Prognostic factors in the palliation of pancreatic cancer

New model to predict survival in advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients by measuring GGT and LDH levels and monocyte count

Introduction

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a lethal cancer with a poor survival outcome. Predicting patient survival allows physicians to tailor treatments to specific individuals. Thus, a simple and cost-effective prognosis model is sorely needed.

Methods

This retrospective study assesses the prognostic value of blood biomarkers in advanced and metastatic PDAC patients (n=96) from Spain. Cut-off points for hematological parameters were calculated and correlated with overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier, log-rank test, robust Cox proportional hazards and logistic regressions.

Results

In univariate analysis, individuals with low levels of GGT, LDH, ALP, leukocyte-, neutrophil- and monocyte counts showed significantly longer survival than patients with higher levels. In multivariate analysis, lower levels of GGT (HR (95%CI), 2.734 (1.223-6.111); p=0.014), LDH (HR (95%CI), 1.876 (1.035-3.400); p=0.038) and monocyte count (HR (95%CI), 1.657 (1.095-2.506); p = 0.017) remained significantly beneficial. In consequence, we propose a prognostic model based on logistic regression (AUC=0.741) of these three biomarkers as a pioneer tool to estimate OS in PDAC.

Conclusion

This study has demonstrated that the joint use of GGT (<92.00), LDH (<220.00) and monocyte count (<800) are independent positive prognostic factors in PDAC that can predict one-year survival in a novel prognostic logistic model.

The impact of preoperative biliary drainage on postoperative healthcare-associated infections and clinical outcomes following pancreaticoduodenectomy: a ten-year retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is a complex procedure and easily accompanied by healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). This study aimed to assess the impact of PBD on postoperative infections and clinical outcomes in PD patients.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study were conducted in a tertiary hospital from January 2013 to December 2022. Clinical and epidemiological data were collected from HAIs surveillance system and analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 2842 patients who underwent PD, 247 (8.7%) were diagnosed with HAIs, with surgical site infection being the most frequent type (n = 177, 71.7%). A total of 369 pathogenic strains were detected, with Klebsiella pneumoniae having the highest proportion, followed by Enterococcu and Escherichia coli. Although no significant association were observed generally between PBD and postoperative HAIs, subgroup analysis revealed that PBD was associated with postoperative HAIs in patients undergoing robotic PD (aRR = 2.174; 95% CI:1.011-4.674; P = 0.047). Prolonging the interval between PBD and PD could reduce postoperative HAIs in patients with cholangiocarcinoma (≥4 week: aRR = 0.292, 95% CI 0.100-0.853; P = 0.024) and robotic PD (≤2 week: aRR = 3.058, 95% CI 1.178-7.940; P = 0.022). PBD was also found to increase transfer of patients to ICU (aRR = 1.351; 95% CI 1.119-1.632; P = 0.002), extended length of stay (P < 0.001) and postoperative length of stay (P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

PBD does not exhibit a significant association with postoperative HAIs or other outcomes. However, the implementation of robotic PD, along with a suitable extension of the interval between PBD and PD, appear to confer advantages concerning patients' physiological recuperation. These observations suggest potential strategies that may contribute to enhanced patient outcomes.

Isolation of Oral Bacteria, Measurement of the C-Reactive Protein, and Blood Clinical Parameters in Dogs with Oral Tumor

Canine oral cancers have a poor prognosis and are related to chronic inflammation. This may pose a risk of secondary bacterial infection. This study aimed to compare the bacteria isolated from oral swab samples, values of C-reactive proteins (CRPs), and clinical blood profiles of dogs with and without oral mass. A total of 36 dogs were divided in three groups: no oral mass (n = 21), oral mass (n = 8), and metastasis groups (n = 7). Significantly, both the clinical groups (the oral mass group and metastasis group) showed anemia, a decrease in the albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR), and an increase in the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), globulin-to-albumin ratio (GAR), CRP, and CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR) compared to the normal group. CAR showed an increasing trend in the oral mass and metastasis groups (10 times and 100 times, respectively) compared to the no oral mass group (P < 0.001). Neisseria spp. (20.78%) was the main isolated bacteria in all groups. The main genera in the no oral mass group were Neisseria spp. (28.26%), Pasteurella spp. (19.57%), and Staphylococcus spp. (19.57%). Neisseria spp., Staphylococcus spp., Klebsiella spp., and Escherichia spp. were found equally (12.5%) in the oral mass group. Escherichia spp. (26.67%), Pseudomonas spp. (13.33%), and Staphylococcus spp. (13.33%) were the main genera in the metastasis group. Interestingly, Neisseria spp. decreased in the clinical groups (Fisher's exact = 6.39, P=0.048), and Escherichia spp. increased in the metastasis group (Fisher's exact = 14.00, P=0.002). The difference of oral bacteria in clinical dogs compared to healthy dogs may be related to microbiome alterations, and both the clinical groups showed the increment of inflammatory biomarkers. This suggested that further studies should be conducted on the correlation between the specific bacteria, CRP, blood clinical parameters, and type of canine oral mass.

Development and validation of a 90-day mortality prediction model following endobiliary drainage in patients with unresectable malignant biliary obstruction

Background

Palliative endobiliary drainage is the mainstay treatment for unresectable malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). Despite optimal drainage, the survival benefit is arguable. This study aimed to identify factors predicting post-endoscopic drainage mortality and develop and validate a mortality prediction model.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data for 451 patients with unresectable pancreatobiliary cancers undergoing first endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP)-guided endobiliary stent placement between 2007 and 2017. We randomly assigned patients in a 3:1 fashion into a derivation cohort (n=339) and validation cohort (n=112). Predictors for 90-day mortality post-stenting were identified from the derivation cohort. A prediction model was subsequently developed and verified with the validation cohort.

Results

The overall 90-day mortality rate of the derivation cohort was 46.9%, and the mean age was 64.2 years. The 2 most common diagnoses were cholangiocarcinoma (53.4%) and pancreatic cancer (35.4%). In all, 34.2% had liver metastasis. The median total bilirubin (TB) level was 19.2 mg/dL, and the mean serum albumin was 3.2 g/dL. A metallic stent was used for 64.6% of the patients, and the median stent patency time was 63 days. A total of 70.8% had TB improvement of more than 50% within 2 weeks after stenting, and 14.5% were eligible for chemotherapy. Intrahepatic obstruction (OR=5.69; P=0.023), stage IV cancer (OR=3.01; P=0.001), pre-endoscopic serum albumin (OR=0.48; P=0.001), TB improvement within 2 weeks after stenting (OR=0.57; P=0.036), and chemotherapy after ERCP (OR=0.11; P&lt;0.001) were associated with 90-day mortality after stenting. The prediction model was developed to identify the risk of death within 90 days post-stent placement. The AUROC was 0.76 and 0.75 in derivation and validation cohorts. Patients with a score ≥ 1.40 had a high likelihood of death, whereas those scoring &lt; -1.50 had a low likelihood of death. Additionally, a score ≥ 0.58 provided a 75.2% probability of death, which highlights the usability of the model.

Conclusions

This study proposes a useful validated prediction model to forecast the 90-day mortality of unresectable MBO patients after stenting. The model permits physicians to stratify the death risk and may be helpful to provide a proper palliative strategy.

Stent Selection in Preoperative Biliary Drainage for Patients With Operable Pancreatic Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Therapy: A Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

With the increasing use of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in patients with pancreatic cancer to reduce tumor burden on prognosis, preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) is becoming increasingly necessary. The aim of this study was to summarize the latest evidence and compare the clinical efficacy of metal stents (MS) and plastic stents (PS) in patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy for operable pancreatic cancer. Eligible studies were searched in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library from their inception to September 2021. In this study, RevMan 5.4 was used to perform the analyses. Two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and six retrospective studies with 316 patients were included. All patients had pancreatic cancer and received NAT before surgical resection. Meta-analysis showed that the rate of endoscopic reintervention in MS (26/143, 18%) group was lower than that of PS (122/153, 80%) group (P < 0.05). The rate of stent-related complications in MS group was lower (18/118, 15%) than that of PS (52/117, 44%) group (P = 0.02). But there were no significant differences in operative time, operative blood loss, overall postoperative complications, postoperative hospitalization days and total medical costs between the two groups. For operable pancreatic cancer patients undergoing NAT surgery, MS was preferred over PS in terms of the incidence of endoscopic reintervention and stent-related complications. More clinical trials are needed in the future to confirm these data with higher levels of evidence.

Efficacy and safety of preoperative biliary drainage in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) on outcomes of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) in patients with biliary obstruction.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane library, and Web of Science from database inception to 11 March 2021. We used the ROBINS-I tool and Cochrane risk of bias tool 2.0 to assess the risk of bias. The data were statistically analyzed using the RevMan software (Version 5.4).

