Variations of Prevalence and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation and Oral Anticoagulation Rate According to Different Analysis Approaches

Validity of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, codes for atrial fibrillation/flutter in critically ill patients with sepsis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) are frequently seen in critically ill sepsis patients and are associated with poor outcomes. There is a need for further research, however, studies are limited due to challenges in identifying patient cohorts. Administrative data using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) are routinely used for identifying disease cohorts in large datasets. However, the validity of ICD-10 for AF/AFL remains unexplored in these populations.

METHODS

This validation study included 6554 adults with sepsis and septic shock admitted to the intensive care unit. We sought to determine whether ICD-10 coding could accurately identify patients with and without AF/AFL compared to manual chart review. We also evaluated whether the date of ICD-10 code entry could distinguish prevalent from incident AF/AFL, presuming codes dated during the index admission to be incident AF/AFL. A manual chart review was performed on 400 randomly selected patients for confirmation of AF/AFL, and validity was measured using sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

RESULTS

Among the 400 randomly selected patients, 293 lacked ICD-10 codes for AF/AFL. The manual chart review confirmed the absence of AF/AFL in 286 patients (NPV 97.3%, specificity 99.7%). Among the 107 patients with ICD-10 codes for AF/AFL, 106 were confirmed to have AF/AFL by manual chart review (PPV 99.1%, sensitivity 93.0%). Out of the 114 patients with confirmed AF/AFL, 44 had ICD-10 codes dated during the index admission. All 44 were confirmed to have AF/AFL, however, 18 patients had prior documentation of AF/AFL (incident AF/AFL: PPV 59.1%). Specificity for incident (95.1%) and prevalent (99.7%) AF/AFL were high; however, sensitivity was 76.5% and 77.5%, respectively.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

ICD-10 codes perform well in identifying clinical AF/AFL in critically ill sepsis. However, their temporal specificity in distinguishing incidents from prevalent AF/AFL is limited.

Birth cohort effects on diagnosed atrial fibrillation incidence: nationwide cohort study from 1980 to 2018

BACKGROUND

The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) shows substantial temporal trends, but the contribution of birth cohort effects is unknown. These effects refer to the relationship between birth year and the likelihood of developing AF. We aimed to assess trends in cumulative incidence of diagnosed AF across birth cohorts and to disentangle the effects of age, birth cohort and calendar period by using age-period-cohort analyses.

METHODS

In a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study, 4.7 million individuals were selected at a given index age (45, 55, 65 and 75 years) free of AF and followed up for diagnosed AF. For each index age, we assessed trends in 10-year cumulative incidence of AF across six 5-year birth cohorts. An age-period-cohort model was estimated using Poisson regression with constrained spline functions collapsing data into 1-year intervals across ages and calendar years.

RESULTS

Cumulative incidence of AF diagnosis increased across birth cohorts for all index ages (ptrend<0.001). Compared with the first birth cohort, the diagnosed AF incidence rate ratio in the last birth cohort was 3.0 (95% CI 2.9 to 3.2) for index age 45 years, 2.9 (2.8 to 3.0) for 55 years, 2.8 (2.7 to 2.8) for 65 years and 2.7 (2.6 to 2.7) for 75 years. Age-period-cohort analyses showed substantial birth cohort effects independent of age, with no clear period effect. Compared with individuals born in 1930, the diagnosed AF incidence rate was 0.125 smaller among individuals born in 1885 and was four times larger among individuals born in 1975.

CONCLUSION

Substantial birth cohort effects, independent of age and calendar period, influence trends in diagnosed AF incidence.

Comparison of metabolic and neurological comorbidities in Asian patients with psoriasis and atopic dermatitis

