Deep-learning-based cardiovascular risk stratification using coronary artery calcium scores predicted from retinal photographs

Exploring trends and autonomy levels of adaptive business intelligence in healthcare: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

In order to comprehensively understand the characteristics of Adaptive Business Intelligence (ABI) in Healthcare, this study is structured to provide insights into the common features and evolving patterns within this domain. Applying the Sheridan's Classification as a framework, we aim to assess the degree of autonomy exhibited by various ABI components. Together, these objectives will contribute to a deeper understanding of ABI implementation and its implications within the Healthcare context.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of academic databases was conducted to identify relevant studies, selecting AIS e-library (AISel), Decision Support Systems Journal (DSSJ), Nature, The Lancet Digital Health (TLDH), PubMed, Expert Systems with Application (ESWA) and npj Digital Medicine as information sources. Studies from 2006 to 2022 were included based on predefined eligibility criteria. PRISMA statements were used to report this study.

RESULTS

The outcomes showed that ABI systems present distinct levels of development, autonomy and practical deployment. The high levels of autonomy were essentially associated with predictive components. However, the possibility of completely autonomous decisions by these systems is totally excluded. Lower levels of autonomy are also observed, particularly in connection with prescriptive components, granting users responsibility in the generation of decisions.

CONCLUSION

The study presented emphasizes the vital connection between desired outcomes and the inherent autonomy of these solutions, highlighting the critical need for additional research on the consequences of ABI systems and their constituent elements. Organizations should deploy these systems in a way consistent with their objectives and values, while also being mindful of potential adverse effects. Providing valuable insights for researchers, practitioners, and policymakers aiming to comprehend the diverse levels of ABI systems implementation, it contributes to well-informed decision-making in this dynamic field.

Prognostic potentials of AI in ophthalmology: systemic disease forecasting via retinal imaging

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) that utilizes deep learning (DL) has potential for systemic disease prediction using retinal imaging. The retina's unique features enable non-invasive visualization of the central nervous system and microvascular circulation, aiding early detection and personalized treatment plans for personalized care. This review explores the value of retinal assessment, AI-based retinal biomarkers, and the importance of longitudinal prediction models in personalized care.

MAIN TEXT

This narrative review extensively surveys the literature for relevant studies in PubMed and Google Scholar, investigating the application of AI-based retina biomarkers in predicting systemic diseases using retinal fundus photography. The study settings, sample sizes, utilized AI models and corresponding results were extracted and analysed. This review highlights the substantial potential of AI-based retinal biomarkers in predicting neurodegenerative, cardiovascular, and chronic kidney diseases. Notably, DL algorithms have demonstrated effectiveness in identifying retinal image features associated with cognitive decline, dementia, Parkinson's disease, and cardiovascular risk factors. Furthermore, longitudinal prediction models leveraging retinal images have shown potential in continuous disease risk assessment and early detection. AI-based retinal biomarkers are non-invasive, accurate, and efficient for disease forecasting and personalized care.

CONCLUSION

AI-based retinal imaging hold promise in transforming primary care and systemic disease management. Together, the retina's unique features and the power of AI enable early detection, risk stratification, and help revolutionizing disease management plans. However, to fully realize the potential of AI in this domain, further research and validation in real-world settings are essential.

Development and validation of a deep-learning model to predict 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk from retinal images using the UK Biobank and EyePACS 10K datasets

Background

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is a leading cause of death globally, and early detection of high-risk individuals is essential for initiating timely interventions. The authors aimed to develop and validate a deep learning (DL) model to predict an individual's elevated 10-year ASCVD risk score based on retinal images and limited demographic data.

Methods

The study used 89,894 retinal fundus images from 44,176 UK Biobank participants (96% non-Hispanic White, 5% diabetic) to train and test the DL model. The DL model was developed using retinal images plus age, race/ethnicity, and sex at birth to predict an individual's 10-year ASCVD risk score using the pooled cohort equation (PCE) as the ground truth. This model was then tested on the US EyePACS 10K dataset (5.8% non-Hispanic White, 99.9% diabetic), composed of 18,900 images from 8969 diabetic individuals. Elevated ASCVD risk was defined as a PCE score of ≥7.5%.

Results

In the UK Biobank internal validation dataset, the DL model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89, sensitivity 84%, and specificity 90%, for detecting individuals with elevated ASCVD risk scores. In the EyePACS 10K and with the addition of a regression-derived diabetes modifier, it achieved sensitivity 94%, specificity 72%, mean error -0.2%, and mean absolute error 3.1%.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates that DL models using retinal images can provide an additional approach to estimating ASCVD risk, as well as the value of applying DL models to different external datasets and opportunities about ASCVD risk assessment in patients living with diabetes.

Predicting hypertension control using machine learning

Hypertension is a widely prevalent disease and uncontrolled hypertension predisposes affected individuals to severe adverse effects. Though the importance of controlling hypertension is clear, the multitude of therapeutic regimens and patient factors that affect the success of blood pressure control makes it difficult to predict the likelihood to predict whether a patient's blood pressure will be controlled. This project endeavors to investigate whether machine learning can accurately predict the control of a patient's hypertension within 12 months of a clinical encounter. To build the machine learning model, a retrospective review of the electronic medical records of 350,008 patients 18 years of age and older between January 1, 2015 and June 1, 2022 was performed to form model training and testing cohorts. The data included in the model included medication combinations, patient laboratory values, vital sign measurements, comorbidities, healthcare encounters, and demographic information. The mean age of the patient population was 65.6 years with 161,283 (46.1%) men and 275,001 (78.6%) white. A sliding time window of data was used to both prohibit data leakage from training sets to test sets and to maximize model performance. This sliding window resulted in using the study data to create 287 predictive models each using 2 years of training data and one week of testing data for a total study duration of five and a half years. Model performance was combined across all models. The primary outcome, prediction of blood pressure control within 12 months demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.76 (95% confidence interval; 0.75-0.76), sensitivity of 61.52% (61.0-62.03%), specificity of 75.69% (75.25-76.13%), positive predictive value of 67.75% (67.51-67.99%), and negative predictive value of 70.49% (70.32-70.66%). An AUC of 0.756 is considered to be moderately good for machine learning models. While the accuracy of this model is promising, it is impossible to state with certainty the clinical relevancy of any clinical support ML model without deploying it in a clinical setting and studying its impact on health outcomes. By also incorporating uncertainty analysis for every prediction, the authors believe that this approach offers the best-known solution to predicting hypertension control and that machine learning may be able to improve the accuracy of hypertension control predictions using patient information already available in the electronic health record. This method can serve as a foundation with further research to strengthen the model accuracy and to help determine clinical relevance.

Performance of deep learning for detection of chronic kidney disease from retinal fundus photographs: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Deep learning has been used to detect chronic kidney disease (CKD) from retinal fundus photographs. We aim to evaluate the performance of deep learning for CKD detection.

METHODS

The original studies in CKD patients detected by deep learning from retinal fundus photographs were eligible for inclusion. PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched up to October 31, 2022. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) tool was used to assess the risk of bias.

RESULTS

Four studies enrolled 114,860 subjects were included. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 87.8% (95% confidence interval (CI): 61.6% to 98.3%), and 62.4% (95% CI: 44.9% to 78.7%). The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.864 (95%CI: 0.769, 0.986).

CONCLUSION

Deep learning based on retinal fundus photographs has the ability to detect CKD, but it currently has a lot of room for improvement. It is still a long way from clinical application.

Development of a deep learning model to distinguish the cause of optic disc atrophy using retinal fundus photography

The differential diagnosis for optic atrophy can be challenging and requires expensive, time-consuming ancillary testing to determine the cause. While Leber's hereditary optic neuropathy (LHON) and optic neuritis (ON) are both clinically significant causes for optic atrophy, both relatively rare in the general population, contributing to limitations in obtaining large imaging datasets. This study therefore aims to develop a deep learning (DL) model based on small datasets that could distinguish the cause of optic disc atrophy using only fundus photography. We retrospectively reviewed fundus photographs of 120 normal eyes, 30 eyes (15 patients) with genetically-confirmed LHON, and 30 eyes (26 patients) with ON. Images were split into a training dataset and a test dataset and used for model training with ResNet-18. To visualize the critical regions in retinal photographs that are highly associated with disease prediction, Gradient-Weighted Class Activation Map (Grad-CAM) was used to generate image-level attention heat maps and to enhance the interpretability of the DL system. In the 3-class classification of normal, LHON, and ON, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 1.0 for normal, 0.988 for LHON, and 0.990 for ON, clearly differentiating each class from the others with an overall total accuracy of 0.93. Specifically, when distinguishing between normal and disease cases, the precision, recall, and F1 scores were perfect at 1.0. Furthermore, in the differentiation of LHON from other conditions, ON from others, and between LHON and ON, we consistently observed precision, recall, and F1 scores of 0.8. The model performance was maintained until only 10% of the pixel values of the image, identified as important by Grad-CAM, were preserved and the rest were masked, followed by retraining and evaluation.

