Guidelines on Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Major Inconsistencies With Available Evidence and Clinical Practice- Results From an International Survey

Optimization of Endoscopic Ultrasound Characteristics in the Diagnosis of Malignant Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVES

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is an excellent diagnostic tool that provides high-resolution images of pancreatic cystic lesions. However, its role in the diagnosis of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) remains limited and unclear. We aimed to determine the usefulness of this modality for such diagnosis.

METHODS

Overall, 246 patients who underwent EUS for IPMN after computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) from April 2018 to June 2021 were followed up until March 2022. We assessed the added value of performing EUS after CT or MRI for diagnosing malignant IPMN, using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Walls as thick as 2 mm were considered thickened in this study if they were highly uneven.

RESULTS

EUS clearly enhanced accuracy in identifying enhancing nodules and thickened walls. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and corresponding 95% confidence intervals were 0.655 (0.549-0.760) and 0.566 (0.478-0.654) upon CT/MRI but 0.853 (0.763-0.942) and 0.725 (0.634-0.817) when observed using EUS. The combination of nodule size, thickened wall, and main duct size yielded the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.944 [0.915-0.973]).

CONCLUSIONS

EUS more accurately detects malignant IPMN, as uneven wall thickening and certain nodules cannot be identified with CT/MRI.

Towards a Simplified and Cost-Effective Diagnostic Algorithm for the Surveillance of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs): Can We Save Contrast for Later?

The increased detection of pancreatic cysts in recent years has triggered extensive diagnostic investigations to clarify their potential risk of malignancy, resulting in a large number of patients undergoing numerous imaging follow-up studies for many years. Therefore, there is a growing need for optimization of the current surveillance protocol to reduce both healthcare costs and waiting lists, while still maintaining appropriate sensibility and specificity. Imaging is an essential tool for evaluating patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) since it can assess several predictors for malignancy and thus guide further management recommendations. Although contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) has been widely recommended by most international guidelines, recent results support the use of unenhanced abbreviated-MRI (A-MRI) protocols as a surveillance tool in patients with IPMN. In fact, A-MRI has shown high diagnostic performance in malignant detection, with high sensitivity and specificity as well as excellent interobserver agreement. The aim of this paper is, therefore, to discuss the current available evidence on whether the implementation of an abbreviated-MRI (A-MRI) protocol for cystic pancreatic lesion surveillance could improve healthcare economics and reduce waiting lists in clinical practice without significantly reducing diagnostic accuracy.

Minimally invasive enucleation of pancreatic tumors: The main pancreatic duct is no longer a restricted area

Background

Tumors involving the main pancreatic duct (MPD) used to be a contraindication for enucleation.

Methods

Clinical data of consecutive patients with pancreatic tumors who received laparoscopic or robotic enucleation (LEN or REN) between January 2019 and December 2021 at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center were analyzed.

Results

Ninety-six patients were included in the analysis, with 55 in the LEN group and 41 in the REN group, and no conversion to laparotomy. Most tumors were located in the head of pancreas (71.9 %). The tumor diameter (3.1 vs. 1.9 cm) was larger, and more cystic tumors (92.7 % vs. 56.4 %) and more tumors involving the MPD (34.1 % vs. 3.6 %) were observed in the REN group. MPD support tube insertion was performed in 15 cases, with 11 in the REN group and 4 in the LEN group. The incidence of biochemical and grade B postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) was both 46.9 %, and no grade C POPF occurred. Among the 45 patients with grade B POPF, 28 cases (62.2 %) were due to carrying drainage tube >3 weeks without additional treatment, and only 4 cases required invasive treatment. For patients with MPD support tube implantation (n = 15), support tube fall-offs were observed in 12 cases, 2 patients had MPD dilatation, and no MPD stricture, stone formation or pancreatic atrophy was observed during follow-up.

Conclusions

The incidence of POPF was high but still controllable without serious complications after minimally invasive enucleation. The MPD is no longer a restricted area, and the robotic system has advantages in handling complex enucleations.

Risk Perceptions and Risk Thresholds Among Surgeons in the Management of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine whether surgeon variation in management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is driven by differences in risk perception and quantify surgeons' risk threshold for changing their recommendations.

BACKGROUND

Surgeons vary widely in management of IPMN.