RESULTS

In all, 43 studies, including 23,076 patients, were analyzed, of which 13,922 patients were treated with PBD and 9154 were treated with no preoperative biliary drainage (NPBD). The morbidity     , infection morbidity      , and postoperative pancreatic fistulae (POPF)       in patients undergoing PBD, were significantly higher than those in patients undergoing NPBD. Further, PBD may lead to a significantly worse 2- and 3-year overall survival (OS) rates           . In subgroup meta-analysis, the differences in morbidity, POPF, and OS outcomes lost significance between the PBD and NPBD groups when the mean total serum bilirubin (TSB) concentration was below 15 mg/dl.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine PBD still cannot be recommended because it showed no beneficial effect on postoperative outcomes. However, in patients with < 15 mg/dl TSB concentration, PBD tends to be a better choice.

Bacteriobilia resistance to antibiotic prophylaxis increases morbidity after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a monocentric retrospective study of 128 patients

Several studies attempted to determine whether there is a relationship between the use of preoperative biliary drainage and morbidity after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). We retrospectively evaluated post-PD outcome in patients with and without preoperative biliary drainage and the role of bacteriobilia and antibiotic prophylaxis in post-operative complications. Data relating to the PDs performed at the Hepato-Bilio-Pancreatic Surgical Department of Treviso Hospital between 2010 and 2017 were retrospectively evaluated. Morbidity and intra-hospital mortality related to preoperative biliary stent were the primary outcomes. Between 2010 and 2017, 128 patients (mean age 68 years) underwent PD; 72 were treated with early surgery (ES) and 56 underwent preoperative biliary drainage (PBD). Overall morbidity was 50% in the ES cohort and 43% in the PBD (ns, p = 0.43). In the PBD group, bacteriobilia was found in the 100% of the bile cultures (48; 8 unavailable). The microbiota was represented by: Klebsiella spp (48%), Enterococcus spp (29%), E. coli (27%) and Candida spp (21%). In 52% of cases, at least one of the isolated bacteria was resistant to the perioperative antibiotic prophylaxis (69% of cases Amoxicillin-Clavulanic Ac.). The majority of postoperative surgical complications occurred in patients with prophylaxis-resistant bacteriobilia (68% vs 39%; p = 0.04). Antibiotic resistance is a determining factor in morbidity after PD. We therefore propose to pay particular attention to the preoperative prophylaxis, diversifying it between drained and non-drained patients. In fact, in the former, appropriate broad spectrum preoperative antibiotic coverage is strongly suggested.

Serum gamma-glutamyltransferase and the overall survival of metastatic pancreatic cancer

Background

Accumulating evidence suggests that Gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) may be involved in cancer occurrence and progression. However, the prognostic role of serum GGT in pancreatic cancer (PC) survival lacks adequate evaluation. In this study, we aimed to analyze the association between serum GGT measured at diagnosis and overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic PC.

Methods

We identified 320 patients with histopathologically confirmed metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) diagnosed during 2015 and 2016 at a specialized cancer hospital in southwestern China. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards models were used to determine associations between serum GGT and OS in metastatic PDAC.

Results

Controlled for possible confounding factors, serum GGT was significantly associated with OS: serum GGT > 48 U/L yielded a hazard ratio of 1.53 (95% CI: 1.19–1.97) for mortality risk. A significant dose-response association between serum GGT and OS was also observed. Subgroup analysis showed a possible interaction between GGT and blood glucose level.

Conclusion

Serum GGT could be a potential indicator of survival in metastatic PDAC patients. Underlying mechanisms for this association should be investigated.

Prognostic value of γ-glutamyltransferase-to-albumin ratio in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma following radical surgery

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a devastating malignancy with poor prognosis. Many preoperative biomarkers can predict postoperative survival of PDAC patients. In this study, we created a novel ratio index based on preoperative liver function test, γ‐glutamyltransferase‐to‐albumin ratio (GAR), and evaluated its prognostic value in predicting clinical outcomes of PDAC patients following radical surgery. We retrospectively enrolled 833 PDAC patients who had underwent radical surgery at our institution between January 2010 and January 2017. Patients were divided into two groups according to the cut‐off value of GAR. Univariate and multivariate survival analysis between the groups were evaluated. TNM stage, GAR, preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen 19‐9 (CA19‐9) and tumor differentiation were combined to generate a more accurate prognostic model. The optimal cut‐off value of GAR was 0.65. Significant correlations were found between GAR and tumor location, tumor size, vascular invasion, obstructive jaundice, biliary drainage and parameters of liver function test. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that high level of GAR independently predicted poorer postoperative overall survival (OS, P < 0.001) and recurrence‐free survival (RFS, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis demonstrated that GAR was predictive of survival in patients without biliary obstruction or severely impaired liver function. In addition, integration of GAR, preoperative serum CA19‐9, and tumor differentiation into TNM staging system could better stratify the prognosis for PDAC patients compared with TNM stage alone. Our study demonstrates that preoperative GAR is an independent prognostic factor for prediction of surgical outcomes in PDAC patients. Combination of TNM stage, GAR, preoperative serum CA19‐9, and tumor differentiation can enhance the prognostic accuracy.

Laparoscopic gastrojejunostomy for gastric outlet obstruction in patients with unresectable hepatopancreatobiliary cancers: A personal series and systematic review of the literature

The major symptoms of advanced hepatopancreatic-biliary cancer are biliary obstruction, pain and gastric outlet obstruction (GOO). For obstructive jaundice, surgical treatment should de consider in recurrent stent complications. The role of surgery for pain relief is marginal nowadays. On the last, there is no consensus for treatment of malignant GOO. Endoscopic duodenal stents are associated with shorter length of stay and faster relief to oral intake with more recurrent symptoms. Surgical gastrojejunostomy shows better long-term results and lower re-intervention rates, but there are limited data about laparoscopic approach. We performed a systematic review of the literature, according PRISMA guidelines, to search for articles on laparoscopic gastrojejunostomy for malignant GOO treatment. We also report our personal series, from 2009 to 2017. A review of the literature suggests that there is no standardized surgical technique either standardized outcomes to report. Most of the studies are case series, so level of evidence is low. Decision-making must consider medical condition, nutritional status, quality of life and life expectancy. Evaluation of the patient and multidisciplinary expertise are required to select appropriate approach. Given the limited studies and the difficulty to perform prospective controlled trials, no study can answer all the complexities of malignant GOO and more outcome data is needed.

Comparison of Metal and Plastic Stents for Preoperative Biliary Drainage in Resectable and Borderline Resectable Periampullary Cancer: A Meta-Analysis and System Review

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the plastic stents with metal stents for preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) in terms of the rate of endoscopic reintervention and PBD-related pre- and postoperative complications in patients with resectable and borderline resectable periampullary cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive search of the PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library database to identify relevant available articles from their inception to September 2017. The odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated to compare the incidence of endoscopic reintervention and stent-related complications between the plastic and metal stents groups. Also, we used RevMan 5.3 to perform the pooled analyses.

RESULTS

Four trials (three randomized controlled trials [RCT] and one prospective clinical trial) with 392 patients were included. One hundred seventy-four patients received metal stents for PBD, and 218 patients received plastic stents. The metal stents group had a significant lower rate of endoscopic reintervention (OR = 0.30, 95% CI = 0.13-0.73, P = .008) and preoperative cholangitis (OR = 3.60, 95% CI = 1.62-7.98, P = .002) compared with the plastic stents group. But there was a significantly higher rate of PBD-related pancreatitis (OR = 3.60, 95% CI = 1.62-7.98, P = .002) in the metal stents group.

CONCLUSIONS

The present meta-analysis revealed that metal stents have significantly lower rate of reintervention and cholangitis than plastic stents. But plastic stents have an obvious superiority over metal stents in terms of the incidence of preoperative pancreatitis. More RCTs are required to support this conclusion and provide more detailed information about the complications and treatment. Meanwhile, a uniform standard for the PBD is required in patients with malignant distal biliary obstruction.

Metabolism of Glutathione S-Conjugates: Multiple Pathways

Many potentially toxic electrophilic xenobiotics and some endogenous compounds are detoxified by conversion to the corresponding glutathione S-conjugate, which is metabolized to the N-acetylcysteine S-conjugate (mercapturate) and excreted. Some mercapturate pathway components, however, are toxic. Bioactivation (toxification) may occur when the glutathione S-conjugate (or mercapturate) is converted to a cysteine S-conjugate that undergoes a β-lyase reaction. If the sulfhydryl-containing fragment produced in this reaction is reactive, toxicity may ensue. Some drugs and halogenated workplace/environmental contaminants are bioactivated by this mechanism. On the other hand, cysteine S-conjugate β-lyases occur in nature as a means of generating some biologically useful sulfhydryl-containing compounds.

