Monitoring Outcome of Joint Arthroplasty in Italy: Implementation of the National Registry

Machine Learning Prediction Model to Predict Length of Stay of Patients Undergoing Hip or Knee Arthroplasties: Results from a High-Volume Single-Center Multivariate Analysis

Background: The growth of arthroplasty procedures requires innovative strategies to reduce inpatients' hospital length of stay (LOS). This study aims to develop a machine learning prediction model that may aid in predicting LOS after hip or knee arthroplasties. Methods: A collection of all the clinical notes of patients who underwent elective primary or revision arthroplasty from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2019 was performed. The hospitalization was classified as "short LOS" if it was less than or equal to 6 days and "long LOS" if it was greater than 7 days. Clinical data from pre-operative laboratory analysis, vital parameters, and demographic characteristics of patients were screened. Final data were used to train a logistic regression model with the aim of predicting short or long LOS. Results: The final dataset was composed of 1517 patients (795 "long LOS", 722 "short LOS", p = 0.3196) with a total of 1541 hospital admissions (729 "long LOS", 812 "short LOS", p < 0.001). The complete model had a prediction efficacy of 78.99% (AUC 0.7899). Conclusions: Machine learning may facilitate day-by-day clinical practice determination of which patients are suitable for a shorter LOS and which for a longer LOS, in which a cautious approach could be recommended.

Clinical characteristics and mortality in all Czech patients after pacemaker implantation in the last decade

Background and aims

Analysis of mortality from the national health registries and data from a specific central registry dealing with the implantation of pacemakers (REPACE) in Czech patients.

Methods and results

Retrospective observational analysis of pacemakers' implantation in all Czech patients [n = 82,791; 47,070 (56.9%) men, 75.9 ± 10.4 years old] between 2010 and 2021. Almost 114,000 pacemakers were implanted between 2010 and 2021, of which 27.9% were single-chamber, 67.4% were dual-chamber and 4.6% were biventricular. The annual number of implantations has been steadily increasing with a 6% annual decline in 2020 with increased mortality and reductions in care provided, likely related to COVID-19. The observed 5-year relative survival was 88.6% (overall survival 60.6%) and the 10-year relative survival was 75.9% (overall survival 32.7%). Causes of death 5ary according to the age of the patient. The highest difference 1n the reported numbers in the REPACE Registry did not exceed 2% in comparison with the National Register of Reimbursed Health Services.

Conclusion

This study followed all Czech patients with pacemaker's implantation in between 2010 and 2021. The annual number of 1mplantations has been steadily 1ncreasing. Patients with implanted pacemakers had a significantly higher mortality than the average population. Number of patients in the registry corresponded almost perfectly with the National Register of Reimbursed Health Services.

National spine surgery registries' characteristics and aims: globally accepted standards have yet to be met. Results of a scoping review and a complementary survey

BACKGROUND

Surgery involving implantable devices is widely used to solve several health issues. National registries are essential tools for implantable device surveillance and vigilance. In 2017, the European Union encouraged Member States to establish "registries and databanks for specific types of devices" to evaluate device safety and performance and ensure their traceability. Spine-implantable devices significantly impact patient safety and public health; spine registries might help improve surgical outcomes. This study aimed to map existing national spine surgery registries and highlight their features and organisational standards to provide an essential reference for establishing other national registries.

METHODS

A scoping search was performed using the Embase, PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and Web of Science databases for the terms "registry", "register", "implantable", and all terms and synonyms related to spinal diseases and national registries in publications from January 2000 to December 2020. This search was later updated and finalised through a web search and an ad hoc survey to collect further detailed information.

RESULTS

Sixty-two peer-reviewed articles were included, which were related to seven national spine registries, six of which were currently active. Three additional active national registries were found through the web search. The nine selected national registries were set up between 1998 and 2021. They collect data on the procedure and use patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for the follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified nine currently active national spine surgery registries. However, globally accepted standards for developing a national registry of spine surgery are yet to be established. Therefore, an international effort to increase result comparability across registries is highly advisable. We hope the recent initiative from the Orthopaedic Data Evaluation Panel (ODEP) to establish an international collaboration will meet these needs.

