Long intervals between two doses of HPV vaccines and magnitude of the immune response: a post hoc analysis of two clinical trials

Immunogenicity and Safety of Extended-Interval 2-Dose Regimens of 9vHPV Vaccine

BACKGROUND

Nine-valent human papillomavirus (9vHPV) vaccines can be administered in 2 doses 6 to 12 months apart in adolescents. The impact of extended dose intervals is unknown. We report immunogenicity and safety data in adolescents of a second 9vHPV vaccine dose administered ≥1 year after the first.

METHODS

This open-label safety and immunogenicity study (NCT04708041) assessed extended-interval 2-dose regimens of 9vHPV vaccine among adolescents (10 to 15 years) who received 2 9vHPV vaccine doses: the first ≥1 year before enrollment, and second, at enrollment (day 1). We measured serologic responses to vaccine-targeted human papillomavirus (HPV) types at enrollment day 1 (pre-dose 2) and 1 month post-dose 2 (month 1) using a competitive LuminexV® immunoassay. We estimated effects of dose interval on geometric mean titers (GMTs) using regression modeling. Participants reported adverse events (AEs) through 15 days after vaccination.

RESULTS

We enrolled 146 adolescents (mean age 13.3 years) with median 25 months since first 9vHPV vaccine dose (range: 12-53 months). Across vaccine-targeted HPV types, GMTs increased from day 1 to month 1; seropositivity at month 1 was 100%. Anti-HPV GMTs at month 1 were not affected by differences in dose interval of 12 to 53 months, based on regression modeling. The most common AEs were mild-to-moderate injection site reactions; no serious AEs were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Extending the interval between first and second 9vHPV vaccine doses to 12 to 53 months did not affect antibody responses, with favorable safety profile. These results support feasibility of extended interval regimens for 9vHPV vaccine.

Potential benefit of extended dose schedules of human papillomavirus vaccination in the context of scarce resources and COVID-19 disruptions in low-income and middle-income countries: a mathematical modelling analysis

BACKGROUND

The WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts recommended that an extended interval of 3-5 years between the two doses of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine could be considered to alleviate vaccine supply shortages. However, three concerns have limited the introduction of extended schedules: girls could be infected between the two doses, the vaccination coverage for the second dose could be lower at ages 13-14 years than at ages 9-10 years, and identifying girls vaccinated with a first dose to give them the second dose could be difficult. Using mathematical modelling, we examined the potential effect of these concerns on the population-level impact and efficiency of extended dose HPV vaccination schedules.

METHODS

We used HPV-ADVISE, an individual-based, transmission-dynamic model of multitype HPV infection and disease, calibrated to country-specific data for four low-income and middle-income countries (India, Viet Nam, Uganda, and Nigeria). For the extended dose scenarios, we varied the vaccination coverage of the second dose among girls previously vaccinated, the one-dose vaccine efficacy, and the one-dose vaccine duration of protection. We also examined a strategy in which girls aged 14 years were vaccinated irrespective of their previous vaccination status. We used a scenario of girls-only two-dose vaccination at age 9 years (vaccine=9 valent, vaccine-type efficacy=100%, duration of protection=lifetime, and coverage=80%) as our comparator. We estimated two outcomes: the relative reduction in the age-standardised cervical cancer incidence (population-level impact) and the number of cervical cancers averted per 100 000 doses (efficiency).

FINDINGS

Our model projected substantial reductions in cervical cancer incidence over 100 years with the two-dose schedule (79-86% depending on the country), compared with no vaccination. Projections for the 5-year extended schedule, in which the second dose is given only to girls previously vaccinated at age 9 years, were similar to the current two-dose schedule, unless vaccination coverage of the second dose is very low (reductions in cervical cancer incidence of 71-78% assuming 30% coverage at age 14 years among girls vaccinated at age 9 years). However, when the dose at age 14 years is given to girls irrespective of vaccination status and assuming high vaccination coverage, the model projected a substantially greater reduction in cervical cancer incidence compared with the current two-dose schedule (reductions in cervical cancer incidence of 86-93% assuming 70% coverage at age 14 years, irrespective of vaccination status). Efficiency of the extended schedule was greater than the two-dose schedule, even with a drop in vaccination coverage.

INTERPRETATION

The three concerns are unlikely to have a substantial effect on the population-level impact of extended dose schedules. Hence, extended dose schedules will likely provide similar cervical cancer reductions as two-dose schedules, while reducing the number of doses required in the short-term, providing a more efficient use of scarce resources, and offering a 5-year time window to reassess the necessity of the second dose.