Prognostic significance of preoperative gamma-glutamyltransferase to lymphocyte ratio index in nonfunctional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors after curative resection

Various inflammation-based prognostic scores have been associated with reduced survival in patients with nonfunctional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (NF-PNET). However, few studies have illuminated the relationship between the preoperative gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) to lymphocyte ratio index (GLRI) and the prognosis of NF-PNET. A retrospective review of 125 NF-PNET patients following curative resection was conducted. The cut-off values for the inflammation-based prognostic scores, including GLRI, were selected using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Univariate, multivariate and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to calculate overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The optimal cut-off value for GLRI was 10.3. Multivariate analysis showed that GLRI was an independent predictor of OS (P = 0.001) and DFS (P = 0.007) for NF-PNET. Kaplan-Meier analysis also showed that preoperative GLRI had significant prognostic value in various subgroups of patients with NF-PNET. The discriminatory capability of GLRI was superior to that of other inflammation-based scores in OS prediction. Furthermore, the predictive range was expanded by incorporating GLRI into the conventional stratification systems, including AJCC staging and WHO classification. These results indicated that preoperative GLRI was an independent predictor for NF-PNET patients undergoing curative resection. The incorporation of GLRI into the existing conventional stratification systems resulted in improved predictive accuracy.

Analysis on survival and prognostic factors in patients with resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma

Survival after pancreatic cancer surgery is extremely unfavorable even after curative resection. Prognostic factors have been explored but remain largely undefined. The present study was to identify the role of clinical and laboratory variables in the prognostic significance of resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma. A total of 96 patients who underwent curative resection for pancreatic cancer were included. Survival was evaluated based on complete follow-up visits and was associated with potential prognostic factors using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model survival analyses. The results showed that prognostic variables significantly reduced survival, including old age, poorly differentiated tumors, elevated tumor markers and positive lymph node metastasis (LNM). Age of older than 60 years (HR=1.83, P=0.04), LNM (HR=2.22, P=0.01), lymph node ratio (0<LNR≤0.2, HR=1.38, P=0.042; LNR>0.2, HR=1.92, P=0.017), initial CA199 (HR=4.80, P=0.004), and CEA level (HR=2.59, P=0.019) were identified as independent prognostic factors by multivariate analysis. It was concluded that LNR may be potent predictor of survival and suggests that surgeons and the pathologists should thoroughly assess lymph nodes prior to surgery.

Factors influencing survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and synchronous liver metastases receiving palliative care

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and synchronous liver metastases (PACLM) have an extremely limited life expectancy. We performed a single-center analysis to explore the clinical results and prognostic factors of patients with PACLM receiving palliative care.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 189 patients undergoing palliative care at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital over a 15-year period. Clinical characteristics, survival condition, and factors associated with survival were analyzed. Treatment methods included palliative bypass surgery, percutaneous transhepatic cholangiodrainage, drug analgesia, symptomatic treatment, and other nutritional or supportive measures.

RESULTS

The overall survival (OS) was 3.6 months for all patients. Multivariate analysis for clinical features showed that Karnofsky performance score (KPS), ascites, cigarette smoking, primary tumor size, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were prognostic variables with statistical significance (P < 0.05). The patients were classified into three groups of patients according to how many of these 5 risk factors were present: 0-1, 2, or 3-5 risk factors. The median OS of the 3 groups of patients were 5.0, 3.3, and 2.5 months, respectively, with a notable statistical significance (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

KPS<80, ascites, cigarette smoking, primary tumor size≥5 cm, and LDH≥250U/L are effective predictive factors of poor prognosis for patients with PACLM. The stratification of treatment outcome groups based on these factors facilitates evaluation of individual prognosis and can guide clinical decisions.

Imaging modalities for characterising focal pancreatic lesions

BACKGROUND

Increasing numbers of incidental pancreatic lesions are being detected each year. Accurate characterisation of pancreatic lesions into benign, precancerous, and cancer masses is crucial in deciding whether to use treatment or surveillance. Distinguishing benign lesions from precancerous and cancerous lesions can prevent patients from undergoing unnecessary major surgery. Despite the importance of accurately classifying pancreatic lesions, there is no clear algorithm for management of focal pancreatic lesions.

OBJECTIVES

To determine and compare the diagnostic accuracy of various imaging modalities in detecting cancerous and precancerous lesions in people with focal pancreatic lesions.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, and Science Citation Index until 19 July 2016. We searched the references of included studies to identify further studies. We did not restrict studies based on language or publication status, or whether data were collected prospectively or retrospectively.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We planned to include studies reporting cross-sectional information on the index test (CT (computed tomography), MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), PET (positron emission tomography), EUS (endoscopic ultrasound), EUS elastography, and EUS-guided biopsy or FNA (fine-needle aspiration)) and reference standard (confirmation of the nature of the lesion was obtained by histopathological examination of the entire lesion by surgical excision, or histopathological examination for confirmation of precancer or cancer by biopsy and clinical follow-up of at least six months in people with negative index tests) in people with pancreatic lesions irrespective of language or publication status or whether the data were collected prospectively or retrospectively.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently searched the references to identify relevant studies and extracted the data. We planned to use the bivariate analysis to calculate the summary sensitivity and specificity with their 95% confidence intervals and the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) to compare the tests and assess heterogeneity, but used simpler models (such as univariate random-effects model and univariate fixed-effect model) for combining studies when appropriate because of the sparse data. We were unable to compare the diagnostic performance of the tests using formal statistical methods because of sparse data.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 54 studies involving a total of 3,196 participants evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of various index tests. In these 54 studies, eight different target conditions were identified with different final diagnoses constituting benign, precancerous, and cancerous lesions. None of the studies was of high methodological quality. None of the comparisons in which single studies were included was of sufficiently high methodological quality to warrant highlighting of the results. For differentiation of cancerous lesions from benign or precancerous lesions, we identified only one study per index test. The second analysis, of studies differentiating cancerous versus benign lesions, provided three tests in which meta-analysis could be performed. The sensitivities and specificities for diagnosing cancer were: EUS-FNA: sensitivity 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.07 to 1.00), specificity 1.00 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.00); EUS: sensitivity 0.95 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.99), specificity 0.53 (95% CI 0.31 to 0.74); PET: sensitivity 0.92 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.97), specificity 0.65 (95% CI 0.39 to 0.84). The third analysis, of studies differentiating precancerous or cancerous lesions from benign lesions, only provided one test (EUS-FNA) in which meta-analysis was performed. EUS-FNA had moderate sensitivity for diagnosing precancerous or cancerous lesions (sensitivity 0.73 (95% CI 0.01 to 1.00) and high specificity 0.94 (95% CI 0.15 to 1.00), the extremely wide confidence intervals reflecting the heterogeneity between the studies). The fourth analysis, of studies differentiating cancerous (invasive carcinoma) from precancerous (dysplasia) provided three tests in which meta-analysis was performed. The sensitivities and specificities for diagnosing invasive carcinoma were: CT: sensitivity 0.72 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.87), specificity 0.92 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.97); EUS: sensitivity 0.78 (95% CI 0.44 to 0.94), specificity 0.91 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.98); EUS-FNA: sensitivity 0.66 (95% CI 0.03 to 0.99), specificity 0.92 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.98). The fifth analysis, of studies differentiating cancerous (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) versus precancerous (low- or intermediate-grade dysplasia) provided six tests in which meta-analysis was performed. The sensitivities and specificities for diagnosing cancer (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) were: CT: sensitivity 0.87 (95% CI 0.00 to 1.00), specificity 0.96 (95% CI 0.00 to 1.00); EUS: sensitivity 0.86 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.92), specificity 0.91 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.96); EUS-FNA: sensitivity 0.47 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.70), specificity 0.91 (95% CI 0.32 to 1.00); EUS-FNA carcinoembryonic antigen 200 ng/mL: sensitivity 0.58 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.83), specificity 0.51 (95% CI 0.19 to 0.81); MRI: sensitivity 0.69 (95% CI 0.44 to 0.86), specificity 0.93 (95% CI 0.43 to 1.00); PET: sensitivity 0.90 (95% CI 0.79 to 0.96), specificity 0.94 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.99). The sixth analysis, of studies differentiating cancerous (invasive carcinoma) from precancerous (low-grade dysplasia) provided no tests in which meta-analysis was performed. The seventh analysis, of studies differentiating precancerous or cancerous (intermediate- or high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) from precancerous (low-grade dysplasia) provided two tests in which meta-analysis was performed. The sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing cancer were: CT: sensitivity 0.83 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.92), specificity 0.83 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.93) and MRI: sensitivity 0.80 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.92), specificity 0.81 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.95), respectively. The eighth analysis, of studies differentiating precancerous or cancerous (intermediate- or high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) from precancerous (low-grade dysplasia) or benign lesions provided no test in which meta-analysis was performed.There were no major alterations in the subgroup analysis of cystic pancreatic focal lesions (42 studies; 2086 participants). None of the included studies evaluated EUS elastography or sequential testing.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

We were unable to arrive at any firm conclusions because of the differences in the way that study authors classified focal pancreatic lesions into cancerous, precancerous, and benign lesions; the inclusion of few studies with wide confidence intervals for each comparison; poor methodological quality in the studies; and heterogeneity in the estimates within comparisons.