Gender related results in total knee arthroplasty: a 15-year evaluation of the Italian population

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to estimate separately in women and men the number of Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) procedures performed in Italy from 2001 to 2016, exploring specific gender-related characteristics and trends.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of this study were collected from the National Hospital Discharge Reports (NHDR) reported at the Italian Ministry of Health in the years between 2001 and 2016. The information included in this archive are the patient's sex, age, the year when the surgical procedure was performed and the length of the hospitalization.

RESULTS

Between the years 2001 and 2016, a total of 848,863 TKAs have been performed in Italy. TKAs in women passed from 20,719 in 2001 to 49,320 in 2016 showing an increase of 138%, while TKAs in men passed from 6631 in 2001 to 23,601 in 2016 showing an increase of 256%. From the age of 50 onwards, there was a prevalence of procedures in women, from 63.2% in the 50-54 group to 85.7% in the 100 + group. Conversely, under the age of 50, there was a higher percentage of surgeries performed in males, 57.1% on a total of 16,434 TKA surgeries carried out in this age group.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that TKA is growing and heavily affecting the female population (70.6% of all TKAs) between 2001 and 2016. However, under 50 years old there was a higher percentage of surgeries performed in males (57.1%). The average number of days of hospitalization in females was higher than in males.

Total Hip Replacement: Psychometric Validation of the Italian Version of Forgotten Joint Score (FJS-12)

BACKGROUND

One million Total Hip Replacements (THA) are thought to be performed annually. To measure prosthesis awareness throughout daily activities, the FJS-12 patient-reported outcome scale was developed. This article's goal is to undertake a psychometric validation of the Italian FJS-12 among a sample of related THA patients.

METHODS

Between January and July 2019, data from 44 patients were retrieved. The participants were required to complete the Italian version of FJS-12 and of the WOMAC at preoperative follow-up, after two weeks, 1, 3, and 6 months postoperatively.

RESULTS

The Pearson correlation coefficient between the FJS-12 and WOMAC was 0.287 (p = 0.002) at preoperative follow-up, r = 0.702 (p < 0.001) at 1 month, r = 0.516 (p < 0.001) at 3 months and r = 0.585 (p < 0.001) at 6 months. The ceiling effect surpassed the acceptable range (15%) for FJS-12 in 1 month (25.5%) and WOMAC in 6 months follow-up (27.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

The psychometric validation of the Italian version of this score for THA was executed with acceptable results. FJS-12 and WOMAC reported no ceiling and floor effects. Therefore, to distinguish between patients who had good or exceptional results following UKA, the FJS-12 could be a reliable score. Under the first four months, FJS-12 had a smaller ceiling effect than WOMAC. It is recommended to use this score in clinical research concerning the outcomes of THA.

Are joint replacement registries associated with burden of revision changes? A real-world panel data regression analysis

OBJECTIVES

The association of joint replacement registries with outcomes such as revision burden is uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate whether joint replacement registries are associated with the burden of revision changes while controlling for confounders that could affect the association.

DESIGN

A longitudinal study involving a combination of cross-sectional and time series data from 1980 to 2018. The study was a panel regression analysis using the difference-in-difference method.

SETTING

Data from countries with joint replacement registries and countries without joint replacement registries were used. Registry data were obtained from joint replacement registries' annual reports, while non-registry data were obtained from each included country's pooled hospitals' annual revision burden reported in the literature.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes in revision burden from 1980 to 2018 was the outcome measure. The revision burden in the registry periods of registry countries was compared with the non-registry periods of registry and non-registry countries.

RESULTS

Data were obtained from 12 registry periods and 8 non-registry periods. The average difference in revision burden in the registry periods of registry countries relative to the non-registry periods of registry and non-registry countries was statistically significant for hip, -3.80 (95% CI (-2.50 to -5.10); p<0.001) percentage points and knee, -1.63 (95% CI (-1.00 to -2.30); p<0.001) percentage points. This translates to a 19.30%, and 21.85% reduction in revision burden for hip and knee registries, for the whole sampling period.