FUNDING

WHO, Canadian Institute of Health Research Foundation, Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé, Digital Research Alliance of Canada, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

An Age-stratified, Randomized Immunogenicity Trial of Killed Oral Cholera Vaccine with Delayed Second Dose in Cameroon

The recommended schedule for killed oral cholera vaccine (OCV) is two doses, 2 weeks apart. However, during vaccine campaigns, the second round is often delayed by several months. Because more information is needed to document antibody responses when the second dose is delayed, we conducted an open-label, phase 2, noninferiority clinical trial of OCV. One hundred eighty-six participants were randomized into three dose-interval groups (DIGs) to receive the second dose 2 weeks, 6 months, or 11.5 months after the first dose. The DIGs were stratified into three age strata: 1 to 4, 5 to 14, and > 14 years. Inaba and Ogawa vibriocidal titers were assessed before and after vaccination. The primary analysis was geometric mean titer (GMT) 2 weeks after the second dose. Data for primary analysis was available from 147 participants (54, 44, and 49 participants from the three DIGs respectively). Relative to the 2-week interval, groups receiving a delayed second dose had significantly higher GMTs after the second dose. Two weeks after the second dose, Inaba GMTs were 55.1 190.3, and 289.8 and Ogawa GMTs were 70.4, 134.5, and 302.4 for the three DIGs respectively. The elevated titers were brief, returning to lower levels within 3 months. We conclude that when the second dose of killed oral cholera vaccine was given after 6 or 11.5 months, vibriocidal titers were higher than when given after the standard period of 2 weeks. This provides reassurance that a delayed second dose does not compromise, but rather enhances, the serological response to the vaccine.

Optimal human papillomavirus vaccination strategies to prevent cervical cancer in low-income and middle-income countries in the context of limited resources: a mathematical modelling analysis

Background

Introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination has been slow in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) because of resource constraints and worldwide shortage of vaccine supplies. To help inform WHO recommendations, we modelled various HPV vaccination strategies to examine the optimal use of limited vaccine supplies and best allocation of scarce resources in LMICs in the context of the WHO global call to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem.

Methods

In this mathematical modelling analysis, we developed HPV-ADVISE LMIC, a transmission-dynamic model of HPV infection and diseases calibrated to four LMICs: India, Vietnam, Uganda, and Nigeria. For different vaccination strategies that encompassed use of a nine-valent vaccine (or a two-valent or four-valent vaccine assuming high cross-protection), we estimated three outcomes: reduction in the age-standardised rate of cervical cancer, number of doses needed to prevent one case of cervical cancer (NNV; as a measure of efficiency), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER; in 2017 international $ per disability-adjusted life-year [DALY] averted). We examined different vaccination strategies by varying the ages of routine HPV vaccination and number of age cohorts vaccinated, the population targeted, and the number of doses used. In our base case, we assumed 100% lifetime protection against HPV-16, HPV-18, HPV-31, HPV-33, HPV-45, HPV-52, and HPV-58; vaccination coverage of 80%; and a time horizon of 100 years. For the cost-effectiveness analysis, we used a 3% discount rate. Elimination of cervical cancer was defined as an age-standardised incidence of less than four cases per 100 000 woman-years.

Findings

We predicted that HPV vaccination could lead to cervical cancer elimination in Vietnam, India, and Nigeria, but not in Uganda. Compared with no vaccination, strategies that involved vaccinating girls aged 9–14 years with two doses were predicted to be the most efficient and cost-effective in all four LMICs. NNV ranged from 78 to 381 and ICER ranged from $28 per DALY averted to $1406 per DALY averted depending on the country. The most efficient and cost-effective strategies were routine vaccination of girls aged 14 years, with or without a later switch to routine vaccination of girls aged 9 years, and routine vaccination of girls aged 9 years with a 5-year extended interval between doses and a catch-up programme at age 14 years. Vaccinating boys (aged 9–14 years) or women aged 18 years or older resulted in substantially higher NNVs and ICERs.

Interpretation

We identified two strategies that could maximise efforts to prevent cervical cancer in LMICs given constraints on vaccine supplies and costs and that would allow a maximum of LMICs to introduce HPV vaccination.

Funding

World Health Organization, Canadian Institute of Health Research, Fonds de recherche du Québec–Santé, Compute Canada, PATH, and The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Translations

For the French and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Design of a Phase III immunogenicity and safety study evaluating two-dose regimens of 9-valent human papillomavirus (9vHPV) vaccine with extended dosing intervals

