifen resistance. These findings may have important implications for teh treatment of breast cancer patients, and warrant further prospective investigation in a larger patient population.

Integrated decision support system/image archive for histological typing of breast cancer using a relation oriented inference system

Histological typing of invasive breast cancer according to the World Health Organisation criteria is prognostically relevant, because some histological subtypes have a markedly better prognosis. However, reproducibility of histological typing is not high because of the absence of strict typing criteria, variations in the application of the typing criteria and the usually limited illustration of the relevant criteria. The aim of this study was to develop an expert system based on highly structured histological typing criteria, integrated with high-quality microscope images to illustrate the typing criteria. This system should be useful as a decision support system in the diagnosis of breast cancers and should increase the reproducibility of histological typing. Criteria for typing were extracted from textbooks and, based on experience, these criteria were structured and implemented in the Relation Oriented Inference System (ROIS), in which information can be structured by defining relations. Illustrative black and white images were digitized and integrated into the shell. The performance of the resulting decision support system was evaluated by a group of six pathologists using a set of slides covering the spectrum of the most frequently occurring histological types of invasive breast cancer. The pathologists first assessed histological type according to standard morphological procedures. The cases were then reassessed with the decision support system available for consultation. The use of the decision support system appeared to influence the previously assessed histological type in about half of the cases. Using the decision support system, histological typing was more uniform and more in accord with a 'gold standard' set by two experts.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Reproducibility of mean nuclear volume and correlation with mean nuclear area in breast cancer: an investigation of various sampling schemes

Previous studies have shown that quantitative, histopathologic features obtained from a carefully selected area in the tumor section ("selective" approach) have a strong prognostic value in breast cancer. On the other hand, it was found that mean nuclear volume estimation in the whole area of the tumor section by means of "unbiased" stereologic techniques is of great value in predicting the clinical outcome as well. In the present study the results of the two different (ie, selective and random, systematic) sampling methods in assessing mean nuclear volume have been compared as to their intraobserver and interobserver reproducibility in 22 invasive breast cancer cases. The mean nuclear volume (nuclear vv) was assessed both in the most atypical area (AREA) (selected on morphologic criteria) and in the whole tumor section (TOTAL). Furthermore, the correlation with mean nuclear (profile) area (MNA) was studied. Mean nuclear (profile) area was determined in the AREA only. With bivariate correlation analysis the two sampling methods showed high correlation for the nuclear vv values (range of the correlation coefficient, 0.92 to 0.97). There were no systematic intraobserver differences between the different sampling methods. The results of observer 1 showed higher values, both with the selective and random systematic sampling methods. However, these systematic interobserver differences were small (< 9% of the average value of nuclear vv), much smaller than the variation between the tumors (which was > 60%). The time required for assessments in the AREA was less than that required for the determinations in the TOTAL (average, 10 v 20 minutes) in spite of the similar sample size. This is understandable, as in a sclerotic tumor many fields of vision do not contain cancer nuclei. The time required for MNA determinations in the AREA was longer than for nuclear vv assessments in the AREA (15 v 10 minutes). Nuclear vv and MNA (both assessed in the AREA) were (log distributed) significantly correlated (r = .77). Thus, nuclear vv determination in the AREA is the fastest method, and it is also well reproducible and strongly correlated with nuclear vv assessed in the TOTAL. In invasive breast cancer assessments in the whole tumor section can be used if delineation of the measurement area cannot be done easily. In small areas with a limited number of nuclei (eg, microinvasive parts) MNA can be easier to assess than nuclear vv. Further studies are required to compare and evaluate the prognostic value of nuclear vv and MNA.

Randomised clinical trial of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with node-negative, fast-proliferating breast cancer

A prospective randomised clinical trial in patients with node-negative, fast-proliferating breast cancer was initiated in January 1990 to verify the feasibility and reliability of a 3H-thymidine (3H-Tdr) autoradiographic assay in a prospective and consecutive series of node-negative patients and the therapeutic effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with node-negative breast cancer and high tumour proliferative activity. Node-negative patients with a high 3H-Tdr Labelling Index (3H-Tdr-LI) were randomised to receive either no further treatment or combination chemotherapy consisting of fluorouracil, epirubicin plus cyclophosphamide (FEC) for 6 cycles. The autoradiographic assay was performed in 307 of 317 patients (97%) and was evaluable in 291 of 317 patients (92%). A total of 176 patients with a high 3H-Tdr-LI entered the clinical randomised study: 91 in the FEC arm and 85 in the control arm. Patient groups were fairly well balanced regarding the most important clinical and pathological characteristics. In total, 530 FEC cycles have been administered with an actual dose intensity of 90%. Patients receiving FEC demonstrated leucopenia in 35% of cases, alopecia in 70%, and loss of menses in premenopausal patients in an age-dependent manner. Patients are still being entered into the study.