Adopting artificial intelligence in cardiovascular medicine: a scoping review

Recent years have witnessed significant transformations in cardiovascular medicine, driven by the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI). This scoping review was conducted to capture the breadth of AI applications within cardiovascular science. Employing a structured approach, we sourced relevant articles from PubMed, with an emphasis on journals encompassing general cardiology and digital medicine. We applied filters to highlight cardiovascular articles published in journals focusing on general internal medicine, cardiology and digital medicine, thereby identifying the prevailing trends in the field. Following a comprehensive full-text screening, a total of 140 studies were identified. Over the preceding 5 years, cardiovascular medicine's interplay with AI has seen an over tenfold augmentation. This expansive growth encompasses multiple cardiovascular subspecialties, including but not limited to, general cardiology, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, and arrhythmia. Deep learning emerged as the predominant methodology. The majority of AI endeavors in this domain have been channeled toward enhancing diagnostic and prognostic capabilities, utilizing resources such as hospital datasets, electrocardiograms, and echocardiography. A significant uptrend was observed in AI's application for omics data analysis. However, a clear gap persists in AI's full-scale integration into the clinical decision-making framework. AI, particularly deep learning, has demonstrated robust applications across cardiovascular subspecialties, indicating its transformative potential in this field. As we continue on this trajectory, ensuring the alignment of technological progress with medical ethics becomes crucial. The abundant digital health data today further accentuates the need for meticulous systematic reviews, tailoring them to each cardiovascular subspecialty.

Machine learning-based coronary artery calcium score predicted from clinical variables as a prognostic indicator in patients referred for invasive coronary angiography

OBJECTIVES

Utilising readily available clinical variables, we aimed to develop and validate a novel machine learning (ML) model to predict severe coronary calcification, and further assessed its prognostic significance.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent coronary CT angiography and subsequent invasive coronary angiography. Multiple ML algorithms were used to train the models for predicting severe coronary calcification (cardiac CT-measured coronary artery calcium [CT-CAC] score ≥ 400). The ML-based CAC (ML-CAC) score derived from the ML predictive probability was stratified into quartiles for prognostic analysis. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke.

RESULTS

Overall, 5785 patients were divided into training (80%) and test sets (20%). For clinical practicability, we selected the nine-feature support vector machine model with good and satisfactory performance regarding both discrimination and calibration based on five repetitions of the 10-fold cross-validation in the training set (mean AUC = 0.715, Brier score = 0.202), and based on the test in the test set (AUC = 0.753, Brier score = 0.191). In the test set cohort (n = 1137), the primary endpoint was observed in 50 (4.4%) patients during a median 2.8 years' follow-up. The ML-CAC system was significantly associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint (adjusted hazard ratio for trend 2.26, 95% CI 1.35-3.79, p = 0.002). There was no significant difference in the prognostic value between the ML-CAC and CT-CAC systems (C-index, 0.67 vs. 0.69; p = 0.618).

CONCLUSION

ML-CAC score predicted from clinical variables can serve as a novel prognostic indicator in patients referred for invasive coronary angiography.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

In patients referred for invasive coronary angiography who have not undergone preoperative CT-measured coronary artery calcium scoring, machine learning-based coronary artery calcium score assessment can serve as an alternative for predicting the prognosis.

KEY POINTS

• The coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, a solid prognostic indicator, can be predicted using non-CT methods. • We developed a machine learning (ML)-CAC model utilising nine clinical variables to predict severe coronary calcification. • The ML-CAC system offers significant prognostic value in patients referred for invasive coronary angiography.

The effects of physical activity on pediatric eyes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Examining the retina represents a non-invasive method to evaluate abnormalities pertaining to the nervous and cardiovascular systems. Evidence indicates that physical activity is a non-pharmacological intervention to enhance the nervous and cardiovascular systems. However, little is unknown about its effects on ocular characteristics in children and adolescents. The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of physical activity interventions on ocular characteristics in children and adolescents.

METHOD

The electronic bases Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, PubMed, SPORTDiscus, CINAHL, and ERIC were searched from inception to May 2023. Incorporated were randomized controlled trials or quasi-experimental designs that had implemented acute or chronic physical activity interventions among children and adolescents to evaluate various eye-related attributes via clinical examinations or surveys. Two authors independently performed the data extraction and risk of bias assessment, utilizing the Physiotherapy Evidence Database checklist.

RESULTS

A total of 474 articles were identified, of which eight articles underwent a systematic review, and six were chosen for meta-analysis. Chronic physical activity interventions positively impacted central retinal artery equivalent (CRAE) with a small to moderate effect (SMD = 0.21; 95% CI 0.04 to 0.39, p = 0.034, I2 = 0%) and central retinal venular equivalent (CRVE) with a small effect (SMD = 0.098; 95% CI 0.08 to 0.11; p = 0.008, I2 = 0%). Intraocular pressure, kinetic visual acuity, and eye strain also improved significantly after physical activity interventions.

DISCUSSION

Participating in chronic physical activity programs appear to impact children and adolescents' eye-related attributes positively.

Deep learning prediction of steep and flat corneal curvature using fundus photography in post-COVID telemedicine era

Recently, fundus photography (FP) is being increasingly used. Corneal curvature is an essential factor in refractive errors and is associated with several pathological corneal conditions. As FP-based examination systems have already been widely distributed, it would be helpful for telemedicine to extract information such as corneal curvature using FP. This study aims to develop a deep learning model based on FP for corneal curvature prediction by categorizing corneas into steep, regular, and flat groups. The EfficientNetB0 architecture with transfer learning was used to learn FP patterns to predict flat, regular, and steep corneas. In validation, the model achieved a multiclass accuracy of 0.727, a Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.519, and an unweighted Cohen's κ of 0.590. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for binary prediction of flat and steep corneas were 0.863 and 0.848, respectively. The optic nerve and its peripheral areas were the main focus of the model. The developed algorithm shows that FP can potentially be used as an imaging modality to estimate corneal curvature in the post-COVID-19 era, whereby patients may benefit from the detection of abnormal corneal curvatures using FP in the telemedicine setting.

AI-integrated ocular imaging for predicting cardiovascular disease: advancements and future outlook

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death worldwide. Assessing of CVD risk plays an essential role in identifying individuals at higher risk and enables the implementation of targeted intervention strategies, leading to improved CVD prevalence reduction and patient survival rates. The ocular vasculature, particularly the retinal vasculature, has emerged as a potential means for CVD risk stratification due to its anatomical similarities and physiological characteristics shared with other vital organs, such as the brain and heart. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into ocular imaging has the potential to overcome limitations associated with traditional semi-automated image analysis, including inefficiency and manual measurement errors. Furthermore, AI techniques may uncover novel and subtle features that contribute to the identification of ocular biomarkers associated with CVD. This review provides a comprehensive overview of advancements made in AI-based ocular image analysis for predicting CVD, including the prediction of CVD risk factors, the replacement of traditional CVD biomarkers (e.g., CT-scan measured coronary artery calcium score), and the prediction of symptomatic CVD events. The review covers a range of ocular imaging modalities, including colour fundus photography, optical coherence tomography, and optical coherence tomography angiography, and other types of images like external eye images. Additionally, the review addresses the current limitations of AI research in this field and discusses the challenges associated with translating AI algorithms into clinical practice.

Research progress on ocular complications caused by type 2 diabetes mellitus and the function of tears and blepharons

The purpose of this study was to explore the related research progress of ocular complications (OCs) caused by type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), tear and tarsal function, and the application of deep learning (DL) in the diagnosis of diabetes and OCs caused by it, to provide reference for the prevention and control of OCs in T2DM patients. This study reviewed the pathogenesis and treatment of diabetes retinopathy, keratopathy, dry eye disease, glaucoma, and cataract, analyzed the relationship between OCs and tear function and tarsal function, and discussed the application value of DL in the diagnosis of diabetes and OCs. Diabetes retinopathy is related to hyperglycemia, angiogenic factors, oxidative stress, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and other factors. The increase in water content in the corneal stroma leads to corneal relaxation, loss of transparency, and elasticity, and can lead to the occurrence of corneal lesions. Dry eye syndrome is related to abnormal stability of the tear film and imbalance in neural and immune regulation. Elevated intraocular pressure, inflammatory reactions, atrophy of the optic nerve head, and damage to optic nerve fibers are the causes of glaucoma. Cataract is a common eye disease in the elderly, which is a visual disorder caused by lens opacity. Oxidative stress is an important factor in the occurrence of cataracts. In clinical practice, blood sugar control, laser therapy, and drug therapy are used to control the above eye complications. The function of tear and tarsal plate will be affected by eye diseases. Retinopathy and dry eye disease caused by diabetes will cause dysfunction of tear and tarsal plate, which will affect the eye function of patients. Furthermore, DL can automatically diagnose and classify eye diseases, automatically analyze fundus images, and accurately diagnose diabetes retinopathy, macular degeneration, and other diseases by analyzing and processing eye images and data. The treatment of T2DM is difficult and prone to OCs, which seriously threatens the normal life of patients. The occurrence of OCs is closely related to abnormal tear and tarsal function. Based on DL, clinical diagnosis and treatment of diabetes and its OCs can be carried out, which has positive application value.

