A new accurate, rapid and cost-effective protocol for stroke-prevention screening

The quick carotid scan for prevention of strokes due to carotid artery disease

There are approximately 800,000 strokes in the United States (U.S.) annually. This number has remained the same for decades despite efforts at prevention. The Center for Disease Control (CDC) estimates that 80% of strokes could be prevented. A prime reason for failure of prevention is that the three immediate modifiable causes of strokes, carotid artery disease (CAD), atrial fibrillation (AFib), and hypertension (HTN) are asymptomatic in 80% of cases prior to the stroke. Strokes occur predominantly in seniors and the only possible means of reducing strokes on a large scale is to screen seniors for the asymptomatic disease so that it can be preemptively managed. We present a quick, accurate and cost-effective method of screening the senior population for asymptomatic carotid disease. The technique is a quick carotid scan (QCS). The QCS is a 1-minute long, image only, rapid, color flow ultrasound scan of the cervical carotid arteries that had a sensitivity of 97% when evaluated at New York University (NYU). Once identified by the QCS the approximately 8% of those screened found to have a positive QCS can then be referred for a full carotid duplex ultrasound (DUS). Those patients with a positive DUS can then be referred for further evaluation and appropriate stroke prevention management. The use of a full carotid DUS for screening widely for carotid disease is too time consuming and too costly. Approximately 160,000 or nearly 20% of the 800,000 strokes that occur annually in the U.S. are due to CAD that could in large part be prevented by screening the senior population with the QCS, finding those with CAD, evaluating them, and preemptively managing them prior to the occurrence of the stroke

Screening to identify unknown atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a significantly increased stroke risk which is highly preventable with appropriate oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC). However, AF may be asymptomatic and unrecognised prior to stroke. We aimed to determine if single time-point screening for AF could identify sufficient numbers with previously undiagnosed AF, to be effective for stroke prevention. This is a systematic review of clinical trials, by searching electronic medical databases, reference lists and grey literature. Studies were included if they evaluated a general ambulant adult population, using electrocardiography or pulse palpation to identify AF. We identified 30 individual studies (n=122,571, mean age 64 years, 54% male) in nine countries. Participants were recruited either from general practitioner and outpatient clinics (12 studies) or population screening/community advertisements (18 studies). Prevalence of AF across all studies was 2.3% (95% CI, 2.2–2.4%), increasing to 4.4% (CI, 4.1–4.6%) in those ≥65 years (16 studies, n= 27,884). Overall incidence of previously unknown AF (14 studies, n=67,772) was 1.0% (CI, 0.89–1.04%), increasing to 1.4% (CI, 1.2–1.6%) in those ≥65 years (8 studies, n= 18,189) in whom screening setting did not influence incidence identified. Of those with previously unknown AF, 67% were at high risk of stroke. Screening can identify 1.4% of the population ≥65 years with previously undiagnosed AF. Many of those identified would be eligible for, and benefit from OAC to prevent stroke. Given this incidence, community AF screening strategies in at risk older age groups could potentially reduce the overall health burden associated with AF.

Rapid High-Volume Population Screening for Three Major Risk Factors of Future Stroke: Phase I Results