Regional differences in breast cancer survival are correlated with differences in differentiation and rate of proliferation

Patients with invasive ductal breast cancer and with 5 to 12 years of follow-up, identified from two pathology laboratories serving hospitals in two distinct but fairly close regions, were studied for differences in length of survival. In the years when the cases were diagnosed, population screening was not performed, adjuvant systemic therapy was not administered, and surgical treatment and irradiation protocols were similar in the hospitals served by the two laboratories. There was a significant difference in length of survival between the two regional groups (N1 = 160, N2 = 111; P = .006). Survival rate at 10 years in the two regions was 48% and 69%. Distribution of age, tumor size, and lymph node status (as negative or positive as well as number of positive nodes) were similar, but quantitative and qualitative microscopic features differed. Patients from the region in which the prognosis was less favorable had the higher median values for the mitotic activity index (14 v 4; P less than .0001) and for nuclear area (59.2 v 38.2; P less than .0001). Nuclear and histologic grade distributions were also different between the regions. Logistic regression analysis confirmed that the regional survival differences are correlated with the microscopic features, even after adjustment for age, tumor size, and lymph node status. Comparison of breast cancers from the periods 1970 to 1974 and 1988 to 1989 in one of the two regions revealed that the clinical and microscopic proliferation features were similar over time. These results, apart from indicating regional variation in breast cancer survival rate correlated to differences in the microscopic characteristics of the disease between regions, provide additional support to previous reports that qualitative and, especially, quantitative microscopic differentiation and proliferation features have significant bearing on the prognosis of breast cancer patients.

The microcomputer and image analysis in diagnostic pathology

This paper presents a snapshot view of the influence and direction of microcomputer technology for image analysis techniques in diagnostic pathology. Microcomputers have had considerable impact in bringing image analysis to wider application. Semi-automated tracing techniques are a simple means of providing objective data and assist in a wide range of diagnostic problems. From the common theme of reducing subjectivity in diagnostic assessment, an extensive body of research has accrued. Some studies have addressed the need for quality control for reliable, routine application. Video digitizer cards bring digital image analysis within the reach of laboratory budgets, providing powerful tools for investigation of a wide range of cellular and tissue features. The use of staining procedures compatible with quantitative evaluation has become equally important. As well as assisting scene segmentation, cytochemical and immunochemical staining techniques relate the data to biological processes. With the present state of the art, practical use of microcomputer based image analysis is impaired by limitations of information extraction and specimen throughput. Recent advances in colour video imaging provide an extra dimension in the analysis of multi-spectral stains. Improvements will also be felt with predictable increase in speed of microprocessors, and with single chip devices which deliver video rate processing. If the full potential of this hardware is realized, high-speed, routine analysis becomes feasible. In addition, a microcomputer imaging system can play host to companion functions, such as image archiving and transmission. With this outlook, the use of microcomputers for image analysis in diagnostic pathology is certain to increase.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Reproducibility of mitosis counting in 2,469 breast cancer specimens: results from the Multicenter Morphometric Mammary Carcinoma Project

The Multicenter Morphometric Mammary Carcinoma Project is a prospective study on the reproducibility and prognostic value of routine quantitative assessments, especially the mitotic activity index (MAI), the multivariate prognostic index (MPI; a combination of MAI, tumor size, and lymph node status), the mean nuclear area, and DNA ploidy assessments in patients with invasive breast cancer. Fourteen pathology laboratories providing routine services to 35 hospitals throughout The Netherlands are participating in this project. In this article, the reproducibility of MAI and MPI assessments is described. Assessment of the MAI was, according to a strict protocol, first performed in the participating laboratories; thereafter, slides were transferred to the coordination center in Amsterdam for quality control. Analysis of the reproducibility of the assessments in 2,469 patients showed correlation coefficients between 0.81 and 0.96 (mean, 0.91) for the MAI and between 0.91 and 0.97 (mean, 0.96) for the MPI. The reproducibility was fairly constant in time, although it showed a slight drop in the middle of the 2-year intake period. A prognostically relevant discrepancy in MPI (caused by differences in MAI) between the original and quality control assessments was found in only 7.2% of the cases. When analyzing the reasons for these discrepancies, a plausible explanation could be found in all cases: bad tissue processing and ignorance of or negligence in following the protocol guidelines for selection of the counting area or in the process of counting were the most important flaws. Since these errors are largely controllable, an even lower discrepancy rate is theoretically achievable. In conclusion, in a routine setting it can be learned, within a reasonable time, to perform mitosis counting in a highly reproducible way if a strict protocol is carefully followed. This opens the way for a wider application of the MAI and MPI in breast cancer patients. Motivation is, however, an important factor to obtain reproducible results, and ongoing quality control is essential to guarantee the reproducibility of the assessments.

