Analysis of polarimetric satellite measurements suggests stronger cooling due to aerosol-cloud interactions

Constraining effects of aerosol-cloud interaction by accounting for coupling between cloud and land surface

Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACIs) are vital for regulating Earth's climate by influencing energy and water cycles. Yet, effects of ACI bear large uncertainties, evidenced by systematic discrepancies between observed and modeled estimates. This study quantifies a major bias in ACI determinations, stemming from conventional surface or space measurements that fail to capture aerosol at the cloud level unless the cloud is coupled with land surface. We introduce an advanced approach to determine radiative forcing of ACI by accounting for cloud-surface coupling. By integrating field observations, satellite data, and model simulations, this approach reveals a drastic alteration in aerosol vertical transport and ACI effects caused by cloud coupling. In coupled regimes, aerosols enhance cloud droplet number concentration across the boundary layer more homogeneously than in decoupled conditions, under which aerosols from the free atmosphere predominantly affect cloud properties, leading to marked cooling effects. Our findings spotlight cloud-surface coupling as a key factor for ACI quantification, hinting at potential underassessments in traditional estimates.

Global Health and Climate Effects of Organic Aerosols from Different Sources

The impact of aerosols on human health and climate is well-recognized, yet many studies have only focused on total PM2.5 or changes from anthropogenic activities. This study quantifies the health and climate effects of organic aerosols (OA) from anthropogenic, biomass burning, and biogenic sources. Using two atmospheric chemistry models, CAM-chem and GEOS-Chem, our findings reveal that anthropogenic primary OA (POA) has the highest efficiency for health effects but the lowest for direct radiative effects due to spatial and temporal variations associated with population and surface albedo. The treatment of POA as nonvolatile or semivolatile also influences these efficiencies through different chemical processes. Biogenic OA shows moderate efficiency for health effects and the highest for direct radiative effects but has the lowest efficiency for indirect effects due to the reduced high cloud, caused by stabilized temperature profiles from aerosol-radiation interactions in biogenic OA-rich regions. Biomass burning OA is important for cloud radiative effect changes in remote atmospheres due to its ability to be transported further than other OAs. This study highlights the importance of not only OA characteristics such as toxicity and refractive index but also atmospheric processes such as transport and chemistry in determining health and climate impact efficiencies.

Multi-campaign ship and aircraft observations of marine cloud condensation nuclei and droplet concentrations

In-situ marine cloud droplet number concentrations (CDNCs), cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), and CCN proxies, based on particle sizes and optical properties, are accumulated from seven field campaigns: ACTIVATE; NAAMES; CAMP2EX; ORACLES; SOCRATES; MARCUS; and CAPRICORN2. Each campaign involves aircraft measurements, ship-based measurements, or both. Measurements collected over the North and Central Atlantic, Indo-Pacific, and Southern Oceans, represent a range of clean to polluted conditions in various climate regimes. With the extensive range of environmental conditions sampled, this data collection is ideal for testing satellite remote detection methods of CDNC and CCN in marine environments. Remote measurement methods are vital to expanding the available data in these difficult-to-reach regions of the Earth and improving our understanding of aerosol-cloud interactions. The data collection includes particle composition and continental tracers to identify potential contributing CCN sources. Several of these campaigns include High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL) and polarimetric imaging measurements and retrievals that will be the basis for the next generation of space-based remote sensors and, thus, can be utilized as satellite surrogates.

Method for improving the measurement accuracy of binocular stereo vision in a scattering environment

In the scattering environment, binocular stereo vision measurement technology produces large errors due to the change of refractive index of the imaging light path and the decrease in target image contrast. To address this problem, this paper proposes a method for improving the measurement accuracy of binocular stereo vision in a scattering environment combined with polarization imaging theory. First, scattering images with different polarization directions are obtained and filtered by a Gaussian low-pass filter to calculate the degree of polarization and angle of polarization. Then, the scattered light intensity is calculated by using polarization information to obtain images after removing the scattering. Second, feature extraction and matching are carried out for the images after scattering removal. Finally, the target is measured based on the binocular stereo vision measurement model. The experimental results show that when the scattering concentration is high enough, the conventional method can no longer perform measurement, but the method proposed in this paper can still obtain the target parameters at this time, and can also improve measurement accuracy by at least 46.30%. In conclusion, the proposed method provides a valuable reference to improve the accuracy of binocular stereo vision measurement in a scattering environment by reducing the interference of scattering light.

