Clinical and Blood Biomarker Trajectories after Concussion: New Insights from a Longitudinal Pilot Study of Professional Flat-Track Jockeys

Biomarkers of Neurobiologic Recovery in Adults With Sport-Related Concussion

Importance

Sport-related concussion (SRC), a form of mild traumatic brain injury, is a prevalent occurrence in collision sports. There are no well-established approaches for tracking neurobiologic recovery after SRC.

Objective

To examine the levels of serum glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and neurofilament light (NfL) in Australian football athletes who experience SRC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A cohort study recruiting from April 10, 2021, to September 17, 2022, was conducted through the Victorian Amateur Football Association, Melbourne, Australia. Participants included adult Australian football players with or without SRC. Data analysis was performed from May 26, 2023, to March 27, 2024.

Exposure

Sport-related concussion, defined as at least 1 observable sign and/or 2 or more symptoms.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary outcomes were serum GFAP and NfL levels at 24 hours, and 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 12, and 26 weeks. Secondary outcomes were symptoms, cognitive performance, and return to training times.

Results

Eighty-one individuals with SRC (median age, 22.8 [IQR, 21.3-26.0] years; 89% male) and 56 control individuals (median age, 24.6 [IQR, 22.4-27.3] years; 96% male) completed a total of 945 of 1057 eligible testing sessions. Compared with control participants, those with SRC exhibited higher GFAP levels at 24 hours (mean difference [MD] in natural log, pg/mL, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.50-0.82]) and 4 weeks (MD, 0.17 [95% CI, 0.02-0.32]), and NfL from 1 to 12 weeks (1-week MD, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.12-0.51]; 2-week MD, 0.38 [95% CI, 0.19-0.58]; 4-week MD, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.12-0.51]; 6-week MD, 0.27 [95% CI, 0.07-0.47]; 8-week MD, 0.36 [95% CI, 0.15-0.56]; and 12-week MD, 0.25 [95% CI, 0.04-0.46]). Growth mixture modeling identified 2 GFAP subgroups: extreme prolonged (16%) and moderate transient (84%). For NfL, 3 subgroups were identified: extreme prolonged (7%), moderate prolonged (15%), and minimal or no change (78%). Individuals with SRC who reported loss of consciousness (LOC) (33% of SRC cases) had higher GFAP at 24 hours (MD, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.77-1.24]), 1 week (MD, 0.27 [95% CI, 0.06-0.49]), 2 weeks (MD, 0.21 [95% CI, 0.004-0.42]) and 4 weeks (MD, 0.34 [95% CI, 0.13-0.55]), and higher NfL from 1 week to 12 weeks (1-week MD, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.42-1.03]; 2-week MD, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.61-1.21]; 4-week MD, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.59-1.20]; 6-week MD, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.50-1.13]; 8-week MD, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.42-1.04]; and 12-week MD, 0.54 [95% CI, 0.22-0.85]) compared with SRC participants without LOC. Return to training times were longer in the GFAP extreme compared with moderate subgroup (incident rate ratio [IRR], 1.99 [95% CI, 1.69-2.34]; NfL extreme (IRR, 3.24 [95% CI, 2.63-3.97]) and moderate (IRR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.18-1.72]) subgroups compared with the minimal subgroup, and for individuals with LOC compared with those without LOC (IRR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.41-1.93]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, a subset of SRC cases, particularly those with LOC, showed heightened and prolonged increases in GFAP and NfL levels, that persisted for at least 4 weeks. These findings suggest that serial biomarker measurement could identify such cases, guiding return to play decisions based on neurobiologic recovery. While further investigation is warranted, the association between prolonged biomarker elevations and LOC may support the use of more conservative return to play timelines for athletes with this clinical feature.

Serum neurofilament light chain, inflammatory markers, and kynurenine metabolites in patients with persistent post-concussion symptoms: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Concussion leads to persistent post-concussion symptoms (PPCS) in up to one-third of those affected. While previous research has linked the initial trauma to elevated serum levels of neurofilament light chain (NFL), inflammatory markers, and neurotoxic metabolites within the kynurenine pathway, few studies have explored their relevance in PPCS. This study aims to investigate these biomarkers in PPCS patients, elucidating their relevance in the prolonged phase of concussion.