Prognostic Significance of Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet Lymphocyte Ratio in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma Patients Treated with R-CHOP

Objectives The both values of neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were reported as indexes of systemic inflammation and readily available and inexpensive prognostic markers in patients with solid cancer. The objective of this study was to clarify whether the NLR and PLR were significant prognostic markers in Korean diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients treated with R-CHOP as a first line therapy. Methods : We retrospectively collected the clinical data of ninety nine DLBCL patients treated with R-CHOP from 2004 to 2012 and analyzed. NLR and PLR were calculated from complete blood count (CBC) and differential leukocyte count. Results : In univariate analysis, NLR was significantly associated with 5-year progression free survival(PFS) rate (P= 0.039), but not significantly associated with 5-year overal survival (OS) rate (P= 0.276). PLR was not significantly associated with 5-year PFS (P= 0.632) and OS rate (P= 0.855). In multivariate analysis, NLR was not a significant independent prognostic factor for 5-year PFS (P= 0.415) and OS rate (P= 0.991). Conclusion : The NLR can be considered a useful predictor of survival outcome. The PLR is not a valid predictor of survival outcome.

Value of preoperative biliary drainage on postoperative outcome after pancreaticoduodenectomy: A case-control study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

The potential benefit of preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) on postoperative outcomes remains controversial. The aim of this study was to elucidate surgical outcomes of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) in patients with PBD and to show the impact of bilirubin level.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied all patients who underwent PD in our center between January 2003 and June 2015. Patients were divided into: Group A (PBD) and Group B (no PBD). The primary outcome was the rate of postoperative complication.

RESULTS

A total of 588 cases underwent PD. Group A included 314 (53.4%) patients while Group B included 274 (46.6%) patients. The overall incidence of complications and its severity were higher in Group A (p = 0.03 and p = 0.02). There was significant difference in the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (p = 0.002), delayed gastric emptying (p = 0.005), biliary leakage (p = 0.04), abdominal collection (p = 0.04), and wound infection (p = 0.04) in Group A. The mean length of hospital stay was significantly longer in Group A than in Group B (12.86 ± 7.65 days vs. 11.05 ± 7.98 days, p = 0.01). No significant impact of preoperative bilirubin level on surgical outcome was detected.

CONCLUSION

PBD before PD was associated with major postoperative complications and stent-related complications.

Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Lymphocyte-Monocyte Ratios Reflect Immune Cell Population Rearrangement in Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) may serve as a simple index of the immune function. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of NLR, PLR, and LMR in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and to verify whether such biomarkers are associated with changes in populations of lymphoid cells.

METHODS

The prognostic implications of blood count parameters were evaluated in a retrospective cohort of 442 subjects undergoing pancreatic resections for PDAC. Subpopulations of lymphocytes and monocytes in peripheral blood were identified by FACS in a prospective cohort of 54 patients.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, NLR < 5 and LMR ≥ 3 were associated with significantly longer median survival of 25.7 vs 12.6 months and 29.2 vs 13.1 months, respectively. PLR did not influence survival. The Cox proportional hazards model showed that high NLR (HR 1.66, 95 % CI 1.12 to 2.46, P = 0.012) and low LMR (HR 1.65, 95 % CI 1.06 to 2.58, P = 0.026) were independent predictors of poor prognosis. NLR ≥ 5 and LMR < 3 correlated with an approximately twofold decrease in counts of helper and cytotoxic T cells, B cells, and NK cells. High NLR was also accompanied with increased neutrophil counts, while low LMR showed increased numbers of monocytes, mostly classical.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR and LMR may carry important prognostic information for patients with resected PDAC. The unfavorable prognosis likely correlates with reduced numbers of immune cells effective against the tumor and increased populations of cells involved in immune suppression.

Diagnostic accuracy of different imaging modalities following computed tomography (CT) scanning for assessing the resectability with curative intent in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Periampullary cancer includes cancer of the head and neck of the pancreas, cancer of the distal end of the bile duct, cancer of the ampulla of Vater, and cancer of the second part of the duodenum. Surgical resection is the only established potentially curative treatment for pancreatic and periampullary cancer. A considerable proportion of patients undergo unnecessary laparotomy because of underestimation of the extent of the cancer on computed tomography (CT) scanning. Other imaging methods such as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), positron emission tomography (PET), PET-CT, and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) have been used to detect local invasion or distant metastases not visualised on CT scanning which could prevent unnecessary laparotomy. No systematic review or meta-analysis has examined the role of different imaging modalities in assessing the resectability with curative intent in patients with pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of MRI, PET scan, and EUS performed as an add-on test or PET-CT as a replacement test to CT scanning in detecting curative resectability in pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Science Citation Index Expanded, and Health Technology Assessment (HTA) databases up to 5 November 2015. Two review authors independently screened the references and selected the studies for inclusion. We also searched for articles related to the included studies by performing the "related search" function in MEDLINE (OvidSP) and Embase (OvidSP) and a "citing reference" search (by searching the articles that cite the included articles).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic accuracy studies of MRI, PET scan, PET-CT, and EUS in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic and periampullary cancer on CT scan. We accepted any criteria of resectability used in the studies. We included studies irrespective of language, publication status, or study design (prospective or retrospective). We excluded case-control studies.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently performed data extraction and quality assessment using the QUADAS-2 (quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies - 2) tool. Although we planned to use bivariate methods for analysis of sensitivities and specificities, we were able to fit only the univariate fixed-effect models for both sensitivity and specificity because of the paucity of data. We calculated the probability of unresectability in patients who had a positive index test (post-test probability of unresectability in people with a positive test result) and in those with negative index test (post-test probability of unresectability in people with a positive test result) using the mean probability of unresectability (pre-test probability) from the included studies and the positive and negative likelihood ratios derived from the model. The difference between the pre-test and post-test probabilities gave the overall added value of the index test compared to the standard practice of CT scan staging alone.

MAIN RESULTS

Only two studies (34 participants) met the inclusion criteria of this systematic review. Both studies evaluated the diagnostic test accuracy of EUS in assessing the resectability with curative intent in pancreatic cancers. There was low concerns about applicability for most domains in both studies. The overall risk of bias was low in one study and unclear or high in the second study. The mean probability of unresectable disease after CT scan across studies was 60.5% (that is 61 out of 100 patients who had resectable cancer after CT scan had unresectable disease on laparotomy). The summary estimate of sensitivity of EUS for unresectability was 0.87 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54 to 0.97) and the summary estimate of specificity for unresectability was 0.80 (95% CI 0.40 to 0.96). The positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 4.3 (95% CI 1.0 to 18.6) and 0.2 (95% CI 0.0 to 0.8) respectively. At the mean pre-test probability of 60.5%, the post-test probability of unresectable disease for people with a positive EUS (EUS indicating unresectability) was 86.9% (95% CI 60.9% to 96.6%) and the post-test probability of unresectable disease for people with a negative EUS (EUS indicating resectability) was 20.0% (5.1% to 53.7%). This means that 13% of people (95% CI 3% to 39%) with positive EUS have potentially resectable cancer and 20% (5% to 53%) of people with negative EUS have unresectable cancer.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Based on two small studies, there is significant uncertainty in the utility of EUS in people with pancreatic cancer found to have resectable disease on CT scan. No studies have assessed the utility of EUS in people with periampullary cancer.There is no evidence to suggest that it should be performed routinely in people with pancreatic cancer or periampullary cancer found to have resectable disease on CT scan.

Can Molecular Biomarkers Change the Paradigm of Pancreatic Cancer Prognosis?

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is one of the most lethal types of tumour, and its incidence is rising worldwide. Although survival can be improved when these tumours are detected at an early stage, this cancer is usually asymptomatic, and the disease only becomes apparent after metastasis. The only prognostic biomarker approved by the FDA to date is carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9); however, the specificity of this biomarker has been called into question, and diagnosis is usually based on clinical parameters. Tumour size, degree of differentiation, lymph node status, presence of distant metastasis at diagnosis, protein levels of KI-67 or C-reactive protein, and mutational status of P53, KRAS, or BRCA2 are the most useful biomarkers in clinical practice. In addition to these, recent translational research has provided evidence of new biomarkers based on different molecules involved in endoplasmic reticulum stress, epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition, and noncoding RNA panels, especially microRNAs and long noncoding RNAs. These new prospects open new paths to tumour detection using minimally or noninvasive techniques such as liquid biopsies. To find sensitive and specific biomarkers to manage these patients constitutes a challenge for the research community and for public health policies.

Efficacy of preoperative biliary drainage in malignant obstructive jaundice: a meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND

In patients requiring surgical resection for malignant biliary jaundice, it is unclear if preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) would improve mortality and morbidity by restoration of biliary flow prior to operation. This is a meta-analysis to pool the evidence and assess the utility of PBD in patients with malignant obstructive jaundice. The primary outcome is comparing mortality outcomes in patients with malignant obstructive jaundice undergoing direct surgery (DS) versus PBD. The secondary outcomes include major adverse events and length of hospital stay in both the groups.

