Modeling Transition Metals in East Asia and Japan and Its Emission Sources

Potential Impacts of Energy and Vehicle Transformation Through 2050 on Oxidative Stress-Inducing PM2.5 Metals Concentration in Japan

The impacts of renewable energy shifting, passenger car electrification, and lightweighting through 2050 on the atmospheric concentrations of PM2.5 total mass and oxidative stress-inducing metals (PM2.5-Fe, Cu, and Zn) in Japan were evaluated using a regional meteorology-chemistry model. The surface concentrations of PM2.5 total mass, Fe, Cu, and Zn in the urban area decreased by 8%, 13%, 18%, and 5%, respectively. Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have been considered to have no advantage in terms of non-exhaust PM emissions by previous studies. This is because the disadvantages (heavier weight increases tire wear, road wear, and resuspention) offset the advantages (regenerative braking system (RBS) reduces brake wear). However, the future lightweighting of drive battery and body frame were estimated to reduce all non-exhaust PM. Passenger car electrification only reduced PM2.5 concentration by 2%. However, Fe and Cu concentrations were more reduced (-8% and -13%, respectively) because they have high brake wear-derived and significantly reflects the benefits of BEV's RBS. The water-soluble fraction concentration of metals (induces oxidative stress in the body) was estimated based on aerosol acidity. The reduction of SOx, NOx, and NH3 emissions from on-road and thermal power plants slightly changed the aerosol acidity (pH ± 0.2). However, it had a negligible effect on water-soluble metal concentrations (maximum +2% for Fe and +0.5% for Cu and Zn). Therefore, the metal emissions reduction was more important than gaseous pollutants in decreasing the water-soluble metals that induces respiratory oxidative stress and passenger car electrification and lightweighting were effective means of achieving this.

Aerosol Iron from Metal Production as a Secondary Source of Bioaccessible Iron

Atmospheric iron (Fe) from anthropogenic, lithogenic, and pyrogenic sources contributes to ocean fertilization, climate change, and human health risk. However, significant uncertainties remain in the source apportionment due to a lack of source-specific evaluation of Fe-laden aerosols. Here, the large uncertainties in the model estimates are investigated using different Fe emissions from metal production. The best agreement in the anthropogenic factor of aerosol Fe concentrations with the field data in the downstream region of East Asian outflow (median: 0.026 μg m^-3) is obtained with the low case (0.023 μg m^-3), whereas the best agreement of aerosol Fe bioaccessibility with field data (4.5%) over oceans south of 45°S is obtained with the high case (4.9%). Our simulation with the low case confirms that anthropogenic aerosols play dominant roles in bioaccessible Fe deposition in the northwestern Pacific, compared to lithogenic sources. Our simulations with higher cases suggest that Fe-containing particles co-emitted with sulfur dioxide from metal production substantially contribute to atmospheric bioaccessible Fe fluxes to the Southern Ocean. These findings highlight that accurate representation of aerosol Fe from metal production is a key to reduce large uncertainties in bioaccessible Fe deposition fluxes to the Southern Ocean (0.7-4.4 Gg Fe year^-1).

Present Knowledge and Future Perspectives of Atmospheric Emission Inventories of Toxic Trace Elements: A Critical Review

Toxic trace elements (TEs) can pose serious risks to ecosystems and human health. However, a comprehensive understanding of atmospheric emission inventories for several concerning TEs has not yet been developed. In this study, we systematically reviewed the status and progress of existing research in developing atmospheric emission inventories of TEs focusing on global, regional, and sectoral scales. Multiple studies have strengthened our understanding of the global emission of TEs, despite attention being mainly focused on Hg and source classification in different studies showing large discrepancies. In contrast to those of developed countries and regions, the officially published emission inventory is still lacking in developing countries, despite the fact that studies on evaluating the emissions of TEs on a national scale or one specific source category have been numerous in recent years. Additionally, emissions of TEs emitted from waste incineration and traffic-related sources have produced growing concern with worldwide rapid urbanization. Although several studies attempt to estimate the emissions of TEs based on PM emissions and its source-specific chemical profiles, the emission factor approach is still the universal method. We call for more extensive and in-depth studies to establish a precise localization national emission inventory of TEs based on adequate field measurements and comprehensive investigation to reduce uncertainty.