Three proximate risk factors for stroke are carotid stenosis, atrial fibrillation, and hypertension. Phase I of this prospective study was designed to establish the prevalence of these conditions among a population of health maintenance organization beneficiaries by using a rapid screening protocol in order to risk-stratify patients for appropriate management and subsequent cohort analysis. Patients at a tertiary care medical center were screened for stroke risk by using directed history, a 3-minute carotid “quick-scan” protocol, an EKG lead II rhythm strip, and bilateral arm blood pressures. Patients with any abnormal result underwent specific diagnostic consultation with vascular surgery, cardiology, or primary care. These evaluations included formal carotid duplex ultrasound, 12-lead EKG ± Holter monitor, and 5-day blood pressure check. Patients were then stratified into risk cohorts for appropriate management and future analysis of stroke incidence and outcomes. In 8 hours on a single day in October 2002, 294 patients (mean age 69) were screened. Combining history with results of screening and diagnostic tests, the overall prevalence of carotid stenosis was 6% (n= 17/294), atrial fibrillation 7% (n= 21/294), and severe hypertension 5% (n= 16/294). Fifty-nine patients (20%) screened positive for carotid stenosis by “quick-scan,” and 29% (n= 17/59) of these had confirmed stenosis (>50%) in 1 or both arteries by formal duplex. The prevalence of confirmed carotid stenosis was 37% among those screening positive for 1 artery (odds ratio [OR] 14.6; p <0.001) and 75% among those screening positive for both (OR 74.7; p <0.001). Significant independent predictors of carotid stenosis by multivariate analysis included coronary artery disease or myocardial infarction, smoking, stroke or transient ischemic attack, male gender, and white race (all p <0.05). The prevalence of confirmed stenosis was 10% with any 3 predictors alone (OR 2.5; p <0.05), 31% with any 4 (OR 21.2; p <0.001), and 50% with all 5 (OR 46.5; p <0.001). Thirty-three patients (11%) were found to have a previously unidentified and untreated arrhythmia, and 12% (n= 4/33) of these had confirmed new atrial fibrillation; 158 patients (54%) had moderate hypertension and 16 (5%) had severe hypertension (>180/100). Overall, 82% (n= 242/294) of patients screened required additional diagnostic tests. Based on these results, 11% (n= 31/294) of patients were stratified as high risk, 64% (n= 188/294) as moderate risk, and 25% (n= 75/294) as low risk for future stroke. Rapid and efficient screening of a large population for stroke risk factors is feasible. The prevalence of undiagnosed, unsurveilled, and untreated carotid stenosis, atrial fibrillation, and severe hypertension is significant, as 75% of patients screened had 1 or more confirmed major risk factors for stroke. Phase II of this study will investigate the degree of stroke risk reduction possible with a multidisciplinary approach to early identification and aggressive treatment of these risks.

Carotid stenosis: what is the high-risk population?

OBJECTIVE

Prevention is the best treatment for cerebrovascular disease, which is why early diagnosis and the immediate treatment of carotid stenosis contribute significantly to reducing the incidence of stroke. Given its silent nature, 80% of stroke cases occur in asymptomatic individuals, emphasizing the importance of screening individuals with carotid stenosis and identifying high-risk groups for the disease. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and the most frequent risk factors for carotid stenosis.

METHODS

A transversal study was conducted in the form of a stroke prevention campaign held on three nonconsecutive Saturdays. During the sessions, carotid stenosis diagnostic procedures were performed for 500 individuals aged 60 years or older who had systemic arterial hypertension and/or diabetes mellitus and/or coronary heart disease and/or a family history of stroke.

RESULTS

The prevalence of carotid stenosis in the population studied was 7.4%, and the most frequent risk factors identified were mean age of 70 years, carotid bruit, peripheral obstructive arterial disease, coronary insufficiency and smoking. Independent predictive factors of carotid stenosis include the presence of carotid bruit or peripheral obstructive arterial disease [corrected] and/or coronary insufficiency.

CONCLUSIONS

The population with peripheral obstructive arterial disease [corrected] and/or coronary insufficiency and carotid bruit should undergo routine screening for carotid stenosis.

Noninvasive vascular testing--a 35-year reflection

Noninvasive vascular testing has made a major contribution to the care of vascular surgery patients. This article a reflection on a 35-year corroborative association with Doctor Norman Rich, during which many of the advances in noninvasive vascular testing have been witnessed and effected. I served my vascular surgery fellowship under Doctor Rich in 1967-68 at Walter Reed Army Hospital. The only noninvasive vascular equipment then was a pencil probe Doppler. The value of the Doppler in the management of peripheral vascular disease that year and in determining limb viability in combat surgery in Vietnam the following year was established, and both experiences were published. Later, Doctor Rich established the annual Military Vascular Surgery Meeting and was appointed as the first Chair of the Department of Surgery at the Uniformed Services University for Health Sciences (USU). I entered private practice in Central California in 1976, and ultrasonic imaging was developed which allowed noninvasive examination of the carotid arteries. I then developed a protocol to screen for the three silent, immediate causes of stroke, employing a "a quick carotid scan" for carotid artery disease, a lead II rhythm strip for atrial fibrillation, and blood pressure determination for hypertension so that these common causes of strokes could be recognized and treated, and potentially prevent the majority of strokes. My association with USU, Doctor Rich, and others involved proved instrumental in initiating implementation of stroke prevention screening. The structure established at USU provides a means of establishing the protocol nationally. Noninvasive vascular testing is an addition to Medical Science that has led to significant improvements in individual patient care and that has the potential of allowing a major reduction in death and disability from stroke and other vascular diseases. Throughout a 35-year collaborative association with Doctor Norman M. Rich, I have witnessed and developed many of these advances. These contributions to noninvasive vascular testing reflect the value of our collaboration.