Although various comorbidities have been noted to be associated with atopic dermatitis (AD) and psoriasis, few studies have compared comorbidities between the two diseases, and little is known about whether these comorbidities vary by the subtypes of psoriasis. In this study of 1:1 age- and sex-matched pair analysis between patients diagnosed with either psoriasis or AD at Asan Medical Center between 1991 and 2020, comorbidities, as determined by the International Classification of Diseases-10 codes, and likelihood ratios of metabolic and neurologic comorbidities in psoriasis compared with AD were studied using a logistic regression model. Among a total of 14,128 patients, the psoriasis group had higher odds of obesity (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.49 [1.34-1.66]), hypertension (1.14 [1.03-1.26]), diabetes mellitus (1.46 [1.29-1.66]), chronic kidney disease (1.59 [1.22-2.08]), and Parkinson's disease (2.1 [1.15-3.83]) than the AD group. Subgroup analysis revealed that patients with plaque psoriasis had higher odds of obesity (1.18 [1.05-1.33]), hypertension (1.18 [1.06-1.32]), diabetes mellitus (1.53 [1.34-1.75]), chronic kidney disease (1.66 [1.26-2.17]), and Parkinson's disease (2.12 [1.16-3.88]) compared with AD. Meanwhile, guttate psoriasis was associated with higher odds of dementia (3.63 [1.06-12.40]) and patients with generalized pustular psoriasis showed higher odds of diabetes mellitus (5.42 [1.56-18.83]) compared with AD. In conclusion, Asian patients with all types of psoriasis should be closely monitored for the development of metabolic and neurologic diseases, especially men and those aged ≥ 40 years.

Real world long-term outcomes among adults undergoing transcatheter patent foramen closure with amplatzer PFO occluder

BACKGROUND

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is a congenital heart defect associated with an increased risk of cryptogenic stroke. We aimed to evaluate real-world outcomes of adult patients undergoing transcatheter PFO closure with the Amplatzer PFO Occluder.

METHODS

In this single centre, retrospective cohort study, we linked a detailed clinical registry with provincial administrative databases to obtain short and long-term outcomes. Validated algorithms were used to established baseline comorbidities and adverse outcomes.

RESULTS

Between 1999 and 2017, 479 patients had PFO closure with an Amplatzer PFO Occluder. The average age of the patients was 47.3 years (standard deviation (SD) = 12.4), and 54.7% were males. The procedural success was 100%, and 96% of patients were discharged on the same day. Any in-hospital complication was observed in 2.5% (n = 12) of patients. At 30 days post-discharge, 18% of patients had an ED visit and 5% a hospitalization. Over a mean follow-up of 9.1 (SD = 3.8) years, 4% experienced TIA, 1.5% stroke, and 7.6% atrial fibrillation. The composite outcome of stroke/TIA/death was observed in 10.9% of patients (1.22 events per 100 person-years). Patients >60 years old experienced higher rates of adverse events than younger patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large real-world cohort of patients with cryptogenic stroke, we observed excellent safety and effectiveness outcomes for PFO closure conducted with Amplatzer PFO Occluder, similar to randomized controlled trials or other long-term cohort studies. New onset atrial fibrillation was one of the most commonly adverse events. Future studies should investigate early post-discharge management of patients to prevent readmissions.

Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004–2018

Purpose

To estimate the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Denmark during 2004–2018 and to investigate whether methodological choices influence these estimates.

Patients and Methods

A register-based cohort study was conducted of all individuals aged ≥18 years in Denmark 2004–2018. The cumulative prevalence of AF at the end of the study period was calculated as the number of AF cases alive with at least one inpatient or two outpatient diagnoses during 1994–2018 divided by the number of Danish residents in 2018. Incidence rates were calculated as the number of annual AF cases with no previous diagnosis in the past 10 years (ie, a 10-year washout period) divided by the person-time contributed by the population free of AF on 1 January in the same calendar year. Furthermore, the influence of varying case definitions was investigated.

Results

The cumulative prevalence of AF was 3.0% in 2018. The incidence rate increased from 391 to 481 per 100,000 person-years (PYs) from 2004 to 2015 (1.7% average annual increase) after which it declined to 367 per 100,000 PYs in 2018 (8.5% average annual decrease). This pattern was observed in both sexes irrespective of age. Methodological choices, particularly the case definition’s strictness and the length of the washout period, had a substantial influence on the reported estimates.

Conclusion

The cumulative prevalence of AF is currently around 3.0% in the Danish population, but the incidence has declined since 2015. As these estimates are influenced by methodological choices, future studies should strive for precise reporting of study methodology.

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RETRACTED: Safety of radiofrequency ablation for reducing inflammatory cytokine levels and the left atrial diameter in patients with atrial fibrillation

Objective

To investigate the safety of radiofrequency ablation for reducing inflammatory cytokines and the left atrial diameter in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

A total of 200 patients with AF who were admitted to our hospital from December 2015 to April 2017 were included in this prospective analysis. Fifty patients were treated with conventional AF medication alone (AF medication group) and 50 patients received radiofrequency ablation (RFA) on the basis of conventional medication (RFA group).

