Radiomics features as predictive and prognostic biomarkers in NSCLC

Exploring Radiomics Features Based on H&E Images as Potential Biomarkers for Evaluating Muscle Atrophy: A Preliminary Study

Radiomics features have been widely used as novel biomarkers in the diagnosis of various diseases, but whether radiomics features derived from hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) images can evaluate muscle atrophy has not been studied. Therefore, this study aims to establish a new biomarker based on H&E images using radiomics methods to quantitatively analyze H&E images, which is crucial for improving the accuracy of muscle atrophy assessment. Firstly, a weightless muscle atrophy model was established by laying macaques in bed, and H&E images of the shank muscle fibers of the control and bed rest (BR) macaques were collected. Muscle fibers were accurately segmented by designing a semi-supervised segmentation framework based on contrastive learning. Then, 77 radiomics features were extracted from the segmented muscle fibers, and a stable subset of features was selected through the LASSO method. Finally, the correlation between radiomics features and muscle atrophy was analyzed using a support vector machine (SVM) classifier. The semi-supervised segmentation results show that the proposed method had an average Spearman's and intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) of 88% and 86% compared to manually extracted features, respectively. Radiomics analysis showed that the AUC of the muscle atrophy evaluation model based on H&E images was 96.87%. For individual features, GLSZM_SZE outperformed other features in terms of AUC (91.5%) and ACC (84.4%). In summary, the feature extraction based on the semi-supervised segmentation method is feasible and reliable for subsequent radiomics research. Texture features have greater advantages in evaluating muscle atrophy compared to other features. This study provides important biomarkers for accurate diagnosis of muscle atrophy.

Deep Learning Radiomics Analysis of CT Imaging for Differentiating Between Crohn's Disease and Intestinal Tuberculosis

This study aimed to develop and evaluate a CT-based deep learning radiomics model for differentiating between Crohn's disease (CD) and intestinal tuberculosis (ITB). A total of 330 patients with pathologically confirmed as CD or ITB from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University were divided into the validation dataset one (CD: 167; ITB: 57) and validation dataset two (CD: 78; ITB: 28). Based on the validation dataset one, the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was adopted to create balanced dataset as training data for feature selection and model construction. The handcrafted and deep learning (DL) radiomics features were extracted from the arterial and venous phases images, respectively. The interobserver consistency analysis, Spearman's correlation, univariate analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used to select features. Based on extracted multi-phase radiomics features, six logistic regression models were finally constructed. The diagnostic performances of different models were compared using ROC analysis and Delong test. The arterial-venous combined deep learning radiomics model for differentiating between CD and ITB showed a high prediction quality with AUCs of 0.885, 0.877, and 0.800 in SMOTE dataset, validation dataset one, and validation dataset two, respectively. Moreover, the deep learning radiomics model outperformed the handcrafted radiomics model in same phase images. In validation dataset one, the Delong test results indicated that there was a significant difference in the AUC of the arterial models (p = 0.037), while not in venous and arterial-venous combined models (p = 0.398 and p = 0.265) as comparing deep learning radiomics models and handcrafted radiomics models. In our study, the arterial-venous combined model based on deep learning radiomics analysis exhibited good performance in differentiating between CD and ITB.

Predicting severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in head and neck cancer patients using integrated baseline CT radiomic, dosimetry, and clinical features: A machine learning approach

Purpose

To establish the early prediction models of radiation-induced oral mucositis (RIOM) based on baseline CT-based radiomic features (RFs), dosimetric data, and clinical features by machine learning models for head and neck cancer (HNC) patients.

Methods

In this single-center prospective study, 49 HNCs treated with curative intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) were enrolled. Baseline CT images (i.e., CT simulation), dosimetric, and clinical features were collected. RIOM was assessed using CTCAE v.5.0. RFs were extracted from manually-contoured oral mucosa structures. Minimum-redundancy-maximum-relevance (mRMR) method was applied to select the most informative radiomics, dosimetric, and clinical features. Then, binary prediction models were constructed for predicting acute RIOM based on the top mRMR-ranked radiomics, dosimetric, and clinical features alone or in combination, using random forest classifier algorithm. The predictive performance of models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), accuracy, weighted-average based sensitivity, precision, and F1-measure.

