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Morgan RN, Ismail NSM, Alshahrani MY, Aboshanab KM. Multi-epitope peptide vaccines targeting dengue virus serotype 2 created via immunoinformatic analysis. Sci Rep 2024; 14:17645. [PMID: 39085250 PMCID: PMC11291903 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-67553-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2024] [Accepted: 07/12/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024] Open
Abstract
The Middle East has witnessed a greater spread of infectious Dengue viruses, with serotype 2 (DENV-2) being the most prevalent form. Through this work, multi-epitope peptide vaccines against DENV-2 that target E and nonstructural (NS1) proteins were generated through an immunoinformatic approach. MHC class I and II and LBL epitopes among NS1 and envelope E proteins sequences were predicted and their antigenicity, toxicity, and allergenicity were investigated. Studies of the population coverage denoted the high prevalence of NS1 and envelope-E epitopes among different countries where DENV-2 endemic. Further, both the CTL and HTL epitopes retrieved from NS1 epitopes exhibited high conservancies' percentages with other DENV serotypes (1, 3, and 4). Three vaccine constructs were created and the expected immune responses for the constructs were estimated using C-IMMSIM and HADDOCK (against TLR 2,3,4,5, and 7). Molecular dynamics simulation for vaccine construct 2 with TLR4 denoted high binding affinity and stability of the construct with the receptor which might foretell favorable in vivo interaction and immune responses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Radwa N Morgan
- Drug Radiation Research Department, National Centre for Radiation Research and Technology (NCRRT), Egyptian Atomic Energy Authority (EAEA), Cairo, Egypt
| | - Nasser S M Ismail
- Department of Pharmaceutical Chemistry, Faculty of Pharmacy, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mohammad Y Alshahrani
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, College of Applied Medical Sciences, King Khalid University, P.O. Box 61413, 9088, Abha, Saudi Arabia
| | - Khaled M Aboshanab
- Microbiology and Immunology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Ain Shams University, Organization of African Unity St., Abbassia, POB: 11566, Cairo, 11566, Egypt.
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2
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Marczell K, García E, Roiz J, Sachdev R, Towle P, Shen J, Sruamsiri R, da Silva BM, Hanley R. The macroeconomic impact of a dengue outbreak: Case studies from Thailand and Brazil. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2024; 18:e0012201. [PMID: 38829895 PMCID: PMC11175482 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0012201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2023] [Revised: 06/13/2024] [Accepted: 05/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Dengue is spreading in (sub)tropical areas, and half of the global population is at risk. The macroeconomic impact of dengue extends beyond healthcare costs. This study evaluated the impact of dengue on gross domestic product (GDP) based on approaches tailored to two dengue-endemic countries, Thailand and Brazil, from the tourism and workforce perspectives, respectively. FINDINGS Because the tourism industry is a critical economic sector for Thailand, lost tourism revenues were estimated to analyze the impact of a dengue outbreak. An input-output model estimated that the direct effects (on international tourism) and indirect effects (on suppliers) of dengue on tourism reduced overall GDP by 1.43 billion US dollars (USD) (0.26%) in the outbreak year 2019. The induced effect (reduced employee income/spending) reduced Thailand's GDP by 375 million USD (0.07%). Overall, lost tourism revenues reduced Thailand's GDP by an estimated 1.81 billion USD (0.33%) in 2019 (3% of annual tourism revenue). An inoperability input-output model was used to analyze the effect of workforce absenteeism on GDP due to a dengue outbreak in Brazil. This model calculates the number of lost workdays associated with ambulatory and hospitalized dengue. Input was collected from state-level epidemiological and economic data for 2019. An estimated 22.4 million workdays were lost in the employed population; 39% associated with the informal sector. Lost workdays due to dengue reduced Brazil's GDP by 876 million USD (0.05%). CONCLUSIONS The economic costs of dengue outbreaks far surpass the direct medical costs. Dengue reduces overall GDP and inflicts national economic losses. With a high proportion of the population lacking formal employment in both countries and low income being a barrier to seeking care, dengue also poses an equity challenge. A combination of public health measures, like vector control and vaccination, against dengue is recommended to mitigate the broader economic impact of dengue.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Philip Towle