Artificial Intelligence, Digital Imaging, and Robotics Technologies for Surgical Vitreoretinal Diseases

OBJECTIVE

To review recent technological advancement in imaging, surgical visualization, robotics technology, and the use of artificial intelligence in surgical vitreoretinal (VR) diseases.

BACKGROUND

Technological advancements in imaging enhance both preoperative and intraoperative management of surgical VR diseases. Widefield imaging in fundal photography and OCT can improve assessment of peripheral retinal disorders such as retinal detachments, degeneration, and tumors. OCT angiography provides a rapid and noninvasive imaging of the retinal and choroidal vasculature. Surgical visualization has also improved with intraoperative OCT providing a detailed real-time assessment of retinal layers to guide surgical decisions. Heads-up display and head-mounted display utilize 3-dimensional technology to provide surgeons with enhanced visual guidance and improved ergonomics during surgery. Intraocular robotics technology allows for greater surgical precision and is shown to be useful in retinal vein cannulation and subretinal drug delivery. In addition, deep learning techniques leverage on diverse data including widefield retinal photography and OCT for better predictive accuracy in classification, segmentation, and prognostication of many surgical VR diseases.

CONCLUSION

This review article summarized the latest updates in these areas and highlights the importance of continuous innovation and improvement in technology within the field. These advancements have the potential to reshape management of surgical VR diseases in the very near future and to ultimately improve patient care.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Artificial Intelligence in Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring Detection and Quantification

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of coronary atherosclerosis, and the presence and severity of CAC have been shown to be powerful predictors of future cardiovascular events. Due to its value in risk discrimination and reclassification beyond traditional risk factors, CAC has been supported by recent guidelines, particularly for the purposes of informing shared decision-making regarding the use of preventive therapies. In addition to dedicated ECG-gated CAC scans, the presence and severity of CAC can also be accurately estimated on non-contrast chest computed tomography scans performed for other clinical indications. However, the presence of such "incidental" CAC is rarely reported. Advances in artificial intelligence have now enabled automatic CAC scoring for both cardiac and non-cardiac CT scans. Various AI approaches, from rule-based models to machine learning algorithms and deep learning, have been applied to automate CAC scoring. Convolutional neural networks, a deep learning technique, have had the most successful approach, with high agreement with manual scoring demonstrated in multiple studies. Such automated CAC measurements may enable wider and more accurate detection of CAC from non-gated CT studies, thus improving the efficiency of healthcare systems to identify and treat previously undiagnosed coronary artery disease.

Assessment of angle closure disease in the age of artificial intelligence: A review

Primary angle closure glaucoma is a visually debilitating disease that is under-detected worldwide. Many of the challenges in managing primary angle closure disease (PACD) are related to the lack of convenient and precise tools for clinic-based disease assessment and monitoring. Artificial intelligence (AI)- assisted tools to detect and assess PACD have proliferated in recent years with encouraging results. Machine learning (ML) algorithms that utilize clinical data have been developed to categorize angle closure eyes by disease mechanism. Other ML algorithms that utilize image data have demonstrated good performance in detecting angle closure. Nonetheless, deep learning (DL) algorithms trained directly on image data generally outperformed traditional ML algorithms in detecting PACD, were able to accurately differentiate between angle status (open, narrow, closed), and automated the measurement of quantitative parameters. However, more work is required to expand the capabilities of these AI algorithms and for deployment into real-world practice settings. This includes the need for real-world evaluation, establishing the use case for different algorithms, and evaluating the feasibility of deployment while considering other clinical, economic, social, and policy-related factors.

Pivotal trial of a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker (Reti-CVD) in the prediction of cardiovascular disease: data from CMERC-HI

OBJECTIVE

The potential of using retinal images as a biomarker of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk has gained significant attention, but regulatory approval of such artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms is lacking. In this regulated pivotal trial, we validated the efficacy of Reti-CVD, an AI-Software as a Medical Device (AI-SaMD), that utilizes retinal images to stratify CVD risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, we used data from the Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases Etiology Research Center-High Risk (CMERC-HI) Cohort. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) trend across the 3-tier CVD risk groups (low-, moderate-, and high-risk) according to Reti-CVD in prediction of CVD events. The cardiac computed tomography-measured coronary artery calcium (CAC), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) were compared to Reti-CVD.

RESULTS

A total of 1106 participants were included, with 33 (3.0%) participants experiencing CVD events over 5 years; the Reti-CVD-defined risk groups (low, moderate, and high) were significantly associated with increased CVD risk (HR trend, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.26-3.24). When all variables of Reti-CVD, CAC, CIMT, baPWV, and other traditional risk factors were incorporated into one Cox model, the Reti-CVD risk groups were only significantly associated with increased CVD risk (HR = 2.40 [0.82-7.03] in moderate risk and HR = 3.56 [1.34-9.51] in high risk using low-risk as a reference).

DISCUSSION

This regulated pivotal study validated an AI-SaMD, retinal image-based, personalized CVD risk scoring system (Reti-CVD).

CONCLUSION

These results led the Korean regulatory body to authorize Reti-CVD.

Machine Learning in Cardiovascular Risk Prediction and Precision Preventive Approaches

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In this review, we sought to provide an overview of ML and focus on the contemporary applications of ML in cardiovascular risk prediction and precision preventive approaches. We end the review by highlighting the limitations of ML while projecting on the potential of ML in assimilating these multifaceted aspects of CAD in order to improve patient-level outcomes and further population health.

RECENT FINDINGS

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is estimated to affect 20.5 million adults across the USA, while also impacting a significant burden at the socio-economic level. While the knowledge of the mechanistic pathways that govern the onset and progression of clinical CAD has improved over the past decade, contemporary patient-level risk models lag in accuracy and utility. Recently, there has been renewed interest in combining advanced analytic techniques that utilize artificial intelligence (AI) with a big data approach in order to improve risk prediction within the realm of CAD. By virtue of being able to combine diverse amounts of multidimensional horizontal data, machine learning has been employed to build models for improved risk prediction and personalized patient care approaches. The use of ML-based algorithms has been used to leverage individualized patient-specific data and the associated metabolic/genomic profile to improve CAD risk assessment. While the tool can be visualized to shift the paradigm toward a patient-specific care, it is crucial to acknowledge and address several challenges inherent to ML and its integration into healthcare before it can be significantly incorporated in the daily clinical practice.

Examination of alternative eGFR definitions on the performance of deep learning models for detection of chronic kidney disease from fundus photographs

Deep learning (DL) models have shown promise in detecting chronic kidney disease (CKD) from fundus photographs. However, previous studies have utilized a serum creatinine-only estimated glomerular rate (eGFR) equation to measure kidney function despite the development of more up-to-date methods. In this study, we developed two sets of DL models using fundus images from the UK Biobank to ascertain the effects of using a creatinine and cystatin-C eGFR equation over the baseline creatinine-only eGFR equation on fundus image-based DL CKD predictors. Our results show that a creatinine and cystatin-C eGFR significantly improved classification performance over the baseline creatinine-only eGFR when the models were evaluated conventionally. However, these differences were no longer significant when the models were assessed on clinical labels based on ICD10. Furthermore, we also observed variations in model performance and systemic condition incidence between our study and the ones conducted previously. We hypothesize that limitations in existing eGFR equations and the paucity of retinal features uniquely indicative of CKD may contribute to these inconsistencies. These findings emphasize the need for developing more transparent models to facilitate a better understanding of the mechanisms underpinning the ability of DL models to detect CKD from fundus images.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Applying Deep Learning in the Prediction of the Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases From Retinal Images

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to synthesize evidence from studies using deep learning (DL) to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk from retinal images.

Methods

A systematic literature search was performed in MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science up to June 2022. We extracted data pertaining to predicted outcomes, model development, and validation and model performance metrics. Included studies were graded using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracies Studies 2 tool. Model performance was pooled across eligible studies using a random-effects meta-analysis model.

