Radiomics analysis of chest CT to predict the overall survival for the severe patients of COVID-19 pneumonia

Predicting oxygen needs in COVID-19 patients using chest radiography multi-region radiomics

The objective is to evaluate the performance of blood test results, radiomics, and a combination of the two data types on the prediction of the 24-h oxygenation support need for the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. In this retrospective cohort study, COVID-19 patients with confirmed real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction assay (RT-PCR) test results between February 2020 and August 2021 were investigated. Initial blood cell counts, chest radiograph, and the status of oxygenation support used within 24 h were collected (n = 290; mean age, 45 ± 19 years; 125 men). Radiomics features from six lung zones were extracted. Logistic regression and random forest models were developed using the clinical-only, radiomics-only, and combined data. Ten repeats of fivefold cross-validation with bootstrapping were used to identify the input features and models with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Higher AUCs were achieved when using only radiomics features compared to using only clinical features (0.94 ± 0.03 vs. 0.88 ± 0.04). The best combined model using both radiomics and clinical features achieved highest in the cross-validation (0.95 ± 0.02) and test sets (0.96 ± 0.02). In comparison, the best clinical-only model yielded AUCs of 0.88 ± 0.04 in cross-validation and 0.89 ± 0.03 in test set. Both radiomics and clinical data can be used to predict 24-h oxygenation support need for COVID-19 patients with AUC > 0.88. Moreover, the combination of both data types further improved the performance.

Multi-Layer Perceptron Classifier with the Proposed Combined Feature Vector of 3D CNN Features and Lung Radiomics Features for COPD Stage Classification

Computed tomography (CT) has been regarded as the most effective modality for characterizing and quantifying chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Therefore, chest CT images should provide more information for COPD diagnosis, such as COPD stage classification. This paper proposes a features combination strategy by concatenating three-dimension (3D) CNN features and lung radiomics features for COPD stage classification based on the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) classifier. First, 465 sets of chest HRCT images are automatically segmented by a trained ResU-Net, obtaining the lung images with the Hounsfield unit. Second, the 3D CNN features are extracted from the lung region images based on a truncated transfer learning strategy. Then, the lung radiomics features are extracted from the lung region images by PyRadiomics. Third, the MLP classifier with the best classification performance is determined by the 3D CNN features and the lung radiomics features. Finally, the proposed combined feature vector is used to improve the MLP classifier's performance. The results show that compared with CNN models and other ML classifiers, the MLP classifier with the best classification performance is determined. The MLP classifier with the proposed combined feature vector has achieved accuracy, mean precision, mean recall, mean F1-score, and AUC of 0.879, 0.879, 0.879, 0.875, and 0.971, respectively. Compared to the MLP classifier with the 3D CNN features selected by Lasso, our method based on the MLP classifier has improved the classification performance by 5.8% (accuracy), 5.3% (mean precision), 5.8% (mean recall), 5.4% (mean F1-score), and 2.5% (AUC). Compared to the MLP classifier with lung radiomics features selected by Lasso, our method based on the MLP classifier has improved the classification performance by 5.0% (accuracy), 5.1% (mean precision), 5.0% (mean recall), 5.1% (mean F1-score), and 2.1% (AUC). Therefore, it is concluded that our method is effective in improving the classification performance for COPD stage classification.

Bibliometric evaluation of 2020-2022 publications on COVID-19-related cardiovascular disease

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the international scientific output regarding the relationship between COVID-19 and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) through a bibliometric analysis and explore research hotspots in this field.

Methods

We searched the Web of Science Core Collection for publications and used different types of software, such as R, CiteSpace, and VOSviewer, to analyze and visualize the data.

Results

A total of 10,055 publications were retrieved as of the 13 December 2022, based on the inclusion criteria after screening. The USA and China lead in the quantity and quality of publications in this field. Based on Bradford's law, 63 journals were considered core journals in the field. Co-cited references and keywords analysis indicated that researchers paid particular attention to cardiovascular comorbidities, outcomes, and COVID-19 regenerative medicine. In summary, with increasing COVID-19 research related to CVD, more attention might be drawn to the relationship between these two diseases.

Conclusion

The hotspots in this field may continue to revolve around cardiovascular comorbidities, outcomes, and COVID-19 regenerative medicine. Owing to the different situations faced by different groups with COVID-19, further exploration of the related factors specific to each of these groups, e.g., history or no history of heart failure, is needed, with a view to providing a reference for intervention measures in COVID-19 research.

Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Severe COVID-19: A Systematic Review and External Validation of Clinical Prediction Rules

Multiple prediction models for risk of in-hospital mortality from COVID-19 have been developed, but not applied, to patient cohorts different to those from which they were derived. The MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web of Science (WOS) databases were searched. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed with PROBAST. Nomograms, whose variables were available in a well-defined cohort of 444 patients from our site, were externally validated. Overall, 71 studies, which derived a clinical prediction rule for mortality outcome from COVID-19, were identified. Predictive variables consisted of combinations of patients′ age, chronic conditions, dyspnea/taquipnea, radiographic chest alteration, and analytical values (LDH, CRP, lymphocytes, D-dimer); and markers of respiratory, renal, liver, and myocardial damage, which were mayor predictors in several nomograms. Twenty-five models could be externally validated. Areas under receiver operator curve (AUROC) in predicting mortality ranged from 0.71 to 1 in derivation cohorts; C-index values ranged from 0.823 to 0.970. Overall, 37/71 models provided very-good-to-outstanding test performance. Externally validated nomograms provided lower predictive performances for mortality in their respective derivation cohorts, with the AUROC being 0.654 to 0.806 (poor to acceptable performance). We can conclude that available nomograms were limited in predicting mortality when applied to different populations from which they were derived.

Lung radiomics features for characterizing and classifying COPD stage based on feature combination strategy and multi-layer perceptron classifier

Computed tomography (CT) has been the most effective modality for characterizing and quantifying chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Radiomics features extracted from the region of interest in chest CT images have been widely used for lung diseases, but they have not yet been extensively investigated for COPD. Therefore, it is necessary to understand COPD from the lung radiomics features and apply them for COPD diagnostic applications, such as COPD stage classification. Lung radiomics features are used for characterizing and classifying the COPD stage in this paper. First, 19 lung radiomics features are selected from 1316 lung radiomics features per subject by using Lasso. Second, the best performance classifier (multi-layer perceptron classifier, MLP classifier) is determined. Third, two lung radiomics combination features, Radiomics-FIRST and Radiomics-ALL, are constructed based on 19 selected lung radiomics features by using the proposed lung radiomics combination strategy for characterizing the COPD stage. Lastly, the 19 selected lung radiomics features with Radiomics-FIRST/Radiomics-ALL are used to classify the COPD stage based on the best performance classifier. The results show that the classification ability of lung radiomics features based on machine learning (ML) methods is better than that of the chest high-resolution CT (HRCT) images based on classic convolutional neural networks (CNNs). In addition, the classifier performance of the 19 lung radiomics features selected by Lasso is better than that of the 1316 lung radiomics features. The accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score and AUC of the MLP classifier with the 19 selected lung radiomics features and Radiomics-ALL were 0.83, 0.83, 0.83, 0.82 and 0.95, respectively. It is concluded that, for the chest HRCT images, compared to the classic CNN, the ML methods based on lung radiomics features are more suitable and interpretable for COPD classification. In addition, the proposed lung radiomics combination strategy for characterizing the COPD stage effectively improves the classifier performance by 12% overall (accuracy: 3%, precision: 3%, recall: 3%, F1-score: 2% and AUC: 1%).

Outcome Prediction for SARS-CoV-2 Patients Using Machine Learning Modeling of Clinical, Radiological, and Radiomic Features Derived from Chest CT Images

(1) Background: Chest Computed Tomography (CT) has been proposed as a non-invasive method for confirming the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 patients using radiomic features (RFs) and baseline clinical data. The performance of Machine Learning (ML) methods using RFs derived from semi-automatically segmented lungs in chest CT images was investigated regarding the ability to predict the mortality of SARS-CoV-2 patients. (2) Methods: A total of 179 RFs extracted from 436 chest CT images of SARS-CoV-2 patients, and 8 clinical and 6 radiological variables, were used to train and evaluate three ML methods (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator [LASSO] regularized regression, Random Forest Classifier [RFC], and the Fully connected Neural Network [FcNN]) for their ability to predict mortality using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operator characteristic (ROC) Curves. These three groups of variables were used separately and together as input for constructing and comparing the final performance of ML models. (3) Results: All the ML models using only RFs achieved an informative level regarding predictive ability, outperforming radiological assessment, without however reaching the performance obtained with ML based on clinical variables. The LASSO regularized regression and the FcNN performed equally, both being superior to the RFC. (4) Conclusions: Radiomic features based on semi-automatically segmented CT images and ML approaches can aid in identifying patients with a high risk of mortality, allowing a fast, objective, and generalizable method for improving prognostic assessment by providing a second expert opinion that outperforms human evaluation.