Results

Among extracted features, the top 10 RFs, the top 5 dose-volume features, and the top 5 clinical features were selected using mRMR method. The model exploiting the integrated features (10-radiomics + 5-dosimetric + 5-clinical) achieved the best prediction with AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, precision, and F1-measure values of 91.7 %, 90.0 %, 83.0 % 100.0 %, and 91.0 %, respectively. The model developed using baseline CT RFs alone provided the best performance compared to dose-volume features or clinical features alone, with an AUC of 87.0 %.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that the integration of baseline CT radiomic features with dosimetric and clinical features showed promising potential to improve the performance of machine learning models in early prediction of RIOM. The ultimate goal is to personalize radiotherapy for HNC patients.

FDG PET/CT Tumor Dissemination Characteristic Predicts the Outcome of First-Line Systemic Therapy in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To explore the correlation between the tumor dissemination characteristic at 18F-fluoro-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) images and the outcome of first-line systemic therapy for stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The current retrospective study included 101 NSCLC patients receiving first-line systemic therapy with baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT images available. The distance between the two lesions that were the farthest apart was defined as Dmax to calculate the tumor dissemination. The tumor metabolic volume (MTV) of the primary tumor and the MTV of the whole-body tumor lesions (MTVwb) were calculated using 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging. The Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox predictive model were performed to assess the relationship between the parameters and survival.

RESULTS

Dmax and MTVwb were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) (p = 0.019 and p = 0.011, respectively) and progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.043 and p = 0.009, respectively). Poor PFS and OS were associated with high MTVwb (>54.0 cm3) and high Dmax (>48.5 cm) (p = 0.006 and p = 0.008, respectively). When MTVwb and Dmax were combined, three risk groups were stratified with no (score 0), one (score 1), or two (score 2) factors (p < 0.001 for PFS, p < 0.001 for OS). The group with a score of 0 had a considerably longer PFS and OS than those who received a score of 1 or 2 (PFS: 61.1%, 43.5%, and 21.1%, respectively, OS: 77.8%, 54.3%, and 36.8%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The combination of tumor dissemination characteristic (Dmax) and tumor burden (MTVwb) can further improve the prognosis stratification of NSCLC.

Lack of incremental value of three-dimensional measurement in assessing invasiveness for lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of consolidation-to-tumour ratio (CTR) and the radiomic models in two- and three-dimensional modalities for assessing radiological invasiveness in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with early-stage lung adenocarcinoma from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital and Shenzhen People's Hospital. Manual delineation of pulmonary nodules along the boundary was performed on cross-sectional images to extract radiomic features. Clinicopathological characteristics and radiomic signatures were identified in both cohorts. CTR and radiomic score for every patient were calculated. The performance of CTR and radiomic models were tested and validated in the respective cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 818 patients from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital were included in the primary cohort, while 474 patients from Shenzhen People's Hospital constituted an independent validation cohort. Both CTR and radiomic score were identified as independent factors for predicting pathological invasiveness. CTR in two- and three-dimensional modalities exhibited comparable results with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves and were demonstrated in the validation cohort (area under the curve: 0.807 vs 0.826, P = 0.059) Furthermore, both CTR in two- and three-dimensional modalities was able to stratify patients with significant relapse-free survival (P < 0.000 vs P < 0.000) and overall survival (P = 0.003 vs P = 0.001). The radiomic models in two- and three-dimensional modalities demonstrated favourable discrimination and calibration in independent cohorts (P = 0.189).

CONCLUSIONS

Three-dimensional measurement provides no additional clinical benefit compared to two-dimensional.

Additional Value of PET and CT Image-Based Features in the Detection of Occult Lymph Node Metastases in Lung Cancer: A Systematic Review of the Literature

Lung cancer represents the second most common malignancy worldwide and lymph node (LN) involvement serves as a crucial prognostic factor for tailoring treatment approaches. Invasive methods, such as mediastinoscopy and endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle aspiration (EBUS-TBNA), are employed for preoperative LN staging. Among the preoperative non-invasive diagnostic methods, computed tomography (CT) and, recently, positron emission tomography (PET)/CT with fluorine-18-fludeoxyglucose ([¹⁸F]FDG) are routinely recommended by several guidelines; however, they can both miss pathologically proven LN metastases, with an incidence up to 26% for patients staged with [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT. These undetected metastases, known as occult LN metastases (OLMs), are usually cases of micro-metastasis or small LN metastasis (shortest radius below 10 mm). Hence, it is crucial to find novel approaches to increase their discovery rate. Radiomics is an emerging field that seeks to uncover and quantify the concealed information present in biomedical images by utilising machine or deep learning approaches. The extracted features can be integrated into predictive models, as numerous reports have emphasised their usefulness in the staging of lung cancer. However, there is a paucity of studies examining the detection of OLMs using quantitative features derived from images. Hence, the objective of this review was to investigate the potential application of PET- and/or CT-derived quantitative radiomic features for the identification of OLMs.

