Large changes in biomass burning over the last millennium inferred from paleoatmospheric ethane in polar ice cores

Sources, chronology of deposition, and mobility of mercury and methylmercury in the sediments of a contaminated Mediterranean bay

Coastal sediments constitute a major reservoir for natural and anthropogenic mercury (Hg) and can be used as geochronological records of past Hg deposition. They may also act as secondary Hg sources for pelagic ecosystems via the efflux of toxic methylmercury (MeHg) diffusing from sediment porewaters and/or mobilized by sediment resuspension. In Toulon Bay sediments, which are known as one of the Hg hot spots of the northwestern Mediterranean Sea, we explored Hg species accumulation and mobility. The total Hg concentrations averaged 0.014 μg g-1 ca. 2000 years ago, then exhibited three major peaks during the Medieval Period, the Early Modern Period of Europe, and the Industrial Era, reaching 0.06, 0.07, and 13 μg g-1, respectively. The Medieval peak is attributed to the massive development of metallurgy in Europe accompanied by the burning of soil and vegetation, the second peak to the optimum of Hg extraction in Europe (Almadén mine), and the resumption of deforestation after the great plague. The third most recent Hg enrichment is associated with Hg-fulminate production, the scuttling of the French navy fleet during World War II, and ship salvaging and removal in the post-war years. Sampling of the dissolved phase at high vertical resolution above and below the sediment-water interface (SWI) enables us to conclude that MeHg was produced in situ by microbiological pathways and its diffusion across the SWI was negligible. On the other hand, ex-situ resuspension experiments showed that sorption and/or photodemethylation restrict MeHg from the dissolved phase.

Space-based observations of tropospheric ethane map emissions from fossil fuel extraction

Ethane is the most abundant non-methane hydrocarbon in the troposphere, where it impacts ozone and reactive nitrogen and is a key tracer used for partitioning emitted methane between anthropogenic and natural sources. However, quantification has been challenged by sparse observations. Here, we present a satellite-based measurement of tropospheric ethane and demonstrate its utility for fossil-fuel source quantification. An ethane spectral signal is detectable from space in Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) radiances, revealing ethane signatures associated with fires and fossil fuel production. We use machine-learning to convert these signals to ethane abundances and validate the results against surface observations (R2 = 0.66, mean CrIS/surface ratio: 0.65). The CrIS data show that the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico exhibits the largest persistent ethane enhancements on the planet, with regional emissions underestimated by seven-fold. Correcting this underestimate reveals Permian ethane emissions that represent at least 4-7% of the global fossil-fuel ethane source.

Historical Southern Hemisphere biomass burning variability inferred from ice core carbon monoxide records

Biomass burning plays an important role in climate-forcing and atmospheric chemistry. The drivers of fire activity over the past two centuries, however, are hotly debated and fueled by poor constraints on the magnitude and trends of preindustrial fire regimes. As a powerful tracer of biomass burning, reconstructions of paleoatmospheric carbon monoxide (CO) can provide valuable information on the evolution of fire activity across the preindustrial to industrial transition. Here too, however, significant disagreements between existing CO records currently allow for opposing fire histories. In this study, we reconstruct a continuous record of Antarctic ice core CO between 1821 and 1995 CE to overlap with direct atmospheric observations. Our record indicates that the Southern Hemisphere CO burden ([CO]) increased by 50% from a preindustrial mixing ratio of ca. 35 ppb to ca. 53 ppb by 1995 CE with more variability than allowed for by state-of-the-art chemistry-climate models, suggesting that historic CO dynamics have been not fully accounted for. Using a 6-troposphere box model, a 40 to 50% decrease in Southern Hemisphere biomass-burning emissions, coincident with unprecedented rates of early 20th century anthropogenic land-use change, is identified as a strong candidate for this mismatch.

