Multi-state outcome analysis of treatments (MOAT): application of a new approach to evaluate outcomes in longitudinal studies of bipolar disorder

Impact of Selected Initial Titration Schedules on Safety and Long-Term Effectiveness of Lamotrigine for the Treatment of Mood Disorders

PURPOSE

Lamotrigine (LTG) is used for treatment of mood disorders, but it is associated with the risk of rash occurrence in the initial administration phase. Although slow titration reduces this risk, its effectiveness in the treatment of mood disorders has not been verified. The effects of titration method on the safety and effectiveness of LTG for the treatment of mood disorders were examined in this study.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 312 patients with mood disorders who underwent initiation of LTG therapy. Data regarding baseline demographics, titration schedules, concomitant medications, and time to and cause of discontinuation of LTG were collected. A multivariate analysis was used to evaluate the effects of the titration schedules. The 12-month effectiveness was also evaluated.

RESULTS

The 12-month discontinuation rate of LTG was 16.7%. The most frequent cause of discontinuation was development of a rash (47.7%, n = 312). Fast titration (adjusted odds ratio, 8.15) significantly increased the risk of rash development, and slow titration (adjusted odds ratio, 0.29) significantly decreased this risk. The time to all-cause discontinuation was not significantly different between the slow and standard titration groups (n = 303). After 12 months of treatment, the condition of 46.7% patients were rated much or very much improved using CGI-C.

CONCLUSIONS

Although slow titration of LTG reduces the occurrence of a rash, it is not more effective than standard titration in the long term. Optimizing the initial LTG titration schedule for patients with mood disorders is challenging.

A taxonomy of clinical response to mood stabilizers

INTRODUCTION

Although clinical practice guidelines (CPG) identify first, second- and third-line mood stabilizer (MS) treatments, they rarely define clinical response to prophylaxis or the core issues to be considered. This project aimed to develop a template for describing how clinical response may be classified and a framework to assist decision-making and monitoring of response in day-to-day practice.

METHOD

A scoping exercise was undertaken followed by narrative synthesis of (a) qualitative and quantitative definitions of MS response applied in clinical and research practice and (b) potential confounders (eg, non-adherence; tolerability issues) of relevance to routine practice, for example, the concepts are applicable to individuals with bipolar disorder for whom sustained remission is a less realistic goal. Expert consensus was employed to develop a taxonomy of response and key concepts that inform clinical judgements about MS response.

RESULTS

Five core constructs can be used to systematize clinical judgements regarding MS response and its monitoring: (a) quantitative, qualitative and/or patient-reported outcome measures (PROMS), (b) personalized assessment of the acceptable benefit-to-harm ratio of a proposed treatment, (c) adequacy of treatment exposure (dose, duration, therapeutic monitoring and adherence), (d) illness activity pre- and post-MS initiation, and (e) other potential confounders (co-prescription of MS; polypharmacy) or protective factors (eg, psychosocial factors).

CONCLUSIONS

This heuristic framework might be used as a teaching aid or by clinicians who wish to take a more systematic approach to developing shared criteria for judging MS response that better match patient expectations and preferences. Heuristic approaches also allow seamless introduction of new evidence.

Hamlet's augury: how to manage discontinuation of mood stabilizers in bipolar disorder

Research has generated good quality evidence about the treatment and management of bipolar disorder in acute and, to some degree, sub-acute/continuation phases. This has informed various guidelines about the treatment and management of bipolar disorder (BD). However, for the long-term or maintenance phase of illness, most guidelines peter out and, in the absence of sufficiently high-quality research evidence, remain vague. This is particularly evident for the important clinical question of discontinuing mood stabilizing pharmacological agents after a period of remission has been achieved. The aim of this review is to put together current existing evidence about discontinuing mood stabilizers after a period of remission in order to come up with a structured and coherent strategy for managing such discontinuation and to make recommendations for future research. To this end, we reviewed the main relevant treatment guidelines and subsequent evidence following the publication of these guidelines. The current recommended long-term treatment of BD is usually considered within the same principles applicable to any chronic health condition (e.g. hypertension or diabetes) where the focus is on continuing treatment at minimum effective medication dose often life-long, switching to alternative choice of medication due to side-effects and very few, if any, indications for complete cessation. However, in the absence of strong evidence on long-term treatment and the high rate of non-concordance in BD, medication discontinuation is a very important aspect of the treatment that should be given due consideration at every aspect of the treatment.

Stage at which riluzole treatment prolongs survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a retrospective analysis of data from a dose-ranging study

Background

Riluzole is the only drug to prolong survival for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and, at a dose of 100 mg, was associated with a 35% reduction in mortality in a clinical trial. A key question is whether the survival benefit occurs at an early stage of disease, late stage, or is spread throughout the course of the disease. To address this question, we used the King's clinical staging system to do a retrospective analysis of data from the original dose-ranging clinical trial of riluzole.