Blood- and Imaging-Derived Biomarkers for Oncological Outcome Modelling in Oropharyngeal Cancer: Exploring the Low-Hanging Fruit

Aims: To assess whether CT-based radiomics and blood-derived biomarkers could improve the prediction of overall survival (OS) and locoregional progression-free survival (LRPFS) in patients with oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) treated with curative-intent RT. Methods: Consecutive OPC patients with primary tumors treated between 2005 and 2021 were included. Analyzed clinical variables included gender, age, smoking history, staging, subsite, HPV status, and blood parameters (baseline hemoglobin levels, neutrophils, monocytes, and platelets, and derived measurements). Radiomic features were extracted from the gross tumor volumes (GTVs) of the primary tumor using pyradiomics. Outcomes of interest were LRPFS and OS. Following feature selection, a radiomic score (RS) was calculated for each patient. Significant variables, along with age and gender, were included in multivariable analysis, and models were retained if statistically significant. The models’ performance was compared by the C-index. Results: One hundred and five patients, predominately male (71%), were included in the analysis. The median age was 59 (IQR: 52–66) years, and stage IVA was the most represented (70%). HPV status was positive in 63 patients, negative in 7, and missing in 35 patients. The median OS follow-up was 6.3 (IQR: 5.5–7.9) years. A statistically significant association between low Hb levels and poorer LRPFS in the HPV-positive subgroup (p = 0.038) was identified. The calculation of the RS successfully stratified patients according to both OS (log-rank p < 0.0001) and LRPFS (log-rank p = 0.0002). The C-index of the clinical and radiomic model resulted in 0.82 [CI: 0.80–0.84] for OS and 0.77 [CI: 0.75–0.79] for LRPFS. Conclusions: Our results show that radiomics could provide clinically significant informative content in this scenario. The best performances were obtained by combining clinical and quantitative imaging variables, thus suggesting the potential of integrative modeling for outcome predictions in this setting of patients.

Post-Surgical Imaging Assessment in Rectal Cancer: Normal Findings and Complications

Rectal cancer (RC) is one of the deadliest malignancies worldwide. Surgery is the most common treatment for RC, performed in 63.2% of patients. The type of surgical approach chosen aims to achieve maximum residual function with the lowest risk of recurrence. The selection is made by a multidisciplinary team that assesses the characteristics of the patient and the tumor. Total mesorectal excision (TME), including both low anterior resection (LAR) and abdominoperineal resection (APR), is still the standard of care for RC. Radical surgery is burdened by a 31% rate of major complications (Clavien-Dindo grade 3-4), such as anastomotic leaks and a risk of a permanent stoma. In recent years, less-invasive techniques, such as local excision, have been tested. These additional procedures could mitigate the morbidity of rectal resection, while providing acceptable oncologic results. The "watch and wait" approach is not a globally accepted model of care but encouraging results on selected groups of patients make it a promising strategy. In this plethora of treatments, the radiologist is called upon to distinguish a physiological from a pathological postoperative finding. The aim of this narrative review is to identify the main post-surgical complications and the most effective imaging techniques.

Application of 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT radiomic features and machine learning to predict early recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer after curative-intent therapy

OBJECTIVE

To predict the recurrence of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) within 2 years after curative-intent treatment using a machine-learning approach with PET/CT-based radiomics.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 77 NSCLC patients who underwent pretreatment 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT were retrospectively analyzed. Five clinical features (age, sex, tumor stage, tumor histology, and smoking status) and 48 radiomic features extracted from primary tumors on PET were used for binary classifications. These were ranked, and a subset of useful features was selected based on Gini coefficient scores in terms of associations with relapsed status. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC) were yielded by six machine-learning algorithms (support vector machine, random forest, neural network, naive Bayes, logistic regression, and gradient boosting). Model performances were compared and validated via random sampling.

RESULTS

A PET/CT-based radiomic model was developed and validated for predicting the recurrence of NSCLC during the first 2 years after curation. The most important features were SD and variance of standardized uptake value, followed by low-intensity short-zone emphasis and high-intensity zone emphasis. The naive Bayes model with the 15 best-ranked features displayed the best performance (AUC: 0.816). Prediction models using the five best PET-derived features outperformed those using five clinical variables.