Results

A total of 26 studies were included in the analysis. There were 42 CVD risk-related outcomes predicted from retinal images were identified, including 33 CVD risk factors, 4 cardiac imaging biomarkers, 2 CVD risk scores, the presence of CVD, and incident CVD. Three studies that aimed to predict the development of future CVD events reported an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) between 0.68 and 0.81. Models that used retinal images as input data had a pooled mean absolute error of 3.19 years (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.95-3.43) for age prediction; a pooled AUROC of 0.96 (95% CI = 0.95-0.97) for gender classification; a pooled AUROC of 0.80 (95% CI = 0.73-0.86) for diabetes detection; and a pooled AUROC of 0.86 (95% CI = 0.81-0.92) for the detection of chronic kidney disease. We observed a high level of heterogeneity and variation in study designs.

Conclusions

Although DL models appear to have reasonably good performance when it comes to predicting CVD risk, further work is necessary to evaluate the real-world applicability and predictive accuracy.

Translational Relevance

DL-based CVD risk assessment from retinal images holds great promise to be translated to clinical practice as a novel approach for CVD risk assessment, given its simple, quick, and noninvasive nature.

The role of artificial intelligence in hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: towards personalized healthcare

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines advise ongoing follow-up of patients after hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) to assess cardiovascular risk and manage future patient-specific pregnancy conditions. However, there are limited tools available to monitor patients, with those available tending to be simple risk assessments that lack personalization. A promising approach could be the emerging artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques, developed from big patient datasets to provide personalized recommendations for preventive advice.

AREAS COVERED

In this narrative review, we discuss the impact of integrating AI and big data analysis for personalized cardiovascular care, focusing on the management of HDP.

EXPERT OPINION

The pathophysiological response of women to pregnancy varies, and deeper insight into each response can be gained through a deeper analysis of the medical history of pregnant women based on clinical records and imaging data. Further research is required to be able to implement AI for clinical cases using multi-modality and multi-organ assessment, and this could expand both knowledge on pregnancy-related disorders and personalized treatment planning.

Artificial intelligence in ophthalmology: The path to the real-world clinic

Artificial intelligence (AI) has great potential to transform healthcare by enhancing the workflow and productivity of clinicians, enabling existing staff to serve more patients, improving patient outcomes, and reducing health disparities. In the field of ophthalmology, AI systems have shown performance comparable with or even better than experienced ophthalmologists in tasks such as diabetic retinopathy detection and grading. However, despite these quite good results, very few AI systems have been deployed in real-world clinical settings, challenging the true value of these systems. This review provides an overview of the current main AI applications in ophthalmology, describes the challenges that need to be overcome prior to clinical implementation of the AI systems, and discusses the strategies that may pave the way to the clinical translation of these systems.

Diagnosing Systemic Disorders with AI Algorithms Based on Ocular Images

The advent of artificial intelligence (AI), especially the state-of-the-art deep learning frameworks, has begun a silent revolution in all medical subfields, including ophthalmology. Due to their specific microvascular and neural structures, the eyes are anatomically associated with the rest of the body. Hence, ocular image-based AI technology may be a useful alternative or additional screening strategy for systemic diseases, especially where resources are scarce. This review summarizes the current applications of AI related to the prediction of systemic diseases from multimodal ocular images, including cardiovascular diseases, dementia, chronic kidney diseases, and anemia. Finally, we also discuss the current predicaments and future directions of these applications.

Assessing the decision quality of artificial intelligence and oncologists of different experience in different regions in breast cancer treatment

Background

AI-based clinical decision support system (CDSS) has important prospects in overcoming the current informational challenges that cancer diseases faced, promoting the homogeneous development of standardized treatment among different geographical regions, and reforming the medical model. However, there are still a lack of relevant indicators to comprehensively assess its decision-making quality and clinical impact, which greatly limits the development of its clinical research and clinical application. This study aims to develop and application an assessment system that can comprehensively assess the decision-making quality and clinical impacts of physicians and CDSS.

Methods

Enrolled adjuvant treatment decision stage early breast cancer cases were randomly assigned to different decision-making physician panels (each panel consisted of three different seniority physicians in different grades hospitals), each physician made an independent "Initial Decision" and then reviewed the CDSS report online and made a "Final Decision". In addition, the CDSS and guideline expert groups independently review all cases and generate "CDSS Recommendations" and "Guideline Recommendations" respectively. Based on the design framework, a multi-level multi-indicator system including "Decision Concordance", "Calibrated Concordance", " Decision Concordance with High-level Physician", "Consensus Rate", "Decision Stability", "Guideline Conformity", and "Calibrated Conformity" were constructed.

Results

531 cases containing 2124 decision points were enrolled; 27 different seniority physicians from 10 different grades hospitals have generated 6372 decision opinions before and after referring to the "CDSS Recommendations" report respectively. Overall, the calibrated decision concordance was significantly higher for CDSS and provincial-senior physicians (80.9%) than other physicians. At the same time, CDSS has a higher " decision concordance with high-level physician" (76.3%-91.5%) than all physicians. The CDSS had significantly higher guideline conformity than all decision-making physicians and less internal variation, with an overall guideline conformity variance of 17.5% (97.5% vs. 80.0%), a standard deviation variance of 6.6% (1.3% vs. 7.9%), and a mean difference variance of 7.8% (1.5% vs. 9.3%). In addition, provincial-middle seniority physicians had the highest decision stability (54.5%). The overall consensus rate among physicians was 64.2%.

Conclusions

There are significant internal variation in the standardization treatment level of different seniority physicians in different geographical regions in the adjuvant treatment of early breast cancer. CDSS has a higher standardization treatment level than all physicians and has the potential to provide immediate decision support to physicians and have a positive impact on standardizing physicians' treatment behaviors.

Ocular images-based artificial intelligence on systemic diseases

PURPOSE

To provide a summary of the research advances on ocular images-based artificial intelligence on systemic diseases.

METHODS

Narrative literature review.

RESULTS

Ocular images-based artificial intelligence has been used in a variety of systemic diseases, including endocrine, cardiovascular, neurological, renal, autoimmune, and hematological diseases, and many others. However, the studies are still at an early stage. The majority of studies have used AI only for diseases diagnosis, and the specific mechanisms linking systemic diseases to ocular images are still unclear. In addition, there are many limitations to the research, such as the number of images, the interpretability of artificial intelligence, rare diseases, and ethical and legal issues.

CONCLUSION

While ocular images-based artificial intelligence is widely used, the relationship between the eye and the whole body should be more clearly elucidated.

Cardiovascular disease risk assessment using a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker: a comparison with existing risk scores

Aims

This study aims to evaluate the ability of a deep-learning-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) retinal biomarker, Reti-CVD, to identify individuals with intermediate- and high-risk for CVD.

Methods and results

We defined the intermediate- and high-risk groups according to Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE), QRISK3, and modified Framingham Risk Score (FRS). Reti-CVD's prediction was compared to the number of individuals identified as intermediate- and high-risk according to standard CVD risk assessment tools, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated to assess the results. In the UK Biobank, among 48 260 participants, 20 643 (42.8%) and 7192 (14.9%) were classified into the intermediate- and high-risk groups according to PCE, and QRISK3, respectively. In the Singapore Epidemiology of Eye Diseases study, among 6810 participants, 3799 (55.8%) were classified as intermediate- and high-risk group according to modified FRS. Reti-CVD identified PCE-based intermediate- and high-risk groups with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.7%, 87.6%, 86.5%, and 84.0%, respectively. Reti-CVD identified QRISK3-based intermediate- and high-risk groups with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.6%, 85.5%, 49.9%, and 96.6%, respectively. Reti-CVD identified intermediate- and high-risk groups according to the modified FRS with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 82.1%, 80.6%, 76.4%, and 85.5%, respectively.

Conclusion

The retinal photograph biomarker (Reti-CVD) was able to identify individuals with intermediate and high-risk for CVD, in accordance with existing risk assessment tools.

Can deep learning on retinal images augment known risk factors for cardiovascular disease prediction in diabetes? A prospective cohort study from the national screening programme in Scotland

AIMS

This study's objective was to evaluate whether deep learning (DL) on retinal photographs from a diabetic retinopathy screening programme improve prediction of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

DL models were trained to jointly predict future CVD risk and CVD risk factors and used to output a DL score. Poisson regression models including clinical risk factors with and without a DL score were fitted to study cohorts with 2,072 and 38,730 incident CVD events in type 1 (T1DM) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) respectively.

RESULTS

DL scores were independently associated with incident CVD with adjusted standardised incidence rate ratios of 1.14 (P = 3 × 10^-04 95 % CI (1.06, 1.23)) and 1.16 (P = 4 × 10^-33 95 % CI (1.13, 1.18)) in T1DM and T2DM cohorts respectively. The differences in predictive performance between models with and without a DL score were statistically significant (differences in test log-likelihood 6.7 and 51.1 natural log units) but the increments in C-statistics from 0.820 to 0.822 and from 0.709 to 0.711 for T1DM and T2DM respectively, were small.

