3
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Zheng Y, Chen Z, Huang S, Zhang N, Wang Y, Hong S, Chan JSK, Chen KY, Xia Y, Zhang Y, Lip GY, Qin J, Tse G, Liu T. Machine Learning in Cardio-Oncology: New Insights from an Emerging Discipline. Rev Cardiovasc Med 2023; 24:296. [PMID: 39077576 PMCID: PMC11273149 DOI: 10.31083/j.rcm2410296] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2023] [Revised: 05/13/2023] [Accepted: 05/16/2023] [Indexed: 07/31/2024] Open
Abstract
A growing body of evidence on a wide spectrum of adverse cardiac events following oncologic therapies has led to the emergence of cardio-oncology as an increasingly relevant interdisciplinary specialty. This also calls for better risk-stratification for patients undergoing cancer treatment. Machine learning (ML), a popular branch discipline of artificial intelligence that tackles complex big data problems by identifying interaction patterns among variables, has seen increasing usage in cardio-oncology studies for risk stratification. The objective of this comprehensive review is to outline the application of ML approaches in cardio-oncology, including deep learning, artificial neural networks, random forest and summarize the cardiotoxicity identified by ML. The current literature shows that ML has been applied for the prediction, diagnosis and treatment of cardiotoxicity in cancer patients. In addition, role of ML in gender and racial disparities for cardiac outcomes and potential future directions of cardio-oncology are discussed. It is essential to establish dedicated multidisciplinary teams in the hospital and educate medical professionals to become familiar and proficient in ML in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi Zheng
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Ziliang Chen
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Shan Huang
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Nan Zhang
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Yueying Wang
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Shenda Hong
- National Institute of Health Data Science at Peking University, Peking
University, 100871 Beijing, China
- Institute of Medical Technology, Peking University Health Science Center,
100871 Beijing, China
| | - Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan
- Cardio-Oncology Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Limited, 999077 Hong
Kong, China
| | - Kang-Yin Chen
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
| | - Yunlong Xia
- Department of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical
University, 116011 Dalian, Liaoning, China
| | - Yuhui Zhang
- Heart Failure Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease,
Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of
Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, 100037 Beijing, China
| | - Gregory Y.H. Lip
- Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool,
Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital, L69 3BX
Liverpool, UK
- Danish Center for Health Services Research, Department of Clinical Medicine,
Aalborg University, 999017 Aalborg, Denmark
| | - Juan Qin
- Section of Cardio-Oncology & Immunology, Division of Cardiology and the
Cardiovascular Research Institute, University of California San Francisco, San
Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Gary Tse
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
- Cardio-Oncology Research Unit, Cardiovascular Analytics Group, PowerHealth Limited, 999077 Hong
Kong, China
- School of Nursing and Health Studies, Hong Kong Metropolitan University,
999077 Hong Kong, China
| | - Tong Liu
- Tianjin Key Laboratory of Ionic-Molecular Function of Cardiovascular
Disease, Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Institute of Cardiology, Second
Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, 300211 Tianjin, China
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5
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de Paiva BBM, Pereira PD, de Andrade CMV, Gomes VMR, Souza-Silva MVR, Martins KPMP, Sales TLS, de Carvalho RLR, Pires MC, Ramos LEF, Silva RT, de Freitas Martins Vieira A, Nunes AGS, de Oliveira Jorge A, de Oliveira Maurílio A, Scotton ALBA, da Silva CTCA, Cimini CCR, Ponce D, Pereira EC, Manenti ERF, Rodrigues FD, Anschau F, Botoni FA, Bartolazzi F, Grizende GMS, Noal HC, Duani H, Gomes IM, Costa JHSM, di Sabatino Santos Guimarães J, Tupinambás JT, Rugolo JM, Batista JDL, de Alvarenga JC, Chatkin JM, Ruschel KB, Zandoná LB, Pinheiro LS, Menezes LSM, de Oliveira LMC, Kopittke L, Assis LA, Marques LM, Raposo MC, Floriani MA, Bicalho MAC, Nogueira MCA, de Oliveira NR, Ziegelmann PK, Paraiso PG, de Lima Martelli PJ, Senger R, Menezes RM, Francisco SC, Araújo SF, Kurtz T, Fereguetti TO, de Oliveira TC, Ribeiro YCNMB, Ramires YC, Lima MCPB, Carneiro M, Bezerra AFB, Schwarzbold AV, de Moura Costa AS, Farace BL, Silveira DV, de Almeida Cenci EP, Lucas FB, Aranha FG, Bastos GAN, Vietta GG, Nascimento GF, Vianna HR, Guimarães HC, de Morais JDP, Moreira LB, de Oliveira LS, de Deus Sousa L, de Souza Viana L, de Souza Cabral MA, Ferreira MAP, de Godoy MF, de Figueiredo MP, Guimarães-Junior MH, de Paula de Sordi MA, da Cunha Severino Sampaio N, Assaf PL, Lutkmeier R, Valacio RA, Finger RG, de Freitas R, Guimarães SMM, Oliveira TF, Diniz THO, Gonçalves MA, Marcolino MS. Potential and limitations of machine meta-learning (ensemble) methods for predicting COVID-19 mortality in a large inhospital Brazilian dataset. Sci Rep 2023; 13:3463. [PMID: 36859446 PMCID: PMC9975879 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-28579-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2021] [Accepted: 01/20/2023] [Indexed: 03/03/2023] Open