Results

After treatment, the AF medication group showed significantly higher levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, carboxyterminal propeptide of type-I procollagen, procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide, and matrix metallopeptidase-9 than the RFA group. The AF medication group had a significantly lower activated partial thromboplastin time, thrombin time, and prothrombin time than the RFA group. A significantly smaller left atrial diameter was observed in both groups after treatment, but this decrease was more pronounced in the RFA group than in the AF medication group. The total treatment efficacy rate was significantly lower in the AF medication group than in the RFA group.

Conclusions

For patients with AF, RFA leads to a lower incidence of inflammatory responses, faster recovery of cardiac function, and good safety.

Prevalence and incidence rates of atrial fibrillation in Norway 2004-2014

Objective

To study time trends in incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the entire Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014, by age and sex, and to estimate the prevalence of AF at the end of the study period.

Methods

A national cohort of patients with AF (≥18 years) was identified from inpatient admissions with AF and deaths with AF as underlying cause (1994–2014), and AF outpatient visits (2008–2014) in the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) project. AF admissions or out-of-hospital death from AF, with no AF admission the previous 10 years defined incident AF. Age-standardised incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated. All AF cases identified through inpatient admissions and outpatient visits and alive as of 31 December 2014 defined AF prevalence.

Results

We identified 175 979 incident AF cases (30% primary diagnosis, 69% secondary diagnosis, 0.6% out-of-hospital deaths). AF IRs (95% confidence intervals) per 100 000 person years were stable from 2004 (433 (426–440)) to 2014 (440 (433–447)). IRs were stable or declining across strata of sex and age with the exception of an average yearly increase of 2.4% in 18–44 year-olds: IRR 1.024 (1.014–1.034). In 2014, the prevalence of AF in the adult population was 3.4%.

Conclusions

We found overall stable IRs of AF for the adult Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014. The prevalence of AF was 3.4% at the end of 2014, which is higher than reported in previous studies. Signs of an increasing incidence of early-onset AF (<45 years) are worrying and need further investigation.

Cardiovascular Research Using the Korean National Health Information Database

The Korean National Health Information Database (NHID) contains nationwide claims data, including sociodemographic data, health care utilization, health screening data, and healthcare provider information. To compensate for the limitations of randomized clinical trials, real-world observational studies using claims data have emerged as a novel research tool. We summarized the structure of the Korean NHID and the recent researches conducted in the field of cardiovascular science. Epidemiological studies, prescription patterns, temporal trends, comparison of effectiveness and safety of treatments, variability index using laboratory data, and rare intractable disease constitute interesting topics of research in cardiovascular science using the NHID. The operational definition of covariates and clinical outcomes is important for researchers interested in using the NHID data as new tools to prove their hypothesis. A step-by-step approach adopted by a team of data scientists, epidemiologists, statisticians, and clinical researchers may be most effective while designing research studies. The ultimate direction of research using the NHID should aim to improve the welfare of the public by promoting public health, reducing medical costs, and guiding healthcare policies.

The difference of burden of ectopic beats in different types of atrial fibrillation and the effect of atrial fibrillation type on stroke risk in a prospective cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation (CODE-AF registry)

The relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) type and stroke risk is still controversial. We investigated the difference of burden of atrial ectopic beats in different types of AF and the effect of the AF type on stroke risk in patients with non-valvular AF. In the prospective, multicenter observational registry with more than about 10,000 AF patients, 8883 non-valvular AF patients (mean age, 67.0 years; 36% were women) with eligible follow-up visits participated. We compared the burden of ectopic beats and stroke risk between patients with paroxysmal AF (n = 5,808) and non-paroxysmal AF (n = 3,075). The patients with a non-paroxysmal type of AF were older, male-predominant and had a higher prevalence of comorbidities and had more anticoagulation and rhythm control treatment than those with paroxysmal AF. In terms of the difference in burden of ectopic beats, patients with non-paroxysmal AF had a higher proportion of atrial premature beats (APBs) (paroxysmal vs. non-paroxysmal, median 3% vs. 5%; p = 0.001) in 24 hours Holter monitoring. During a median follow-up period of 16.8 months (Interquartile range [IQR], 11.67-20.52), a total of 82 (0.92%) patients experienced ischemic stroke with incidence rates of 0.50 and 1.09 events per 100 person-year for paroxysmal and non-paroxysmal AF, respectively. The cumulative incidence of stroke events was significantly higher in non-paroxysmal AF than in paroxysmal AF (p < 0.001). The risk of ischemic stroke was higher in non-paroxysmal AF with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-3.25; p = 0.001) than in paroxysmal AF. The type of AF was associated with an increased risk of stroke, along with the difference of burden of ectopic beats (specially in APBs) in different types of AF. These results suggest that the type of AF should be considered in stroke prevention and decision-making for oral anticoagulation in AF patients.

