Early mortality and cardiovascular disease, varied association with body mass index and its changes in insulin-treated diabetes: a nationwide study

Associations Between Mid- to Late-Life Body Mass Index and Chronic Disease-Free Survival: A Nationwide Twin Study

BACKGROUND

Some studies have linked late-life overweight to a reduced mortality risk compared to normal body mass index (BMI). However, the impact of late-life overweight and its combination with mid-life BMI status on healthy survival remains unclear. We aimed to investigate whether and to what extent mid- and/or late-life overweight are associated with chronic disease-free survival.

METHODS

Within the Swedish Twin Registry, 11 597 chronic disease-free twins aged 60-79 years at baseline were followed up for 18 years. BMI (kg/m2) was recorded at baseline and 25-35 years before baseline (ie, midlife) and divided as underweight (<20), normal (≥20-25), overweight (≥25-30), and obese (≥30). Incident chronic diseases (cardiovascular diseases, type 2 diabetes, and cancer) and deaths were ascertained via registries. Chronic disease-free survival was defined as years lived until the occurrence of any chronic diseases or death. Data were analyzed using multistate survival analysis.

RESULTS

Of all participants, 5 640 (48.6%) were overweight/obese at baseline. During the follow-up, 8 772 (75.6%) participants developed at least 1 chronic disease or died. Compared to normal BMI, late-life overweight and obesity were associated with 1.1 (95% CI, 0.3, 2.0) and 2.6 (1.6, 3.5) years shorter chronic disease-free survival. Compared to normal BMI through mid- to late life, consistent overweight/obesity and overweight/obesity only in mid-life led to 2.2 (1.0, 3.4) and 2.6 (0.7, 4.4) years shorter disease-free survival, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Late-life overweight and obesity may shorten disease-free survival. Further research is needed to determine whether preventing overweight/obesity from mid- to late life might favor longer and healthier survival.

Body mass index and risk of all-cause mortality among elderly Chinese: An empirical cohort study based on CLHLS data

The aim of our study was to evaluate the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality among elderly Chinese. The subjects of our study were a cohort of 13 319 elderly Chinese enrolled between 2008 and 2018. Participants were classified in three groups: underweight (<18.5 kg/m²), normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m²), overweight and obese (≥25 kg/m²) according to different BMI levels. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to analyze the association between BMI grouping and the risk of mortality among the three groups and each corresponding subgroup. The restricted cubic spline regression was performed to investigate the variation tendency of BMI and mortality in different groups and subgroups. We found that the hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality in the underweight and the normal-weight groups were 1.213 and 1.104, respectively, compared with those in the overweight and obesity groups. HR for mortality decreased as BMI increased, although this phenomenon was not observed as not a linear relationship in all participants. Nonetheless, this nonlinear relationship was significant in type 2 diabetes patients. Among subjects with non-type 2 diabetes, the shape of the negative curve, reflecting the HR for BMI and mortality, decreased when BMI increased. Our findings suggest that an obesity paradox exists in non-type 2 diabetes patients, in which BMI has a nonlinear negative relationship with mortality. Conversely, in type 2 diabetes patients there is a U-shaped association. Obesity may thus be protective for all-cause mortality among non-diabetic older populations.

Low Household Income Status and Death from Pneumonia in People with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Nationwide Study

BACKGRUOUND

We explored the risk of death from pneumonia according to cumulative duration in low household income state (LHIS) among adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

Using Korean National Health Insurance Service data (2002 to 2018), the hazards of mortality from pneumonia were analyzed according to duration in LHIS (being registered to Medical Aid) during the 5 years before baseline (0, 1-4, and 5 years) among adults with T2DM who underwent health examinations between 2009 and 2012 (n=2,503,581). Hazards of outcomes were also compared in six groups categorized by insulin use and duration in LHIS.

RESULTS

During a median 7.18 years, 12,245 deaths from pneumonia occurred. Individuals who had been exposed to LHIS had higher hazards of death from pneumonia in a dose-response manner (hazard ratio [HR], 1.726; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.568 to 1.899 and HR, 4.686; 95% CI, 3.948 to 5.562 in those exposed for 1-4 and 5 years, respectively) compared to the non-exposed reference. Insulin users exposed for 5 years to LHIS exhibited the highest outcome hazard among six groups categorized by insulin use and duration in LHIS.

CONCLUSION

Among adults with T2DM, cumulative duration in LHIS may predict increased risks of mortality from pneumonia in a graded dose-response manner. Insulin users with the longest duration in LHIS might be the group most vulnerable to death from pneumonia among adults with T2DM.

The association between changes in hepatic steatosis and hepatic fibrosis with cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in patients with New-Onset type 2 Diabetes: A nationwide cohort study

AIM

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have a synergistic effect on cardiovascular disease (CVD). We investigated the association of changes in hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis with risk of CVD and mortality in new-onset T2DM.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance dataset, we included 120,256 patients with new-onset T2DM. Hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis were determined using the fatty liver index (FLI) and BARD score. According to the changes of the two scores over two years, patients were divided into four groups and analyzed for development of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure (HF), and mortality.