Abstract
The majority of early prediction scores and methods to predict COVID-19 mortality are bound by methodological flaws and technological limitations (e.g., the use of a single prediction model). Our aim is to provide a thorough comparative study that tackles those methodological issues, considering multiple techniques to build mortality prediction models, including modern machine learning (neural) algorithms and traditional statistical techniques, as well as meta-learning (ensemble) approaches. This study used a dataset from a multicenter cohort of 10,897 adult Brazilian COVID-19 patients, admitted from March/2020 to November/2021, including patients [median age 60 (interquartile range 48-71), 46% women]. We also proposed new original population-based meta-features that have not been devised in the literature. Stacking has shown to achieve the best results reported in the literature for the death prediction task, improving over previous state-of-the-art by more than 46% in Recall for predicting death, with AUROC 0.826 and MacroF1 of 65.4%. The newly proposed meta-features were highly discriminative of death, but fell short in producing large improvements in final prediction performance, demonstrating that we are possibly on the limits of the prediction capabilities that can be achieved with the current set of ML techniques and (meta-)features. Finally, we investigated how the trained models perform on different hospitals, showing that there are indeed large differences in classifier performance between different hospitals, further making the case that errors are produced by factors that cannot be modeled with the current predictors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bruno Barbosa Miranda de Paiva
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Computer Science Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Polianna Delfino Pereira
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil ,Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), R. Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, building 21, room 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Claudio Moisés Valiense de Andrade
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Computer Science Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Virginia Mara Reis Gomes
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Maira Viana Rego Souza-Silva
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Karina Paula Medeiros Prado Martins
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Thaís Lorenna Souza Sales
- grid.428481.30000 0001 1516 3599Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, R. Sebastião Gonçalves Coelho, 400, Divinópolis, Brazil
| | | | - Magda Carvalho Pires
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Department of Statistics, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, ICEx, room 4071, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Lucas Emanuel Ferreira Ramos
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Department of Statistics, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, ICEx, room 4071, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Rafael Tavares Silva
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Department of Statistics, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, ICEx, room 4071, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Daniela Ponce
- grid.410543.70000 0001 2188 478XFaculdade de Medicina de Botucatu-Universidade Estadual Paulista “Júlio de Mesquita Filho”, Av. Prof. Mário Rubens Guimarães Montenegro, s/n-UNESP-Campus de Botucatu, Botucatu, Brazil
| | | | | | - Fernanda d’Athayde Rodrigues
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, R. Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Fernando Anschau
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Frederico Bartolazzi
- Hospital Santo Antônio, Pç. Dr. Márcio Carvalho Lopes Filho, 501, Curvelo, Brazil
| | - Genna Maira Santos Grizende
- grid.477816.b0000 0004 4692 337XHospital Santa Casa de Misericórdia de Belo Horizonte, Av. Francisco Sales, 1111, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Helena Carolina Noal
- grid.411239.c0000 0001 2284 6531Universidade Federal de Santa Maria/Hospital Universitário/EBSERH, Av. Roraima, 1000, building 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | - Helena Duani
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Isabela Moraes Gomes
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Juliana Machado Rugolo