METHODS

We conducted a survey of members of the Americas HepatoPancreatoBiliary Association, presented participants with 2 detailed clinical vignettes and asked them to choose between surgical resection and surveillance. We also asked them to judge the likelihood that the IPMN harbors cancer and that the patient would have a serious complication if surgery was performed. Finally, we asked surgeons to rate the level of cancer risk at which they would change their treatment recommendation. We examined the association between surgeons' treatment recommendations and their risk perception and risk threshold.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty surgeons participated in the study. Surgeons varied in their recommendations for surgery [19% for vignette 1 (V1) and 12% for V2] and in their perception of the cancer risk (interquartile range: 2%-10% for V1 and V2) and risk of surgical complications (V1 interquartile range: 10%-20%, V2 20-30%). After adjusting for surgeon characteristics, surgeons who were above the median in cancer risk perception were 22 percentage points (27% vs 5%) more likely to recommend resection than those who were below the median (95% CI: 11%-4%; P <0.001). The median risk threshold at which surgeons would change their recommendation was 15% (V1 and V2). Surgeons who recommended surgery had a lower risk threshold for changing their recommendation than those who recommended surveillance (V1: 10.0 vs 15.0, P =0.06; V2: 7.0 vs 15.0, P =0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The treatment that patients receive for IPMNs depends greatly on how their surgeons perceive the risk of cancer in the lesion. Efforts to improve cancer risk prediction for IPMNs may lead to decreased variations in care.

Performance and Safety of EUS Ablation Techniques for Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCL) represent an increasingly diagnosed condition with significant burden to patients' lives and medical resources. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) ablation techniques have been utilized to treat focal pancreatic lesions. This systematic review with meta-analysis aims to assess the efficacy of EUS ablation on PCL in terms of complete or partial response and safety.

METHODS

A systematic search in Medline, Cochrane and Scopus databases was performed in April 2023 for studies assessing the performance of the various EUS ablation techniques. The primary outcome was complete cyst resolution, defined as cyst disappearance in follow-up imaging. Secondary outcomes included partial resolution (reduction in PCL size), and adverse events rate. A subgroup analysis was planned to evaluate the impact of the available ablation techniques (ethanol, ethanol/paclitaxel, radiofrequency ablation (RFA), and lauromacrogol) on the results. Meta-analyses using a random effects model were conducted and the results were reported as percentages with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI).

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (840 patients) were eligible for analysis. Complete cyst resolution after EUS ablation was achieved in 44% of cases (95%CI: 31-57; 352/767; I² = 93.7%), and the respective partial response rate was 30% (95%CI: 20-39; 206/767; I² = 86.1%). Adverse events were recorded in 14% (95%CI: 8-20; 164/840; I² = 87.2%) of cases, rated as mild in 10% (95%CI: 5-15; 128/840; I² = 86.7%), and severe in 4% (95%CI: 3-5; 36/840; I² = 0%). The subgroup analysis for the primary outcome revealed rates of 70% (95%CI: 64-76; I² = 42.3%) for ethanol/paclitaxel, 44% (95%CI: 33-54; I²= 0%) for lauromacrogol, 32% (95%CI: 27-36; I² = 88.4%) for ethanol, and 13% (95%CI: 4-22; I² = 95.8%) for RFA. Considering adverse events, the ethanol-based subgroup rated the highest percentage (16%; 95%CI: 13-20; I² = 91.0%).

CONCLUSION

EUS ablation of pancreatic cysts provides acceptable rates of complete resolution and a low incidence of severe adverse events, with chemoablative agents yielding higher performance rates.

The Landmark Series: Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas-From Prevalence to Early Cancer Detection

Modern series report a prevalence of pancreatic cysts in the general population of up to 50% in prospective studies. Of these, about half will be pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) that have varying degrees of malignant potential. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas are the most common PCNs and are known predecessors of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Critically, they are one of the only radiographically identifiable precursors of pancreatic cancer and thus provide an opportunity for early cancer detection and surgical resection with curative intent. The combination of high prevalence and potential for malignant degeneration underscore the relevance of discussing the best management of IPMNs and improving the existing standard of care. Landmark data on IPMN prevalence, guidelines, surveillance, biomarkers, and immune landscape are highlighted.

Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Translating Guidelines into Clinical Practice

A combination of several factors, including the increasing use of cross-sectional imaging and an aging population, has led to pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) becoming the most detected incidental pancreatic lesions. Accurate diagnosis and risk stratification of PCLs is challenging. In the last decade, several evidence-based guidelines have been published addressing the diagnosis and management of PCLs. However, these guidelines cover different subsets of patients with PCLs and offer varying recommendations regarding diagnostic assessment, surveillance, and surgical resection. Further, recent studies comparing the accuracy of various guidelines have reported significant variations in the rate of missed cancer versus unnecessary surgical resections. In clinical practice, it is challenging to decide which guideline to follow specifically. This article reviews the varying recommendations of the major guidelines and results of comparative studies, provides an overview of newer modalities not included in the guidelines, and offers perspectives on translating the guidelines into clinical practice.

Comparative Performance of Endoscopic Ultrasound-Based Techniques in Patients With Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Network Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Evidence on the comparative diagnostic performance of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-based techniques for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is limited. This network meta-analysis comprehensively compared EUS-based techniques for PCL diagnosis.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed for all comparative studies assessing the accuracy of 2 or more modalities for PCL diagnosis. The primary outcome was the diagnostic efficacy for mucinous PCLs. Secondary outcomes were the diagnostic efficacy for malignant PCLs, diagnostic success rate, and adverse event rate. A network meta-analysis was conducted using the ANOVA model to assess the diagnostic accuracy of each index.

RESULTS

Forty studies comprising 3,641 patients were identified. The network ranking of the superiority index for EUS-guided needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (EUS-nCLE) and EUS-guided through-the-needle biopsy (EUS-TTNB) were significantly higher than other techniques for differentiating mucinous PCLs; besides, EUS-TTNB was also the optimal technique in identifying malignant PCLs. The evidence was inadequate for EUS-nCLE diagnosing malignant PCLs and contrast-enhanced harmonic EUS diagnosing both mucinous and malignant PCLs. Glucose showed a high sensitivity but low specificity, and molecular analysis (KRAS, GNAS, and KRAS + GNAS mutations) showed a high specificity but low sensitivity for diagnosing mucinous PCLs. Satisfactory results were not obtained during the evaluation of the efficiency of pancreatic cyst fluid (PCF) biomarkers in detecting malignant PCLs.

DISCUSSION

For centers with relevant expertise and facilities, EUS-TTNB and EUS-nCLE were better choices for the diagnosis of PCLs. Further studies are urgently required for further improving PCF biomarkers and validating the diagnostic performance of the index techniques.

Surgical treatment for pancreatic cystic lesions-implications from the multi-center and prospective German StuDoQ|Pancreas registry

PURPOSE

The detection of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCL) causes uncertainty for physicians and patients, and international guidelines are based on low evidence. The extent and perioperative risk of resections of PCL in Germany needs comparison with these guidelines to highlight controversies and derive recommendations.

METHODS

Clinical data of 1137 patients who underwent surgery for PCL between 2014 and 2019 were retrieved from the German StuDoQ|Pancreas registry. Relevant features for preoperative evaluation and predictive factors for adverse outcomes were statistically identified.

RESULTS

Patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) represented the largest PCL subgroup (N = 689; 60.6%) while other entities (mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN), serous cystic neoplasms (SCN), neuroendocrine tumors, pseudocysts) were less frequently resected. Symptoms of pancreatitis were associated with IPMN (OR, 1.8; P = 0.012) and pseudocysts (OR, 4.78; P < 0.001), but likewise lowered the likelihood of MCN (OR, 0.49; P = 0.046) and SCN (OR, 0.15, P = 0.002). A total of 639 (57.2%) patients received endoscopic ultrasound before resection, as recommended by guidelines. Malignancy was histologically confirmed in 137 patients (12.0%), while jaundice (OR, 5.1; P < 0.001) and weight loss (OR, 2.0; P = 0.002) were independent predictors. Most resections were performed by open surgery (N = 847, 74.5%), while distal lesions were in majority treated using minimally invasive approaches (P < 0.001). Severe morbidity was 28.4% (N = 323) and 30d mortality was 2.6% (N = 29). Increased age (P = 0.004), higher BMI (P = 0.002), liver cirrhosis (P < 0.001), and esophageal varices (P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for 30d mortality.

