Impact of modified albumin-bilirubin grade on survival in patients with HCC who received lenvatinib

Lenvatinib and immune-checkpoint inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma: mechanistic insights, clinical efficacy, and future perspectives

Lenvatinib is a multi-target tyrosine kinase inhibitor widely used in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Its primary mechanism of action involves inhibiting signal pathways such as vascular endothelial growth factor receptors (VEGFR) and fibroblast growth factor receptors (FGFR), thereby reducing tumor cell proliferation and angiogenesis and affecting the tumor's immune microenvironment. In the treatment of liver cancer, although lenvatinib monotherapy has shown good clinical effect, the problem of drug resistance is becoming more and more serious. This resistance may be caused by a variety of factors, including genetic mutations, signaling pathway remodeling, and changes in the tumor microenvironment. In order to overcome drug resistance, the combination of lenvatinib and other therapeutic strategies has gradually become a research hotspot, and it is worth noting that the combination of lenvatinib and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has shown a good application prospect. This combination not only enhances the anti-tumor immune response but also helps improve therapeutic efficacy. However, combination therapy also faces challenges regarding safety and tolerability. Therefore, studying the mechanisms of resistance and identifying relevant biomarkers is particularly important, as it aids in early diagnosis and personalized treatment. This article reviews the mechanisms of lenvatinib in treating liver cancer, the mechanisms and efficacy of its combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors, the causes of resistance, the exploration of biomarkers, and other novel combination therapy strategies for lenvatinib. We hope to provide insights into the use and research of lenvatinib in clinical and scientific settings, offering new strategies for the treatment of liver cancer.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

Prognostic utility of the modified albumin-bilirubin score among patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for gallbladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) has been associated with high rates of recurrence and dismal prognosis even after curative-intent resection. The prognostic utility of the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) score among individuals undergoing curative-intent resection for GBC has not been determined.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical resection for GBC between 2000 and 2022 were identified from an international, multi-institutional database. Preoperative albumin and bilirubin levels were used to calculate the mALBI score. The relationship among mALBI score, overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was examined.

RESULTS

Among 269 patients who underwent radical resection for GBC, 161 (59.9%) had mALBI grade 1, 48 (17.8%) had grade 2a, 47 (17.5%) had grade 2b, and 13 (4.8%) had mALBI grade 3. After surgery, compared with patients with a low mALBI grade (grade 1/2a), individuals with a high mALBI grade (grade 2b/3) had worse 5-year OS (54.4% vs 19.2%, respectively; P < .001) and RFS (42.0% vs 17.8%, respectively; P < .001). On multivariable analysis, after controlling for relevant clinicopathologic variables, individuals with a high mALBI score remained independently associated with higher risks of death and recurrence (OS: hazard ratio [HR], 2.38 [95% CI, 1.50-3.79]; RFS: HR, 2.12 [95% CI 1.41-3.20]) versus patients with a low mALBI score after curative-intent resection for GBC. Of note, mALBI score was associated with incrementally worse survival within T2, T3, and N+ categories, whereas classic American Joint Committee on Cancer subclassifications failed to distinguish patients with long-term survival.

CONCLUSION

The mALBI score presents a simple, objective measure of hepatic functional reserve and may be a useful prognostic tool for patients undergoing curative-intent resection for GBC.

Prognostic Efficacy of the Albumin-Bilirubin Score and Treatment Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Large-Scale, Multi-Center Real-World Database Study

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally, with treatment outcomes closely tied to liver function. This study evaluates the prognostic utility of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score compared to the traditional Child-Pugh (CP) grading, leveraging real-world evidence from a large-scale, multi-center database.

Methods

The Liver Cancer IN Korea (LINK) research network, a multi-center initiative, retrospectively collected electronic health records from three academic hospitals in South Korea, encompassing HCC patients diagnosed between 2015 and 2020. Inclusion criteria mandated at least one HCC treatment and excluded patients with other primary cancer diagnoses. The study followed patients until death, the last visit, or June 2021, employing standardized data processing and rule-based algorithms for data consistency. The prognostic efficacy of ALBI scores and CP scores was compared through time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the inverse probability censoring weighting method.

