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Peris M, Crompton K, Shepherd DA, Amor DJ. The association between human chorionic gonadotropin and adverse pregnancy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2024; 230:118-184. [PMID: 37572838 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2023.08.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2023] [Revised: 07/28/2023] [Accepted: 08/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/14/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to evaluate the association between human chorionic gonadotropin and adverse pregnancy outcomes. DATA SOURCES Medline, Embase, PubMed, and Cochrane were searched in November 2021 using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and relevant key words. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA This analysis included published full-text studies of pregnant women with serum human chorionic gonadotropin testing between 8 and 28 weeks of gestation, investigating fetal outcomes (fetal death in utero, small for gestational age, preterm birth) or maternal factors (hypertension in pregnancy: preeclampsia, pregnancy-induced hypertension, placental abruption, HELLP syndrome, gestational diabetes mellitus). METHODS Studies were extracted using REDCap software. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to assess for risk of bias. Final meta-analyses underwent further quality assessment using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) method. RESULTS A total of 185 studies were included in the final review, including the outcomes of fetal death in utero (45), small for gestational age (79), preterm delivery (62), hypertension in pregnancy (107), gestational diabetes mellitus (29), placental abruption (17), and HELLP syndrome (2). Data were analyzed separately on the basis of categorical measurement of human chorionic gonadotropin and human chorionic gonadotropin measured on a continuous scale. Eligible studies underwent meta-analysis to generate a pooled odds ratio (categorical human chorionic gonadotropin level) or difference in medians (human chorionic gonadotropin continuous scale) between outcome groups. First-trimester low human chorionic gonadotropin levels were associated with preeclampsia and fetal death in utero, whereas high human chorionic gonadotropin levels were associated with preeclampsia. Second-trimester high human chorionic gonadotropin levels were associated with fetal death in utero and preeclampsia. CONCLUSION Human chorionic gonadotropin levels are associated with placenta-mediated adverse pregnancy outcomes. Both high and low human chorionic gonadotropin levels in the first trimester of pregnancy can be early warning signs of adverse outcomes. Further analysis of human chorionic gonadotropin subtypes and pregnancy outcomes is required to determine the diagnostic utility of these findings in reference to specific cutoff values.
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Affiliation(s)
- Monique Peris
- Neurodisability and Rehabilitation Group, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Neurodevelopment and Disability, Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Kylie Crompton
- Neurodisability and Rehabilitation Group, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Neurodevelopment and Disability, Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Daisy A Shepherd
- Neurodisability and Rehabilitation Group, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - David J Amor
- Neurodisability and Rehabilitation Group, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; Neurodevelopment and Disability, Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, Australia.
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Goto E. Meta-regression analysis to evaluate relationships between maternal blood levels of placentation biomarkers and low delivery weight. Int J Gynaecol Obstet 2018; 142:148-155. [PMID: 29723400 DOI: 10.1002/ijgo.12517] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2017] [Revised: 02/19/2018] [Accepted: 04/30/2018] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Caution is required for women at increased risk of low neonatal delivery weight. OBJECTIVE To evaluate relationships between maternal placentation biomarkers and the odds of low delivery weight. SEARCH STRATEGY Databases including PubMed/MEDLINE were searched up to May 2017 using keywords involving biomarker names and "low birthweight." SELECTION CRITERIA English language studies providing true- and false-positive, and true- and false-negative results of low delivery weight classified by maternal blood levels of placentation biomarkers (in units of multiple of the mean [MoM]) were included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Coefficients representing changes in log odds ratio for low delivery weight per 1 MoM increase in maternal blood placentation biomarkers, and those adjusted for race, sampling period, and/or study quality were calculated. MAIN RESULTS Adjusted coefficients representing changes in log odds ratio for low delivery weight per 1 MoM increase in maternal blood levels of α-fetoprotein (AFP) and β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) were significantly greater than 0 (both P<0.001), whereas that for pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) was significantly less than 0 (P=0.028). Adjusted models explained the higher proportion of between-study variance better than non-adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS Elevated AFP and β-hCG, and reduced PAPP-A in maternal blood were positively associated with odds of low delivery weight.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eita Goto