CONCLUSION

With respect to unclear findings frequently present in PCL, diagnostic means recommended in guidelines should always be considered in the preoperative phase. The therapy of PCL should be decided upon in the light of patient-specific factors, and the surgical strategy needs to be adapted accordingly.

Early Diagnosis of Pancreatic Cancer: Clinical Premonitions, Timely Precursor Detection and Increased Curative-Intent Surgery

BACKGROUND

The overall poor prognosis in pancreatic cancer is related to late clinical detection. Early diagnosis remains a considerable challenge in pancreatic cancer. Unfortunately, the onset of clinical symptoms in patients usually indicate advanced disease or presence of metastasis.

ANALYSIS AND RESULTS

Currently, there are no designated diagnostic or screening tests for pancreatic cancer in clinical use. Thus, identifying risk groups, preclinical risk factors or surveillance strategies to facilitate early detection is a target for ongoing research. Hereditary genetic syndromes are a obvious, but small group at risk, and warrants close surveillance as suggested by society guidelines. Screening for pancreatic cancer in asymptomatic individuals is currently associated with the risk of false positive tests and, thus, risk of harms that outweigh benefits. The promise of cancer biomarkers and use of 'omics' technology (genomic, transcriptomics, metabolomics etc.) has yet to see a clinical breakthrough. Several proposed biomarker studies for early cancer detection lack external validation or, when externally validated, have shown considerably lower accuracy than in the original data. Biopsies or tissues are often taken at the time of diagnosis in research studies, hence invalidating the value of a time-dependent lag of the biomarker to detect a pre-clinical, asymptomatic yet operable cancer. New technologies will be essential for early diagnosis, with emerging data from image-based radiomics approaches, artificial intelligence and machine learning suggesting avenues for improved detection.

CONCLUSIONS

Early detection may come from analytics of various body fluids (eg 'liquid biopsies' from blood or urine). In this review we present some the technological platforms that are explored for their ability to detect pancreatic cancer, some of which may eventually change the prospects and outcomes of patients with pancreatic cancer.

Laparoscopic intraoperative pancreatoscopy for main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms assessment

Video 1Intraoperative pancreatoscopy during laparoscopic pancreatic resection for main pancreatic duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

Quantitative Software Analysis of Endoscopic Ultrasound Images of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

Endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) is the most accurate imaging modality for the evaluation of different types of pancreatic cystic lesions. Our aim was to analyze EUS images of pancreatic cystic lesions using an image processing software. We specified the echogenicity of the lesions by measuring the gray value of pixels inside the selected areas. The images were divided into groups (serous cystic neoplasm /SCN/, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystic neoplasms /Non-SCN/ and Pseudocyst) according to the pathology results of the lesions. Overall, 170 images were processed by the software: 81 in Non-SCN, 30 in SCN and 59 in Pseudocyst group. The mean gray value of the entire lesion in the Non-SCN group was significantly higher than in the SCN group (27.8 vs. 18.8; p < 0.0005). The area ratio in the SCN, Non-SCN and Pseudocyst groups was 57%, 39% and 61%, respectively; significantly lower in the Non-SCN group than in the SCN or Pseudocyst groups (p < 0.0005 and p < 0.0005, respectively). The lesion density was also significantly higher in the Non-SCN group compared to the SCN or Pseudocyst groups (4186.6/mm2 vs. 2833.8/mm2 vs. 2981.6/mm2; p < 0.0005 and p < 0.0005, respectively). The EUS image analysis process may have the potential to be a diagnostic tool for the evaluation and differentiation of pancreatic cystic lesions.

Can we predict the progression of premalignant pancreatic cystic tumors to ductal adenocarcinoma?

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the most prevalent malignant pancreatic tumor. Few studies have shown how often PDACs arise from cystic precursor lesions. This special report aims to summarize the evidence on the progression of precancerous lesions to PDAC. A review of the literature found four studies that discussed pancreatic intraepithelial lesions (PanINs), three that discussed mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) and five that discussed intraductal papillary neoplasms (IPMNs). PanINs were the most common precursors lesion, with approximately 80% of PDACs originating from this lesion. The lack of evidence characterizing the features of PDAC precursor cystic lesions potentially leads to a subset of patients undergoing surgery unnecessarily. Advancements in molecular techniques could allow the study of cystic lesions at a genetic level, leading to more personalized management.

Pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: Current diagnosis and management

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) represent approximately 1% of all pancreatic neoplasms and 25% of cystic neoplasms. They are divided into three types: main duct-IPMN (MD-IPPMN), branch duct-IPMN (BD-IPMN), and mixed type-IPMN. In this review, diagnostics, including clinical presentation and radiological investigations, were described. Magnetic resonance imaging is the most useful for most IPMNs. Management depends on the type and radiological features of IPMNs. Surgery is recommended for MD-IPMN. For BD-IPMN, management involves surgery or surveillance depending on the tumor size, cyst growth rate, solid components, main duct dilatation, high-grade dysplasia in cytology, the presence of symptoms (jaundice, new-onset diabetes, pancreatitis), and CA 19.9 serum level. The patient’s age and comorbidities should also be taken into consideration. Currently, there are different guidelines regarding the diagnosis and management of IPMNs. In this review, the following guidelines were presented: Sendai International Association of Pancreatology guidelines (2006), American Gastroenterological Association guidelines, revised international consensus Fukuoka guidelines (2012), revised international consensus Fukuoka guidelines (2017), and European evidence-based guidelines according to the European Study Group on Cystic Tumours of the Pancreas (2018). The Verona Evidence-Based Meeting 2020 was also presented and discussed.

The use of a mobile application to disseminate guidelines on cystic neoplasms of the pancreas - A snapshot study of 1000 case-simulations

BACKGROUND

No data exist on the actual application of pancreatic cystic neoplasm (PCN) guidelines in clinical practice.

AIM

Disseminate knowledge on existing PCN guidelines and determine which guidelines are prospectively chosen by iCyst app users for different case scenarios.

METHODS

iCyst is a digital tool providing access to the three main existing guidelines (European, IAP, and AGA). Through a case simulation system, for one year, the app prospectively registered users' guideline choices.

RESULTS

During the study period, 276 users downloaded iCyst and entered 1020 completed simulations. Most users were European (88%) and were either surgeons (69%) or gastroenterologists (29%). Six different representative scenarios were identified. Overall, the European guidelines were the most commonly preferred (52%). In 16% of cases, the users did not choose any of the available guidelines.

CONCLUSION

Digital apps can be used to disseminate guidelines in clinical practice. Guideline dissemination might serve as the basis for future research lines on specific clinical scenarios that iCyst identifies as critical.

State-of-the-art surgical treatment of IPMNs

Background

A “pandemic” of incidentally discovered pancreatic cyst neoplasms (PCNs) is ongoing. Among PCNs, intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasms (IPMNs) are the most common and with their complex biology could represent a precursor lesion of pancreatic cancer. Although multiple guidelines exist to guide their treatment, there are still many “gray areas” on indications for surgery for IPMNs.

Methods

The current indications for surgery of IPMNs were reappraised, considering potential discrepancies between available evidence and guidelines policies. The practice at a high-volume center for the diagnosis and treatment of PCN was presented and discussed.

Results

Most IPMNs do not and will never require surgery, as they won’t progress to malignancy. The current literature is solid in identifying high-grade dysplasia (HGD) as the right and timely target for IPMN resection, but how to precisely assess its presence remains controversial and guidelines lack of accuracy in this regard. Multiple tumorigenic pathways of progression of IPMNs exist, and their knowledge will likely lead to more accurate tests for malignancy prediction in the future.

Conclusions

The surgical management of IPMNs still is a matter of debate. Indication for resection should be considered only in highly selected cases with the ideal target of HGD. Clinicians should critically interpret the guidelines’ indications, refer to a multidisciplinary team discussion, and always consider the outcome of an adequate counselling with the patient.

Contrast-enhanced EUS for the characterization of mural nodules within pancreatic cystic neoplasms: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) carry a considerable malignancy risk. Along with main duct dilation, the presence of enhanced mural nodules represents a significant risk factor for malignancy. Several articles assessed the role of contrast-enhanced EUS (CE-EUS) for the identification of malignant features in mural nodules. We evaluate the pooled diagnostic performance of CE-EUS for the identification of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma among mural nodules in PCNs.

