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Nestsiarovich A, Kumar P, Lauve NR, Hurwitz NG, Mazurie AJ, Cannon DC, Zhu Y, Nelson SJ, Crisanti AS, Kerner B, Tohen M, Perkins DJ, Lambert CG. Using Machine Learning Imputed Outcomes to Assess Drug-Dependent Risk of Self-Harm in Patients with Bipolar Disorder: A Comparative Effectiveness Study. JMIR Ment Health 2021; 8:e24522. [PMID: 33688834 PMCID: PMC8100888 DOI: 10.2196/24522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2020] [Revised: 02/08/2021] [Accepted: 03/09/2021] [Indexed: 02/02/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Incomplete suicidality coding in administrative claims data is a known obstacle for observational studies. With most of the negative outcomes missing from the data, it is challenging to assess the evidence on treatment strategies for the prevention of self-harm in bipolar disorder (BD), including pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy. There are conflicting data from studies on the drug-dependent risk of self-harm, and there is major uncertainty regarding the preventive effect of monotherapy and drug combinations. OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to compare all commonly used BD pharmacotherapies, as well as psychotherapy for the risk of self-harm, in a large population of commercially insured individuals, using self-harm imputation to overcome the known limitations of this outcome being underrecorded within US electronic health care records. METHODS The IBM MarketScan administrative claims database was used to compare self-harm risk in patients with BD following 65 drug regimens and drug-free periods. Probable but uncoded self-harm events were imputed via machine learning, with different probability thresholds examined in a sensitivity analysis. Comparators included lithium, mood-stabilizing anticonvulsants (MSAs), second-generation antipsychotics (SGAs), first-generation antipsychotics (FGAs), and five classes of antidepressants. Cox regression models with time-varying covariates were built for individual treatment regimens and for any pharmacotherapy with or without psychosocial interventions ("psychotherapy"). RESULTS Among 529,359 patients, 1.66% (n=8813 events) had imputed and/or coded self-harm following the exposure of interest. A higher self-harm risk was observed during adolescence. After multiple testing adjustment (P≤.012), the following six regimens had higher risk of self-harm than lithium: tri/tetracyclic antidepressants + SGA, FGA + MSA, FGA, serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor (SNRI) + SGA, lithium + MSA, and lithium + SGA (hazard ratios [HRs] 1.44-2.29), and the following nine had lower risk: lamotrigine, valproate, risperidone, aripiprazole, SNRI, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), "no drug," bupropion, and bupropion + SSRI (HRs 0.28-0.74). Psychotherapy alone (without medication) had a lower self-harm risk than no treatment (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.52-0.60; P=8.76×10-58). The sensitivity analysis showed that the direction of drug-outcome associations did not change as a function of the self-harm probability threshold. CONCLUSIONS Our data support evidence on the effectiveness of antidepressants, MSAs, and psychotherapy for self-harm prevention in BD. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02893371; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02893371.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anastasiya Nestsiarovich
- Center for Global Health, Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Praveen Kumar
- Department of Computer Science, The University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Nicolas Raymond Lauve
- Department of Computer Science, The University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | | | | | | | - Yiliang Zhu
- Division of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Preventive Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, The University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Stuart James Nelson
- Biomedical Informatics Center, George Washington University, Washington, DC, DC, United States
| | - Annette S Crisanti
- Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Berit Kerner
- Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
| | - Mauricio Tohen
- Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Douglas J Perkins
- Center for Global Health, Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Christophe Gerard Lambert
- Center for Global Health, Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States.,Division of Translational Informatics, Department of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM, United States
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Onyeka IN, O'Reilly D, Maguire A. The association between self-reported mental health, medication record and suicide risk: A population wide study. SSM Popul Health 2021; 13:100749. [PMID: 33665331 PMCID: PMC7901032 DOI: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.100749] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2020] [Revised: 01/29/2021] [Accepted: 01/30/2021] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Suicide mortality and mental ill health are increasing globally. Mental ill health can be measured in multiple ways. It is unclear which measure is most associated with suicide risk. This study explored the association between self-rated mental health and medication record and death by suicide. The 2011 Northern Ireland Census records of adults aged 18-74 years (n=1,098,967) were linked to a centralised database of dispensed prescription medication and death registrations until the end of 2015. Mental health status was ascertained through both a single-item self-reported question in the Census and receipt of psychotropic medication. Logistic regression models examined the association between indicators of mental ill health and likelihood of suicide mortality. Of the 1,098,967 cohort members, 857 died by suicide during the study period. Just over half of these deaths (n=429, 50.1%) occurred in individuals with neither indicator of mental ill health. Cohort members with both self-reported mental ill health and receipt of psychotropic medication had the highest risk of suicide (OR=6.13, 95%CI: 4.94–7.61), followed by those with psychotropic medication record only (OR=4.00, 95%CI: 3.28–4.88) and self-report only (OR=2.88, 95%CI: 2.16–3.84). Individuals who report mental ill health and have a history of psychotropic medication use are at a high risk of suicide mortality. However, neither measure is particularly sensitive, as both failed to signal over half of subsequent suicides. Some individuals who report poor mental health but are not in receipt of psychotropic medication are at increased risk of suicide, indicating possible unmet treatment need. The combination of the two indicators offers more precision for identifying those most at risk for targeted interventions. Mental ill health is associated with an increased risk of suicide, but measuring population mental health is difficult. The suicide risk associated with both subjective and objective indicators of mental ill health have not been examined. Most individuals who die by suicide have no indicator of mental ill health. Having both self-reported poor mental health and psychotropic medication record carried the highest risk of suicide death. Increased risk of suicide in individuals who report poor mental health but are not on medication may indicate unmet need.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ifeoma N Onyeka
- Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Royal Hospitals Site, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, UK.,Administrative Data Research Centre Northern Ireland, Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Royal Hospitals Site, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, UK
| | - Dermot O'Reilly
- Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Royal Hospitals Site, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, UK.,Administrative Data Research Centre Northern Ireland, Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Royal Hospitals Site, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, UK
| | - Aideen Maguire
- Centre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Royal Hospitals Site, Grosvenor Road, Belfast, UK
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Khan A, Fahl Mar K, Gokul S, Brown WA. Mortality during US FDA clinical trials in patients with diabetes, hypertension, depression and schizophrenia. World J Biol Psychiatry 2020; 21:64-71. [PMID: 30246595 DOI: 10.1080/15622975.2018.1514465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
Objectives: To evaluate the relationship between the mortality rates associated with psychiatric conditions like depression and schizophrenia compared with chronic medical conditions like hypertension and diabetes.Methods: Examined clinical trial safety data from New Drug Approval programmes reviewed by the US Food and Drug Administration and calculated all-cause and suicide/non-suicide mortality rates per 100,000 patient-exposure-years (PEY) for seven diabetes, 12 hypertension, 11 depression, and nine schizophrenia programmes (126,151 patients, 63,106.3 PEY).Results: Depression (894.8 ± 201.2) and schizophrenia (935.3 ± 214.6) had significantly higher all-cause mortality rates than diabetes (462.8 ± 70.8) and hypertension (448.4 ± 123.1). Psychiatric conditions had 1.9-2.1× the medical conditions' mortality (p < 0.001). Non-suicide mortality rates for depression (506.2 ± 151.3), schizophrenia (550.9 ± 164.7), diabetes (457.2 ± 70.4) and hypertension (430.8 ± 120.6) were comparable. Only antidiabetics showed a signal for all-cause mortality (reduction of 37%, p = 0.008).Conclusions: Depression and schizophrenia trial patients had comparable (if not higher) all-cause mortality rates as older populations in diabetes and hypertension trials, even when excluding suicides. While generalizability of the rates themselves is limited, this study can adequately estimate the relational mortality among these conditions because of the high internal consistency of clinical trials. Potential signals for mortality reduction with active treatment should be considered for all investigational medications for chronic conditions with increased mortality, including psychotropics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arif Khan
- Northwest Clinical Research Center, Bellevue, WA, USA.,Department of Psychiatry, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA
| | | | | | - Walter A Brown
- Department of Psychiatry and Human Behavior, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA
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Tani N, Ikeda T, Michiue T, Oritani S, Morioka F, Ishikawa T. Analysis of psychotropic drug-related deaths in south Osaka. Subst Abuse Rehabil 2018; 9:79-90. [PMID: 30310350 PMCID: PMC6165856 DOI: 10.2147/sar.s163491] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective The aim of this study was to investigate the occurrence of deaths due to psychotropic drugs in south Osaka during a 10-year period and discuss societal factors from a medical viewpoint. Methods Psychotropic drug-related deaths were retrospectively investigated based on the forensic postmortem data of 1,746 decedents in 2005-2014, and we excluded cases in which stimulant drugs were detected. Of these, 133 cases (7.6%) were found to be psychotropic drug-related deaths and were analyzed. Results Psychotropic drug-related deaths occurred in 78 males (59%; age range, 14-95 years) and 55 females (41%; 20-84 years). The direct cause of death was acute drug intoxication in many cases, and of these, acute combined drug intoxication due to the use of multiple drugs accounted for 76% of the deaths. Most of these victims were found to have gastrointestinal and cardiovascular diseases. Cases of psychotropic drug-related deaths had especially poor medical conditions. In addition, tests were positive for blood alcohol in 23% of the cases. Conclusion The descriptive results revealed several factors that may be related to psychotropic drug-related deaths. To prevent drug abuse, several factors were deemed to be important, including improvements in the medical state of an individual, the avoidance of social isolation, and from a medical standpoint, the management of prescription drugs by medical personnel.
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Affiliation(s)
- Naoto Tani
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan, .,Forensic Autopsy Section, Medico-legal Consultation and Postmortem Investigation Support Center, c/o Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
| | - Tomoya Ikeda
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan, .,Forensic Autopsy Section, Medico-legal Consultation and Postmortem Investigation Support Center, c/o Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
| | - Tomomi Michiue
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan, .,Forensic Autopsy Section, Medico-legal Consultation and Postmortem Investigation Support Center, c/o Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
| | - Shigeki Oritani
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
| | - Fumiya Morioka
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
| | - Takaki Ishikawa
- Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan, .,Forensic Autopsy Section, Medico-legal Consultation and Postmortem Investigation Support Center, c/o Department of Legal Medicine, Osaka City University Medical School, Abeno, Osaka, Japan,
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