Visibility impacts at Class I areas near the Bakken oil and gas development

Source characterization of volatile organic compounds at Carlsbad Caverns National Park

Carlsbad Caverns National Park (CAVE), located in southeastern New Mexico, experiences elevated ground-level ozone (O3) exceeding the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) of 70 ppbv. It is situated adjacent to the Permian Basin, one of the largest oil and gas (O&G) producing regions in the US. In 2019, the Carlsbad Caverns Air Quality Study (CarCavAQS) was conducted to examine impacts of different sources on ozone precursors, including nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Here, we use positive matrix factorization (PMF) analysis of speciated VOCs to characterize VOC sources at CAVE during the study. Seven factors were identified. Three factors composed largely of alkanes and aromatics with different lifetimes were attributed to O&G development and production activities. VOCs in these factors were typical of those emitted by O&G operations. Associated residence time analyses (RTA) indicated their contributions increased in the park during periods of transport from the Permian Basin. These O&G factors were the largest contributor to VOC reactivity with hydroxyl radicals (62%). Two PMF factors were rich in photochemically generated secondary VOCs; one factor contained species with shorter atmospheric lifetimes and one with species with longer lifetimes. RTA of the secondary factors suggested impacts of O&G emissions from regions farther upwind, such as Eagle Ford Shale and Barnett Shale formations. The last two factors were attributed to alkenes likely emitted from vehicles or other combustion sources in the Permian Basin and regional background VOCs, respectively.Implications: Carlsbad Caverns National Park experiences ground-level ozone exceeding the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. Volatile organic compounds are critical precursors to ozone formation. Measurements in the Park identify oil and gas production and development activities as the major contributors to volatile organic compounds. Emissions from the adjacent Permian Basin contributed to increases in primary species that enhanced local ozone formation. Observations of photochemically generated compounds indicate that ozone was also transported from shale formations and basins farther upwind. Therefore, emission reductions of volatile organic compounds from oil and gas activities are important for mitigating elevated O3 in the region.

PM2.5 in Carlsbad Caverns National Park: Composition, sources, and visibility impacts

Carlsbad Caverns National Park in southeastern New Mexico is adjacent to the Permian Basin, one of the most productive oil and gas regions in the country. The 2019 Carlsbad Caverns Air Quality Study (CarCavAQS) was designed to examine the influence of regional sources, including urban emissions, oil and gas development, wildfires, and soil dust on air quality in the park. Field measurements of aerosols, trace gases, and deposition were conducted from 25 July through 5 September 2019. Here, we focus on observations of fine particles and key trace gas precursors to understand the important contributing species and their sources and associated impacts on haze. Key gases measured included aerosol precursors, nitric acid and ammonia, and oil and gas tracer, methane. High-time resolution (6-min) PM_2.5 mass ranged up to 31.8 µg m^-3, with an average of 7.67 µg m^-3. The main inorganic ion contributors were sulfate (avg 1.3 µg m^-3), ammonium (0.30 µg m^-3), calcium (Ca²⁺) (0.22 µg m^-3), nitrate (0.16 µg m^-3), and sodium (0.057 µg m^-3). The WSOC concentration averaged 1.2 µg C m^-3. Sharp spikes were observed in Ca²⁺, consistent with local dust generation and transport. Ion balance analysis and abundant nitric acid suggest PM_2.5 nitrate often reflected reaction between nitric acid and sea salt, forming sodium nitrate, and between nitric acid and soil dust containing calcium carbonate, forming calcium nitrate. Sulfate and soil dust are the major contributors to modeled light extinction in the 24-hr average daily IMPROVE observations. Higher time resolution data revealed a maximum 1-hr extinction value of 90 Mm^-1 (excluding coarse aerosol) and included periods of significant light extinction from BC as well as sulfate and soil dust. Residence time analysis indicated enrichment of sulfate, BC, and methane during periods of transport from the southeast, the direction of greatest abundance of oil and gas development.Implications: Rapid development of U.S. oil and gas resources raises concerns about potential impacts on air quality in National Parks. Measurements in Carlsbad Caverns National Park provide new insight into impacts of unconventional oil and gas development and other sources on visual air quality in the park. Major contributors to visibility impairment include sulfate, soil dust (often reacted with nitric acid), and black carbon. The worst periods of visibility and highest concentrations of many aerosol components were observed during transport from the southeast, a region of dense Permian Basin oil and gas development.