Results

From 25,248 newly diagnosed patients, 10,297 were included, with 65.82% having hepatitis B etiology and a mean follow-up of 27.49 months. Patients' classification by modified ALBI (mALBI) grade at diagnosis revealed: grade 1 (48.87%), 2a (20.50%), 2b (24.54%), and 3 (5.17%), with a minimal percentage missing (0.92%). Transarterial therapy (54.07%) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (84.14% as the first-line systemic therapy) were predominant treatments. The ALBI score demonstrated greater prognostic efficacy than the CP score in long-term outcomes, with time-dependent area under the ROC curve analysis showing a score of 0.71 for ALBI versus 0.67 for CP at 60 months. Furthermore, higher mALBI grades were significantly associated with poorer survival outcomes, as indicated by both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional regression model analyses (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

The study confirmed the ALBI score's superior prognostic ability over the CP score, especially evident in long-term outcomes, suggesting a shift toward more nuanced liver function assessment tools in real-world clinical practice.

Real-world experience of lenvatinib-based therapy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Given the significant advancements in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the emergence of novel treatment approaches, establishing reliable predictors has become crucial for optimizing patient selection and therapeutic sequencing in HCC. In this study, we aimed to investigate the prognostic factors and treatment efficacy associated with lenvatinib-based therapy.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 53 patients receiving lenvatinib monotherapy, and 19 patients receiving lenvatinib plus immune checkpoint inhibitor combination therapy as their first-line systemic treatment for unresectable HCC at a single medical center. We employed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to ascertain the factors influencing survival in these cohorts.

Results

For lenvatinib monotherapy and the combination therapy, the objective response rates were 30.2% and 63.2%, respectively (P=0.03); the median progression-free survival (PFS) durations were 7 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 4.5-9.5] and 12 months (95% CI: 6.4-17.6), respectively (P=0.74); and the median overall survival (OS) was not reached in either group (P=0.93). Although patients receiving the combination therapy had a greater treatment response, no significant survival differences were observed between the lenvatinib monotherapy and combination therapy subgroups, even after inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). Patients who received lenvatinib monotherapy could be stratified based on a combination of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade (either grade 1 or 2a) and a neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of ≤5.8. Compared to the other subgroups combined, those who met both of these criteria exhibited PFS with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.382 (95% CI: 0.168-0.871; P=0.02), corresponding to 11 and 5 months, respectively; and an OS (HR: 0.198, 95% CI: 0.043-0.920; P=0.04) of not reached versus 12 months, respectively, according to multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Conclusions

In our study cohort, there were no statistically significant differences observed in the survival rates between patients treated with lenvatinib monotherapy and those treated with a combination of lenvatinib and immunotherapy. The incorporation of ALBI grade and NLR facilitates the stratification of survival outcomes in patients with unresectable HCC undergoing lenvatinib monotherapy.

Albumin-Bilirubin Score at Post-Hepatectomy Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence: Impact on Survival and Association with Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure

PURPOSE

Our objective was to investigate the impact of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score at the time of post-hepatectomy hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence on survival after recurrence (SAR). We further explored the perioperative factors associated with the ALBI score at recurrence.

METHODS

Patients who underwent primary hepatectomy for HCC between 2007 and 2018 and developed recurrence were included in the study. Cox regression models were used to assess the association between the ALBI score at recurrence and SAR. Linear regression models were used to explore factors associated with ALBI score at recurrence.

RESULTS

Of the 233 patients analyzed, 158 developed recurrence within the Milan criteria (RWM) and 76 developed recurrence beyond the Milan criteria (RBM). Multivariable cox regression analysis demonstrated that higher ALBI scores at recurrence were associated with poorer SAR in both RWM and RBM groups (hazard ratios 4.5, 5.0; 95% confidence intervals 2.3-8.8, 2.2-11.6, respectively). In addition, multivariable linear regression analysis revealed that higher ALBI scores at hepatectomy and post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) ≥ grade B were associated with higher ALBI scores at recurrence (β = 0.21, 0.11; 95% confidence intervals 0.15-0.26, 0.06-0.17, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI score at recurrence was a significant prognostic factor for SAR, and the ALBI scores at hepatectomy and PHLF ≥ Grade B were independently associated with the ALBI score at recurrence. Prevention of PHLF and consequent preservation of liver function at recurrence may be paramount to achieving better survival after HCC recurrence.

