Ensembles of realistic power distribution networks

Deep learning resilience inference for complex networked systems

Resilience, the ability to maintain fundamental functionality amidst failures and errors, is crucial for complex networked systems. Most analytical approaches rely on predefined equations for node activity dynamics and simplifying assumptions on network topology, limiting their applicability to real-world systems. Here, we propose ResInf, a deep learning framework integrating transformers and graph neural networks to infer resilience directly from observational data. ResInf learns representations of node activity dynamics and network topology without simplifying assumptions, enabling accurate resilience inference and low-dimensional visualization. Experimental results show that ResInf significantly outperforms analytical methods, with an F1-score improvement of up to 41.59% over Gao-Barzel-Barabási framework and 14.32% over spectral dimension reduction. It also generalizes to unseen topologies and dynamics and maintains robust performance despite observational disturbances. Our findings suggest that ResInf addresses an important gap in resilience inference for real-world systems, offering a fresh perspective on incorporating data-driven approaches to complex network modeling.

A simplicial epidemic model for COVID-19 spread analysis

Networks allow us to describe a wide range of interaction phenomena that occur in complex systems arising in such diverse fields of knowledge as neuroscience, engineering, ecology, finance, and social sciences. Until very recently, the primary focus of network models and tools has been on describing the pairwise relationships between system entities. However, increasingly more studies indicate that polyadic or higher-order group relationships among multiple network entities may be the key toward better understanding of the intrinsic mechanisms behind the functionality of complex systems. Such group interactions can be, in turn, described in a holistic manner by simplicial complexes of graphs. Inspired by these recently emerging results on the utility of the simplicial geometry of complex networks for contagion propagation and armed with a large-scale synthetic social contact network (also known as a digital twin) of the population in the U.S. state of Virginia, in this paper, we aim to glean insights into the role of higher-order social interactions and the associated varying social group determinants on COVID-19 propagation and mitigation measures.