CONCLUSIONS

These results show that in people with diabetes, retinal photographs contain information on future CVD risk. However for this to contribute appreciably to clinical prediction of CVD further approaches, including exploitation of serial images, need to be evaluated.

Using Artificial Intelligence to Analyse the Retinal Vascular Network: The Future of Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Based on Oculomics? A Narrative Review

The healthcare burden of cardiovascular diseases remains a major issue worldwide. Understanding the underlying mechanisms and improving identification of people with a higher risk profile of systemic vascular disease through noninvasive examinations is crucial. In ophthalmology, retinal vascular network imaging is simple and noninvasive and can provide in vivo information of the microstructure and vascular health. For more than 10 years, different research teams have been working on developing software to enable automatic analysis of the retinal vascular network from different imaging techniques (retinal fundus photographs, OCT angiography, adaptive optics, etc.) and to provide a description of the geometric characteristics of its arterial and venous components. Thus, the structure of retinal vessels could be considered a witness of the systemic vascular status. A new approach called "oculomics" using retinal image datasets and artificial intelligence algorithms recently increased the interest in retinal microvascular biomarkers. Despite the large volume of associated research, the role of retinal biomarkers in the screening, monitoring, or prediction of systemic vascular disease remains uncertain. A PubMed search was conducted until August 2022 and yielded relevant peer-reviewed articles based on a set of inclusion criteria. This literature review is intended to summarize the state of the art in oculomics and cardiovascular disease research.

Eyes as the windows into cardiovascular disease in the era of big data

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide and imposes significant socioeconomic burdens, especially with late diagnoses. There is growing evidence of strong correlations between ocular images, which are information-dense, and CVD progression. The accelerating development of deep learning algorithms (DLAs) is a promising avenue for research into CVD biomarker discovery, early CVD diagnosis, and CVD prognostication. We review a selection of 17 recent DLAs on the less-explored realm of DL as applied to ocular images to produce CVD outcomes, potential challenges in their clinical deployment, and the path forward. The evidence for CVD manifestations in ocular images is well documented. Most of the reviewed DLAs analyze retinal fundus photographs to predict CV risk factors, in particular hypertension. DLAs can predict age, sex, smoking status, alcohol status, body mass index, mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, chronic kidney disease, and hematological disease with significant accuracy. While the cardio-oculomics intersection is now burgeoning, very much remain to be explored. The increasing availability of big data, computational power, technological literacy, and acceptance all prime this subfield for rapid growth. We pinpoint the specific areas of improvement toward ubiquitous clinical deployment: increased generalizability, external validation, and universal benchmarking. DLAs capable of predicting CVD outcomes from ocular inputs are of great interest and promise to individualized precision medicine and efficiency in the provision of health care with yet undetermined real-world efficacy with impactful initial results.

Impaired retinal microcirculation in patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease

PURPOSE

To quantitatively investigate alterations of retinal microcirculation in patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease (NOCAD) using optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA), and to identify the ability of retinal microcirculation parameters in differentiating coronary artery disease (CAD) subtypes.

METHODS

All participants with angina pectoris underwent coronary computed tomography angiography. Patients with lumen diameter reduction of 20-50 % in all major coronary arteries were defined as NOCAD, while patients with at least one major coronary artery lumen diameter reduction ≥ 50 % were recruited as obstructive coronary artery disease (OCAD). Participants without a history of ophthalmic or systemic vascular disease were recruited as healthy controls. Retinal neural-vasculature was measured quantitatively by OCTA, including peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness and vessel density (VD) of the optic disc, superficial vessel plexus (SVP), deep vessel plexus (DVP), and foveal density (FD 300). p < 0.017 is considered significant in multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

A total of 185 participants (65 NOCAD, 62 OCAD, and 58 controls) were enrolled. Except for the DVP fovea (p = 0.069), significantly reduced VD in all other regions of SVP and DVP was detected in both the NOCAD and OCAD groups compared to control group (all p < 0.017), while a more significant decrease was found in OCAD compared to NOCAD. Multivariate regression analysis showed that lower VD in superior hemi part of whole SVP (OR: 0.582, 95 % CI: 0.451-0.752) was an independent risk factor for NOCAD compared to controls, while lower VD in the whole SVP (OR: 0.550, 95 % CI: 0.421-0.719) was an independent risk factor for OCAD compared to NOCAD. Using the integration of retinal microvascular parameters, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for NOCAD versus control and OCAD versus NOCAD were 0.840 and 0.830, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Significant retinal microcirculation impairment, while milder than that in OCAD was observed in NOCAD patients, indicating retinal microvasculature assessment might provide a new systemic microcirculation observation window for NOCAD. Furthermore, retinal microvasculature may serve as a new indicator to assess the severity of CAD with good performance of retinal microvascular parameters in identifying different CAD subtypes.

Deep Learning Algorithms for Screening and Diagnosis of Systemic Diseases Based on Ophthalmic Manifestations: A Systematic Review

Deep learning (DL) is the new high-profile technology in medical artificial intelligence (AI) for building screening and diagnosing algorithms for various diseases. The eye provides a window for observing neurovascular pathophysiological changes. Previous studies have proposed that ocular manifestations indicate systemic conditions, revealing a new route in disease screening and management. There have been multiple DL models developed for identifying systemic diseases based on ocular data. However, the methods and results varied immensely across studies. This systematic review aims to summarize the existing studies and provide an overview of the present and future aspects of DL-based algorithms for screening systemic diseases based on ophthalmic examinations. We performed a thorough search in PubMed^®, Embase, and Web of Science for English-language articles published until August 2022. Among the 2873 articles collected, 62 were included for analysis and quality assessment. The selected studies mainly utilized eye appearance, retinal data, and eye movements as model input and covered a wide range of systemic diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, neurodegenerative diseases, and systemic health features. Despite the decent performance reported, most models lack disease specificity and public generalizability for real-world application. This review concludes the pros and cons and discusses the prospect of implementing AI based on ocular data in real-world clinical scenarios.

An efficient approach to estimate the risk of coronary artery disease for people living with HIV using machine-learning-based retinal image analysis

BACKGROUND

People living with HIV (PLWH) have increased risks of non-communicable diseases, especially cardiovascular diseases. Current HIV clinical management guidelines recommend regular cardiovascular risk screening, but the risk equation models are not specific for PLWH. Better tools are needed to assess cardiovascular risk among PLWH accurately.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study to determine the performance of automatic retinal image analysis in assessing coronary artery disease (CAD) in PLWH. We enrolled PLWH with ≥1 cardiovascular risk factor. All participants had computerized tomography (CT) coronary angiogram and digital fundus photographs. The primary outcome was coronary atherosclerosis; secondary outcomes included obstructive CAD. In addition, we compared the performances of three models (traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone; retinal characteristics alone; and both traditional and retinal characteristics) by comparing the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

Among the 115 participants included in the analyses, with a mean age of 54 years, 89% were male, 95% had undetectable HIV RNA, 45% had hypertension, 40% had diabetes, 45% had dyslipidemia, and 55% had obesity, 71 (61.7%) had coronary atherosclerosis, and 23 (20.0%) had obstructive CAD. The machine-learning models, including retinal characteristics with and without traditional cardiovascular risk factors, had AUC of 0.987 and 0.979, respectively and had significantly better performance than the model including traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone (AUC 0.746) in assessing coronary artery disease atherosclerosis. The sensitivity and specificity for risk of coronary atherosclerosis in the combined model were 93.0% and 93.2%, respectively. For the assessment of obstructive CAD, models using retinal characteristics alone (AUC 0.986) or in combination with traditional risk factors (AUC 0.991) performed significantly better than traditional risk factors alone (AUC 0.777). The sensitivity and specificity for risk of obstructive CAD in the combined model were 95.7% and 97.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of Asian PLWH at risk of cardiovascular diseases, retinal characteristics, either alone or combined with traditional risk factors, had superior performance in assessing coronary atherosclerosis and obstructive CAD.

SUMMARY

People living with HIV in an Asian cohort with risk factors for cardiovascular disease had a high prevalence of coronary artery disease (CAD). A machine-learning-based retinal image analysis could increase the accuracy in assessing the risk of coronary atherosclerosis and obstructive CAD.

Multimodal deep learning of fundus abnormalities and traditional risk factors for cardiovascular risk prediction

Cardiovascular disease (CVD), the leading cause of death globally, is associated with complicated underlying risk factors. We develop an artificial intelligence model to identify CVD using multimodal data, including clinical risk factors and fundus photographs from the Samsung Medical Center (SMC) for development and internal validation and from the UK Biobank for external validation. The multimodal model achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.781 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.766-0.798) in the SMC and 0.872 (95% CI 0.857-0.886) in the UK Biobank. We further observe a significant association between the incidence of CVD and the predicted risk from at-risk patients in the UK Biobank (hazard ratio [HR] 6.28, 95% CI 4.72-8.34). We visualize the importance of individual features in photography and traditional risk factors. The results highlight that non-invasive fundus photography can be a possible predictive marker for CVD.