Clinical Features and Outcomes of Conversion Therapy in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This retrospective multicenter study analyzed 244 patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib (LEN) and atezolizumab + bevacizumab (Atezo + Bev) to examine the characteristics, treatment courses, and prognoses. The cases of patients who could achieve HCC downstaging from Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B or C to A or zero indicated the need for conversion therapy. The patients' prognoses with and without conversion therapy were compared. Of the 244 patients, 12 (4.9%) underwent conversion therapy, six out of 131 (4.6%) were treated with LEN, and six out of 113 (5.3%) were treated with Atezo + Bev. Eleven patients (91.7%) with a modified albumin bilirubin (mALBI) grade 1 or 2a and BCLC-B stage showed significantly higher rates of transition during conversion therapy (p < 0.05). The patients undergoing conversion therapy had a significantly longer median overall survival rate than those receiving chemotherapy alone (1208 [1064-NA] vs. 569 [466-704] days, p < 0.01). A comparison of the patients who achieved a partial response with and without conversion was evaluated using propensity score matching to reduce the confounding factors, showing a significant survival benefit in the conversion group (1208 [1064-NA] vs. 665 days, p < 0.01). Among the patients with u-HCC who were treated with LEN and Atezo + Bev, those with mALBI 1 + 2a and BCLC-B were likely to achieve conversion therapy with downstaging.

Serum osteopontin predicts the response to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Combination therapy with anti-programmed death-ligand 1 and anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antibodies has become the standard treatment for un-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). We aimed to identify predictive circulating biomarkers for the outcome/response of the combination therapy in uHCC patients.

METHODS

This prospective multicenter study enrolled 70 patients with uHCC who received atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atez/Bev). We evaluated 47 circulating proteins in sera before and after 1 and 6 weeks of Atez/Bev therapy by multiplex bead-based immunoassay and ELISA. As controls, we analyzed the sera from 62 uHCC patients before treatment of lenvatinib (LEN) and healthy volunteers (HVs).

RESULTS

The disease control rate was 77.1%. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.8-9.5). The pretreatment levels of osteopontin (OPN), angiopoietin-2, VEGF, S100-calcium-binding protein A8/S100-calcium-binding protein A9, soluble programmed cell death-1, soluble CD163, and 14 cytokines/chemokines were higher in patients with uHCC than in HVs. Among these, pretreatment OPN levels were higher in PD group than in non-PD group for Atez/Bev. The PD rate was higher in high OPN group than in low OPN group. Multivariate analysis identified high pretreatment OPN and high α-fetoprotein levels as independent predictors of PD. In the sub-analysis of Child-Pugh class A patients, PFS was also shorter in the high OPN group than in the low OPN group. Pretreatment OPN level was not associated with treatment response for LEN.

CONCLUSION

High serum OPN levels were associated with poor response to Atez/Bev in patients with uHCC.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

Role of Etiology in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Lenvatinib: A Counterfactual Event-Based Mediation Analysis

Background: Whether the etiology of underlying liver disease represents a prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with lenvatinib is still a matter of debate. This study investigates whether the viral etiology of HCC plays a prognostic role in overall survival (OS). Methods: Data derived from a multicenter series of 313 HCC patients treated with lenvatinib between 2019 and 2022 were analyzed. Actuarial survival estimates were computed using the Kaplan−Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. We performed an event-based counterfactual mediation analysis to estimate direct (chronic inflammation and immunosuppression), indirect (tobacco smoking, alcohol use, illicit drug abuse with injections), and the total effect of viral etiology on OS. Results were expressed as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI. Results: Median OS was 21 months (95% CI: 20−23) in the group with other etiologies and 15 months (14−16) in the group with viral etiology (p < 0.0001). The total effect of viral etiology was associated with OS (HR 2.76, 1.32−5.21), and it was mainly explained by the pure direct effect of viral etiology (HR 2.74, 1.15−4.45). By contrast, its total indirect effect was not associated with poorer survival (HR 1.05, 0.82−2.13). These results were confirmed when considering tobacco, alcohol consumption, or injection drug abuse as potential mediators. Median progression-free survival was 9 months (8−10) in patients with other etiologies and 6 months (5−7) in patients with viral etiology (p < 0.0001). No difference in terms of adverse event rate was observed between the two groups. Conclusions: Patients affected by HCC with nonviral etiology treated with lenvatinib exhibit longer survival than those with viral etiology. This finding may have relevance in the treatment decision-making process.

Initial therapeutic results of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for unresectable advanced hepatocellular carcinoma and the importance of hepatic functional reserve

AIM

We analyzed the association between the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade and therapeutic efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo+Bev) for the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC).

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we included 71 u-HCC patients treated with Atezo+Bev between September 2020 and September 2021. Patients were grouped corresponding to the mALBI grade at the start of treatment (mALBI 1+2a or mALBI 2b+3) and analyzed for therapeutic effect and the transition rate to secondary treatment.

