Prediction model for early graft failure after liver transplantation using aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin and coagulation factor

Advancements in Predictive Tools for Primary Graft Dysfunction in Liver Transplantation: A Comprehensive Review

Orthotopic liver transplantation stands as the sole curative solution for end-stage liver disease. Nevertheless, the discrepancy between the demand and supply of grafts in transplant medicine greatly limits the success of this treatment. The increasing global shortage of organs necessitates the utilization of extended criteria donors (ECD) for liver transplantation, thereby increasing the risk of primary graft dysfunction (PGD). Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) encompasses early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and the more severe primary nonfunction (PNF), both of which stem from ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) and mitochondrial damage. Currently, the only effective treatment for PNF is secondary transplantation within the initial post-transplant week, and the occurrence of EAD suggests an elevated, albeit still uncertain, likelihood of retransplantation urgency. Nonetheless, the ongoing exploration of novel IRI mitigation strategies offers hope for future improvements in PGD outcomes. Establishing an intuitive and reliable tool to predict upcoming graft dysfunction is vital for early identification of high-risk patients and for making informed retransplantation decisions. Accurate diagnostics for PNF and EAD constitute essential initial steps in implementing future mitigation strategies. Recently, novel methods for PNF prediction have been developed, and several models for EAD assessments have been introduced. Here, we provide an overview of the currently scrutinized predictive tools for PNF and EAD evaluation strategies, accompanied by recommendations for future studies.

Trajectories of patients relisted for liver transplantation

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Recurrent cirrhosis complicates 10-30% of Liver transplants (LT) and can lead to consideration for re-transplantation. We evaluated the trajectories of relisted versus primary listed patients on the waitlist using a competing risk framework.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively examined 1,912 patients listed for LT at our centre between from 2012 to 2020. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess overall survival (OS) by listing type and competing risk analysis Fine-Gray models were used to assess cumulative incidence of transplant by listing type.

RESULTS

1,731 patients were included (104 relisted). 44.2% of relisted patients received exception points vs. 19.8% of primary listed patients (p<0.001). Patients relisted without exceptions, representing those with graft cirrhosis, had the worst OS (HR: 4.17, 95%CI 2.63 - 6.67, p=<0.0001) and lowest instantaneous rate of transplant (HR: 0.56, 95%CI 0.38 - 0.83, p=0.006) than primary listed with exception points. On multivariate analysis listing type, height, bilirubin and INR were associated with cumulative incidence of transplant, while listing type, bilirubin, INR, sodium, creatinine were associated with OS. Within relisted patients, there was a trend towards higher mortality (HR: 1.79, 95%CI 0.91 - 3.52, p=0.08) and low transplant incidence (HR: 0.51, 95%CI 0.22 - 1.15, p=0.07) for graft cirrhosis vs other relisting indications.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients relisted for LT are carefully curated and comprise a minority of the waitlist population. Despite their younger age, they have worse liver/kidney function, poor waitlist survival, and decreased transplant incidence suggesting the need for early relisting, while considering standardized exception points.

Aborted living-donor liver transplantation in the real-world setting, lessons from 13 937 cases of Vanguard Multi-center Study of International Living Donor Liver Transplantation Group

There are exceedingly uncommon but clearly defined situations where intraoperative abortions are inevitable in living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT). This study aimed to summarize the cases of aborted LDLT and propose a strategy to prevent abortion or minimize donor damage from both recipient and donor sides. We collected data from a total of 43 cases of aborted LDLT out of 13 937 cases from 7 high-volume hospitals in the Vanguard Multi-center Study of the International Living Donor Liver Transplantation Group and reviewed it retrospectively. Of the 43 cases, there were 24 recipient-related abortion cases and 19 donor-related cases. Recipient-related abortions included pulmonary hypertension (n = 8), hemodynamic instability (n = 6), advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 5), bowel necrosis (n = 4), and severe adhesion (n = 1). Donor-related abortions included graft steatosis (n = 7), graft fibrosis (n = 5), primary biliary cholangitis (n = 3), anaphylactic shock (n = 2), and hemodynamic instability (n = 2). Total incidence of aborted LDLT was 0.31%, and there was no remarkable difference between the centers. A strategy to minimize additional donor damage by delaying the donor's laparotomy or trying to open the recipient's abdomen with a small incision should be effective in preventing some causes of aborted LDLT, such as pulmonary hypertension, advanced cancer, and severe adhesions.

