Prediction of the hepatitis C viremia using immunoassay data and clinical expertise

Anti-HCV antibody titer highly predicts HCV viremia in patients with hepatitis B virus dual-infection

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection is diagnosed by the presence of antibody to HCV and/or HCV RNA. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of anti-HCV titer (S/CO ratio) in predicting HCV viremia in patients with or without hepatitis B virus (HBV) dual infection.

METHODS

Anti-HCV seropositive patients who were treatment-naïve consecutively enrolled. Anti-HCV antibodies were detected using a commercially chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay. HCV RNA was detected by real-time PCR method.

RESULTS

A total of 1321 including1196 mono-infected and 125 HBV dually infected patients were analyzed. The best cut-off value of anti-HCV titer in predicting HCV viremia was 9.95 (AUROC 0.99, P<0.0001). Of the entire cohort, the anti-HCV cut-off value of 10 provided the best accuracy, 96.8%, with the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 96.3%, 98.9%, 99.7% and 87.3% respectively. The best cut-off value of anti-HCV titer in predicting HCV viremia was 9.95 (AUROC 0.99, P<0.0001) and 9.36 (AUROC 1.00, P<0.0001) in patients with HCV mono-infection and HBV dual-infection respectively. Among the HBV dually infected patients, the accuracy of anti-HCV titer in predicting HCV viremia reached up to 100% with the cut-off value of 9. All the patients were HCV-viremic if their anti-HCV titer was greater than 9 (PPV 100%). On the other hand, all the patients were HCV non-viremic if their anti-HCV titer was less than 9 (NPV 100%).

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-HCV titer strongly predicted HCV viremia. This excellent performance could be generalized to either HCV mono-infected or HBV dually infected patients.

Molecular epidemiology of hepatitis C virus genotypes in west Mexico

The identification of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes and subtypes may be helpful to identify the source of an HCV outbreak among a specific group of individuals within a given country or the pattern of spread throughout nations worldwide. Mexico is a transit country for people who migrate north towards the United States from Central and South America, however, to date, no Mexican HCV sequences have been reported. The present study was conducted to identify the HCV genotypes and subtypes prevalent in Mexico by DNA sequencing and phylogenetic analysis in the NS5B region of the HCV genome. Serum samples from a total of 75 anti-HCV positive patients were included in this study. Out of the 75 samples, 48 cases (64%) were amplifiable in the 5' UTR and 46 (61%) in NS5B region. HCV genotype 1a determined in 54.3% (25/46) was predominant in this cohort, followed by 1b 21.8% (10/46), 2b 13% (6/46), 3a 6.5% (3/46), and 2a 4.4% (2/46). Phylogenetic analysis showed that HCV sequences of genotype 1 (1a and 1b) were clustering more closely to the United States isolates published previously. These results may suggest that both Mexico and the United States share an epidemiological network of HCV genotype 1 while other genotypes represent sporadic infections that are specific to Mexico.

Significance of anti-HCV signal-to-cutoff ratio in predicting hepatitis C viremia

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA testing can be performed using qualitative or quantitative assays, and it is still unclear which is more useful as a primary test in patients positive for anti-HCV. The present study evaluated the usefulness of anti-HCV signal-to-cutoff ratio (S/CO ratio) for predicting HCV RNA results.

METHODS

Patients on whom a qualitative HCV RNA test was performed due to a positive anti-HCV enzyme immunoassay were enrolled. Patients were divided into viremia and no-viremia groups according to HCV RNA results. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of anti-HCV S/CO for a diagnosis of viremia.

RESULTS

In total, 487 patients were enrolled. HCV RNA was positive in 301 subjects (61.8%). Age, serum ALT level, and anti-HCV S/CO ratio were significantly different between the viremia and no-viremia groups. By ROC curve analysis, anti-HCV S/CO ratio (area, 0.989; 95% confidence interval, 0.981 to 0.998) accurately predicted the presence of viremia, with a cutoff value of 10.9 (sensitivity, 94.4%; specificity, 97.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-HCV S/CO ratio was found to be highly accurate at predicting HCV viremia. The anti-HCV S/CO ratio can be used to determine whether a quantitative or qualitative HCV RNA test should be used to confirm HCV viremia in patients with a positive anti-HCV by the following criteria: if the anti-HCV S/CO ratio is <10.9, a qualitative HCV RNA test can be used, and if the anti-HCV S/CO ratio is >or=10.9 a quantitative HCV RNA test can be performed.

Low prevalence of anti-hepatitis C virus antibodies in Mexico: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of reactive tests to anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibodies in Mexico is unknown, though estimated to be 1%. There is no single nation-wide study or comprehensive literature review addressing the epidemiology of HCV infection in Mexico.

METHODS

We did a systematic review of English- and Spanish-language literature reporting on the frequency of anti-HCV antibodies in asymptomatic persons at low risk, of studies performed in Mexico. An exhaustive search in MEDLINE, IMBIOMED, MedicLatina, ARTEMISA and MEDIGRAPHIC databases was undertaken. Weighted mean prevalence (WMP) was calculated after combining the results of each study.

RESULTS

22 studies involving 825,377 persons at low risk, mainly blood donors, were identified. Crude seroprevalence reported in each study ranged from 0.1 to 2%, with 16 (73%) studies reporting below 1%. Overall, WMP of anti-HCV antibodies (tested by enzyme immunoassay) was 0.37% (95% CI, 0.36-0.38%), differing by country region and immunoassay generation (p < 0.01). The most frequent risk factor reported was blood transfusion. Confirmation of specific anti-HCV antibodies by recombinant immunoblot assay ranged from 30 to 100%, whereas confirmation of viremia by PCR ranged from 16 to 80%. In 3 studies on HCV genotype frequency, genotype 1 had crude prevalence ranging from 63 to 70%, subtype 1b being the most prevalent (21-47%).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of anti-HCV antibodies in Mexico might be lower than previously estimated. Transfusion of blood products is the main risk factor. HCV subtype 1b is the most prevalent among persons with confirmed viremia. Information of a nation-wide survey is mandatory.