RESULTS

According to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, the overall response rate was significantly higher for the mALBI 1+2a group, than for the mALBI 2b+3 group, with 26.2% and 3.4%, respectively. The progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly longer in the mALBI 1+2a group (10.5 months) than in the mALBI 2b+3 group (3.0 months). In the multivariate analysis, an mALBI of 1+2a was found to be an independent factor of PFS. The rate of second-line treatment with multi-targeted agents was also significantly higher in the mALBI 1+2a group.

CONCLUSIONS

In real-world practice, Atezo+Bev treatment might have higher therapeutic efficacy in u-HCC patients with mALBI 1+2a.

Chronological change in serum albumin as a prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib: proposal of albumin simplified grading based on the modified albumin-bilirubin score (ALBS grade)

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and the modified ALBI (mALBI) grade are known useful prognostic factors for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with lenvatinib (LEN-HCC). However, the ALBI score requires complicated logarithmic calculations. Therefore, we attempted to create a simplified score.

METHODS

We developed the albumin simplified (ALBS) grade that corresponded to mALBI using the data of 5985 newly developed HCC and examined the usefulness of this grading system for the prediction of the prognosis of 678 patients with LEN-HCC.

RESULTS

The analysis using Cox proportional hazard models revealed that the overall survival of patients with LEN-HCC was not correlated with the total bilirubin but albumin (Alb), which means that the prediction with Alb alone was logical. The ALBS grade cutoffs that corresponded to mALBI grade 1, 2a, 2b, and 3 were Alb ≧ 4.0 g/dL, 4.0 g/dL > Alb ≧3.5 g/dL, 3.5 g/dL > Alb≧2.8 g/dL, and Alb < 2.8 g/dL, respectively. The stratification ability of the ALBS grade for LEN-HCC was good. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) and c-index were comparable with those of mALBI (AIC 4096.3 vs. 4090.7, c-index 0.765 vs. 0.778). The prognosis of LEN-HCC was stratified by the ALBS grade at 1 month after starting LEN, and patients with ALBS grade 1/2a demonstrated better survival than patients with ALBS grade 2b/3 regardless of the ALBS grade before treatment.

CONCLUSION

The ALBS grade is easy to calculate and is useful for the prediction of the prognosis of LEN-HCC.

Child-Pugh Score and ABCG2-rs2231142 Genotype Independently Predict Survival in Advanced Hepatoma Patients Treated with Sorafenib

Patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are treated by immunotherapy and/or targeted agents, such as sorafenib. Several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and clinical scores have been proposed as prognostic markers in HCC patients treated with sorafenib. This study aimed to validate the prognostic values of these markers in a tertiary referral medical center. Two independent cohorts (cohort-1 [n = 97] and cohort-2 [n = 60]) of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib monotherapy were enrolled. Univariate followed by multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis identified Child−Pugh (CP) score (p < 0.001) and renal insufficiency during treatment (p < 0.001) as independent predictors in cohort-1 patients. The same analytic method revealed ascites (p = 0.000), CP score (p = 0.001), infection during treatment (p < 0.001), and ATP-binding cassette subfamily G member 2 (ABCG2)-rs2231142 genotype (p = 0.003) as independent predictors in cohort-2 patients. ABCG2-rs2231142 genotype “CC” was associated with unfavorable overall survival in sorafenib-treated HCC patients. In conclusion, the CP score and ABCG2-rs2231142 genotype served as independent survival predictors for advanced HCC patients receiving sorafenib treatment.

Early experience of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma BCLC-B stage patients classified as beyond up to seven criteria - Multicenter analysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

Although systemic therapy is recommended for patients with multiple intermediate stage unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC) classified as beyond the up-to-7 criteria (UT-7 out/multiple) as a transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) unsuitable condition, few reports have examined the therapeutic efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab combination therapy (Atez/Bev) in such cases. This study aimed to elucidate the therapeutic response of Atez/Bev in u-HCC patients classified as UT-7 out/multiple.

MATERIAL/METHODS

From September 2020 to September 2021, 95 u-HCC Japanese patients classified as UT-7 out/multiple/Child-Pugh A were enrolled from 21 institutions (median age 76 years, males 73, Child-Pugh 5:6 = 68:27, TNM stage II:III = 17:78). Therapeutic response was retrospectively evaluated using Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), ver. 1.1 and modified RECIST (mRECIST).

