Estimating cost-effectiveness of screening for colorectal cancer in Vietnam

Increased Incidence of Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in Low Sociodemographic Index Countries: Higher Rising Burden in Young Females

Introduction Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) is becoming a growing concern due to its increased incidence among younger individuals, particularly in areas with limited healthcare access and funding, such as in countries with a low sociodemographic index (SDI). However, there are limited studies regarding this problem. Therefore, our study primarily aims to address the dearth of knowledge in this area by assessing the trends in EOCRC in low SDI countries over 10 years. Methods In this study, we analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to investigate the changes in EOCRC over time in low SDI countries. Our analysis involved determining the yearly frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of EOCRC incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) by gender. Results In 2019, the number of newly diagnosed EOCRC cases in low SDI countries was 7,716, while the global cases were 225,736. The incidence rates of EOCRC increased significantly higher in low SDI countries compared to the global average between 2010 and 2019, with a 1.38-fold higher increase among females. Mortality rates and DALYs also increased in the low SDI countries, with the annual percentage change from 2010 to 2019 of 0.96 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 0.88-1.03) and 0.91 (95% UI: 0.83-0.98), respectively. Conclusion Our research highlights a significant rise in CRC in low SDI countries, particularly in the female population. Therefore, it emphasizes the need for prompt and efficient interventions, including but not limited to effective screening methods and mitigation of risk factors.

Development of novel models for predicting mismatch repair protein deficiency and relevant disease-free survival in colorectal cancer patients

PURPOSE

DNA mismatch repair (MMR) protein deficiency has attached more attention for its potential to be a biomarker of immunotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, clinical models involving the expression status of MMR protein are rare. Herein, we sought to develop two clinical models (a diagnostic model for the prediction of MMR status and a prognostic model for the prediction of disease-free survival) for CRC patients.

METHODS

A total of 582 CRC patients were finally included. There were 53 patients with deficient expression of MMR protein. The differences between the deficient MMR (dMMR) group and the proficient MMR (pMMR) group were analyzed.

RESULTS

Compared to pMMR patients, those with dMMR status were younger and had better pathological features (depth of invasion, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, pathological stage, perineuronal invasion, and PLT level) and disease-free survival (DFS). The tumor location of the left colon, adenocarcinoma, and abnormal PLT level were identified as the independent predictors for pMMR. Based on these data, we developed the diagnostic model using Logistic regression analysis. It showed a satisfactory accuracy (AUC = 82.3% in the derivate set; AUC = 73.6% in the validation set). Furthermore, pMMR, poorer differentiation, perineuronal invasion, distant metastasis, lower hemoglobin level, and abnormal CEA level were established as the independent prognostic factors of poorer DFS. Based on them, a prognostic model with valuable performance (1-year AUC = 75.5%/3-year AUC = 76.9% in the derivate set; 1-year AUC = 72.3%/3-year AUC = 73.8% in the validation set) was developed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our diagnostic and prognostic models could identify CRC patients at risk for pMMR protein expression and disease recurrence. It may contribute to improving the diagnosis and treatment of CRC patients at an individual level.