Social Inequalities of Oral Anticoagulation after the Introduction of Non-Vitamin K Antagonists in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Objectives

Nationwide social inequalities of oral anticoagulation (OAC) usage after the introduction of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have not been well identified in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study assessed overall rate and social inequalities of OAC usage after the introduction of NOAC in Korea.

Methods

Between January 2002 and December 2016, we identified 888,540 patients with AF in the Korea National Health Insurance system database. The change of OAC rate in different medical systems after the introduction of NOAC were evaluated.

Results

In all population, overall OAC use increased from 13.2% to 23.4% (p for trend <0.001), and NOAC use increased from 0% to 14.6% (p for trend <0.001). Compared with pre-reimbursement (0.48%), the annual increase of OAC use was significantly higher after partial (1.16%, p<0.001), and full reimbursement of OAC (3.72%, p<0.001). Full reimbursement of NOAC (adjusted odds ratio, 2.10; 95% confidence interval, 2.04–2.15) was independently associated with higher OAC use. However, the difference of overall OAC usage between tertiary referral hospitals and nursing or public health centers increased from 17.9% in 2010 to 36.8% in 2016. Moreover, usage rate of NOAC was significantly different among different medical systems from 37.2% at the tertiary referral hospital and 5.5% at nursing or public health centers.

Conclusions

Introduction of NOACs in routine practice for stroke prevention in AF was associated with improved rates of overall OAC use. However, significant practice-level variations in OAC and NOAC use remain producing social inequalities of OAC despite full reimbursement.

Prevalence and Associated Stroke Risk of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Infected Patients With Atrial Fibrillation - A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at increased risk of cardiovascular diseases. However, little is known regarding the risk of ischemic stroke in HIV-infected individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2016, we analyzed 962,116 patients with prevalent non-valvular AF aged ≥18 years. The overall HIV prevalence in AF patients was 0.17% (1,678 of 962,116). Oral anticoagulant (OAC)-naïve non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with HIV had increased risks of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.37; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.21-1.54], and major bleeding (adjusted HR 1.29; 95% CI, 1.15-1.46), compared with those without HIV. The incidence of ischemic stroke/SE in NVAF patients with HIV without any risk factors was similar to that of those without HIV at intermediate risk (i.e., male CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1) (2.04 vs. 2.18 events per 100 person-years). However, the use of OACs in AF patients with HIV was suboptimal, being only 8.9% at the time of AF diagnosis and 31.8% throughout the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

The risks of ischemic stroke/SE and major bleeding were significantly higher in HIV-infected patients compared with non-HIV-infected patients with AF. Despite this, the actual use of OACs among AF patients with HIV was suboptimal.

Healthcare Utilization and Costs Reduction after Radiofrequency Ablation For Atrial Fibrillation in the Brazilian Private Healthcare System

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia worldwide, with significantly associated hospitalizations. Considering its growing incidence, the AF related economic burden to healthcare systems is increasing. Healthcare expenditures might be substantially reduced after AF radiofrequency ablation (AFRA).

Objective

To compare resource utilization and costs before and after AFRA in a cohort of patients from the Brazilian private healthcare system.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study, based on patients’ billing information from an administrative database. Eighty-three adult patients who had an AFRA procedure between 2014 and 2015 were included. Healthcare resource utilization related to cardiovascular causes, including ambulatory and hospital care, as well as its costs, were analyzed. A p-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Mean follow-up was 14.7 ± 7.1 and 10.7 ± 5.4 months before and after AFRA, respectively. The 1-year AF recurrence-free rate was 83.6%. Before AFRA, median monthly total costs were Brazilian Reais (BRL) 286 (interquartile range [IQR]: 137-766), which decreased by 63.5% (p = 0.001) after the procedure, to BRL 104 (IQR: 57-232). Costs were reduced both in the emergency (by 58.6%, p < 0.001) and outpatient settings (by 56%, p < 0.001); there were no significant differences in the outpatient visits, inpatient elective admissions and elective admission costs before and after AFRA. The monthly median emergency department visits were reduced (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

In this cohort, overall healthcare costs were reduced by 63.5%. A longer follow-up could be useful to evaluate if long-term cost reduction is maintained.

