Preoperative Clinical and Sonographic Predictors for Lateral Cervical Lymph Node Metastases in Sporadic Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

Management of medullary thyroid cancer based on variation of carcinoembryonic antigen and calcitonin

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and calcitonin (Ctn) are pivotal biomarkers in the diagnosis and management of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). However, their diagnostic reliability in perioperative period remains a topic of ongoing debate. This review synthesizes researches on perioperative fluctuations in CEA and Ctn levels, and evaluates the impact of their different combinations on MTC diagnosis, treatment decisions, and prognosis. Our findings highlight it is crucial to understand and interpret the various combinations of CEA and Ctn fluctuations within a clinical context. Furthermore, to reduce diagnostic errors and improve patient outcomes, we recommend follow-up diagnostic and treatment protocols designed to address the potential pitfalls associated with the use of these biomarkers.

Changes of biochemical factors and the effect on recurrence of medullary thyroid carcinoma after surgery

Objective

Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is a rare malignancy secreting calcitonin (Ctn). We aimed to analyze the relationship between Ctn levels at different time points in patients with MTC, and evaluate its predictive effect on recurrence.

Methods

A retrospective study of patients diagnosed with MTC in a large medical center were conducted in northern China. The interrelationships between preoperative Ctn, normalization of postoperative serum Ctn at the first month (NPS), and long-term biochemical cure as well as their predicting roles on structural recurrence were assessed.

Results

A total of 212 patients were included in this study. The median follow-up time was 59.5 months. The 5- and 10-year cumulative disease-free survival rates were 81.5 % and 66.8 %, respectively. NPS (OR: 216.33, 95 % CI: 28.69-1631.09, P < 0.001) and absence of structural recurrence (OR: 61.71, 95 % CI: 3.90-975.31; P = 0.003) were associated with biochemical cure. Non-biochemical cure (OR: 28.76; 95 % CI: 2.84-290.86; P = 0.004, HR: 14.63, 95 % CI: 2.27-94.07, P = 0.005), larger tumor size (OR: 8.79, 95 % CI: 2.12-36.40, P = 0.003, HR: 5.41, 95 % CI: 2.04-14.37, P = 0.001), and multifocality (OR: 4.02, 95 % CI: 1.06-15.17, P = 0.040, HR: 3.00, 95 % CI: 1.18-7.60, P = 0.021) were unfavorable independent predictors of structural recurrence and disease-free survival. For sporadic MTC confined to the thyroid lobe, there was no difference in biochemical or structural prognosis between the different surgeries in the subgroup analysis.

Conclusions

NPS, rather than preoperative Ctn, predicted long-term biochemical cure for MTC. Non-biochemical cure, larger tumor burden including larger tumor size and multifocality at initial surgery, served as worse prognostic predictors.

Combining radiomics with thyroid imaging reporting and data system to predict lateral cervical lymph node metastases in medullary thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma (MTC) is a rare type of thyroid cancer. Accurate prediction of lateral cervical lymph node metastases (LCLNM) in MTC patients can help guide surgical decisions and ensure that patients receive the most appropriate and effective surgery. To our knowledge, no studies have been published that use radiomics analysis to forecast LCLNM in MTC patients. The purpose of this study is to develop a radiomics combined with thyroid imaging reporting and data system (TI-RADS) model that can use preoperative thyroid ultrasound images to noninvasively predict the LCLNM status of MTC.

METHODS

We retrospectively included 218 MTC patients who were confirmed from postoperative pathology as LCLNM negative (n=111) and positive (n=107). Ultrasound features were selected using the Student's t-test, while radiomics features are first extracted from preoperative thyroid ultrasound images, and then a two-step feature selection approach was used to select features. These features are then used to establish three regularized logistic regression models, namely the TI-RADS model (TM), the radiomics model (RM), and the radiomics-TI-RADS model (RTM), in 5-fold cross-validation to determine the likelihood of the LCLNM. The Delong's test and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate and compare the performance of the models.

RESULTS

The ultrasound features of margin and TI-RADS level, and a total of 12 selected radiomics features, were significantly different between the LCLNM negative and positive groups (p<0.05). The TM, RM, and RTM yielded an averaged AUC of 0.68±0.05, 0.78±0.06, and 0.82±0.05 in the 5-fold cross-validation dataset, respectively. RM and RTM are statistically better than TM (p<0.05 and p<0.001) according to Delong test. DCA demonstrates that RTM brings more benefit than TM and RM.

CONCLUSIONS

We have developed a joint radiomics-based model for noninvasive prediction of the LCLNM in MTC patients solely using preoperative thyroid ultrasound imaging. It has the potential to be used as a complementary tool to help guide treatment decisions for this rare form of thyroid cancer.

Risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis in the central or lateral cervical region in medullary thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Compared with other types of thyroid carcinoma, patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) are more likely to develop cervical lymph node metastasis. This study was conducted to clarify the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (central lymph node metastasis or lateral cervical lymph node metastasis) in MTC by meta-analysis, and to provide evidence-based basis for the treatment and prognosis of MTC.

METHODS

The literatures related to cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma were searched in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, CNKI and Wanfang databases, and statistical analysis was performed using Revman 5.3 and Stata 14.0 software.

RESULTS

A total of 28 papers were included in this paper, and meta-analysis showed that the occurrence of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in MTC patients was significantly associated with tumor size (OR = 3.07, 95%CI: 2.04-4.63, P < 0.00001), multifocality (OR = 0.29, 95%CI: 0.19-0.44, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 3.75, 95% CI: 1.95-7.14, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 9.88, 95% CI: 5.93-16.45, P < 0.00001) and extrathyroidal extension (OR = 5.48, 95% CI: 2.61-11.51, P < 0.00001). While the occurrence of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in MTC patients was strongly correlated with gender (OR = 2.97, 95%CI: 2.46-3.58, P < 0.00001), tumor size (OR = 3.88, 95%CI: 1.90-7.92, P = 0.0002 < 0.05), multifocality (OR = 0.43, 95%CI: 0.35-0.51, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.72-4.98, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 8.44, 95% CI: 6.11-11.64, P < 0.00001), extrathyroidal extension (OR = 7.04, 95% CI: 5.54-8.94, P < 0.00001), margin of the tumor (OR = 4.47, 95% CI: 2.37-8.44, P < 0.00001), shape of the tumor (OR = 6.81, 95% CI: 3.64-12.73, P < 0.00001), preoperative calcitonin level (SMD = 1.39, 95% CI: 0.98-1.80, P < 0.00001), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level (SMD = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.74-1.20, P < 0.00001) and CLNM (OR = 19.70, 95% CI: 14.16-27.43, P < 0.00001).

CONCLUSION

Tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion and extrathyroidal extension are the main risk factors for developing CLNM in MTC patients; And risk factors for developing LLNM in MTC patients include: gender, tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion, extrathyroidal extension, margin of the tumor, shape of the tumor, preoperative calcitonin level, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level and central lymph node metastasis. These risk factors can guide the individualized treatment plan and improve the prognosis of MTC patients.

The survival outcomes of prophylactic lateral neck dissection for medullary thyroid carcinoma, a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the benefits of prophylactic lymph node dissection in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) patients without radiographically lateral neck metastases.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients who underwent primary surgery for MTC between 2011 and 2019 and without structural disease of the lateral neck preoperatively.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Locoregional recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were examined.

RESULTS

The patients were divided into two groups: the central lymph node dissection (CLND) only group and the prophylactic lateral lymph node dissection (PLND) group, which included CLND and ipsilateral lateral lymph node dissection (LLND). A total of 89 patients were included: 71 patients in the CLND group and 18 patients in the PLND group. Although there were no significant differences in age, gender, multifocality, capsule invasion or TNM stage between the two groups, the tumour size and preoperative median calcitonin levels were different. The recurrence rate was 4.2% for the CLND group and 5.6% for the PLND group (p > 0.05). DFS among the CLND and PLND groups was 95.4% and 94.4%, and OS among the groups was 100% and 94.1% (p > 0.05) at 5 years. The biochemical cure rates were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

PLND in the absence of structural disease of the lateral neck preoperatively is not associated with improved survival in patients with sporadic MTC.

Partial preservation of the normal thyroid gland based on tumor diameter may be possible in small medullary thyroid carcinoma: a two-center 15-year retrospective study

Background

At present, there are some controversies in the formulation of surgical protocol for small medullary thyroid carcinoma(s-MTC). We wanted to explore the feasibility of normal thyroid gland retention in small medullary thyroid carcinoma based on different tumor diameters and its prognostic impact on the tumor.

Methods

The data of patients with stage T1 MTC treated at Tianjin Cancer Hospital and Sichuan Cancer Hospital from 2006 to 2021 were analyzed. The tumor diameters of 0.5 cm and 1.0 cm were used as dividing points. The outcomes were tumor recurrence, metastasis, or patient death. Survival was estimated by the Kapan-Meier curve.

Results

A total of 121 T1 s-MTC patients were included, including 55 with total thyroidectomy (TT) and 66 with subthyroidectomy (Sub-TT). There were eleven cases of tumor recurrence and metastasis, and four patients died. When the tumor diameter was 1.0 cm as the cut-off point, tumor diameter (p = 0.010), TT (p = 0.028), unilateral and bilateral type (p = 0.009), and TNM staging (p = 0.007) had significant effects on progression-free survival (PFS). The tumor diameter, unilateral and bilateral type, and TT were risk factors for the prognosis of T1 MTC (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

The tumor diameter of 1.0 cm can be used as a cut-off point for stage T1 MTC. Alt-hough there was no significant difference in overall survival (OS) between T1a and T1b in patients, tumor diameter significantly influenced PFS. TT is not necessary for patients with sporadic MTC with T1a.