Methods

In the original dose-ranging trial, patients were enrolled between December, 1992, and November, 1993, in Belgium, France, Germany, Spain, Canada, the USA, and the UK if they had probable or definite ALS as defined by the El Escorial criteria. The censor date for the riluzole survival data was set as the original study end date of Dec 31, 1994. For this analysis, King's clinical ALS stage was estimated from the electronic case record data of the modified Norris scale, UK Medical Research Council score for muscle strength, El Escorial category, vital capacity, and gastrostomy insertion data. The lowest allocated stage was 2 because the original trial only included patients with probable or definite ALS. We used a χ² test to assess the independence of stage at trial enrolment and treatment group, Kaplan-Meier product limit distribution to test the transition from each stage to subsequent stages, and Cox regression to confirm an effect of treatment group on time in stage, controlling for covariates. We did sensitivity analyses by combining treatment groups, using alternative strategies to stage, stratifying by stage at trial enrolment, and using multistate outcome analysis of treatments (MOAT).

Findings

We analysed the case records of all 959 participants from the original dose-ranging trial, 237 assigned to 50 mg/day riluzole, 236 to 100 mg/day, 244 to 200 mg/day, and 242 to daily placebo. Clinical stage at enrolment did not significantly differ between treatment groups (p=0·22). Time in stage 4 was longer for patients receiving 100 mg/day riluzole than for those receiving placebo (hazard ratio [HR] 0·55, 95% CI 0·36–0·83; log-rank p=0·037). Combining treatment groups and stratifying by stage at enrolment showed a similar result (HR 0·638, 95% CI 0·464–0·878; p=0·006), as did analysis with MOAT where the mean number of days spent in stage 4 was numerically higher for patients given riluzole at higher doses compared with patients receiving placebo. Time from stages 2 or 3 to subsequent stages or death did not differ between riluzole treatment groups and placebo (p=0·83 for stage 2 and 0·88 for stage 3).

Interpretation

We showed that riluzole prolongs survival in the last clinical stage of ALS; this finding needs to be confirmed in a prospective study, and treatment effects at stage 1 still need to be analysed. The ALS stage at which benefit occurs is important for counselling of patients before starting treatment. Staging should be used in future ALS clinical trials to assess the stage at which survival benefit occurs, and a similar approach could be used for other neurodegenerative diseases.

Funding

NIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, The European Union Joint Programme on Neurodegeneration, and the King's Summer Undergraduate Studentship.

Analysis of bipolar maintenance treatment with lithium versus olanzapine utilizing Multi-state Outcome Analysis of Treatments (MOAT)

OBJECTIVES

Survival analysis has superseded most other analytic techniques for maintenance treatment studies over recent decades, despite providing results based solely on a single time-point predefined event. The aim of the present study was to develop the Multi-state Outcome Analysis of Treatments (MOAT), to provide more pragmatic information for clinicians and investigators in guiding maintenance treatment decisions. The present study was one of two published studies on the development of MOAT procedures, involving a one-year comparison of olanzapine versus lithium in recently manic patients.

METHODS

MOAT partitions total survival time into clinically distinct periods that are operationally defined by cut points on established rating scales. For bipolar disorders, the clinical states are remission, subsyndromal and syndromal mania, mixed states, and subsyndromal and syndromal depression.

RESULTS

MOAT re-analyses of the clinical trial revealed clinically important findings not identified when utilizing Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. Compared to patients treated with lithium, patients taking olanzapine experienced significantly more time in subsyndromal depression. Patients taking lithium spent significantly more time in mixed states than did patients taking olanzapine.

CONCLUSIONS

MOAT provided detailed information on treatment outcomes that was not provided by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Its capability to identify and aggregate time in different clinical states of bipolar disorder may aid in identifying drug effects that are important in selecting and conducting maintenance treatment.

The use of antidepressants in bipolar disorder patients with depression

INTRODUCTION

The proportion of time that bipolar patients experience depressive symptoms and clinical states, with associated psychosocial impairment and elevated risk of suicide, is significantly greater than the time spent in manic/hypomanic forms of bipolar disorders. Yet, manic states and symptoms have been the focus and interest of most clinical research over the past quarter century. Not a single antidepressant approved for treatment of major depressive disorder, as monotherapy, has received regulatory approval for treatment of bipolar depression as monotherapy, despite their common use in bipolar depression.

AREAS COVERED

We reviewed randomized studies, particularly ones initially intended for registration purposes, and systematic treatment guidelines, in development of this guide to treatment decision and implementation of interventions for depression in bipolar disorders.

EXPERT OPINION

The Expert Opinion section emphasizes strategies, not individual agents. The efficacious performance of mood stabilizers and second-generation antipsychotics as a component of the strategy is strongly supported by published studies. However, this section relies largely on secondary publications and our combined clinical experience, as few randomized, blinded studies have had, as their focus, the comparison of combined regimens for depression. This article summarizes the design features and results of studies dealing with depressive features and intervention strategies for bipolar disorders. The emphasis of the recommendations is on pragmatic treatment decisions that clinicians can make to enhance the probability of both short and long term benefits for patients.