Delta thermal radiomics: An application in dairy cow teats

•

Infrared thermograms can indirectly detect blood flow and changes in blood flow on the skin.

•

Radiomics is a machine learning medical image analysis technique that reveals semantic and nonsemantic features.

•

Radiomics of dairy cow teat thermograms is a novel quantitative means of assessing changes in skin temperature before and after milking.

We describe a novel approach for analyzing thermal images by way of radiomics (i.e., thermal radiomics) and how it can be used to monitor short-term temperature changes of dairy cow hind teats; that is, delta thermal radiomics. The heat generated from metabolic activities and blood-flow patterns can be visualized using thermal radiography of the skin surface. The hind teats from 25 dairy cows were imaged with a digital thermal camera and the images were converted to medical images (DICOM format) by mapping the multi-channel colorized thermal image to a monochromatic image whose intensities represent temperature. The 50 teats (left and right hind) were then manually segmented by 2 investigators. Radiomics analysis, which is a common method of extracting semantic and nonsemantic image biomarkers from medical images for machine learning, was performed. To evaluate whether this approach can detect pre- and postmilking differences, 18 cows were imaged before and after milking, the teats were manually segmented, and radiomic calculations were performed. Student's t-test was used to provide an estimate of the likelihood of whether postmilking thermal image biomarkers are the same as premilking thermal image biomarkers, and Cohen's d was used to evaluate the size of the effect (d > 1.2). To evaluate uncertainties from manual segmentation, the Dice similarity score (DS) between the 2 investigators' segments was computed. The average DS (95% confidence limit) was 0.952 (0.913–0.982) when comparing the 2 investigators' segmentations. There was no significant difference in DS when comparing the left and right segmented teats, suggesting that teats can be segmented consistently. No differences (d < 0.36) were observed when comparing image biomarkers from one investigator's segments with the other's, suggesting that image biomarkers computed from one investigator's segmentation of teats are not likely to differ from those computed from the other investigator. When comparing image biomarkers before and after milking, 109 image biomarkers were analyzed, and 17 image biomarkers were simultaneously significant and exhibited effect size. Thus, delta thermal radiomics offers a noninvasive and quantitative method of monitoring skin temperature changes in humans and animals after an intervention. The advantage of this approach is that it can reveal both perceptible and imperceptible surface temperature features that may be useful for detecting and managing dairy teat health.

CT Quantification of COVID-19 Pneumonia at Admission Can Predict Progression to Critical Illness: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study

Objective: Early identification of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with worse outcomes may benefit clinical management of patients. We aimed to quantify pneumonia findings on CT at admission to predict progression to critical illness in COVID-19 patients.

Methods: This retrospective study included laboratory-confirmed adult patients with COVID-19. All patients underwent a thin-section chest computed tomography (CT) scans showing evidence of pneumonia. CT images with severe moving artifacts were excluded from analysis. Patients' clinical and laboratory data were collected from medical records. Three quantitative CT features of pneumonia lesions were automatically calculated using a care.ai Intelligent Multi-disciplinary Imaging Diagnosis Platform Intelligent Evaluation System of Chest CT for COVID-19, denoting the percentage of pneumonia volume (PPV), ground-glass opacity volume (PGV), and consolidation volume (PCV). According to Chinese COVID-19 guidelines (trial version 7), patients were divided into noncritical and critical groups. Critical illness was defined as a composite of admission to the intensive care unit, respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, shock, or death. The performance of PPV, PGV, and PCV in discrimination of critical illness was assessed. The correlations between PPV and laboratory variables were assessed by Pearson correlation analysis.

Results: A total of 140 patients were included, with mean age of 58.6 years, and 85 (60.7%) were male. Thirty-two (22.9%) patients were critical. Using a cutoff value of 22.6%, the PPV had the highest performance in predicting critical illness, with an area under the curve of 0.868, sensitivity of 81.3%, and specificity of 80.6%. The PPV had moderately positive correlation with neutrophil (%) (r = 0.535, p < 0.001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (r = 0.567, p < 0.001), d-Dimer (r = 0.444, p < 0.001), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (r = 0.495, p < 0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (r = 0.410, p < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase (r = 0.644, p < 0.001), and urea nitrogen (r = 0.439, p < 0.001), whereas the PPV had moderately negative correlation with lymphocyte (%) (r = −0.535, p < 0.001).

Conclusions: Pneumonia volume quantified on initial CT can non-invasively predict the progression to critical illness in advance, which serve as a prognostic marker of COVID-19.