A New Approach for the Screening of Carotid Lesions: A ‘Fast-track’ Method with the Use of New Generation Hand-held Ultrasound Devices

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the usefulness of fast-track neck sonography with a new-generation hand-held ultrasound scanner in the detection of > or =60% carotid stenosis.

DESIGN

Patients with a past history of atherosclerotic disease or presence of risk factors were enrolled. All had fast-track carotid screening with a hand-held ultrasound scanner.

METHODS

Initial assessment was performed with our quick imaging protocol. A second examiner performed a conventional complete carotid duplex as gold-standard.

RESULTS

We enrolled 197 consecutive patients with a mean age of 67 years (range 35-94). A carotid stenosis >60% was detected in 13 cases (6%). The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of fast-track sonography was 100%, 64%, 17% and 100%, respectively. Concomitant power Doppler imaging during the fast-track method did not improve accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of a fast-track method with a hand-held ultrasound device can reduce the number of unnecessary carotid Duplex and enhance the screening efficiency without missing significant carotid stenoses.

Focused screening for occult carotid artery disease: patients with known heart disease are at high risk

OBJECTIVES

Stroke puts a major financial burden on our healthcare system. However, carotid duplex scanning performed as a screening test for occult carotid artery stenosis (CAS) currently is not reimbursed by Medicare. The goals of this study were to develop a cost-effective stroke screening program, to determine the prevalence of potential causes of stroke in this population, and to define a population at high risk in which screening would be most effective.

METHODS

In a community-based stroke screening program, patients were eligible if they were older than 60 years and had a history of either hypertension, heart disease, or cigarette smoking, or a family history of stroke. Screening included blood pressure determination, an electrocardiographic rhythm strip, and a previously validated modified carotid duplex ultrasound examination to detect CAS 50% or greater. The relationships between standard demographic risk factors and screening outcomes were analyzed.

RESULTS

Screening was performed in 610 patients. Unilateral or bilateral CAS was detected in 66 patients (10.8%). The finding of occult CAS was more prevalent than that of new hypertension (2.6%) or new atrial fibrillation (0.5%). Patients with known hypertension were significantly more likely to have CAS than were those without hypertension (12.7% vs 7.8%; P =.05). Patients with heart disease were significantly more likely to have CAS than were those without heart disease (18.2% vs 8%; P <.0001). Patients with both risk factors were significantly more likely to have occult carotid artery disease than were patients without either risk factor (22.1% vs 8.5%; P <.0001). Multivariate analysis with logistic regression revealed a history of heart disease as an independent predictor of occult carotid artery disease (odds ratio 95% confidence interval, 1.4-4.4). Type of heart disease was not a significant factor in predicting occult CAS. Direct cost of the screening, including community outreach, nurses, technicians, support staff, and miscellaneous expenses, was less than $75 per patient.

CONCLUSIONS

In a screening program for treatable causes of potential stroke, CAS was the most commonly diagnosed disease. More than one of every five patients with known hypertension and heart disease had occult CAS. Known heart disease of any type was a significant independent predictor of occult CAS. Screening for treatable causes of potential stroke can be cost-effective. This information could help to further target populations to screen for occult CAS and to justify reimbursement for screening carotid duplex scanning examinations.