Graft-recipient-weight ratio and lowered immunosuppression is important for the success of adult liver retransplantation

This study analyzed the risk of liver retransplantation and factors related to better outcome. Adult liver transplantations performed during 1996-2021 were included. Comparison between first transplantation and retransplantation were performed. Among retransplantation cases, comparison between whole liver and partial liver graft was performed. Multivariable Cox analyses for analyzing risk factors for primary graft and overall patient survival were performed for the entire cohort as well as the subgroup of patients with retransplantation. A total 2237 transplantations from 2135 adults were included and 103 cases were retransplantation. A total of 44 cases (42.7%) were related to acute graft dysfunction while 59 cases (57.3%) were related to subacute or chronic graft dysfunction. Retransplantation was related poor primary graft (HR 3.439, CI 2.230-5.304, P < 0.001) and overall patient survival. (HR 2.905, CI 2.089-4.040, P < 0.001) Among retransplantations, mean serum FK506 trough level ≥ 9 ng/mL was related to poor primary graft (HR 3.692, CI 1.288-10.587, P = 0.015) and overall patient survival. (HR 2.935, CI 1.195-7.211, P = 0.019) Graft-recipient-weight ratio under 1.0% was related to poor overall patient survival in retransplantations. (HR 3.668, CI 1.150-11.698, P = 0.028). Retransplantation can be complicated with poor graft and patient survival compared to first transplantation, especially when the graft size is relatively small. Lowering the FK506 trough level during the first month can be beneficial for outcome.

Early allograft dysfunction after living donor liver transplantation-current concepts and future directions

Early allograft dysfunction (EAD) after liver transplantation is a significant clinical problem that negatively impacts graft and patient outcomes. The rising incidence of EAD and what it means concerning living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is an area of great interest. However, EAD after LDLT is a complex research topic yet to be reviewed comprehensively. Most of the literature on EAD is based on experience in deceased donor liver transplantation, and limited information is available in the context of LDLT. Thus, in this review, we present an overview of EAD after LDLT and have attempted to present balanced points of view on all its aspects, such as definitions, pathogenesis, risk factors, predictive markers, and management. The review aims to broadly overview the nature and extent of ongoing research evidence on this complex topic and inform practice in the field by identifying key concepts and knowledge gaps and highlighting areas that require further inquiry.

Outcomes of sexagenarian living liver donors in Korea: A multicenter study

The safety of elderly living liver donors and recipient outcomes are always of concern. In the present study, the effects of age in 2 donor groups, a 60+years old group and a 50-59 years old group (referred to as the 60s and 50s donor groups, respectively), on living donor liver transplantation were compared regarding donor safety and recipient outcomes. We retrospectively identified 209 patients 50 years and above of age at 9 centers from 2005 to 2017 in Korea. The 60s donor group represented 10% (n=21) of donor patients. One case in each group was a left liver graft, respectively, and the others were right liver grafts. Postoperative complications were more common in the 60s donor group, but the proportion of Clavien-Dindo grade III in the 60s donor group did not differ from that in the 50s donor group. In-hospital mortality did not occur among donors, and donor mortality was not reported during the observation period. Postoperative total bilirubin and hospitalization in recipients of the 60s donor group were higher and longer than in recipients of the 50s donor group, respectively. Although the cumulative overall survival of the recipients in the 60s donor group was significantly lower than that of the 50s donor group, a difference was not observed in graft survival. Multivariate analysis showed that increased living liver donors age, the coexistence of HCC, and increased intraoperative blood loss during the recipient operation were important predisposing factors for patient death. Present study suggests that highly selected elderly living donors (≥60 y) can safely donate with similar recipient graft survival rates though the recipient overall patient survival is inferior compared to the 50s donor group.