Nomogram for preoperative estimation risk of cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma

Objectives

Cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is common in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), but how to manage cervical lymph node involvement of clinically negative MTC is still controversial. This study evaluated the preoperative features and developed an ultrasound (US)-based nomogram to preoperatively predict the CLNM of MTC.

Materials and methods

A total of 74 patients with histologically confirmed MTC were included in this retrospective study and assigned to the CLNM-positive group and CLNM-negative group based on the pathology. The associations between CLNM and preoperative clinical and sonographic characteristics (size, location, solid component, shape, margin, echogenicity, calcification, and extracapsular invasion of the tumor) were evaluated by the use of univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis. A nomogram to predict the risk of the CLNM of MTC was built and assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

Results

The nomogram was based on three factors (tumor margin, US-reported suspicious lymph node, and extracapsular invasion US features) and exhibited good discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.919 (95% CI, 0.856-0.932). The calibration curves of the nomogram displayed a good agreement between the probability as predicted by the nomogram and the actual CLNM incidence.

Conclusions

We constructed and validated a US-based nomogram to predict the risk of CLNM in MTC patients, which can be easily evaluated before surgery. This model is helpful for clinical decision-making.

Construction and Validation of a Prediction Model for Identifying Clinical Risk Factors of Lateral Lymph Node Metastasis in Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

Purpose

Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is a rare but highly invasive malignancy, especially in terms of cervical lymph node metastasis. However, the role of prophylactic lateral lymph node dissection (LLND) is still controversial. We hereby aim to explore the risk factors of lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in patients with MTC to guide clinical practice.

Patients and Methods

The clinicopathological characteristics of patients with MTC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University were reviewed and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistics regression analyses were used to screen the risk factors of LLNM in patients with MTC.

Results

Four variables, including male gender, multifocality, extrathyroidal invasion (EI), and large tumor size (all p < 0.05), were identified as potential independent factors of LLNM in patients with MTC. Based on these results, an individualized prediction model was subsequently developed with a satisfied C-index of 0.798, supported by both internal and external validation with a C-index of 0.816 and 0.896, respectively. We also performed the decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curve, which indicated a remarkable agreement in our model for predicting the risk of LLNM.

Conclusion

We determined that various clinical characteristics, male gender, multifocality, EI, and large tumor size, were significantly associated with LLNM in patients with MTC. Thus, a validated prediction model utilizing readily available variables was successfully established to help clinicians make individualized clinical decisions on MTC management, especially regarding whether the LLND is necessary for patients with clinical negative lateral lymph node involvement and the frequency of follow-up without LLND.

Clinical Characteristics, Surgical Management, and Prognostic Factors of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Retrospective, Single-Center Study

Purpose: Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is a rare neuroendocrine malignancy with relatively early lymphatic metastatic spread. The clinical features of MTC remain controversial owing to the low incidence rate. This study aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics, prognostic factors, and long-term follow-up of MTC. Methods: Medical records of MTC patients treated at our hospital between December 2000 and November 2020 were reviewed retrospectively. Clinicopathologic features of MTC were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. Cumulative survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: In total, 152 patients with MTC were included. The rates of central and lateral lymph node metastases (LNM) were 52.0% and 42.8%, respectively. All patients were followed up with a median follow-up time of 43.5 (17.0−76.3) months. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified two independent factors associated with progressive disease. They were lateral LNM (p < 0.001) and lymph node ratio (LNR) >1/3 (p = 0.009). The 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative overall survival (OS) rates of MTC were 88.2%, 83.1%, and 76.2%, respectively. The 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 61.8%, 48.6%, and 38.2%, respectively. Patients with stage I, II, and III disease had significantly longer OS and DFS than those with stage IV disease (p < 0.001). Conclusion: MTC is a rare endocrine malignancy and LNM is common. Patients with lateral LNM and LNR >1/3 are more likely to develop progressive disease. The long-term OS rates of MTC are good, but long-term DFS rates are poor.

A nomogram to predict lateral lymph node metastases in lateral neck in patients with medullary thyroid cancer

BACKGROUND

Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) can only be cured by surgery, but the management of lateral lymph nodes is controversial, especially for patients with cN0+cN1a. To address this challenge, we developed a multivariate logistic regression model to predict lateral lymph node metastases (LNM).

METHODS

We retrospectively collected clinical data from 124 consecutive MTC patients who underwent initial surgery at our institution. The data of 82 patients (from 2010 to 2018) and 42 patients (from January 2019 to November 2019) were used as the training set for building the model and as the test set for validating the model, respectively.