Role of Dust and Iron Solubility in Sulfate Formation during the Long-Range Transport in East Asia Evidenced by 17O-Excess Signatures

Numerical models have been developed to elucidate air pollution caused by sulfate aerosols (SO₄^2-). However, typical models generally underestimate SO₄^2-, and oxidation processes have not been validated. This study improves the modeling of SO₄^2- formation processes using the mass-independent oxygen isotopic composition [¹⁷O-excess; Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-)], which reflects pathways from sulfur dioxide (SO₂) to SO₄^2-, at the background site in Japan throughout 2015. The standard setting in the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model captured SO₄^2- concentration, whereas Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) was underestimated, suggesting that oxidation processes were not correctly represented. The dust inline calculation improved Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) because dust-derived increases in cloud-water pH promoted acidity-driven SO₄^2- production, but Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) was still overestimated during winter as a result. Increasing solubilities of the transition-metal ions, such as iron, which are a highly uncertain modeling parameter, decreased the overestimated Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) in winter. Thus, dust and high metal solubility are essential factors for SO₄^2- formation in the region downstream of China. It was estimated that the remaining mismatch of Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) between the observation and model can be explained by the proposed SO₄^2- formation mechanisms in Chinese pollution. These accurately modeled SO₄^2- formation mechanisms validated by Δ¹⁷O(SO₄^2-) will contribute to emission regulation strategies required for better air quality and precise climate change predictions over East Asia.

Correlating soil nutrient test lead with bioaccessible lead in highly-contaminated soils receiving lead-immobilizing amendments

Lead (Pb) is one of the most common metals exceeding human health risk guidelines for soil concentrations worldwide. Pb bioaccessibility is known to vary depending on soil physiochemical characteristics and, as a result, in vitro and in vivo tests exist that are used to estimate bioaccessible Pb in contaminated soils. Although in vitro tests such as the relative bioaccessibility leaching procedure (RBALP) present simpler and more cost-effective risk assessments than in vivo methods, soil tests such as Mehlich-3, Modified Morgan, and ammonium bicarbonate-diethylenetriamine pentaacetate (AB-DTPA) extractions are extremely routine and even more cost-effective. Currently, there are few comparisons examining the viability of common soil nutrient tests for assessing Pb bioaccessibility in soils from contaminated sites with extremely high total Pb concentrations or for sites that have received amendments, such as those containing compost, iron, and/or phosphorus, intended to immobilize Pb. Here, we examine the correlation between RBALP Pb and Pb as determined using three commonly utilized soil tests, Mehlich-3, Modified Morgan, and AB-DTPA, in archived samples from one Pb-contaminated site receiving compost amendment (Seattle, WA, USA) and one extremely Pb-contaminated site receiving mixtures of compost, P, and Fe (Joplin, MO, USA). At both the Seattle and Joplin sites separately, RBALP Pb was significantly correlated with all three soil nutrient test values, regardless of soil amendment. However, RBALP was only significantly correlated with Modified Morgan and total Pb when examining the Joplin and Seattle data together, likely resulting from different factors controlling Pb solubility at the two sites. These findings suggest that a diverse suite of relatively inexpensive and accessible soil nutrient test methods correlate with bioaccessible Pb at a specific site, regardless of whether Pb-immobilizing amendments have been used.

Simulation of the transition metal-based cumulative oxidative potential in East Asia and its emission sources in Japan

The aerosol oxidative potential (OP) is considered to better represent the acute health hazards of aerosols than the mass concentration of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5). The proposed major contributors to OP are water soluble transition metals and organic compounds, but the relative magnitudes of these compounds to the total OP are not yet fully understood. In this study, as the first step toward the numerical prediction of OP, the cumulative OP (OP_tm*) based on the top five key transition metals, namely, Cu, Mn, Fe, V, and Ni, was defined. The solubilities of metals were assumed constant over time and space based on measurements. Then, the feasibility of its prediction was verified by comparing OP_tm* values based on simulated metals to that based on observed metals in East Asia. PM_2.5 typically consists of primary and secondary species, while OP_tm* only represents primary species. This disparity caused differences in the domestic contributions of PM_2.5 and OP_tm*, especially in large cities in western Japan. The annual mean domestic contributions of PM_2.5 were 40%, while those of OP_tm* ranged from 50 to 55%. Sector contributions to the OP_tm* emissions in Japan were also assessed. The main important sectors were the road brake and iron-steel industry sectors, followed by power plants, road exhaust, and railways.