Machine learning-assisted preoperative diagnosis of infection stones in urolithiasis patients

Risk factors and machine learning prediction models for intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (ICP) is a liver disorder that occurs in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy and is associated with a significant risk of fetal complications, including premature birth and fetal death. In clinical practice, the diagnosis of ICP is predominantly based on the presence of pruritus in pregnant women and elevated serum total bile acid. However, this approach may result in missed or delayed diagnoses. Therefore, it is essential to explore the risk factors associated with ICP and to accurately identify affected individuals to enable timely prophylactic interventions. The existing literature exhibits a paucity of studies employing artificial intelligence to predict ICP. Therefore, developing machine learning-based diagnostic and severity classification models for ICP holds significant importance.

METHODS

This study included ICP patients and some healthy pregnant women from Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital in China between July 2020 and October 2023. We collected clinical data during their pregnancies and selected the top 11 critical risk factors through univariable and lasso regression analysis. The dataset was randomly divided into training and testing cohorts. Thirteen machine learning techniques, including Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Artificial Neural Network, were employed. Based on their various classification performances on the training set, the top five models were selected for internal validation.

RESULTS

The dataset included 798 participants (300 normal, 312 mild, and 186 severe cases). Through univariable and lasso regression analysis, total bile acid, gamma-glutamyl transferase, multiple pregnancy, lymphocyte percentage, hematocrit, neutrophil percentage, prothrombin time, Aspartate aminotransferase, red blood cell count, lymphocyte count and platelet count were identified as risk factors of ICP. The AUCs of the selected top five models ranged from 0.9509 to 0.9614. The CatBoost model achieved the best performance, with an AUC of 0.9614 (95% confidence interval, 0.9377-0.9813), an accuracy of 0.9085, a precision of 0.8930, a recall of 0.9059, and a F1-score of 0.8981.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified risk factors for ICP and developed machine learning models based on these factors. These models demonstrated good performance and can be used to help predict whether pregnant women have ICP and the degree of ICP (mild or severe).

Predictive value of machine learning model based on CT values for urinary tract infection stones

Preoperative diagnosis of infection stones presents a significant clinical challenge. We developed a machine learning model to predict urinary infection stones using computed tomography (CT) values, enabling in vivo preoperative identification. In this study, we included 1209 patients who underwent urinary lithotripsy at our hospital. Seven machine learning algorithms along with eleven preoperative variables were used to construct the prediction model. Subsequently, model performance was evaluated by calculating AUC and AUPR for subjects in the validation set. On the validation set, all seven machine learning models demonstrated strong discrimination (AUC: 0.687-0.947). Additionally, the XGBoost model was identified as the optimal model significantly outperforming the traditional LR model. Taken together, the XGBoost model is the first machine learning model for preoperative prediction of infection stones based on CT values. It can rapidly and accurately identify infection stones in vitro, providing valuable guidance for urologists in managing these stones.

Artificial intelligence in urolithiasis: a systematic review of utilization and effectiveness

PURPOSE

Mirroring global trends, artificial intelligence advances in medicine, notably urolithiasis. It promises accurate diagnoses, effective treatments, and forecasting epidemiological risks and stone passage. This systematic review aims to identify the types of AI models utilised in urolithiasis studies and evaluate their effectiveness.

METHODS

The study was registered with PROSPERO. Pubmed, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant literature, using keywords such as 'urology,' 'artificial intelligence,' and 'machine learning.' Only original AI studies on urolithiasis were included, excluding reviews, unrelated studies, and non-English articles. PRISMA guidelines followed.

RESULTS

Out of 4851 studies initially identified, 71 were included for comprehensive analysis in the application of AI in urolithiasis. AI showed notable proficiency in stone composition analysis in 12 studies, achieving an average precision of 88.2% (Range 0.65-1). In the domain of stone detection, the average precision remarkably reached 96.9%. AI's accuracy rate in predicting spontaneous ureteral stone passage averaged 87%, while its performance in treatment modalities such as PCNL and SWL achieved average accuracy rates of 82% and 83%, respectively. These AI models were generally superior to traditional diagnostic and treatment methods.

CONCLUSION

The consolidated data underscores AI's increasing significance in urolithiasis management. Across various dimensions-diagnosis, monitoring, and treatment-AI outperformed conventional methodologies. High precision and accuracy rates indicate that AI is not only effective but also poised for integration into routine clinical practice. Further research is warranted to establish AI's long-term utility and to validate its role as a standard tool in urological care.

Trends of "Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Virtual Reality, and Radiomics in Urolithiasis" over the Last 30 Years (1994-2023) as Published in the Literature (PubMed): A Comprehensive Review

