Simplifying HCV treatment: a pathway to elimination and model for delivering health care to vulnerable populations

Effects and Costs of Hepatitis C Virus Elimination for the Whole Population in China: A Modelling Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

China has the highest number of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in the world. However, it is unclear what levels of screening and treatment are needed to achieve the WHO 2030 hepatitis C elimination targets. We aimed to evaluate the impact of scaling up interventions on the hepatitis C epidemic and determine how and at what cost these elimination targets could be achieved for the whole population in China.

METHODS

We developed a compartmental model incorporating HCV transmission, disease progression, and care cascade for the whole population in China, calibrated with data on demographics, injecting drug use, HCV prevalence, and treatments. Five different scenarios were evaluated for effects and costs for 2022-2030. All costs were converted to 2021 US dollar (USD) and discounted at an annual rate of 5%. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

Under the status quo scenario, the incidence of hepatitis C is projected to increase from 60.39 (57.60-63.45) per 100,000 person-years in 2022 to 68.72 (65.3-73.97) per 100,000 person-years in 2030, and 2.52 million (1.94-3.07 million) infected patients are projected to die between 2022 and 2030, of which 0.76 (0.61-1.08) million will die due to hepatitis C. By increasing primary screening to 10%, conducting regular rescreening (annually for PWID and every 5 years for the general population) and treating 90% of patients diagnosed, the incidence would be reduced by 88.15% (86.61-89.45%) and hepatitis C-related mortality by 60.5% (52.62-65.54%) by 2030, compared with 2015 levels. This strategy would cost USD 52.78 (USD 43.93-58.53) billion.

CONCLUSIONS

Without changes in HCV prevention and control policy, the disease burden of HCV in China will increase dramatically. To achieve the hepatitis C elimination targets, China needs to sufficiently scale up screening and treatment.

An algorithm for simplified hepatitis C virus treatment with non-specialist care based on nation-wide data from Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Both European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) and American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the Infectious Diseases Society of America (AASLD-IDSA) guidelines recommend simplified hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment with pan-genotypic sofosbuvir/velpatasvir or glecaprevir/pibrentasvir for eligible patients. This observational study used real-world data to assess these regimens' safety in eligible patients and develop an algorithm to identify patients suitable for simplified treatment by non-specialists.

METHODS

7,677 HCV-infected patients from Taiwan Hepatitis C Registry (TACR) who received at least one dose of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir or glecaprevir/pibrentasvir, and fulfilled the EASL/AASLD-IDSA criteria for simplified treatment were analyzed. Multivariate analysis was conducted on patient characteristics and safety data.

RESULTS

Overall, 92.8% (7,128/7,677) of patients achieved sustained virological response and only 1.9% (146/7,677) experienced Grades 2-4 laboratory abnormalities in key liver function parameters (alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and total bilirubin), with only 18 patients (0.23%) experiencing Grades 3-4 abnormalities. Age > 70 years old, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma, total bilirubin > 1.2 mg/dL, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and Fibrosis-4 > 3.25 were associated with higher risks of Grades 2-4 abnormalities. Patients with any of these had an odds of 4.53 times than that of those without in developing Grades 2-4 abnormalities (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world data from Taiwan confirmed that simplified HCV treatment for eligible patients with pan-genotypic regimens is effective and well tolerated. The TACR algorithm, developed based on this study's results, can further identify patients who can be safely managed by non-specialist care.

Effectiveness and Safety of Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir as a Hepatitis C Virus Infection Salvage Therapy in the Real World: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Introduction

Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir (SOF/VEL/VOX) is the first direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy approved for patients who have previously failed a DAA-containing regimen including NS5A inhibitors. In clinical trials, SOF/VEL/VOX was associated with high rates of sustained virologic response at post-treatment week 12 (SVR12) and was well tolerated. However, the effectiveness and safety of SOF/VEL/VOX in the real world remained uncertain. We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the real world effectiveness and safety of SOF/VEL/VOX.

Methods

We systematically searched the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases for relevant real world studies published before January 28, 2022. Patients with previous treatment failure who received SOF/VEL/VOX were included. The primary outcome was the percentage of patients achieving SVR12. Secondary outcome included adverse events (AEs) during treatment.

Results

Fifteen studies with a total of 1796 HCV-infected patients with previous treatment failure were included. SVR12 rates were 93% (95% CI 91–95) in the ITT populations (n = 1517, 11 cohorts) and 96% (95% CI 95–97) in the PP populations (n = 1187, 10 cohorts). SVR12 rates were significantly higher in non-GT3-infected patients (OR = 2.29, 95% CI 1.23–4.27, P = 0.009) and non-cirrhotic patients (OR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.07–4.60, P = 0.03) than in GT3-infected patients and cirrhotic patients. Furthermore, the SVR12 rates of previous treatment of SOF/VEL were significantly lower than those of other regimens in both ITT and PP populations (P ≤ 0.001). Adverse events (AEs) were reported in 30% (228/760) of patients. Serious AEs (SAEs) were reported in 3.82% (29/760) of patients. The most frequently reported AEs were headache, asthenia, nausea, fatigue, and diarrhea, which were mostly mild in severity. AE-related treatment discontinuations were reported in 0.66% (5/760) of patients.

Conclusions

Consistent with clinical trials, the real world evidence indicates that SOF/VEL/VOX is a well-tolerated and highly effective salvage therapy for HCV-infected patients with previous treatment failure. However, there may still be a risk of treatment failure for patients with GT3 infection, cirrhosis, or SOF/VEL treatment failure. The protocol of this study was registered at PROSPERO, registration no. CRD 42022306828.