CONCLUSION

Joint replacement registries are associated with a significant reduction in the burden of revision. Although revision burden reduces over time even without the registries, the establishment of joint replacement registries is associated with an increased reduction. The establishment of joint replacement registries in non-registry countries would be a worthwhile decision as it will further improve the outcomes of arthroplasty surgeries.

Rehabilitation Process Issues and Functional Performance after Total Hip and Knee Replacement

(1) Background: to ensure satisfactory outcomes in patients who have undergone total hip or knee replacement, it is crucial to prioritize postoperative rehabilitation process and its management rather than the successful surgery alone. The goal of our study was to investigate the outcomes of rehabilitation process after the total hip or knee replacement, including local orthopedic follow-up, communication with local health authorities, patients’ satisfaction regarding rehabilitation, and their functional performance after the surgery. (2) Methods: the study included 523 patients who underwent total hip replacement, and 650 patients who underwent total knee replacement. All patients were surveyed via formalized phone interviews containing questions related to postoperative rehabilitation parameters and outcomes. (3) Results: in postsurgical period, nearly 70% of patients had regular local orthopedic follow-up. Lack of the latter at the local level was indicated by approximately 10% of patients, and the rest of the respondents note the practice of sporadic follow-up. Half of patients reported pains of various severity. Good physical activity (e.g., ability to walk unassisted within their residential district) was acknowledged by about a quarter of patients. Ability to walk unassisted was reported by just 54.5% of patients. (4) Conclusions: the disproportion between generally high patient satisfaction of rehabilitation management (>80%) and low feedback level on the part of local health authorities (9.4%) demonstrated lack of communication between the key parties involved in the rehabilitation process.

Seventeen-year trend (2001-2017) in pacemaker and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator utilization based on hospital discharge database data: An analysis by age groups

AIMS

To analyze temporal trends (2001 -2017) of Pacemakers (PM) and Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (ICD) procedures in Italy, according to the national Hospital Discharge Database (HDD).

METHODS

Frequency and implant rate (IR) in the Italian population were analyzed by age groups (<50, 50-79, ≥80 years).

RESULTS

From 2001 (2009 for Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy-Defibrillator - CRT-D) to 2017, first PM implants (1stPM) increased from 36,823 (637/million inhabitants) to 49,716 (820/million), ICD implants from 3,141 (54/million) to 24,255 (400/million) and CRT-D from 2,915 (49/million, 16.5% of ICD) to 8,595 (142/million, 35.4% of ICD). ICD implants due to ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation decreased from 55.6% to 13.5% and from 15.9% to 4.5% respectively, while the proportion increased among patients with heart failure (from 22.9% to 46.8%), hypertension (from 11.1% to 15.0%), diabetes (from 6.5% to 10.9%), and renal insufficiency (from 4.4% to 7.6%). Both PM and ICD procedures markedly increased in patients ≥80 years old. However, while IR for ICDs increased from 82/million to 1,038/million inhabitants, IR of 1stPM only changed from 6,111/million to 6,212/million as the population in this age group nearly doubled in Italy.

CONCLUSION

Since 2001, the increase of 1stPM in Italy was mainly due to the ultra-octogenarian population growth. No differences were observed for IR in each PM age group, while the absolute number and IR increased in all groups (especially ≥80 years old) for ICDs and CRT-Ds. An increase in comorbidities and a reduction in implants for secondary prevention were observed in the ICD population.

Clinical outcome before and after COVID-19 quarantine in patients affect of knee and hip osteoarthritis

BACKGROUND

The emergency caused by COVID-19 Pandemia has resulted in a complete suspension and consequent delay of common planned surgery such total hip replacement in patients affect by osteoarthritis. At the same time, the issue of the quarantine imposed changes to the normal lifestyle of these patients. The purpose of our study is to evaluate how the presence of these two factors affect the quality of live of patients living in the Italian red zone.