METHODS

Serum samples from 86 PPCS individuals aged 18-30 years, 2-6 months post-trauma were analyzed, with 54 providing follow-up samples after seven months. NFL was measured using single-molecule array (Simoa) technology, 13 inflammatory markers via a Luminex immunoassay, and five kynurenine metabolites using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. A control group of 120 healthy anonymous blood donors was recruited for comparison.

RESULTS

No significant NFL differences were found in PPCS participants compared with healthy individuals (p = 0.22). Intriguingly, a subset (9.3%) of PPCS participants initially exhibited abnormally high NFL levels (>9.7 pg/mL), which normalized upon follow-up (p = 0.032). Additionally, serum levels of the inflammatory markers, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1/CCL2), and eotaxin-1/CCL11 were 25-40% lower than in healthy individuals (p ≤ 0.001). As hypothesized, PPCS participants exhibited a 22% reduction in the ratio of kynurenic acid to quinolinic acid (neuroprotective index) (p < 0.0001), indicating a shift towards the formation of neurotoxic metabolites.

CONCLUSION

NFL may serve as a biomarker to monitor recovery, and future studies should investigate the potential therapeutic benefits of modulating the kynurenine pathway to improve PPCS.

Utility of Acute and Subacute Blood Biomarkers to Assist Diagnosis in CT-Negative Isolated Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Blood biomarkers glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) have recently been Food and Drug Administration approved as predictors of intracranial lesions on CT after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). However, most cases with mTBI are CT negative, and no biomarkers are approved to assist diagnosis in these individuals. In this study, we aimed to determine the optimal combination of blood biomarkers to assist mTBI diagnosis in otherwise healthy adults younger than 50 years presenting to an emergency department within 6 hours of injury. To further understand the utility of biomarkers, we assessed how biological sex, presence or absence of loss of consciousness and/or post-traumatic amnesia (LOC/PTA), and delayed presentation affected classification performance.

METHODS

Blood samples, symptom questionnaires, and cognitive tests were prospectively conducted for participants with mTBI recruited from The Alfred Hospital Level 1 Emergency & Trauma Center and uninjured controls. Follow-up testing was conducted at 7 days. Simoa quantified plasma GFAP, UCH-L1, tau, neurofilament light chain (NfL), interleukin (IL)-6, and IL-1β. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) analysis assessed classification accuracy for diagnosed mTBI, and logistic regression models identified optimal biomarker combinations.

RESULTS

Plasma IL-6 (AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.96), GFAP (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.93), and UCH-L1 (AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.70-0.88) best differentiated mTBI (n = 74) from controls (n = 44) acutely (<6 hours), with NfL (AUC 0.81, 95% CI 0.72-0.90) the only marker to have such utility subacutely (7 days). Biomarker performance was similar between sexes and for participants with and without LOC/PTA, with the exception at 7 days, where GFAP and IL-6 retained some utility in female participants (GFAP: AUC 0.71, 95% CI 0.55-0.88; IL-6: AUC 0.71, 95% CI 0.55-0.87) and in those with LOC/PTA (GFAP: AUC 0.73, 95% CI 0.59-0.86; IL-6: AUC 0.71, 95% CI 0.57-0.84). Acute IL-6 (R 2 = 0.50, 95% CI 0.34-0.64) outperformed GFAP and UCH-L1 combined (R 2 = 0.35, 95% CI 0.17-0.50), with the best acute model featuring GFAP and IL-6 (R 2 = 0.54, 95% CI 0.34-0.68).

DISCUSSION

These findings indicate that adding IL-6 to a panel of brain-specific proteins such as GFAP and UCH-L1 might assist in the acute diagnosis of mTBI in adults younger than 50 years. Multiple markers had high classification accuracy in participants without LOC/PTA. When compared with the best-performing acute markers, subacute measures of plasma NfL resulted in minimal reduction in classification accuracy. Future studies will investigate the optimal time frame over which plasma IL-6 might assist diagnostic decisions and how extracranial trauma affects utility.