- Takeda Pharmaceuticals International AG, Singapore
| | - Jing Shen
- Takeda International AG, Zürich, Switzerland
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3
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Saadeh R, Abdoon MA, Qazza A, Berir M, Guma FEL, Al-kuleab N, Degoot AM. Mathematical modeling and stability analysis of the novel fractional model in the Caputo derivative operator: A case study. Heliyon 2024; 10:e26611. [PMID: 38434353 PMCID: PMC10907653 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26611] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2023] [Revised: 02/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024] Open
Abstract
The fundamental goal of this research is to suggest a novel mathematical operator for modeling visceral leishmaniasis, specifically the Caputo fractional-order derivative. By utilizing the Fractional Euler Method, we were able to simulate the dynamics of the fractional visceral leishmaniasis model, evaluate the stability of the equilibrium point, and devise a treatment strategy for the disease. The endemic and disease-free equilibrium points are studied as symmetrical components of the proposed dynamical model, together with their stabilities. It was shown that the fractional calculus model was more accurate in representing the situation under investigation than the classical framework at α = 0.99 and α = 0.98. We provide justification for the usage of fractional models in mathematical modeling by comparing results to real-world data and finding that the new fractional formalism more accurately mimics reality than did the classical framework. Additional research in the future into the fractional model and the impact of vaccinations and medications is necessary to discover the most effective methods of disease control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rania Saadeh
- Department of Mathematics, Zarqa University, Zarqa 13110, Jordan
| | - Mohamed A. Abdoon
- Department of Basic Sciences, Common First Year Deanship, King Saud University, Riyadh 12373, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ahmad Qazza
- Department of Mathematics, Zarqa University, Zarqa 13110, Jordan
| | - Mohammed Berir
- Department of mathematics, Faculty of Science and Arts, Al baha university, Baljurashi 65622, Saudi Arabia
| | - Fathelrhman EL Guma
- Department of mathematics, Faculty of Science and Arts, Al baha university, Baljurashi 65622, Saudi Arabia
- Department of statistical Study, Peace University, Sudan
| | - Naseam Al-kuleab
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science, King Faisal University, Al-Ahsa 31982, Saudi Arabia
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4
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Ong SQ, Isawasan P, Ngesom AMM, Shahar H, Lasim AM, Nair G. Predicting dengue transmission rates by comparing different machine learning models with vector indices and meteorological data. Sci Rep 2023; 13:19129. [PMID: 37926755 PMCID: PMC10625978 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-46342-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 11/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Machine learning algorithms (ML) are receiving a lot of attention in the development of predictive models for monitoring dengue transmission rates. Previous work has focused only on specific weather variables and algorithms, and there is still a need for a model that uses more variables and algorithms that have higher performance. In this study, we use vector indices and meteorological data as predictors to develop the ML models. We trained and validated seven ML algorithms, including an ensemble ML method, and compared their performance using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) with the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy and F1 score. Our results show that an ensemble ML such as XG Boost, AdaBoost and Random Forest perform better than the logistics regression, Naïve Bayens, decision tree, and support vector machine (SVM), with XGBoost having the highest AUC, accuracy and F1 score. Analysis of the importance of the variables showed that the container index was the least important. By removing this variable, the ML models improved their performance by at least 6% in AUC and F1 score. Our result provides a framework for future studies on the use of predictive models in the development of an early warning system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Song Quan Ong
- Entomology Laboratory, Institute for Tropical Biology and Conservation, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Jalan UMS, 88400, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia.