RESULTS

In the training group, the multivariate analyses indicated that male and MTC patients with higher preoperative basal calcitonin levels were more likely to have lateral LNM (P = 0.007 and 0.005, respectively). Multifocal lesions and suspected lateral LNM in preoperative ultrasound (US) were independent risk factors (P = 0.032 and 0.002, respectively). The identified risk factors were incorporated into a multivariate logistic regression model to generate the nomogram, which showed good discrimination (C-index = 0.963, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.9286-0.9972). Our model was validated with an excellent result in the test set and even superior to the training set (C-index = 0.964, 95% CI: 0.9121-1.000).

CONCLUSION

Higher preoperative basal calcitonin level, male sex, multifocal lesions, and lateral lymph node involvement suspicion on US are risk factors for lateral LNM. Our model and nomogram will objectively and accurately predict lateral LNM in patients with MTC.

Risk factors for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma

: To investigate risk factors of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). : Published studies regarding clinicopathological factors of LLNM in MTC were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane library, Wanfang date and CNKI. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata 14.0 software. The mean and standard deviation from the sample size, range, median, and interquartile range was estimated. Odds ratio () or standard mean difference () with 95% confidence interval () of related factors were analyzed by fixed/random-effects models. Egger's test and Begg's test were applied to assess the publication bias of the literature. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021254955). : Fifteen studies involving 1424 patients were included in the analysis, among whom 543 cases had LLNM (38.13%). Meta-analysis revealed that an increased risk of LLNM was associated with male gender (1.64, 95%: 1.29-2.09, 4.06, 0.01), tumor diameter≥1cm (5.09, 95%: 2.43-10.67, 4.31, 0.01), multifocality (2.55, 95%: 1.79-3.61, 5.22, 0.01), capsule invasion (7.80, 95%: 4.84-12.55, 8.46, 0.01), extracapsular extension (9.46, : 5.66-15.81, 8.58, 0.01), cervical central lymph node metastasis (23.58, : 9.44-58.87, 6.77, 0.01), elevated preoperative calcitonin (1.17,95%: 0.67-1.67, 4.56, 0.01), spiculated margin on ultrasonography (4.32, 95%: 2.43-7.68, 4.99, 0.01), irregular shape on ultrasonography (6.81, : 3.64-12.73, 6.01, 0.01); while age ≥ 45 years (=1.22, 95%: 0.65-2.29, 0.62, >0.05), elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (0.95, : -0.48-2.38, 1.30, >0.05) and calcification on ultrasonography (1.28, 95%: 0.75-2.18, 0.92, >0.05) were not associated with LLNM. : Male gender, tumor diameter≥multifocality, capsule invasion, extracapsular extension, central lymph node metastasis, elevated preoperative calcitonin, spiculated margin and irregular shape on ultrasonography are risk factors for LLNM in MTC, when these clinical and ultrasonic features are present, lateral neck lymph node dissection is recommended.

Does shear wave elastography for medullary thyroid carcinoma predict lateral cervical lymph node metastasis?

PURPOSE

To assess whether shear wave elastography (SWE) for medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) can independently predict lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM).

METHOD

Patients with MTC who were treated via primary surgery between January 2015 and May 2020 and who had undergone preoperative SWE and ultrasound (US) examinations in the Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital were retrospectively studied. The relationships between lymphatic status and the clinicopathological and imaging characteristics were evaluated. Afterwards, associations between lateral cervical LNM and SWE parameters, as well as sex, age, invasive size, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), preoperative calcitonin levels, and US features were assessed by using multivariable logistic regressions.

RESULTS

A total of 76 patients (31 men and 45 women, 48.1 ± 11.8 years) were evaluated. The following factors demonstrated significant associations with lateral cervical LNM: the male sex (P = 0.015), an age ≤ 35 years (P = 0.049), an invasive size > 1.0 cm (P = 0.028), ETE (P = 0.005), a preoperative calcitonin level > 60 pg/ml (P < 0.001), irregular shape on the US (P = 0.001), the presence of a non-circumscribed margin on the US (P = 0.009), an Emax > 66 kPa (P < 0.001), an Emean > 37.5 kPa (P < 0.001), and an ER > 1.65 (P = 0.002). In the multivariable analysis, an age ≤ 35 years (P = 0.049), a preoperative calcitonin level > 60 pg/ml (P = 0.004), an irregular shape on the US (P = 0.036), and an Emax > 66 kPa (P = 0.011) maintained independent significance.

CONCLUSION

Emax was demonstrated to be an independent predictor for lateral cervical LNM of MTC. SWE may serve as a noninvasive method of preoperative lateral cervical LNM risk assessment for MTC.

A new prediction model for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: Based on dual-energy CT

PURPOSE

The current study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model to estimate the independent risk factors for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients based on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT).

METHOD

This study retrospectively conducted 406 consecutive patients from July 2015 to June 2019 to form the derivation cohorts and performed internal validation. 101 consecutive patients from July 2019 to June 2020 were included to create the external validation cohort. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate independent risk factors for LLNM. A prediction model based on DECT parameters was built and presented on a nomogram. The internal and external validations were performed.