Age-linked prognostic categorization based on a new histologic grading system of neuroblastomas. A clinicopathologic study of 211 cases from the Pediatric Oncology Group

Histologic sections (minimum of four sections per patient) from 211 patients with neuroblastoma were reviewed. The tumors were resected before therapy, which was standardized according to age and stage. Low mitotic rate (MR) (less than or equal to ten per ten high-power fields) and calcification emerged as the most significant prognostic features after statistical analysis by stepwise log-rank tests (P less than 0.0001 and P = 0.0065, respectively). Histologic Grades 1, 2, and 3 were defined on the basis of the presence of both, any one, or none of these two prognostic features, respectively (Grade 3 had absence of low MR, i.e., these tumors had high MR [greater than ten per ten high-power fields]). Statistically significant differences in survival were observed in the grades after adjusting for age and stage (P less than 0.001). The degree of differentiation, although significant by itself, was no longer significant after adjusting for the grades. Age groups (less than or equal to 1 versus greater than 1 year of age), which also emerged as an independent prognostic feature (P less than 0.001), were linked with the grades to define two risk groups as follows: (1) a low-risk (LR) group consisting of patients in both age groups with Grade 1 tumors and patients 1 year of age or younger with Grade 2 tumors and (2) a high-risk (HR) group consisting of patients older than 1 year of age with Grade 2 tumors and patients in both age groups with Grade 3 tumors. The difference in survival between LR (160 cases) and HR groups (51 cases) was statistically significant (P less than 0.001). Concordance between these LR and HR groups and the Shimada classification was observed in 84% of cases. The new histologic grading system has the following advantages: (1) use of familiar terminology and histologic features in the grading system and (2) relative ease of assessment because the degree of differentiation does not need to be determined. The grading system should be tested on a new data set with an appropriate histologic sample of similar size to confirm these results.

Video absorbtiometry in diagnostic cytology: description of a new technique and a preliminary statistical evaluation

Cytological specimens from 21 patients were examined using digital video microscopy. The staining characteristics of cells incubated with hydroquinone and the tetrazolium stain MTT were analysed using a novel procedure that is independent of morphological features and relies on characteristics of the frequency distribution of the localised (pixel) absorbances of the cellular images. The properties of the distribution of absorbances were assessed by a number of procedures. Comparisons were made of nine malignant and 12 non-malignant cytological samples, obtained mainly from pleural and peritoneal fluid. The data showed significant differences between the sets of samples which may be of value in cytological diagnosis. In the material examined all the malignant samples exhibited a positive skewness with the alpha-3 test (the mean alpha-3 value being greater than 0.5); this was true in only two of 12 non-malignant samples. This analytical technique, which is largely independent of morphology, magnification, and absolute absorbance values, seems to hold promise for the simplification and automation of cytological screening procedures.

The morphometric prognostic index is the strongest prognosticator in premenopausal lymph node-negative and lymph node-positive breast cancer patients

Earlier studies on breast cancer have shown the strong prognostic value of morphometric parameters (especially the morphometric prognostic index [MPI]) in comparison with clinical and classical pathologic parameters. It remained to be proven whether the prognostic value of the MPI holds for the subgroup of premenopausal patients. We have therefore investigated the value of different prognosticators in a group of 211 premenopausal breast cancer patients with long-term follow-up, 121 cases being lymph node-negative and 90 cases being lymph node-positive. The MPI, a multivariate combination of the mitotic activity index (MAI), lymph node status, and tumor size, was the best combined prognosticator (P less than .0001), exceeding the prognostic value of MAI, lymph node status, and tumor size as individual parameters and as indicators of histologic grade. Of all the features studied, the MPI had the best prognostic value in the lymph node-negative patients, while the MAI and MPI had the best prognostic value in the lymph node-positive patients. Since the MPI has been shown to be reproducible in intra- and interlaboratory studies and can be assessed with standard equipment in routine histologic sections, it is an attractive indicator for selecting high-risk lymph node-negative patients for systemic adjuvant therapy trials.