Time-Series Analysis of Air Pollution and Health Accounting for Covariate-Dependent Overdispersion

Are children with sickle cell disease at particular risk from the harmful effects of air pollution? Evidence from a large, urban/peri-urban cohort

INTRODUCTION

Pathophysiologic pathways of sickle cell disease (SCD) and air pollution involve inflammation, oxidative stress, and endothelial damage. It is therefore plausible that children with SCD are especially prone to air pollution's harmful effects.

METHODS

Patient data were collected from a single-center, urban/peri-urban cohort of children with confirmed SCD. Daily ambient concentrations of particulate matter (PM2.5 ) were collected via satellite-derived remote-sensing technology, and carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), and ozone from local monitoring stations. We used multivariable regression to quantify associations of pollutant levels and daily counts of emergency department (ED) visits, accounting for weather and time trends. For comparison, we quantified the associations of pollutant levels with daily all-patient (non-SCD) ED visits to our center.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2018, there were 17,731 ED visits by 1740 children with SCD (64.8% HbSS/HbSβ0 ). Vaso-occlusive events (57.8%), respiratory illness (17.1%), and fever (16.1%) were the most common visit diagnoses. Higher 3-day (lags 0-2) rolling mean PM2.5 and CO levels were associated with daily ED visits among those with SCD (PM2.5 incident rate ratio [IRR] 1.051 [95% confidence interval: 1.010-1.094] per 9.4 μg/m3 increase; CO 1.088 [1.045-1.132] per 0.5 ppm). NO2 showed positive associations in secondary analyses; ozone levels were not associated with ED visits. The comparison, all-patient ED visit analyses showed lower IRR for all pollutants.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest short-term air pollution levels as triggers for SCD events and that children with SCD may be more vulnerable to air pollution than those without SCD. Targeted pollution-avoidance strategies could have significant clinical benefits in this population.

The association between air pollution, meteorological factors, and daily outpatient visits for urticaria in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China: a time series analysis

The associations of air pollution and meteorological factors with the outpatient visits of urticaria remain poorly studied. This study aimed to assess the association between air pollution, meteorological factors, and daily outpatient visits for urticaria in Shijiazhuang, China, during 2014-2019. Daily recordings of air pollutant concentrations, meteorological data, and outpatient visits data for urticaria were collected during the 6 years. Descriptive research methods were used to describe the distribution characteristics and demographic features of urticaria. A combination of the generalized linear regression model (GLM) and distribution lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to evaluate the lag association between environmental factors and daily outpatient visits for urticaria. Stratified analyses by gender (male; female) and age (< 18 years; 18-39 years; > 39 years) were further conducted. The dose-response relationship between daily urticaria visits and CO, NO₂, O₃, temperature, and relative humidity was nonlinear. High concentrations of CO, NO₂, O₃, and high temperatures increased the risk of urticaria outpatient visits. The maximum cumulative association of high concentrations of CO, NO₂, and O₃ was lag 0-14 days (CO: RR = 1.10, 95%CI: 1.06, 1.31; NO₂: RR = 1.09, 95%CI: 1.01, 1.08; O₃: RR = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.08, 1.25), and high temperatures was lag 0-7 days (RR = 1.27, 95%CI: 1.14, 1.41). Low concentrations of NO₂, O₃, and high humidity, on the other hand, act as protective factors for urticaria outpatient. The maximum cumulative association of low concentrations of NO₂ was the 0-day lag (RR = 0.97, 95%CI: 0.95, 0.99), O₃ was lag 0-5 days (RR = 0.94, 95%CI: 0.88, 0.99), and high humidity was lag 0-10 days (RR = 0.93, 95%CI: 0.89, 0.98). Stratified analyses showed that the risk of urticaria outpatient visits was higher for the males and in the < 18 years age group. In conclusion, we found that the development of urticaria in Shijiazhuang has a distinct seasonal and cyclical nature. Air pollutants and meteorological factors had varying degrees of influence on the risk of urticaria outpatient visits. This study provides indirect evidence for a link between air pollution, meteorological factors, and urticaria outpatient visits.