Improved biomass burning emissions from 1750 to 2010 using ice core records and inverse modeling

Estimating fire emissions prior to the satellite era is challenging because observations are limited, leading to large uncertainties in the calculated aerosol climate forcing following the preindustrial era. This challenge further limits the ability of climate models to accurately project future climate change. Here, we reconstruct a gridded dataset of global biomass burning emissions from 1750 to 2010 using inverse analysis that leveraged a global array of 31 ice core records of black carbon deposition fluxes, two different historical emission inventories as a priori estimates, and emission-deposition sensitivities simulated by the atmospheric chemical transport model GEOS-Chem. The reconstructed emissions exhibit greater temporal variabilities which are more consistent with paleoclimate proxies. Our ice core constrained emissions reduced the uncertainties in simulated cloud condensation nuclei and aerosol radiative forcing associated with the discrepancy in preindustrial biomass burning emissions. The derived emissions can also be used in studies of ocean and terrestrial biogeochemistry.

Improved estimates of preindustrial biomass burning reduce the magnitude of aerosol climate forcing in the Southern Hemisphere

Fire plays a pivotal role in shaping terrestrial ecosystems and the chemical composition of the atmosphere and thus influences Earth's climate. The trend and magnitude of fire activity over the past few centuries are controversial, which hinders understanding of preindustrial to present-day aerosol radiative forcing. Here, we present evidence from records of 14 Antarctic ice cores and 1 central Andean ice core, suggesting that historical fire activity in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) exceeded present-day levels. To understand this observation, we use a global fire model to show that overall SH fire emissions could have declined by 30% over the 20th century, possibly because of the rapid expansion of land use for agriculture and animal production in middle to high latitudes. Radiative forcing calculations suggest that the decreasing trend in SH fire emissions over the past century largely compensates for the cooling effect of increasing aerosols from fossil fuel and biofuel sources.

Old carbon reservoirs were not important in the deglacial methane budget

Permafrost and methane hydrates are large, climate-sensitive old carbon reservoirs that have the potential to emit large quantities of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, as the Earth continues to warm. We present ice core isotopic measurements of methane (Δ¹⁴C, δ¹³C, and δD) from the last deglaciation, which is a partial analog for modern warming. Our results show that methane emissions from old carbon reservoirs in response to deglacial warming were small (<19 teragrams of methane per year, 95% confidence interval) and argue against similar methane emissions in response to future warming. Our results also indicate that methane emissions from biomass burning in the pre-Industrial Holocene were 22 to 56 teragrams of methane per year (95% confidence interval), which is comparable to today.

Preindustrial 14CH4 indicates greater anthropogenic fossil CH4 emissions

Atmospheric methane (CH₄) is a potent greenhouse gas, and its mole fraction has more than doubled since the preindustrial era¹. Fossil fuel extraction and use are among the largest anthropogenic sources of CH₄ emissions, but the precise magnitude of these contributions is a subject of debate^2,3. Carbon-14 in CH₄ (¹⁴CH₄) can be used to distinguish between fossil (¹⁴C-free) CH₄ emissions and contemporaneous biogenic sources; however, poorly constrained direct ¹⁴CH₄ emissions from nuclear reactors have complicated this approach since the middle of the 20th century^4,5. Moreover, the partitioning of total fossil CH₄ emissions (presently 172 to 195 teragrams CH₄ per year)^2,3 between anthropogenic and natural geological sources (such as seeps and mud volcanoes) is under debate; emission inventories suggest that the latter account for about 40 to 60 teragrams CH₄ per year^6,7. Geological emissions were less than 15.4 teragrams CH₄ per year at the end of the Pleistocene, about 11,600 years ago⁸, but that period is an imperfect analogue for present-day emissions owing to the large terrestrial ice sheet cover, lower sea level and extensive permafrost. Here we use preindustrial-era ice core ¹⁴CH₄ measurements to show that natural geological CH₄ emissions to the atmosphere were about 1.6 teragrams CH₄ per year, with a maximum of 5.4 teragrams CH₄ per year (95 per cent confidence limit)-an order of magnitude lower than the currently used estimates. This result indicates that anthropogenic fossil CH₄ emissions are underestimated by about 38 to 58 teragrams CH₄ per year, or about 25 to 40 per cent of recent estimates. Our record highlights the human impact on the atmosphere and climate, provides a firm target for inventories of the global CH₄ budget, and will help to inform strategies for targeted emission reductions^9,10.