RESULTS

Iodine concentration (IC) in the arterial phase (OR 2.761, 95% CI 1.028-7.415, P 0.044), IC in venous phase (OR 3.820, 95% CI 1.430-10.209, P 0.008), located in the superior pole (OR 4.181, 95% CI 2.645-6.609, P 0.000), and extrathyroidal extension (OR 4.392, 95% CI 2.142-9.004, P 0.000) were independently associated with LLNM in the derivation cohort. These four predictors were incorporated into the nomogram. The model showed good discrimination in the derivation (AUC, 0.899), internal (AUC, 0.905), and external validation (AUC, 0.912) cohorts. The decision curve revealed that more advantages would be added using the nomogram to estimate LLNM, which implied that the lateral lymph node dissection was recommended.

CONCLUSIONS

DECT parameters could provide independent indicators of LLNM in PTC patients, and the nomogram based on them may be helpful in treatment decision-making.

Association of sonographic features and clinicopathologic factors of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma for prevalence of lymph node metastasis: a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to develop an association between clinicopathologic and sonographic features of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma and the prevalence of lymph node metastasis.

METHODS

Clinicopathologic and sonographic features of 415 patients of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma with (n = 102) or without (n = 313) lymph node metastasis were retrospectively reviewed. The thickness of the lymph node ≥ 6 mm with intra-lymph nodal occupying lesions considered lymph node metastasis. Also, it was considered metastasis if lymph node perfusion or blood flow defect was found with any thickness size. Univariate following multivariate analysis was performed for the prediction of sonographic features and clinicopathologic factors for the prevalence of lymph node metastasis.

RESULTS

Male gender (p = 0.041), age < 45 years (p = 0.042), preoperative calcitonin > 65 pg/ mL (p = 0.039), nodule size > 5 mm in diameter (p = 0.038), bilaterality (p = 0.038), tumor capsular invasion (p = 0.048), cystic change (p = 0.047), and hyper vascularity (p = 0.049) of thyroid nodules were associated with lymph node metastasis. Also, thyroid nodules 5 mm and more in diameter may have high aggressiveness.

CONCLUSION

These data helped the surgeon for individualized treatment in thyroid carcinoma and avoid unnecessary prophylactic surgery of the lymph node.

Sonographic risk factors of aggressive behaviors in medullary thyroid carcinomas

OBJECTIVE

To identify the clinical and sonographic risk factors for aggressive behavior of Medullary Thyroid Carcinomas (MTCs).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis. The informed consents were waived. Totally, 127 patients were selected from the database. Two radiologists were invited to review the clinical records and ultrasonic images and scored all the cases according to ACR TI-RADS, retrospectively. Kappa test was used to evaluate the consistency between the two reviewers. Logistic regression analysis was carried to identify the risk factors for aggressive behaviors of MTCs. Comparison of survival proportions between different groups were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

RESULTS

Female patients with MTCs were more commonly seen than male (1.7:1), male sex was a risk factor for both metastasis (OR: 4.471, P = 0.001) and perithyroidal invasion (OR = 4.674, P = 0.004). Consistency between the two reviewers were quite high (K value, 0.797-0.988). On sonograms, typical MTCs manifest as hypoechoic (96.9%) solid nodules (94.5%). Sex of patients (P = 0.001), margin (P = 0.003) and focality (P = 0.01) of the nodule were independent risk factors for metastasis, whereas sex of the patients (P = 0.004) and margin (P = 0.000) were independent risk factors for perithyroidal invasion. By Kaplan-Meier analysis, survival proportions different between groups with/without perithyroidal extension (P = 0.000) but not between groups with/without metastasis (P = 0.473).

CONCLUSION

High frequency ultrasound and TI-RADS were effective methods for preoperative diagnosis of MTC. Sex of the patients and margin of the nodule are common risk factors for both metastasis and perithyroidal invasion. Focality of the tumor is another independent risk factor for metastasis.

Ultrasound features value in the diagnosis and prognosis of medullary thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

Ultrasound (US) is the most important imaging in the preoperative diagnosis of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). MTC are easy to be misdiagnosed due to lacking typical malignant US features. This study investigated US features, clinical characteristics, prognosis, and detection methods, aimed to explore the association between US features and biological behavior, and improve early diagnosis of MTC.

METHODS

A total of 189 MTC patients were enrolled in the study. Based on US features, 29 MTC were categorized as "indeterminate" (i-MTC) and 160 MTC were categorized as "malignant" (m-MTC) according to Thyroid Imaging, Reporting and Data System published by America College of Radiology (ACR TI-RADS). We compared US features, clinical characteristics and prognosis between both groups. We analyzed cytological categories of fine needle aspiration (FNA) within each i-MTC and m-MTC group according to the 2017 Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC). We assessed the positive rate of FNA, frozen pathological examination, and preoperative serum calcitonin (Ctn) level in i-MTC and m-MTC groups.