| | - Pradeep Isawasan
- Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Perak Branch, Tapah Campus, 35400, Tapah, Malaysia
| | - Ahmad Mohiddin Mohd Ngesom
- Centre for Communicable Diseases Research, Institute for Public Health, National Institutes of Health, Ministry of Health, Shah Alam, Malaysia
| | - Hanipah Shahar
- Entomology and Pest Unit, Federal Territory of Kuala Lumpur and Putrajaya Health Department, Jalan Cenderasari, 50590, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - As'malia Md Lasim
- Phytochemistry Unit, Herbal Medicine Research Centre, Institute for Medical Research, National Health Institute, Setia Alam, Malaysia
| | - Gomesh Nair
- School of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia
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5
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Harikrishnan S, Sudarshan S, Sivasubramani K, Nandini MS, Narenkumar J, Ramachandran V, Almutairi BO, Arunkumar P, Rajasekar A, Jayalakshmi S. Larvicidal and anti-termite activities of microbial biosurfactant produced by Enterobacter cloacae SJ2 isolated from marine sponge Clathria sp. Sci Rep 2023; 13:15153. [PMID: 37704703 PMCID: PMC10499797 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42475-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2023] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 09/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The widespread use of synthetic pesticides has resulted in a number of issues, including a rise in insecticide-resistant organisms, environmental degradation, and a hazard to human health. As a result, new microbial derived insecticides that are safe for human health and the environment are urgently needed. In this study, rhamnolipid biosurfactants produced from Enterobacter cloacae SJ2 was used to evaluate the toxicity towards mosquito larvae (Culex quinquefasciatus) and termites (Odontotermes obesus). Results showed dose dependent mortality rate was observed between the treatments. The 48 h LC50 (median lethal concentration) values of the biosurfactant were determined for termite and mosquito larvae following the non-linear regression curve fit method. Results showed larvicidal activity and anti-termite activity of biosurfactants with 48 h LC50 value (95% confidence interval) of 26.49 mg/L (25.40 to 27.57) and 33.43 mg/L (31.09 to 35.68), respectively. According to a histopathological investigation, the biosurfactant treatment caused substantial tissue damage in cellular organelles of larvae and termites. The findings of this study suggest that the microbial biosurfactant produced by E. cloacae SJ2 is an excellent and potentially effective agent for controlling Cx. quinquefasciatus and O. obesus.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sekar Harikrishnan
- Centre of Advanced Study in Marine Biology, Faculty of Marine Sciences, Annamalai University, Parangipettai, Tamil Nadu, 608502, India.
| | - Shanmugam Sudarshan
- Department of Aquatic Environment Management, TNJFU- Dr. M.G.R Fisheries College and Research Institute, Thalainayeru, Tamil Nadu, 614712, India
| | - Kandasamy Sivasubramani
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Science, Annamalai University, Annamalai Nagar, Chidambaram, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - M S Nandini
- Department of Microbiology, Sree Balaji Medical College and Hospital, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Jayaraman Narenkumar
- Department of Environmental & Water Resources Engineering, School of Civil Engineering (SCE), Vellore Institute of Technology, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632014, India.
| | - Vasudevan Ramachandran
- Department of Medical Sciences, University College of MAIWP International, Taman Batu Muda, 68100, Batu Caves, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
- Department of Conservative Dentistry and Endodontics, Saveetha Dental College and Hospitals, Saveetha Institute of Medical and Technical Sciences, Saveetha University, Chennai, India
| | - Bader O Almutairi
- Department of Zoology, College of Science, King Saud University, 11451, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Paulraj Arunkumar
- School of Chemical Engineering, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, South Korea
| | - Aruliah Rajasekar
- Environmental Molecular Microbiology Research Laboratory, Department of Biotechnology, Thiruvalluvar University, Serkkadu, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632115, India
| | - Singaram Jayalakshmi
- Centre of Advanced Study in Marine Biology, Faculty of Marine Sciences, Annamalai University, Parangipettai, Tamil Nadu, 608502, India
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Aguiar M, Anam V, Blyuss KB, Estadilla CDS, Guerrero BV, Knopoff D, Kooi BW, Mateus L, Srivastav AK, Steindorf V, Stollenwerk N. Prescriptive, descriptive or predictive models: What approach should be taken when empirical data is limited? Reply to comments on "Mathematical models for Dengue fever epidemiology: A 10-year systematic review". Phys Life Rev 2023; 46:56-64. [PMID: 37245453 DOI: 10.1016/j.plrev.2023.05.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2023] [Accepted: 05/07/2023] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Maíra Aguiar
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain; Ikerbasque, Basque Foundation for Science, Bilbao, Spain.