Assessment of progress toward regional haze rule visibility goals using United States anthropogenic emissions rate of progress

The U.S. EPA developed the Regional Haze Rule to address Section 7491 of the 1977 Clean Air Act Amendments to prevent any future and remedy any existing visibility impairment due to manmade air pollution at Federal Class I areas (CIAs). The rule addresses this national goal by requiring states to show they are making progress toward estimated natural conditions by 2064 for the 20% anthropogenically Most Impaired Days (MID). For the MID, days that have high haze contributions from wildfires and windblown dust tend to be excluded using haze contributions from Carbon and crustal material as surrogates. To show progress toward natural conditions in 2064, a Uniform Rate of Progress Glidepath is defined as a straight line from measured 2000-2004 IMPROVE MID Baseline to natural conditions in 2064. Photochemical modeling is used to project the observed IMPROVE 2014-2018 MID visibility to 2028 that is compared to the Glidepath at 2028 to determine whether the MID visibility at a CIA is on a path toward natural visibility conditions in 2064. This paper discusses an alternative approach for showing progress toward no manmade impairment by using modeling results to generate a U.S. Anthropogenic Emissions Rate of Progress (RoP). The CAMx photochemical grid model was run for a current year (representing 2014-2018), 2028 future year and a 2002 past year and source apportionment was used to isolate the contributions of U.S. anthropogenic emissions to PM concentrations and visibility extinction. A RoP slope line is drawn from the 2002 visibility extinction due to U.S. anthropogenic emissions to zero in 2064 and the CAMx 2028 visibility for U.S. anthropogenic emissions is compared with the RoP slope line at 2028 to determine whether visibility due to U.S. anthropogenic emissions is on a path toward no U.S. manmade impairment in 2064.Implications: The U.S. EPA Regional Haze Rule guidance to show progress toward no U.S. manmade visibility impairment at Class I Areas by 2064 backs into the U.S. manmade impairment contribution by using total atmospheric haze based on measured PM concentrations and subtracting uncertain estimates of routine natural and episodic (i.e. wildfires and windblown dust) natural conditions. The guidance also recommends accounting for visibility contributions due to international anthropogenic and prescribed fire emissions that are also uncertain. This paper presents an alternative approach that models the contributions of U.S. anthropogenic emissions to visibility for past, current and future years using source apportionment to show that U.S. anthropogenic emissions visibility impairment at Class I areas are on a path toward no contribution in 2064. Many U.S. anthropogenic emissions (e.g. power plants with continuous emissions monitoring systems) are better known and characterized than international, fire and natural emissions so the alternative approach should provide a better assessment of whether U.S. anthropogenic emissions are on a path toward no manmade impairment in 2064 than using trends in the measured visibility most impaired days that rely on uncertain estimates of haze due to wildfire, windblown dust, and international emissions and uncertain estimates of natural conditions in 2064.

Wintertime haze and ozone at Dinosaur National Monument

Dinosaur National Monument (DINO) is located near the northeastern edge of the Uinta Basin and often experiences elevated levels of wintertime ground-level ozone. Previous studies have shown that high ozone mixing ratios in the Uinta Basin are driven by elevated levels of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) from regional oil and gas development coupled with temperature inversions and enhanced photochemistry from persistent snow cover. Here, we show that persistent snow cover and temperature inversions, along with abundant ammonia, also lead to wintertime haze in this region. A study was conducted at DINO from November 2018 through May 2020 where ozone, speciated fine and coarse aerosols, inorganic gases, and VOCs were measured. Three National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) ozone exceedances were observed in the first winter, and no exceedances were observed in the second winter. In contrast, elevated levels of particulate matter were observed both winters, with 24-h averaged particle light extinction exceeding 100 Mm^-1. These haze events were dominated by ammonium nitrate, and particulate organics were highly correlated with ammonium nitrate. Ammonium nitrate formation was limited by nitric acid in winter. As such, reductions in regional NO_x emissions should reduce haze levels and improve visibility at DINO in winter. Long-term measurements of particulate matter from nearby Vernal, Utah, suggest that visibility impairment is a persistent issue in the Uinta Basin in winter. From April through October 2019, relatively clean conditions occurred, with average particle extinction of ~10 Mm^-1. During this period, ammonium nitrate concentrations were lower by more than an order of magnitude, and contributions from coarse mass and soil to haze levels increased. VOC markers indicated that the high levels of observed pollutants in winter were likely from local sources related to oil and gas extraction activities.Implications: Elevated ground-level ozone and haze levels were observed at Dinosaur National Monument in winter. Haze episodes were dominated by ammonium nitrate, with 24-h averaged particle light extinction exceeding 100 Mm^-1, reducing visual range near the surface to ~35 km. Despite elevated ammonium nitrate concentrations, additional gas-phase ammonia was available, such that any increase in NO_x emissions in the region is likely to lead to even greater haze levels.