- Department of Medicine and Public Health, Nagoya Medical Science Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan
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Goto E. Maternal Blood Biomarkers of Placentation to Predict Low-Birth-Weight Newborns: A Meta-Analysis. JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY CANADA 2017; 39:635-644. [PMID: 28566257 DOI: 10.1016/j.jogc.2017.03.099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2016] [Accepted: 03/08/2017] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The development of methods for pre-delivery prediction of low-birth-weight newborns would be clinically advantageous because low birth weight contributes to a high infant mortality rate. This study was performed to examine whether maternal blood biomarkers of placentation can be used to predict low-birth-weight newborns. METHODS Ten databases, including PubMed/Medline, were searched. Any English language study that provided all of the true- and false-positive and true- and false-negative results of this prediction was included in the analysis. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies. Bivariate diagnostic meta-analysis was performed to construct hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS Based on relatively good quality studies, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) (n = 73, 19, and 7, respectively) showed low sensitivity and specificity and low diagnostic odds ratio. The informational usability was categorized as "no exclusion or confirmation" (i.e., positive likelihood ratio <10 and negative likelihood ratio >0.1). The diagnostic accuracy of AFP and hCG or PAPP-A was categorized as low (i.e., 0.5 ≤ area under the curve ≤0.7) or could not be categorized (i.e., area under the curve <0.5). CONCLUSION There is no evidence that maternal blood levels of AFP, hCG, or PAPP-A used as a single predictor are useful to predict low-birth-weight newborns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eita Goto
- Department of Medicine and Public Health, Nagoya Medical Science Research Institute, Nagoya, Japan.
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Sirikunalai P, Wanapirak C, Sirichotiyakul S, Tongprasert F, Srisupundit K, Luewan S, Traisrisilp K, Tongsong T. Associations between maternal serum free beta human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) levels and adverse pregnancy outcomes. J OBSTET GYNAECOL 2015; 36:178-82. [DOI: 10.3109/01443615.2015.1036400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
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Conde-Agudelo A, Bird S, Kennedy SH, Villar J, Papageorghiou AT. First- and second-trimester tests to predict stillbirth in unselected pregnant women: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BJOG 2014; 122:41-55. [PMID: 25236870 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.13096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/02/2014] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Several biophysical and biochemical tests have been proposed to predict stillbirth but their predictive ability remains unclear. OBJECTIVE To assess the accuracy of tests performed during the first and/or second trimester of pregnancy to predict stillbirth in unselected women with singleton, structurally and chromosomally normal fetuses through use of formal methods for systematic reviews and meta-analytic techniques. SEARCH STRATEGY Electronic databases, bibliographies and conference proceedings. SELECTION CRITERIA Observational studies that evaluated the predictive accuracy for stillbirth of tests performed during the first two trimesters of pregnancy. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Two reviewers selected studies, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. Summary receiver operating characteristic curves, pooled sensitivities, specificities and likelihood ratios (LRs) were generated. Data were synthesised separately for stillbirth as a sole category and for specific stillbirth categories. MAIN RESULTS Seventy-one studies, evaluating 16 single and five combined tests, met the inclusion criteria. A uterine artery pulsatility index >90th centile during the second trimester and low levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) during the first trimester had a moderate to high predictive accuracy for stillbirth related to placental abruption, small-for-gestational-age or pre-eclampsia (positive and negative LRs from 6.3 to 14.1, and from 0.1 to 0.4, respectively). All biophysical and biochemical tests assessed had a low predictive accuracy for stillbirth as a sole category. CONCLUSIONS Currently, there is no clinically useful first-trimester or second-trimester test to predict stillbirth as a sole category. Uterine artery pulsatility index and maternal serum PAPP-A levels appeared to be good predictors of stillbirth related to placental dysfunction disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Conde-Agudelo
- Perinatology Research Branch, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development/National Institutes of Health/Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD and Detroit, MI, USA
