Babies of the War: The Effect of War Exposure Early in Life on Mortality Throughout Life

Out of time? The effect of an infrequent traumatic event on individuals' time and risk preferences, beliefs, and insurance purchasing

This study examines the effect on time preferences and the purchase of insurance by persons closely acquainted with someone who was in danger of physical injury (trauma) during Israel's military operation in the Gaza Strip in 2014. To this end, I use panel data to track the same individuals before and after the trauma. My results reveal that experiencing trauma increases individuals' purchases of insurance, and in particular supplementary health and long-term care insurance. Investigating the mechanisms behind the results, I find that people become more future-oriented after someone close to them was in danger of physical injury during that military operation. However, I cannot completely rule out other causes such as an increase in risk aversion or changes in individuals' beliefs.

Selective mortality and fertility and long run health effects of prenatal wartime exposure

Many previous studies have shown that prenatal exposure to adverse historical circumstances negatively affects long-run health. Most women who are pregnant during wars experience clearly adverse circumstances that are however not as harsh as the typically studied extreme episodes such as famines, combat and wide-scale destruction. We show that prenatal exposure to World War II (WWII) in five Western European countries did not lead to a population-wide poorer health among the elderly. We even find indications of a better than expected health. This is likely due to selective fertility and mortality. We attempt to quantify these selection effects and show that when taking them into account, the initially positively estimated health effects on almost all outcomes are substantially attenuated. Selective mortality and fertility likely occur in similar directions for many historical episodes of adversity. Our results therefore suggest that a part of the previous research on such exposures likely under estimated the true sizes of the long-run effects.

Early-Life War Exposure and Later-Life Frailty Among Older Adults in Vietnam: Does War Hasten Aging?

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the nature and degree of association between exposure to potentially traumatic wartime experiences in early life, such as living in a heavily bombed region or witnessing death firsthand, and later-life frailty.

METHOD

The Vietnam Health and Aging Study included war survivors in Vietnam, 60+, who completed a survey and health exam between May and August 2018. Latent class analysis (LCA) is used to construct classes exposed to similar numbers and types of wartime experiences. Frailty is measured using a deficit accumulation approach that proxies biological aging. Fractional logit regression associates latent classes with frailty scores. Coefficients are used to calculate predicted frailty scores and expected age at which specific levels of frailty are reached across wartime exposure classes.

RESULTS

LCA yields 9 unique wartime exposure classes, ranging from extreme exposure to nonexposed. Higher frailty is found among those with more heavy/severe exposures with a combination of certain types of experiences, including intense bombing, witnessing death firsthand, having experienced sleep disruptions during wartime, and having feared for one's life during war. The difference in frailty-associated aging between the most and least affected individuals is more than 18 years.

DISCUSSION

War trauma hastens aging and warrants greater attention toward long-term implications of war on health among vast postconflict populations across the globe.

Childhood exposure to war and adult onset of cardiometabolic disorders among older Europeans

Childhood exposure to contexts of war is a common occurrence among current and recent cohorts of children in various parts of the world. It was also common among older cohorts across Europe. Utilizing the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) the present study links early life course residential histories with detailed information on the timing and location of hostilities during WWII to address three questions: 1) is childhood exposure to war associated with earlier onset of cardiometabolic disease (cardiovascular disease, hypertension, high cholesterol, and diabetes)? 2) did this additional risk vary depending on the timing of first exposure? 3) did this additional risk manifest via different life course pathways depending on exposure timing? Results demonstrate that exposure to war is associated with increased lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, high cholesterol, and hypertension and that this association is strongly concentrated among cohorts exposed in utero or during early childhood (e.g., before age 8). The results also suggest that the impact of war exposure on cardiometabolic disorders are likely to be direct, operating through latent biological processes rather than through childhood hardship, stunting of adult socioeconomic attainment, or elevated risk-taking behaviors.

Transgenerational health effects of in utero exposure to economic hardship: Evidence from preindustrial Southern Norway

We studied whether in utero exposure to economic hardship during a grandmother's pregnancy has a transgenerational effect on her grandchildren's health condition. We used an individual-level three-generation data set covering people born between 1734 and 1840 in the municipality of Rendalen in Norway. We found a culling effect in which grandchildren whose grandmothers gave birth in years of economic hardship lived approximately ten years longer than grandchildren whose mothers were born in years of economic well-being. This impact was only observed among the grandmothers who belong to the lowest social classes. Our results also showed that in higher social classes, economic hardship during a grandmother's pregnancy deteriorated her grandchildren's health by "scarring" the mother's health.

The Long Arm of Conflict: How Timing Shapes the Impact of Childhood Exposure to War

This paper examines how the timing of childhood exposure to armed conflict influences both the magnitude of the impact it has on later-life health and the pathways through which those impacts manifest. Utilizing the Survey of Health and Retirement in Europe, we examine cohorts of children during World War II. We find that cohorts born during the war show the largest negative effects of exposure on health in later life. The pathways also vary the timing of exposure. Consistent with a latent critical period process, children born during the war experienced increased risk of poor health and illness in childhood, as well as adult cardiometabolic conditions and poor functional health. Conversely, cohorts born before the war experienced more indirect pathways consistent with cumulative disadvantage processes and institutional breakdown. These pathways include stunted socioeconomic attainment, increased risk behaviors, and poorer mental health. Overall, this study emphasizes that the timing of exposure is critical to understanding the long-term health effects of war.

Prenatal exposure to the German food crisis 1944-1948 and health after 65 years

Using data on 90% of the German population born 1930-1959, we investigate the long-term relationship between intra-uterine exposure to the German food crisis 1944-1948 and 16 doctor-diagnosed health conditions recorded in 2009 and 2015. Among the exposed, who are 60-70 years old in our data, we find elevated risks of being diagnosed with a wide range of conditions, including diabetes, depression, lung disease, and back pain. In terms of critical periods, malnutrition in the first trimester of pregnancy appears to have the strongest negative correlation with health at older ages.