Big data in corneal diseases and cataract: Current applications and future directions

The accelerated growth in electronic health records (EHR), Internet-of-Things, mHealth, telemedicine, and artificial intelligence (AI) in the recent years have significantly fuelled the interest and development in big data research. Big data refer to complex datasets that are characterized by the attributes of "5 Vs"-variety, volume, velocity, veracity, and value. Big data analytics research has so far benefitted many fields of medicine, including ophthalmology. The availability of these big data not only allow for comprehensive and timely examinations of the epidemiology, trends, characteristics, outcomes, and prognostic factors of many diseases, but also enable the development of highly accurate AI algorithms in diagnosing a wide range of medical diseases as well as discovering new patterns or associations of diseases that are previously unknown to clinicians and researchers. Within the field of ophthalmology, there is a rapidly expanding pool of large clinical registries, epidemiological studies, omics studies, and biobanks through which big data can be accessed. National corneal transplant registries, genome-wide association studies, national cataract databases, and large ophthalmology-related EHR-based registries (e.g., AAO IRIS Registry) are some of the key resources. In this review, we aim to provide a succinct overview of the availability and clinical applicability of big data in ophthalmology, particularly from the perspective of corneal diseases and cataract, the synergistic potential of big data, AI technologies, internet of things, mHealth, and wearable smart devices, and the potential barriers for realizing the clinical and research potential of big data in this field.

Validation of a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker (Reti-CVD) in the prediction of cardiovascular disease: data from UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Currently in the United Kingdom, cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment is based on the QRISK3 score, in which 10% 10-year CVD risk indicates clinical intervention. However, this benchmark has limited efficacy in clinical practice and the need for a more simple, non-invasive risk stratification tool is necessary. Retinal photography is becoming increasingly acceptable as a non-invasive imaging tool for CVD. Previously, we developed a novel CVD risk stratification system based on retinal photographs predicting future CVD risk. This study aims to further validate our biomarker, Reti-CVD, (1) to detect risk group of ≥ 10% in 10-year CVD risk and (2) enhance risk assessment in individuals with QRISK3 of 7.5-10% (termed as borderline-QRISK3 group) using the UK Biobank.

METHODS

Reti-CVD scores were calculated and stratified into three risk groups based on optimized cut-off values from the UK Biobank. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to evaluate the ability of Reti-CVD to predict CVD events in the general population. C-statistics was used to assess the prognostic value of adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3 in borderline-QRISK3 group and three vulnerable subgroups.

RESULTS

Among 48,260 participants with no history of CVD, 6.3% had CVD events during the 11-year follow-up. Reti-CVD was associated with an increased risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-1.52) with a 13.1% (95% CI, 11.7-14.6%) 10-year CVD risk in Reti-CVD-high-risk group. The 10-year CVD risk of the borderline-QRISK3 group was greater than 10% in Reti-CVD-high-risk group (11.5% in non-statin cohort [n = 45,473], 11.5% in stage 1 hypertension cohort [n = 11,966], and 14.2% in middle-aged cohort [n = 38,941]). C statistics increased by 0.014 (0.010-0.017) in non-statin cohort, 0.013 (0.007-0.019) in stage 1 hypertension cohort, and 0.023 (0.018-0.029) in middle-aged cohort for CVD event prediction after adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3.

CONCLUSIONS

Reti-CVD has the potential to identify individuals with ≥ 10% 10-year CVD risk who are likely to benefit from earlier preventative CVD interventions. For borderline-QRISK3 individuals with 10-year CVD risk between 7.5 and 10%, Reti-CVD could be used as a risk enhancer tool to help improve discernment accuracy, especially in adult groups that may be pre-disposed to CVD.

The prediction of in-hospital mortality in chronic kidney disease patients with coronary artery disease using machine learning models

OBJECTIVE

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) in the intensive care unit (ICU) have higher in-hospital mortality and poorer prognosis than patients with either single condition. The objective of this study is to develop a novel model that can predict the in-hospital mortality of that kind of patient in the ICU using machine learning methods.

METHODS

Data of CKD patients with CAD were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Boruta algorithm was conducted for the feature selection process. Eight machine learning algorithms, such as logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), Decision Tree, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Machine (GBDT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Neural Network (NN), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were conducted to construct the predictive model for in-hospital mortality and performance was evaluated by average precision (AP) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) algorithm was applied to explain the model visually. Moreover, data from the Telehealth Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) were acquired as an external validation set.

RESULTS

3590 and 1657 CKD patients with CAD were acquired from MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases, respectively. A total of 78 variables were selected for the machine learning model development process. Comparatively, GBDT had the highest predictive performance according to the results of AUC (0.946) and AP (0.778). The SHAP method reveals the top 20 factors based on the importance ranking. In addition, GBDT had good predictive value and a certain degree of clinical value in the external validation according to the AUC (0.865), AP (0.672), decision curve analysis, and calibration curve.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms, especially GBDT, can be reliable tools for accurately predicting the in-hospital mortality risk for CKD patients with CAD in the ICU. This contributed to providing optimal resource allocation and reducing in-hospital mortality by tailoring precise management and implementation of early interventions.

Assessment of indices of conjunctival microvascular function in patients with and without obstructive coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerotic heart disease often remains asymptomatic until presentation with a major adverse cardiovascular event. Primary preventive therapies improve outcomes, but conventional screening often misattributes risk. Vascular imaging can be utilised to detect atherosclerosis, but often involves ionising radiation. The conjunctiva is a readily accessible vascular network allowing non-invasive hemodynamic evaluation.

AIM

To compare conjunctival microcirculatory function in patients with and without obstructive coronary artery disease.

METHODS

We compared the conjunctival microcirculation of myocardial infarction patients (MI-cohort) to controls with no obstructive coronary artery disease (NO-CAD cohort). Conjunctival imaging was performed using a smartphone and slit-lamp biomicroscope combination. Microvascular indices of axial (V_a) and cross-sectional (V_cs) velocity; blood flow rate (Q); and wall shear rate (WSR) were compared in all conjunctival vessels between 5 and 45 μm in diameter.

RESULTS

A total of 127 patients were recruited (66 MI vs 61 NO-CAD) and 3602 conjunctival vessels analysed (2414 MI vs 1188 NO-CAD). Mean V_a, V_cs and Q were significantly lower in the MI vs NO-CAD cohort (V_a 0.50 ± 0.17 mm/s vs 0.55 ± 0.15 mm/s, p < 0.001; V_cs 0.35 ± 0.12 mm/s vs 0.38 ± 0.10 mm/s, p < 0.001; Q 154 ± 116 pl/s vs 198 ± 130 pl/s, p < 0.001). To correct for differences in mean vessel diameter, WSR was compared in 10-36 μm vessels (3268/3602 vessels) and was lower in the MI-cohort (134 ± 64 s^-1 vs 140 ± 63 s^-1, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Conjunctival microcirculatory alterations can be observed in patients with obstructive coronary artery disease. The conjunctival microvasculature merits further evaluation in cardiovascular risk screening.

An Overview of Deep-Learning-Based Methods for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment with Retinal Images

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are one of the most prevalent causes of premature death. Early detection is crucial to prevent and address CVDs in a timely manner. Recent advances in oculomics show that retina fundus imaging (RFI) can carry relevant information for the early diagnosis of several systemic diseases. There is a large corpus of RFI systematically acquired for diagnosing eye-related diseases that could be used for CVDs prevention. Nevertheless, public health systems cannot afford to dedicate expert physicians to only deal with this data, posing the need for automated diagnosis tools that can raise alarms for patients at risk. Artificial Intelligence (AI) and, particularly, deep learning models, became a strong alternative to provide computerized pre-diagnosis for patient risk retrieval. This paper provides a novel review of the major achievements of the recent state-of-the-art DL approaches to automated CVDs diagnosis. This overview gathers commonly used datasets, pre-processing techniques, evaluation metrics and deep learning approaches used in 30 different studies. Based on the reviewed articles, this work proposes a classification taxonomy depending on the prediction target and summarizes future research challenges that have to be tackled to progress in this line.