- grid.410543.70000 0001 2188 478XFaculdade de Medicina de Botucatu-Universidade Estadual Paulista “Júlio de Mesquita Filho”, Av. Prof. Mário Rubens Guimarães Montenegro, s/n-UNESP-Campus de Botucatu, Botucatu, Brazil
| | - Joanna d’Arc Lyra Batista
- grid.440565.60000 0004 0491 0431Universidade Federal da Fronteira Sul, Av. Fernando Machado, 108E, Chapecó, Brazil
| | | | - José Miguel Chatkin
- grid.411379.90000 0001 2198 7041Hospital São Lucas PUCRS, Av. Ipiranga, 6690, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Karen Brasil Ruschel
- grid.414871.f0000 0004 0491 7596Hospital Mãe de Deus, R. José de Alencar, 286, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Luanna Silva Monteiro Menezes
- Hospital Metropolitano Odilon Behrens, R. Formiga, 50, Belo Horizonte, Brazil ,Hospital Luxemburgo, R. Gentios, 1350, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | - Luciane Kopittke
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Luisa Argolo Assis
- grid.412520.00000 0001 2155 6671Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais, Av. Dom José Gaspar, 500, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Luiza Margoto Marques
- grid.419130.e0000 0004 0413 0953Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Al. Ezequiel Dias, 275, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Magda Cesar Raposo
- grid.428481.30000 0001 1516 3599Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, R. Sebastião Gonçalves Coelho, 400, Divinópolis, Brazil
| | - Maiara Anschau Floriani
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, R. Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil ,Moinhos Research Institute, 910 Ramiro Barcelos Street, 5 floor, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Maria Aparecida Camargos Bicalho
- grid.452464.50000 0000 9270 1314Fundação Hospitalar do Estado de Minas Gerais–FHEMIG, Cidade Administrativa de Minas Gerais, Edifício Gerais, 13rd floor, Rod. Papa João Paulo II, 3777, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | - Neimy Ramos de Oliveira
- grid.452464.50000 0000 9270 1314Hospital Eduardo de Menezes, R. Dr. Cristiano Rezende, 2213, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Roberta Senger
- grid.411239.c0000 0001 2284 6531Universidade Federal de Santa Maria/Hospital Universitário/EBSERH, Av. Roraima, 1000, building 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Tatiana Kurtz
- Hospital Santa Cruz, R. Fernando Abott, 174, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil
| | - Tatiani Oliveira Fereguetti
- grid.452464.50000 0000 9270 1314Hospital Eduardo de Menezes, R. Dr. Cristiano Rezende, 2213, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | - Marcelo Carneiro
- Hospital Santa Cruz, R. Fernando Abott, 174, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil
| | | | - Alexandre Vargas Schwarzbold
- grid.411239.c0000 0001 2284 6531Universidade Federal de Santa Maria/Hospital Universitário/EBSERH, Av. Roraima, 1000, building 22, Santa Maria, Brazil
| | | | - Barbara Lopes Farace
- grid.490178.3Hospital Risoleta Tolentino Neves, R. das Gabirobas, 01, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | - Gisele Alsina Nader Bastos
- grid.414856.a0000 0004 0398 2134Hospital Moinhos de Vento, R. Ramiro Barcelos, 910, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Leila Beltrami Moreira
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, R. Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Máderson Alvares de Souza Cabral
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Maria Angélica Pires Ferreira
- grid.414449.80000 0001 0125 3761Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, R. Ramiro Barcelos, 2350, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Mariana Frizzo de Godoy
- grid.411379.90000 0001 2198 7041Hospital São Lucas PUCRS, Av. Ipiranga, 6690, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Mônica Aparecida de Paula de Sordi
- grid.410543.70000 0001 2188 478XFaculdade de Medicina de Botucatu-Universidade Estadual Paulista “Júlio de Mesquita Filho”, Av. Prof. Mário Rubens Guimarães Montenegro, s/n-UNESP-Campus de Botucatu, Botucatu, Brazil
| | | | - Pedro Ledic Assaf
- Hospital Metropolitano Doutor Célio de Castro, R. Dona Luiza, 311, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Raquel Lutkmeier
- grid.414914.dHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição and Hospital Cristo Redentor, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | | | - Rufino de Freitas
- Hospital São João de Deus, R. do Cobre, 800, São João de Deus, Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Marcos André Gonçalves
- grid.8430.f0000 0001 2181 4888Computer Science Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Milena Soriano Marcolino
- Institute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/ CNPq), R. Ramiro Barcelos, 2359, building 21, room 507, Porto Alegre, Brazil. .,Medical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 190, room 246, Belo Horizonte, Brazil. .,Telehealth Center, University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Avenida Professor Alfredo Balena, 110 room 107. Santa Efigênia, Belo Horizonte, MG, CEP 30130-100, Brazil.
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