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Androutsopoulos G, Gkogkos P, Decavalas G. Mid-trimester maternal serum HCG and alpha fetal protein levels: clinical significance and prediction of adverse pregnancy outcome. Int J Endocrinol Metab 2013; 11:102-6. [PMID: 23825981 PMCID: PMC3693663 DOI: 10.5812/ijem.5014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2012] [Revised: 10/02/2012] [Accepted: 10/08/2012] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
CONTEXT Maternal serum human Chorionic Gonadotropin (hCG) and Alpha Fetal Protein (AFP) were originally introduced to detect trisomy 21 and neural tube defects. However, in the absence of aneuploidy or neural tube defects, mid-trimester maternal serum hCG and/or maternal serum AFP associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. Pregnancies with unexplained mid-trimester elevation in maternal serum hCG and/or maternal serum AFP, are at increased risk for pregnancy complications resulting from placental insufficiency. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION Mid-trimester maternal serum hCG>2.5 MoM associated with an increased risk for pregnancy complications including: late fetal loss, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), preterm delivery and intrauterine fetal death(IUFD). Mid-trimester maternal serum AFP levels >2.5 MoM are thought to reflect a defect in placentation and associated with an increased risk for pregnancy complications including: late fetal loss, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, IUGR, preterm delivery and IUFD. RESULTS Combined mid-trimester elevation in maternal serum hCG and AFP levels suggest a more complex type of placental pathology. They have stronger association with pregnancy complications including: late fetal loss, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, IUGR, preterm delivery and IUFD. CONCLUSIONS Mid-trimester maternal serum hCG or AFP levels alone cannot detect all pregnant women with increased risk to develop pregnancy complications. Multiparameter testing of placental function in mid-trimester (maternal serum hCG and AFP screening, uterine artery Doppler and placental morphology) may allow us to identify women with increased risk to develop severe placental insufficiency and pregnancy complications. However, future prospective studies are needed to confirm the prognostic significance of multiparameter testing of placental function in mid-trimester.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Androutsopoulos
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Patras, Medical School, Rion, Greece
- Corresponding author: Georgios Androutsopoulos, Nikolaou Apostoli 21, Patra, 26332, Greece, Tel.: +30-2613604010, Fax: +30-6974088092, E-mail:
| | - Panagiotis Gkogkos
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Patras, Medical School, Rion, Greece
| | - Georgios Decavalas
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Patras, Medical School, Rion, Greece
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Weintraub AY, Weiss I, Friger M, Hershkovitz R. Pregnancy and delivery outcomes following a pathological second trimester triple test screening result and a normal karyotype. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2012; 25:2606-9. [PMID: 22873284 DOI: 10.3109/14767058.2012.712572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate whether obstetrical complications are increased in pregnancies with a normal karyotype and an abnormal triple test (TT) (≥1:380 or more) where all analytes were within the normal range. METHODS A retrospective cohort study of women who underwent a TT and delivered in a tertiary medical center, was conducted. Patients were divided into a study group (pregnancies with abnormal TT) and a control group (normal TT). In both groups, the analyte concentrations were within the normal range and the karyotype was normal. Demographic and clinical characteristics, antenatal factors, gestational complications and perinatal outcomes were compared between the groups. RESULTS An abnormal TT result in the presence of normal analytes and a normal karyotype, had no impact on obstetrical complications. A direct association between elevated values of hCG within the normal range (0-2.0 MoM) and pathological TT was noticed (OR = 2.6, p < 0.01). On the other hand, an inverse correlation between elevation in AFP (0-2.0 MoM) and uE3 was found (OR < 0.01, p < 0.01; OR < 0.01, p < 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS An abnormal TT result in the presence of normal analytes and a normal karyotype, had no influence on rate of obstetrical complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adi Y Weintraub
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Health Sciences, Soroka University Medical Center, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev , Beer-Sheva Israel