Proteomic discovery of prognostic protein biomarkers for persisting problems after mild traumatic brain injury

Some individuals with mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI), also known as concussion, have neuropsychiatric and physical problems that last longer than a few months. Symptoms following mTBI are not only impacted by the kind and severity of the injury but also by the post-injury experience and the individual's responses to it, making the persistence of mTBI particularly difficult to predict. We aimed to identify prognostic blood-based protein biomarkers predicting 6-month outcomes, in light of the clinical course after the injury, in a longitudinal mTBI cohort (N = 42). Among 420 target proteins quantified by multiple-reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry assays of blood samples, 31, 43, and 15 proteins were significantly associated with the poor recovery of neuropsychological symptoms at < 72 h, 1 week, and 1 month after the injury, respectively. Sequential associations among clinical assessments (depressive symptoms and cognitive function) affecting the 6-month outcomes were evaluated. Then, candidate biomarker proteins indirectly affecting the outcome via neuropsychological symptoms were identified. Using the identified proteins, prognostic models that can predict the 6-month outcome of mTBI were developed. These protein biomarkers established in the context of the clinical course of mTBI may have potential for clinical application.

Serum neurofilament light as a biomarker of vulnerability to a second mild traumatic brain injury

A second mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) sustained prior to neuropathological recovery can lead to exacerbated effects. Without objective indicators of this neuropathology, individuals may return to activities at risk of mTBI when their brain is still vulnerable. With axonal injury recognized as a neuropathological hallmark of mTBI, we hypothesized that serum levels of neurofilament light (NfL), a highly sensitive biomarker of axonal injury, may be predictive of vulnerability to worse outcomes in the event of a second mTBI. Given this hypothesis is difficult to test clinically, we used a two-hit model of mTBI in rats and staggered inter-injury intervals by 1-, 3-, 7-, or 14-days. Repeat-mTBI rats were dichotomized into NfL^high (NfL>median at the time of re-injury) and NfL^low (NfL<median) groups, with behavior and NfL levels analyzed throughout the 28-days, followed by ex vivo diffusion tensor imaging. NfL levels at the time of the second mTBI were found to be predictive of vulnerability to re-injury, with NfL^high rats displaying more neurological signs and a greater potentiation of NfL levels after the second mTBI. Importantly, this potentiation phenomenon remained even when limiting analyses to rats with longer inter-injury intervals, providing evidence that vulnerability to re-injury may not be exclusively dependent on inter-injury interval. Finally, NfL levels correlated with, and were predictive of, the severity of neurological signs following the second mTBI. These findings provide evidence that measurement of NfL during mTBI recovery may be reflective of the vulnerability to a second mTBI, and as such may have utility to assist return to sport, duty and work decisions.

Gender and Workplace Stress Affect the Association Between Concussion History and Depression Symptoms in Professional Jockeys

Objective

Professional jockeys experience high rates of concussion, workplace stress, and poor mental health. The present cross-sectional study, for the first time, concurrently assessed the potential interplay between concussion history and workplace stress with current depression symptoms.

Method

Seventy-two professional flat-track jockeys (male = 49, female = 23) were grouped based on self-reported concussion history (CG; n = 56) and those who did not report a concussion history (NCG; total n = 16). Analyses featured both between (CG vs NCG) and within group (CG only) assessment on self-reported measures of workplace stress and depression symptoms (affect, daily functioning).

Results

Jockeys in the CG had more symptoms of negative affect than the NCG. This association, however, was nonsignificant after covarying for age, gender, and workplace stress. Higher workplace stress (p = .005) and gender (p = .001) were associated with poorer daily functioning after controlling for concussion history (CG vs. NCG) and age. Gender moderated the association between concussion group and poorer daily functioning (β = −18.739, t (71) = −2.924, p = .005), with the difference between CG and NCG significant for females, but not males (β = 33.648, t (71) = 3.420, p = .001).

Conclusions

The findings provide preliminary evidence that previously concussed females may be more likely to report poorer daily functioning than males with a history of concussion, and that workplace stress may reduce the association between a history of concussion and depression symptoms. Prospective studies are required to validate and extend these findings.