METHODS

Studies using PBD in patients with malignant obstructive jaundice were included in this study. For the data collection and extraction, articles were searched in MEDLINE, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials & Database of Systematic Reviews, etc. Pooled proportions were calculated using both Mantel-Haenszel method (fixed effects model) and DerSimonian-Laird method (random effects model).

RESULTS

Initial search identified 2230 reference articles, of which 204 were selected and reviewed. Twenty-six studies (N = 3532) for PBD in malignant obstructive jaundice which met the inclusion criteria were included in this analysis. The odds ratio for mortality in PBD group versus DS group was 0.96 (95 % CI = 0.71 to 1.29). Pooled number of major adverse effects was lower in the PBD group at 10.40 (95 % CI = 9.96 to 10.83) compared to 15.56 (95 % CI = 15.06 to 16.05) in the DS group. Subgroup analysis comparing internal PBD to DS group showed lower odds for major adverse events (odds ratio, 0.48 with 95 % CI = 0.32 to 0.74).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with malignant biliary jaundice requiring surgery, PBD group had significantly less major adverse effects than DS group. Length of hospital stay and mortality rate were comparable in both the groups.

Diagnostic accuracy of laparoscopy following computed tomography (CT) scanning for assessing the resectability with curative intent in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for pancreatic and periampullary cancer. A considerable proportion of patients undergo unnecessary laparotomy because of underestimation of the extent of the cancer on computed tomography (CT) scanning. Laparoscopy can detect metastases not visualised on CT scanning, enabling better assessment of the spread of cancer (staging of cancer). This is an update to a previous Cochrane Review published in 2013 evaluating the role of diagnostic laparoscopy in assessing the resectability with curative intent in people with pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of diagnostic laparoscopy performed as an add-on test to CT scanning in the assessment of curative resectability in pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE via OvidSP (from inception to 15 May 2016), and Science Citation Index Expanded (from 1980 to 15 May 2016).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic accuracy studies of diagnostic laparoscopy in people with potentially resectable pancreatic and periampullary cancer on CT scan, where confirmation of liver or peritoneal involvement was by histopathological examination of suspicious (liver or peritoneal) lesions obtained at diagnostic laparoscopy or laparotomy. We accepted any criteria of resectability used in the studies. We included studies irrespective of language, publication status, or study design (prospective or retrospective). We excluded case-control studies.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently performed data extraction and quality assessment using the QUADAS-2 tool. The specificity of diagnostic laparoscopy in all studies was 1 because there were no false positives since laparoscopy and the reference standard are one and the same if histological examination after diagnostic laparoscopy is positive. The sensitivities were therefore meta-analysed using a univariate random-effects logistic regression model. The probability of unresectability in people who had a negative laparoscopy (post-test probability for people with a negative test result) was calculated using the median probability of unresectability (pre-test probability) from the included studies, and the negative likelihood ratio derived from the model (specificity of 1 assumed). The difference between the pre-test and post-test probabilities gave the overall added value of diagnostic laparoscopy compared to the standard practice of CT scan staging alone.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 16 studies with a total of 1146 participants in the meta-analysis. Only one study including 52 participants had a low risk of bias and low applicability concern in the patient selection domain. The median pre-test probability of unresectable disease after CT scanning across studies was 41.4% (that is 41 out of 100 participants who had resectable cancer after CT scan were found to have unresectable disease on laparotomy). The summary sensitivity of diagnostic laparoscopy was 64.4% (95% confidence interval (CI) 50.1% to 76.6%). Assuming a pre-test probability of 41.4%, the post-test probability of unresectable disease for participants with a negative test result was 0.20 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.27). This indicates that if a person is said to have resectable disease after diagnostic laparoscopy and CT scan, there is a 20% probability that their cancer will be unresectable compared to a 41% probability for those receiving CT alone.A subgroup analysis of people with pancreatic cancer gave a summary sensitivity of 67.9% (95% CI 41.1% to 86.5%). The post-test probability of unresectable disease after being considered resectable on both CT and diagnostic laparoscopy was 18% compared to 40.0% for those receiving CT alone.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Diagnostic laparoscopy may decrease the rate of unnecessary laparotomy in people with pancreatic and periampullary cancer found to have resectable disease on CT scan. On average, using diagnostic laparoscopy with biopsy and histopathological confirmation of suspicious lesions prior to laparotomy would avoid 21 unnecessary laparotomies in 100 people in whom resection of cancer with curative intent is planned.

Pretreatment C-reactive protein level predicts outcome and patterns of failure after chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced pancreatic cancer

OBJECTIVES

In this study we evaluated the predictive value of pretreatment C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on patterns of failure and survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) who received chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

METHODS

Data from 65 patients who underwent CRT for LAPC from July 2001 to May 2013 were retrospectively collected. Factors, including age, gender, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS), histological confirmation, tumor size, tumor location, biliary drainage, stage, induction chemotherapy, CRP levels, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, albumin and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, were evaluated with regard to overall survival (OS) and patterns of failure using a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The 1-year OS and median follow-up for all of the patients were 63.9% and 15.2 months, respectively. The median survival time and 1-year OS were 18.0 months and 72.5%, respectively, in the patients with lower CRP levels (≤3.0 mg/L), whereas 11.0 months and 30.8%, respectively, in the patients with higher CRP levels (>3.0 mg/L). Thirty-seven patients had tumor recurrence after CRT. All of the patients with higher CRP levels developed distant metastases as a primary sign of treatment failure. In a multivariate analysis, higher CRP levels were significantly correlated with distant disease-free survival (p = 0.004, HR = 4.50) and OS (p = 0.004, HR = 3.001). By contrast, local progression-free survival was not significantly different between the CRP subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The CRP levels were a significant predictor of survival and distant disease control for the LAPC patients who received CRT.

Current status of preoperative biliary drainage

Preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) has been thought to be preferable regardless of the site of biliary strictures, e.g., distal or proximal strictures because PBD by endoscopy or interventional radiology decreases postoperative mortality and morbidity rates. However, recently, several studies have revealed that PBD strategy showed an increased mortality rate or a high frequency of surgical site infection. Herein, we reviewed reports in the literature regarding the current status of PBD and investigated the effects of PBD on patients with distal and proximal biliary obstructions due to potentially resectable pancreatobiliary cancers. Our summary demonstrated that there is as yet no optimal PBD method regardless of the distal and proximal biliary strictures because of the small sample size and the lack of better control groups in previous studies. Thus, prospective randomized studies with a large sample size are needed to establish the optimal mode of PBD and to evaluate the potential benefits of PBD in patients with both distal and proximal biliary obstructions.

Prognostic factors for gemcitabine-refractory patients with advanced pancreatic cancer: a retrospective analysis of a multicentre study (Anatolian Society of Medical Oncology)

Aim of the study

Systemic chemotherapy for patients with pancreatic cancer has limited impact on overall survival (OS). Patients eligible for chemotherapy should be selected carefully. The aim of the study was to search for prognostic factors for survival in patients with gemcitabine (Gem)-refractory or with gemcitabine and cisplatin (GemCis)-refractory advanced pancreatic cancer.

Material and methods

We retrospectively evaluated patients with Gem- or GemCis-refractory advanced pancreatic cancer. Sixteen potential prognostic variables were chosen for analysis in this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors associated with survival. Univariate and multivariate statistical methods were used to determine prognostic factors.

Results

Multivariate analysis included the four prognostic significance factors in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that liver metastasis and second-line chemotherapy were considered independent prognostic factors for survival.

Conclusions

Liver metastasis and second-line chemotherapy were identified as important prognostic factors in advanced pancreatic cancer patients refractory to treatment with Gem or GemCis. This prognostic factors may also facilitate pretreatment prediction of survival and can be used for selecting patients for treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic laparoscopy for assessing resectability in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

Background

Surgical resection is the only curative treatment for pancreatic and periampullary cancer, but many patients undergo unnecessary laparotomy because tumours can be understaged by computerised tomography (CT). A recent Cochrane review found diagnostic laparoscopy can decrease unnecessary laparotomy. We compared the cost-effectiveness of diagnostic laparoscopy prior to laparotomy versus direct laparotomy in patients with pancreatic and periampullary cancer with resectable disease based on CT scanning.

Method

Model based cost-utility analysis estimating mean costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient from the perspective of the UK National Health Service. A decision tree model was constructed using probabilities, outcomes and cost data from published sources. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken.

Results

When laparotomy following diagnostic laparoscopy occurred in a subsequent admission, diagnostic laparoscopy incurred similar mean costs per patient to direct laparotomy (£7470 versus £7480); diagnostic laparoscopy costs (£995) were offset by avoiding unnecessary laparotomy costs. Diagnostic laparoscopy produced significantly more mean QALYs per patient than direct laparotomy (0.346 versus 0.337). Results were sensitive to the accuracy of diagnostic laparoscopy and the probability that disease was unresectable. Diagnostic laparoscopy had 63 to 66% probability of being cost-effective at a maximum willingness to pay for a QALY of £20 000 to £30 000. When laparotomy was undertaken in the same admission as diagnostic laparoscopy the mean cost per patient of diagnostic laparoscopy increased to £8224.

