Deep learning-based electrocardiographic screening for chronic kidney disease

From bytes to nephrons: AI's journey in diabetic kidney disease

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a significant complication of type 2 diabetes, posing a global health risk. Detecting and predicting diabetic kidney disease at an early stage is crucial for timely interventions and improved patient outcomes. Artificial intelligence (AI) has demonstrated promise in healthcare, and several tools have recently been developed that utilize Machine Learning with clinical data to detect and predict DKD. This review aims to explore the current landscape of AI and machine learning applications in DKD, specifically examining existing literature on risk scores and machine learning approaches for predicting DKD development. A literature search was conducted using Medline (PubMed), Google Scholar, and Scopus databases until July 2023. Relevant keywords were used to extract studies that described the role of AI in DKD. The review revealed that AI and machine learning have been successfully used to predict DKD progression, outperforming traditional risk score models. Artificial intelligence-driven research for DKD extends beyond prediction models, offering opportunities for integrating genetic and epigenetic data, advancing understanding of the disease's molecular basis, personalizing treatment strategies, and fostering the development of novel drugs. However, challenges remain, including the requirement for large datasets and the lack of standardization in AI-driven tools for DKD. Artificial intelligence and machine learning have the potential to revolutionize the management and care of DKD patients, surpassing the limitations of traditional methods reliant on existing knowledge. Future research should address the challenges associated with AI and machine learning in DKD and focus on developing AI-driven tools for clinical practice.

Using Deep learning to Predict Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Findings from Echocardiography Videos

Background

Echocardiography is the most common modality for assessing cardiac structure and function. While cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is less accessible, CMR can provide unique tissue characterization including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), T1 and T2 mapping, and extracellular volume (ECV) which are associated with tissue fibrosis, infiltration, and inflammation. While deep learning has been shown to uncover findings not recognized by clinicians, it is unknown whether CMR-based tissue characteristics can be derived from echocardiography videos using deep learning. We hypothesized that deep learning applied to echocardiography could predict CMR-based measurements.

Methods

In a retrospective single-center study, adult patients with CMRs and echocardiography studies within 30 days were included. A video-based convolutional neural network was trained on echocardiography videos to predict CMR-derived labels including wall motion abnormality (WMA) presence, LGE presence, and abnormal T1, T2 or ECV across echocardiography views. The model performance was evaluated in a held-out test dataset not used for training.

Results

The study population included 1,453 adult patients (mean age 56±18 years, 42% female) with 2,556 paired echocardiography studies occurring on average 2 days after CMR (interquartile range 2 days prior to 6 days after). The model had high predictive capability for presence of WMA (AUC 0.873 [95%CI 0.816-0.922]), however, the model was unable to reliably detect the presence of LGE (AUC 0.699 [0.613-0.780]), native T1 (AUC 0.614 [0.500-0.715]), T2 0.553 [0.420-0.692], or ECV 0.564 [0.455-0.691]).

Conclusions

Deep learning applied to echocardiography accurately identified CMR-based WMA, but was unable to predict tissue characteristics, suggesting that signal for these tissue characteristics may not be present within ultrasound videos, and that the use of CMR for tissue characterization remains essential within cardiology.

Clinical Perspective

Tissue characterization of the heart muscle is useful for clinical diagnosis and prognosis by identifying myocardial fibrosis, inflammation, and infiltration, and can be measured using cardiac MRI. While echocardiography is highly accessible and provides excellent functional information, its ability to provide tissue characterization information is limited at this time. Our study using a deep learning approach to predict cardiac MRI-based tissue characteristics from echocardiography showed limited ability to do so, suggesting that alternative approaches, including non-deep learning methods should be considered in future research.

An ECG-based artificial intelligence model for assessment of sudden cardiac death risk

BACKGROUND

Conventional ECG-based algorithms could contribute to sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk stratification but demonstrate moderate predictive capabilities. Deep learning (DL) models use the entire digital signal and could potentially improve predictive power. We aimed to train and validate a 12 lead ECG-based DL algorithm for SCD risk assessment.