Effects of serum sodium and chloride levels in the outcome of critically ill pediatric patients in the post-operative period of liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Sodium and chloride disturbances have attracted increasing attention in recent years. Many pathophysiological effects are associated with hyperchloremia, including reduction in mean arterial pressure and acute renal disease. Pediatric patients undergoing liver transplantation are at risk of developing various electrolyte and biochemical abnormalities, with an impact on their postoperative outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the impacts of serum sodium and chloride levels on prognosis of Pediatric Liver Transplant receptors.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analytical observational study performed in a single transplant reference center in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Included patients were pediatric patients who underwent liver transplantation between January 2015 and July 2019. Statistical regression analysis and General Estimating Equations analysis were performed to evaluate the impacts of sodium and chloride disturbances on the development of acute renal failure and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 143 patients were included in this study. The main diagnosis was Biliary Atresia (62.9%). Twenty-seven patients died (18.9%), and graft dysfunction was the main cause of death (29.6%). The only variable individually associated with 28-days mortality was PIM-3 score (HR 1.59, CI 95% 1.165-2.177, p = 0.004). Forty-one patients (28.6%) developed moderate or severe AKI. PIM-3 score (OR 3.052, 95% CI 1.56-5.97, p = 0.001), hypernatremia (OR 3.49, 95% CI 1.32-9.23, p = 0.012), and hyponatremia (OR 4.24, 95% CI 1.52-11.85, p = 0.006) were independently associated with the development of moderate/severe AKI.

CONCLUSIONS

In pediatric patients after liver transplantation, PIM-3 score, and abnormal serum sodium levels were correlated with AKI development.

Predicting Early Graft Dysfunction and Mortality After Liver Transplant Using the De Ritis Ratio

BACKGROUND

Predicting complications after liver transplantation (LT) remains challenging. We propose incorporating the De Ritis ratio (DRR), a widely known parameter of liver dysfunction, into current or future scoring models to predict early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and mortality after LT.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted on 132 adults receiving a deceased donor LT from April 2015 to March 2020 and their matching donors. Donor variables, postoperative liver function, and DRR were correlated with the occurrence of EAD, post-transplant complications expressed by the Clavien-Dindo score, and 30-day mortality as outcome variables.

RESULTS

Early allograft dysfunction was observed in 26.5% of patients and 7.6% of patients who died within 30 days after transplant. Recipients were more likely to experience EAD when receiving grafts from donation after circulatory death (P = .04), donor risk index (DRI) >2 (P = .006), ischemic injury at time-zero biopsy (P = .02), longer secondary warm ischemia time (P < .05), or higher Clavien-Dindo scores (IIIb-V; P < .001). The DRI, total bilirubin, and DRR on postoperative day 5 yielded significant associations with the primary outcomes and were used to develop the Gala-Lopez score using a weighted scoring model. This accurately predicted EAD, high Clavien-Dindo, and 30-day mortality in 75%, 81%, and 64% of patients.

CONCLUSION

Including recipient and donor variables in predictive models, and for the first time DRR, as a constituent, should be regarded to predict EAD, severe complications, and 30-day mortality post-LT. Further studies will be required to validate the present findings and their applicability when using normothermic regional and machine perfusion technologies.

Validation of risk scores for allograft failure after liver transplantation in Germany: a retrospective cohort analysis

A growing number of clinical risk scores have been proposed to predict allograft failure after liver transplantation. However, validation of currently available scores in the Eurotransplant region is still lacking. We aimed to analyze all clinically relevant donor and recipient risk scores on a large German liver transplantation data set and performed a retrospective cohort analysis of liver transplantations performed at the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin from January 2007 until December 2021 with organs from donation after brain death. We analyzed 9 previously published scores in 906 liver transplantations [Eurotransplant donor risk index (ET-DRI/DRI), donor age and model for end-stage liver disease (D-MELD), balance of risk (BAR), early allograft dysfunction (EAD), model for early allograft function (MEAF), liver graft assessment following transplantation (L-GrAFT7), early allograft failure simplified estimation (EASE), and a score by Rhu and colleagues). The EASE score had the best predictive value for 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month graft survival with a c-statistic of 0.8, 0.77, and 0.78, respectively. In subgroup analyses, the EASE score was suited best for male recipients with a high-MELD (>25) and an EAD organ. Scores only based on pretransplant data performed worse compared to scores including postoperative data (eg, ET-DRI vs. EAD, p<0.001 at 3-month graft survival). Out of these, the BAR score performed best with a c-statistic of 0.6. This a comprehensive comparison of the clinical utility of risk scores after liver transplantation. The EASE score sufficiently predicted 12-month graft and patient survival. Despite a relatively complex calculation, the EASE score provides significant prognostic value for patients and health care professionals in the Eurotransplant region.