| | - Vizda Anam
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
| | | | - Carlo Delfin S Estadilla
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain; Preventive Medicine and Public Health Department, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU), Leioa, Basque Country Spain
| | - Bruno V Guerrero
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
| | - Damián Knopoff
- Centro de Investigaciones y Estudios de Matemática CIEM, CONICET, Córdoba, Argentina; Intelligent Biodata SL, San Sebastián, Spain
| | - Bob W Kooi
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain; VU University, Faculty of Science, De Boelelaan 1085, NL 1081, HV Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Luís Mateus
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
| | - Akhil Kumar Srivastav
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
| | - Vanessa Steindorf
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
| | - Nico Stollenwerk
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Alameda de Mazarredo 14, Bilbao, E-48009, Basque Country, Spain
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Kamal ASMM, Al-Montakim MN, Hasan MA, Mitu MMP, Gazi MY, Uddin MM, Mia MB. Relationship between Urban Environmental Components and Dengue Prevalence in Dhaka City-An Approach of Spatial Analysis of Satellite Remote Sensing, Hydro-Climatic, and Census Dengue Data. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:3858. [PMID: 36900868 PMCID: PMC10001735 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20053858] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2022] [Revised: 02/18/2023] [Accepted: 02/20/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Dengue fever is a tropical viral disease mostly spread by the Aedes aegypti mosquito across the globe. Each year, millions of people have dengue fever, and many die as a result. Since 2002, the severity of dengue in Bangladesh has increased, and in 2019, it reached its worst level ever. This research used satellite imagery to determine the spatial relationship between urban environmental components (UEC) and dengue incidence in Dhaka in 2019. Land surface temperature (LST), urban heat-island (UHI), land-use-land-cover (LULC), population census, and dengue patient data were evaluated. On the other hand, the temporal association between dengue and 2019 UEC data for Dhaka city, such as precipitation, relative humidity, and temperature, were explored. The calculation indicates that the LST in the research region varies between 21.59 and 33.33 degrees Celsius. Multiple UHIs are present within the city, with LST values ranging from 27 to 32 degrees Celsius. In 2019, these UHIs had a higher incidence of dengue. NDVI values between 0.18 and 1 indicate the presence of vegetation and plants, and the NDWI identifies waterbodies with values between 0 and 1. About 2.51%, 2.66%, 12.81%, and 82% of the city is comprised of water, bare ground, vegetation, and settlement, respectively. The kernel density estimate of dengue data reveals that the majority of dengue cases were concentrated in the city's north edge, south, north-west, and center. The dengue risk map was created by combining all of these spatial outputs (LST, UHI, LULC, population density, and dengue data) and revealed that UHIs of Dhaka are places with high ground temperature and lesser vegetation, waterbodies, and dense urban characteristics, with the highest incidence of dengue. The average yearly temperature in 2019 was 25.26 degrees Celsius. May was the warmest month, with an average monthly temperature of 28.83 degrees Celsius. The monsoon and post-monsoon seasons (middle of March to middle of September) of 2019 sustained higher ambient temperatures (>26 °C), greater relative humidity (>80%), and at least 150 mm of precipitation. The study reveals that dengue transmits faster under climatological circumstances characterized by higher temperatures, relative humidity, and precipitation.