METHODS

Out-of-hospital SCD cases were prospectively ascertained in the Portland, Oregon, metro area. A total of 1,827 pre- cardiac arrest 12 lead ECGs from 1,796 SCD cases were retrospectively collected and analyzed to develop an ECG-based DL model. External validation was performed in 714 ECGs from 714 SCD cases from Ventura County, CA. Two separate control group samples were obtained from 1342 ECGs taken from 1325 individuals of which at least 50% had established coronary artery disease. The DL model was compared with a previously validated conventional 6 variable ECG risk model.

RESULTS

The DL model achieves an AUROC of 0.889 (95% CI 0.861-0.917) for the detection of SCD cases vs. controls in the internal held-out test dataset, and is successfully validated in external SCD cases with an AUROC of 0.820 (0.794-0.847). The DL model performs significantly better than the conventional ECG model that achieves an AUROC of 0.712 (0.668-0.756) in the internal and 0.743 (0.711-0.775) in the external cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

An ECG-based DL model distinguishes SCD cases from controls with improved accuracy and performs better than a conventional ECG risk model. Further detailed investigation is warranted to evaluate how the DL model could contribute to improved SCD risk stratification.

Deep Learning of Electrocardiograms in Sinus Rhythm From US Veterans to Predict Atrial Fibrillation

Importance

Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) may help prevent adverse cardiovascular events such as stroke. Deep learning applied to electrocardiograms (ECGs) has been successfully used for early identification of several cardiovascular diseases.

Objective

To determine whether deep learning models applied to outpatient ECGs in sinus rhythm can predict AF in a large and diverse patient population.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prognostic study was performed on ECGs acquired from January 1, 1987, to December 31, 2022, at 6 US Veterans Affairs (VA) hospital networks and 1 large non-VA academic medical center. Participants included all outpatients with 12-lead ECGs in sinus rhythm.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A convolutional neural network using 12-lead ECGs from 2 US VA hospital networks was trained to predict the presence of AF within 31 days of sinus rhythm ECGs. The model was tested on ECGs held out from training at the 2 VA networks as well as 4 additional VA networks and 1 large non-VA academic medical center.

Results

A total of 907 858 ECGs from patients across 6 VA sites were included in the analysis. These patients had a mean (SD) age of 62.4 (13.5) years, 6.4% were female, and 93.6% were male, with a mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes mellitus, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism, vascular disease, age, sex category) score of 1.9 (1.6). A total of 0.2% were American Indian or Alaska Native, 2.7% were Asian, 10.7% were Black, 4.6% were Latinx, 0.7% were Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, 62.4% were White, 0.4% were of other race or ethnicity (which is not broken down into subcategories in the VA data set), and 18.4% were of unknown race or ethnicity. At the non-VA academic medical center (72 483 ECGs), the mean (SD) age was 59.5 (15.4) years and 52.5% were female, with a mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1.6 (1.4). A total of 0.1% were American Indian or Alaska Native, 7.9% were Asian, 9.4% were Black, 2.9% were Latinx, 0.03% were Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, 74.8% were White, 0.1% were of other race or ethnicity, and 4.7% were of unknown race or ethnicity. A deep learning model predicted the presence of AF within 31 days of a sinus rhythm ECG on held-out test ECGs at VA sites with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.85-0.86), accuracy of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.78), and F1 score of 0.30 (95% CI, 0.30-0.31). At the non-VA site, AUROC was 0.93 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94); accuracy, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.86-0.88); and F1 score, 0.46 (95% CI, 0.44-0.48). The model was well calibrated, with a Brier score of 0.02 across all sites. Among individuals deemed high risk by deep learning, the number needed to screen to detect a positive case of AF was 2.47 individuals for a testing sensitivity of 25% and 11.48 for 75%. Model performance was similar in patients who were Black, female, or younger than 65 years or who had CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 2 or greater.

Conclusions and Relevance

Deep learning of outpatient sinus rhythm ECGs predicted AF within 31 days in populations with diverse demographics and comorbidities. Similar models could be used in future AF screening efforts to reduce adverse complications associated with this disease.