A model for predicting occult carotid artery stenosis: screening is justified in a selected population

OBJECTIVES

The diagnosis and treatment of carotid artery disease is an integral part of stroke prevention. However, a population of patients who would benefit from screening for carotid artery stenosis has not been well defined. As part of an institutional stroke-screening program, a modified, rapid duplex scan was developed to evaluate patients for occult carotid stenosis. The goal of this study was to evaluate risk factors predictive of carotid stenosis in a selected population, and to identify patients who would benefit from carotid screening.

METHODS

Patients were eligible for the study if they were >60 years of age and had a history of hypertension, heart disease, current smoking, or family history of stroke. A modified carotid duplex scan that had been previously validated against formal duplex scanning was utilized; this involved visualization of the carotid bulb and proximal internal carotid artery where Doppler flow velocities were obtained and recorded.

RESULTS

Screening was performed on 394 patients. Thirty-eight patients (9.6%) had either unilateral or bilateral carotid stenosis of > or =50%. Risk factors evaluated included smoking, hypertension, cardiac disease, or hypercholesterolemia. If none of these risk factors was present, the incidence of carotid stenosis was 1.8%. This increased to 5.8% with one risk factor, 13.5% with two risk factors, and 16.7% with three risk factors. Two of three patients with all four risk factors had carotid stenosis (66.7%). Logistic regression and prespecified contrast statements for multiple comparisons were used to assess the relationship between the presence of risk factors and occult carotid artery stenosis. The presence of any one of these risk factors was associated with a statistically significant increase in the presence of occult carotid stenosis (P <.01). This was also statistically significant for the presence of any two risk factors (P <.01) or three risk factors (P <.05).

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of carotid stenosis significantly increases with the presence of one or more identifiable demographic risk factors in a selected population. Assuming the diagnosis and treatment of carotid stenosis are fundamental to stroke prevention, screening for carotid artery disease is justified in this group of patients.

Screening test for carotid disease

Because cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in the United States, the identification of a screening test to reduce the risk of stroke has been a long-term goal of those interested in public health. The recent European and North American randomized carotid endarterectomy trials have demonstrated that both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with internal carotid artery stenosis may experience a reduction of stroke risk when treated with endarterectomy. Thus the detection of occult carotid stenosis has been proposed as a stroke-reducing method. US has been studied both as a solitary screening method and in conjunction with hypertension and cardiac arrhythmia screening. This article reviews the methods proposed for US carotid artery screening, the reported accuracy of these methods, and issues of cost- and clinical effectiveness.

Use of limited color-flow duplex for a carotid screening project

BACKGROUND

Although the efficacy of carotid endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid stenosis has been established, no cost-effective approach for identification of these patients has yet been devised. The purpose of this study was to develop a limited carotid duplex screening examination to be utilized for the detection of asymptomatic carotid stenoses.

METHODS

Carotid screening examinations employed rapid identification of the carotid bifurcation using color-flow duplex imaging and an immediate Doppler-derived velocity of the segment of the internal carotid artery with the most turbulent flow. Complete examinations were then finished using well-established protocols in our accredited vascular laboratory. A total of 512 patients were referred for complete studies based upon standard indications. Criteria for at least a 50% internal carotid artery stenosis on the complete examination was defined as a peak systolic velocity (PSV) of at least 125 cm/sec. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were then constructed to identify the optimal screening velocity criteria as compared with the final results on the complete examination.

RESULTS

Five screening examinations were technically limited yielding a total of 507 patients with 1,014 carotid arteries available for analysis. Comparison of screening examinations versus complete examinations for a PSV of 125 cm/sec yielded sensitivity 86%, specificity 98%, positive predictive value (PPV) 95%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) 93%. ROC analysis identified a "cut point" of 115 cm/sec on the screening examinations to achieve sensitivity 91%, specificity 95%, PPV 89%, and NPV 96%. Time to perform screening examinations averaged 3.2 minutes per patient. Three patients had common carotid lesions not identified on the limited internal carotid screening examinations.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening carotid examinations are a rapid, reliable, and relatively inexpensive method for detection of patients with asymptomatic internal carotid artery stenosis. Limited screening examinations should be developed in each vascular laboratory and utilized in high-risk patients.