Conclusions

Diagnostic laparoscopy prior to laparotomy in patients with CT-resectable cancer appears to be cost-effective in pancreatic cancer (but not in periampullary cancer), when laparotomy following diagnostic laparoscopy occurs in a subsequent admission.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12876-015-0270-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Preoperative biliary drainage

The role of preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) in patients with distal or proximal biliary obstruction secondary to resectable tumors has been a matter for debate. A review of the literature using Medline, Embase and Cochrane databases was undertaken for studies evaluating routes of drainage (endoscopic or percutaneous) and stent types (plastic or metal) in patients with resectable disease. Preoperative biliary drainage is indicated for relief of symptomatic jaundice, cholangitis, patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy or those patients where surgery may be delayed. Endoscopic methods are preferred over percutaneous methods because of lower complication rates. In patients with proximal biliary obstruction, PBD should be guided by imaging studies to aid in selective biliary cannulation for unilateral drainage in order to reduce the risk of cholangitis in undrained liver segments.

Chronic pancreatitis and systemic inflammatory response syndrome prevent impact of chemotherapy with gemcitabine in a genetically engineered mouse model of pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

BACKGROUND AND AIMSGemcitabine is the standard therapy for patients with pancreatic cancer with metastatic disease. Patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer presenting with increased values of C-reactive protein do not respond to gemcitabine. So far, no studies have evaluated the correlation between chronic pancreatitis, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and the loss of chemotherapeutic benefit.

METHODS

Pdx-1-Cre;LSL-Kras(G12D/+);LSL-Trp53(R172H/+) mice were assigned into four groups: 1) Sixteen animals received a daily intraperitoneal injection of caerulein from their ninth week of life on. 2) Sixteen mice were additionally given gemcitabine. 3) Twelve animals received gemcitabine only. 4) Saline-treated control group. Furthermore, human Paca44 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cells were seeded and cultured in 0.5% FBS containing growth medium plus/minus 1 μM gemcitabine plus/minus recombinant human interleukin (IL)-6.

RESULTS

Induced systemic inflammatory response syndrome and a mild chronic pancreatitis diminished the beneficial effects of gemcitabine upon median overall survival. In median, the monogemcitabine group survived 191 days, whereas the caerulein-mono group survived 114, the control group 121, and the caerulein gemcitabine group 127 days (P < .05). In vitro, the induction of STAT3 phosphorylation by recombinant human IL-6 promoted pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cell survival during gemcitabine treatment.

CONCLUSION

We could demonstrate for the first time that an improvement in median overall survival with gemcitabine is significantly abolished by a persistent mild chronic pancreatitis and a systemic inflammatory response syndrome. In particular, the inflammation biomarkers C-reactive protein, IL-6, and IL-1α could indicate the prognostic benefit of gemcitabine chemotherapy and should now be tested in prospective patient-controlled trials.

Meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials on safety and efficacy of biliary drainage before surgery for obstructive jaundice

BACKGROUND

This meta-analysis aimed to investigate whether preoperative biliary drainage (PBD) is beneficial to patients with obstructive jaundice.

METHODS

Data from randomized clinical trials related to safety and effectiveness of PBD versus no PBD were extracted by two independent reviewers. Risk ratios, rate ratios or mean differences were calculated with 95 per cent confidence intervals (c.i.), based on intention-to-treat analysis, whenever possible.

RESULTS

Six trials (four using percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage and two using endoscopic sphincterotomy) including 520 patients with malignant or benign obstructive jaundice comparing PBD (265 patients) with no PBD (255) were included in this review. All trials had a high risk of bias. There was no significant difference in mortality (risk ratio 1.12, 95 per cent c.i. 0.73 to 1.71; P = 0.60) between the two groups. Overall serious morbidity (grade III or IV, Clavien-Dindo classification) was higher in the PBD group (599 complications per 1000 patients) than in the direct surgery group (361 complications per 1000 patients) (rate ratio 1.66, 95 per cent c.i. 1.28 to 2.16; P < 0.001). Quality of life was not reported in any of the trials. There was no significant difference in length of hospital stay between the two groups: mean difference 4.87 (95 per cent c.i. -1.28 to 11.02) days (P = 0.12).

CONCLUSION

PBD in patients undergoing surgery for obstructive jaundice is associated with similar mortality but increased serious morbidity compared with no PBD. Therefore, PBD should not be used routinely.

Diagnostic accuracy of laparoscopy following computed tomography (CT) scanning for assessing the resectability with curative intent in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for pancreatic and periampullary cancer. A considerable proportion of patients undergo unnecessary laparotomy because of underestimation of the extent of the cancer on computed tomography (CT) scanning. Laparoscopy can detect metastases not visualised on CT scanning, enabling better assessment of the spread of cancer (staging of cancer). There has been no systematic review or meta-analysis assessing the role of diagnostic laparoscopy in assessing the resectability with curative intent in patients with pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of diagnostic laparoscopy performed as an add-on test to CT scanning in the assessment of curative resectability in pancreatic and periampullary cancer.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Register of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE via OvidSP (from inception to 13 September 2012), and Science Citation Index Expanded (from 1980 to 13 September 2012).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic accuracy studies of diagnostic laparoscopy in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic and periampullary cancer on CT scan, where confirmation of liver or peritoneal involvement was by histopathological examination of suspicious (liver or peritoneal) lesions obtained at diagnostic laparoscopy or laparotomy. We accepted any criteria of resectability used in the studies. We included studies irrespective of language, publication status, or study design (prospective or retrospective). We excluded case-control studies.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently performed data extraction and quality assessment using the QUADAS-2 tool. The specificity of diagnostic laparoscopy in all studies was 1 because there were no false positives since laparoscopy and the reference standard are one and the same if histological examination after diagnostic laparoscopy is positive. Therefore, the sensitivities were meta-analysed using a univariate random-effects logistic regression model. The probability of unresectability in patients who had a negative laparoscopy (post-test probability for patients with a negative test result) was calculated using the median probability of unresectability (pre-test probability) from the included studies and the negative likelihood ratio derived from the model (specificity of 1 assumed). The difference between the pre-test and post-test probabilities gave the overall added value of diagnostic laparoscopy compared to the standard practice of CT scan staging alone.

MAIN RESULTS

Fifteen studies with a total of 1015 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Only one study including 52 patients had a low risk of bias and low applicability concern in the patient selection domain. The median pre-test probability of unresectable disease after CT scanning across studies was 40.3% (that is 40 out of 100 patients who had resectable cancer after CT scan were found to have unresectable disease on laparotomy). The summary sensitivity of diagnostic laparoscopy was 68.7% (95% CI 54.3% to 80.2%). Assuming a pre-test probability of 40.3%, the post-test probability of unresectable disease for patients with a negative test result was 0.17 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.24). This indicates that if a patient is said to have resectable disease after diagnostic laparoscopy and CT scan, there is a 17% probability that their cancer will be unresectable compared to a 40% probability for those receiving CT alone.A subgroup analysis of patients with pancreatic cancer gave a summary sensitivity of 67.9% (95% CI 41.1% to 86.5%). The post-test probability of unresectable disease after being considered resectable on both CT and diagnostic laparoscopy was 18% compared to 40% for those receiving CT alone.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Diagnostic laparoscopy may decrease the rate of unnecessary laparotomy in patients with pancreatic and periampullary cancer found to have resectable disease on CT scan. On average, using diagnostic laparoscopy with biopsy and histopathological confirmation of suspicious lesions prior to laparotomy would avoid 23 unnecessary laparotomies in 100 patients in whom resection of cancer with curative intent is planned.

Characteristics, treatment and prognostic factors of patients with gynaecological malignancies treated in a palliative care unit at a university hospital

BACKGROUND

Limited clinical data have been published on patients suffering from advanced gynaecological malignancies treated in palliative care units, and little is known about prognostic factors.

METHODS

In a retrospective study, the data of 225 patients with breast, ovarian and cervical cancer treated in the palliative care unit of a university hospital between 1998 and 2009 were assembled. Clinical aspects and baseline symptoms, laboratory parameters, the clinical course, and outcome were evaluated.

RESULTS

225 patients (497 cases; cancer diagnoses: breast 79%, ovarian 13%, and cervix 8%) were included in the analysis. The main symptoms were weakness/fatigue (71%), pain (65%), anorexia/nausea (62%), and dyspnea (46%). Pain control was achieved in 85% of all cases, satisfying control of other symptoms in 80%. The median overall survival (OS) was 59 days. 53% of the patients died at the palliative care unit. In the Cox proportional hazards model, 8 parameters indicated an unfavourable outcome: anorexia/nausea, disordered mental status, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, γ-glutamyltransferase, leukocyte count, hypoalbuminaemia, anaemia and hypercalcaemia. Based on these parameters 3 risk groups were defined: low risk (0-2 factors), intermediate risk (3-5 factors), and high risk (6-8 factors). Median survival for high-risk group was 13 days, for intermediate group 61 days, and for low-risk patients 554 days (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Weakness/fatigue, pain and anorexia were the main symptoms leading to the hospitalisation of patients with gynaecological malignancies. Symptom and pain control was accomplished in 80% of cases. 8 parameters were identified as indicating a poor outcome, and patients showing at least 6 or more of these factors had a very limited prognosis. Although studied retrospectively, these results may be helpful for individual treatment decisions in patients with advanced gynaecological malignancies. Prospective data and the introduction of documentation systems could help to gain more powerful knowledge about the quality of palliative care.