METHODS

From outpatient pre-operative assessment we collect data about: demographic data, WOMAC score, NRS (Numeric rating scale 0-10), PCS SF12 and MCS SF12 score. Selected patients were therefore contacted by telephone call and re-assess using the same score. In addition, patients were asked if they intended to undergo the planned surgery again despite the current emergency Results:  14 patient have been recruited for the study. Male/female ration was 10/4, mean age was 70 years. Pre operative outpatient assessment mean WOMAC score was 44,86 (SD ± 8,52) , mean NRS was 8,07 (SD ± 1,33), PCS SF12 was  30,33 (SD ± 5,0) and MCS SF12 was 40,95 (SD ± 3,51).  At re-evalutation the mean WOMAC score was 32,86 (SD ± 17,88) , mean NRS was 5,79 (SD ± 3,66), PCS SF12 was  39,9 (SD ± 3,70) and MCS SF12 was 50,14 (SD ± 6,86) Conclusion:  The exceptionale pandemic from Covid-19 has profoundly changed our lifestyle, impacting normal daily activities but also on regular surgical activity in patients affected by osteoarthritis. Our study suggested that the lifestyle changes imposed by the situation led to an improvement of clinical score. This shows how an exceptional event can affect many aspects of daily life.

Cost Analysis of Dual-Mobility Constructs in Revision Total Hip Arthroplasty: A European Payer Perspective

Dual-mobility constructs have been shown to significantly and substantially decrease dislocations after revision total hip arthroplasty (THA). The authors have previously shown that dual-mobility (DM) constructs are cost-effective given their ability to decrease dislocations and re-revision for dislocation. The goal was to report the costs of DM and large femoral head (LFH) constructs in revision THAs from a European health care payer perspective. A Markov model was constructed to analyze the costs incurred by payers in the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, and Spain over 3 years in revision THAs with DM or LFH constructs. Model states and probabilities were derived from prospectively collected registry data in 302 patients who underwent revision THA with a DM or 40-mm LFH construct and were then mapped to corresponding procedural reimbursement codes and tariffs for each country. Costs were weighted average national payments for reintervention procedures performed in the 3 years following revision THA. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis examined the effect of combined uncertainty across all model parameters. During a 3-year period following revision THA, reintervention rates were 9% for DM constructs and 19% for LFH constructs (P=.01). Comparing DM and LFH constructs, cumulative incremental costs over 3-years' follow-up were £428 vs £1447 in the United Kingdom, euro 451 vs euro 1272 in Germany, euro 540 vs euro 1425 in Italy, and euro 523 vs euro 1562 in Spain, respectively. At mid-term follow-up, DM constructs used in revision THAs were associated with a significantly lower risk of reintervention, which translated to lower health care payer costs compared with LFH constructs among European health care payers. [Orthopedics. 2020;43(4):250-255.].

Implementation and quality assessment of a clinical orthopaedic registry in a public hospital department

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to demonstrate a novel method of assessing data quality for an orthopaedic registry and its effects on data quality metrics.

METHODS

A quality controlled clinical patient registry was implemented, comprising six observational cohorts of shoulder and knee pathologies. Data collection procedures were co-developed with clinicians and administrative staff in accordance with the relevant dataset and organised into the registry database software. Quality metrics included completeness, consistency and validity. Data were extracted at scheduled intervals (3 months) and quality metrics reported to stakeholders of the registry.

RESULTS

The first patient was enrolled in July 2017 and the data extracted for analysis over 4 quarters, with the last audit in August 2018 (N = 189). Auditing revealed registry completeness was 100% after registry deficiencies were addressed. However, cohort completeness was less accurate, ranging from 12 to 13% for height & weight to 90-100% for operative variables such as operating surgeon, consulting surgeon and hospital. Consistency and internal validation improved to 100% after issues in registry processes were rectified.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel method to assess data quality in a clinical orthopaedic registry identified process shortfalls and improved data quality over time. Real-time communication, a comprehensive data framework and an integrated feedback loop were necessary to ensure adequate quality assurance. This model can be replicated in other registries and serve as a useful quality control tool to improve registry quality and ensure applicability of the data to aid clinical decisions, especially in newly implemented registries.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ACTRN12617001161314; registration date 8/08/2017. Retrospectively registered.

Total ankle arthroplasty and national registers: What is the impact on scientific production?