RESULTS

Preoperative US features were significantly different in shape, margin, composition, echogenicity, and calcifications between i-MTC and m-MTC (p < 0.05). I-MTC showed a hypoechoic solid or solid-cystic nodule lacking malignant US features. While m-MTC was presented as a solid nodule with obviously malignant US features. There were significant differences in lymph node dissection, extent of tumor, lymph node metastasis, and TNM stage and prognosis between i-MTC and m-MTC (p < 0.05). Compared to m-MTC, i-MTC underwent central neck dissection more frequently rather than lateral neck dissection at the time of the initial operation; i-MTC had less extrathyroidal invasion and lymph node metastasis, earlier stage, higher rate of biochemical cure, and lower rate of structural persistence/recurrence (p < 0.05). The 2017 TBSRTC of i-MTC and m-MTC was significantly different (p < 0.05). Preoperative serum Ctn level had a higher diagnostic sensitivity for both i-MTC and m-MTC when comparing to FNA and frozen pathological examination (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

US features were associated with biological characteristics and prognosis of MTC. I-MTC lack malignant US features, preformed less aggressiveness, and better prognosis. TBSRTC according to FNA combined with serum Ctn were helpful for the detection of i-MTC.

Correlation between Ultrasonic Features of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma and Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis

The aim of this study was to investigate the factors that affect cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in individuals with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) in terms of ultrasonic characteristics and other parameters. Single-factor χ² analysis showed that the ultrasonic characteristics of tumor size >10 mm, unclear boundary, irregular pattern and capsular invasion, as well as pre-operative calcitonin level >302.50 pg/mL (p < 0.001) and age ≤52.50 y (p = 0.036), were risk factors for CLNM in individuals with MTC. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ≤52.50 y (odds ratio = 3.796; 95% confidence interval, 1.010-14.259; p = 0.048), irregular pattern (odds ratio = 5.262; 95% confidence interval, 1.200-23.084; p = 0.028) and tumor size >10 mm (odds ratio = 7.789; 95% confidence interval, 1.123-54.005; p = 0.038) were independent risk factors for CLNM in individuals with MTC. Individuals with MTC aged ≤52.50 y with an irregular pattern and tumor size >10 mm were more likely to develop CLNM. In addition, those with a pre-operative calcitonin level >302.50 pg/mL were more likely to have CLNM.

Correlation between preoperative ultrasonic features of medullary thyroid carcinoma and postoperative recurrence

BACKGROUND

To investigate the factors that affect postoperative recurrence in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) patients, including preoperative ultrasonic characteristics and other factors.

METHOD

A retrospective analysis of 7 MTC patients who underwent the first thyroid surgery from 2009 to 2018 and who had complete follow-up data was conducted. According to the follow-up results, these patients were divided into the recurrence group (17 cases) and non-recurrence group (57 cases). The preoperative ultrasound characteristics, preoperative and postoperative calcitonin levels, and general informations of the two groups were recorded, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Single factor Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis showed that: ① Preoperative ultrasonic characteristics including tumor size > 40.0 mm, capsular invasion, and metastatic cervical lymph nodes, as well as preoperative calcitonin level > 565.8 pg/ml, and postoperative calcitonin (within one week) level > 45.0 pg/ml were positively correlated with the risk of postoperative recurrence of MTC (P < 0.05); ② There was no evidence to show that sex and age had a statistically significant effect on postoperative recurrence of MTC (P > 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that metastatic lymph nodes shown by ultrasound (HR = 5.368, 95%CI 1.063-27.104, P = 0.042) was an independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence of MTC.

CONCLUSIONS

MTC patients with metastatic lymph nodes shown by ultrasound are prone to postoperative recurrence of MTC. In addition, MTC patients with a tumor > 40.0 mm, capsular invasion, preoperative calcitonin level > 565.8 pg/ml, and postoperative calcitonin level > 45.0 pg/ml are more likely to have postoperative recurrence.

Prediction of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a combined dual-energy CT and thyroid function indicators study

BACKGROUND

Predicting the possibility of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (ipsi-LLNM) was crucial to the operation plan for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM in PTC patients by combining dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) with thyroid function indicators.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 406 patients with a pathological diagnosis of PTC from Jan 2016 to Dec 2019. Ensure the DECT images were clear and the thyroid function indicators were complete. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses explored the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM. To evaluate the cutoff value of each risk factor by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 406 patients with PTC were analyzed, including 128 with ipsi-LLNM and 278 without ipsi-LLNM. There were statistical differences of parameters between the two groups (P < .0001), including serum Tg, Anti-Tg, Anti-TPO, the volume of the primary lesion, calcification, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and iodine concentration (IC) in the arterial and the venous phases. Independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM included serum Tg, Anti-Tg, ETE, and IC in the arterial and the venous phases (P < .05). The combined application of the above independent risk factors can predict the possibility of ipsi-LLNM, with an AUC of 0.834. Ipsi-LLNM was more likely to occur when the following conditions were met: with ETE, Tg >  100.01 ng/mL, Anti-Tg >  89.43 IU/mL, IC in arterial phase > 3.4 mg/mL and IC in venous phase > 3.1 mg/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined application of DECT quantitative parameters and thyroid function indicators can help clinicians accurately predict ipsi-LLNM before surgery, thereby assisting the individualized formulation of surgical procedures.