High Detection Rate of Atrial Fibrillation With Insertable Cardiac Monitor Implantation in Patients With Cryptogenic Stroke Diagnosed by Magnetic Resonance Imaging

BACKGROUND

Detection and treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major goal in preventing secondary stroke. Insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) are available for diagnosis of arrhythmia monitoring in patients with cryptogenic stroke. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based diagnostic evaluation for acute ischemic stroke subtype classification is common in Japan and can be useful for specific diagnosis of cryptogenic stroke.

PURPOSE

We aimed to investigate the detection rate of AF with an ICM in patients with cryptogenic stroke who were diagnosed by MRI.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, multicenter, observational study. AF monitoring data of an ICM (Reveal LINQ) in patients with cryptogenic stroke were registered from 5 stroke centers in Japan between October 2016 and March 2018. ICM candidates in cryptogenic stroke were diagnosed by MRI-based evaluation and selected according to the criteria proposed by the Japan Stroke Society. Detection of AF was defined as AF for longer than 120 seconds.

RESULTS

Eighty-four consecutive patients (64 men; aged 38-90 years) underwent ICM implantation after diagnosis of cryptogenic stroke. AF was detected in 22 of 84 (26.2%) patients with an ICM during a median follow-up of 221.5 days (range: 93-365 days). The detection rate of AF within 3 months after ICM implantation was 21.4%.

CONCLUSIONS

The AF detection rate with an ICM is approximately one fifth within 3 months in patients with cryptogenic stroke as diagnosed by MRI. Our data suggest that the Japanese criteria based on MRI may be useful for selecting adequate candidates for ICM implantation.

Antithrombotic Medication and the Risk of Vitreous Hemorrhage in Atrial Fibrillation: Korean National Health Insurance Service National Cohort

PURPOSE

Antithrombotic therapy could be related with nuisance bleeding. This study investigated whether vitreous hemorrhage (VH) is associated with specific types of antithrombotic medication in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the Korean National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort, we identified 9352 antiplatelet/anticoagulant-treated AF patients. The occurrence of VH was compared between warfarin (n=1493) and a propensity score (PS)-matched antiplatelet group (n=1493) and between warfarin (n=1493) and a PS-matched warfarin+antiplatelet group (n=1493).

RESULTS

The outcomes of VH were lower in the warfarin than in the matched antiplatelet (1.45 vs. 3.72 events/1000 patient-years) and matched warfarin+antiplatelet groups (1.45 vs. 6.87 events/1000 patient-years). Compared with warfarin, the risk of VH increased with antiplatelet [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 3.90; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-12.4, p=0.022] and warfarin+antiplatelet agents (aHR 4.39, 95% CI 1.74-11.2, p=0.002). Compared with warfarin only, warfarin+antiplatelet agents increased the risk of VH in patients ≥65 years, regardless of gender and hypertension. The risk of VH was significantly higher with dual antiplatelet therapy (aHR: 5.02, 95% CI: 1.56-16.2, p=0.007) or in dual (aHR: 5.02, 95% CI: 1.74-14.5, p=0.003) or triple therapy using warfarin and antiplatelet agents than with warfarin monotherapy (aHR: 6.12, 95% CI: 1.76-21.3, p=0.004).

CONCLUSION

Dual antiplatelet or triple therapy increased the risk of VH significantly, compared to warfarin monotherapy. Considering the low efficacy of preventing ischemic stroke and high risk of bleeding, dual or triple therapy using warfarin and antiplatelet agents should be avoided to prevent VH in AF patients.

2018 Korean Guideline of Atrial Fibrillation Management

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia in the general population. The Korean Heart Rhythm Society organized a Korean AF Management Guideline Committee and analyzed all available studies regarding the management of AF, including studies on Korean patients. This guideline is based on recent data of the Korean population and the recent guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology, European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, American Heart Association, and Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society. Expert consensus or guidelines for the optimal management of Korean patients with AF were achieved after a systematic review with intensive discussion. This article provides general principles for appropriate risk stratification and selection of anticoagulation therapy in Korean patients with AF. This guideline deals with optimal stroke prevention, screening, rate and rhythm control, risk factor management, and integrated management of AF.