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Affiliation(s)
- A. S. M. Maksud Kamal
- Department of Disaster Science and Climate Resilience, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Nahid Al-Montakim
- Geoinformatics Laboratory, Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Asif Hasan
- Geoinformatics Laboratory, Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
| | | | - Md. Yousuf Gazi
- Geoinformatics Laboratory, Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Mahin Uddin
- Geoinformatics Laboratory, Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Bodruddoza Mia
- Geoinformatics Laboratory, Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
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Dey SK, Rahman MM, Howlader A, Siddiqi UR, Uddin KMM, Borhan R, Rahman EU. Prediction of dengue incidents using hospitalized patients, metrological and socio-economic data in Bangladesh: A machine learning approach. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0270933. [PMID: 35857776 PMCID: PMC9299345 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Accepted: 06/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Dengue fever is a severe disease spread by Aedes mosquito-borne dengue viruses (DENVs) in tropical areas such as Bangladesh. Since its breakout in the 1960s, dengue fever has been endemic in Bangladesh, with the highest concentration of infections in the capital, Dhaka. This study aims to develop a machine learning model that can use relevant information about the factors that cause Dengue outbreaks within a geographic region. To predict dengue cases in 11 different districts of Bangladesh, we created a DengueBD dataset and employed two machine learning algorithms, Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). This research also explores the correlation among environmental factors like temperature, rainfall, and humidity with the rise and decline trend of Dengue cases in different cities of Bangladesh. The entire dataset was divided into an 80:20 ratio, with 80 percent used for training and 20% used for testing. The research findings imply that, for both the MLR with 67% accuracy along with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 4.57 and SVR models with 75% accuracy along with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 4.95, the number of dengue cases reduces throughout the winter season in the country and increases mainly during the rainy season in the next ten months, from August 2021 to May 2022. Importantly, Dhaka, Bangladesh's capital, will see the maximum number of dengue patients during this period. Overall, the results of this data-driven analysis show that machine learning algorithms have enormous potential for predicting dengue epidemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samrat Kumar Dey
- School of Science and Technology (SST), Bangladesh Open University (BOU), Gazipur, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Mahbubur Rahman
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering (CSE), Military Institute of Science and Technology (MIST), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Arpita Howlader
- Department of Computer and Communication Engineering (CCE), Patuakhali Science and Technology University (PSTU), Dumki, Patuakhali, Bangladesh
| | - Umme Raihan Siddiqi
- Department of Physiology, Shaheed Suhrawardy Medical College (ShSMC), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | | | - Rownak Borhan
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering (CSE), Dhaka International University (DIU), Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Elias Ur Rahman
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering (CSE), Dhaka International University (DIU), Dhaka, Bangladesh
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Yaladanda N, Mopuri R, Vavilala HP, Mutheneni SR. Modelling the impact of perfect and imperfect vaccination strategy against SARS CoV-2 by assuming varied vaccine efficacy over India. CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GLOBAL HEALTH 2022; 15:101052. [PMID: 35535224 PMCID: PMC9068602 DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2022.101052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2021] [Revised: 04/04/2022] [Accepted: 04/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The outbreak of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has swiftly spread globally and caused public health and socio-economic disruption in many countries. An epidemiological modelling studies in the susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) has played an important role for making effective public health policy to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. The aim of the present study is to investigate the optimal vaccination strategy to control the COVID-19 pandemic in India. Methods We have applied compartment mathematical model susceptible-vaccination-infectious-removed (SVIR) with different range of vaccine efficacy scenarios and predicted the population to be covered for vaccination per day in India as well as state level was performed. Results The model assumed that a vaccine has 100% efficacy, predicted that >5 million populace to be vaccinated per day to flatten the epidemic curve in India. Similarly, different vaccination mechanisms such as ‘all-or-nothing’ (AoN) and leaky vaccines does not have potential discordance in their effectiveness at higher efficacies (>70%). However, AoN vaccine was found to be marginally effective than leaky at lower efficacies (<70%) when administered at the higher coverage strategies. Further state level analyses were performed and it was found that 0.3, 0.3, 0.2 and 1 million vaccinations required per day in Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Kerala and Maharashtra as it assumes that the vaccine efficacy is 70%. Conclusion The proposed modelling approach shows a range of assumptions on the efficacy of vaccine which helps the health authorities to prioritize the vaccination strategies to prevent the transmission as well as disease.
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Xu T, Cui Y. Seasonal Variation Analysis for Weekly Cases, Deaths, and Hospitalizations of COVID-19 in the United States. ADVANCES IN EXPERIMENTAL MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/5584_2022_750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
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