The Prediction of Metastases of Lateral Cervical Lymph Node in Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Development and validation of a nomogram for the prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the clinical features of patients with MTC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2017 and in our Department of Surgical Oncology, Hangzhou First People's Hospital between 2009 and 2019. The log-rank test was used to compare the difference in the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves in recurrence and survival. The nomogram was developed to predict the risk of LLNM in MTC patients. The prediction efficiency of the predictive model was assessed by area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to determine the clinic value of the predictive model.

RESULT

A total of 714 patients in the SEER database and 35 patients in our department were enrolled in our study. Patients with LLNM had worse recurrence rate and cancer-specific survival (CSS) compared with patients without LLNM. Five clinical characteristics including sex, tumor size, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, and distant metastasis were identified to be associated with LLNM in MTC patients, which were used to develop a nomogram. Our prediction model had satisfied discrimination with a C-index of 0.825, supported by both training set and internal testing set with a C-index of 0.825, and 0.816, respectively. DCA was further made to evaluate the clinical utility of this nomogram for predicting LLNM.

CONCLUSIONS

Male sex, tumor size >38mm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, and distant metastasis in MTC patients were significant risk factors for predicting LLNM.

Risk Factors for Lateral Lymph Node Metastases in Patients With Sporadic Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Medullary thyroid carcinoma is a rare endocrine malignancy; 75% of patients with this disease have sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma. While surgery is the only curative treatment, the benefit of prophylactic lateral neck dissection is unclear. This study aimed to analyze the clinicopathological risk factors associated with lateral lymph node metastases and determine the indication for prophylactic lateral neck dissection in patients with sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma.

METHODS

The medical records of patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma who were treated at our hospital between January 2002 and January 2020 were retrospectively reviewed; a database of their demographic characteristics, test results, and pathological information was constructed. The relationship between lateral lymph node metastases and clinicopathologic sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma features were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, 125 patients with sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma were included; 47.2% and 39.2% had confirmed central and lateral lymph node metastases, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified 2 independent factors associated with lateral lymph node metastases: positive central lymph node metastases (odds ratio = 9.764, 95% confidence interval: 2.610-36.523; p = 0.001) and positive lateral lymph nodes on ultrasonography (odds ratio = 101.747, 95% confidence interval: 14.666-705.869; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Medullary thyroid carcinoma is a rare endocrine malignancy. Lymph node metastases are common in patients with sporadic medullary thyroid carcinoma. Prophylactic lateral neck dissection is recommended for patients who exhibit positive central lymph node metastases and/or positive lateral lymph nodes on ultrasonography.

The KWAK TI-RADS and 2015 ATA guidelines for medullary thyroid carcinoma: Combined with cell block-assisted ultrasound-guided thyroid fine-needle aspiration

OBJECTIVE

To compare the value of the thyroid imaging reporting and data system proposed by Kwak (KWAK TI-RADS) and the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines for diagnosis of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). To confirm the role of cell block (CB)-assisted fine-needle aspiration (FNA) in final diagnosis of MTC.

DESIGN

Retrospective hospital-based cohort study.

PATIENTS

Ninety-three patients with 29 MTCs, 31 PTCs and 33 thyroid adenomas (TAs) who underwent thyroidectomy from January 2010 to May 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. The KWAK TI-RADS and ATA guidelines were used to assess each thyroid nodule. FNA, CB-assisted FNA and core needle biopsy (CNB) were performed in final diagnosis.

RESULTS

Age and ultrasound features (composition, echogenicity and shape) were significantly different between MTC and PTC. Sex and ultrasound features (echogenicity, margin and calcification) were significantly different between MTC and TA. The KWAK TI-RADS and ATA guidelines showed no significant difference for MTC (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.812 and 0.808; P = .37-.85) or PTC (AUC: 0.883 and 0.885; P = .25-.96). The KWAK TI-RADS and ATA guidelines showed high specificity and sensitivity for MTC (93.9% and 62.1%, 87.9% and 65.5%) and PTC (93.9% and 67.7%, 87.9% and 77.4%), respectively. For suspicious MTC (7 cases), CB-assisted FNA provide accuracy preoperative diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the diagnostic performance of the TI-RADS and ATA guidelines is worse for MTC than PTC, the difference is not statistically significant. CB-assisted FNA should be performed in thyroid nodules with 4a or lower suspicion to avoid misdiagnosis of MTC.