RESULTS

Atez/Bev was given as first-line treatment to 52 (54.7%). Objective response rate (ORR)/disease control rate (DCR) at six weeks of RECIST and mRECIST were 17.7%/84.7% and 42.5%/86.2%, respectively. Median PFS was 8.0 months (median observation period: 6.0 months). Child-Pugh A/modified Albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI) 1 and 2a at baseline, 3, 6, and 9 weeks, were 100%/69.4%, 89.8%/57.3%, 94.8%/65.3%, and 91.4%/60.0%, respectively. Among adverse events (any-grade, >10%) during the present observation period, general fatigue was most frequent (23.2%), followed by urine protein (21.1%), appetite loss (20.0%), and hypertension (13.7%).

CONCLUSION

Atez/Bev treatment showed favorable therapeutic response with less influence on hepatic function, suggesting it as a useful therapeutic option for patients with such condition.

Factors Contributing to the Prognosis after Second-line Therapy with Ramucirumab in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective Multiple therapeutic agents exist for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but prognostic factors in second-line and subsequent therapies are unclear. Ramucirumab is a molecular-targeted agent effective against hepatocytes with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >400 ng/mL after sorafenib failure. We examined the prognostic factors and efficacy of ramucirumab with prior therapy other than sorafenib. Methods In our retrospective multicenter study, 33 patients were treated with ramucirumab for HCC with prior therapy other than sorafenib, including 1 patient who received 2 lines of ramucirumab. We analyzed background factors, liver reserve, the prognosis, and treatment duration and efficacy. Results The median albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) value showed little change during ramucirumab treatment. The ALBI value improved in 32% of patients, and their prognoses were better than in those who did not improve. Response and efficacy rates were not as high as those in the REACH-2 study but were similar when limited to patients with 2,500 ng/mL AFP. Thirteen patients received further treatment after ramucirumab failure and they had a significantly better prognosis from ramucirumab administration and also had a significantly better prognosis from the start of the first tyrosine kinase inhibitor than who did not received further treatment. In univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors, the continuation of treatment with another drug after ramucirumab failure and a good ALBI value at initiation were significant. The presence of a ramucirumab response and treatment duration were not associated with the prognosis. A good ALBI value at initiation and ALBI value improvement during treatment were also identified as independent factors associated with eligibility for further treatment after ramucirumab failure. The treatment line did not correlate with the availability of treatment with another drug after treatment failure. Conclusions ALBI value improvement with ramucirumab treatment allows for subsequent treatment after failure and an improved overall prognosis.

Simple Scoring System for Predicting TACE Unsuitable among Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients in the Multiple Systemic Treatment Era

BACKGROUND/AIM

With the development of systemic treatment methods for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC), the concept of unsuitable for transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has become important. This study aimed to establish a simple predictive scoring system for determining TACE unsuitable status.

MATERIALS/METHODS

From 1998 to 2015, 196 patients with intermediate-stage uHCC with Child-Pugh A (score 5:6 = 108:88) and given TACE as the initial treatment were enrolled. At the baseline, tumor burden (Milan criteria-out, up-to-7 in/out, and up-to-11 in/out: 0-2 points) and modified albumin-bilirubin grade 1/2a or 2b (0-1 point) were added to determine the score for TACE unsuitable (CITRUS-MICAN score; low <2 and high ≥2). In addition, a previously reported tumor marker (TM) score, in which alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was ≥100 ng/mL, fucosylated AFP ≥10%, and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin ≥100 mAU/mL (each 1 point) (total 0, 1, or ≥2 points), was used for additionally evaluating tumor malignancy potential. Prognosis was retrospectively evaluated based on those scores.

RESULTS

Median survival time (MST) was better for low compared to high CITRUS-MICAN score (42.0 vs. 26.4 months) (p = 0.002). A 2-step evaluation using the combination of CITRUS-MICAN and TM scores showed an MST of 43.2 months for low CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 0/1 (rank-A) and 39.6 months for low CITRUS-MICAN/TM score ≥2 (rank-B2), while it was 46.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 0 (rank-B1), 28.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score 1 (rank-B2), and 22.8 months for high CITRUS-MICAN/TM score ≥2 (rank-C). For rank-A cases (n = 51), MST was 43.2 months, while it was 46.8 months for rank-B1 (n = 12), 31.2 months for rank-B2 (n = 82), and 22.8 months for rank-C (n = 51) (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The results showed that rank-C indicates absolute TACE unsuitable status. For rank-A patients, good prognosis with TACE can be expected, while TACE refractoriness status during the clinical course should be carefully evaluated so as to anticipate the appropriate timing for switching to systemic treatment in rank-B1 and -B2 patients.