Purpose: To analyze the bibliometric publication trend on the application of "Artificial Intelligence (AI) and its subsets (Machine Learning-ML, Virtual reality-VR, Radiomics) in Urolithiasis" over 3 decades. We looked at the publication trends associated with AI and stone disease, including both clinical and surgical applications, and training in endourology. Methods: Through a MeshTerms research on PubMed, we performed a comprehensive review from 1994-2023 for all published articles on "AI, ML, VR, and Radiomics." Articles were then divided into three categories as follows: A-Clinical (Nonsurgical), B-Clinical (Surgical), and C-Training articles, and articles were then assigned to following three periods: Period-1 (1994-2003), Period-2 (2004-2013), and Period-3 (2014-2023). Results: A total of 343 articles were noted (Groups A-129, B-163, and C-51), and trends increased from Period-1 to Period-2 at 123% (p = 0.009) and to period-3 at 453% (p = 0.003). This increase from Period-2 to Period-3 for groups A, B, and C was 476% (p = 0.019), 616% (0.001), and 185% (p < 0.001), respectively. Group A articles included rise in articles on "stone characteristics" (+2100%; p = 0.011), "renal function" (p = 0.002), "stone diagnosis" (+192%), "prediction of stone passage" (+400%), and "quality of life" (+1000%). Group B articles included rise in articles on "URS" (+2650%, p = 0.008), "PCNL"(+600%, p = 0.001), and "SWL" (+650%, p = 0.018). Articles on "Targeting" (+453%, p < 0.001), "Outcomes" (+850%, p = 0.013), and "Technological Innovation" (p = 0.0311) had rising trends. Group C articles included rise in articles on "PCNL" (+300%, p = 0.039) and "URS" (+188%, p = 0.003). Conclusion: Publications on AI and its subset areas for urolithiasis have seen an exponential increase over the last decade, with an increase in surgical and nonsurgical clinical areas, as well as in training. Future AI related growth in the field of endourology and urolithiasis is likely to improve training, patient centered decision-making, and clinical outcomes.

Application of AI in urolithiasis risk of infection: a scoping review

INTRODUCTION

Artificial intelligence and machine learning are the new frontier in urology; they can assist the diagnostic work-up and in prognostication bring superior to the existing nomograms. Infectious events and in particular the septic risk, are one of the most common and in some cases life threatening complication in patients with urolithiasis. We performed a scoping review to provide an overview of the current application of AI in prediction the infectious complications in patients affected by urolithiasis.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic scoping review of the literature was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines by screening Medline, PubMed, and Embase to detect pertinent studies.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

A total of 467 articles were found, of which nine met the inclusion criteria and were considered. All studies are retrospective and published between 2021 and 2023. Only two studies performed an external validation of the described models. The main event considered is urosepsis in four articles, urinary tract infection in two articles and diagnosis of infection stones in three articles. Different AI models were trained, each of which exploited several types and numbers of variables. All studies reveal good performance. Random forest and artificial neural networks seem to have higher AUC, specificity and sensibility and perform better than the traditional statistical analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Further prospective and multi-institutional studies with external validation are needed to better clarify which variables and AI models should be integrated in our clinical practice to predict infectious events.

A machine learning approach using stone volume to predict stone-free status at ureteroscopy

INTRODUCTION

To develop a predictive model incorporating stone volume along with other clinical and radiological factors to predict stone-free (SF) status at ureteroscopy (URS).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients undergoing URS for kidney stone disease at our institution from 2012 to 2021. SF status was defined as stone fragments < 2 mm at the end of the procedure confirmed endoscopically and no evidence of stone fragments > 2 mm at XR KUB or US KUB at 3 months follow up. We specifically included all non-SF patients to optimise our algorithm for identifying instances with residual stone burden. SF patients were also randomly sampled over the same time period to ensure a more balanced dataset for ML prediction. Stone volumes were measured using preprocedural CT and combined with 19 other clinical and radiological factors. A bagged trees machine learning model with cross-validation was used for this analysis.

RESULTS

330 patients were included (SF: n = 276, not SF: n = 54, mean age 59.5 ± 16.1 years). A fivefold cross validated RUSboosted trees model has an accuracy of 74.5% and AUC of 0.82. The model sensitivity and specificity were 75% and 72.2% respectively. Variable importance analysis identified total stone volume (17.7% of total importance), operation time (14.3%), age (12.9%) and stone composition (10.9%) as important factors in predicting non-SF patients. Single and cumulative stone size which are commonly used in current practice to guide management, only represented 9.4% and 4.7% of total importance, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning can be used to predict patients that will be SF at the time of URS. Total stone volume appears to be more important than stone size in predicting SF status. Our findings could be used to optimise patient counselling and highlight an increasing role of stone volume to guide endourological practice and future guidelines.

A nomogram clinical prediction model for predicting urinary infection stones: development and validation in a retrospective study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a nomogram prediction model to predict the exact probability of urinary infection stones before surgery in order to better deal with the clinical problems caused by infection stones and take effective treatment measures.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected the clinical data of 390 patients who were diagnosed with urinary calculi by imaging examination and underwent postoperative stone analysis between August 2018 and August 2023. The patients were randomly divided into training group (n = 312) and validation group (n = 78) using the "caret" R package. The clinical data of the patients were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to screen out the independent influencing factors and construct a nomogram prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves were used to evaluate the discrimination, accuracy, and clinical application efficacy of the prediction model.

RESULTS

Gender, recurrence stones, blood uric acid value, urine pH, and urine bacterial culture (P < 0.05) were independent predictors of infection stones, and a nomogram prediction model ( https://zhaoyshenjh.shinyapps.io/DynNomInfectionStone/ ) was constructed using these five parameters. The area under the ROC curve of the training group was 0.901, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.865-0.936), and the area under the ROC curve of the validation group was 0.960, 95% CI (0.921-0.998). The results of the calibration curve for the training group showed a mean absolute error of 0.015 and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test P > 0.05. DCA and clinical impact curves showed that when the threshold probability value of the model was between 0.01 and 0.85, it had the maximum net clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram developed in this study has good clinical predictive value and clinical application efficiency can help with risk assessment and decision-making for infection stones in diagnosing and treating urolithiasis.