METHODS

A systematic review (Medline, PubMed, EMBASE) and meta-analysis were conducted. Subgroup analysis was used to assess the usefulness of a dedicated contrast-harmonic (CH-EUS). The primary outcome was pooled sensitivity for identification of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma.

RESULTS

Ten studies (532 patients) were included. Pooled sensitivity of CE-EUS was 88.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 82.7%-92.5%), specificity 79.1% (95% CI, 74.5%-83.3%), and diagnostic accuracy 89.6% (95% CI, 83.4%-95.8%). Eight studies (320 patients) were conducted using CH-EUS: pooled sensitivity increased to 97.0% (95% CI, 92.5%-99.2%), specificity to 90.4% (95% CI, 85.2%-94.2%), and diagnostic accuracy to 95.6% (95% CI, 92.6%-98.7%). At 42% disease prevalence (pretest probability), a positive CH-EUS increased the disease probability to 88%, whereas a negative test decreased the disease probability to 2%. The number needed to diagnose was 1.5 (95% CI, 1.7-1.3) for CE-EUS and just 1.2 (95% CI, 1.3-1.1) for CH-EUS.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided robust evidence on CE-EUS value for the characterization of mural nodules within PCNs. A dedicated contrast-harmonic mode, namely CH-EUS, provided an increased diagnostic yield in the identification and characterization of malignant mural nodules.

Machine learning to guide clinical decision-making in abdominal surgery-a systematic literature review

PURPOSE

An indication for surgical therapy includes balancing benefits against risk, which remains a key task in all surgical disciplines. Decisions are oftentimes based on clinical experience while guidelines lack evidence-based background. Various medical fields capitalized the application of machine learning (ML), and preliminary research suggests promising implications in surgeons' workflow. Hence, we evaluated ML's contemporary and possible future role in clinical decision-making (CDM) focusing on abdominal surgery.

METHODS

Using the PICO framework, relevant keywords and research questions were identified. Following the PRISMA guidelines, a systemic search strategy in the PubMed database was conducted. Results were filtered by distinct criteria and selected articles were manually full text reviewed.

RESULTS

Literature review revealed 4,396 articles, of which 47 matched the search criteria. The mean number of patients included was 55,843. A total of eight distinct ML techniques were evaluated whereas AUROC was applied by most authors for comparing ML predictions vs. conventional CDM routines. Most authors (N = 30/47, 63.8%) stated ML's superiority in the prediction of benefits and risks of surgery. The identification of highly relevant parameters to be integrated into algorithms allowing a more precise prognosis was emphasized as the main advantage of ML in CDM.

CONCLUSIONS

A potential value of ML for surgical decision-making was demonstrated in several scientific articles. However, the low number of publications with only few collaborative studies between surgeons and computer scientists underpins the early phase of this highly promising field. Interdisciplinary research initiatives combining existing clinical datasets and emerging techniques of data processing may likely improve CDM in abdominal surgery in the future.

Association between pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and extrapancreatic malignancies: A systematic review with meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia harbor a higher risk of developing extrapancreatic malignancies.

AIMS

We performed a pooled estimate of the incidence of extrapancreatic malignancies in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia, with a particular focus on the comparison to the general population.

METHODS

Computerized bibliographic search of main databases was performed through February 2021. The primary endpoint was the pooled incidence of extrapancreatic malignancies in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. Additional outcome was the comparison between intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia patients and the general population, expressed in terms of standardized incidence ratio along with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

Eighteen studies with 8709 patients were included. The pooled rate of metachronous extrapancreatic malignancies was 10 (6-13)/1000 persons-year. No difference was observed according to intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia histology and sex, whereas a significantly superior incidence of extrapancreatic malignancies was observed in patients with main-duct (36.7%, 25.4%-48%) as compared to branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (26.2%, 17.6%-34.8%; p = 0.03). Pooled standardized incidence ratio comparing expected rates in the general population was 1.01 (0.79-1.29); no difference was observed concerning rates of metachronous gastric cancer (standardized incidence ratio 1.60, 0.72-3.54) and colorectal cancer (1.29, 0.92-1.18), whereas biliary cancer was observed more frequently in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia patients (2.29, 1.07-4.93).

CONCLUSION

Patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia harbor an overall rate of extrapancreatic malignancies as high as 27.3%. The rate of metachronous extrapancreatic malignancies is not superior to the general population.