Economics of Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare: Diagnosis vs. Treatment

Motivation: The price of medical treatment continues to rise due to (i) an increasing population; (ii) an aging human growth; (iii) disease prevalence; (iv) a rise in the frequency of patients that utilize health care services; and (v) increase in the price. Objective: Artificial Intelligence (AI) is already well-known for its superiority in various healthcare applications, including the segmentation of lesions in images, speech recognition, smartphone personal assistants, navigation, ride-sharing apps, and many more. Our study is based on two hypotheses: (i) AI offers more economic solutions compared to conventional methods; (ii) AI treatment offers stronger economics compared to AI diagnosis. This novel study aims to evaluate AI technology in the context of healthcare costs, namely in the areas of diagnosis and treatment, and then compare it to the traditional or non-AI-based approaches. Methodology: PRISMA was used to select the best 200 studies for AI in healthcare with a primary focus on cost reduction, especially towards diagnosis and treatment. We defined the diagnosis and treatment architectures, investigated their characteristics, and categorized the roles that AI plays in the diagnostic and therapeutic paradigms. We experimented with various combinations of different assumptions by integrating AI and then comparing it against conventional costs. Lastly, we dwell on three powerful future concepts of AI, namely, pruning, bias, explainability, and regulatory approvals of AI systems. Conclusions: The model shows tremendous cost savings using AI tools in diagnosis and treatment. The economics of AI can be improved by incorporating pruning, reduction in AI bias, explainability, and regulatory approvals.

Artificial intelligence-enabled retinal vasculometry for prediction of circulatory mortality, myocardial infarction and stroke

AIMS

We examine whether inclusion of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled retinal vasculometry (RV) improves existing risk algorithms for incident stroke, myocardial infarction (MI) and circulatory mortality.

METHODS

AI-enabled retinal vessel image analysis processed images from 88 052 UK Biobank (UKB) participants (aged 40-69 years at image capture) and 7411 European Prospective Investigation into Cancer (EPIC)-Norfolk participants (aged 48-92). Retinal arteriolar and venular width, tortuosity and area were extracted. Prediction models were developed in UKB using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression for circulatory mortality, incident stroke and MI, and externally validated in EPIC-Norfolk. Model performance was assessed using optimism adjusted calibration, C-statistics and R² statistics. Performance of Framingham risk scores (FRS) for incident stroke and incident MI, with addition of RV to FRS, were compared with a simpler model based on RV, age, smoking status and medical history (antihypertensive/cholesterol lowering medication, diabetes, prevalent stroke/MI).

RESULTS

UKB prognostic models were developed on 65 144 participants (mean age 56.8; median follow-up 7.7 years) and validated in 5862 EPIC-Norfolk participants (67.6, 9.1 years, respectively). Prediction models for circulatory mortality in men and women had optimism adjusted C-statistics and R² statistics between 0.75-0.77 and 0.33-0.44, respectively. For incident stroke and MI, addition of RV to FRS did not improve model performance in either cohort. However, the simpler RV model performed equally or better than FRS.

CONCLUSION

RV offers an alternative predictive biomarker to traditional risk-scores for vascular health, without the need for blood sampling or blood pressure measurement. Further work is needed to examine RV in population screening to triage individuals at high-risk.

Recent trends and advances in fundus image analysis: A review

Automated retinal image analysis holds prime significance in the accurate diagnosis of various critical eye diseases that include diabetic retinopathy (DR), age-related macular degeneration (AMD), atherosclerosis, and glaucoma. Manual diagnosis of retinal diseases by ophthalmologists takes time, effort, and financial resources, and is prone to error, in comparison to computer-aided diagnosis systems. In this context, robust classification and segmentation of retinal images are primary operations that aid clinicians in the early screening of patients to ensure the prevention and/or treatment of these diseases. This paper conducts an extensive review of the state-of-the-art methods for the detection and segmentation of retinal image features. Existing notable techniques for the detection of retinal features are categorized into essential groups and compared in depth. Additionally, a summary of quantifiable performance measures for various important stages of retinal image analysis, such as image acquisition and preprocessing, is provided. Finally, the widely used in the literature datasets for analyzing retinal images are described and their significance is emphasized.

Deep Learning for Explainable Estimation of Mortality Risk From Myocardial Positron Emission Tomography Images

BACKGROUND

We aim to develop an explainable deep learning (DL) network for the prediction of all-cause mortality directly from positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging flow and perfusion polar map data and evaluate it using prospective testing.

METHODS

A total of 4735 consecutive patients referred for stress and rest ⁸²Rb positron emission tomography between 2010 and 2018 were followed up for all-cause mortality for 4.15 (2.24-6.3) years. DL network utilized polar maps of stress and rest perfusion, myocardial blood flow, myocardial flow reserve, and spill-over fraction combined with cardiac volumes, singular indices, and sex. Patients scanned from 2010 to 2016 were used for training and validation. The network was tested in a set of 1135 patients scanned from 2017 to 2018 to simulate prospective clinical implementation.

RESULTS

In prospective testing, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for all-cause mortality prediction by DL (0.82 [95% CI, 0.77-0.86]) was higher than ischemia (0.60 [95% CI, 0.54-0.66]; P <0.001), myocardial flow reserve (0.70 [95% CI, 0.64-0.76], P <0.001) or a comprehensive logistic regression model (0.75 [95% CI, 0.69-0.80], P <0.05). The highest quartile of patients by DL had an annual all-cause mortality rate of 11.87% and had a 16.8 ([95% CI, 6.12%-46.3%]; P <0.001)-fold increase in the risk of death compared with the lowest quartile patients. DL showed a 21.6% overall reclassification improvement as compared with established measures of ischemia.

CONCLUSIONS

The DL model trained directly on polar maps allows improved patient risk stratification in comparison with established methods for positron emission tomography flow or perfusion assessments.

Oculomics for sarcopenia prediction: a machine learning approach toward predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine

Aims

Sarcopenia is characterized by a gradual loss of skeletal muscle mass and strength with increased adverse outcomes. Recently, large-scale epidemiological studies have demonstrated a relationship between several chronic disorders and ocular pathological conditions using an oculomics approach. We hypothesized that sarcopenia can be predicted through eye examinations, without invasive tests or radiologic evaluations in the context of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM/3PM).

Methods

We analyzed data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). The training set (80%, randomly selected from 2008 to 2010) data were used to construct the machine learning models. Internal (20%, randomly selected from 2008 to 2010) and external (from the KNHANES 2011) validation sets were used to assess the ability to predict sarcopenia. We included 8092 participants in the final dataset. Machine learning models (XGBoost) were trained on ophthalmological examinations and demographic factors to detect sarcopenia.

Results

In the exploratory analysis, decreased levator function (odds ratio [OR], 1.41; P value <0.001), cataracts (OR, 1.31; P value = 0.013), and age-related macular degeneration (OR, 1.38; P value = 0.026) were associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia in men. In women, an increased risk of sarcopenia was associated with blepharoptosis (OR, 1.23; P value = 0.038) and cataracts (OR, 1.29; P value = 0.010). The XGBoost technique showed areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of 0.746 and 0.762 in men and women, respectively. The external validation achieved AUCs of 0.751 and 0.785 for men and women, respectively. For practical and fast hands-on experience with the predictive model for practitioners who may be willing to test the whole idea of sarcopenia prediction based on oculomics data, we developed a simple web-based calculator application (https://knhanesoculomics.github.io/sarcopenia) to predict the risk of sarcopenia and facilitate screening, based on the model established in this study.

Conclusion

Sarcopenia is treatable before the vicious cycle of sarcopenia-related deterioration begins. Therefore, early identification of individuals at a high risk of sarcopenia is essential in the context of PPPM. Our oculomics-based approach provides an effective strategy for sarcopenia prediction. The proposed method shows promise in significantly increasing the number of patients diagnosed with sarcopenia, potentially facilitating earlier intervention. Through patient oculometric monitoring, various pathological factors related to sarcopenia can be simultaneously analyzed, and doctors can provide personalized medical services according to each cause. Further studies are needed to confirm whether such a prediction algorithm can be used in real-world clinical settings to improve the diagnosis of sarcopenia.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-022-00292-3.

Artificial intelligence in retinal imaging for cardiovascular disease prediction: current trends and future directions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Retinal microvasculature assessment has shown promise to enhance cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk stratification. Integrating artificial intelligence into retinal microvasculature analysis may increase the screening capacity of CVD risks compared with risk score calculation through blood-taking. This review summarizes recent advancements in artificial intelligence based retinal photograph analysis for CVD prediction, and suggests challenges and future prospects for translation into a clinical setting.

RECENT FINDINGS

Artificial intelligence based retinal microvasculature analyses potentially predict CVD risk factors (e.g. blood pressure, diabetes), direct CVD events (e.g. CVD mortality), retinal features (e.g. retinal vessel calibre) and CVD biomarkers (e.g. coronary artery calcium score). However, challenges such as handling photographs with concurrent retinal diseases, limited diverse data from other populations or clinical settings, insufficient interpretability and generalizability, concerns on cost-effectiveness and social acceptance may impede the dissemination of these artificial intelligence algorithms into clinical practice.