CONCLUSION

The machine learning model using PET-derived radiomic features showed good performance for predicting the recurrence of NSCLC during the first 2 years after a curative intent therapy. PET/CT-based radiomic features may help clinicians improve the risk stratification of relapsed NSCLC.

Prediction of postoperative reintervention risk for uterine fibroids using clinical-imaging features and T2WI radiomics before high-intensity focused ultrasound ablation

OBJECTIVE

To predict the risk of postoperative reintervention for uterine fibroids using clinical-imaging features and T2WI radiomics before high-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU) ablation.

METHODS

Among patients with uterine fibroids treated with HIFU from 2019 to 2021, 180 were selected per the inclusion and exclusion criteria (42 reintervention and 138 non-reintervention). All patients were randomly assigned to either the training (n = 125) or validation (n = 55) cohorts. Multivariate analysis was used to determine independent clinical-imaging features of reintervention risk. The Relief and LASSO algorithm were used to select optimal radiomics features. Random forest was used to construct the clinical-imaging model based on independent clinical-imaging features, the radiomics model based on optimal radiomics features, and the combined model incorporating the above features. An independent test cohort of 45 patients with uterine fibroids tested these models. The integrated discrimination index (IDI) was used to compare the discrimination performance of these models.

RESULTS

Age (p < .001), fibroid volume (p = .001) and fibroid enhancement degree (p = .001) were identified as independent clinical-imaging features. The combined model had AUCs of 0.821 (95% CI: 0.712-0.931) and 0.818 (95% CI: 0.694-0.943) in the validation and independent test cohorts, respectively. The predictive performance of the combined model was 27.8% (independent test cohort, p < .001) and 29.5% (independent test cohort, p = .001) better than the clinical-imaging and radiomics models, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The combined model can effectively predict the risk of postoperative reintervention for uterine fibroids before HIFU ablation. It is expected to help clinicians to develop accurate, personalized treatment and management plans. Future studies will need to be prospectively validated.

Development and validation of a combined model based on dual-sequence MRI radiomics for predicting the efficacy of high-intensity focused ultrasound ablation for hysteromyoma

OBJECTIVES

To determine the value of dual-sequence magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics in predicting the efficacy of high-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU) ablation for hysteromyoma.

METHODS

A total of 142 patients with 172 hysteromyomas (95 hysteromyomas from the sufficient ablation group, and 77 hysteromyomas from the insufficient ablation group) were enrolled in the study. The clinical-radiological model was constructed with independent clinical-radiological risk factors, the radiomics model was constructed based on the optimal radiomics features of hysteromyoma from dual sequences, and the two groups of features were incorporated to construct the combined model. A fivefold cross validation procedure was adopted to validate these models. A nomogram was constructed, applying the combined model in the training cohort. The models were assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). An independent test cohort comprising 40 patients was used to evaluate the performance of the optimal model.

RESULTS

Among the three models, the average areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of the radiomics model and combined model were 0.803 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.726-0.881) and 0.841 (95% CI: 0.772-0.909), which were better than the clinical-radiological model in the training cohort. The IDI showed that the combined model had the best prediction accuracy. The combined model also showed good discrimination in both the validation cohort (AUC = 0.834) and the independent test cohort (AUC = 0.801).

CONCLUSION

The combined model based on the dual-sequence MRI radiomics is the most promising tool from our study to assist clinicians in predicting HIFU ablation efficacy.

CT-based radiomics in predicting pathological response in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant immunotherapy

Objectives

In radiomics, high-throughput algorithms extract objective quantitative features from medical images. In this study, we evaluated CT-based radiomics features, clinical features, in-depth learning features, and a combination of features for predicting a good pathological response (GPR) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving immunotherapy-based neoadjuvant therapy (NAT).

Materials and methods

We reviewed 62 patients with NSCLC who received surgery after immunotherapy-based NAT and collected clinicopathological data and CT images before and after immunotherapy-based NAT. A series of image preprocessing was carried out on CT scanning images: tumor segmentation, conventional radiomics feature extraction, deep learning feature extraction, and normalization. Spearman correlation coefficient, principal component analysis (PCA), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to screen features. The pretreatment traditional radiomics combined with clinical characteristics (before_rad_cil) model and pretreatment deep learning characteristics (before_dl) model were constructed according to the data collected before treatment. The data collected after NAT created the after_rad_cil model and after_dl model. The entire model was jointly constructed by all clinical features, conventional radiomics features, and deep learning features before and after neoadjuvant treatment. Finally, according to the data obtained before and after treatment, the before_nomogram and after_nomogram were constructed.