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Extreme Values of Maternal Serum Analytes in Second Trimester Screening: Looking Beyond Trisomy and NTD’s. J Genet Couns 2011; 20:396-403. [DOI: 10.1007/s10897-011-9364-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2010] [Accepted: 03/16/2011] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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First- and Second-Trimester Maternal Serum Markers for Aneuploidy and Adverse Obstetric Outcomes. Obstet Gynecol 2010; 115:1052-1061. [DOI: 10.1097/aog.0b013e3181da93da] [Citation(s) in RCA: 105] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Gagnon A, Wilson RD. Obstetrical complications associated with abnormal maternal serum markers analytes. JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY CANADA 2009; 30:918-932. [PMID: 19038077 DOI: 10.1016/s1701-2163(16)32973-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 156] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To review the obstetrical outcomes associated with abnormally elevated or decreased level of one or more of the most frequently measured maternal serum marker analytes used in screening for aneuploidy. To provide guidance to facilitate the management of pregnancies that have abnormal levels of one of more markers and to assess the usefulness of these markers as a screening test. OPTIONS Perinatal outcomes associated with abnormal levels of maternal serum markers analytes are compared with the outcomes of pregnancies with normal levels of the same analytes or the general population. EVIDENCE The Cochrane Library and Medline were searched for English-language articles published from 1966 to February 2007, relating to maternal serum markers and perinatal outcomes. Search terms included PAPP-A (pregnancy associated plasma protein A), AFP (alphafetoprotein), hCG (human chorionic gonadotropin), estriol, unconjugated estriol, inhibin, inhibin-A, maternal serum screen, triple marker screen, quadruple screen, integrated prenatal screen, first trimester screen, and combined prenatal screen. All study types were reviewed. Randomized controlled trials were considered evidence of the highest quality, followed by cohort studies. Key individual studies on which the recommendations are based are referenced. Supporting data for each recommendation are summarized with evaluative comments and references. The evidence was evaluated using the guidelines developed by the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care. VALUES The evidence collected was reviewed by the Genetics Committee of the Society of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists of Canada. BENEFITS, HARMS, AND COSTS The benefit expected from this guideline is to facilitate early detection of potential adverse pregnancy outcomes when risks are identified at the time of a maternal serum screen. It will help further stratification of risk and provide options for pregnancy management to minimize the impact of pregnancy complications. The potential harms resulting from such practice are associated with the so called false positive (i.e., uncomplicated pregnancies labelled at increased risk for adverse perinatal outcomes), the potential stress associated with such a label, and the investigations performed for surveillance in this situation. No cost-benefit analysis is available to assess costs and savings associated with this guideline. SUMMARY STATEMENTS: 1. An unexplained level of a maternal serum marker analyte is defined as an abnormal level after confirmation of gestational age by ultrasound and exclusion of maternal, fetal, or placental causes for the abnormal level. (III) 2. Abnormally elevated levels of serum markers are associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes in twin pregnancies, after correction for the number of fetuses. Spontaneous or planned mutifetal reductions may result in abnormal elevations of serum markers. (II-2) RECOMMENDATIONS: 1. In the first trimester, an unexplained low PAPP-A (< 0.4 MoM) and/or a low hCG (< 0.5 MoM) are associated with an increased frequency of adverse obstetrical outcomes, and, at present, no specific protocol for treatment is available. (II-2A) In the second trimester, an unexplained elevation of maternal serum AFP (> 2.5 MoM), hCG (> 3.0 MoM), and/or inhibin-A (> or =2.0 MoM) or a decreased level of maternal serum AFP (< 0.25 MoM) and/or unconjugated estriol (< 0.5 MoM) are associated with an increased frequency of adverse obstetrical outcomes, and, at present, no specific protocol for treatment is available. (II-2A) 2. Pregnant woman with an unexplained elevated PAPP-A or hCG in the first trimester and an unexplained low hCG or inhibin-A and an unexplained elevated unconjugated estriol in the second trimester should receive normal antenatal care, as this pattern of analytes is not associated with adverse perinatal outcomes. (II-2A) 3. The combination of second or third trimester placenta previa and an unexplained elevated maternal serum AFP should increase the index of suspicion for placenta accreta, increta, or percreta. (II-2B) An assessment (ultrasound, MRI) of the placental-uterine interface should be performed. Abnormal invasion should be strongly suspected, and the planning of delivery location and technique should be done accordingly. (III-C) 4. A prenatal consultation with the medical genetics department is recommended for low unconjugated estriol levels (<0.3 MoM), as this analyte pattern can be associated with genetic conditions. (II-2B) 5. The clinical management protocol for identification of potential adverse obstetrical outcomes should be guided by one or more abnormal maternal serum marker analyte value rather than the false positive screening results for the trisomy 21 and/or the trisomy 18 screen. (II-2B) 6. Pregnant woman who are undergoing renal dialysis or who have had a renal transplant should be offered maternal serum screening, but interpretation of the result is difficult as the level of serum hCG is not reliable. (II-2A) 7. Abnormal maternal uterine artery Doppler in association with elevated maternal serum AFP, hCG, or inhibin-A or decreased PAPP-A identifies a group of women at greater risk of IUGR and gestational hypertension with proteinuria. Uterine artery Doppler