RESULTS

Incident hepatic steatosis was associated with increased development of stroke, HF, and mortality compared with non-NAFLD (all p < 0.05). Regression and persistent hepatic steatosis were associated with increased risk of MI, stroke, HF, and mortality compared with non-NAFLD (all p < 0.05). Persistent advanced hepatic fibrosis was associated with increased risk of stroke, HF, and mortality (all p < 0.05).) Compared with persistent hepatic fibrosis, regression of hepatic fibrosis was associated with decreased risk of stroke, HF, and mortality (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in FLI or BARD score were associated with CVD and mortality in new-onset T2DM.

Longitudinal transition of body mass index status and its associated factors among Chinese middle-aged and older adults in Markov model

Introduction

Body mass index (BMI) has a strong correlation with chronic diseases and all-cause mortality. However, few studies have previously reported the longitudinal transition of BMI status and its influential factors, especially among Chinese middle-aged and older adults.

Methods

This population-based cohort study involved 6,507 participants derived from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2011 to 2015, including objectively measured BMI recorded in 26,028 person-year of all observations followed up. Multistate Markov model was performed to estimate the BMI state transition intensity and hazard ratios of each potential exposure risk.

Results

The mean intensity of the population that shifted from normal to overweight was more than twice than shifted to underweight. Besides, a predicted probability was up to 16.16% that the population with overweight would suffer from obesity and more than half of the population with underweight would return to normal weight over a 6-year interval. The study also implied significant effects of baseline age, gender, marital status, education level, alcohol consumption, smoking, depression symptoms, and activities of daily living impairment on BMI status transition to varying degrees.

Conclusions

Findings of this study indicated that the mean transition probability between different BMI statuses varied, specific exposure factors serving as barriers or motivators to future transitions based on current BMI status was clarified for the health promotion strategies.

Association Between Weight Change and Increased Likelihood of Abdominal Aortic Calcification Among Men

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to explore the effect of weight change on abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) among men.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the 2013 to 2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Self-reported cardiovascular disease patients were excluded. Lateral spine images were used to quantify AAC score and severe AAC was defined as a AAC score greater than 6. Weight change over a 10-year period was defined as long-term weight change, and weight change over a 1-year period was defined as short-term weight change. The relationship between long-term and short-term weight change with AAC grade was estimated by using multivariable regression analysis and subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

After adjusting for covariates, weight gain, especially severe weight gain (> 10 kg), was associated with increased likelihood of AAC and severe AAC both in the short term (1 year) and long term (10 years) among men when compared to stable weight change, while long-term weight loss could also lead to an increased likelihood of AAC and severe AAC.

CONCLUSION

Stable body weight might be a predictor of a lower risk of AAC and severe AAC among men in the long term and short term.

Associations Between Healthy Lifestyle Trajectories and the Incidence of Cardiovascular Disease With All-Cause Mortality: A Large, Prospective, Chinese Cohort Study

Background: Lifestyles generally change across the life course yet no prospective study has examined direct associations between healthy lifestyle trajectories and subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) or all-cause mortality risk. Methods: Healthy lifestyle score trajectories during 2006-2007, 2008-2009, and 2010-2011 were collated through latent mixture modeling. An age-scale based Cox proportional hazard regression model was implemented to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for developing CVD or all-cause mortality across healthy lifestyle trajectories. Results: 52,248 participants were included with four distinct trajectories identified according to healthy lifestyle scores over 6 years i.e., low-stable (n = 11,248), high-decreasing (n = 7,374), low-increasing (n = 7,828), and high-stable (n = 25,799). Compared with the low-stable trajectory, the high-stable trajectory negatively correlated with lower subsequent risk of developing CVD (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.65-0.81), especially stroke (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.62-0.79), and all-cause mortality (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.80-0.99) under a multivariable-adjusted model. A protective effect for CVD events was observed only in men and in those without diabetes, while a reduced risk of all-cause mortality was observed only in those older than 60 years, though interactions were not statistically significant. Marginally significant interactions were observed between the changing body mass index (BMI) group, healthy lifestyle score trajectories and stratified analysis. This highlighted an inverse correlation between the high-stable trajectory and CVD in BMI decreased and stable participants as well as all-cause mortality in the stable BMI group. The low-increasing trajectory also had reduced risk of CVD only when BMI decreased and in all-cause mortality only when BMI was stable. Conclusions: Maintaining a healthy lifestyle over 6 years corresponds with a 27% lower risk of CVD and an 11% lower risk in all-cause mortality, compared with those engaging in a consistently unhealthy lifestyle. The benefit of improving lifestyle could be gained only after BMI change is considered further. This study provides further evidence from China around maintaining/improving healthy lifestyles to prevent CVD and early death.