Results

In the before_rad_cil model, four traditional radiomics features (“original_shape_flatness,” “wavelet hhl_firer_skewness,” “wavelet hlh_firer_skewness,” and “wavelet lll_glcm_correlation”) and two clinical features (“gender” and “N stage”) were screened out to predict a GPR. The average prediction accuracy (ACC) after modeling with k-nearest neighbor (KNN) was 0.707. In the after_rad_cil model, nine features predictive of GPR were obtained after feature screening, among which seven were traditional radiomics features: “exponential_firer_skewness,” “exponential_glrlm_runentropy,” “log- sigma-5-0-mm-3d_firer_kurtosis,” “logarithm_skewness,” “original_shape_elongation,” “original_shape_brilliance,” and “wavelet llh_glcm_clustershade”; two were clinical features: “after_CRP” and “after lymphocyte percentage.” The ACC after modeling with support vector machine (SVM) was 0.682. The before_dl model and after_dl model were modeled by SVM, and the ACC was 0.629 and 0.603, respectively. After feature screening, the entire model was constructed by multilayer perceptron (MLP), and the ACC of the GPR was the highest, 0.805. The calibration curve showed that the predictions of the GPR by the before_nomogram and after_nomogram were in consensus with the actual GPR.

Conclusion

CT-based radiomics has a good predictive ability for a GPR in NSCLC patients receiving immunotherapy-based NAT. Among the radiomics features combined with the clinicopathological information model, deep learning feature model, and the entire model, the entire model had the highest prediction accuracy.

Establishment of a Prediction Model for Overall Survival after Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Primary Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Radiomics Analysis

Simple Summary

Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Although early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is likely to be controlled with stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), approximately 18% of patients lead to recurrence. The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors and establish a predictive model for survival outcomes of patients with non-metastatic NSCLC treated with SBRT. Several radiomic features were selected as predictive factors and two prediction models were established from the pre-treatment computed tomography images of 250 patients in the training cohort. One radiomic factor remained a significant prognostic factor of overall survival (OS) (p = 0.044), and one predicting model could estimate OS time (mean: 37.8 months) similar to the real OS time (33.7 months). In this study, we identified one radiomic factor and one prediction model that can be widely used.

Abstract

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) leads to recurrence in approximately 18% of patients. We aimed to extract the radiomic features, with which we predicted clinical outcomes and to establish predictive models. Patients with primary non-metastatic NSCLC who were treated with SBRT between 2002 and 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. The 358 primary tumors were randomly divided into a training cohort of 250 tumors and a validation cohort of 108 tumors. Clinical features and 744 radiomic features derived from primary tumor delineation on pre-treatment computed tomography were examined as prognostic factors of survival outcomes by univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort. Predictive models of survival outcomes were established from the results of the multivariate analysis in the training cohort. The selected radiomic features and prediction models were tested in a validation cohort. We found that one radiomic feature showed a significant difference in overall survival (OS) in the validation cohort (p = 0.044) and one predicting model could estimate OS time (mean: 37.8 months) similar to the real OS time (33.7 months). In this study, we identified one radiomic factor and one prediction model that can be widely used.

Preliminary report on harmonization of features extraction process using the ComBat tool in the multi-center “Blue Sky Radiomics” study on stage III unresectable NSCLC

Background and purpose

In the retrospective-prospective multi-center "Blue Sky Radiomics” study (NCT04364776), we plan to test a pre-defined radiomic signature in a series of stage III unresectable NSCLC patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy and maintenance immunotherapy. As a necessary preliminary step, we explore the influence of different image-acquisition parameters on radiomic features’ reproducibility and apply methods for harmonization.

Material and methods

We identified the primary lung tumor on two computed tomography (CT) series for each patient, acquired before and after chemoradiation with i.v. contrast medium and with different scanners. Tumor segmentation was performed by two oncological imaging specialists (thoracic radiologist and radio-oncologist) using the Oncentra Masterplan® software. We extracted 42 radiomic features from the specific ROIs (LIFEx). To assess the impact of different acquisition parameters on features extraction, we used the Combat tool with nonparametric adjustment and the longitudinal version (LongComBat).