measurements may be used in the evaluation of an unexplained abnormal level of either of these markers. (II-2B) 8. Further research is recommended to identify the best protocol for pregnancy management and surveillance in women identified at increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes based on an abnormality of a maternal serum screening analyte. (III-A) 9. In the absence of evidence supporting any specific surveillance protocol, an obstetrician should be consulted in order to establish a fetal surveillance plan specific to the increased obstetrical risks (maternal and fetal) identified. This plan may include enhanced patient education on signs and symptoms of the most common complications, increased frequency of antenatal visits, increased ultrasound (fetal growth, amniotic fluid levels), and fetal surveillance (biophysical profile, arterial and venous Doppler), and cervical length assessment. (III-A) 10. Limited information suggests that, in women with elevated hCG in the second trimester and/or abnormal uterine artery Doppler (at 22-24 weeks), low-dose aspirin (60-81 mg daily) is associated with higher birthweight and lower incidence of gestational hypertension with proteinuria. This therapy may be used in women who are at risk. (II-2B) 11. Further studies are recommended in order to assess the benefits of low-dose aspirin, low molecular weight heparin, or other therapeutic options in pregnancies determined to be at increased risk on the basis of an abnormal maternal serum screening analyte. (III-A) 12. Multiple maternal serum markers screening should not be used at present as a population-based screening method for adverse pregnancy outcomes (such as preeclampsia, placental abruption, and stillbirth) outside an established research protocol, as sensitivity is low, false positive rates are high, and no management protocol has been shown to clearly improve outcomes. (II-2D) When maternal serum screening is performed for the usual clinical indication (fetal aneuploidy and/or neural tube defect), abnormal analyte results can be utilized for the identification of pregnancies at risk and to direct their clinical management. (II-2B) Further studies are recommended to determine the optimal screening method for poor maternal and/or perinatal outcomes. (III-A).
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Complications obstétricales associées aux analytes anormaux des marqueurs sériques maternels. JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY CANADA 2008. [DOI: 10.1016/s1701-2163(16)32974-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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Morris RK, Cnossen JS, Langejans M, Robson SC, Kleijnen J, Ter Riet G, Mol BW, van der Post JAM, Khan KS. Serum screening with Down's syndrome markers to predict pre-eclampsia and small for gestational age: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2008; 8:33. [PMID: 18680570 PMCID: PMC2533288 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2393-8-33] [Citation(s) in RCA: 80] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2008] [Accepted: 08/04/2008] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Reliable antenatal identification of pre-eclampsia and small for gestational age is crucial to judicious allocation of monitoring resources and use of preventative treatment with the prospect of improving maternal/perinatal outcome. The purpose of this systematic review was to determine the accuracy of five serum analytes used in Down's serum screening for prediction of pre-eclampsia and/or small for gestational age. Methods The data sources included Medline, Embase, Cochrane library, Medion (inception to February 2007), hand searching of relevant journals, reference list checking of included articles, contact with experts. Two reviewers independently selected the articles in which the accuracy of an analyte used in Downs's serum screening before the 25th gestational week was associated with the occurrence of pre-eclampsia and/or small for gestational age without language restrictions. Two authors independently extracted data on study characteristics, quality and results. Results Five serum screening markers were evaluated. 44 studies, testing 169,637 pregnant women (4376 pre-eclampsia cases) and 86 studies, testing 382,005 women (20,339 fetal growth restriction cases) met the selection criteria. The results showed low predictive accuracy overall. For pre-eclampsia the best predictor was inhibin A>2.79MoM positive likelihood ratio 19.52 (8.33,45.79) and negative likelihood ratio 0.30 (0.13,0.68) (single study). For small for gestational age it was AFP>2.0MoM to predict birth weight < 10th centile with birth < 37 weeks positive likelihood ratio 27.96 (8.02,97.48) and negative likelihood ratio 0.78 (0.55,1.11) (single study). A potential clinical application using aspirin as a treatment is given as an example. There were methodological and reporting limitations in the included studies thus studies were heterogeneous giving pooled results with wide confidence intervals. Conclusion Down's serum screening analytes have low predictive accuracy for pre-eclampsia and small for gestational age. They may be a useful means of risk assessment or of use in prediction when combined with other tests.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel K Morris
- Academic Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham Women's Hospital, Birmingham, B15 2TG, UK.
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