Assessment of CALIOP-Derived CCN Concentrations by In Situ Surface Measurements

The satellite-based cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) proxies used to quantify the aerosol-cloud interactions (ACIs) are column integrated and do not guarantee the vertical co-location of aerosols and clouds. This has encouraged the use of height-resolved measurements of spaceborne lidars for ACI studies and led to advancements in lidar-based CCN retrieval algorithms. In this study, we present a comparison between the number concentration of CCN (nCCN) derived from ground-based in situ and spaceborne lidar cloud-aerosol lidar with orthogonal polarization (CALIOP) measurements. On analysing their monthly time series, we found that about 88% of CALIOP nCCN estimates remained within a factor of 1.5 of the in situ measurements. Overall, the CALIOP estimates of monthly nCCN were in good agreement with the in situ measurements with a normalized mean error of 71%, normalized mean bias of 39% and correlation coefficient of 0.68. Based on our comparison results, we point out the necessary measures that should be considered for global nCCN retrieval. Our results show the competence of CALIOP in compiling a global height- and type-resolved nCCN dataset for use in ACI studies.

Machine-Learning Based Analysis of Liquid Water Path Adjustments to Aerosol Perturbations in Marine Boundary Layer Clouds Using Satellite Observations

Changes in marine boundary layer cloud (MBLC) radiative properties in response to aerosol perturbations are largely responsible for uncertainties in future climate predictions. In particular, the relationship between the cloud droplet number concentration (Nd, a proxy for aerosol) and the cloud liquid water path (LWP) remains challenging to quantify from observations. In this study, satellite observations from multiple polar-orbiting platforms for 2006–2011 are used in combination with atmospheric reanalysis data in a regional machine learning model to predict changes in LWP in MBLCs in the Southeast Atlantic. The impact of predictor variables on the model output is analysed using Shapley values as a technique of explainable machine learning. Within the machine learning model, precipitation fraction, cloud top height, and Nd are identified as important cloud state predictors for LWP, with dynamical proxies and sea surface temperature (SST) being the most important environmental predictors. A positive nonlinear relationship between LWP and Nd is found, with a weaker sensitivity at high cloud droplet concentrations. This relationship is found to be dependent on other predictors in the model: Nd–LWP sensitivity is higher in precipitating clouds and decreases with increasing SSTs.

Hygroscopic properties of particulate matter and effects of their interactions with weather on visibility

The hygroscopic property of particulate matter (PM) influencing light scattering and absorption is vital for determining visibility and accurate sensing of PM using a low-cost sensor. In this study, we examined the hygroscopic properties of coarse PM (CPM) and fine PM (FPM; PM_2.5) and the effects of their interactions with weather factors on visibility. A censored regression model was built to investigate the relationships between CPM and PM_2.5 concentrations and weather observations. Based on the observed and modeled visibility, we computed the optical hygroscopic growth factor, \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$f\left( {RH} \right)$$\end{document}fRH, and the hygroscopic mass growth, \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$GM_{VIS}$$\end{document}GMVIS, which were applied to PM_2.5 field measurement using a low-cost PM sensor in two different regions. The results revealed that the CPM and PM_2.5 concentrations negatively affect visibility according to the weather type, with substantial modulation of the interaction between the relative humidity (RH) and PM_2.5. The modeled \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$f\left( {RH} \right)$$\end{document}fRH agreed well with the observed \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$f\left( {RH} \right)$$\end{document}fRH in the RH range of the haze and mist. Finally, the RH-adjusted PM_2.5 concentrations based on the visibility-derived hygroscopic mass growth showed the accuracy of the low-cost PM sensor improved. These findings demonstrate that in addition to visibility prediction, relationships between PMs and meteorological variables influence light scattering PM sensing.

Cloud drop number concentrations over the western North Atlantic Ocean: seasonal cycle, aerosol interrelationships, and other influential factors

Cloud drop number concentrations (N _d) over the western North Atlantic Ocean (WNAO) are generally highest during the winter (DJF) and lowest in summer (JJA), in contrast to aerosol proxy variables (aerosol optical depth, aerosol index, surface aerosol mass concentrations, surface cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations) that generally peak in spring (MAM) and JJA with minima in DJF. Using aircraft, satellite remote sensing, ground-based in situ measurement data, and reanalysis data, we characterize factors explaining the divergent seasonal cycles and furthermore probe into factors influencing N _d on seasonal timescales. The results can be summarized well by features most pronounced in DJF, including features associated with cold-air outbreak (CAO) conditions such as enhanced values of CAO index, planetary boundary layer height (PBLH), low-level liquid cloud fraction, and cloud-top height, in addition to winds aligned with continental outflow. Data sorted into high- and low-N _d days in each season, especially in DJF, revealed that all of these conditions were enhanced on the high-N _d days, including reduced sea level pressure and stronger wind speeds. Although aerosols may be more abundant in MAM and JJA, the conditions needed to activate those particles into cloud droplets are weaker than in colder months, which is demonstrated by calculations of the strongest (weakest) aerosol indirect effects in DJF (JJA) based on comparing N _d to perturbations in four different aerosol proxy variables (total and sulfate aerosol optical depth, aerosol index, surface mass concentration of sulfate). We used three machine learning models and up to 14 input variables to infer about most influential factors related to N _d for DJF and JJA, with the best performance obtained with gradient-boosted regression tree (GBRT) analysis. The model results indicated that cloud fraction was the most important input variable, followed by some combination (depending on season) of CAO index and surface mass concentrations of sulfate and organic carbon. Future work is recommended to further understand aspects uncovered here such as impacts of free tropospheric aerosol entrainment on clouds, degree of boundary layer coupling, wet scavenging, and giant CCN effects on aerosol-N _d relationships, updraft velocity, and vertical structure of cloud properties such as adiabaticity that impact the satellite estimation of N _d.