HPV vaccines are widely licensed as two-dose regimens, 6-12 months apart, for adolescents. Extended intervals between doses may be necessary due to resource constraints or vaccination program disruption. This international, multicenter, open-label study (NCT04708041) will evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of two-dose 9vHPV vaccine regimens with extended intervals of 1-5 years between doses in boys/girls compared with a standard three-dose regimen in women. Participants (planned N = 700) will be enrolled into six cohorts; Cohort 0: boys/girls aged 10-15 years who received one 9vHPV vaccine dose ≥1 year before enrollment without completing the series will receive one study dose of 9vHPV vaccine at day 1; Cohorts 1-4: HPV vaccination-naïve boys/girls aged 9-14 years will receive two doses (day 1 and month 12, 24, 36, or 60); Cohort 5: HPV vaccination-naïve women aged 16-26 years will receive three doses (day 1, months 2 and 6). Primary analyses will be based on serological responses 1 month after final vaccine dose. Co-primary objectives will (1) evaluate non-inferiority of geometric mean titers in each of Cohorts 1-4 versus Cohort 5, and (2) characterize antibody responses in Cohort 0, accounting for the interval between commercial and study vaccine dose. Injection-site and systemic adverse events (AEs) will be collected for 15 days and serious AEs for 12 months post-vaccination; vaccine-related serious AEs and deaths will be collected throughout the study. Results will inform completion of vaccination in individuals who did not complete the recommended series and guide implementation of vaccination programs in resource-limited settings.

Three-Year Follow-up of 2-Dose Versus 3-Dose HPV Vaccine

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Human papillomavirus (HPV) antibody responses to the 9-valent human papillomavirus (9vHPV) vaccine among girls and boys (aged 9-14 years) receiving 2-dose regimens (months 0, 6 or 0, 12) were noninferior to a 3-dose regimen (months 0, 2, 6) in young women (aged 16-26 years) 4 weeks after last vaccination in an international, randomized, open-label trial (NCT01984697). We assessed response durability through month 36.

METHODS

Girls received 2 (months 0 and 6 [0, 6]: n = 301; months 0 and 12 [0, 12]: n = 151) or 3 doses (months 0,2, and 6 [0, 2, 6]: n = 301); boys received 2 doses ([0, 6]: n = 301; [0, 12]: n = 150); and young women received 3 doses ([0, 2, 6]: n = 314) of 9vHPV vaccine. Anti-HPV geometric mean titers (GMTs) were assessed by competitive Luminex immunoassay (cLIA) and immunoglobulin G-Luminex immunoassay (IgG-LIA) through month 36.

RESULTS

Anti-HPV GMTs were highest 1 month after the last 9vHPV vaccine regimen dose, decreased sharply during the subsequent 12 months, and then decreased more slowly. GMTs 2 to 2.5 years after the last regimen dose in girls and boys given 2 doses were generally similar to or greater than GMTs in young women given 3 doses. Across HPV types, most boys and girls who received 2 doses (cLIA: 81%-100%; IgG-LIA: 91%-100%) and young women who received 3 doses (cLIA: 78%-98%; IgG-LIA: 91%-100%) remained seropositive 2 to 2.5 years after the last regimen dose.

CONCLUSIONS

Antibody responses persisted through 2 to 2.5 years after the last dose of a 2-dose 9vHPV vaccine regimen in girls and boys. In girls and boys, antibody responses generated by 2 doses administered 6 to 12 months apart may be sufficient to induce high-level protective efficacy through at least 2 years after the second dose.

Is one dose of human papillomavirus vaccine as effective as three?: A national cohort analysis

AIM

Prophylactic human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines are highly effective at preventing pre-cancerous cervical lesions when given in a three-dose schedule. Some post-hoc trial data suggest that one dose prevents HPV infection. If one dose could prevent pre-cancerous cervical lesions, then global cervical cancer prevention would be greatly facilitated. We assessed the effectiveness of quadrivalent HPV vaccine by number of doses against cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2 or 3/adenocarcinoma-in-situ (AIS)/cancer in Australia up to seven years post vaccination.

METHODS

We linked registry data from all 8 jurisdictional cervical screening registers, with the national HPV vaccination register, death index and cancer registers for all Australian women aged 15 or under when eligible for vaccine who screened between April 2007 (when vaccination commenced) and 31 December 2014. We performed Cox proportional hazard regression, adjusted a priori for age, socioeconomic status, and area of residence, to estimate hazard ratios of histologically confirmed CIN2/CIN3/AIS/cancer.

RESULTS

We included 250,648 women: 48,845 (19·5%) unvaccinated, 174,995 (69·8%) had received three doses, 18,190 (7·3%) two doses and 8,618 (3·4%) one dose. The adjusted hazard ratio was significantly lower for all dose groups compared to unvaccinated women (1 dose 0·65 (95%CI 0·52-0·81), 2 doses 0·61 (0·52-0·72) and 3 doses 0·59 (0·54-0·65).) With adjustment for age at vaccination amongst the vaccinated group, the adjusted hazard ratios for one dose and two dose recipients were comparable to three dose recipients (one dose 1.01 (95%CI 0.81-1.26), two doses 1.00 (0.85-1.17).) Multiple sensitivity analyses, including use of different dose assignment methods, produced consistent findings. Comparison with a historical cohort of age matched women showed that the result was not due to herd protection alone.

CONCLUSIONS

One dose had comparable effectiveness as two or three doses in preventing high-grade disease in a high coverage setting. These findings support the hypothesis that one dose vaccination may be a viable strategy when working towards the global elimination of cervical cancer.