PURPOSE

The purpose of this systematic review was to analyze clinical studies on total ankle replacement (TAR) whose data were extracted from national registers.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature, to identify all studies reporting outcomes after TAR, was performed. Two independent investigators performed the research using MEDLINE, CINAHL (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature), Embase and Cochrane Databases (1950 to December 2017). The search terms used were "total ankle replacement" or "total ankle arthroplasty" AND "register" or "registers" or "registry" or "registries" or "national registry" or "national register".

RESULTS

Analysis of the literature included 18 articles from 2007 to 2017. Of these 5 articles performed a comprehensive analysis of the national registers, 5 articles evaluated complications and reasons of failure after TAR, 6 articles made a specific outcome register analysis, one article compared TAR and ankle arthrodesis while the last one analyzed the role of TAR in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

CONCLUSIONS

Scientific publications extracted from national joint registers for total ankle replacement provide useful but heterogeneous information on implants survivorship, implant models and risk factors. There is still a discrepancy between the data reported by designers in clinical studies and the data reported by the registries. The centralization of registers in specialized hospitals with dedicated surgeons, the use of patient reported outcomes (PROMs) in association with surgeon assessments and periodical publications can improve the development of registries and consequently of the literature in this regard.

Total knee arthroplasty in Italy: reflections from the last fifteen years and projections for the next thirty

PURPOSE

Annual rates of knee arthroplasty are increasing in all developed countries, imposing a significant economic and organizational burden; it is crucial to forecast the future need for knee arthroplasty, to assist stakeholders in planning strategies and investments, especially in a country like Italy, with the largest proportion of elderly citizens in Europe. Few epidemiological studies have been performed worldwide to estimate the demand for future knee replacement, and a variety of methods have been proposed.

METHODS

We investigated the epidemiology of knee arthroplasty performed in Italy in the last 15 years and projected incidence rates up to the year 2050, utilizing, comparing, and adapting the available methodologies.

RESULTS

From 2001 to 2016, 812,639 primary TKA were performed in Italy on patients over 40. The total number of surgeries increased by 262% with an average annual growth rate of 6.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

Adopting the best fitting projection method, an increase of 45% in incidence rate is expected for 2050.

Cross-cultural adaptation and validation of the Italian version of the Hip disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (HOOS)

Objective

To create a translated version of the HOOS to fit the Italian population and to test its psychometric properties and validity in hip osteoarthritis (OA) patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA).

Design

The HOOS Italian version was developed according to published international guidelines that include preparation, forward translation and reconciliation, backward translation, review and harmonization, and proof reading. The Italian HOOS was administered to 145 patients (mean age 65.7 ± 11.6 years, 34–89, 58.6% women) undergoing THA. The following psychometric properties were evaluated: internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha); test-retest reliability (Pearson’s r and intra-class correlation coefficient, ICC); convergent validity (Spearman’s rho between HOOS and SF-36); responsiveness (comparison of pre/post-THA scores, Wilcoxon signed rank test). Interpretability (floor and ceiling effects, skewness and kurtosis indexes) and acceptability (time to compiling, missing answers, and autonomy in compilation) were also evaluated.

Results

Translation and transcultural adaptation were conducted in accordance with the international recommendation. The translation was deemed understandable and appropriate as to the transcultural adaptation. None of the patients reported to have met any difficulties in reading and understanding the HOOS items. Internal consistency and test-retest reliability were good for each HOOS subscale (Cronbach’s alpha ≥0.7, Pearson’s r and ICC > 0.80). Convergent validity showed the highest correlations (Spearman’s rho > 0.5) between HOOS and SF-36 subscales relating to similar dimensions. As to responsiveness, all HOOS subscales scores improved significantly after THA (p < 0.01). Interpretability was acceptable despite ceiling effect in post-THA assessment. Acceptability was good: HOOS resulted easy and quick to fill out (12 min on average).

Conclusions

The HOOS was successfully cross-culturally adapted into Italian. The Italian HOOS showed good psychometric properties therefore it can be useful to assess outcomes in OA patients after THA. This study provided a basis for its use within the Italian Arthroplasty Registry and for future clinical trials.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12955-018-0935-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.