Significant underestimation of radiative forcing by aerosol-cloud interactions derived from satellite-based methods

Satellite-based estimates of radiative forcing by aerosol-cloud interactions (RF_aci) are consistently smaller than those from global models, hampering accurate projections of future climate change. Here we show that the discrepancy can be substantially reduced by correcting sampling biases induced by inherent limitations of satellite measurements, which tend to artificially discard the clouds with high cloud fraction. Those missed clouds exert a stronger cooling effect, and are more sensitive to aerosol perturbations. By accounting for the sampling biases, the magnitude of RFaci (from -0.38 to -0.59 W m^-2) increases by 55 % globally (133 % over land and 33 % over ocean). Notably, the RF_aci further increases to -1.09 W m^-2 when switching total aerosol optical depth (AOD) to fine-mode AOD that is a better proxy for CCN than AOD. In contrast to previous weak satellite-based RF_aci, the improved one substantially increases (especially over land), resolving a major difference with models.

A First Case Study of CCN Concentrations from Spaceborne Lidar Observations

We present here the first cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentration profiles derived from measurements with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) aboard the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO), for different aerosol types at a supersaturation of 0.15%. CCN concentrations, along with the corresponding uncertainties, were inferred for a nighttime CALIPSO overpass on 9 September 2011, with coincident observations with the Facility for Airborne Atmospheric Measurements (FAAM) BAe-146 research aircraft, within the framework of the Evaluation of CALIPSO’s Aerosol Classification scheme over Eastern Mediterranean (ACEMED) research campaign over Thessaloniki, Greece. The CALIPSO aerosol typing is evaluated, based on data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) reanalysis. Backward trajectories and satellite-based fire counts are used to examine the origin of air masses on that day. Our CCN retrievals are evaluated against particle number concentration retrievals at different height levels, based on the ACEMED airborne measurements and compared against CCN-related retrievals from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensors aboard Terra and Aqua product over Thessaloniki showing that it is feasible to obtain CCN concentrations from CALIPSO, with an uncertainty of a factor of two to three.

Surprising similarities in model and observational aerosol radiative forcing estimates

The radiative forcing from aerosols (particularly through their interaction with clouds) remains one of the most uncertain components of the human forcing of the climate. Observation-based studies have typically found a smaller aerosol effective radiative forcing than in model simulations and were given preferential weighting in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). With their own sources of uncertainty, it is not clear that observation-based estimates are more reliable. Understanding the source of the model and observational differences is thus vital to reduce uncertainty in the impact of aerosols on the climate. These reported discrepancies arise from the different methods of separating the components of aerosol forcing used in model and observational studies. Applying the observational decomposition to global climate model (GCM) output, the two different lines of evidence are surprisingly similar, with a much better agreement on the magnitude of aerosol impacts on cloud properties. Cloud adjustments remain a significant source of uncertainty, particularly for ice clouds. However, they are consistent with the uncertainty from observation-based methods, with the liquid water path adjustment usually enhancing the Twomey effect by less than 50%. Depending on different sets of assumptions, this work suggests that model and observation-based estimates could be more equally weighted in future synthesis studies.

Use of A Neural Network-Based Ocean Body Radiative Transfer Model for Aerosol Retrievals from Multi-Angle Polarimetric Measurements

For aerosol retrieval from multi-angle polarimetric (MAP) measurements over the ocean it is important to accurately account for the contribution of the ocean-body to the top-of-atmosphere signal, especially for wavelengths <500 nm. Performing online radiative transfer calculations in the coupled atmosphere ocean system is too time consuming for operational retrieval algorithms. Therefore, mostly lookup-tables of the ocean body reflection matrix are used to represent the lower boundary in an atmospheric radiative transfer model. For hyperspectral measurements such as those from Spectro-Polarimeter for Planetary Exploration (SPEXone) on the NASA Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud and ocean Ecosystem (PACE) mission, also the use of look-up tables is unfeasible because they will become too big. In this paper, we propose a new method for aerosol retrieval over ocean from MAP measurements using a neural network (NN) to model the ocean body reflection matrix. We apply the NN approach to synthetic SPEXone measurements and also to real data collected by SPEX airborne during the Aerosol Characterization from Polarimeter and Lidar (ACEPOL) campaign. We conclude that the NN approach is well capable for aerosol retrievals over ocean, introducing no significant error on the retrieved aerosol properties