Combining serum calcitonin, carcinoembryonic antigen, and neuron-specific enolase to predict lateral lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma

Background

This study aimed to investigate the clinical application of combined detection of serum calcitonin (Ctn), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and neuron‐specific enolase (NSE) in predicting lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC).

Methods

Seventy‐four consecutive patients with MTC were enrolled. The relationship between serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE and LLNM was retrospectively analyzed by univariate analysis and logistic regression analysis. Furthermore, the clinical application of serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE combined detection in prediction of LLNM in MTC was also evaluated.

Results

The rate of LLNM in this study was 48.64% (36/74).The expression levels of serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE in MTC with LLNM were significantly higher than those without LLNM (all P < .01). The area under the curve (AUC) predicted by serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE for LLNM in MTC patients was 0.867, 0.831, and 0.726, respectively, and the AUC of serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE combined detection was up to 0.890, higher than using a single biomarker. The sensitivity and specificity of serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE combined detection in prediction of LLNM were 88.89% and 81.57%, respectively.

Conclusions

The concentrations of serum Ctn, CEA, and NSE are closely related to LLNM in MTC, and the combined detection of all three biomarkers has a higher clinical value in the evaluation of MTC patients with LLNM. With more perspective study in the future, it would be an indicator of influencing personalized surgical strategy for different MTC patients.

The Role of Calcitonin in Predicting the Extent of Surgery in Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Nationwide Population-Based Study in Norway

BACKGROUND

Preoperative predictors for the need of prophylactic lymph node dissection in the lateral neck have been studied in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC).

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the ability of serum calcitonin to predict the extent of surgery needed in the lateral neck.

METHODS

This retrospective population-based cohort study includes data from 94 of 139 patients with MTC surgically treated in Norway from 2003 to 2016. Patients were identified in the 4 regional centers treating MTC and by the Cancer Registry of Norway, and grouped according to calcitonin levels. In 58 patients without distant metastases or disease progression to the next tumor level (NPNL), data were compared in prognostic groups (N0-NPNL), (N1a-NPNL), and (N1b-NPNL).

RESULTS

At calcitonin levels ≤500, 501-1,000, and >1,000 pmol/L, metastatic lymph nodes in the lateral neck were found in 16, 50, and 71% of the patients, respectively. In the prognostic groups, 19% of N0-NPNL patients had calcitonin >500 pmol/L and 17% of N1b-NPNL patients had calcitonin ≤500 pmol/L. In multivariate analysis, factors predicting biochemical cure and calcitonin level ≤500 pmol/L were no metastatic lymph nodes in the lateral neck (p = 0.030) and tumor diameter ≤20 mm (p < 0.001), respectively. Factors related to metastatic lymph nodes in the lateral neck were extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.007) and no biochemical cure (p = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

Basal calcitonin cannot predict the need for prophylactic lateral lymph node dissection in patients with MTC. Further prospective, randomized studies are warranted.

Tumor Volume Doubling Time in Active Surveillance of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: Tumor volume (TV) of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) increases exponentially during active surveillance, and the growth rate differs for each patient. TV doubling time (TVDT) is considered a strong dynamic marker for the prediction of the growth rate and progression of the tumor. Methods: This cohort study analyzed 273 PTC patients who underwent active surveillance for more than one year rather than immediate thyroid surgery. TVDT was calculated in each patient, and patients were divided into two groups: rapid-growing (TVDT <5 years) and stable (TVDT ≥5 years). Clinical and initial ultrasonography (US) features between the two groups were compared. Results: The median patient age was 51.1 years (interquartile range [IQR] 42.2-61.0 years), and 76% of the patients were women. The initial TV of PTC was 62.1 mm³ (IQR 28.1-122.8 mm³). During a median of 42 months (IQR 29-61 months) of active surveillance, 10.3% of the patients had a TVDT of less than two years, 5.1% had a TVDT between two and three years, 6.2% had a TVDT between three and four years, 6.6% had a TVDT between four and five years, and 71.8% had a TVDT of five years or more. Patients in the rapid-growing group (77 patients; 28.2%) were significantly younger (p = 0.004) than those in the stable group (196 patients; 71.8%). Being younger than 50 years of age was significantly associated with rapid tumor growth of PTC (odds ratio = 2.31 [confidence interval 1.30-4.31], p = 0.004) in multivariate analysis. In ultrasound findings, macrocalcification was independently associated with rapid tumor growing of PTCs (odds ratio = 4.98 [confidence interval 2.19-11.69], p < 0.001). Conclusions: TVDT is a good indicator for presenting the growing velocity of PTCs during active surveillance. Younger age and macrocalcification in the initial US were associated with rapid-growing PTCs. Determination of TVDT during the early phase of active surveillance may be helpful for the prediction of rapidly progressing PTCs and deciding whether to adopt an early surgical approach.