The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) is a good predictor of indication for palliative bypass surgery in patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers

BACKGROUND

Patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers sometimes need decompression due to obstruction of the gastrointestinal tract and/or biliary tract. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic factors associated with an indication for palliative bypass surgery in patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers.

METHODS

Between April 2005 and September 2011, 37 patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers underwent palliative bypass surgery. Prognostic factors were searched for among clinical characteristics, operation-related factors, and tumor-related factors using a prospective database.

RESULTS

The median survival time (MST) of these patients was 4.6 months, with a 6-month survival rate of 40.5 %. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that mGPS >2 was the only independent prognostic factor for bypass surgery. Patients with an mGPS of 2 had an MST of 1.7 months, and they had a significantly worse prognosis than mGPS 0-1 patients with an MST of 6.3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

The mGPS is useful for predicting survival after surgical decompression due to gastrointestinal obstruction in patients with unresectable pancreatic and biliary cancers. Patients with a poor mGPS may not be indicated for palliative bypass surgery.

Prophylactic gastrojejunostomy for unresectable periampullary carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The role of prophylactic gastrojejunostomy in patients with unresectable periampullary cancer is controversial.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether prophylactic gastrojejunostomy should be performed routinely in patients with unresectable periampullary cancer.

SEARCH METHODS

For the initial version of this review, we searched the Cochrane Upper Gastrointestinal and Pancreatic Diseases Group Trials Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library 2010, issue 3), MEDLINE, EMBASE and Science Citation Index Expanded until April 2010. Literature searches were re-run in August 2012.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials comparing prophylactic gastrojejunostomy versus no gastrojejunostomy in patients with unresectable periampullary cancer (irrespective of language or publication status).

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently assessed trials for inclusion and independently extracted data. We analysed data with both the fixed-effect and the random-effects models using Review Manager (RevMan). We calculated the hazard ratio (HR), risk ratio (RR), and mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) based on an intention-to-treat or available case analysis.

MAIN RESULTS

We identified two trials (of high risk of bias) involving 152 patients randomised to gastrojejunostomy (80 patients) and no gastrojejunostomy (72 patients). In both trials, patients were found to be unresectable during exploratory laparotomy. Most of the patients also underwent biliary-enteric drainage. There was no evidence of difference in the overall survival (HR 1.02; 95% CI 0.84 to 1.25), peri-operative mortality or morbidity, quality of life, or hospital stay (MD 0.97 days; 95%CI -0.18 to 2.12) between the two groups. The proportion of patients who developed long-term gastric outlet obstruction was significantly lower in the prophylactic gastrojejunostomy group (2/80; 2.5%) compared with no gastrojejunostomy group (20/72; 27.8%) (RR 0.10; 95%CI 0.03 to 0.37). The operating time was significantly longer in the gastrojejunostomy group compared with no gastrojejunostomy group (MD 45.00 minutes; 95%CI 21.39 to 68.61).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Routine prophylactic gastrojejunostomy is indicated in patients with unresectable periampullary cancer undergoing exploratory laparotomy (with or without hepaticojejunostomy).

Long term survivors with metastatic pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine alone or plus cisplatin: a retrospective analysis of an Anatolian Society of Medical Oncology multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The majority of patients with pancreatic cancer present with advanced disease. Systemic chemotherapy has limited impact on overall survival (OS) so that eligible patients should be selected carefully. The aim of this study was to analyze prognostic factors for survival in Turkish advanced pancreatic cancer patients who survived more than one year from the diagnosis of recurrent and/or metastatic disease and receiving gemcitabine (Gem) alone or gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GemCis).

METHODS

This retrospective evaluation was performed for patients who survived more than one year from the diagnosis of recurrent and/or metastatic disease and who received gemcitabine between December 2005 and August 2011. Twenty-seven potential prognostic variables were chosen for univariate and multivariate analyses to identify prognostic factors associated with survival.

RESULTS

Among the 27 variables in univariate analysis, three were identified to have prognostic significance: sex (p=0.04), peritoneal dissemination (p=0.02) and serum creatinine level (p=0.05). Multivariate analysis by Cox proportional hazard model showed only peritoneal dissemination to be an independent prognostic factor for survival.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, peritoneal metastasis was identified as an important prognostic factor in metastatic pancreatic cancer patients who survived more than one year from the diagnosis of recurrent and/ or metastatic disease and receiving Gem or GemCis. The findings should facilitate pretreatment prediction of survival and can be used for selecting patients for treatment.

Stent patency using competing risk model in unresectable pancreatic cancers inserted with biliary self-expandable metallic stent

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Biliary self-expandable metallic stents (SEMS) play an important role in the quality of life and palliative treatment in unresectable pancreatic cancer patients. We aimed to determine the factors affecting the patency of biliary SEMS and the survival in unresectable pancreatic cancer with obstructive jaundice.

METHODS

Considering the competing risk and survival, we retrospectively evaluated the patency in 107 unresectable pancreatic cancer patients with obstructive jaundice who were successfully treated with biliary SEMS from January 2000 to April 2010.

RESULTS

There were 107 incidents of biliary drainage that were clinically successful and the overall survival period was a median of 133 days. Stent occlusion before death was observed in 36 (33.6%) of 107 patients. Cumulative stent obstruction rates were 4.7%, 16.8%, and 24.4% at 1, 3, and 6 months, respectively. Lower cancer stage (<5 month's hazard ratio [HR] = 2.327, >5 month's HR = 0.108) was only associated with the longer patency of the stents in a multivariable analysis using a Fine and Gray model that considered competing risk. In multivariable analysis, lower cancer stage, uncovered stent and normalized serum bilirubin level were associated with a longer survival period (HR = 2.335, 1.906 and 1.795 respectively, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The patency of biliary SEMS in unresectable pancreatic cancers might be affected by the stage. Lower cancer stage and normalized bilirubin are associated with longer survival.

Tumor size as measured at initial X-ray examination, not length of bile duct stricture, predicts survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer

Background

The survival of unresectable pancreatic cancer patients is extremely poor. The aim of this study was to examine if tumor size could predict survival length in order to optimize patient care.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was performed on 185 consecutive patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer (ICD10: C250-2 and C258) who were diagnosed from 2003 to May 2010. The patients' initial radiographs at presentation of symptoms were reviewed by the same radiologist, and tumor extent was determined.

Results

The largest tumor diameter of the primary tumor was measured in 132 patients, 22 by an ultrasound and the other patients by a CT scan. In 53 patients, the tumor size could not be delimited and measured. Seventy-five patients (41%) had liver metastases at presentation of symptoms. Median survival for the entire patient group was only 119 days. The median diameter of the patient’s largest tumor was 4.35 cm, while the sample groups ranged from 1.2 to 14 cm. Patients were divided into two groups: those with a largest tumor diameter of ≤ 4.3 cm (66 patients) and those with a largest tumor diameter of > 4.3 cm (66 patients). Median survival for these groups was 149 and 94 days (p = 0.019), respectively. Cox regression showed a hazard ratio for tumor size of 1.48 (95% CI 1.02, 2.07) (p = 0.038), adjusted for the gemcitabine treatment which had been given to 49 patients and the presence of liver metastasis. In 88 patients, stricture length could be measured at ERCP. When comparing stricture lengths of ≤ 2 cm and > 2 cm, no difference in survival time was noted within a Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Conclusion

The size of the maximum tumor diameter of the primary tumor during the initial X-ray examination of patients with pancreatic cancer may predict survival time for those patients who had no surgical resection. Stricture length at ERCP gave no information on survival.

Performance status of patients is the major prognostic factor at all stages of pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to identify and evaluate the clinicopathologic factors and to elucidate the clinical importance of performance status on the outcome of patients with pancreatic cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

The data of 335 patients with histologically confirmed diagnosis of pancreatic cancer who were treated and followed up between 2000 and 2010 were recorded from medical charts.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 59 years (range 25-88 years) and 226 (67.5%) were male. The study group comprised localized disease (18%), locally advanced disease (36%) and metastatic disease (46%). The median survival of all patients was 280 days and the 4-year survival rate was 5%. Univariate analysis indicated that initial poor performance status of patients (PS 2-4) was significantly associated with shorter survival in localized (p = 0.015), locally advanced (p = 0.01), metastatic stage (p < 0.001) and in the whole group (p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses also showed the same findings except in local disease (p = 0.04 for locally advanced disease, p = 0.002 for metastatic stage, and p < 0.001 for all stages). In patients with poor performance status, severe weight loss (>10%) (p = 0.007), large tumor diameter (>3 cm) (p = 0.046), and especially metastatic disease (p < 0.001) were associated with significantly shorter overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance status of a patient is the major prognostic factor predicting overall survival for all stages of pancreatic cancer. Severe weight loss, large tumor, and metastatic disease were found to be unfavorable prognostic factors in patients with poor performance status.

