Serum hCG threshold to assess medical abortion success

[Evaluation of the success of medical abortion by a plasma hCG control threshold]

OBJECTIVES

In France, monitoring of the success of medical abortion is recommended 2 to 3 weeks after the procedure. However, there is no clear consensus on the modalities of this monitoring. The main objective of this study is to identify a threshold of serum hCG (human chorionic gonadotropin) control for medical abortions ≤7 weeks of gestation below which success can be confirmed without recourse to pelvic ultrasound.

METHODS

This is a retrospective multicenter study conducted over a 14-month period. The serum hCG level, measured between the 15th and 25th day following the abortion, was compared with the results of the pelvic ultrasound performed at the follow-up visit. Ultrasound failure was defined as retention or persistent pregnancy.

RESULTS

Among the 624 women included, the failure rate was 22.3%, including 86.3% of retentions, 8.6% of pregnancies stopped and 5% of pregnancies progressed. Using a ROC curve, the threshold value of hCG found to exclude failure at 95% was 253 IU/l (AUC=0.9202, sensitivity=84.17%, specificity=85.95% and positive predictive value [PPV]=63%).

CONCLUSIONS

A serum hCG level ≤253 IU/l is sufficient to affirm the efficacy of medical abortion. However, since PPV is only 63% for this threshold, ultrasound should be reserved for women with high hCG levels.

Effectiveness and acceptability of "at home" versus "at hospital" early medical abortion - A lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Since the lockdown caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, restrictions on hospitals’ activity forced healthcare practitioners to innovate in order to provide continuity of care to patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficiency of a newly established protocol for medical abortion and to measure the level of satisfaction of the patients who experienced abortion at home.

Methods

This retrospective study compared all the patients who had an early medical abortion at up to 9 weeks of gestation during the two drastically different periods between December 2018 and March 2021 (“hospital” and “home” groups). We evaluated the expulsion of the gestational sac as a primary outcome. The rates of infection, hemorrhage, retained trophoblastic material and need for surgical management were also assessed. A survey was also used to measure the satisfaction and acceptability of the method.

Results

The rate of expulsion of pregnancy was not significantly different between the two groups: 92.9% in hospital versus 99% at home. Early retained trophoblastic material and surgical interventions were higher in the hospital group. No significant difference was observed for the remaining outcomes. Moreover, the level of acceptability was similar in both groups, though patients felt safer in the “hospital” group.

Conclusion

Switching an early medical abortion protocol from expulsion of pregnancy in hospital to expulsion of pregnancy at home is effective and acceptable to women, and may be associated with decreased rate of retained trophoblastic material. Further larger studies are needed to test the long-term result of this protocol.

Evaluating the agreement of ultrasound imaging and beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) measurement in confirming completed medical abortion: cross-sectional study

Objective: Clinical methods that are generally used to evaluate the completeness of medical abortion are not reliable. Ultrasound imaging and beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) measurements are used to diagnose completed medical abortion, but a precise evaluation of these two methods has shown contradictory results. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the agreement of serum β-hCG measurement and ultrasound imaging to confirm complete medical abortion.

Materials and Methods: This study was conducted on pregnant women who had been referred to our center for medical abortion from 2015 to 2017. All cases occurred in the first trimester of pregnancy. They obtained one or two doses of vaginal misoprostol for medical abortion. Success rate of medical abortion was measured by both transvaginal ultrasound imaging and consecutive serum β-hCG measurements two to four weeks after initial treatment.

Results: Among the 275 women who completed the study, complete medical abortion was confirmed by serum β-hCG in 231 women (84.3%) and transvaginal ultrasound imaging in 195 women (70.8%) after two weeks. All remaining cases completed the medical abortion after an additional two weeks, confirmed by both transvaginal ultrasound imaging and serum β-hCG. The sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values of β-hCG were 95.2%, 86.7%, 84%, and 70%, respectively; and these values for transvaginal ultrasound imaging were 68.5% 64.5%,77%, and 30.%, respectively, for the diagnosis of completed medical abortion.

Conclusion: Serum β-hCG measurement is as effective as transvaginal ultrasound imaging to confirm successful medical abortion in early pregnancy.

Follow-up strategies to confirm the success of medical abortion of pregnancies up to 10 weeks' gestation: a systematic review with meta-analyses

OBJECTIVE

To compare the effectiveness, safety, and acceptability of in-clinic and remote/self-assessment, as well as different remote/self-assessments, for confirming the success of medical abortion at ≤10⁺⁰ weeks' gestation.

DATA SOURCES

Ovid Embase Classic and Embase; Ovid MEDLINE(R) and Epub Ahead-of-Print, In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations and Daily; and the Cochrane Library. We also consulted experts in this field for any ongoing or missed trials.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials published in English from 2000 onward, comparing in-clinic assessment with ultrasound to remote or self-assessment or comparing different remote or self-assessment strategies to confirm the success of medical abortion of pregnancies up to and including 10⁺⁰ weeks gestation, reporting any of the following outcomes: "missed ongoing pregnancy," "correct implementation of the follow-up strategy," patient satisfaction/preference, "adherence to follow-up strategy," "unscheduled visits/telephone calls to the abortion service," and surgical intervention.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

One author assessed the risk of bias in the studies using the Cochrane Collaboration checklist for randomized controlled trials. All outcomes were analyzed as risk ratios and meta-analysed in Review Manager 5.3 using the Mantel-Haenszel statistical method and a fixed effect model. The overall quality of the evidence was assessed using GRADE.

RESULTS

Four randomized controlled trials (n = 5761) compared in-clinic to remote self-assessment and found no clinically significant differences apart from higher preference rates for remote follow-up, especially in the remote follow-up groups. The quality of this evidence was compromised by attrition, no blinding, inconsistency, indirectness, and low event rates. Two randomized controlled trials (n = 1125) compared different remote assessment strategies (using urine pregnancy tests) and also found no clinically significant differences apart from a clinically significantly lower rate of unscheduled visits to the abortion service in the remote follow-up group using a multilevel urine pregnancy test compared to remote follow-up using a high-sensitivity urine pregnancy test. The quality of this evidence was compromised by small event rates, lack of blinding, indirectness and high attrition rates.

CONCLUSION

The published data support offering women who have had a medical abortion up to and including 10⁺⁰ weeks' gestation the choice of self-assessment, remote assessment, or clinic follow-up.