SUMMARY

Artificial intelligence based retinal microvasculature analysis may supplement existing CVD risk stratification approach. Although technical and socioeconomic challenges remain, we envision artificial intelligence based microvasculature analysis to have major clinical and research impacts in the future, through screening for high-risk individuals especially in less-developed areas and identifying new retinal biomarkers for CVD research.

Detecting Coronary Artery Disease from Computed Tomography Images Using a Deep Learning Technique

In recent times, coronary artery disease (CAD) has become one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality across the globe. Diagnosing the presence and severity of CAD in individuals is essential for choosing the best course of treatment. Presently, computed tomography (CT) provides high spatial resolution images of the heart and coronary arteries in a short period. On the other hand, there are many challenges in analyzing cardiac CT scans for signs of CAD. Research studies apply machine learning (ML) for high accuracy and consistent performance to overcome the limitations. It allows excellent visualization of the coronary arteries with high spatial resolution. Convolutional neural networks (CNN) are widely applied in medical image processing to identify diseases. However, there is a demand for efficient feature extraction to enhance the performance of ML techniques. The feature extraction process is one of the factors in improving ML techniques’ efficiency. Thus, the study intends to develop a method to detect CAD from CT angiography images. It proposes a feature extraction method and a CNN model for detecting the CAD in minimum time with optimal accuracy. Two datasets are utilized to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. The present work is unique in applying a feature extraction model with CNN for CAD detection. The experimental analysis shows that the proposed method achieves 99.2% and 98.73% prediction accuracy, with F1 scores of 98.95 and 98.82 for benchmark datasets. In addition, the outcome suggests that the proposed CNN model achieves the area under the receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curve of 0.92 and 0.96, 0.91 and 0.90 for datasets 1 and 2, respectively. The findings highlight that the performance of the proposed feature extraction and CNN model is superior to the existing models.

Predicting demographic characteristics from anterior segment OCT images with deep learning: A study protocol

Introduction

Anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT) is a non-contact, rapid, and high-resolution in vivo modality for imaging of the eyeball’s anterior segment structures. Because progressive anterior segment deformation is a hallmark of certain eye diseases such as angle-closure glaucoma, identification of AS-OCT structural changes over time is fundamental to their diagnosis and monitoring. Detection of pathologic damage, however, relies on the ability to differentiate it from normal, age-related structural changes.

Methods and analysis

This proposed large-scale, retrospective cross-sectional study will determine whether demographic characteristics including age can be predicted from deep learning analysis of AS-OCT images; it will also assess the importance of specific anterior segment areas of the eyeball to the prediction. We plan to extract, from SUPREME^®, a clinical data warehouse (CDW) of Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH; Seoul, South Korea), a list of patients (at least 2,000) who underwent AS-OCT imaging between 2008 and 2020. AS-OCT images as well as demographic characteristics including age, gender, height, weight and body mass index (BMI) will be collected from electronic medical records (EMRs). The dataset of horizontal AS-OCT images will be split into training (80%), validation (10%), and test (10%) datasets, and a Vision Transformer (ViT) model will be built to predict demographics. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) will be used to visualize the regions of AS-OCT images that contributed to the model’s decisions. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) will be applied to evaluate the model performance.

Conclusion

This paper presents a study protocol for prediction of demographic characteristics from AS-OCT images of the eyeball using a deep learning model. The results of this study will aid clinicians in understanding and identifying age-related structural changes and other demographics-based structural differences.

Trial registration

Registration ID with open science framework:10.17605/OSF.IO/FQ46X.

A deep learning approach for detection of shallow anterior chamber depth based on the hidden features of fundus photographs

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Patients with angle-closure glaucoma (ACG) are asymptomatic until they experience a painful attack. Shallow anterior chamber depth (ACD) is considered a significant risk factor for ACG. We propose a deep learning approach to detect shallow ACD using fundus photographs and to identify the hidden features of shallow ACD.

METHODS

This retrospective study assigned healthy subjects to the training (n = 1188 eyes) and test (n = 594) datasets (prospective validation design). We used a deep learning approach to estimate ACD and build a classification model to identify eyes with a shallow ACD. The proposed method, including subtraction of the input and output images of CycleGAN and a thresholding algorithm, was adopted to visualize the characteristic features of fundus photographs with a shallow ACD.

RESULTS

The deep learning model integrating fundus photographs and clinical variables achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.978 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.963-0.988) for an ACD ≤ 2.60 mm and 0.895 (95% CI, 0.868-0.919) for an ACD ≤ 2.80 mm, and outperformed the regression model using only clinical variables. However, the difference between shallow and deep ACD classes on fundus photographs was difficult to be detected with the naked eye. We were unable to identify the features of shallow ACD using the Grad-CAM. The CycleGAN-based feature images showed that area around the macula and optic disk significantly contributed to the classification of fundus photographs with a shallow ACD.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated the feasibility of a novel deep learning model to detect a shallow ACD as a screening tool for ACG using fundus photographs. The CycleGAN-based feature map showed the hidden characteristic features of shallow ACD that were previously undetectable by conventional techniques and ophthalmologists. This framework will facilitate the early detection of shallow ACD to prevent overlooking the risks associated with ACG.

Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Systemic Parameters and Diseases From Ophthalmic Imaging

Artificial Intelligence (AI) analytics has been used to predict, classify, and aid clinical management of multiple eye diseases. Its robust performances have prompted researchers to expand the use of AI into predicting systemic, non-ocular diseases and parameters based on ocular images. Herein, we discuss the reasons why the eye is well-suited for systemic applications, and review the applications of deep learning on ophthalmic images in the prediction of demographic parameters, body composition factors, and diseases of the cardiovascular, hematological, neurodegenerative, metabolic, renal, and hepatobiliary systems. Three main imaging modalities are included—retinal fundus photographs, optical coherence tomographs and external ophthalmic images. We examine the range of systemic factors studied from ophthalmic imaging in current literature and discuss areas of future research, while acknowledging current limitations of AI systems based on ophthalmic images.

Retinal Microvascular Changes in Familial Hypercholesterolemia: Analysis with Swept-Source Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a common but underdiagnosed genetic disorder affecting cholesterol metabolism, leading to atherosclerotic disease. The relationship between retinal microvascular changes and the presence of atheroma in patients with FH (FH group), and in comparison to volunteers without FH (CT group), needs further investigation. This cross-sectional study was conducted in a university hospital between October 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021. Cardiovascular data, including the Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) score, were recorded for FH patients. Macula angiograms were acquired using swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography (SS OCT-A) to analyze both the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and deep capillary plexus (DCP). A total of 162 eyes of 83 patients were enrolled in the FH group and 121 eyes of 78 volunteers in the CT group. A statistically significant association was found between the CAC score and both vessel density (β = −0.002 [95% CI, −0.004; −0.0005], p = 0.010) and vessel length (β = −0.00005 [95% CI, −0.00008; −0.00001], p = 0.010) in the DCP. The FH group had a significantly lower foveal avascular zone circularity index than the CT group in multivariate analysis (0.67 ± 0.16 in the FH group vs. 0.72 ± 0.10 in the CT group, β = 0.04 [95% CI, 0.002; 0.07], p = 0.037). Retinal microvascularization is altered in FH and retinal vascular densities are modified according to the CAC score.

Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in Diabetic Retinopathy via Atherosclerotic Pathway in COVID-19/non-COVID-19 Frameworks using Artificial Intelligence Paradigm: A Narrative Review

Diabetes is one of the main causes of the rising cases of blindness in adults. This microvascular complication of diabetes is termed diabetic retinopathy (DR) and is associated with an expanding risk of cardiovascular events in diabetes patients. DR, in its various forms, is seen to be a powerful indicator of atherosclerosis. Further, the macrovascular complication of diabetes leads to coronary artery disease (CAD). Thus, the timely identification of cardiovascular disease (CVD) complications in DR patients is of utmost importance. Since CAD risk assessment is expensive for low-income countries, it is important to look for surrogate biomarkers for risk stratification of CVD in DR patients. Due to the common genetic makeup between the coronary and carotid arteries, low-cost, high-resolution imaging such as carotid B-mode ultrasound (US) can be used for arterial tissue characterization and risk stratification in DR patients. The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques has facilitated the handling of large cohorts in a big data framework to identify atherosclerotic plaque features in arterial ultrasound. This enables timely CVD risk assessment and risk stratification of patients with DR. Thus, this review focuses on understanding the pathophysiology of DR, retinal and CAD imaging, the role of surrogate markers for CVD, and finally, the CVD risk stratification of DR patients. The review shows a step-by-step cyclic activity of how diabetes and atherosclerotic disease cause DR, leading to the worsening of CVD. We propose a solution to how AI can help in the identification of CVD risk. Lastly, we analyze the role of DR/CVD in the COVID-19 framework.