Pre-operative biliary drainage for obstructive jaundice

BACKGROUND

Patients with obstructive jaundice have various pathophysiological changes that affect the liver, kidney, heart, and the immune system. There is considerable controversy as to whether temporary relief of biliary obstruction prior to major definitive surgery (pre-operative biliary drainage) is of any benefit to the patient.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the benefits and harms of pre-operative biliary drainage versus no pre-operative biliary drainage (direct surgery) in patients with obstructive jaundice (irrespective of a benign or malignant cause).

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Clinical Trials (CENTRAL) in The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Science Citation Index Expanded until February 2012.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all randomised clinical trials comparing biliary drainage followed by surgery versus direct surgery, performed for obstructive jaundice, irrespective of the sample size, language, and publication status.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently assessed trials for inclusion and extracted data. We calculated the risk ratio (RR), rate ratio (RaR), or mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) based on the available patient analyses. We assessed the risk of bias (systematic overestimation of benefit or systematic underestimation of harm) with components of the Cochrane risk of bias tool. We assessed the risk of play of chance (random errors) with trial sequential analysis.

MAIN RESULTS

We included six trials with 520 patients comparing pre-operative biliary drainage (265 patients) versus no pre-operative biliary drainage (255 patients). Four trials used percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage and two trials used endoscopic sphincterotomy and stenting as the method of pre-operative biliary drainage. The risk of bias was high in all trials. The proportion of patients with malignant obstruction varied between 60% and 100%. There was no significant difference in mortality (40/265, weighted proportion 14.9%) in the pre-operative biliary drainage group versus the direct surgery group (34/255, 13.3%) (RR 1.12; 95% CI 0.73 to 1.71; P = 0.60). The overall serious morbidity was higher in the pre-operative biliary drainage group (60 per 100 patients in the pre-operative biliary drainage group versus 26 per 100 patients in the direct surgery group) (RaR 1.66; 95% CI 1.28 to 2.16; P = 0.0002). The proportion of patients who developed serious morbidity was significantly higher in the pre-operative biliary drainage group (75/102, 73.5%) in the pre-operative biliary drainage group versus the direct surgery group (37/94, 37.4%) (P < 0.001). Quality of life was not reported in any of the trials. There was no significant difference in the length of hospital stay (2 trials, 271 patients; MD 4.87 days; 95% CI -1.28 to 11.02; P = 0.12) between the two groups. Trial sequential analysis showed that for mortality only a small proportion of the required information size had been obtained. There seemed to be no significant differences in the subgroup of trials assessing percutaneous compared to endoscopic drainage.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is currently not sufficient evidence to support or refute routine pre-operative biliary drainage for patients with obstructive jaundice. Pre-operative biliary drainage may increase the rate of serious adverse events. So, the safety of routine pre-operative biliary drainage has not been established. Pre-operative biliary drainage should not be used in patients undergoing surgery for obstructive jaundice outside randomised clinical trials.

Factors influencing survival in patients undergoing palliative bypass for pancreatic adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study is to identify factors predictive of early mortality following palliative bypass in patients with previously unsuspected advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma to provide a basis for the selection of appropriate therapies.

METHODS

All patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent a bypass procedure at our institution between 9/30/1994 and 1/31/2006 were reviewed. Patients with peri-operative mortality were excluded from the analysis. Univariate analysis was performed on peri-operative data to identify factors associated with early mortality (death within 6 months of surgery). Patients having multiple risk factors were assigned an overall prognostic score based on the sum of these factors.

RESULTS

Of the 397 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma analyzed, four factors were found to predict early mortality following palliative bypass: Presence of distant metastatic disease (HR 2.59, P < 0.0001), poor tumor differentiation (HR 1.71, P = 0.009), severe pre-operative nausea and vomiting (HR 1.48, P = 0.013), and lack of previous placement of a biliary stent (HR 1.36, P = 0.048). Patients with a prognostic score of 0 were significantly more likely to survive past 6 months than patients with a prognostic score of 1 (HR 2.71, P < 0.0001), 2 (HR 3.70, P < 0.0001), or ≥3 (HR 5.63, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort of patients undergoing a palliative bypass procedure, specific peri-operative factors can be used to identify patients who are at risk of early mortality. These factors may be helpful in selecting appropriate interventions for this group of patients.

Palliative surgical management of patients with unresectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma: trends and lessons learned from a large, single institution experience

INTRODUCTION

Routine palliative bypass has been advocated for palliation of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma who have inoperable disease discovered at the time of surgery. We examined trends in the relative use of palliative bypass over time with an emphasis on identifying changes in surgical indications, type of bypass performed, as well as perioperative outcomes associated with surgical palliation.

METHODS

Between 1996 and 2010, 1,913 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma in the head of the pancreas were surgically explored. Data regarding preoperative symptoms, intraoperative findings, type of surgical procedure performed, as well as perioperative and long-term outcomes were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 1,913 patients, 583 (30.5%) underwent a palliative procedure. Most patients presented with jaundice (72.2%). The majority of patients were evaluated by CT scan (97.4%), which revealed a median tumor size of 3.2 cm. Most patients who underwent surgical palliation (64.5%) had a double bypass, while a minority had either gastrojejunostomy (28.2%) or hepaticojejunostomy (7.2%) alone. While the number of pancreaticoduodenectomies remained relatively stable over time, there was a temporal decrease in the utilization of palliative bypass (P < 0.001). Unanticipated locally advanced disease vs. liver/peritoneal metastasis as the indication for palliative surgery also changed over time (1996-2001: 47.8% vs. 52.2%; 2002-2007: 49.2% vs. 50.8%; 2008-2010: 17.2% vs. 82.7%) (P = 0.005). Palliative failure rates were 2.3% after hepaticojejunostomy and 3.1% after grastrojejunostomy. Patients with unsuspected metastatic disease had a worse survival compared with patients who had locally unresectable disease (median survival: 5 vs. 8 months, respectively; HR = 1.43, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Palliative bypass procedures were less frequently performed over time, probably due to a significant decrease in the rate of unanticipated advanced locoregional disease at the time of exploration. While palliative bypass was effective, survival in the setting of metastatic disease was extremely short.

Construction and validation of a prognostic index for patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To identify prognostic factors in patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

The relationship between patient characteristics and outcome was examined by multivariate regression analyses of data from 409 consecutive patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma who had been treated with a gemcitabine-containing regimen, and we stratified the patients into 3 risk groups according to the number of prognostic factors they had for a poor outcome. A validation data set obtained from 145 patients who had been treated with agents other than gemcitabine was analyzed. The prognostic index was applied the each of the patients.

RESULTS

The multivariate regression analyses revealed that the presence of pain, peritoneal dissemination, liver metastasis, and an elevated serum C-reactive protein value significantly contributed to a shorter survival time. The patients were stratified into 3 groups according to their number of risk factors, and their outcomes of the 3 groups were significantly different. When the prognostic index was applied to the validation data set, the respective outcomes of the 3 groups were found to be significantly differed from each other.

CONCLUSIONS

Pain, peritoneal dissemination, liver metastasis, and an elevated serum C-reactive protein value are important prognostic factors for patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio predicts survival in advanced pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Elevated neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is linked with worse survival in many malignancies, whereas its association with pancreatic cancer (PC) remains unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 95 patients with locally advanced or metastatic PC receiving gemcitabine-based chemotherapy. The prognostic value of NLR was evaluated.

RESULTS

Elevated pretreatment NLR (> 5) was observed in 16 out of 89 eligible patients, which was identified as an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The median OS for patients with elevated and normal NLR were 2.4 months and 7.7 months, respectively (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated NLR is a predictor of shorter survival in patients with advanced PC.

Diagnostic usefulness of serum interleukin 6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the differentiation between pancreatic cancer and chronic pancreatitis

Previous studies have shown elevated serum levels of interleukin 6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic usefulness of pretreatment serum levels of IL-6 and CRP to differentiate between PC and chronic pancreatitis (CP) patients. Serum levels of CRP, IL-6, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) were determined in 78 patients with PC before surgery, in 45 patients with CP, and in 70 healthy controls. Serum levels of all the proteins tested were significantly higher in cancer patients when compared with CP and healthy subjects, and increased in more advanced tumor stages. Concentrations of IL-6 were significantly higher in nonresectable tumors and in patients who died during the 2-year observation period. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve for IL-6 was higher than for other substances tested in the differentiation between PC and CP. Cox's univariate analysis revealed serum IL-6 as a significant prognostic factor of patients' survival. Our findings suggest higher diagnostic usefulness of serum IL-6 than CRP, CEA, and CA 19-9 in the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with PC and in the differentiation with CP.