Results

We defined 14 CT acquisition protocols for the harmonization process. Before harmonization, 76% of the features were significantly influenced by these protocols. After, all extracted features resulted in being independent of the acquisition parameters. In contrast, 5% of the LongComBat harmonized features still depended on acquisition protocols.

Conclusions

We reduced the impact of different CT acquisition protocols on radiomic features extraction in a group of patients enrolled in a radiomic study on stage III NSCLC. The harmonization process appears essential for the quality of radiomic data and for their reproducibility.

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04364776, First Posted:April 28, 2020, Actual Study Start Date: April 15, 2020, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04364776.

A radiomics prognostic scoring system for predicting progression-free survival in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer treated with platinum-based chemotherapy

Objective

To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system (RPSS) for prediction of progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with platinum-based chemotherapy.

Methods

In this retrospective study, four independent cohorts of stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy were included for model construction and validation (Discovery: n=159; Internal validation: n=156; External validation: n=81, Mutation validation: n=64). First, a total of 1,182 three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment computed tomography (CT) images of each patient. Then, a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method (LASSO) penalized Cox regression analysis. Finally, an individualized prognostic scoring system incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors was proposed for PFS prediction.

Results

The established radiomics signature consisting of 16 features showed good discrimination for classifying patients with high-risk and low-risk progression to chemotherapy in all cohorts (All P<0.05). On the multivariable analysis, independent factors for PFS were radiomics signature, performance status (PS), and N stage, which were all selected into construction of RPSS. The RPSS showed significant prognostic performance for predicting PFS in discovery [C-index: 0.772, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.765−0.779], internal validation (C-index: 0.738, 95% CI: 0.730−0.746), external validation (C-index: 0.750, 95% CI: 0.734−0.765), and mutation validation (C-index: 0.739, 95% CI: 0.720−0.758). Decision curve analysis revealed that RPSS significantly outperformed the clinicopathologic-based model in terms of clinical usefulness (All P<0.05).

Conclusions

This study established a radiomics prognostic scoring system as RPSS that can be conveniently used to achieve individualized prediction of PFS probability for stage IV NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy, which holds promise for guiding personalized pre-therapy of stage IV NSCLC.

Impact of feature selection methods and subgroup factors on prognostic analysis with CT-based radiomics in non-small cell lung cancer patients

Background

Radiomics is a new technology to noninvasively predict survival prognosis with quantitative features extracted from medical images. Most radiomics-based prognostic studies of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients have used mixed datasets of different subgroups. Therefore, we investigated the radiomics-based survival prediction of NSCLC patients by focusing on subgroups with identical characteristics.

Methods

A total of 304 NSCLC (Stages I–IV) patients treated with radiotherapy in our hospital were used. We extracted 107 radiomic features (i.e., 14 shape features, 18 first-order statistical features, and 75 texture features) from the gross tumor volume drawn on the free breathing planning computed tomography image. Three feature selection methods [i.e., test–retest and multiple segmentation (FS1), Pearson's correlation analysis (FS2), and a method that combined FS1 and FS2 (FS3)] were used to clarify how they affect survival prediction performance. Subgroup analysis for each histological subtype and each T stage applied the best selection method for the analysis of All data. We used a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model for all analyses and evaluated prognostic performance using the concordance-index (C-index) and the Kaplan–Meier method. For subgroup analysis, fivefold cross-validation was applied to ensure model reliability.

Results

In the analysis of All data, the C-index for the test dataset is 0.62 (FS1), 0.63 (FS2), and 0.62 (FS3). The subgroup analysis indicated that the prediction model based on specific histological subtypes and T stages had a higher C-index for the test dataset than that based on All data (All data, 0.64 vs. SCC_all, 060; ADC_all, 0.69; T1, 0.68; T2, 0.65; T3, 0.66; T4, 0.70). In addition, the prediction models unified for each T stage in histological subtype showed a different trend in the C-index for the test dataset between ADC-related and SCC-related models (ADC_T1–ADC_T4, 0.72–0.83; SCC_T1–SCC_T4, 0.58–0.71).

Conclusions

Our results showed that feature selection methods moderately affected the survival prediction performance. In addition, prediction models based on specific subgroups may improve the prediction performance. These results may prove useful for determining the optimal radiomics-based predication model.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13014-021-01810-9.